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An Overview Of The Airport Security Market,
1.
16th APSA International
Conference Airport Security Market Overview By Julius Yeo - Consultant 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
2.
Table of Content
Introduction Asia Pacific Market Outlook Market Drivers Market Challenges Market Growth Potential The Way Forward 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
3.
Introduction • Asia Pacific
is now an emerging hub for global economical, trade, and tourism activities. The attraction by Asia Pacific countries has encouraged the growth of air travel in and out, and within the Asia Pacific region. • Many airlines have expanded their routes (prior to economic recession circa 2008/2009), and several new airlines were established to over diverse flight routes in the region. As a result, many airports have been built, and older ones refurbished to cater for the rising air travel in the region. • As airports in the region flourished and grew, the question of how safe are the airports in the region began to surface. • Are the airports in the region well equipped to handle security threats? What is lacking? What are the challenges to airport security in the region? What can be done to further secure the airports in the region? Finally, what are the opportunities for stakeholders in this market? 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
4.
Introduction
Economic Attraction Economic Attraction Trading Attraction Trading Attraction The fast growing economy of Asia Pacific is drawing attention from terrorists from all over the world. The influx in air travel in and out, and within Asia Pacific has also increased other risks such as health, illegal immigration, etc. 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
5.
Table of Content
Introduction Asia Pacific Market Outlook Market Drivers Market Challenges Market Growth Potential The Way Forward 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
6.
Asia Pacific Market
Outlook Increasing air passengers… Homeland Security Market Assessment: Homeland Security Market Assessment: Passenger Traffics Passenger Traffics (Asia Pacific), 2005-2014 (Asia Pacific), 2005-2014 Passengers Growth Rate 2,500.0 Beijing Olympics 2008 18.0 Year (Million) (%) 16.0 2005 926.3 7.9 2,000.0 14.0 2006 1,017.9 9.9 Passengers (Million) 12.0 Growth Rate (%) 2007 1,142.4 12.2 1,500.0 2008 1,316.6 15.3 10.0 2009 1,460.6 10.9 8.0 1,000.0 2010 1,616.9 10.7 6.0 2011 1,770.7 9.5 500.0 4.0 2012 1,936.1 9.3 2.0 2013 2,128.3 9.9 2014 2,346.9 10.3 0.0 0.0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Frost & Sullivan Source: Frost & Sullivan 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
7.
Asia Pacific Market
Outlook Increasing cargo movements… Homeland Security Market Assessment: Homeland Security Market Assessment: Cargo Traffics Cargo Traffics (Asia Pacific), 2005-2014 (Asia Pacific), 2005-2014 Cargo (Thousand Growth Rate 90,000.00 10.0 Year Metric Tonnes) (%) Beijing Olympics 2008 80,000.00 9.0 2005 41,833.7 9.5 Cargo (Thousand Metric Tonnes) 70,000.00 8.0 2006 44,543.1 6.5 2007 47,342.0 6.3 7.0 60,000.00 Growth Rate (%) 2008 51,070.6 7.9 6.0 50,000.00 2009 54,476.3 6.7 5.0 40,000.00 2010 58,051.7 6.6 4.0 30,000.00 2011 62,122.7 7.0 3.0 2012 66,511.6 7.1 20,000.00 2.0 2013 71,293.3 7.2 10,000.00 1.0 2014 76,474.6 7.3 0 0.0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Frost & Sullivan Source: Frost & Sullivan 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
8.
Asia Pacific Market
Outlook Homeland Security Market Assessment: Airport Expansion Expenditures (Asia Pacific), 2008-2025 South Korea Japan New Zealand Philippines 2.5% 1.4% Indonesia 0.5% 0.2% 1.0% Australia Pakistan 12.8% Vietnam 0.5% 11.3% China 37.9% India Malaysia 30.5% 1.4% New terminals and runways construction is likely to exceed US$48.9 billion during the period from 2008 to 2025. Leaders, China and India have plans to develop and construct at least 84 new airports in an effort to cater for the fast-growing air traffic demands in those two countries, with combined expected expenditures of over $33.4 billion. 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
9.
Asia Pacific Market
Outlook Like the rest of the world, Asia Pacific also faces several issues regarding airport security. However, the airports in this region are poised to better handle any security threats as the airports are still within their development stages. Below are several of the main security issues faced by the airports in this region. Curbside Check-in On the tarmac Retail Outlets Boarding & Restaurants Outsource Security 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
10.
Table of Content
Introduction Asia Pacific Market Outlook Market Drivers Market Challenges Market Growth Potential The Way Forward 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
11.
Market Drivers
• Terrorist threats • Health threats • Establishment of trade relations • Increasing passenger volume • Increasing cargo movements • Increasing aircraft movements New airlines entry Increasing movements of LCC New routes • New aviation business models Air charter services Business aviation centers, etc. Low Medium High 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
12.
Table of Content
Introduction Asia Pacific Market Outlook Market Drivers Market Challenges Market Growth Potential The Way Forward 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
13.
Market Challenges • Cost •
Privacy and other legal issues • Lack of Staff Diligence • Lack of Training • Disconcerted efforts • Faulty/Obsolete Equipments • Propaganda Is it really worth it????? 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
14.
