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Pandemic Influenza Checklists


          Toby L Merlin, MD
      Deputy Director, Influenza
          Coordination Unit
    Center for Disease Control and
              Prevention

                                     TM
Objectives of Presentation
• Overview of US Government Pandemic
  Influenza Checklists
  – Purpose
  – Format
  – Details
  – Strengths and weaknesses
• Why bother with pandemic influenza
  checklists (or preparedness)?

                                       TM
Pandemic Influenza Challenges

• Illness and Death
• Increase/decrease demand for services
• Staff absenteeism
• Contagion
• Fear of contagion
• Disruption of transportation and
  distribution
• Social disruption

                                          TM
Pandemic Influenza Challenges

• Crisis environment, rumors, distortions
• Public health interventions
  – Personal protective equipment
  – Social distancing
  – Cancellation of mass gatherings
  – School dismissal
  – Distribution and administration of
    antivirals and vaccines


                                            TM
Pandemic Influenza Checklists

• Provide framework
  for action
• Identify key elements
  for planning
• Move from
  uncertainty to
  measured informed
  action

                                    TM
Approach to Checklists

• Small number of broad categories of
  actions
• Memorable organizational framework
• Mutually exclusive, collectively
  exhaustive categories – MECE
• Keep it simple, keep it short
• Include target audience in development


                                           TM
Format for Checklists

•   Plan for impact on operations
•   Protect employees, customers, others
•   Establish policies
•   Allocate resources
•   Communicate and educate employees
•   Coordinate with external organizations



                                             TM
US GOVERNMENT
PANDEMIC INFLUENZA CHECKLISTS
                 January, 2008

•   State and Local Public Health
•   Individuals and Families
•   Business
•   US Business with Overseas Operations
•   Childcare and Preschool
•   School Districts
•   Colleges and Universities
•   Home Health Care
•   Medical Offices and Clinics
                                           TM
US GOVERNMENT
PANDEMIC INFLUENZA CHECKLISTS
                January, 2008
• Emergency Medical Service and Medical
  Transport
• Long Term Care and other Residential Care
  Facilities
• Faith-based and Community Organizations
• Law Enforcement
• Correctional Facilities
• Travel Industry
• Health Insurers
• Hospital (version 2)
                                              TM
Methodology for Checklists
  Organizations                    Other Federal Agencies
                                           DHS
                 Businesses

     Hospitals                                    DHHS

                               CDC
Education                                            DOC
                              Teams
  Faith and
                                                   DOEd
 Community


              Physicians                    DOT



                              Checklists

                                                            TM
US Government Pandemic Influenza
          Checklists
                                 Weaknesses
          Strengths
                            • Government
•   Initial early release
                              clearance eventually
•   Production driven
                              delayed release of
    by demand from
                              later checklists
    target audiences
                            • Not linked to more
•   Target audiences
                              detailed toolkits
    involved in
                            • Not “living”
    production
                              documents
•   Successful format –
    frequently copied

                                                     TM
Why bother with pandemic
  influenza checklists?
   Or pandemic influenza
       preparedness?



                           TM
Spread of Influenza A(H5N1) Viruses



                       Clade 2-2
                                                     Clade 2-3




                                                                Clade 1



                                  Clade 2-1



   Webster RG, Govorkova EA. N Engl J Med. 2006; 355: 2174-7.




                                                                          TM
TM
Cumulative Number of Confirmed Human Cases
                               of Avian Influenza A/(H5N1) Reported to WHO
                       11 January 2008

                        2003    2004                             2005                   2006                  2007                  Total
        Count         ca de
                             cas deat                         cas deat               cas deat              cas deat              cas dea
          ry          se ath
                              es    hs                         es    hs               es    hs              es    hs              es    ths
       Azerb           s 0s 0
                      0            0                          0     0                8     5               0     0               8     5
       Camb
       aijan
                      0    0 0     0                          4     4                2     2               1     1               7     7
       odia
       China          1    1 0     0                          8     5                13    8               5     3               27    17
       Djibou
                      0    0 0     0                          0     0                1     0               0     0               1     0
       ti
       Egypt          0    0 0     0                          0     0                18    10              25    9               43    19
       Indon
       Lao            0    0 0     0                          20    13               55    45              42    36              117 94
       esia
       Peopl
       Iraq           0    0 0     0                          0     0                3     2               0     0               3     2
       e's
                      0        0         0         0          0          0           0         0           2          2          2     2
       Demo
       cratic
       Myan
                      0        0         0         0          0          0          0          0           1         0           1     0
       Repub
       Nigeri
       mar
                      0        0         0         0          0          0          0          0           1         1           1     1
       lic
       Pakist
       a
                      0        0         0         0          0          0          0          0           1         1           1     1
       Thaila
       an
                      0        0         17        12         5          2          3          3           0         0           25    17
       Turke
       nd
                      0        0         0         0          0          0          12         4           0         0           12    4
       Viet
       y
                      3        3         29        20         61         19         0          0           8         5           101   47
       Nam
       Total          4        4         46        32         98         43         115        79          86        58          349   216
Total number of cases includes number of deaths. WHO reports only laboratory-confirmed cases..All dates refer to onset of illness.




                                                                                                                                              TM
TM
TM
TM
TM
Investigation of potential arrival of
    H5N1 human infection in US
• At 3:30pm on Friday, December 7, 2007 –
  CDC was notified by New York State
  Public Health of a 38-yo male who
  returned from Pakistan after possible
  exposure to H5N1 infection and was
  hospitalized in Nassau County, NY on
  December 6.
• Aggressive domestic and international
  investigation followed.

