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RESULTS OF SPECIAL RESEARCH FORUM
Urban Index Russia 2011




   «CITIES GRADED F+»
   Bulat Stolyarov, general director of IRP Group
WHOM DID WE ASK ABOUT RUSSIAN CITIES?



  12 cities*
    Moscow


                                                                      300 experts
    Saint-Petersburg
    Nizhny Novgorod
    Kazan                                                 More then
    Ekaterinburg
    Samara
    Chelyabinsk
    Rostov-on-Don
    Volgograd
    Omsk
    Novosibirsk
    Ufa




*с населением более миллиона человек по данным переписи 2010 года


                                                                               2
WHAT DID WE MEASURE IN THE CITIES?

1. What is going on?
 Basic needs                                                                                          Advanced needs
 А. Habitat         B. Environment for self- С. Environment for social   D. Environment for carrier    F. Cultural and aesthetic
                       sufficiency              life                        and self-development          environment




2. What is important for                                                 3. Are you satisfied?
development?
Technical potential Quality of Quality of social
                    management environment                                 Inhabitant   Business       Tourists




                                                                                                                        3
WHAT IS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN EXPERT
OPINIONS FROM VARIOUS CITIES?
 The largest and better economically developed million cities percept the environment in a
 more critical way.


            «ХОРОШО,                                           «ХОРОШО,
            ИЗМЕНЕНИЙ НЕ НАДО»                                 НО НАДО ЛУЧШЕ»




                                                               «ПЛОХО, НАДО ВСЁ
                                                               МЕНЯТЬ»




                                                                                       4
WHAT IS THE DIFFERENCE IN EXPERT OPINIONS
FROM VARIOUS PROFESSIONAL GROUPS?
        Main pessimist today is firstly professional community of architects-urban planers, аs
        well as professional groups whose problems are not widely recognized – business and
        culture (their indexes got the highest rates).


                            maх

                                                                                                          «OPTIMISTS»
The factors that affect the quality of the




                                                                                                                 Deputies
                                                                                            Media journalists
                                                                                            and editors                     Officials


                                                                                                             Managers of hospitality
                                                                                   Representatives of social business
                                                                                   field of activity
urban environment




                                                Archiects

                                                                Businessmen
                                             Cultural workers                                   Satisfaction:

                                                                                                      Below 50 grades
                                                                                                      Above 50 grades
                                             «PESSIMISTS»
                         min                                        Environmental situation of the city                           maх

                                                                                                                                        5
WHAT IS GOING ON?
         Our cities can not meet such high level of basic needs yet, so it starts to seem
         generally acceptable condition of hospitality, culture, education and architecture
         spheres.

                            No reasons to worry
                                                                     Problem zones


76,9 Business development– shops, malls, networks            Road net, traffic jams       22,3

 75,2     Communication infrastructure                       Ecological state                   33,2
   70,9     Restaurant business                              Availability of kindergartens , schools 36,2

     66,8 Regularity and accessibility of utility            Conditions for small business             40,3
      66,5 Transport communication with Russia and the       Availability of medical services           41,1
              whole world
                                                             City noise                                 41,3
        66,0 Quality of higher and professional education
                                                             Security                                       41,6
            65,7    Visual attractiveness, aesthetics
                                                             Opportunity to find an interesting job             43,6
               62,4 Culture – theatres, museums, concerts




         OVERALL INDEX 2011                         53,6

                                                                                                            6
WHAT IS EXPECTED BY EXPERTS IN THE FUTURE?
      Under the forecast of experts, the most alarming problems of Russian cities in the
      future will be the following: 1) utilities infrastructure, 2) quality of high education,
      3) business environment. It is indicative that experts evaluate cities touristic
      attractiveness very low and so far do not consider development of the tourism
      industry as an important priority.



                                                                         «GOOD AT THE
                                                                         PRESENT,
                                                                         ALARMING IN THE
«BAD AND                                                                 FUTURE,
IMPORTANT»                                                               IMPORTANT»




                                                                          «GOOD AND
                                                                          UNIMPORTANT,
     «BAD AND                                                             WILL DEVELOP ON
     UNMPORTANT»                                                          ITS OWN»




                                                                                            7
WHO FINDS RUSSIAN CITIES CONVINIENT?
For the present Russian cities are not of much attractiveness from the point of view of
leisure time industry and they have a weighty luggage of unresolved strategic
challenges in functional development.




