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FOURTH QUARTER 2012

Tele2 AB
February 5, 2013
Agenda




             • About Q4 2012

             • Financial review

             • Concluding remarks



2
Tele2 Group Q4 Highlights


    • Net mobile customer intake of 0.7 million leading to a total customer
      base of 38.2 million

    • Net sales growth for the Group amounted to 6%, corresponding to
      SEK 11,275 million

    • EBITDA amounted to SEK 2,672 million, equivalent to a margin of 24%

    • CAPEX amounted to SEK 1,478 million




3
Market Area Russia: Overview

    Population
    Appr. 143 million
    Tele2 Russia
     43 regions of Russian Federation
     22.7 million subscribers
     Mobile operator #4 in Russia in terms
      of subscribers and revenue
    Represents 30% of total net sales in Q4 2012




    Focus
        Continue to grow customer base and maximize the 2G opportunity
        Evaluate possibilities to expand carefully through new licenses as well as by
         complementary acquisitions
        Make progress on technology neutrality


4
Q4 Highlights Russia

     •    Strong customer net intake of 373,000
     •    Stable EBITDA margin, amounting to 37%
     •    ARPU grew by 4% YoY, and MoU by 7% YoY




CUSTOMER BASE and                              NET SALES and                                 EBITDA and
CUSTOMER INTAKE                                YoY NET SALES GROWTH                          EBITDA MARGIN
Thousands of customers                       SEK Million                                     SEK Million
24,000                                   800 4,000                                     20%   1,600                                   40%


22,000                                   600   3,000                                   15%   1,200                                   38%


20,000                                   400   2,000                                   10%    800                                    35%


18,000                                   200   1,000                                   5%     400                                    33%


16,000                                   0        0                                    0%        0                                   30%
         Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12                 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12                 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12

          Customer base (left)                             Net sales (left)                            EBITDA (left)
 5            Customer net                                     YoY net sales                              EBITDA
              intake (right)                                   growth (right)                             margin (right)
The Russian mobile market overview
TELE2 SUBSCRIBERS AS PART OF TOTAL RUSSIAN                                           NET ADDITIONS
MOBILE MARKET
                                                                                     Thousands of subscribers
Million subscribers
                                                     9%              10% 170%       5,000
250                             8%
                                                                                    4,000
200                                                                          160%
                                                           158%     161%
                                                                                    3,000
                                                154%
150                                   153%                                   150%
                             148%                                                   2,000
                    144%
100                                                                          140%   1,000
            134%
    50                                                                       130%       0
                                                                                    -1,000
     0                                                                       120%
          Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3                              -2,000
          09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12
                                                                                    -3,000
                  subbase ex-Tele2           Tele2          penetration %

ARPU DEVELOPMENT                                                                       APPM
    RUB                                                                                1/100 USD
400                                                                                   5.5
350
                                                                                      5.0
300
250                   220      223      218          229      234      235            4.5
             201
200                                                                                   4.0
150
                                                                                      3.5
100
    50                                                                                3.0
    0                                                                                 2.5
           2009    2010     2011     Q1-12     Q2-12       Q3-12    Q4-12                    Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12


    Source: Company data, AC&M Consulting                               Tele2         MegaFon
6
                                                                        Vimpelcom     MTS
Customer statistics
    Quarterly Churn
19%
17%
                                                                     •   Tele2’s churn level is the lowest in the industry,
15%
                                                                         showing normal seasonality development
13%
11%
    9%
                 7%                          9%
    7%                 8% 7%           8%         8%
                                                       7%
                                                             8% 9%
    5%      7%                 7%




     CUSTOMER SERVICE SATISFACTION
     OVERALL
            Top-3 on 10 point scale                                  •   Tele2’s own call centers show the highest
      86%         88%         89%           85%        87%               customer satisfaction in Russia combined with
                                                                         decreasing costs per contact




         Q4'11        Q1'12     Q2'12        Q3'12      Q4'12


      -3%         -1%         -2%           -2%        -2%

          Bottom-3 on 10 point scale


    Source: Company data, AC&M Consulting                    Tele2        MegaFon
7
                                                             Vimpelcom    MTS
Cost efficiency Tele2 Russia
    SALES and MARKETING COSTS / REVENUE                  CUSTOMERS per EMPLOYEE
    120%
           Base level 2009                                 Tele2
    100%
                                              -15%
    80%                                                   Beeline

    60%
                                                         Megafon
    40%

    20%
                                                            MTS
     0%
               2009          2010   2011   2012                     0%   20%   40%   60%   80%   100%   120%



    ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS / REVENUE
    120%
           Base level 2009
    100%

    80%

    60%
                                                  -36%               Continued focus on
    40%                                                              cost efficiency
    20%

     0%
               2009          2010   2011   2012




8
Q4 Revenue Source Development
    VOICE & OTHER and DATA REVENUE SPLIT DEVELOPMENT
                       SEK millions

                           4,000


                                                                          8%         9%
                                                               8%
                           3,000                     9%
                                       8%


                           2,000
                                                              92%        92%        91%
                                      92%           91%
                           1,000


                              0
                                      Q4'11         Q1'12     Q2'12      Q3'12      Q4'12

                                              Voice & other           Data access




                      Voice and data demonstrate 8% and 15% YoY growth
                                         respectively

    Source: Company data
9
Regulatory update: significant developments
       Technology neutrality
       The mobile operators shall jointly conduct LTE trials on 1,800 MHz, with trial report to be
       submitted by June1, 2013. A decision is pending before end of 2013.
       On Dec. 28, 2012 the Prime Minister approved a roadmap for "Development of Competition and
       Improvement of Antimonopoly Policy” listing a number of issues impeding the development of the
       telecom market. Lack of TN is regarded as the main obstacle to the development of competition
       in the Russian telecom market, concluding that it is necessary to introduce TN by the end of 2013



      MNP
      MNP launch is due on Dec. 1, 2013. Customer fee for porting shall not exceed 100 Rub. Details of
      MNP implementation such as regional or national porting, MNP database set-up, charges incurred
      for porting subs and MNP database administration etc. shall be defined by the Regulator by Q2,
      2013


      New GSM licenses
      GKRCH approved distribution of 9 regional GSM licenses (1800 MHz band) via auctions.
      Roscomnadzor is expected to work out the auctions terms and conditions as well as timing during
      Q1 2013


     * GKRCh – State Commission on Radio Frequencies
10
Tele2 Russia forward looking statement



      The following assumptions should
      be taken into account when
      estimating the operational
      performance of the Russian mobile
      operations in 2013:

      •   Tele2 expects total revenue of between
          SEK 13,700 - 13,800 million.

      •   Tele2 expects EBITDA of between SEK
          4,800 - 4,900 million.




11
Market Area Nordic: Overview

     Population
     14.4 million

     Tele2 Sweden and Tele2 Norway
     Home market and test bed for new services
     Represents 40% of total net sales in Q4 2012
     Sweden 29%; Norway 11%




     Focus
         Sweden: Build on mobile growth and 4G roll-out coupled with household / corporate
          fiber strategy
         Norway: Roll out own network and focus on bucket-price subscriptions


12
Q4 Highlights Tele2 Sweden

        •     Net sales amounted to SEK 3,229 million and
              EBITDA amounted to SEK 859 million
        •     Mobile service revenue growth of 5% YoY
        •     Mobile EBITDA margin of 29%, affected by high
              expansion costs such as handset subsidies and
              higher than expected intake for Comviq postpaid




MOBILE CUSTOMER BASE and                          NET SALES and                                   EBITDA and
CUSTOMER INTAKE                                   YoY NET SALES GROWTH                            EBITDA MARGIN
Thousands of customers                            SEK Million                                     SEK Million
4,000                                       80    4,000                                     4%    1,000                                    40%

3,750                                       40    3,000                                     2%     750                                     30%

3,500                                       0     2,000                                     0%     500                                     20%

3,250                                       -40   1,000                                     -2%    250                                     10%

3,000                                       -80       0                                     -4%       0                                    0%
            Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12                 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12                    Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12