                                            TM
Events Leading to CDC Notification
                   Oct - November 2007


 28       29       30        31       1        2    3

 4        5        6         7        8        9    10

 11       12       13        14       15       16   17

 18       19       20        21       22       23   24

 25       26       27        28       29       30




 2    3        4         5        6        7        8
                        December 2007



                                                         TM
Why bother with pandemic
  influenza checklists?
   Risk of severe influenza
 pandemic remains a very real
            threat!


                                TM
Pandemic Influenza
 Seasonal                         Preparedness
 Influenza                          for other
               Preparedness
Preparedness                        hazards




                                                 TM

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  • 1. Pandemic Influenza Checklists Toby L Merlin, MD Deputy Director, Influenza Coordination Unit Center for Disease Control and Prevention TM
  • 2. Objectives of Presentation • Overview of US Government Pandemic Influenza Checklists – Purpose – Format – Details – Strengths and weaknesses • Why bother with pandemic influenza checklists (or preparedness)? TM
  • 3. Pandemic Influenza Challenges • Illness and Death • Increase/decrease demand for services • Staff absenteeism • Contagion • Fear of contagion • Disruption of transportation and distribution • Social disruption TM
  • 4. Pandemic Influenza Challenges • Crisis environment, rumors, distortions • Public health interventions – Personal protective equipment – Social distancing – Cancellation of mass gatherings – School dismissal – Distribution and administration of antivirals and vaccines TM
  • 5. Pandemic Influenza Checklists • Provide framework for action • Identify key elements for planning • Move from uncertainty to measured informed action TM
  • 6. Approach to Checklists • Small number of broad categories of actions • Memorable organizational framework • Mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive categories – MECE • Keep it simple, keep it short • Include target audience in development TM
  • 7. Format for Checklists • Plan for impact on operations • Protect employees, customers, others • Establish policies • Allocate resources • Communicate and educate employees • Coordinate with external organizations TM
  • 8. US GOVERNMENT PANDEMIC INFLUENZA CHECKLISTS January, 2008 • State and Local Public Health • Individuals and Families • Business • US Business with Overseas Operations • Childcare and Preschool • School Districts • Colleges and Universities • Home Health Care • Medical Offices and Clinics TM
  • 9. US GOVERNMENT PANDEMIC INFLUENZA CHECKLISTS January, 2008 • Emergency Medical Service and Medical Transport • Long Term Care and other Residential Care Facilities • Faith-based and Community Organizations • Law Enforcement • Correctional Facilities • Travel Industry • Health Insurers • Hospital (version 2) TM
  • 10. Methodology for Checklists Organizations Other Federal Agencies DHS Businesses Hospitals DHHS CDC Education DOC Teams Faith and DOEd Community Physicians DOT Checklists TM
  • 11. US Government Pandemic Influenza Checklists Weaknesses Strengths • Government • Initial early release clearance eventually • Production driven delayed release of by demand from later checklists target audiences • Not linked to more • Target audiences detailed toolkits involved in • Not “living” production documents • Successful format – frequently copied TM
  • 12. Why bother with pandemic influenza checklists? Or pandemic influenza preparedness? TM
  • 13. Spread of Influenza A(H5N1) Viruses Clade 2-2 Clade 2-3 Clade 1 Clade 2-1 Webster RG, Govorkova EA. N Engl J Med. 2006; 355: 2174-7. TM
  • 14. TM
  • 15. Cumulative Number of Confirmed Human Cases of Avian Influenza A/(H5N1) Reported to WHO 11 January 2008 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Total Count ca de cas deat cas deat cas deat cas deat cas dea ry se ath es hs es hs es hs es hs es ths Azerb s 0s 0 0 0 0 0 8 5 0 0 8 5 Camb aijan 0 0 0 0 4 4 2 2 1 1 7 7 odia China 1 1 0 0 8 5 13 8 5 3 27 17 Djibou 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 ti Egypt 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 10 25 9 43 19 Indon Lao 0 0 0 0 20 13 55 45 42 36 117 94 esia Peopl Iraq 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 0 0 3 2 e's 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 Demo cratic Myan 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 Repub Nigeri mar 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 lic Pakist a 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 Thaila an 0 0 17 12 5 2 3 3 0 0 25 17 Turke nd 0 0 0 0 0 0 12 4 0 0 12 4 Viet y 3 3 29 20 61 19 0 0 8 5 101 47 Nam Total 4 4 46 32 98 43 115 79 86 58 349 216 Total number of cases includes number of deaths. WHO reports only laboratory-confirmed cases..All dates refer to onset of illness. TM
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  • 20. Investigation of potential arrival of H5N1 human infection in US • At 3:30pm on Friday, December 7, 2007 – CDC was notified by New York State Public Health of a 38-yo male who returned from Pakistan after possible exposure to H5N1 infection and was hospitalized in Nassau County, NY on December 6. • Aggressive domestic and international investigation followed. TM
  • 21. Events Leading to CDC Notification Oct - November 2007 28 29 30 31 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 December 2007 TM
  • 22. Why bother with pandemic influenza checklists? Risk of severe influenza pandemic remains a very real threat! TM
  • 23. Pandemic Influenza Seasonal Preparedness Influenza for other Preparedness Preparedness hazards TM