                                 min
                                            Investors, business community
    Requirements in the sphere of leisure



                                            Highly qualified specialists

                                            Creative people

                                            Scientists, researchers

                                            Workers without special professional skills
    time industry




                                            Russian tourists

                                            Foreign tourists

                                    max




                                                                                          8
WHAT CITIES AND FOR WHOM ARE THE MOST HOSPITABLE?




      Saint-Petersburg
      Rostov-on-Don
      Kazan
      Moscow
      Ekaterinburg
      Novosibirsk
      Ufa
      Nizhny Novgorod
      Samara
      Chelyabinsk
      Omsk
      Volgograd




                                              9
WHAT IS CONVINIENT AND INCONVINIENT FOR
BUSINESS COMMUNITIES IN RUSSIAN CITIES?
  The positive factors that are pushing assessment of business climate of n cities up
  are: availability of realty for business and availability of adequate human
  resources. Negative factors for business environment of the city are: lack of
  qualified construction sites and general inability of city authorities to work with the
  tools of PPP.

                                                                    COMFORT ZONE


  Mechanisms of state and municipal project

   Sites for new constructions

   Availability of credits

   Rent spaces for offices, trade

  Opportunity to find employees of required
  qualification in the city
                                              0                              100

                       DISCOMFORT ZONE




                                                                                      10
WHAT IS INCONVINIENT FOR TOURISTS IN RUSSIAN
ДЛЯ КОГО КОМФОРТНЫ РОССИЙСКИЕ ГОРОДА?
     MILLION CITIES?
        Advantage of the Russian cities tourist services , according to the expert opinions,
        is primarily a variety of services, cafes, restaurants. Disadvantage is lack of hotels
        and hostel. The dispersion of the situation estimates regarding the hotel fund is
        huge - from almost 70 points in developed Kazan and Yekaterinburg and up to 25
        points in the depressed Volgograd.



         Convenience of navigation in the city

         Hotels, hostels, short-term renting

         Help, information, city web-site

         City tours, museum excursions

         Citizen attitude towards tourists

         Cafes, restaurants and etc. for tourists




                                                                                          11
WHAT SHALL BE DONE?
Most of the hopes the experts lay on the management progress: creation of a
competent strategy and master plan, fight against corruption and improvement of
the management team quality. In the civic vector of improvement the experts
have much weaker hope. The need for technological improvement of municipal
economy the experts from different cities, regardless of their status, evaluate
approximately equally, the spread of opinions is extremely small.



    73,4   MANAGMENT

           Improvement of the city management system, selection of managing personnel
                                                                                        74,2
           Developing a competent strategy, urban-planning policy
                                                                                        80,4
           Fight against corruption in administration, municipal economy
                                                                                        78,0
           Development of cooperation with other cities, regions
                                                                                        60,2


    64,6   TECHNOLOGIES

           Technical equipment of municipal economy                                     64,6


    62,9   QUALITY OF SOCIAL ENVIRONMENT

           Education of patriotism for the city and culture of behavior in the city
                                                                                        67,9
           Support of civic initiatives and activities from the bottom
                                                                                        69,0



                                                                                               12
WHAT SHAL BE DONE FIRST ACCORDING TO THE
GOVERNMENT OPINION?
 The government evaluates its competence quite high (except anti-corruption
 index); in their opinion they have to do something with culture and attitude of
 citizens to their city.


     «BAD AND                                                  «GOOD AND
     IMPORTANT»                                                IMPORTANT»




      «BAD AND                                              «GOOD AND
      UNIMPORTANT»                                          UNIMPORTATN»




                                                                                   13
WHAT SHAL BE DONE FIRST ACCORDING TO THE
BUSINESS OPINION?
 Representatives of business, in their turn, are much more critical regarding
 modern urban management evaluation. High priority of managerial factors
 conforms to the statement "everything that is important; is in bad condition now"



        «BAD AND
        IMPORTANT»




           «BAD AND                                  «GOOD AND
           UNIMPORTANT»                              UNIMPORTANT»




                                                                                     14
WHICH MODEL IS WORKING TODAY?
«BOTTOM UP» vs «TOP DOWN»
 While society is not capable to fully participate in the formation of the vector of the
 city environment development, in the vast majority of large cities the main initiator
 and catalyst of all innovations and changes in the urban environment shall be top-
 down command structure.




