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Chapter Three

        Research Design
3-2


Chapter Outline
1) Overview
2) Research Design: Definition
3) Research Design: Classification
4) Exploratory Research
5) Descriptive Research
   i.    Cross-Sectional Design
   ii.   Longitudinal Design
   iii.  Advantages and Disadvantages of Longitudinal
         and Cross-Sectional Designs
6) Causal Research
7) Relationships Among Exploratory, Descriptive, and
       Causal Research
3-3


Chapter Outline
8) Potential Sources of Error
   i.    Random Sampling Error
   ii.   Non-sampling Error
       a.  Non-response Error
       b.  Response Error
 9) Budgeting and Scheduling
10) Marketing Research Proposal
11) International Marketing Research
3-4


Chapter Outline
12) Ethics in Marketing Research
13) Internet and Computer Applications
15) Focus on Burke
14) Summary
15) Key Terms and Concepts
3-5


Research Design: Definition
   A research design is a framework or
    blueprint for conducting the marketing
    research project. It details the
    procedures necessary for obtaining the
    information needed to structure or solve
    marketing research problems.
3-6


Components of a Research Design
   Define the information needed (Chapter 2)
   Design the exploratory, descriptive, and/or causal
    phases of the research (Chapters 3 - 7)
   Specify the measurement and scaling procedures
    (Chapters 8 and 9)
   Construct and pretest a questionnaire (interviewing
    form) or an appropriate form for data collection
    (Chapter 10)
   Specify the sampling process and sample size
    (Chapters 11 and 12)
   Develop a plan of data analysis (Chapter 14)
3-7


A Classification of Marketing Research Designs
 Fig. 3.1

                   Research Design


  Exploratory                           Conclusive
Research Design                       Research Design


                               Descriptive              Causal
                                Research                Research


                   Cross-Sectional       Longitudinal
                       Design              Design


         Single Cross-       Multiple Cross-
        Sectional Design    Sectional Design
3-8


        Exploratory & Conclusive Research Differences
        Table 3.1

             Exploratory                    Conclusive
Objective:   To provide insights and        To test specific hypotheses
             understanding.                 and examine relationships.

Character-   Information needed is          Information needed is clearly
istics:      defined only loosely.          defined. Research process is
             Research process is flexible   formal and structured. Sample
             and unstructured. Sample       is large and representative.
             is small and non-              Data analysis is quantitative.
             representative. Analysis of
             primary data is qualitative.

Findings                                    Conclusive.
/Results:    Tentative.

Outcome:                                    Findings used as input into
             Generally followed by          decision making.
             further exploratory or
3-9


           A Comparison of Basic Research Designs
         Table 3.2

                   Exploratory       Descriptive          Causal
Objective:         Discovery of      Describe market      Determine cause
                   ideas and         characteristics or   and effect
                   insights          functions            relationships

Characteristics:                     Marked by the prior Manipulation of
                   Flexible,         formulation of      one or more
                   versatile         specific hypotheses independent
                                                         variables
                                     Preplanned and
                                     structured design   Control of other
                   Often the front                       mediating
                   end of total                          variables
                   research design   Secondary data
Methods:                             Surveys             Experiments
                   Expert surveys    Panels
                   Pilot surveys     Observation and
                   Secondary data    other data
                   Qualitative
3-10


Uses of Exploratory Research
   Formulate a problem or define a
    problem more precisely
   Identify alternative courses of action
   Develop hypotheses
   Isolate key variables and relationships
    for further examination
   Gain insights for developing an
    approach to the problem
   Establish priorities for further research
3-11


Methods of Exploratory Research
   Survey of experts (discussed in Chapter
    2).
   Pilot surveys (discussed in Chapter 2).
   Secondary data analyzed in a
    qualitative way (discussed in Chapter
    4).
   Qualitative research (discussed in
    Chapter 5).
3-12


Use of Descriptive Research
   To describe the characteristics of relevant
    groups, such as consumers, salespeople,
    organizations, or market areas.
   To estimate the percentage of units in a
    specified population exhibiting a certain
    behavior.
   To determine the perceptions of product
    characteristics.
   To determine the degree to which marketing
    variables are associated.
   To make specific predictions
3-13


