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Risk Management
University of Economics, Kraków, 2012
              Tomasz Aleksandrowicz
financial risk management

             financial risks types
financial risk overview
• market risks
   –   equity price risk
   –   interest rate risk
   –   foreign exchange risk
   –   commodity price risk
• credit risk
   – transaction risk
   – portfolio concentration risk
• liquidity risk
   – `funding liquidity risk
   – asset liquidity risk
market risk

      equity price risk
     interest rate risk
foreign exchange risk
commodity price risk
equity price risk
• risk resulting from holding equities or assets with
  performance tied to equity prices
• faced by all organizations possessing or issuing
  equities
• main risks include:
   – equity price risk
   – systematic risk
interest rate risk
• risk resulting from volatility of interest rates
• faced by all companies with borrowings (affecting
  cost of funds)
   – loan with fixed rate of interest
   – loan with floating (variable) rate of interest
• impact depends on company structure / relation of:
   – capital and debt (leverage ratio)
   – short and long term debt
   – fixed and floating rate debt
foreign exchange rate risk
• risk resulting from change in the exchange rate of one
  currency against another
• faced by all organizations involved in foreign exchange or
  utilizing commodities denominated in other currency
• fx rates risk arise mainly from:
   – transaction risk exposure
   – translation risk (affecting the value of balance sheet items
      incl. AP and liabilities)
   – reporting translation risk (from the operating currency into
      a reporting currency)
   – strategic exposure - based on organization’s competitive
      position of its local currency
commodity price risk
• risk resulting from commodity prices rising or falling
• faced by all organizations that produce or purchase
  commodities
• main commodity risks include:
   –   commodity price risk
   –   commodity quantity risk
   –   cost of carry risk (financing, storage, transportation)
   –   special risks (e.g. shortage)
market risk management

            tools & techniques
derivatives
• is an asset whose performance is based on the
  behaviour of an underlying asset (commonly called
  underlying)
• main market risks could be mitigated using
  derivatives contracts
• most common derivatives include:
   –   forward contracts
   –   future
   –   swap
   –   option
forward
• non-standardized contract between two parties to
  buy or sell an asset at a future date at a price agreed
  today
• differs from spot contract which is to buy or sell an
  asset at the moment at the current price
• the difference between the spot and the forward
  price is the forward premium or forward discount
• deliverable or non-deliverable (difference payment)
main types of forwards
• repurchase agreement (repo) - the sale of securities
  together with an agreement for the seller to buy
  back the securities at a later date
• forward rate agreement (FRA) - contract where
  party pay/receive the difference between a agreed
  interest rate and the rate which actually eventuates
  at agreed future date
• currency forward
• commodity forward contract
forward example
• Company A (coffee maker) wants to buy a 10 tons of raw
  coffee from Company B (producer) in one year time.
• Current spot price of 1 ton is 90,000 USD. Forward contract of
  10 tons is agreed with forward price 950,000 USD.

• In one year time:
   – what will be profit/loss of Company A if coffee price will be the same
   – what will be profit/loss of Company A if coffee price will increase by
     10%
future
• standardized contract between two parties to
  exchange a specified asset of standardized quantity
  and quality at a future date at a price agreed today
• future contracts are traded on a futures exchanges
• used for commodities as well as currencies,
  securities or referenced items such as stock indexes
how future works
• exchange requires both parties to put up an initial
  amount of cash on account - the margin
• as margin is usually smaller than notional amount it
  gives possibility of leverage
• daily valuation to agreed price - difference is paid
  from one party to another party account
• if the margin account goes below a certain value
  then a margin call is made
swap
• non-standardized derivative contract in which
  counterparties exchange cash flows (payments) for
  financial instruments
• swap may be direct contract between two companies
  or with third party acting as intermediary
• swap agreement defines the dates when the cash
  flows are to be paid and the way they are calculated
• cash flows are calculated over a notional principal
  amount - usually not exchanged between
  counterparties
swap
main types of swaps
• interest rate swap - exchange of fixed and floating
  interest rate
• currency swap - exchange principal and interests of
  loan in one currency on equivalent of another
  currency
• commodity swap - exchange of spot and fixed price
  of underlying commodity
• credit default swap (CDS) - exchange of credit
  default
swap example (I)
• company A with AAA credit rating
   – fixed rate 10.00%
   – floating rate LIBOR + 0.30%
   – seeks floating financing


• company B with BBB credit rating
   – fixed rate 11.20%
   – floating rate LIBOR + 1.00%
   – seeks fixed financing


• total financing cost
   = LIBOR + 0.30% + 11.20% = LIBOR + 11.50%
swap example (II)
• two companies enters swap contract:
   – company A issue debt for 10.00%
   – company B issue debt for LIBOR + 1.00%


• total financing cost
   = 10.00% + LIBOR + 1.00% = LIBOR + 11.00%
   = total gain = 0.50%


• companies swap its payments (equal distribution of gain):
   – company A receive 10.00% to repay debt and pays LIBOR + 0.05%
   – company A net gain is (LIBOR + 0.30%) - LIBOR + 0.05% = 0.25%
swap example (III)




• in case bank act as intermediary swap contract will have bank
  spread as its cost
swap exercise
• company A
   – fixed rate 8.00%
   – floating rate EURIBOR + 1.00%
   – seeks floating financing


• company B with BBB credit rating
   – fixed rate 10.00%
   – floating rate EURIBOR + 2.00%
   – seeks fixed financing
swap
 – what will be total gain from swap contract ?
 – what kind of debt each company should issue and what
   will be its cost ?
 – in case of swap how much each company will have to pay
   into the intermediary bank ?
 – what will be net gain of each company (equal distribution
   of gain) if bank swap spread is 0.40% ?
options
• options are contracts that give the owner the right,
  but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset
   – in case of buy - call option
   – in case of sell - put option

