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Industrial Report
North San Diego County


2nd Quarter 2012
PREPARED BY:             COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
Adam Molnar              5901 Priestly Drive, Suite 100
Greg Lewis               Carlsbad, CA 92008
Tucker Hohenstein        Fax 760 438 8925
Mike Erwin               www.colliers.com/carlsbad
Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL




NORTH COUNTY
AT A GLANCE




                                                                        OVERVIEW
                                                                        The North San Diego County industrial market is largely decentralized and comprised of
                                                                        five cities including Carlsbad, Escondido, Oceanside, San Marcos and Vista. Situated 35
                                                                        miles north of downtown San Diego and 52 miles south of John Wayne Airport in Orange
             Oceanside                                                  County, the coastal location is a major factor in the area’s appeal to corporate users and
                               Vista                                    its 826,985 residents.

                                                                        The industrial market consists of approximately 52.3 million square feet. By comparison,
                                          San         Escondido
                        Carlsbad         Marcos                         the total San Diego industrial market is 188.3 million square feet. North County
 Ocean                                                                  represents 27% of the total. The following table summarizes the inventory and vacancy
                                                                        by submarket:

MARKET INDICATORS                                                        Submarket           Buildings         Total Inventory    Vacant SF      Vacancy Rate
                                         Q2                Q3            Carlsbad            484               14,999,770         2,028,144      13.5%
                                         2012         2012 (forecast)
                                                                         Escondido           636               7,175,725          402,564        5.6%
                   VACANCY                                               Oceanside           394               8,014,725          1,128,279      14.1%
     NET ABSORPTION                                                      San Marcos          491               8,634,579          534,993        6.2%
                                                                         Vista               530               13,374,822         987,737        7.4%
          CONSTRUCTION
                                                                         Total               2,535             52,199,621         5,081,717      9.8%
             RENTAL RATE

 LEASE CONCESSIONS                                                      North San Diego County is well known for its highly skilled labor force, excellent
                                                                        transportation network, pro-growth business environment, significant Federal
                                                                        Government presence, desirable vacation destination including world class beaches,
                                                                        resorts, golf venues, and abundant employee housing.

                                                                        The North San Diego County industrial market is home to a diversified mix of users
INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES                                            including defense, telecommunications, software, medical manufacturing, golf and leisure
Q2 2012                                                                 sports, life science and technology firms. Corporate neighbors include:
INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES                                  CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                       VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
Q2 2012

    Carlsbad                       13.5%
                                                                        Coca-Cola                        Isis Pharmaceuticals          DJO, Inc.
  Escondido            5.6%                                             Medtronic                        Life Technologies             Linear
  Oceanside                            14.1%                            Titleist Golf                    Cobra / Puma Golf             Killion Industries
 San Marcos            6.2%                                             ViaSat                           TaylorMade Golf               Jeld-Wen Windows and Doors
                                                                        Covidien                         Denso Wireless                Sumitomo Electric
          Vista          7.4%
                                                                        Abbott Labs                      US Foods                      McCain, Inc.
North County                  9.8%                                      Genentech                        Philips Respironics           Directed Electronics
                  0%      5%           10%      15%                     Callaway Golf                    Thomson Reuters               GIA
                                                                        L-3 Communications               Rockwell Collins              Hunter Industries
                                                                        SAIC                             John Deere                    Watkins Manufacturing
                                                              OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                      SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS



www.colliers.com/carlsbad
AT A GLANCE | Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL | NORTH COUNTY



       OVERVIEW
       The total vacancy rate for Industrial/R&D product in North        NORTH COUNTY HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
       County has dropped below 10% for the first time since
       2008, led by Carlsbad with 116k s.f. and Oceanside with                       1,500                                                                                                      14%

       105k s.f. of positive absorption in 2Q 2012. Half way                                                                                                                                    12%
                                                                                     1,000
       through the year all five North County submarkets are in                                                                                                                                 10%
       the black and the net absorption has already surpassed the




                                                                                                                                                                                                         Vacancy Rate
                                                                         SF (000s)
                                                                                      500
                                                                                                                                                                                                8%
       total for all of 2011. R&D product, which only accounts for
       one fifth of the overall inventory, has recorded more positive                   0
                                                                                                                                                                                                6%

       absorption than Industrial in 2012. This is an encouraging                                                                                                                               4%
       sign for the market considering that R&D has traditionally                    -500
                                                                                                                                                                                                2%
       lagged behind Industrial.
                                                                              -1,000                                                                                                            0%
                                                                                              2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009                                  2010      2011     2012
       ACTIVITY                                                                                                                                                                       Q2
       Vista led the charge in another impressive quarter for
                                                                                       Net Absorption   New Supply     Vacancy
       leasing activity with 5 transactions totaling 227,000 SF that
       included CTDI, Brown Safe, Select Supplements, Electra
       Bicycle, and March Plasma. The largest lease deal in 2Q 2012 was Skin Medica’s 81,000 SF expansion and
       relocation in Carlsbad. Other significant lease transactions included Crescent Electric in San Marcos and Pillow
       Pets in Carlsbad.

       Investment sale activity was concentraed in Carlsbad and featured a little bit of everything including a fully
       leased property with a partial sale leaseback (2777 Loker Avenue), a 90% vacant REO property (3115 Melrose
       Drive), and a tenant in tow transaction (5770 Armada Drive). Owner user sales included Carlsbad Technology,
       Inc. at 5928 Farnsworth Court in Carlsbad, Falmat at 1810 Diamond Street in San Marcos, and Buffini at 6349
       Palomar Oaks Court in Carlsbad.

       The only significant land sale in 2Q 2012 was at Bressi Ranch in Carlsbad where Ryan Companies sold 8.0 acres
       to a hotel developer for $13.50/SF.

       FORECAST
       The majority of distressed assets and land have been purged from the system and values are beginning to
       reset. Expect vacancy to continue to trend downward in the second half of 2012 as a result of robust demand,
       a dwindling inventory, and no new construction underway or in the planned stages. In particular, there were
       very few large Industrial/R&D buildings (above 50,000 SF) developed during the last cycle because of high
       land prices and construction costs. The result of this and recent absorption is a severe shortage of functional
       buildings in this size range. Users with larger requirements or needs for newer, more functional product will
       be forced to look towards Build to Suit options at higher rates or multiple locations. For the handful of functional
       spaces that remain, look for upward pressure on lease rates and sale prices to move closer to replacement costs.