Methods of Descriptive Research
   Secondary data analyzed in a quantitative as
    opposed to a qualitative manner (discussed in
    Chapter 4)
   Surveys (Chapter 6)
   Panels (Chapters 4 and 6)
   Observational and other data (Chapter 6)
3-14


Cross-sectional Designs
   Involve the collection of information from any given
    sample of population elements only once.
   In single cross-sectional designs, there is only
    one sample of respondents and information is
    obtained from this sample only once.
   In multiple cross-sectional designs , there are
    two or more samples of respondents, and information
    from each sample is obtained only once. Often,
    information from different samples is obtained at
    different times.
   Cohort analysis consists of a series of surveys
    conducted at appropriate time intervals, where the
    cohort serves as the basic unit of analysis. A cohort
    is a group of respondents who experience the same
    event within the same time interval.
Consumption of Various Soft Drinks
                                                          3-15


      by Various Age Cohorts
      Table 3.3
           Percentage consuming on a typical day
Age         1950       1960      1969     1979

8-19         52.9       62.6      73.2     81.0
20-29        45.2       60.7      76.0     75.8      C8
30-39        33.9       46.6      67.7     71.4      C7
40-49        23.2       40.8      58.6     67.8      C6
50+          18.1       28.8      50.0     51.9      C5
                        C1        C2       C3        C4

C1: cohort born prior to 1900      C5: cohort born 1931-40
C2: cohort born 1901-10            C6: cohort born 1940-49
C3: cohort born 1911-20            C7: cohort born 1950-59
C4: cohort born 1921-30            C8: cohort born 1960-69
3-16


Longitudinal Designs
   A fixed sample (or samples) of population
    elements is measured repeatedly on the
    same variables
   A longitudinal design differs from a cross-
    sectional design in that the sample or
    samples remain the same over time
Relative Advantages and Disadvantages of
                                                               3-17


       Longitudinal and Cross-Sectional Designs
         Table 3.4

Evaluation                        Cross-Sectional   Longitudinal
Criteria                          Design            Design

Detecting Change                        -               +
Large amount of data collection         -               +
Accuracy                                -               +
Representative Sampling                 +               -
Response bias                           +               -

Note: A “+” indicates a relative advantage over the other
design, whereas a “-” indicates a relative disadvantage.
Cross-Sectional Data May Not Show           3-18


       Change
       Table 3.5

Brand Purchased            Time Period
                         Period 1          Period 2
                         Survey            Survey
  Brand A                 200               200
  Brand B                 300                300
  Brand C                 500               500
  Total                  1000              1000
Longitudinal Data May Show
                                                         3-19


      Substantial Change
       Table 3.6


Brand                  Brand Purchased in Period 2
Purchased
in Period 1        Brand A     Brand B     Brand C   Total

Brand A             100           50           50     200
Brand B              25          100          175     300
Brand C              75          150          275     500
Total               200          300          500    1000
3-20


Uses of Casual Research
   To understand which variables are the
    cause (independent variables) and
    which variables are the effect
    (dependent variables) of a phenomenon
   To determine the nature of the
    relationship between the causal
    variables and the effect to be predicted
   METHOD: Experiments
Potential Sources of Error in
                                                                               3-21


          Research Designs
         Fig. 3.2
                                      Total Error


         Random                                        Non-sampling
       Sampling Error                                      Error


                                           Response             Non-response
                                               Error                Error



                    Researcher             Interviewer         Respondent
                       Error                   Error               Error

Surrogate Information Error      Respondent Selection Error    Inability Error
Measurement Error                Questioning Error             Unwillingness Error
Population Definition Error      Recording Error
Sampling Frame Error             Cheating Error
Data Analysis Error
3-22


Errors in Marketing Research
   The total error is the variation between the true
    mean value in the population of the variable of
    interest and the observed mean value obtained in the
    marketing research project.
   Random sampling error is the variation between
    the true mean value for the population and the true
    mean value for the original sample.
   Non-sampling errors can be attributed to sources
    other than sampling, and they may be random or
    nonrandom: including errors in problem definition,
    approach, scales, questionnaire design, interviewing
    methods, and data preparation and analysis. Non-
    sampling errors consist of non-response errors and
    response errors.
3-23