Bottom Up                                                                            Top Down
                                                                                     (government
(social initiative)
                                                                                     initiative)




                  Explanation of the drawing
                  The following factors show efficiency of the “initiative from the bottom: 1) safety in the city, reduction
                  of crime; 2) arrangement of open public spaces for communication and recreation; 3) conditions
                  small business and enterprises development; 4) transport-logistic links with other cities and
                  countries; 5) support of civil initiatives, "activity from the bottom".
                  As signs of the model “initiative from the top” were selected such factors as factors of environment
                  development: 1) building social accommodations; 2) preparation of sites for certain functions and
                  attraction of investors; 3) development of road networks, construction of interchanges, car parks on
                  state financing; 4) improving of city management system, selection of management personnel; 5)
                  development of "strategies from the top".


                                                                                                                     15
«How many socially active people are there in your city in
comparison with other Russian cities?




Ability of the public to influence the activities of the
authorities as to different groups of respondents estimation:




                                                                16
WHAT IS LACKING IN PROFESSIONALISM OF
OFFICIALS TODAY?
 The most negative estimation of a discrepancy between the desired and the actual
 situation recorded by the indicator, characterizing the integrity and honesty of
 officials. Also, in the opinion of the respondents, the city officials lack qualification
 and professionalism, creativity and originality of thinking – qualities that are opposite
 to the business skills (as on the data of the correlation analysis).



                        Honesty, resistance to corruption

                            Qualification, professionalism

                               Skills of strategic planning

     Ability to negotiate with federal, regional authorities


           Skills to solve prompt tasks, urgent problems

      Skills of public policy, communication with citizens

                          Creativity, originality of thinking

                        Skills of work with large investors

             Experience in business, entererprising skills



                              Needed

                                                                                    17
DO MODERN STRATEGIC DOCUMENTS MEET CURRENT
NEEDS OF CITIES?
Strategy of the socio-economic city   City master plan
development




                                                         18
ANSWERES OF PROFESSIONAL GROUPS




Strategy of the socio-economic city   City master plan
development




                                                         19
WHAT IS THE MAIN REASON FOR THE POOR
QUALITY OF STRATEGIC DOCUMENTS?
In the opinion of experts, we don’t draw business actively enough into the processes
of strategies and the master plans development (all cities, except St. Petersburg,
agree with this assessment), continuing to forecast its development and annually
updating these projections; and public (the highest negative assessments in all
cities), deciding for them what is important for quality of life and comfort of the city
environment.




                                                                                   20
IMPLEMENTED PROJECTS THAT MAKE THE RUSSIAN
MILLION CITIES FEEL PROUD: SOFT vs HARD
 The list of projects, named by experts, included a lot of projects in the areas which
 experts do not consider to be priorities: exhibitions, festivals, navigation system for
 tourists, construction of cultural facilities, business centers, etc.




                                                                                    21

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Bulat Stolyarov. Urban Index Russia

