Ten big innovation challenges for the next decade ISPIM June 2011
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A keynote at ISPIM 2011 on the ten big innovation challenges for the next decade that are most evident from the Future Agenda programme insights
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Ten big innovation challenges for the next decade ISPIM June 2011
- 1. Ten Big Innova,on Challenges for the Next Decade: Sustained Growth Within a Resource Constrained World Dr Tim Jones – Future Agenda: IPSIM 18 June 2011
- 2. The Future Agenda is the world’s largest open foresight programme that looked at the big issues for 2020 so that organisaJons can beKer focus and sJmulate innovaJon
- 3. Four Certain,es for the Next Decade
- 4. Imbalanced PopulaJon Growth CertainJes By 2020 we will add another 750m people to the planet, most in places least able to accommodate them
- 5. Key Resource Constraints CertainJes We will see economic, physical and poliJcal shortages of key materials that will result in major changes in our perspecJves
- 6. Asian Wealth ShiT CertainJes The centre of gravity of global wealth shiTs East with decreased influence for the US and Europe
- 7. Ubiquitous Data Access CertainJes We will be connected everywhere -‐ everything that can benefit from a network connecJon will have one
- 8. Six Clusters of Other Future Insights
- 9. 10 InnovaJon Challenges 10 Challenges for 2020 Pu[ng these Future Agenda insights through the ‘innovaJon’ lens, 10 major challenges for the next decade stand out
- 10. Diabesity Challenge #1 If diabetes will consume 5% of GDP by 2020, how can we use innovaJon around taxaJon, data mining and personal budgets to change behaviour and stabilise the obesity epidemic?
- 11. DifferenJated Knowledge Challenge #2 As insight is globally commodiJzed, the best returns go to those who can produce non-‐standard, differenJated knowledge – how can this happen in a world with less / no IP?
- 12. Dynamic Pricing Challenge #3 As smart meters and tracking services create pladorms for dynamic pricing, how will this impact business models and how will what we pay reflect value and be valued?
- 13. Lease everything Challenge #4 Rising sustainability imperaJves and increasing cost of ownership shiT the balance from ownership to access and we prefer to rent than buy – but with what business models?
- 14. Using Less Challenge #5 How will consumers be incenJvised to use significantly less energy as escalaJng growth in carbon emissions force uJliJes to change their business models?
- 15. AcJve Elderly Challenge #6 A healthier older generaJon increasingly engage in more acJve lives and have extended careers -‐ but in order to manage dependency raJos, how can we all be twice as producJve?
- 16. Less Variety Challenge #7 If the future is one of reduced choice, but not less interest, as retailers provide an increasingly edited pordolio, how will consumers gain confidence in the future choice curators?
- 17. Solar Sunrise Challenge #8 Increasing focus on energy security drives the uptake of large-‐ scale solar as the leading renewable supply – who will lead on improving PV and transmission efficiency to make this a reality?
- 18. Intelligent Highways Challenge #9 As mesh networks deliver automated highways to improve safety, increase capacity and reduce congesJon, how will we manage the data sharing on which it all depends?
- 19. Mega City States Challenge #10 As ciJes, not countries, are at the forefront of the global stage, what unique products and services that address specific surban challenges will become the priority?
- 20. For more informa,on, e-‐books and to add your view into the mix, see futureagenda.org or contact Tim directly on ,m.jones@futureagenda.org