Errors in Marketing Research
   Non-response error arises when some of the
    respondents included in the sample do not respond.
   Response error arises when respondents give
    inaccurate answers or their answers are misrecorded
    or misanalyzed.
Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive,
                                                             3-24


    and Causal Research


Marketing Research at Citicorp is typical in that it is used to
measure consumer awareness of products, monitor their
satisfaction and attitudes associated with the product, track
product usage and diagnose problems as they occur. To
accomplish these tasks Citicorp makes extensive use of
exploratory, descriptive, and causal research. Often it is
advantageous to offer special financial packages to specific
groups of customers. In this case, a financial package is
being designed for senior citizens.

The following seven-step process was taken by marketing
research to help in the design.
Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive,
                                                          3-25


    and Causal Research




1) A taskforce was created to better define the market
parameters to include all the needs of the many Citicorp
branches. A final decision was made to include Americans
55 years of age or older, retired, and in the upper half of
the financial strata of that market.
Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive,
                                                                     3-26


      and Causal Research

2) Exploratory research in the form of secondary data analysis
of the mature or older market was then performed and a study
of competitive products was conducted. Exploratory qualitative
research involving focus groups was also carried out in order to
determine the needs and desires of the market and the level of
satisfaction with the current products.


                                   In the case of senior citizens,
                                   a great deal of diversity was
                                   found in the market. This
                                   was determined to be due to
                                   such factors as affluence,
                                   relative age, and the
                                   absence or presence of a
                                   spouse.
Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive,
                                                        3-27


    and Causal Research




3) The next stage of research was brainstorming. This
involved the formation of many different financial
packages aimed at the target market. In this case, a
total of 10 ideas were generated.
Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive,
                                                                          3-28


    and Causal Research

4) The feasibility of the 10 ideas generated in step 3 was then tested.
 The ideas were tested on the basis of whether they were possible in
relation to the business. The following list of questions was used as
a series of hurdles that the ideas had to pass to continue on to the
next step.

• Can the idea be explained in a manner that the target
  market will easily understand?
• Does the idea fit into the overall strategy of
  Citicorp?
Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive,
                                                                   3-29


    and Causal Research

 Is there an available description of a specific target market
  for the proposed product?

 Does the research conducted so far indicate a potential
  match for target market needs, and is the idea perceived to
  have appeal to this market?

 Is there a feasible outline of the tactics and strategies for
  implementing the program?

 Have the financial impact and cost of the program been
  thoroughly evaluated and determined to be in line with
  company practices?

In this study, only one idea generated from the brainstorming session
made it past all the listed hurdles and on to step 5.
Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive,
                                                                  3-30


  and Causal Research

5) A creative work-plan was then generated. This plan was
to emphasize the competitive advantage of the proposed
product as well as better delineate the specific features of
the product.

6) The previous exploratory research was now followed up
with descriptive research in the form of mall intercept surveys
of people in the target market range. The survey showed that
the list of special features was too long and it was decided to
drop the features more commonly offered by competitors.
Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive,
                                                      3-31


and Causal Research

7) Finally, the product was test marketed in six of
the Citicorp branches within the target market.
Test marketing is a form of causal research.
Given successful test marketing results, the
product is introduced nationally.
3-32


Marketing Research Proposal
   Executive Summary
   Background
   Problem Definition/Objectives of the
    Research
   Approach to the Problem
   Research Design
   Fieldwork/Data Collection
   Data Analysis
   Reporting
   Cost and Time
   Appendices
3-33


  The Greenfield of Online Research

Greenfield      Online      Research       Center,     Inc.
(http://www.greenfieldonline.com), based in Westport,
Connecticut, is a subsidiary of the Greenfield Consulting
Group. The Online Research Center conducts focus
groups, surveys, and polls over the Internet. The
company has built up a “panel” of close to 200,000
Internet users, from which it draws survey samples. The
samples may be used for descriptive research designs
like single or multiple cross-sectional designs, as well as
longitudinal designs. Causal designs can also be
implemented. Respondents may also be chosen from the
registered Internet users.
3-34


  The Greenfield of Online Research

Internet users wishing to take part in surveys and other projects
begin by registering online at the company’s Web site. The
registration consists of a “sign-up survey” that asks for e-mail
address, type of computer used, personal interests and
information about the respondent’s household.            Once an
Internet user is registered, Greenfield Online matches the user
with research studies that are well-suited to his or her interests.