             Customer base (left)                          Mobile      Fixed broadband   Fixed telephony    Other
 13              Customer net                                   YoY net sales                                    EBITDA
                 intake (right)                                 growth (right)                                   margin (right)
Strong underlying revenue growth despite
     continued prepaid decline

                        UNDERLYING MOBILE REVENUE GROWTH
                       6%


                       5%


                       4%


                       3%


                       2%


                       1%


                       0%
                                Q1 2012         Q2 2012            Q3 2012   Q4 2012




14   * Underlying revenue excludes handsets and operator revenue
Postpaid growth key to mitigate our strong position
      in a declining prepaid market
     PREPAID SHARE OF CUSTOMER STOCK                                 TELE2 SWEDEN CUSTOMER CHURN PATTERN
     60%

     50%

     40%

     30%

     20%

     10%

      0%
             2H 2010       1H 2011        2H 2011       1H 2012                  •   External churn down
                                                                                     20% during Q3 and Q4
                    Market average         Tele2 Sweden
                                                                                 •   Cannibalization between
     TELE2 SWEDEN MOBILE CUSTOMER STOCK                                              brands on postpaid
     Thousands                                                                       offerings lower than
     2,400                                                                           expected
     2,200
     2,000
     1,800
     1,600
     1,400
     1,200
     1,000
              Q1     Q2     Q3     Q4     Q1     Q2     Q3     Q4
             2011   2011   2011   2011   2012   2012   2012   2012

                           Postpaid        Prepaid


15
Smartphone market development

     SALES of TOP TEN MOBILE PHONES                      SMARTPHONE INSTALLED BASE
     TELE2 SWEDEN (Q4 2012)
                                                         100%
                                                         90%
                                                         80%
                                                         70%
                                                         60%
                                                         50%
                                                         40%
                                                         30%
                                                         20%
                                                         10%
                                                          0%
                                                                1201 1202 1203 1204 1205 1206 1207 1208 1209 1210 1211 1212

                                                                        Regular handset           Smartphone




      Note: Postpaid residential, quantity of handsets
16
Change in strategy already commenced




17
New distribution concept and prepaid
     product under Comviq brand




18
4G main source of data growth in Sweden

     3G and 4G DATA USAGE                       4G NETWORK ROLL-OUT
     DEVELOPMENT
     MB




     Jun-11     Jan-12        Jun-12   Dec-12
                 3G      4G

                                                99% population coverage
                                                end of Q1


19
Continued pursuit of growth in line with new
     strategy
                                    Bucket price plans to handle voice to data
                                    transition
                                    Launching platform for upsale of data
                                    Augmenting Billing system and data warehouse,
                                    leading to a better understanding of our customers


                    Continued roll-out of 4G network along with 4G
                    handset push
                    VoLTE implementation to improve network efficiency
                    and voice quality


     Continued roll-out of Comviq distribution concept
     together with Reitan
     Continued roll-out of Tele2 stores
     Increased focus on B2B


20
Tele2 Sweden forward looking statement



      The following assumptions should
      be taken into account when
      estimating the operational
      performance of the Swedish mobile
      operations in 2013:

      •   Tele2 expects total revenue of between
          SEK 10,100 - 10,300 million.

      •   Tele2 expects EBITDA of between SEK
          2,900 - 3,100 million.




21
Q4 Highlights Tele2 Norway
          •     Strong focus on network roll-out
          •     Satisfactory net intake of 15,000 mobile customers
          •     Tele2 Norway reported total external revenue of SEK 1,222
                million, of which SEK 1,153 million was mobile revenue
          •     Mobile EBITDA negative, affected by high sales and marketing
                costs as well as handset subsidies




CUSTOMER BASE and                                   NET SALES and                                     EBITDA and
CUSTOMER INTAKE                                     YoY NET SALES GROWTH                              EBITDA MARGIN
Thousands of customers                              SEK Million                                       SEK Million
1,600                                         30    1,600                                           150                                    15%

                                                                                                    100                                    10%
1,200                                         15    1,200
                                                                                                     50                                    5%
 800                                          0      800
                                                                                                       0                                   0%
 400                                          -15    400
                                                                                                     -50                                   -5%

      0                                       -30       0                                           -100                                   -10%
              Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12                 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12                  Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12

              Customer base (left)                            Mobile      Fixed broadband   Fixed telephony   Other
 22               Customer net                                     YoY net sales                                      EBITDA
                  intake (right)                                   growth (right)                                     margin (right)
Tele2 Norway forward looking statement


      The following assumptions should
      be taken into account when
      estimating the operational
      performance of the Norwegian
      mobile operations in 2013:

      •   Tele2 expects total revenue of between
          SEK 4,200 - 4,300 million.

      •   Tele2 expects EBITDA of between SEK
          70 - 80 million.

      •   Tele2 expects capex of between SEK
          900 -1,000 million.




23
Market Area Western Europe:
     Overview

     Population
     108 million

     Leading the group in business to business services
     and consumer fixed broadband
     Represents 17% of total net sales in Q4 2012
     Netherlands 12%; Germany 2%; Austria 3%




     Focus
        Netherlands       Build a full service MNO, while growing existing business
        Austria           B2B & continuous integration of Silver Server
        Germany           Grow Fixed Via Mobile product

24
Q4 Highlights Tele2 Netherlands

          •     Successfully secured mobile licenses. Roll out of 4G
                network will make Tele2 the fourth mobile operator
          •     Mobile intake continues at previous quarter levels,
                significant part in the high value mobile postpaid
                segment
          •     EBITDA affected by high mobile acquisition costs




CUSTOMER BASE and                                   NET SALES and                                  EBITDA and
CUSTOMER INTAKE                                     YoY NET SALES GROWTH                           EBITDA MARGIN
Thousands of customers                              SEK Million                                     SEK Million
1,200                                         40    1,600                                   10%    800                                      40%

                                                                                            5%     600                                      30%
  900                                         20    1,200
                                                                                            0%     400                                      20%
  600                                         0      800
                                                                                            -5%    200                                      10%
  300                                         -20    400
                                                                                            -10%      0                                     0%

      0                                       -40       0                                   -15% -200                                       -10%
              Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12                 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12                   Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12

               Customer base (left)                         Mobile      Fixed broadband   Fixed telephony     Other
 25                Customer net                                  YoY net sales                                        EBITDA
                   intake (right)                                growth (right)                                       margin (right)
Dutch regulatory requirements

     • All frequencies are technology neutral


     • License duration: 17 years, valid until 2030 in sync with 2,600 MHz
       licenses


     • 11,000 existing sites, of which an increasing number are independent
       due to MNO’s selling off sites


     • MNOs have an obligation to share sites in towers, and to cooperate on
       roof top sites




26
MNO building blocks




 • Tele2 is well positioned
 • Many building blocks are already
   available
 • Most importantly our own fiber optic
   nation wide network
                                          = Tele2’s current Fiber optic Network


27
Dutch 4G launch


         2x 10 MHz 800MHz band licenses activated on January 1st 2013


            We will start rolling out our own out 4G Network in 2013


          Ambition to launch as soon as possible with 4G propositions



          4G technique will offer new experience to Dutch consumers


         Tele2 Netherlands has a growing mobile customer base (MVNO)




28
Tele2 Netherlands forward looking statement

      The following assumptions should
      be taken into account when
      estimating the operational
      performance of the Dutch mobile
      operations in 2013:

      •   Tele2 expects total revenue of between
          SEK 1,600 – 1,700 million.

      •   Tele2 expects EBITDA of between SEK
          -50 to -75 million.

      •   Tele2 expects capex of between SEK
          2,000 – 2,500 million, whereof licences
          for 4G/LTE SEK 1,400 million.

      •   The mobile operations should reach
          EBITDA break-even 3 years after
          commercial launch of 4G/LTE services.




