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EXPLORACION BASADA EN LA EVIDENCIA
LR + (LIKELIHOOD RATIO DEL VALOR POSITIVO) LR + = [VP/ (VP + FN)]  /  [FP/ (FP+VN)] LR + = SENSIBILIDAD /  (1- ESPECIFICIDAD)
LR - = LIKELIHOOD NEGATIVO LR - = [FN / (VP + FN)]  /  [ VN / (FP + VN)] LR - = ( 1 – SENSIBILIDAD) / ESPECIFICIDAD
LR: Impact on Likelihood of Disease LR = 0.01 Less Likely LR = 100 More Likely LR = 0.1 Less Likely LR = 10 More Likely LR = 0.2 Less Likely LR = 5 More Likely LR = 0.3 Less Likely LR = 3 More Likely  0 increasing impact Increasing impact LR = 1 No  Impact on Likelihood of Disease
Does This Adult Patient Have Acute Meningitis?
Case Scenario 1 30-year-old man presents to emergency department (ED) 24-hour history of chills and a stiff neck Afebrile with normal mental status Full neck flexion but with cervical pain Kernig and Brudzinski signs absent
LR: Impact on Likelihood of Disease LR = 0.01 Less Likely LR = 100 More Likely LR = 0.1 Less Likely LR = 10 More Likely LR = 0.2 Less Likely LR = 5 More Likely LR = 0.3 Less Likely LR = 3 More Likely  0 increasing impact Increasing impact LR = 1 No  Impact on Likelihood of Disease
Test Characteristics: Examination Likelihood Ratios From Prospective Studies
Likelihood Ratio Jolt accentuation test  LR– = 0.05 If negative, posttest probability < 0.1%  Jolt accentuation test  LR+ = 2.4 1% Pretest probability in population presenting to ED If positive, posttest probability = 2%
Caso I Paciente de 33 años, mujer, Cefalea holocraneal Características del dolor: no bien definido Fotofobia Fonofobia Náuseas Empeora con el esfuerzo físico
Caso  II Paciente mujer de 42 años, que mientras practica carrera de fondo siente dolor súbito frontoparietal muy intenso desde el inicio. No refiere antecedentes personales ni familiares de interés. Consciente en todo momento con sensación de dolor grave.
Caso III Cefalea crónica diaria Mujer de 52 años Abuso de analgésicos Debuta con diplopid y afasia.
NO OLVIDEN LIKELIHOOD RATIO

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Exploracion basada en la evidencia

  • 1. EXPLORACION BASADA EN LA EVIDENCIA
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. LR + (LIKELIHOOD RATIO DEL VALOR POSITIVO) LR + = [VP/ (VP + FN)] / [FP/ (FP+VN)] LR + = SENSIBILIDAD / (1- ESPECIFICIDAD)
  • 15. LR - = LIKELIHOOD NEGATIVO LR - = [FN / (VP + FN)] / [ VN / (FP + VN)] LR - = ( 1 – SENSIBILIDAD) / ESPECIFICIDAD
  • 16. LR: Impact on Likelihood of Disease LR = 0.01 Less Likely LR = 100 More Likely LR = 0.1 Less Likely LR = 10 More Likely LR = 0.2 Less Likely LR = 5 More Likely LR = 0.3 Less Likely LR = 3 More Likely  0 increasing impact Increasing impact LR = 1 No Impact on Likelihood of Disease
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19. Does This Adult Patient Have Acute Meningitis?
  • 20. Case Scenario 1 30-year-old man presents to emergency department (ED) 24-hour history of chills and a stiff neck Afebrile with normal mental status Full neck flexion but with cervical pain Kernig and Brudzinski signs absent
  • 21. LR: Impact on Likelihood of Disease LR = 0.01 Less Likely LR = 100 More Likely LR = 0.1 Less Likely LR = 10 More Likely LR = 0.2 Less Likely LR = 5 More Likely LR = 0.3 Less Likely LR = 3 More Likely  0 increasing impact Increasing impact LR = 1 No Impact on Likelihood of Disease
  • 22. Test Characteristics: Examination Likelihood Ratios From Prospective Studies
  • 23. Likelihood Ratio Jolt accentuation test LR– = 0.05 If negative, posttest probability < 0.1% Jolt accentuation test LR+ = 2.4 1% Pretest probability in population presenting to ED If positive, posttest probability = 2%
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.
  • 29.
  • 30.
  • 31.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
  • 38.
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41. Caso I Paciente de 33 años, mujer, Cefalea holocraneal Características del dolor: no bien definido Fotofobia Fonofobia Náuseas Empeora con el esfuerzo físico
  • 42.
  • 43.
  • 44. Caso II Paciente mujer de 42 años, que mientras practica carrera de fondo siente dolor súbito frontoparietal muy intenso desde el inicio. No refiere antecedentes personales ni familiares de interés. Consciente en todo momento con sensación de dolor grave.
  • 45.
  • 46.
  • 47. Caso III Cefalea crónica diaria Mujer de 52 años Abuso de analgésicos Debuta con diplopid y afasia.
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50.
  • 51.