Incentives to take part in focus groups or special surveys are
offered by the companies whose products or services are being
researched. This incentive is cash or valuable prizes.
Incentives are also offered to Internet users to encourage them
to register with Greenfield’s Internet panel. New registrants
automatically qualify for prizes that are awarded in monthly
drawings.

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  • 1. Chapter Three Research Design
  • 2. 3-2 Chapter Outline 1) Overview 2) Research Design: Definition 3) Research Design: Classification 4) Exploratory Research 5) Descriptive Research i. Cross-Sectional Design ii. Longitudinal Design iii. Advantages and Disadvantages of Longitudinal and Cross-Sectional Designs 6) Causal Research 7) Relationships Among Exploratory, Descriptive, and Causal Research
  • 3. 3-3 Chapter Outline 8) Potential Sources of Error i. Random Sampling Error ii. Non-sampling Error a. Non-response Error b. Response Error 9) Budgeting and Scheduling 10) Marketing Research Proposal 11) International Marketing Research
  • 4. 3-4 Chapter Outline 12) Ethics in Marketing Research 13) Internet and Computer Applications 15) Focus on Burke 14) Summary 15) Key Terms and Concepts
  • 5. 3-5 Research Design: Definition  A research design is a framework or blueprint for conducting the marketing research project. It details the procedures necessary for obtaining the information needed to structure or solve marketing research problems.
  • 6. 3-6 Components of a Research Design  Define the information needed (Chapter 2)  Design the exploratory, descriptive, and/or causal phases of the research (Chapters 3 - 7)  Specify the measurement and scaling procedures (Chapters 8 and 9)  Construct and pretest a questionnaire (interviewing form) or an appropriate form for data collection (Chapter 10)  Specify the sampling process and sample size (Chapters 11 and 12)  Develop a plan of data analysis (Chapter 14)
  • 7. 3-7 A Classification of Marketing Research Designs Fig. 3.1 Research Design Exploratory Conclusive Research Design Research Design Descriptive Causal Research Research Cross-Sectional Longitudinal Design Design Single Cross- Multiple Cross- Sectional Design Sectional Design
  • 8. 3-8 Exploratory & Conclusive Research Differences Table 3.1 Exploratory Conclusive Objective: To provide insights and To test specific hypotheses understanding. and examine relationships. Character- Information needed is Information needed is clearly istics: defined only loosely. defined. Research process is Research process is flexible formal and structured. Sample and unstructured. Sample is large and representative. is small and non- Data analysis is quantitative. representative. Analysis of primary data is qualitative. Findings Conclusive. /Results: Tentative. Outcome: Findings used as input into Generally followed by decision making. further exploratory or
  • 9. 3-9 A Comparison of Basic Research Designs Table 3.2 Exploratory Descriptive Causal Objective: Discovery of Describe market Determine cause ideas and characteristics or and effect insights functions relationships Characteristics: Marked by the prior Manipulation of Flexible, formulation of one or more versatile specific hypotheses independent variables Preplanned and structured design Control of other Often the front mediating end of total variables research design Secondary data Methods: Surveys Experiments Expert surveys Panels Pilot surveys Observation and Secondary data other data Qualitative
  • 10. 3-10 Uses of Exploratory Research  Formulate a problem or define a problem more precisely  Identify alternative courses of action  Develop hypotheses  Isolate key variables and relationships for further examination  Gain insights for developing an approach to the problem  Establish priorities for further research
  • 11. 3-11 Methods of Exploratory Research  Survey of experts (discussed in Chapter 2).  Pilot surveys (discussed in Chapter 2).  Secondary data analyzed in a qualitative way (discussed in Chapter 4).  Qualitative research (discussed in Chapter 5).
  • 12. 3-12 Use of Descriptive Research  To describe the characteristics of relevant groups, such as consumers, salespeople, organizations, or market areas.  To estimate the percentage of units in a specified population exhibiting a certain behavior.  To determine the perceptions of product characteristics.  To determine the degree to which marketing variables are associated.  To make specific predictions
  • 13. 3-13 Methods of Descriptive Research  Secondary data analyzed in a quantitative as opposed to a qualitative manner (discussed in Chapter 4)  Surveys (Chapter 6)  Panels (Chapters 4 and 6)  Observational and other data (Chapter 6)