29
Q4 Highlights Tele2 Germany
         and Tele2 Austria
     •   Tele2 Germany: Fixed via Mobile (FVM) partly
         compensates the decline in fixed, EBITDA margin
         affected by high acquisition costs on FVM
     •   Tele2 Austria: Focus on growing the B2B segment
         resulted in an increased net intake




         TELE2 GERMANY                                           TELE2 AUSTRIA
         EBITDA and EBITDA MARGIN                                EBITDA and EBITDA MARGIN
         SEK Million                                             SEK Million
         120                                               40%   120                                               40%


          90                                               30%    90                                               30%


          60                                               20%    60                                               20%


          30                                               10%    30                                               10%


           0                                               0%      0                                               0%
               Q4 11   Q1 12     Q2 12    Q3 12    Q4 12               Q4 11   Q1 12    Q2 12    Q3 12     Q4 12

                               EBITDA (left)                                           EBITDA (left)
30                                EBITDA                                                  EBITDA
                                  margin (right)                                          margin (right)
Market Area Central Europe and Eurasia:
     Overview

     Population
     28 million
     Represents 13% of total net sales in Q4
     2012
     Estonia 2%; Latvia 2%; Lithuania 3%;
     Croatia 3%; Kazakhstan 3%




     Focus
        Continued rapid market share growth in Kazakhstan
        Efficiency improvements in Baltics
        Improvements in market share growth in Croatia


31
Q4 Highlights Tele2 Estonia

      •    Commercial launch of 4G in November
      •    Modernization of network currently ongoing
      •    Focus on efficiency improvements, EBITDA affected by
           price war in the postpaid segment




MOBILE CUSTOMER BASE                            NET SALES and                               EBITDA and
and CUSTOMER INTAKE                             YoY NET SALES GROWTH                        EBITDA MARGIN
Thousands of customers                          SEK Million                                 SEK Million
600                                       15    300                                   12%   80                                   40%

450                                       8     225                                   9%    60                                   30%

300                                       0     150                                   6%    40                                   20%

150                                       -8     75                                   3%    20                                   10%

  0                                       -15     0                                   0%     0                                   0%
          Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12               Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12              Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12

            Mobile customer base (left)                  Net sales (left)                          EBITDA (left)
 32              Customer net                                YoY net sales                            EBITDA
                 intake (right)                              growth (right)                           margin (right)
Q4 Highlights Tele2 Latvia

      •   Tele2 Latvia maintains high efficiency in a competitive market
      •   EBITDA margin amounted to 32%
      •   Rolling out 4G when commercially attractive




CUSTOMER BASE and                               NET SALES and                                EBITDA and
CUSTOMER INTAKE                                 YoY NET SALES GROWTH                         EBITDA MARGIN
Thousands of customers                          SEK Million                                  SEK Million
1,200                                     40    400                                   10%    120                                   40%

 900                                      20    300                                   5%     90                                    30%

 600                                      0     200                                   0%     60                                    20%

 300                                      -20   100                                   -5%    30                                    10%

      0                                   -40     0                                   -10%     0                                   0%
          Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12               Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12                Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12

           Customer base (left)                         Net sales (left)                            EBITDA (left)
 33            Customer net                                 YoY net sales                              EBITDA
               intake (right)                               growth (right)                             margin (right)
Q4 Highlights Tele2 Lithuania

      •       EBITDA margin amounted to 29%, affected by high sales
              and marketing costs in the quarter due to strong
              competition on handset pricing leading to increased
              subsidies




MOBILE CUSTOMER BASE                               NET SALES and                                EBITDA and
and CUSTOMER INTAKE                                YoY NET SALES GROWTH                         EBITDA MARGIN
Thousands of customers                             SEK Million                                  SEK Million
2,000                                         55   400                                   5%     160                                   50%

1,500                                         40   300                                   0%     120                                   40%

1,000                                         25   200                                   -5%     80                                   30%

  500                                         10   100                                   -10%    40                                   20%

          0                                   -5     0                                   -15%     0                                   10%
              Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12              Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12                Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12

              Mobile customer base (left)                  Net sales (left)                              EBITDA (left)
 34                Customer net                                YoY net sales                                EBITDA
                   intake (right)                              growth (right)                               margin (right)
Q4 Highlights Tele2 Croatia

      •   Strong sales growth of 13% YoY
      •   Continuing to improve market position
      •   Cash flow positive in Q4 and full year




 CUSTOMER BASE and                               NET SALES and                                EBITDA and
 CUSTOMER INTAKE                                 YoY NET SALES GROWTH                         EBITDA MARGIN
 Thousands of customers                          SEK Million                                  SEK Million
1,000                                     90     500                                   20%    60                                   12%


 750                                      30     375                                   13%    45                                   9%


 500                                      -30    250                                   5%     30                                   6%


 250                                      -90    125                                   -3%    15                                   3%


      0                                   -150     0                                   -10%    0                                   0%
          Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12                Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12               Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12

             Customer base (left)                        Net sales (left)                             EBITDA (left)
 35              Customer net                                YoY net sales                               EBITDA
                 intake (right)                              growth (right)                              margin (right)
Q4 Highlights Tele2 Kazakhstan

  •       Continuing strong net intake of 361,000 customers
  •       Total number of customers amounted to 3.4 million
  •       Continuing rapid roll-out of new base stations for increased
          coverage




CUSTOMER BASE and                                 NET SALES and                                 EBITDA and
CUSTOMER INTAKE                                   YoY NET SALES GROWTH                          EBITDA MARGIN
Thousands of customers                            SEK Million                                   SEK Million
3,750                                     1,000   300                                   500%   160                                    0%

3,000                                     800
                                                  225                                   375%    80                                    -25%
2,250                                     600
                                                  150                                   250%     0                                    -50%
1,500                                     400
                                                   75                                   125%    -80                                   -75%
  750                                     200

      0                                   0         0                                   0%     -160                                   -100%
          Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12                 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12                 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12


          Customer base (left)                          Net sales (left)                               EBITDA (left)
 36           Customer net                                  YoY net sales                                 EBITDA
              intake (right)                                growth (right)                                margin (right)
Overview of the Kazakh mobile market

      MOBILE SUBSCRIBERS – MARKET SHARE                         NET ADDITIONS
                                                                Thousands of subscribers
                           5.5%                         12.1%
     100%                                                       2,000,000

     80%                                                        1,600,000

                                                                1,200,000
     60%
                                                                 800,000
     40%
                                                                 400,000
     20%                                                                0

      0%                                                         -400,000
            Q4   Q1   Q2    Q3      Q4   Q1        Q2    Q3                 Q4    Q1    Q2    Q3    Q4     Q1    Q2    Q3   Q4*
            10   11   11    11      11   12        12    12                 10    11    11    11    11     12    12    12   12

                 Tele2               Kcell/Activ                                 Tele2                   Kcell/Activ
                 Dalacom/Pathword    Beeline                                     Dalacom/Pathword        Beeline




37                                                              * Q4 12 only Tele2 net additions
Tele2 Kazakhstan forward-looking statement


      The following assumptions should be
      taken into account when estimating the
      operational performance of the Kazakh
      mobile operations in 2013:

      •   Tele2 expects total revenue of between SEK
          1,700 - 1,800 million.

      •   Tele2 expects EBITDA of between SEK -100
          to -200 million.

      •   Tele2 expects capex of between SEK 550 –
          650 million.

      •   Tele2 expects to reach a long-term mobile
          customer market share of 30 percent.