                                                                                        This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers
  prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS                                                   International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding
                                                                                        the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party
  TUCKER HOHENSTEIN & MIKE ERWIN, 760 438 8950                                          should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes
                                                                                        unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes
                                                                                        all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL




CARLSBAD
AT A GLANCE




                                                                     OVERVIEW
                                                                     Half way through 2012 the absorption numbers for Industrial/R&D in Carlsbad are on
                                                                     pace to surpass those of 2011. R&D product outperformed Industrial for the second
                                                                     quarter in a row with 161,324 SF of positive absorption, lowering the R&D vacancy
               Oceanside                                             rate by more than two percentage points to 13.87%. The 116,164 SF of overall positive
                                    Vista                            absorption for Industrial/R&D in Q2 2012 was nearly 10 times that of Q1 and resulted in a
                                                                     combined vacancy rate of 13.52%, down from 14.41% in Q1 2012.
                                             San
                      Carlsbad              Marcos                   ACTIVITY
     Ocean
                                                                     Leasing activity was led by Skin
                                                                         INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES       CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                                                   VISTA
                                                                         Q2 2012
                                                                     Medica’s choice to relocate and                    700                                                                16%
                                                                     expand into 81,712 SF within
MARKET INDICATORS                                                                                                       600                                                                14%
                                                                     the Carlsbad submarket. Other                      500                                                                12%
                                   Q2                Q3              significant transactions included                  400                                                                10%




                                                                                                                                                                                                 Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                            SF (000s)

                                   2012       2012 (forecast)
                                                                     Black Box Distribution who                         300                                                                8%


                VACANCY
                                                                     signed a 65,000 SF lease with                      200                                                                6%

                                                                     BLT Enterprises as part of a sale                  100                                                                4%

    NET ABSORPTION                                                   leaseback and Pillow Pets who                        0                                                                2%

                                                                     relocated from Oceanside. Others                   -100                                                               0%
       CONSTRUCTION                                                                                                            2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009     2010   2011   2012
                                                                     including Linear Corporation and                                                                                Q2

         RENTAL RATE                                                 Select Supplements decided to                                    Net Absorption     New Supply            Vacancy

                                                                     renew at their current locations.
LEASE CONCESSIONS                                                                                           OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                                                  SAN M
                                         After a first quarter that saw no sales activity, the market for both Investor and Owner
                                         User sales rebounded aggressively in 2Q 2012. There were three significant investment
                                         sales including a fully leased property with a partial sale leaseback (2777 Loker Avenue),
                                         a 90% vacant bank owned property (3115 Melrose Drive), and a tenant in tow transaction
                                         (5770 Armada Drive). On the owner user side there were four transactions, the largest
INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES             of which took place at 5928 Farnsworth Court where Carlsbad Technology, Inc. was
Q2 2012
 INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS building within walking distance of their current facility in the
                                         able to buy a 52,000 SF                         VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
 Q2 2012                                 Carlsbad Research Center.
    Carlsbad
   Carlsbad                   13.5%
  Escondido         5.6%
                                                                     FORECAST
                                                                     With no new construction underway or in the planned stages and a significant amount of
  Oceanside                       14.1%                              user activity in the market, expect vacancy rates to drop in the second half of 2012. In
 San Marcos         6.2%                                             particular, larger users above 75,000 SF face an acute shortage of options. As a result
       Vista          7.4%
                                                                     of this lack of supply there has been an increase in Build to Suit inquiries. However,
                                                                     lease rates and sale prices for new product based on land and construction costs are
North County               9.8%                                      still considerably higher than existing product. Expect a slight uptick in rents for existing
               0%      5%         10%       15%                      inventory due to these constraints.



                                                          OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                    SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS



www.colliers.com/carlsbad
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          AT A GLANCE | Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL | CARLSBAD
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          TRANSACTION ACTIVITY - Q2 2012
          SALES ACTIVITY
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                                                                                                                                              SIZE SF                   SALE PRICE                        PRICE/SF
                                                                                              Ca




              #         PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS                                           BUYER TYPE
                                                                                              mi
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               1        2777 Loker Avenue                                               Investor                                              123,454                   $11,500,000                       $93.15
                                                                                                    Re




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               2        3115 Melrose Drive                                              Investor           La Costa Resort                    103,547                   $8,725,000                        $84.26
                                      Av                                                                       & Spa
               3        5770    Armada Drive
                                         iar
                                            aP                                          Investor                                              81,712                    $15,600,000                       $190.91
                                               kw
                        Park Hyatt                y
               4        5928 Farnsworth Court                                           Owner User                                            52,853                    $4,670,453                        $88.36
                   Aviara Resort
               5        6349 Palomar Oaks Court                                         Owner User                                            27,262                    $2,990,000                        $109.68
               6        1911 Palomar Oaks Way                                           Owner User                                            23,325                    $2,654,000                        $113.78
               7        5816 Dryden Place                                               Owner User                                            22,156                    $1,713,168                        $77.32
          LEASING ACTIVITY

              #         PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS                                           TENANT NAME                                           SIZE SF                   TERM                              EFF RATE/SF
               8        5770 Armada Drive                                               Skin Medica                                           81,712                    180 months                        Confidential
               9        2777 Loker Avenue                                               BlackBox Distribution                                 65,412                    36 months                         $0.69 NNN
              10 1950 Camino Vida Roble                                                 Linear Corp. (renewal)                                50,000                    72 months                         $0.95 NNN
              11 2045 Corte del Nogal                                                   Pillow Pets                                           36,404                    36 months                         Confidential
              12 5800 Newton Drive                                                      Select Supplements (renewal)                          28,857                    60 months                         $0.79 NNN
              13 5817 Dryden Place                                                      Weston Solutions                                      18,760                    60 months                         $0.98 NNN




                                                                                                                    This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers
                prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS                                                                 International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding
                                                                                                                    the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party
                TUCKER HOHENSTEIN & MIKE ERWIN, 760 438 8950                                                        should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes
                                                                                                                    unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes
                                                                                                                    all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL




ESCONDIDO
AT A GLANCE




                                                                   OVERVIEW
                                                                   The Escondido Industrial market continues to rebound strongly from the turbulent last
                                                                   few years. The industrial market boasts the lowest vacancy in all North County Cities and
                                                                   it will continue its streak of three consecutive years of positive absorption. The vacancy
            Oceanside
                                Vista
                                                                   rate peaked in 2009 at 9%, and now is at a healthy 5.6% vacancy rate. Sales prices
                                                                   have begun to climb for smaller buildings (less than 10k sf), and prices have stabilized
                                                                   for larger buildings. Lease rates remain low but should begin to climb as the low supply
                                         San     Escondido
                     Carlsbad           Marcos                     begins to effect the increased demand.
    Ocean

                                                                   Regarding significant developments      ESCONDIDO HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                             NOR
                                                                   in Escondido: The Palomar                   300                                                   10%
MARKET INDICATORS                                                  Pomerado Hospital is near                                                                         9%
                                                                                                               200

                                   Q2              Q3
                                                                   completion and we should begin to                                                                 8%
                                                                                                               100                                                   7%
                                   2012      2012 (forecast)       see the Escondido Research and




                                                                                                                                                                           Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                                 SF (000s)

                                                                                                                                                                     6%
                                                                                                                 0
                                                                   Technology Center attract medical                                                                 5%
                VACANCY                                            tenants and supporting distribution        -100
                                                                                                                                                                     4%
                                                                                                                                                                     3%
    NET ABSORPTION
                                                                   and manufacturing companies.              -200
                                                                                                                                                                     2%
                                                                   The Nordahl off-ramp and bridge            -300
                                                                                                                                                                     1%

       CONSTRUCTION                                                are being widened, as the hospital        -400                                                    0%
                                                                                                                   2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
                                                                   infrastructure money is allocated                                                              Q2
         RENTAL RATE
                                                                   for infrastructure expense around                       Net Absorption    New Supply      Vacancy

LEASE CONCESSIONS                                                  Escondido, which will improve
                                                                   access for industrial tenants and truck routes. Also, HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS begin
                                                                                                           NORTH COUNTY Haman construction will
                                                                   construction on the ~100,000 sf building for Cor-O-van, and Stone Brewery is working
                                                                   on hotel drawings for submittal to the City.