  • 14. 3-14 Cross-sectional Designs  Involve the collection of information from any given sample of population elements only once.  In single cross-sectional designs, there is only one sample of respondents and information is obtained from this sample only once.  In multiple cross-sectional designs , there are two or more samples of respondents, and information from each sample is obtained only once. Often, information from different samples is obtained at different times.  Cohort analysis consists of a series of surveys conducted at appropriate time intervals, where the cohort serves as the basic unit of analysis. A cohort is a group of respondents who experience the same event within the same time interval.
  • 15. Consumption of Various Soft Drinks 3-15 by Various Age Cohorts Table 3.3 Percentage consuming on a typical day Age 1950 1960 1969 1979 8-19 52.9 62.6 73.2 81.0 20-29 45.2 60.7 76.0 75.8 C8 30-39 33.9 46.6 67.7 71.4 C7 40-49 23.2 40.8 58.6 67.8 C6 50+ 18.1 28.8 50.0 51.9 C5 C1 C2 C3 C4 C1: cohort born prior to 1900 C5: cohort born 1931-40 C2: cohort born 1901-10 C6: cohort born 1940-49 C3: cohort born 1911-20 C7: cohort born 1950-59 C4: cohort born 1921-30 C8: cohort born 1960-69
  • 16. 3-16 Longitudinal Designs  A fixed sample (or samples) of population elements is measured repeatedly on the same variables  A longitudinal design differs from a cross- sectional design in that the sample or samples remain the same over time
  • 17. Relative Advantages and Disadvantages of 3-17 Longitudinal and Cross-Sectional Designs Table 3.4 Evaluation Cross-Sectional Longitudinal Criteria Design Design Detecting Change - + Large amount of data collection - + Accuracy - + Representative Sampling + - Response bias + - Note: A “+” indicates a relative advantage over the other design, whereas a “-” indicates a relative disadvantage.
  • 18. Cross-Sectional Data May Not Show 3-18 Change Table 3.5 Brand Purchased Time Period Period 1 Period 2 Survey Survey Brand A 200 200 Brand B 300 300 Brand C 500 500 Total 1000 1000
  • 19. Longitudinal Data May Show 3-19 Substantial Change Table 3.6 Brand Brand Purchased in Period 2 Purchased in Period 1 Brand A Brand B Brand C Total Brand A 100 50 50 200 Brand B 25 100 175 300 Brand C 75 150 275 500 Total 200 300 500 1000
  • 20. 3-20 Uses of Casual Research  To understand which variables are the cause (independent variables) and which variables are the effect (dependent variables) of a phenomenon  To determine the nature of the relationship between the causal variables and the effect to be predicted  METHOD: Experiments
  • 21. Potential Sources of Error in 3-21 Research Designs Fig. 3.2 Total Error Random Non-sampling Sampling Error Error Response Non-response Error Error Researcher Interviewer Respondent Error Error Error Surrogate Information Error Respondent Selection Error Inability Error Measurement Error Questioning Error Unwillingness Error Population Definition Error Recording Error Sampling Frame Error Cheating Error Data Analysis Error
  • 22. 3-22 Errors in Marketing Research  The total error is the variation between the true mean value in the population of the variable of interest and the observed mean value obtained in the marketing research project.  Random sampling error is the variation between the true mean value for the population and the true mean value for the original sample.  Non-sampling errors can be attributed to sources other than sampling, and they may be random or nonrandom: including errors in problem definition, approach, scales, questionnaire design, interviewing methods, and data preparation and analysis. Non- sampling errors consist of non-response errors and response errors.
  • 23. 3-23 Errors in Marketing Research  Non-response error arises when some of the respondents included in the sample do not respond.  Response error arises when respondents give inaccurate answers or their answers are misrecorded or misanalyzed.
  • 24. Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive, 3-24 and Causal Research Marketing Research at Citicorp is typical in that it is used to measure consumer awareness of products, monitor their satisfaction and attitudes associated with the product, track product usage and diagnose problems as they occur. To accomplish these tasks Citicorp makes extensive use of exploratory, descriptive, and causal research. Often it is advantageous to offer special financial packages to specific groups of customers. In this case, a financial package is being designed for senior citizens. The following seven-step process was taken by marketing research to help in the design.
  • 25. Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive, 3-25 and Causal Research 1) A taskforce was created to better define the market parameters to include all the needs of the many Citicorp branches. A final decision was made to include Americans 55 years of age or older, retired, and in the upper half of the financial strata of that market.