38
Agenda




              • About Q4 2012

              • Financial review

              • Concluding remarks



39
Group result Q4
     SEK million                             Q4 2012    Q4 2011      ▲%

     Net sales                                11,275     10,852     3.9%

     EBITDA                                    2,672      2,873     -7.0%
      EBITDA margin (%)                        23.7%      26.5%     -2.8%


     Depreciation & associated companies      -1,145     -1,184     -3.3%   • Net sales include equipment
      Depreciation of net sales (%)            -10.1%     -10.9%     0.8%     sales of SEK 909 million
     One-off items                                 -3       -26               (728) +25%
     EBIT                                      1,524      1,663     -8.4%
     Normalized EBIT                           1,527      1,689     -9.6%   • EBITDA margin development
      Normalized EBIT margin (%)               13.5%      15.6%     -2.0%
                                                                              explained by higher
                                                                              expansion costs
     Financial items                            -360        -83
     Taxes                                      -599       -270
     Net profit from continuing operations       565      1,310    -56.9%

     Discontinued operations                        -          -

     Net profit                                  565      1,310    -56.9%




40
Group result full-year
     SEK million                             FY 2012    FY 2011      ▲%

     Net sales                                43,726     41,001     6.6%

     EBITDA                                   10,960     11,212     -2.2%
      EBITDA margin (%)                        25.1%      27.3%     -2.3%


     Depreciation & associated companies      -4,749     -4,158    14.2%
      Depreciation of net sales (%)            -10.8%     -10.1%    -0.7%

     One-off items                              -558          -4            • Net sales include equipment
     EBIT                                      5,653      7,050    -19.8%     sales of SEK 2,875 million
     Normalized EBIT                           6,211      7,054    -12.0%     (2,272) +27%
      Normalized EBIT margin (%)               14.2%      17.2%     -3.0%


     Financial items                          -1,078       -674
     Taxes                                    -1,311     -1,625
     Net profit from continuing operations     3,264      4,751    -31.3%

     Discontinued operations                        -         -7

     Net profit                                3,264      4,744    -31.2%




41
Currency movements full-year
          2%

          1%

          0%

         -1%

         -2%

         -3%

         -4%

         -5%

         -6%

         -7%

         -8%
                   EUR                   RUB                 NOK                     KZT
               Average FY 2012 vs. average FY 2011   Fixing rate Dec 31, 2012 vs Dec 31, 2011




               EUR/EUR pegged and RUB currencies represent
                 57% of external sales and 73% of EBITDA


42
Depreciation

     Depreciation and
     Depreciation as a percentage of net sales
     SEK million
     1,400                                                          12.5%

                                                                    12.0%
                                                                            Change year-on-year for Q4
     1,200

     1,000
                                                                    11.5%   • Acquisition of Network Norway:
                                                                    11.0%     SEK 49 million
      800                                                           10.5%   • Upgrade/replacement of networks in
      600                                                           10.0%     the Baltics: SEK 52 million
      400
                                                                    9.5%    • Reduction in Sweden: SEK -79 million
                                                                    9.0%
                                                                            • Growth in Russia: SEK 41 million
      200
                                                                    8.5%

         0                                                          8.0%
              Q4'11      Q1'12    Q2'12      Q3'12       Q4'12

                   Depreciation     Depreciation of net sales (%)




43
Financial items
     SEK million
      Financial items in income statement      Q4 2012   Q4 2011   FY 2012   FY 2011

      Interest income/costs                       -247      -175      -957      -483
      Exchange rate differences, external            5       29        -14       -24
      Exchange rate differences, intragroup        -76      105        59        13
      Other financial items                        -42       -42      -166      -180

      Total                                       -360       -83    -1,078      -674



      Financial items in cash flow statement   Q4 2012   Q4 2011   FY 2012   FY 2011

      Interest paid                               -280      -216      -668      -366




44
Taxes
     SEK million
      Taxes in income statement                      Q4 2012     Q4 2011         FY 2012      FY 2011

      Normal                                             -500        -378          -1,474       -1,733
      One-off                                             -99         108             163            108

      Total                                              -599        -270          -1,311       -1,625



      Taxes in cash flow statement                   Q4 2012     Q4 2011         FY 2012      FY 2011

      Normal                                             -497        -163            -989            -948
      One-off                                                -           -               -              -

      Total                                              -497        -163            -989            -948


      • Net taxes were negatively affected by SEK -127 million due to decreased tax rate in Sweden
        from January 1, 2013

      • Cash flow taxes 2013 expected to be SEK -1,000 million


45
Taxes
     Closing balances
     SEK million
     5,000



     4,000                                                                    4,263



     3,000         3,296
                                                 2,977


     2,000



     1,000



         0

                   -851                                                       -933
     -1,000                                      -1,114



     -2,000
                   2010                          2011                         2012
                           Deferred Tax Assets     Deferred Tax Liabilities


46
Cash flow
     SEK million                                           Q4 2012   Q4 2011   FY 2012       FY 2011

     OPERATING ACTIVITIES
     Cash flow from operations, excl. taxes and interest     2,579     2,859       10,744     11,261
     Interest paid                                            -280      -216          -668      -366
     Taxes paid                                               -497      -163          -989      -948
     Change in working capital                                 13        -52          -408      -257
     Cash flow from operating activities                     1,815     2,428        8,679      9,690

     INVESTING ACTIVITIES
     CAPEX                                                  -1,286    -1,753       -4,609     -5,572
     Cash flow after CAPEX                                    529       675         4,070      4,118

     Shares and other financial assets                         -15    -1,560          -215    -1,563

     Cash flow after investing activities                     514       -885        3,855      2,555

     • Full-year 2012 CAPEX according to balance sheet SEK 5,336 million (6,105)
     • CAPEX for 2013 expected to reach SEK 6,000 million (incl. Dutch LTE license)


47
Pro forma financial debt profile
     Sources of funding
     SEK billion
     20.0
                                                               16.9
     17.5
                                                                                             14.9
                                                                             15.2
     15.0
                   12.8
                                         12.1
     12.5


     10.0


      7.5


      5.0


      2.5


      0.0


      -2.5
                   Q4'11                Q1'12                 Q2'12          Q3'12           Q4'12

                           Revolving Credit Facility   Russian bond     Commercial paper
                           Swedish bond                Norwegian bond   Other financing
                           Put option Kazakhstan       Cash             Pro forma net debt


48
Debt maturity and currency profile

     Debt maturity profile                                                Debt currency profile
     Gross debt SEK 16.6 billion (incl. unutilized SEK 27.3 billion)      Gross debt SEK 16.6 billion
     16
                                                                                            0.1
                                                                                      1.5
     14

     12                                                                                                   4.6
                                                                              2.5
     10

      8

      6
            3.8                                      4.2                     2.2
      4                        2.9       3.1
                       2.1
      2
                                                                  0.5
                                                                                                   5.7
      0
           2013        2014    2015     2016           2017       2018<
            Bonds                     Commercial papers                        SEK incl. FX swap         RUB
            Other bank loans          Put option, fin.lease and other
                                                                               EUR incl. FX swap         NOK
            Unutilized
                                                                               KZT                       USD




49
Tele2 in Debt Capital Markets
        Instrument     Date of issue    Maturity date      Volume        in MSEK*


        RUB Bond 5yr     2011-06-24        2016-06-24     13,000 MRUB       2,791


        RUB Bond 3yr     2012-04-13        2015-04-18     6,000 MRUB        1,288


        RUB Bond 2yr     2012-02-09        2014-02-14     7,000 MRUB        1,503


        NOK Bond 5yr     2012-02-20        2017-02-24     1,000 MNOK        1,167


        NOK Bond 3yr     2012-02-20        2015-02-24       300 MNOK          350


        SEK Bond         2012-05-08        2017-05-17     1,500 MSEK        1,500


        SEK Bond         2012-05-08        2017-05-15       800 MSEK          800


        SEK PP Bond      2012-09-27        2014-03-27       500 MSEK          500


        SEK PP Bond      2012-12-06        2015-03-06       750 MSEK          750


        SEK PP Bond      2013-01-03    3 months rolling     500 MSEK          500


        SEK CP              on-going         within 1yr   2,390 MSEK        2,390


                                                                 Total     13,540

                                                                                    * Fixing rate 31 Dec, 2012



50
Debt position and ratio
     Pro forma net debt / EBITDA 12 m rolling
     SEK billion / Ratio
     20.0                                                                                                                   2.00


     17.5                                                                                                                   1.75
                     2.9                     2.9                                                                     3.2
     15.0                                                                                                                   1.50
                     2.9
                                             2.9
     12.5                                                                                                                   1.25


     10.0                                                                                                                   1.00