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Rm 07-v1

  • 1. Risk Management University of Economics, Kraków, 2012 Tomasz Aleksandrowicz
  • 2. financial risk management financial risks types
  • 3. financial risk overview • market risks – equity price risk – interest rate risk – foreign exchange risk – commodity price risk • credit risk – transaction risk – portfolio concentration risk • liquidity risk – `funding liquidity risk – asset liquidity risk
  • 4. market risk equity price risk interest rate risk foreign exchange risk commodity price risk
  • 5. equity price risk • risk resulting from holding equities or assets with performance tied to equity prices • faced by all organizations possessing or issuing equities • main risks include: – equity price risk – systematic risk
  • 6. interest rate risk • risk resulting from volatility of interest rates • faced by all companies with borrowings (affecting cost of funds) – loan with fixed rate of interest – loan with floating (variable) rate of interest • impact depends on company structure / relation of: – capital and debt (leverage ratio) – short and long term debt – fixed and floating rate debt
  • 7. foreign exchange rate risk • risk resulting from change in the exchange rate of one currency against another • faced by all organizations involved in foreign exchange or utilizing commodities denominated in other currency • fx rates risk arise mainly from: – transaction risk exposure – translation risk (affecting the value of balance sheet items incl. AP and liabilities) – reporting translation risk (from the operating currency into a reporting currency) – strategic exposure - based on organization’s competitive position of its local currency
  • 8. commodity price risk • risk resulting from commodity prices rising or falling • faced by all organizations that produce or purchase commodities • main commodity risks include: – commodity price risk – commodity quantity risk – cost of carry risk (financing, storage, transportation) – special risks (e.g. shortage)
  • 9. market risk management tools & techniques
  • 10. derivatives • is an asset whose performance is based on the behaviour of an underlying asset (commonly called underlying) • main market risks could be mitigated using derivatives contracts • most common derivatives include: – forward contracts – future – swap – option
  • 11.
  • 12. forward • non-standardized contract between two parties to buy or sell an asset at a future date at a price agreed today • differs from spot contract which is to buy or sell an asset at the moment at the current price • the difference between the spot and the forward price is the forward premium or forward discount • deliverable or non-deliverable (difference payment)
  • 13. main types of forwards • repurchase agreement (repo) - the sale of securities together with an agreement for the seller to buy back the securities at a later date • forward rate agreement (FRA) - contract where party pay/receive the difference between a agreed interest rate and the rate which actually eventuates at agreed future date • currency forward • commodity forward contract
  • 14. forward example • Company A (coffee maker) wants to buy a 10 tons of raw coffee from Company B (producer) in one year time. • Current spot price of 1 ton is 90,000 USD. Forward contract of 10 tons is agreed with forward price 950,000 USD. • In one year time: – what will be profit/loss of Company A if coffee price will be the same – what will be profit/loss of Company A if coffee price will increase by 10%
  • 15. future • standardized contract between two parties to exchange a specified asset of standardized quantity and quality at a future date at a price agreed today • future contracts are traded on a futures exchanges • used for commodities as well as currencies, securities or referenced items such as stock indexes
  • 16. how future works • exchange requires both parties to put up an initial amount of cash on account - the margin • as margin is usually smaller than notional amount it gives possibility of leverage • daily valuation to agreed price - difference is paid from one party to another party account • if the margin account goes below a certain value then a margin call is made
  • 17. swap • non-standardized derivative contract in which counterparties exchange cash flows (payments) for financial instruments • swap may be direct contract between two companies or with third party acting as intermediary • swap agreement defines the dates when the cash flows are to be paid and the way they are calculated • cash flows are calculated over a notional principal amount - usually not exchanged between counterparties
  • 18. swap
  • 19. main types of swaps • interest rate swap - exchange of fixed and floating interest rate • currency swap - exchange principal and interests of loan in one currency on equivalent of another currency • commodity swap - exchange of spot and fixed price of underlying commodity • credit default swap (CDS) - exchange of credit default
  • 20. swap example (I) • company A with AAA credit rating – fixed rate 10.00% – floating rate LIBOR + 0.30% – seeks floating financing • company B with BBB credit rating – fixed rate 11.20% – floating rate LIBOR + 1.00% – seeks fixed financing • total financing cost = LIBOR + 0.30% + 11.20% = LIBOR + 11.50%
  • 21. swap example (II) • two companies enters swap contract: – company A issue debt for 10.00% – company B issue debt for LIBOR + 1.00% • total financing cost = 10.00% + LIBOR + 1.00% = LIBOR + 11.00% = total gain = 0.50% • companies swap its payments (equal distribution of gain): – company A receive 10.00% to repay debt and pays LIBOR + 0.05% – company A net gain is (LIBOR + 0.30%) - LIBOR + 0.05% = 0.25%
  • 22. swap example (III) • in case bank act as intermediary swap contract will have bank spread as its cost
  • 23. swap exercise • company A – fixed rate 8.00% – floating rate EURIBOR + 1.00% – seeks floating financing • company B with BBB credit rating – fixed rate 10.00% – floating rate EURIBOR + 2.00% – seeks fixed financing
  • 24. swap – what will be total gain from swap contract ? – what kind of debt each company should issue and what will be its cost ? – in case of swap how much each company will have to pay into the intermediary bank ? – what will be net gain of each company (equal distribution of gain) if bank swap spread is 0.40% ?
  • 25. options • options are contracts that give the owner the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell an asset – in case of buy - call option – in case of sell - put option