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  Monday , February 24, 2014 

  Case for mid­cap investini   (also see in Jpeg) 
  Publication: The Hindu Business Line , Journalist:ATUL BHOLE, Edition:Pune/Delhi/Hyderabad/Chennai/Ahmedabad/Mumbai/Bangalore/Kolkata , Page No: 7, Location: Middle­Center , Size(sq.cms): 320 
  

 

 

 

Case for mid­cap investinig

 

 
 

ATUL BHOLE

The Nifty and Sensex are close 
to their previous highs. 
However, the CNX Midcap and 
BSE Midcap indices are still 
hovering between 21 per cent 
and 37 per cent below their 
previous highs. These stocks 
provide a good investment 
opportunity over the next 18­24 
months. 
Well­run mid­sized companies 
have historically delivered phe­
nomenal returns over longer 
time periods. Many such firms 
are driven by competent and 
motivated entrepreneurs. They 
d e v e l o p   c o s t­efficient 
structures, brands and 
distribution franchises­growth 
while maintaining good return 
ratios. 
Mid­cap companies typically 
trade at a discount to their 
large­cap counterparts. When a 
g o o d   q u a l i t y   m i d­sized 
company delivers consistent 
growth, returns from such a 
company can be twof o l d  — 
through normal earnings­led 
gains and re­rating of valuation 
multiples. 
The figures in the table are 
based on market close as on 
January 31, 2014. The stocks 
a n d   r et u r n s   a r e   f o r   o n l y  
illustrative purposes and 
should not to be construed as 
investment advice. 
Worth exploring now? 
The discount between mid­ and 
large­cap stocks is currently rul­
ing at 25­30 per cent, higher 
than the historical averages of 
15­20 per cent. Many mid­caps 
are tradi n g   a t   9­11 times the 
forward multiple, compared to 
the historical averages of 12­13 
times. With sentiments improving, 
these mid­caps have very good 
odds of bouncing back to 
historical average valua­ 

 

 
 
 

 

  

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tions and providing superior re­
t u r n s .   H o w e v e r ,   b o t t o m­up 
stock picking will be of 
importance. Along with 
sentiment improvem e n t ,   o n­
g r o u n d   e c o n o m i c   r ecovery, 
coupled with rates coming 
d o w n   o v e r   t h e   n e x t   1 8­24 
months, can provide relief to 
cert a i n   m i d­cap companies. 
D u r i n g   t h e   r u n­u p   t o   t h e  
recovery, today's concerns 
s u c h   a s   e l o n g a t e d   w o r king 
capital cycle, depressed growth 
rates and margins can improve 
and provide bigger upsides to 
the profitability of mid­cap 
companies. 
Essentials for investing 
The company's business and 
the market structure in which it 
opera t e s   o u g h t   t o   b e  
understood. Good 
managements with competence 
and integrity are essential. 
Bottom­up stock selection is 
important even when one is go­
ing by the top­down theme. Be 
it consumption, export or infras­
tructure, any mid­cap company 
should be judged on a 
standalone basis. Investors 
should lend a 

careful look at parameters such 
as margin defence, return ratios, 
cash generation and capital 
alloc a t i o n   d e c i s i o n s   o v e r   a  
period of time. 
Mid­caps should be examined 
on at least two valuation 
parameters ­  P/E or P/B ratio or 
EV/EBITDA or DCF valuation. 
This exercise will help capture 
the risks exhaustively. 
Once an investing decision 
has been taken, it is about 
patiently   w a t c h i n g   t h e  
investment grow for years. 
Finally what about risk and 
volatility in mid­caps? 
If the stock selection is done 
properly, the degree of risk 
reduces notably. Secondly, if one 
has invested for a long period 
with conviction, the risk­reward 
ratio will improve. One can actually 
use market volatility to add up 
good quality mid­caps. 
Also, spread the risk across a 
number of mid­cap companies. 
(The writer is Fund Manager of 
Tata Mutual Fund) 

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Case for mid-cap investing