                                                                    16.9
      7.5                                                                                   15.2                    14.9    0.75
                    12.8                     12.1
      5.0                                                                                                                   0.50


      2.5                                                                                                                   0.25


      0.0                                                                                                                   0.00
                    Q4'11                   Q1'12                   Q2'12                   Q3'12                   Q4'12

                            Pro forma net debt                              Ordinary dividend, proposed/paid
                            Extraordinary dividend, proposed/paid           Leverage net (net debt to EBITDA, pro forma)



51
Debt position and ratio incl. NL LTE
     Pro forma net debt / EBITDA 12 m rolling
     SEK billion / Ratio
     20.0                                                                                                                      2.00

                                                                                           Leverage gross (1.78)
                                                                                                                     1.4
     17.5                                                                                                                      1.75
                     2.9
                                                2.9                                                                  3.2
     15.0                                                                                                                      1.50
                     2.9
                                                2.9
     12.5                                                                                                                      1.25


     10.0                                                                                                                      1.00

                                                                    16.9
      7.5                                                                                   15.2                    14.9       0.75
                    12.8                        12.1
      5.0                                                                                                                      0.50


      2.5                                                                                                                      0.25


      0.0                                                                                                                      0.00
                    Q4'11                       Q1'12               Q2'12                   Q3'12                   Q4'12

                           Pro forma net debt                               Ordinary dividend (paid May 2012)
                           Extraordinary dividend (paid May 2012)           Proposed ordinary dividend (to be paid May 2013)
                           NL LTE license (paid January 2013)               Leverage net



52
Group financials                                         ● Mobile
                                                              ● Fixed telephony
                                                                                          ● Fixed broadband
                                                                                          ● Other operations

     Group EBITDA and
     Group EBITDA margin                                      Group Net Sales
     SEK million                        Group EBITDA margin   SEK million
     3,500                                            30.0%   12,000

     3,000
                                                      28.0%
                                                               9,000
     2,500

     2,000                                            26.0%
                                                               6,000
     1,500                                            24.0%
     1,000
                                                               3,000
                                                      22.0%
      500

        0                                             20.0%         0
              Q4'11   Q1'12   Q2'12   Q3'12   Q4'12                      Q4'11     Q1'12        Q2'12    Q3'12   Q4'12

     Group CAPEX (BS) and CAPEX/Sales                         ROCE (Normalized)
     SEK million                               CAPEX/Sales    Percent
     2,000                                            30.0%   25%
                                                                                                         21%

                                                              20%       19%
     1,500                                            22.5%                                                      17%

                                                              15%
                                                                                  16%           16%
     1,000                                            15.0%
                                                              10%

      500                                             7.5%
                                                               5%


         0                                            0.0%     0%
              Q4'11   Q1'12   Q2'12   Q3'12   Q4'12                     Q4'11     Q1'12        Q2'12     Q3'12   Q4'12


53
Sweden – Mobile
     External revenue excl. equipment sales and
     Equipment sales                                      Expansion costs
     SEK million                                          SEK million
     3,000                                                  0

     2,500                                                -100

     2,000                                                -200

     1,500                                                -300

     1,000                                                -400

      500                                                 -500

           0                                              -600
                Q4'11   Q1'12   Q2'12    Q3'12    Q4'12            Q4'11    Q1'12   Q2'12   Q3'12   Q4'12

     EBITDA
     SEK million


     800                                                   Change year-on-year for Q4

     600                                                   • Year-on-year revenue growth excl.
                                                             equipment sales of 6%
     400
                                                           • Year-on-year expansion costs increased by
     200
                                                             SEK 122 million (33%)