                                         ACTIVITY
INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES             There was more than 30 Escondido Industrial lease transactions in 2Q, with the majority of
Q1 2012                                  activity occurring in the multi-tenant parks in sizes ranging from 1,000 sf to 4,000sf. There
 INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
                                         were only four lease transactions over 10,000 sf, twoHISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS 20,000 sf.
                                                                                           VISTA of these were more than
 Q2 2012

     Carlsbad
                                         These two larger tenants consisted of GP Strategies leasing the Decratek building on Progress
                    13.5%
                                         Place and VIT Products leasing 2344 Auto Parkway. Coincidently, the larger and smaller
  Escondido 5.6%
   Escondido
                                         tenants average lease rates have stabilized at approximately $.65 modified gross.
  Oceanside                       14.1%
 San Marcos
                                                                   The Sale transactions were also in the smaller range with three sales less than 6,000 sf, with
                    6.2%
                                                                   an average price of approximately $103 psf. There was a 10,000 sf short sale at $89 psf on
       Vista         7.4%                                          Engle as well as a 7,100 sf building on 2.44 acres of land that closed for $1.7M
North County               9.8%
                                                                   FORECAST
               0%       5%        10%      15%
                                                                   The Escondido industrial market, which has historically been catagorized as a “mom and pop”
                                                                   small building market is now beginning to get recognized as a potential destination for quality
                                                                   tenants along the I-15 corridor. Moreover, it also surrounds a state-of-the-art and the newest
                                                                   hospital in the nation, which will bring national attention to the city.
                                                        OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                           SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS



www.colliers.com/carlsbad
AT A GLANCE | Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL | ESCONDIDO




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TRANSACTION ACTIVITY - Q2 2012
SALES ACTIVITY

 # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS                                            BUYER TYPE                                                                                       SIZE (SF)                        SALE PRICE                                   PRICE/SF
     No building sales above 10,000 square feet
LEASING ACTIVITY

 # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS                                            TENANT NAME                                                                                      SIZE (SF)                        TERM                                         EFF RATE/SF
 1   2835 Progres Place                                             GP Strategies                                                                                    23,827                           65 Months                                    $0.68 NNN




                                                                                                                              This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers
     prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS                                                                                      International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding
                                                                                                                              the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party
     TUCKER HOHENSTEIN & MIKE ERWIN, 760 438 8950                                                                             should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes
                                                                                                                              unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes
                                                                                                                              all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL




OCEANSIDE
AT A GLANCE




                                                                     INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES         CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                                                   VIST
                                                                     Q2 2012




                                                                        OVERVIEW
                                                                        Oceanside continues to maintain the highest vacancy in North County at 14.08%.
                                                                        However, the 105,017 SF of positive net absorption during Q2 2012 added to the 115,069
                                                                        SF in Q1 brings the brings the midyear total of space sold and leased 220,086 SF. This
                  Oceanside                                             activity has reduced the vacancy from 17.10% to its current level which is a reduction of
                                       Vista
                                                                        3.02% in 6 months. There is now approximately 1.1m SF of vacant industrial space in the
                                                                        market.
                                                San
                          Carlsbad             Marcos                   ACTIVITY
     Ocean
                                                                        Industrial The activity in the    OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                                                  SAN
                                                                        market is picking up. More
                                                                                                                      800                                                                20%
                                                                        tenants and buyers are touring
MARKET INDICATORS                                                                                                                                                                        18%
                                                                        the market than in previous                   600
                                                                                                                                                                                         16%
                                      Q2
                                      2012
                                                        Q3
                                                 2012 (forecast)
                                                                        quarters. Some properties                     400
                                                                                                                                                                                         14%




                                                                                                                                                                                               Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                          SF (000s)




                                                                        have been receiving multiple                                                                                     12%
                                                                                                                      200                                                                10%
                   VACANCY
                                                                        offers to buy and lease which                                                                                     8%
                                                                        has allowed owners to be                        0
                                                                                                                                                                                         6%
    NET ABSORPTION                                                      more selective in negotiating                 -200
                                                                                                                                                                                         4%

                                                                        transactions. In addition,                                                                                       2%
          CONSTRUCTION                                                                                                -400                                                               0%
                                                                        there are several large users                        2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009     2010   2011   2012

            RENTAL RATE                                                 in the market looking at                                                                                   Q2

                                                                        existing spaces and comparing                               Net Absorption     New Supply            Vacancy
LEASE CONCESSIONS                                                       those with Build To Suit
                                                                        opportunities.

                                                                        There was only one Industrial building sale that closed escrow in Q2. It was a 14,177 SF
                                                                        bank owned property located at 417 Via Del Monte in the Oceanside Airport area.

INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES                                            Lease activity was excellent in the smaller multi-tenant projects with both new
Q2 2012
INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES                                 CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS renewals. The smallerVISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS is a good
                                                                        transactions and lease                        tenants returning to the market
Q2 2012                                                                 sign that a broader based recovery is underway despite the challenges with the overall
    Carlsbad                     13.5%                                  unemployment rate in San Diego and the State. DiMaggio Maintenance signed a 5 year
  Escondido            5.6%
                                                                        lease for 10,000 SF at 3310 Via de la Valle.
 Oceanside
  Oceanside                          14.1%                              FORECAST
 San Marcos            6.2%                                             Oceanside occupancy will be hurt in second half of the year as Genica recently
          Vista          7.4%
                                                                        announced it would be relocating out of 145,000 SF in two buildings in the Prescott
                                                                        Industrial park and relocating to a 160,000 SF facility they purchased in Temecula. The
North County                  9.8%                                      property owners and the City of Oceanside worked hard to keep them but Genica was
                  0%      5%         10%       15%                      able to acquire a larger building at a very attractive price and consolidate under one
                                                                        roof. This increased their efficiency and lowered operating costs. There are a handful of
                                                                        buildings in escrow now in Oceanside. We are optimistic this activity will help shore up
                                                                        occupancy to offset the Genica loss.
                                                             OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                   SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS



www.colliers.com/carlsbad
AT A GLANCE | Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL | OCEANSIDE




TRANSACTION ACTIVITY - Q2 2012
SALES ACTIVITY

 # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS                    BUYER TYPE                                         SIZE (SF)                 SALE PRICE                        PRICE/SF
  1   417 Via Del Monte                     Lola Gouge                                         14,177                    $1,116,000                        $78.72
LEASING ACTIVITY

 # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS                    TENANT NAME                                        SIZE (SF)                 TERM                              EFF RATE/SF
  2   3310 Via de la Valle                  DiMaggio Maintenance                               10,000                    60 months                         $0.58/G




                                                                   This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers
  prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS                              International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding
                                                                   the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party
  TUCKER HOHENSTEIN & MIKE ERWIN, 760 438 8950                     should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes
                                                                   unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes
                                                                   all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL




SAN MARCOS
AT A GLANCE




      INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES                           CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                           VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
      Q2 2012




                                                                        OVERVIEW
                                                                        San Marcos posted its fourth consecutive quarter of positive net absorption bringing
                                                                        industrial vacancy to 6.2%, which is down from 6.9% at the end of Q1 and near the lowest
                                                                        in North County. Low vacancy and positive absorption has helped stabilize lease and sale
               Oceanside                                                prices and positioned San Marcos for rent and price growth. The San Marcos industrial
                                   Vista
                                                                        market is comprised on 491 buildings totaling 8.6 Million square feet with an average
                                                                        building size of 17,000 square feet.
                                            San      Escondido
                       Carlsbad            Marcos
    Ocean
                                                                           ACTIVITY
                                                                           The majority of activity during Q2
                                                               OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                  SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
                                                                           occurred in the smaller spaces with
                                                                                                                       300                                                   9%
MARKET INDICATORS                                                          the average transaction size of 6,000                                                             8%
                                                                                                                       200
                                      Q2                 Q3                square feet and average lease rate of                                                             7%
                                     2012           2012 (forecast)        $.68/SF Gross. Crescent Electric’s          100                                                   6%




                                                                                                                                                                                  Vacancy Rate
                                                                                                                          SF (000s)

                                                                                                                                                                             5%
                                                                           lease of 30,000 square feet at 295            0
                                                                                                                                                                             4%
                 VACANCY                                                   Distribution Street was the only lease     -100                                                   3%


    NET ABSORPTION
                                                                           transaction completed above 10,000         -200
                                                                                                                                                                             2%

                                                                           square feet. With the completion of                                                               1%

                                                                                                                      -300                                                   0%
       CONSTRUCTION                                                        this transaction there are only six             2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
                                                                                                                                                                          Q2
                                                                           available spaces larger than 20,000
         RENTAL RATE                                                                                                               Net Absorption    New Supply      Vacancy
                                                                           square feet in the entire San Marcos
LEASE CONCESSIONS                                                          submarket. Falmat purchased a
                                                                           48,000 square foot building they had been leasing at 1810 Diamond for $88/SF. Action
                                                                           Auto Collision purchased 9,216 square feet on Rancheros for $102/SF.

                                         The City has drafted an updated industrial zoning ordinance to coincide with the General
                                         Plan that was adopted in February 2012. The new zoning designations are now consistent
INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES             with the General Plan and the code better defines allowable uses. The draft code can be
Q2 2012                                  viewed at http://www.ourcityourfuture.com/working-documents. Additionally, construction
 INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
 Q1 2012
                                         is near complete on the first phase of student housing located MARKET TRENDS District. The
                                                                                            VISTA HISTORICAL
                                                                                                             in the University
     Carlsbad
                                         University District is entitled to provide the following uses:
                             14.4%
  Escondido          6.5%                                                          1 Million square feet of street level and big box retail
  Oceanside                   15.5%                                                950,000 SF of professional/medical office
San Marcos
 San Marcos
                                                                                   2,600 residential housing units
                     6.9%
                                                                                   800 student housing units
       Vista          8.1%
North County           10.6%                                            FORECAST
                                                                        San Marcos is a supply constrained market that will see rate and price appreciation as a
                0%     5%    10%     15%      20%
                                                                        result of continued demand. Owner-users and developers alike will have to look to vacant
                                                                        land to satisfy the need for larger blocks of space in San Marcos.

                                                            OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                        SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS



www.colliers.com/carlsbad
AT A GLANCE | Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL | SAN MARCOS




TRANSACTION ACTIVITY - Q2 2012
SALES ACTIVITY

  # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS                  BUYER TYPE                                       SIZE SF                    SALE PRICE                      PRICE/SF
  1   1810 Diamond Street                  Owner User                                       48,298                     $4,250,000                      $88.00
  2   923 Rancheros                        Owner User                                       9,216                      $945,000                        $102.54
LEASING ACTIVITY

  # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS                  TENANT NAME                                      SIZE SF                    TERM                            EFF RATE/SF
  3   295 Distribution Street              Crescent Electric Supply                         30,140                     72 months                       $0.50 NNN
  4   1020 Linda Vista Drive Ste B         John Hargrove                                    7,040                      60 months                       $0.60 GRS
  5   1365 Grand Ave #100-104              Rampage Brewing Company                          6,770                      60 months                       $0.93 GRS
  6   220 Bingham Drive #101               World Mission Society Church                     6,329                      24 months                       $0.63 GRS




                                                                  This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers
  prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS                             International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding
                                                                  the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party
  TUCKER HOHENSTEIN & MIKE ERWIN, 760 438 8950                    should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes
                                                                  unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes
                                                                  all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL




     VISTA
      AT A GLANCE




                                                                          OVERVIEW
                                                                          A surge in Q2 tenant activity helps Vista cut its vacancy rate from to 8.1% to 7.39%. Five
                                                                          leases totaling 227,000 square feet of gross absorption accounted for the majority of Q2
                                                                          activity and resulted in 75,000 square feet of net absorption. The Vista industrial market
                     Oceanside                                            is comprised of 530 buildings totaling 13 million square feet with an average building size
                                         Vista
                                                                          of 25,000 square feet.

                                                  San                     ACTIVITY
                                                 Marcos
           Ocean
                             Carlsbad                                     Vista’s leasing activity surpassed all other North County submarkets. Brown Safe led the
                                                                          way by leasing 65,000 square feet from real estate investment firm Pacifica Enterprises,
                                                                          Inc., who purchased the building vacant for $58/SF only three months earlier.
      MARKET INDICATORS                                                   Communications Test Design, Inc. (59K), Select Supplements (39K) and March Plasma
                                                                          (24K) all expanded or relocated from Carlsbad, while Electra Bicycle, an existing Vista
                                          Q2                Q3            tenant, expanded into 39,000 square feet. Lease rates during Q2 averaged $.55/SF NNN.
                                          2012         2012 (forecast)
                                                                          Vista is benefited from limited supply in San Marcos and higher prices in Carlsbad. Even
                        VACANCY                                           though Q2 saw an increase in activity there is still a surplus of space available, 11 spaces
                                                                          to be exact, between 30-50,000 square feet.
           NET ABSORPTION
                                                                          FORECAST
                CONSTRUCTION
                                                                          Lease rates in the 30-50,000 square foot range will remain flat until occupancy
                  RENTAL RATE                                             increases, while spaces outside this size range could see more immediate rate increases.
                                                                          The recent trend of tenant migration from neighboring cities will likely continue as it
       LEASE CONCESSIONS                                                  becomes increasingly difficult to find space and/or match the value Vista offers. There
                                                                          has been an increase in build-to-suit inquires from tenants seeking space greater than
                                                                          50,000 square feet due to lack of available options in North County. We expect pricing on
                                                                          good quality larger buildings to move closer to replacement cost.

BAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                                VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
      INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES
      Q2 2012
                                                                                         700                                                                10%
      INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES                             CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                              VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
      Q2 2012                                                                            600                                                                9%

                                                                                         500                                                                8%
          Carlsbad                  13.5%
                                                                                                                                                            7%
                                                                                         400
        Escondido         5.6%
                                                                                                                                                                  Vacancy Rate
                                                                             SF (000s)




                                                                                                                                                            6%
                                                                                         300
                                                                                                                                                            5%
        Oceanside                       14.1%                                            200
                                                                                                                                                            4%
                                                                                          100
       San Marcos         6.2%                                                                                                                              3%
                                                                                           0                                                                2%
                Vista
                Vista       7.4%                                                         -100                                                               1%
      North County               9.8%                                                    -200                                                               0%
                                                                                                2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009     2010   2011   2012
                     0%      5%         10%      15%                                                                                                  Q2

                                                                                                       Net Absorption     New Supply            Vacancy



SIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                               SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS
                                                               OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS                                             SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS



      www.colliers.com/carlsbad
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AT A GLANCE | Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL | VISTA




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                                                                                                   Rd
    TRANSACTION ACTIVITY - Q2 2012                                                             ort
                                                                                        Airp
                                                                                  mar
                                                                              Palo

    SALES ACTIVITY

     # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS                                                                   BUYER TYPE                                                 SIZE SF                         SALE PRICE               PRICE/SF
     1     2510 Pioneer Avenue                                                                 Owner User                                                 13,140                          $1,025,000               $78.01
           Only one sale above 10,000 SF occurred during Q2
    LEASING ACTIVITY

     # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS                                                                   TENANT NAME                                                SIZE SF                         TERM                     EFF RATE/SF
     2     1081 Poinsettia Avenue                                                              Brown Safe Mfg                                             65,002                          92 months                $0.62 NNN
     3     995 Joshua Way Ste A                                                                CTDI                                                       59,144                          36 months                $0.51 NNN
     4     2390 Oak Ridge Way                                                                  Select Supplements                                         39,672                          72 months                undisclosed
     5     3275 Corporate View Drive                                                           Electra Bicycle                                            38,808                          60 months                $0.61 NNN
     6     2370 Oak Ridge Way Ste B                                                            March Plasma Systems, Inc.                                 24,592                          60 months                $0.54 NNN




                                                                                                                                This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers
  prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS                                                                                           International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding
                                                                                                                                the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party
  TUCKER HOHENSTEIN & MIKE ERWIN, 760 438 8950                                                                                  should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes
                                                                                                                                unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes
                                                                                                                                all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
North San Diego County Industrial Report Shows Rising Absorption and Falling Vacancy
North San Diego County Industrial Report Shows Rising Absorption and Falling Vacancy
North San Diego County Industrial Report Shows Rising Absorption and Falling Vacancy
North San Diego County Industrial Report Shows Rising Absorption and Falling Vacancy

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North San Diego County Industrial Report Shows Rising Absorption and Falling Vacancy