  • 1. RESULTS OF SPECIAL RESEARCH FORUM Urban Index Russia 2011 «CITIES GRADED F+» Bulat Stolyarov, general director of IRP Group
  • 2. WHOM DID WE ASK ABOUT RUSSIAN CITIES? 12 cities* Moscow 300 experts Saint-Petersburg Nizhny Novgorod Kazan More then Ekaterinburg Samara Chelyabinsk Rostov-on-Don Volgograd Omsk Novosibirsk Ufa *с населением более миллиона человек по данным переписи 2010 года 2
  • 3. WHAT DID WE MEASURE IN THE CITIES? 1. What is going on? Basic needs Advanced needs А. Habitat B. Environment for self- С. Environment for social D. Environment for carrier F. Cultural and aesthetic sufficiency life and self-development environment 2. What is important for 3. Are you satisfied? development? Technical potential Quality of Quality of social management environment Inhabitant Business Tourists 3
  • 4. WHAT IS THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN EXPERT OPINIONS FROM VARIOUS CITIES? The largest and better economically developed million cities percept the environment in a more critical way. «ХОРОШО, «ХОРОШО, ИЗМЕНЕНИЙ НЕ НАДО» НО НАДО ЛУЧШЕ» «ПЛОХО, НАДО ВСЁ МЕНЯТЬ» 4
  • 5. WHAT IS THE DIFFERENCE IN EXPERT OPINIONS FROM VARIOUS PROFESSIONAL GROUPS? Main pessimist today is firstly professional community of architects-urban planers, аs well as professional groups whose problems are not widely recognized – business and culture (their indexes got the highest rates). maх «OPTIMISTS» The factors that affect the quality of the Deputies Media journalists and editors Officials Managers of hospitality Representatives of social business field of activity urban environment Archiects Businessmen Cultural workers Satisfaction: Below 50 grades Above 50 grades «PESSIMISTS» min Environmental situation of the city maх 5
  • 6. WHAT IS GOING ON? Our cities can not meet such high level of basic needs yet, so it starts to seem generally acceptable condition of hospitality, culture, education and architecture spheres. No reasons to worry Problem zones 76,9 Business development– shops, malls, networks Road net, traffic jams 22,3 75,2 Communication infrastructure Ecological state 33,2 70,9 Restaurant business Availability of kindergartens , schools 36,2 66,8 Regularity and accessibility of utility Conditions for small business 40,3 66,5 Transport communication with Russia and the Availability of medical services 41,1 whole world City noise 41,3 66,0 Quality of higher and professional education Security 41,6 65,7 Visual attractiveness, aesthetics Opportunity to find an interesting job 43,6 62,4 Culture – theatres, museums, concerts OVERALL INDEX 2011 53,6 6
  • 7. WHAT IS EXPECTED BY EXPERTS IN THE FUTURE? Under the forecast of experts, the most alarming problems of Russian cities in the future will be the following: 1) utilities infrastructure, 2) quality of high education, 3) business environment. It is indicative that experts evaluate cities touristic attractiveness very low and so far do not consider development of the tourism industry as an important priority. «GOOD AT THE PRESENT, ALARMING IN THE «BAD AND FUTURE, IMPORTANT» IMPORTANT» «GOOD AND UNIMPORTANT, «BAD AND WILL DEVELOP ON UNMPORTANT» ITS OWN» 7
  • 8. WHO FINDS RUSSIAN CITIES CONVINIENT? For the present Russian cities are not of much attractiveness from the point of view of leisure time industry and they have a weighty luggage of unresolved strategic challenges in functional development. min Investors, business community Requirements in the sphere of leisure Highly qualified specialists Creative people Scientists, researchers Workers without special professional skills time industry Russian tourists Foreign tourists max 8
  • 9. WHAT CITIES AND FOR WHOM ARE THE MOST HOSPITABLE? Saint-Petersburg Rostov-on-Don Kazan Moscow Ekaterinburg Novosibirsk Ufa Nizhny Novgorod Samara Chelyabinsk Omsk Volgograd 9
  • 10. WHAT IS CONVINIENT AND INCONVINIENT FOR BUSINESS COMMUNITIES IN RUSSIAN CITIES? The positive factors that are pushing assessment of business climate of n cities up are: availability of realty for business and availability of adequate human resources. Negative factors for business environment of the city are: lack of qualified construction sites and general inability of city authorities to work with the tools of PPP. COMFORT ZONE Mechanisms of state and municipal project Sites for new constructions Availability of credits Rent spaces for offices, trade Opportunity to find employees of required qualification in the city 0 100 DISCOMFORT ZONE 10
  • 11. WHAT IS INCONVINIENT FOR TOURISTS IN RUSSIAN ДЛЯ КОГО КОМФОРТНЫ РОССИЙСКИЕ ГОРОДА? MILLION CITIES? Advantage of the Russian cities tourist services , according to the expert opinions, is primarily a variety of services, cafes, restaurants. Disadvantage is lack of hotels and hostel. The dispersion of the situation estimates regarding the hotel fund is huge - from almost 70 points in developed Kazan and Yekaterinburg and up to 25 points in the depressed Volgograd. Convenience of navigation in the city Hotels, hostels, short-term renting Help, information, city web-site City tours, museum excursions Citizen attitude towards tourists Cafes, restaurants and etc. for tourists 11