       0
               Q4'11    Q1'12   Q2'12    Q3'12    Q4'12


54
Agenda




              • About Q4 2012

              • Financial review

              • Concluding remarks



55
Concluding remarks



      Continue to grow as an operator

      Manage the shift from voice to data

      Continue to migrate from prepaid to
      postpaid

      Invest in new growth initiatives




56
Q&A

57
Tele2 Fourth quarter 2012

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Tele2 Fourth quarter 2012

  • 1. FOURTH QUARTER 2012 Tele2 AB February 5, 2013
  • 2. Agenda • About Q4 2012 • Financial review • Concluding remarks 2
  • 3. Tele2 Group Q4 Highlights • Net mobile customer intake of 0.7 million leading to a total customer base of 38.2 million • Net sales growth for the Group amounted to 6%, corresponding to SEK 11,275 million • EBITDA amounted to SEK 2,672 million, equivalent to a margin of 24% • CAPEX amounted to SEK 1,478 million 3
  • 4. Market Area Russia: Overview Population Appr. 143 million Tele2 Russia  43 regions of Russian Federation  22.7 million subscribers  Mobile operator #4 in Russia in terms of subscribers and revenue Represents 30% of total net sales in Q4 2012 Focus  Continue to grow customer base and maximize the 2G opportunity  Evaluate possibilities to expand carefully through new licenses as well as by complementary acquisitions  Make progress on technology neutrality 4
  • 5. Q4 Highlights Russia • Strong customer net intake of 373,000 • Stable EBITDA margin, amounting to 37% • ARPU grew by 4% YoY, and MoU by 7% YoY CUSTOMER BASE and NET SALES and EBITDA and CUSTOMER INTAKE YoY NET SALES GROWTH EBITDA MARGIN Thousands of customers SEK Million SEK Million 24,000 800 4,000 20% 1,600 40% 22,000 600 3,000 15% 1,200 38% 20,000 400 2,000 10% 800 35% 18,000 200 1,000 5% 400 33% 16,000 0 0 0% 0 30% Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Customer base (left) Net sales (left) EBITDA (left) 5 Customer net YoY net sales EBITDA intake (right) growth (right) margin (right)
  • 6. The Russian mobile market overview TELE2 SUBSCRIBERS AS PART OF TOTAL RUSSIAN NET ADDITIONS MOBILE MARKET Thousands of subscribers Million subscribers 9% 10% 170% 5,000 250 8% 4,000 200 160% 158% 161% 3,000 154% 150 153% 150% 148% 2,000 144% 100 140% 1,000 134% 50 130% 0 -1,000 0 120% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 -2,000 09 09 09 09 10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 -3,000 subbase ex-Tele2 Tele2 penetration % ARPU DEVELOPMENT APPM RUB 1/100 USD 400 5.5 350 5.0 300 250 220 223 218 229 234 235 4.5 201 200 4.0 150 3.5 100 50 3.0 0 2.5 2009 2010 2011 Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 Q4-10 Q1-11 Q2-11 Q3-11 Q4-11 Q1-12 Q2-12 Q3-12 Q4-12 Source: Company data, AC&M Consulting Tele2 MegaFon 6 Vimpelcom MTS
  • 7. Customer statistics Quarterly Churn 19% 17% • Tele2’s churn level is the lowest in the industry, 15% showing normal seasonality development 13% 11% 9% 7% 9% 7% 8% 7% 8% 8% 7% 8% 9% 5% 7% 7% CUSTOMER SERVICE SATISFACTION OVERALL Top-3 on 10 point scale • Tele2’s own call centers show the highest 86% 88% 89% 85% 87% customer satisfaction in Russia combined with decreasing costs per contact Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 -3% -1% -2% -2% -2% Bottom-3 on 10 point scale Source: Company data, AC&M Consulting Tele2 MegaFon 7 Vimpelcom MTS
  • 8. Cost efficiency Tele2 Russia SALES and MARKETING COSTS / REVENUE CUSTOMERS per EMPLOYEE 120% Base level 2009 Tele2 100% -15% 80% Beeline 60% Megafon 40% 20% MTS 0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% ADMINISTRATIVE COSTS / REVENUE 120% Base level 2009 100% 80% 60% -36% Continued focus on 40% cost efficiency 20% 0% 2009 2010 2011 2012 8
  • 9. Q4 Revenue Source Development VOICE & OTHER and DATA REVENUE SPLIT DEVELOPMENT SEK millions 4,000 8% 9% 8% 3,000 9% 8% 2,000 92% 92% 91% 92% 91% 1,000 0 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Voice & other Data access Voice and data demonstrate 8% and 15% YoY growth respectively Source: Company data 9
  • 10. Regulatory update: significant developments Technology neutrality The mobile operators shall jointly conduct LTE trials on 1,800 MHz, with trial report to be submitted by June1, 2013. A decision is pending before end of 2013. On Dec. 28, 2012 the Prime Minister approved a roadmap for "Development of Competition and Improvement of Antimonopoly Policy” listing a number of issues impeding the development of the telecom market. Lack of TN is regarded as the main obstacle to the development of competition in the Russian telecom market, concluding that it is necessary to introduce TN by the end of 2013 MNP MNP launch is due on Dec. 1, 2013. Customer fee for porting shall not exceed 100 Rub. Details of MNP implementation such as regional or national porting, MNP database set-up, charges incurred for porting subs and MNP database administration etc. shall be defined by the Regulator by Q2, 2013 New GSM licenses GKRCH approved distribution of 9 regional GSM licenses (1800 MHz band) via auctions. Roscomnadzor is expected to work out the auctions terms and conditions as well as timing during Q1 2013 * GKRCh – State Commission on Radio Frequencies 10
  • 11. Tele2 Russia forward looking statement The following assumptions should be taken into account when estimating the operational performance of the Russian mobile operations in 2013: • Tele2 expects total revenue of between SEK 13,700 - 13,800 million. • Tele2 expects EBITDA of between SEK 4,800 - 4,900 million. 11
  • 12. Market Area Nordic: Overview Population 14.4 million Tele2 Sweden and Tele2 Norway Home market and test bed for new services Represents 40% of total net sales in Q4 2012 Sweden 29%; Norway 11% Focus  Sweden: Build on mobile growth and 4G roll-out coupled with household / corporate fiber strategy  Norway: Roll out own network and focus on bucket-price subscriptions 12
  • 13. Q4 Highlights Tele2 Sweden • Net sales amounted to SEK 3,229 million and EBITDA amounted to SEK 859 million • Mobile service revenue growth of 5% YoY • Mobile EBITDA margin of 29%, affected by high expansion costs such as handset subsidies and higher than expected intake for Comviq postpaid MOBILE CUSTOMER BASE and NET SALES and EBITDA and CUSTOMER INTAKE YoY NET SALES GROWTH EBITDA MARGIN Thousands of customers SEK Million SEK Million 4,000 80 4,000 4% 1,000 40% 3,750 40 3,000 2% 750 30% 3,500 0 2,000 0% 500 20% 3,250 -40 1,000 -2% 250 10% 3,000 -80 0 -4% 0 0% Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Customer base (left) Mobile Fixed broadband Fixed telephony Other 13 Customer net YoY net sales EBITDA intake (right) growth (right) margin (right)
  • 14. Strong underlying revenue growth despite continued prepaid decline UNDERLYING MOBILE REVENUE GROWTH 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 14 * Underlying revenue excludes handsets and operator revenue
  • 15. Postpaid growth key to mitigate our strong position in a declining prepaid market PREPAID SHARE OF CUSTOMER STOCK TELE2 SWEDEN CUSTOMER CHURN PATTERN 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 2H 2010 1H 2011 2H 2011 1H 2012 • External churn down 20% during Q3 and Q4 Market average Tele2 Sweden • Cannibalization between TELE2 SWEDEN MOBILE CUSTOMER STOCK brands on postpaid Thousands offerings lower than 2,400 expected 2,200 2,000 1,800 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2011 2011 2011 2011 2012 2012 2012 2012 Postpaid Prepaid 15
  • 16. Smartphone market development SALES of TOP TEN MOBILE PHONES SMARTPHONE INSTALLED BASE TELE2 SWEDEN (Q4 2012) 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1201 1202 1203 1204 1205 1206 1207 1208 1209 1210 1211 1212 Regular handset Smartphone Note: Postpaid residential, quantity of handsets 16
  • 17. Change in strategy already commenced 17
  • 18. New distribution concept and prepaid product under Comviq brand 18
  • 19. 4G main source of data growth in Sweden 3G and 4G DATA USAGE 4G NETWORK ROLL-OUT DEVELOPMENT MB Jun-11 Jan-12 Jun-12 Dec-12 3G 4G 99% population coverage end of Q1 19
  • 20. Continued pursuit of growth in line with new strategy Bucket price plans to handle voice to data transition Launching platform for upsale of data Augmenting Billing system and data warehouse, leading to a better understanding of our customers Continued roll-out of 4G network along with 4G handset push VoLTE implementation to improve network efficiency and voice quality Continued roll-out of Comviq distribution concept together with Reitan Continued roll-out of Tele2 stores Increased focus on B2B 20