  • 1. Industrial Report North San Diego County 2nd Quarter 2012 PREPARED BY: COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL Adam Molnar 5901 Priestly Drive, Suite 100 Greg Lewis Carlsbad, CA 92008 Tucker Hohenstein Fax 760 438 8925 Mike Erwin www.colliers.com/carlsbad
  • 2. Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL NORTH COUNTY AT A GLANCE OVERVIEW The North San Diego County industrial market is largely decentralized and comprised of five cities including Carlsbad, Escondido, Oceanside, San Marcos and Vista. Situated 35 miles north of downtown San Diego and 52 miles south of John Wayne Airport in Orange Oceanside County, the coastal location is a major factor in the area’s appeal to corporate users and Vista its 826,985 residents. The industrial market consists of approximately 52.3 million square feet. By comparison, San Escondido Carlsbad Marcos the total San Diego industrial market is 188.3 million square feet. North County Ocean represents 27% of the total. The following table summarizes the inventory and vacancy by submarket: MARKET INDICATORS Submarket Buildings Total Inventory Vacant SF Vacancy Rate Q2 Q3 Carlsbad 484 14,999,770 2,028,144 13.5% 2012 2012 (forecast) Escondido 636 7,175,725 402,564 5.6% VACANCY Oceanside 394 8,014,725 1,128,279 14.1% NET ABSORPTION San Marcos 491 8,634,579 534,993 6.2% Vista 530 13,374,822 987,737 7.4% CONSTRUCTION Total 2,535 52,199,621 5,081,717 9.8% RENTAL RATE LEASE CONCESSIONS North San Diego County is well known for its highly skilled labor force, excellent transportation network, pro-growth business environment, significant Federal Government presence, desirable vacation destination including world class beaches, resorts, golf venues, and abundant employee housing. The North San Diego County industrial market is home to a diversified mix of users INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES including defense, telecommunications, software, medical manufacturing, golf and leisure Q2 2012 sports, life science and technology firms. Corporate neighbors include: INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS Q2 2012 Carlsbad 13.5% Coca-Cola Isis Pharmaceuticals DJO, Inc. Escondido 5.6% Medtronic Life Technologies Linear Oceanside 14.1% Titleist Golf Cobra / Puma Golf Killion Industries San Marcos 6.2% ViaSat TaylorMade Golf Jeld-Wen Windows and Doors Covidien Denso Wireless Sumitomo Electric Vista 7.4% Abbott Labs US Foods McCain, Inc. North County 9.8% Genentech Philips Respironics Directed Electronics 0% 5% 10% 15% Callaway Golf Thomson Reuters GIA L-3 Communications Rockwell Collins Hunter Industries SAIC John Deere Watkins Manufacturing OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS www.colliers.com/carlsbad
  • 3. AT A GLANCE | Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL | NORTH COUNTY OVERVIEW The total vacancy rate for Industrial/R&D product in North NORTH COUNTY HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS County has dropped below 10% for the first time since 2008, led by Carlsbad with 116k s.f. and Oceanside with 1,500 14% 105k s.f. of positive absorption in 2Q 2012. Half way 12% 1,000 through the year all five North County submarkets are in 10% the black and the net absorption has already surpassed the Vacancy Rate SF (000s) 500 8% total for all of 2011. R&D product, which only accounts for one fifth of the overall inventory, has recorded more positive 0 6% absorption than Industrial in 2012. This is an encouraging 4% sign for the market considering that R&D has traditionally -500 2% lagged behind Industrial. -1,000 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 ACTIVITY Q2 Vista led the charge in another impressive quarter for Net Absorption New Supply Vacancy leasing activity with 5 transactions totaling 227,000 SF that included CTDI, Brown Safe, Select Supplements, Electra Bicycle, and March Plasma. The largest lease deal in 2Q 2012 was Skin Medica’s 81,000 SF expansion and relocation in Carlsbad. Other significant lease transactions included Crescent Electric in San Marcos and Pillow Pets in Carlsbad. Investment sale activity was concentraed in Carlsbad and featured a little bit of everything including a fully leased property with a partial sale leaseback (2777 Loker Avenue), a 90% vacant REO property (3115 Melrose Drive), and a tenant in tow transaction (5770 Armada Drive). Owner user sales included Carlsbad Technology, Inc. at 5928 Farnsworth Court in Carlsbad, Falmat at 1810 Diamond Street in San Marcos, and Buffini at 6349 Palomar Oaks Court in Carlsbad. The only significant land sale in 2Q 2012 was at Bressi Ranch in Carlsbad where Ryan Companies sold 8.0 acres to a hotel developer for $13.50/SF. FORECAST The majority of distressed assets and land have been purged from the system and values are beginning to reset. Expect vacancy to continue to trend downward in the second half of 2012 as a result of robust demand, a dwindling inventory, and no new construction underway or in the planned stages. In particular, there were very few large Industrial/R&D buildings (above 50,000 SF) developed during the last cycle because of high land prices and construction costs. The result of this and recent absorption is a severe shortage of functional buildings in this size range. Users with larger requirements or needs for newer, more functional product will be forced to look towards Build to Suit options at higher rates or multiple locations. For the handful of functional spaces that remain, look for upward pressure on lease rates and sale prices to move closer to replacement costs. This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party TUCKER HOHENSTEIN & MIKE ERWIN, 760 438 8950 should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
  • 4. Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL CARLSBAD AT A GLANCE OVERVIEW Half way through 2012 the absorption numbers for Industrial/R&D in Carlsbad are on pace to surpass those of 2011. R&D product outperformed Industrial for the second quarter in a row with 161,324 SF of positive absorption, lowering the R&D vacancy Oceanside rate by more than two percentage points to 13.87%. The 116,164 SF of overall positive Vista absorption for Industrial/R&D in Q2 2012 was nearly 10 times that of Q1 and resulted in a combined vacancy rate of 13.52%, down from 14.41% in Q1 2012. San Carlsbad Marcos ACTIVITY Ocean Leasing activity was led by Skin INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS VISTA Q2 2012 Medica’s choice to relocate and 700 16% expand into 81,712 SF within MARKET INDICATORS 600 14% the Carlsbad submarket. Other 500 12% Q2 Q3 significant transactions included 400 10% Vacancy Rate SF (000s) 2012 2012 (forecast) Black Box Distribution who 300 8% VACANCY signed a 65,000 SF lease with 200 6% BLT Enterprises as part of a sale 100 4% NET ABSORPTION leaseback and Pillow Pets who 0 2% relocated from Oceanside. Others -100 0% CONSTRUCTION 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 including Linear Corporation and Q2 RENTAL RATE Select Supplements decided to Net Absorption New Supply Vacancy renew at their current locations. LEASE CONCESSIONS OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN M After a first quarter that saw no sales activity, the market for both Investor and Owner User sales rebounded aggressively in 2Q 2012. There were three significant investment sales including a fully leased property with a partial sale leaseback (2777 Loker Avenue), a 90% vacant bank owned property (3115 Melrose Drive), and a tenant in tow transaction (5770 Armada Drive). On the owner user side there were four transactions, the largest INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES of which took place at 5928 Farnsworth Court where Carlsbad Technology, Inc. was Q2 2012 INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS building within walking distance of their current facility in the able to buy a 52,000 SF VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS Q2 2012 Carlsbad Research Center. Carlsbad Carlsbad 13.5% Escondido 5.6% FORECAST With no new construction underway or in the planned stages and a significant amount of Oceanside 14.1% user activity in the market, expect vacancy rates to drop in the second half of 2012. In San Marcos 6.2% particular, larger users above 75,000 SF face an acute shortage of options. As a result Vista 7.4% of this lack of supply there has been an increase in Build to Suit inquiries. However, lease rates and sale prices for new product based on land and construction costs are North County 9.8% still considerably higher than existing product. Expect a slight uptick in rents for existing 0% 5% 10% 15% inventory due to these constraints. OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS www.colliers.com/carlsbad