Market Challenges For too
long airport and regulatory authorities have been reactive, rather than proactive. The security lull amongst Asia Pacific airports may cause lax in ensuring security measures are up to date to tackle any possible threats – man-made, or non man-made. Nine illegal workers arrested at Orlando International Airport Federal customs and transportation security agents arrested several contract workers at Orlando International Airport on Thursday night after discovering that the workers were illegally in the United States. The nine workers were employed by subcontractors on a construction project on Airside 1 at the airport when Customs and Border Protection and the Transportation Security Administration conducted a regulatory compliance inspection. Dr Tony Gherardin, national medical adviser for The Travel Doctor-TMVC Group, “Our "[The workers] would have been escorted in by badged view is that air travel does increase your risk employees, and they would have to go through security of getting an upper respiratory tract screening," said Carolyn Fennell, an airport spokeswoman. infection." U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement is likely to "But it's not so much on the actual aircraft, receive custody of the arrested workers, but was not where the air-conditioning is quite potent involved in Thursday night's operation, said Ivan Ortiz, an ICE and changes the air in the cabin fairly spokesman. rapidly. The air-conditioning blows fresh air from above and sucks out the old air along Airport operations and security staffers will meet with its the floor.“ Gherardin says the real culprits contractors to remind them of the requirements and their are airports, where the air-conditioning is responsibilities for complying with rules about illegal not as effective and passengers are often workers, Fennell said. herded into small spaces. Source: Orlando Sentinel Source: The Sidney Morning Herald 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
15.
Table of Content
Introduction Asia Pacific Market Outlook Market Drivers Market Challenges Market Growth Potential The Way Forward 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
16.
Market Growth Potential •
Secure and more comprehensive screening procedures, supported by present to latter day equipments and technologies. • Verification and checks for employees of retail outlets and restaurants within the airport. Many employees are allowed to roam freely without proper identification processes. • Many airports in Asia Pacific rely on the police force to ensure security. This may not be sufficient as the police are not trained to handle airport security threats or emergencies. • There is a lack of screening processes for transit flights as passengers and baggage on a transit flight are not screened again; the current airports expects the previous airport to have conducted sufficient screening procedures. • One of he major security risks to threaten Asia Pacific airports are “on the tarmac” activities. Many airports in Asia Pacific do not provide sufficient security around the tarmac area. Additionally, many airports still board passengers on the apron area, which possesses security concerns. 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
17.
Market Growth Potential
Forecasted Revenues Growth of Airport Security (Asia Pacific) Revenue Segmentation of Airport Security US$ 9.96 billion Revenues in 2007 (Asia Pacific) Others/Integration 14.5% US$ 6.40 billion Perimeter and Access Control 12.3% CAGR: 11.3% Video Surveillance and Monitoring Security Screening 7.5% 65.7% 2010 2014 Source: Frost & Sullivan Source: Frost & Sullivan Frost & Sullivan has estimated the airport security market revenues to grow at a CAGR of 11.3% from 2010 to 2014, realizing a value worth $9.96 billion by 2014. The increase value of the year on year growth is largely due to the developments of new airports and also terminal expansion plans in the region to cater for the increased demands of air travel. 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
18.
Market Growth Potential
Airport Security Revenue Airport Security Revenue Market Share (Asia Pacific), 2007 Market Share (Asia Pacific), 2014 Singapore Malaysia Vietnam 3.5% Philippines Malaysia Vietnam 3.8% 1.5% 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% Singapore Philippines New Zealand 2.1% Australia Thailand 2.1% 2.2% China 5.8% 3.7% New Zealand Thailand 28.9% 1.1% 5.3% Taiwan 1.4% China Australia Indonesia 46.6% 9.4% 3.2% South Korea Taiwan 3.2% 3.0% Indonesia Japan South Korea India 20.5% India Japan 5.7% 6.2% 7.9% 18.7% 9.1% Source: Frost & Sullivan Source: Frost & Sullivan In 2007, China leads the market with the share of 28.9%, and is expected to continue to lead the market in 2014 contributing a share of 46.6%. The tremendous increase in the Chinese market is largely due to the planned new airports development and new terminal development worth over US$18.0 billion. India is also expected to increase its market share to 18.7 percent by 2014, due to the ambitious new airport and terminals development plan. 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
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Table of Content
Introduction Asia Pacific Market Outlook Market Drivers Market Challenges Market Growth Potential The Way Forward 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
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The Way Forward Products
& Services Strategy Integration of Multiple/Varying Security Platforms Efficient and Reduced Time On Security Procedures Real Time Data Intelligence and Decision Airport Security Solutions Modular and Upgradeable Systems Training and Simulations 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
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The Way Forward Competitive
Strategy Key Competitive Strategies Investment in Research and Development Strategic Alliances Supply Chain Efficiencies Customer Centric Services 4 key factors that will ensure competitiveness in the homeland security market. • Invest in technology, as the security industries are highly technologically driven due to the constant evolution of security threats. • Identify best business partners available in target countries and formulate strategic alliances to offering security platforms and ensuring systems interoperability. • Devise efficient supply chain management to ensure fast delivery, responsive after-sales support, and cover widespread distribution into the market efficiently. • Located close to customers to respond to requirements timely and efficiently. 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
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The Way Forward Investment
Strategy Economic Condition Available Infrastructure Key Investments Considerations Global, Regional, and Skilled Manpower Country-specific Availability Security Threats Dynamics The key factors that need to be looked at include the country’s economic condition, infrastructure and skilled manpower availability, understanding the evolving security threats globally, regionally, and country-wise. 2009 © Frost & Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
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2009 © Frost
& Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com
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2009 © Frost
& Sullivan . All Rights Reserved . www.aerospace.frost.com