  • 21. Tele2 Sweden forward looking statement The following assumptions should be taken into account when estimating the operational performance of the Swedish mobile operations in 2013: • Tele2 expects total revenue of between SEK 10,100 - 10,300 million. • Tele2 expects EBITDA of between SEK 2,900 - 3,100 million. 21
  • 22. Q4 Highlights Tele2 Norway • Strong focus on network roll-out • Satisfactory net intake of 15,000 mobile customers • Tele2 Norway reported total external revenue of SEK 1,222 million, of which SEK 1,153 million was mobile revenue • Mobile EBITDA negative, affected by high sales and marketing costs as well as handset subsidies CUSTOMER BASE and NET SALES and EBITDA and CUSTOMER INTAKE YoY NET SALES GROWTH EBITDA MARGIN Thousands of customers SEK Million SEK Million 1,600 30 1,600 150 15% 100 10% 1,200 15 1,200 50 5% 800 0 800 0 0% 400 -15 400 -50 -5% 0 -30 0 -100 -10% Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Customer base (left) Mobile Fixed broadband Fixed telephony Other 22 Customer net YoY net sales EBITDA intake (right) growth (right) margin (right)
  • 23. Tele2 Norway forward looking statement The following assumptions should be taken into account when estimating the operational performance of the Norwegian mobile operations in 2013: • Tele2 expects total revenue of between SEK 4,200 - 4,300 million. • Tele2 expects EBITDA of between SEK 70 - 80 million. • Tele2 expects capex of between SEK 900 -1,000 million. 23
  • 24. Market Area Western Europe: Overview Population 108 million Leading the group in business to business services and consumer fixed broadband Represents 17% of total net sales in Q4 2012 Netherlands 12%; Germany 2%; Austria 3% Focus  Netherlands Build a full service MNO, while growing existing business  Austria B2B & continuous integration of Silver Server  Germany Grow Fixed Via Mobile product 24
  • 25. Q4 Highlights Tele2 Netherlands • Successfully secured mobile licenses. Roll out of 4G network will make Tele2 the fourth mobile operator • Mobile intake continues at previous quarter levels, significant part in the high value mobile postpaid segment • EBITDA affected by high mobile acquisition costs CUSTOMER BASE and NET SALES and EBITDA and CUSTOMER INTAKE YoY NET SALES GROWTH EBITDA MARGIN Thousands of customers SEK Million SEK Million 1,200 40 1,600 10% 800 40% 5% 600 30% 900 20 1,200 0% 400 20% 600 0 800 -5% 200 10% 300 -20 400 -10% 0 0% 0 -40 0 -15% -200 -10% Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Customer base (left) Mobile Fixed broadband Fixed telephony Other 25 Customer net YoY net sales EBITDA intake (right) growth (right) margin (right)
  • 26. Dutch regulatory requirements • All frequencies are technology neutral • License duration: 17 years, valid until 2030 in sync with 2,600 MHz licenses • 11,000 existing sites, of which an increasing number are independent due to MNO’s selling off sites • MNOs have an obligation to share sites in towers, and to cooperate on roof top sites 26
  • 27. MNO building blocks • Tele2 is well positioned • Many building blocks are already available • Most importantly our own fiber optic nation wide network = Tele2’s current Fiber optic Network 27
  • 28. Dutch 4G launch 2x 10 MHz 800MHz band licenses activated on January 1st 2013 We will start rolling out our own out 4G Network in 2013 Ambition to launch as soon as possible with 4G propositions 4G technique will offer new experience to Dutch consumers Tele2 Netherlands has a growing mobile customer base (MVNO) 28
  • 29. Tele2 Netherlands forward looking statement The following assumptions should be taken into account when estimating the operational performance of the Dutch mobile operations in 2013: • Tele2 expects total revenue of between SEK 1,600 – 1,700 million. • Tele2 expects EBITDA of between SEK -50 to -75 million. • Tele2 expects capex of between SEK 2,000 – 2,500 million, whereof licences for 4G/LTE SEK 1,400 million. • The mobile operations should reach EBITDA break-even 3 years after commercial launch of 4G/LTE services. 29
  • 30. Q4 Highlights Tele2 Germany and Tele2 Austria • Tele2 Germany: Fixed via Mobile (FVM) partly compensates the decline in fixed, EBITDA margin affected by high acquisition costs on FVM • Tele2 Austria: Focus on growing the B2B segment resulted in an increased net intake TELE2 GERMANY TELE2 AUSTRIA EBITDA and EBITDA MARGIN EBITDA and EBITDA MARGIN SEK Million SEK Million 120 40% 120 40% 90 30% 90 30% 60 20% 60 20% 30 10% 30 10% 0 0% 0 0% Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 EBITDA (left) EBITDA (left) 30 EBITDA EBITDA margin (right) margin (right)
  • 31. Market Area Central Europe and Eurasia: Overview Population 28 million Represents 13% of total net sales in Q4 2012 Estonia 2%; Latvia 2%; Lithuania 3%; Croatia 3%; Kazakhstan 3% Focus  Continued rapid market share growth in Kazakhstan  Efficiency improvements in Baltics  Improvements in market share growth in Croatia 31
  • 32. Q4 Highlights Tele2 Estonia • Commercial launch of 4G in November • Modernization of network currently ongoing • Focus on efficiency improvements, EBITDA affected by price war in the postpaid segment MOBILE CUSTOMER BASE NET SALES and EBITDA and and CUSTOMER INTAKE YoY NET SALES GROWTH EBITDA MARGIN Thousands of customers SEK Million SEK Million 600 15 300 12% 80 40% 450 8 225 9% 60 30% 300 0 150 6% 40 20% 150 -8 75 3% 20 10% 0 -15 0 0% 0 0% Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Mobile customer base (left) Net sales (left) EBITDA (left) 32 Customer net YoY net sales EBITDA intake (right) growth (right) margin (right)
  • 33. Q4 Highlights Tele2 Latvia • Tele2 Latvia maintains high efficiency in a competitive market • EBITDA margin amounted to 32% • Rolling out 4G when commercially attractive CUSTOMER BASE and NET SALES and EBITDA and CUSTOMER INTAKE YoY NET SALES GROWTH EBITDA MARGIN Thousands of customers SEK Million SEK Million 1,200 40 400 10% 120 40% 900 20 300 5% 90 30% 600 0 200 0% 60 20% 300 -20 100 -5% 30 10% 0 -40 0 -10% 0 0% Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Customer base (left) Net sales (left) EBITDA (left) 33 Customer net YoY net sales EBITDA intake (right) growth (right) margin (right)
  • 34. Q4 Highlights Tele2 Lithuania • EBITDA margin amounted to 29%, affected by high sales and marketing costs in the quarter due to strong competition on handset pricing leading to increased subsidies MOBILE CUSTOMER BASE NET SALES and EBITDA and and CUSTOMER INTAKE YoY NET SALES GROWTH EBITDA MARGIN Thousands of customers SEK Million SEK Million 2,000 55 400 5% 160 50% 1,500 40 300 0% 120 40% 1,000 25 200 -5% 80 30% 500 10 100 -10% 40 20% 0 -5 0 -15% 0 10% Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Mobile customer base (left) Net sales (left) EBITDA (left) 34 Customer net YoY net sales EBITDA intake (right) growth (right) margin (right)
  • 35. Q4 Highlights Tele2 Croatia • Strong sales growth of 13% YoY • Continuing to improve market position • Cash flow positive in Q4 and full year CUSTOMER BASE and NET SALES and EBITDA and CUSTOMER INTAKE YoY NET SALES GROWTH EBITDA MARGIN Thousands of customers SEK Million SEK Million 1,000 90 500 20% 60 12% 750 30 375 13% 45 9% 500 -30 250 5% 30 6% 250 -90 125 -3% 15 3% 0 -150 0 -10% 0 0% Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Customer base (left) Net sales (left) EBITDA (left) 35 Customer net YoY net sales EBITDA intake (right) growth (right) margin (right)
  • 36. Q4 Highlights Tele2 Kazakhstan • Continuing strong net intake of 361,000 customers • Total number of customers amounted to 3.4 million • Continuing rapid roll-out of new base stations for increased coverage CUSTOMER BASE and NET SALES and EBITDA and CUSTOMER INTAKE YoY NET SALES GROWTH EBITDA MARGIN Thousands of customers SEK Million SEK Million 3,750 1,000 300 500% 160 0% 3,000 800 225 375% 80 -25% 2,250 600 150 250% 0 -50% 1,500 400 75 125% -80 -75% 750 200 0 0 0 0% -160 -100% Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Customer base (left) Net sales (left) EBITDA (left) 36 Customer net YoY net sales EBITDA intake (right) growth (right) margin (right)