  • 5. El C min a AT A GLANCE | Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL | CARLSBAD oR ea more Ave l Syca Carlsbad Oaks North Busines s P Whiptail Loop us es s a Carlsbad Research Dr se Center r rk lro r D Me Faraday Ave F Fa rad ay Av e El F Carlsbad ue Oaks Carlsbad rte t Raceway S El L t t Ca oke mi er A Lio no nshead he Ave Re R v ve sings al a bad Palom urse ar A irpo lvd rt Rd g eB Colle McClellan Palomar Palomar Gateway Rd Forum Carlsbad Airport Airport Bressi Center 7 Ranch d tR 8 or rp Ai ar m alo P Me elr os o e Dr r Ave ttia E El F Palomar Airport nse Poi Business Park u uer te S t t TRANSACTION ACTIVITY - Q2 2012 SALES ACTIVITY Rd Alga El SIZE SF SALE PRICE PRICE/SF Ca # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS BUYER TYPE mi no 1 2777 Loker Avenue Investor 123,454 $11,500,000 $93.15 Re e Av al a 2 3115 Melrose Drive Investor La Costa Resort 103,547 $8,725,000 $84.26 Av & Spa 3 5770 Armada Drive iar aP Investor 81,712 $15,600,000 $190.91 kw Park Hyatt y 4 5928 Farnsworth Court Owner User 52,853 $4,670,453 $88.36 Aviara Resort 5 6349 Palomar Oaks Court Owner User 27,262 $2,990,000 $109.68 6 1911 Palomar Oaks Way Owner User 23,325 $2,654,000 $113.78 7 5816 Dryden Place Owner User 22,156 $1,713,168 $77.32 LEASING ACTIVITY # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS TENANT NAME SIZE SF TERM EFF RATE/SF 8 5770 Armada Drive Skin Medica 81,712 180 months Confidential 9 2777 Loker Avenue BlackBox Distribution 65,412 36 months $0.69 NNN 10 1950 Camino Vida Roble Linear Corp. (renewal) 50,000 72 months $0.95 NNN 11 2045 Corte del Nogal Pillow Pets 36,404 36 months Confidential 12 5800 Newton Drive Select Supplements (renewal) 28,857 60 months $0.79 NNN 13 5817 Dryden Place Weston Solutions 18,760 60 months $0.98 NNN This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party TUCKER HOHENSTEIN & MIKE ERWIN, 760 438 8950 should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
  • 6. Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL ESCONDIDO AT A GLANCE OVERVIEW The Escondido Industrial market continues to rebound strongly from the turbulent last few years. The industrial market boasts the lowest vacancy in all North County Cities and it will continue its streak of three consecutive years of positive absorption. The vacancy Oceanside Vista rate peaked in 2009 at 9%, and now is at a healthy 5.6% vacancy rate. Sales prices have begun to climb for smaller buildings (less than 10k sf), and prices have stabilized for larger buildings. Lease rates remain low but should begin to climb as the low supply San Escondido Carlsbad Marcos begins to effect the increased demand. Ocean Regarding significant developments ESCONDIDO HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS NOR in Escondido: The Palomar 300 10% MARKET INDICATORS Pomerado Hospital is near 9% 200 Q2 Q3 completion and we should begin to 8% 100 7% 2012 2012 (forecast) see the Escondido Research and Vacancy Rate SF (000s) 6% 0 Technology Center attract medical 5% VACANCY tenants and supporting distribution -100 4% 3% NET ABSORPTION and manufacturing companies. -200 2% The Nordahl off-ramp and bridge -300 1% CONSTRUCTION are being widened, as the hospital -400 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 infrastructure money is allocated Q2 RENTAL RATE for infrastructure expense around Net Absorption New Supply Vacancy LEASE CONCESSIONS Escondido, which will improve access for industrial tenants and truck routes. Also, HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS begin NORTH COUNTY Haman construction will construction on the ~100,000 sf building for Cor-O-van, and Stone Brewery is working on hotel drawings for submittal to the City. ACTIVITY INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES There was more than 30 Escondido Industrial lease transactions in 2Q, with the majority of Q1 2012 activity occurring in the multi-tenant parks in sizes ranging from 1,000 sf to 4,000sf. There INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS were only four lease transactions over 10,000 sf, twoHISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS 20,000 sf. VISTA of these were more than Q2 2012 Carlsbad These two larger tenants consisted of GP Strategies leasing the Decratek building on Progress 13.5% Place and VIT Products leasing 2344 Auto Parkway. Coincidently, the larger and smaller Escondido 5.6% Escondido tenants average lease rates have stabilized at approximately $.65 modified gross. Oceanside 14.1% San Marcos The Sale transactions were also in the smaller range with three sales less than 6,000 sf, with 6.2% an average price of approximately $103 psf. There was a 10,000 sf short sale at $89 psf on Vista 7.4% Engle as well as a 7,100 sf building on 2.44 acres of land that closed for $1.7M North County 9.8% FORECAST 0% 5% 10% 15% The Escondido industrial market, which has historically been catagorized as a “mom and pop” small building market is now beginning to get recognized as a potential destination for quality tenants along the I-15 corridor. Moreover, it also surrounds a state-of-the-art and the newest hospital in the nation, which will bring national attention to the city. OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS www.colliers.com/carlsbad
  • 7. AT A GLANCE | Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL | ESCONDIDO oad hl R rda No Myers Avenue 78 Mo ntie l Rd Country Club Dr Quin ce S c Mis sion nue Roa Ave t d ion Miss Roc ck S prin r g sR Rd Au ve to nue Ave Dri Pa ton rk Wa hing Was en y eas ndr NA Sim Palomar pso nW Pomerado ay Hospital Ind ust ria Cit Escondido lA tra ve rc Research ado d & Tech Center Pk wy ue ven le A Ha Escondido N. Auto Park ve Dri en eas ndr SA ay Auto P kw ark Par W W ay ley Val Ent erp ris eS t TRANSACTION ACTIVITY - Q2 2012 SALES ACTIVITY # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS BUYER TYPE SIZE (SF) SALE PRICE PRICE/SF No building sales above 10,000 square feet LEASING ACTIVITY # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS TENANT NAME SIZE (SF) TERM EFF RATE/SF 1 2835 Progres Place GP Strategies 23,827 65 Months $0.68 NNN This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party TUCKER HOHENSTEIN & MIKE ERWIN, 760 438 8950 should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
  • 8. Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL OCEANSIDE AT A GLANCE INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS VIST Q2 2012 OVERVIEW Oceanside continues to maintain the highest vacancy in North County at 14.08%. However, the 105,017 SF of positive net absorption during Q2 2012 added to the 115,069 SF in Q1 brings the brings the midyear total of space sold and leased 220,086 SF. This Oceanside activity has reduced the vacancy from 17.10% to its current level which is a reduction of Vista 3.02% in 6 months. There is now approximately 1.1m SF of vacant industrial space in the market. San Carlsbad Marcos ACTIVITY Ocean Industrial The activity in the OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN market is picking up. More 800 20% tenants and buyers are touring MARKET INDICATORS 18% the market than in previous 600 16% Q2 2012 Q3 2012 (forecast) quarters. Some properties 400 14% Vacancy Rate SF (000s) have been receiving multiple 12% 200 10% VACANCY offers to buy and lease which 8% has allowed owners to be 0 6% NET ABSORPTION more selective in negotiating -200 4% transactions. In addition, 2% CONSTRUCTION -400 0% there are several large users 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 RENTAL RATE in the market looking at Q2 existing spaces and comparing Net Absorption New Supply Vacancy LEASE CONCESSIONS those with Build To Suit opportunities. There was only one Industrial building sale that closed escrow in Q2. It was a 14,177 SF bank owned property located at 417 Via Del Monte in the Oceanside Airport area. INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES Lease activity was excellent in the smaller multi-tenant projects with both new Q2 2012 INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS renewals. The smallerVISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS is a good transactions and lease tenants returning to the market Q2 2012 sign that a broader based recovery is underway despite the challenges with the overall Carlsbad 13.5% unemployment rate in San Diego and the State. DiMaggio Maintenance signed a 5 year Escondido 5.6% lease for 10,000 SF at 3310 Via de la Valle. Oceanside Oceanside 14.1% FORECAST San Marcos 6.2% Oceanside occupancy will be hurt in second half of the year as Genica recently Vista 7.4% announced it would be relocating out of 145,000 SF in two buildings in the Prescott Industrial park and relocating to a 160,000 SF facility they purchased in Temecula. The North County 9.8% property owners and the City of Oceanside worked hard to keep them but Genica was 0% 5% 10% 15% able to acquire a larger building at a very attractive price and consolidate under one roof. This increased their efficiency and lowered operating costs. There are a handful of buildings in escrow now in Oceanside. We are optimistic this activity will help shore up occupancy to offset the Genica loss. OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS www.colliers.com/carlsbad