  • 12. WHAT SHALL BE DONE? Most of the hopes the experts lay on the management progress: creation of a competent strategy and master plan, fight against corruption and improvement of the management team quality. In the civic vector of improvement the experts have much weaker hope. The need for technological improvement of municipal economy the experts from different cities, regardless of their status, evaluate approximately equally, the spread of opinions is extremely small. 73,4 MANAGMENT Improvement of the city management system, selection of managing personnel 74,2 Developing a competent strategy, urban-planning policy 80,4 Fight against corruption in administration, municipal economy 78,0 Development of cooperation with other cities, regions 60,2 64,6 TECHNOLOGIES Technical equipment of municipal economy 64,6 62,9 QUALITY OF SOCIAL ENVIRONMENT Education of patriotism for the city and culture of behavior in the city 67,9 Support of civic initiatives and activities from the bottom 69,0 12
  • 13. WHAT SHAL BE DONE FIRST ACCORDING TO THE GOVERNMENT OPINION? The government evaluates its competence quite high (except anti-corruption index); in their opinion they have to do something with culture and attitude of citizens to their city. «BAD AND «GOOD AND IMPORTANT» IMPORTANT» «BAD AND «GOOD AND UNIMPORTANT» UNIMPORTATN» 13
  • 14. WHAT SHAL BE DONE FIRST ACCORDING TO THE BUSINESS OPINION? Representatives of business, in their turn, are much more critical regarding modern urban management evaluation. High priority of managerial factors conforms to the statement "everything that is important; is in bad condition now" «BAD AND IMPORTANT» «BAD AND «GOOD AND UNIMPORTANT» UNIMPORTANT» 14
  • 15. WHICH MODEL IS WORKING TODAY? «BOTTOM UP» vs «TOP DOWN» While society is not capable to fully participate in the formation of the vector of the city environment development, in the vast majority of large cities the main initiator and catalyst of all innovations and changes in the urban environment shall be top- down command structure. Bottom Up Top Down (government (social initiative) initiative) Explanation of the drawing The following factors show efficiency of the “initiative from the bottom: 1) safety in the city, reduction of crime; 2) arrangement of open public spaces for communication and recreation; 3) conditions small business and enterprises development; 4) transport-logistic links with other cities and countries; 5) support of civil initiatives, "activity from the bottom". As signs of the model “initiative from the top” were selected such factors as factors of environment development: 1) building social accommodations; 2) preparation of sites for certain functions and attraction of investors; 3) development of road networks, construction of interchanges, car parks on state financing; 4) improving of city management system, selection of management personnel; 5) development of "strategies from the top". 15
  • 16. «How many socially active people are there in your city in comparison with other Russian cities? Ability of the public to influence the activities of the authorities as to different groups of respondents estimation: 16
  • 17. WHAT IS LACKING IN PROFESSIONALISM OF OFFICIALS TODAY? The most negative estimation of a discrepancy between the desired and the actual situation recorded by the indicator, characterizing the integrity and honesty of officials. Also, in the opinion of the respondents, the city officials lack qualification and professionalism, creativity and originality of thinking – qualities that are opposite to the business skills (as on the data of the correlation analysis). Honesty, resistance to corruption Qualification, professionalism Skills of strategic planning Ability to negotiate with federal, regional authorities Skills to solve prompt tasks, urgent problems Skills of public policy, communication with citizens Creativity, originality of thinking Skills of work with large investors Experience in business, entererprising skills Needed 17
  • 18. DO MODERN STRATEGIC DOCUMENTS MEET CURRENT NEEDS OF CITIES? Strategy of the socio-economic city City master plan development 18
  • 19. ANSWERES OF PROFESSIONAL GROUPS Strategy of the socio-economic city City master plan development 19
  • 20. WHAT IS THE MAIN REASON FOR THE POOR QUALITY OF STRATEGIC DOCUMENTS? In the opinion of experts, we don’t draw business actively enough into the processes of strategies and the master plans development (all cities, except St. Petersburg, agree with this assessment), continuing to forecast its development and annually updating these projections; and public (the highest negative assessments in all cities), deciding for them what is important for quality of life and comfort of the city environment. 20
  • 21. IMPLEMENTED PROJECTS THAT MAKE THE RUSSIAN MILLION CITIES FEEL PROUD: SOFT vs HARD The list of projects, named by experts, included a lot of projects in the areas which experts do not consider to be priorities: exhibitions, festivals, navigation system for tourists, construction of cultural facilities, business centers, etc. 21