  • 26. Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive, 3-26 and Causal Research 2) Exploratory research in the form of secondary data analysis of the mature or older market was then performed and a study of competitive products was conducted. Exploratory qualitative research involving focus groups was also carried out in order to determine the needs and desires of the market and the level of satisfaction with the current products. In the case of senior citizens, a great deal of diversity was found in the market. This was determined to be due to such factors as affluence, relative age, and the absence or presence of a spouse.
  • 27. Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive, 3-27 and Causal Research 3) The next stage of research was brainstorming. This involved the formation of many different financial packages aimed at the target market. In this case, a total of 10 ideas were generated.
  • 28. Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive, 3-28 and Causal Research 4) The feasibility of the 10 ideas generated in step 3 was then tested. The ideas were tested on the basis of whether they were possible in relation to the business. The following list of questions was used as a series of hurdles that the ideas had to pass to continue on to the next step. • Can the idea be explained in a manner that the target market will easily understand? • Does the idea fit into the overall strategy of Citicorp?
  • 29. Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive, 3-29 and Causal Research  Is there an available description of a specific target market for the proposed product?  Does the research conducted so far indicate a potential match for target market needs, and is the idea perceived to have appeal to this market?  Is there a feasible outline of the tactics and strategies for implementing the program?  Have the financial impact and cost of the program been thoroughly evaluated and determined to be in line with company practices? In this study, only one idea generated from the brainstorming session made it past all the listed hurdles and on to step 5.
  • 30. Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive, 3-30 and Causal Research 5) A creative work-plan was then generated. This plan was to emphasize the competitive advantage of the proposed product as well as better delineate the specific features of the product. 6) The previous exploratory research was now followed up with descriptive research in the form of mall intercept surveys of people in the target market range. The survey showed that the list of special features was too long and it was decided to drop the features more commonly offered by competitors.
  • 31. Citicorp Banks on Exploratory, Descriptive, 3-31 and Causal Research 7) Finally, the product was test marketed in six of the Citicorp branches within the target market. Test marketing is a form of causal research. Given successful test marketing results, the product is introduced nationally.
  • 32. 3-32 Marketing Research Proposal  Executive Summary  Background  Problem Definition/Objectives of the Research  Approach to the Problem  Research Design  Fieldwork/Data Collection  Data Analysis  Reporting  Cost and Time  Appendices
  • 33. 3-33 The Greenfield of Online Research Greenfield Online Research Center, Inc. (http://www.greenfieldonline.com), based in Westport, Connecticut, is a subsidiary of the Greenfield Consulting Group. The Online Research Center conducts focus groups, surveys, and polls over the Internet. The company has built up a “panel” of close to 200,000 Internet users, from which it draws survey samples. The samples may be used for descriptive research designs like single or multiple cross-sectional designs, as well as longitudinal designs. Causal designs can also be implemented. Respondents may also be chosen from the registered Internet users.
  • 34. 3-34 The Greenfield of Online Research Internet users wishing to take part in surveys and other projects begin by registering online at the company’s Web site. The registration consists of a “sign-up survey” that asks for e-mail address, type of computer used, personal interests and information about the respondent’s household. Once an Internet user is registered, Greenfield Online matches the user with research studies that are well-suited to his or her interests. Incentives to take part in focus groups or special surveys are offered by the companies whose products or services are being researched. This incentive is cash or valuable prizes. Incentives are also offered to Internet users to encourage them to register with Greenfield’s Internet panel. New registrants automatically qualify for prizes that are awarded in monthly drawings.