  • 9. AT A GLANCE | Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL | OCEANSIDE TRANSACTION ACTIVITY - Q2 2012 SALES ACTIVITY # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS BUYER TYPE SIZE (SF) SALE PRICE PRICE/SF 1 417 Via Del Monte Lola Gouge 14,177 $1,116,000 $78.72 LEASING ACTIVITY # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS TENANT NAME SIZE (SF) TERM EFF RATE/SF 2 3310 Via de la Valle DiMaggio Maintenance 10,000 60 months $0.58/G This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party TUCKER HOHENSTEIN & MIKE ERWIN, 760 438 8950 should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
  • 10. Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL SAN MARCOS AT A GLANCE INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS Q2 2012 OVERVIEW San Marcos posted its fourth consecutive quarter of positive net absorption bringing industrial vacancy to 6.2%, which is down from 6.9% at the end of Q1 and near the lowest in North County. Low vacancy and positive absorption has helped stabilize lease and sale Oceanside prices and positioned San Marcos for rent and price growth. The San Marcos industrial Vista market is comprised on 491 buildings totaling 8.6 Million square feet with an average building size of 17,000 square feet. San Escondido Carlsbad Marcos Ocean ACTIVITY The majority of activity during Q2 OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS occurred in the smaller spaces with 300 9% MARKET INDICATORS the average transaction size of 6,000 8% 200 Q2 Q3 square feet and average lease rate of 7% 2012 2012 (forecast) $.68/SF Gross. Crescent Electric’s 100 6% Vacancy Rate SF (000s) 5% lease of 30,000 square feet at 295 0 4% VACANCY Distribution Street was the only lease -100 3% NET ABSORPTION transaction completed above 10,000 -200 2% square feet. With the completion of 1% -300 0% CONSTRUCTION this transaction there are only six 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Q2 available spaces larger than 20,000 RENTAL RATE Net Absorption New Supply Vacancy square feet in the entire San Marcos LEASE CONCESSIONS submarket. Falmat purchased a 48,000 square foot building they had been leasing at 1810 Diamond for $88/SF. Action Auto Collision purchased 9,216 square feet on Rancheros for $102/SF. The City has drafted an updated industrial zoning ordinance to coincide with the General Plan that was adopted in February 2012. The new zoning designations are now consistent INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES with the General Plan and the code better defines allowable uses. The draft code can be Q2 2012 viewed at http://www.ourcityourfuture.com/working-documents. Additionally, construction INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS Q1 2012 is near complete on the first phase of student housing located MARKET TRENDS District. The VISTA HISTORICAL in the University Carlsbad University District is entitled to provide the following uses: 14.4% Escondido 6.5% 1 Million square feet of street level and big box retail Oceanside 15.5% 950,000 SF of professional/medical office San Marcos San Marcos 2,600 residential housing units 6.9% 800 student housing units Vista 8.1% North County 10.6% FORECAST San Marcos is a supply constrained market that will see rate and price appreciation as a 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% result of continued demand. Owner-users and developers alike will have to look to vacant land to satisfy the need for larger blocks of space in San Marcos. OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS www.colliers.com/carlsbad
  • 11. AT A GLANCE | Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL | SAN MARCOS TRANSACTION ACTIVITY - Q2 2012 SALES ACTIVITY # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS BUYER TYPE SIZE SF SALE PRICE PRICE/SF 1 1810 Diamond Street Owner User 48,298 $4,250,000 $88.00 2 923 Rancheros Owner User 9,216 $945,000 $102.54 LEASING ACTIVITY # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS TENANT NAME SIZE SF TERM EFF RATE/SF 3 295 Distribution Street Crescent Electric Supply 30,140 72 months $0.50 NNN 4 1020 Linda Vista Drive Ste B John Hargrove 7,040 60 months $0.60 GRS 5 1365 Grand Ave #100-104 Rampage Brewing Company 6,770 60 months $0.93 GRS 6 220 Bingham Drive #101 World Mission Society Church 6,329 24 months $0.63 GRS This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party TUCKER HOHENSTEIN & MIKE ERWIN, 760 438 8950 should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from.
  • 12. Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL VISTA AT A GLANCE OVERVIEW A surge in Q2 tenant activity helps Vista cut its vacancy rate from to 8.1% to 7.39%. Five leases totaling 227,000 square feet of gross absorption accounted for the majority of Q2 activity and resulted in 75,000 square feet of net absorption. The Vista industrial market Oceanside is comprised of 530 buildings totaling 13 million square feet with an average building size Vista of 25,000 square feet. San ACTIVITY Marcos Ocean Carlsbad Vista’s leasing activity surpassed all other North County submarkets. Brown Safe led the way by leasing 65,000 square feet from real estate investment firm Pacifica Enterprises, Inc., who purchased the building vacant for $58/SF only three months earlier. MARKET INDICATORS Communications Test Design, Inc. (59K), Select Supplements (39K) and March Plasma (24K) all expanded or relocated from Carlsbad, while Electra Bicycle, an existing Vista Q2 Q3 tenant, expanded into 39,000 square feet. Lease rates during Q2 averaged $.55/SF NNN. 2012 2012 (forecast) Vista is benefited from limited supply in San Marcos and higher prices in Carlsbad. Even VACANCY though Q2 saw an increase in activity there is still a surplus of space available, 11 spaces to be exact, between 30-50,000 square feet. NET ABSORPTION FORECAST CONSTRUCTION Lease rates in the 30-50,000 square foot range will remain flat until occupancy RENTAL RATE increases, while spaces outside this size range could see more immediate rate increases. The recent trend of tenant migration from neighboring cities will likely continue as it LEASE CONCESSIONS becomes increasingly difficult to find space and/or match the value Vista offers. There has been an increase in build-to-suit inquires from tenants seeking space greater than 50,000 square feet due to lack of available options in North County. We expect pricing on good quality larger buildings to move closer to replacement cost. BAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES Q2 2012 700 10% INDUSTRIAL/R&D VACANCY RATES CARLSBAD HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS VISTA HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS Q2 2012 600 9% 500 8% Carlsbad 13.5% 7% 400 Escondido 5.6% Vacancy Rate SF (000s) 6% 300 5% Oceanside 14.1% 200 4% 100 San Marcos 6.2% 3% 0 2% Vista Vista 7.4% -100 1% North County 9.8% -200 0% 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 0% 5% 10% 15% Q2 Net Absorption New Supply Vacancy SIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS OCEANSIDE HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS SAN MARCOS HISTORICAL MARKET TRENDS www.colliers.com/carlsbad
  • 13. Ol ea nd er Av e d ak R en O Gre AT A GLANCE | Q2 2012 | INDUSTRIAL | VISTA La M irad aD r ve re A amo Syc Dr se lro Dr Me er nt Ce rk Faraday Ave Pa Ave ttia nse Business Pa r k Dr B Poi D Lionsh ead Ave Rd TRANSACTION ACTIVITY - Q2 2012 ort Airp mar Palo SALES ACTIVITY # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS BUYER TYPE SIZE SF SALE PRICE PRICE/SF 1 2510 Pioneer Avenue Owner User 13,140 $1,025,000 $78.01 Only one sale above 10,000 SF occurred during Q2 LEASING ACTIVITY # PROPERTY NAME/ADDRESS TENANT NAME SIZE SF TERM EFF RATE/SF 2 1081 Poinsettia Avenue Brown Safe Mfg 65,002 92 months $0.62 NNN 3 995 Joshua Way Ste A CTDI 59,144 36 months $0.51 NNN 4 2390 Oak Ridge Way Select Supplements 39,672 72 months undisclosed 5 3275 Corporate View Drive Electra Bicycle 38,808 60 months $0.61 NNN 6 2370 Oak Ridge Way Ste B March Plasma Systems, Inc. 24,592 60 months $0.54 NNN This document has been prepared by Colliers International for advertising and general information only. Colliers prepared by ADAM MOLNAR, GREG LEWIS International makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party TUCKER HOHENSTEIN & MIKE ERWIN, 760 438 8950 should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Colliers International excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from.