  • 37. Overview of the Kazakh mobile market MOBILE SUBSCRIBERS – MARKET SHARE NET ADDITIONS Thousands of subscribers 5.5% 12.1% 100% 2,000,000 80% 1,600,000 1,200,000 60% 800,000 40% 400,000 20% 0 0% -400,000 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4* 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 10 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 Tele2 Kcell/Activ Tele2 Kcell/Activ Dalacom/Pathword Beeline Dalacom/Pathword Beeline 37 * Q4 12 only Tele2 net additions
  • 38. Tele2 Kazakhstan forward-looking statement The following assumptions should be taken into account when estimating the operational performance of the Kazakh mobile operations in 2013: • Tele2 expects total revenue of between SEK 1,700 - 1,800 million. • Tele2 expects EBITDA of between SEK -100 to -200 million. • Tele2 expects capex of between SEK 550 – 650 million. • Tele2 expects to reach a long-term mobile customer market share of 30 percent. 38
  • 39. Agenda • About Q4 2012 • Financial review • Concluding remarks 39
  • 40. Group result Q4 SEK million Q4 2012 Q4 2011 ▲% Net sales 11,275 10,852 3.9% EBITDA 2,672 2,873 -7.0% EBITDA margin (%) 23.7% 26.5% -2.8% Depreciation & associated companies -1,145 -1,184 -3.3% • Net sales include equipment Depreciation of net sales (%) -10.1% -10.9% 0.8% sales of SEK 909 million One-off items -3 -26 (728) +25% EBIT 1,524 1,663 -8.4% Normalized EBIT 1,527 1,689 -9.6% • EBITDA margin development Normalized EBIT margin (%) 13.5% 15.6% -2.0% explained by higher expansion costs Financial items -360 -83 Taxes -599 -270 Net profit from continuing operations 565 1,310 -56.9% Discontinued operations - - Net profit 565 1,310 -56.9% 40
  • 41. Group result full-year SEK million FY 2012 FY 2011 ▲% Net sales 43,726 41,001 6.6% EBITDA 10,960 11,212 -2.2% EBITDA margin (%) 25.1% 27.3% -2.3% Depreciation & associated companies -4,749 -4,158 14.2% Depreciation of net sales (%) -10.8% -10.1% -0.7% One-off items -558 -4 • Net sales include equipment EBIT 5,653 7,050 -19.8% sales of SEK 2,875 million Normalized EBIT 6,211 7,054 -12.0% (2,272) +27% Normalized EBIT margin (%) 14.2% 17.2% -3.0% Financial items -1,078 -674 Taxes -1,311 -1,625 Net profit from continuing operations 3,264 4,751 -31.3% Discontinued operations - -7 Net profit 3,264 4,744 -31.2% 41
  • 42. Currency movements full-year 2% 1% 0% -1% -2% -3% -4% -5% -6% -7% -8% EUR RUB NOK KZT Average FY 2012 vs. average FY 2011 Fixing rate Dec 31, 2012 vs Dec 31, 2011 EUR/EUR pegged and RUB currencies represent 57% of external sales and 73% of EBITDA 42
  • 43. Depreciation Depreciation and Depreciation as a percentage of net sales SEK million 1,400 12.5% 12.0% Change year-on-year for Q4 1,200 1,000 11.5% • Acquisition of Network Norway: 11.0% SEK 49 million 800 10.5% • Upgrade/replacement of networks in 600 10.0% the Baltics: SEK 52 million 400 9.5% • Reduction in Sweden: SEK -79 million 9.0% • Growth in Russia: SEK 41 million 200 8.5% 0 8.0% Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Depreciation Depreciation of net sales (%) 43
  • 44. Financial items SEK million Financial items in income statement Q4 2012 Q4 2011 FY 2012 FY 2011 Interest income/costs -247 -175 -957 -483 Exchange rate differences, external 5 29 -14 -24 Exchange rate differences, intragroup -76 105 59 13 Other financial items -42 -42 -166 -180 Total -360 -83 -1,078 -674 Financial items in cash flow statement Q4 2012 Q4 2011 FY 2012 FY 2011 Interest paid -280 -216 -668 -366 44
  • 45. Taxes SEK million Taxes in income statement Q4 2012 Q4 2011 FY 2012 FY 2011 Normal -500 -378 -1,474 -1,733 One-off -99 108 163 108 Total -599 -270 -1,311 -1,625 Taxes in cash flow statement Q4 2012 Q4 2011 FY 2012 FY 2011 Normal -497 -163 -989 -948 One-off - - - - Total -497 -163 -989 -948 • Net taxes were negatively affected by SEK -127 million due to decreased tax rate in Sweden from January 1, 2013 • Cash flow taxes 2013 expected to be SEK -1,000 million 45
  • 46. Taxes Closing balances SEK million 5,000 4,000 4,263 3,000 3,296 2,977 2,000 1,000 0 -851 -933 -1,000 -1,114 -2,000 2010 2011 2012 Deferred Tax Assets Deferred Tax Liabilities 46
  • 47. Cash flow SEK million Q4 2012 Q4 2011 FY 2012 FY 2011 OPERATING ACTIVITIES Cash flow from operations, excl. taxes and interest 2,579 2,859 10,744 11,261 Interest paid -280 -216 -668 -366 Taxes paid -497 -163 -989 -948 Change in working capital 13 -52 -408 -257 Cash flow from operating activities 1,815 2,428 8,679 9,690 INVESTING ACTIVITIES CAPEX -1,286 -1,753 -4,609 -5,572 Cash flow after CAPEX 529 675 4,070 4,118 Shares and other financial assets -15 -1,560 -215 -1,563 Cash flow after investing activities 514 -885 3,855 2,555 • Full-year 2012 CAPEX according to balance sheet SEK 5,336 million (6,105) • CAPEX for 2013 expected to reach SEK 6,000 million (incl. Dutch LTE license) 47
  • 48. Pro forma financial debt profile Sources of funding SEK billion 20.0 16.9 17.5 14.9 15.2 15.0 12.8 12.1 12.5 10.0 7.5 5.0 2.5 0.0 -2.5 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Revolving Credit Facility Russian bond Commercial paper Swedish bond Norwegian bond Other financing Put option Kazakhstan Cash Pro forma net debt 48
  • 49. Debt maturity and currency profile Debt maturity profile Debt currency profile Gross debt SEK 16.6 billion (incl. unutilized SEK 27.3 billion) Gross debt SEK 16.6 billion 16 0.1 1.5 14 12 4.6 2.5 10 8 6 3.8 4.2 2.2 4 2.9 3.1 2.1 2 0.5 5.7 0 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018< Bonds Commercial papers SEK incl. FX swap RUB Other bank loans Put option, fin.lease and other EUR incl. FX swap NOK Unutilized KZT USD 49
  • 50. Tele2 in Debt Capital Markets Instrument Date of issue Maturity date Volume in MSEK* RUB Bond 5yr 2011-06-24 2016-06-24 13,000 MRUB 2,791 RUB Bond 3yr 2012-04-13 2015-04-18 6,000 MRUB 1,288 RUB Bond 2yr 2012-02-09 2014-02-14 7,000 MRUB 1,503 NOK Bond 5yr 2012-02-20 2017-02-24 1,000 MNOK 1,167 NOK Bond 3yr 2012-02-20 2015-02-24 300 MNOK 350 SEK Bond 2012-05-08 2017-05-17 1,500 MSEK 1,500 SEK Bond 2012-05-08 2017-05-15 800 MSEK 800 SEK PP Bond 2012-09-27 2014-03-27 500 MSEK 500 SEK PP Bond 2012-12-06 2015-03-06 750 MSEK 750 SEK PP Bond 2013-01-03 3 months rolling 500 MSEK 500 SEK CP on-going within 1yr 2,390 MSEK 2,390 Total 13,540 * Fixing rate 31 Dec, 2012 50
  • 51. Debt position and ratio Pro forma net debt / EBITDA 12 m rolling SEK billion / Ratio 20.0 2.00 17.5 1.75 2.9 2.9 3.2 15.0 1.50 2.9 2.9 12.5 1.25 10.0 1.00 16.9 7.5 15.2 14.9 0.75 12.8 12.1 5.0 0.50 2.5 0.25 0.0 0.00 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Pro forma net debt Ordinary dividend, proposed/paid Extraordinary dividend, proposed/paid Leverage net (net debt to EBITDA, pro forma) 51
  • 52. Debt position and ratio incl. NL LTE Pro forma net debt / EBITDA 12 m rolling SEK billion / Ratio 20.0 2.00 Leverage gross (1.78) 1.4 17.5 1.75 2.9 2.9 3.2 15.0 1.50 2.9 2.9 12.5 1.25 10.0 1.00 16.9 7.5 15.2 14.9 0.75 12.8 12.1 5.0 0.50 2.5 0.25 0.0 0.00 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Pro forma net debt Ordinary dividend (paid May 2012) Extraordinary dividend (paid May 2012) Proposed ordinary dividend (to be paid May 2013) NL LTE license (paid January 2013) Leverage net 52
  • 53. Group financials ● Mobile ● Fixed telephony ● Fixed broadband ● Other operations Group EBITDA and Group EBITDA margin Group Net Sales SEK million Group EBITDA margin SEK million 3,500 30.0% 12,000 3,000 28.0% 9,000 2,500 2,000 26.0% 6,000 1,500 24.0% 1,000 3,000 22.0% 500 0 20.0% 0 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Group CAPEX (BS) and CAPEX/Sales ROCE (Normalized) SEK million CAPEX/Sales Percent 2,000 30.0% 25% 21% 20% 19% 1,500 22.5% 17% 15% 16% 16% 1,000 15.0% 10% 500 7.5% 5% 0 0.0% 0% Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 53
  • 54. Sweden – Mobile External revenue excl. equipment sales and Equipment sales Expansion costs SEK million SEK million 3,000 0 2,500 -100 2,000 -200 1,500 -300 1,000 -400 500 -500 0 -600 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 EBITDA SEK million 800 Change year-on-year for Q4 600 • Year-on-year revenue growth excl. equipment sales of 6% 400 • Year-on-year expansion costs increased by 200 SEK 122 million (33%) 0 Q4'11 Q1'12 Q2'12 Q3'12 Q4'12 54
  • 55. Agenda • About Q4 2012 • Financial review • Concluding remarks 55
  • 56. Concluding remarks Continue to grow as an operator Manage the shift from voice to data Continue to migrate from prepaid to postpaid Invest in new growth initiatives 56