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Roach Ag grain price outlook and marketing strategies
1.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Grain Price Outlook and Market Strategies For Wyffels’ Corn Strategies 2010 Presented by: John Roach July13 & 20, 2010
2.
3.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. What are the Fundamentals Now?
4.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
5.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
6.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
7.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
8.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
9.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
10.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
11.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
12.
13.
14.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. July 2010 42.9 Bu / Acre
15.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Iowa Soybean Plantings Condition (10,200 thousand acres) SOURCE: USDA June 30, 2010 Planted Acres Report and July 12, 2010 Crop Progress Report
16.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Illinois Soybean Plantings Condition (9,300 thousand acres) SOURCE: USDA June 30, 2010 Planted Acres Report and July 12, 2010 Crop Progress Report
17.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Minnesota Soybean Plantings Condition (7,500 thousand acres) SOURCE: USDA June 30, 2010 Planted Acres Report and July 12, 2010 Crop Progress Report
18.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Missouri Soybean Plantings Condition (7,500 thousand acres) SOURCE: USDA June 30, 2010 Planted Acres Report and July 12, 2010 Crop Progress Report
19.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
20.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
21.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
22.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. July 1, 2010
23.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
24.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
25.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
26.
27.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
28.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
29.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. USDA 2009 World Corn Yields 12/10/09 Non – U.S. 58.9 Bu/Acre World 80.3 Bu/Acre U.S. 162.9 Bu/Acre
30.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
31.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
32.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
33.
34.
35.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. July 2010 163.5 Bu / Ac
36.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Iowa Corn Plantings Condition (13,300 thousand acres) SOURCE: USDA June 30, 2010 Planted Acres Report and July 12, 2010 Crop Progress Report
37.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Illinois Corn Plantings Condition (12,600 thousand acres) SOURCE: USDA June 30, 2010 Planted Acres Report and July 12, 2010 Crop Progress Report
38.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Nebraska Corn Plantings Condition (8,800 thousand acres) SOURCE: USDA June 30, 2010 Planted Acres Report and July 12, 2010 Crop Progress Report
39.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Minnesota Corn Plantings Condition (7,500 thousand acres) SOURCE: USDA June 30, 2010 Planted Acres Report and July 12, 2010 Crop Progress Report
40.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. U.S. Corn Condition (% Good, Excellent)
41.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
42.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
43.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
44.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
45.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
46.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
47.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
48.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. July 1, 2010
49.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
50.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
51.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
52.
53.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. How Should I Market My Crops?
54.
55.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
56.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
57.
58.
What is it
worth? The 5 Year Ave. of Dec corn during Oct – Nov $3.07 0.66 The 5 Year Ave. of Dec corn during Roach Mar – June Sell Signals = $3.73
59.
What is it
worth? 150 bpa X 0.66 = $100 per acre
60.
61.
62.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Sell & Buy Signals Your Digital Thermometer For Prices
63.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Sell Signals When Both Lines Are Above 75 = Sell Signal
64.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag 2007 Corn Sell Signals 56 Days of Sell Signals ($3.91) and 272 Days Without ($3.71)
65.
66.
67.
68.
69.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
70.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
71.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
72.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
73.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
74.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. December 2009 Roach Ag. Corn Sell Signals Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
75.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. December 2010 Roach Ag. Corn Sell Signals
76.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
77.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
78.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
79.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
80.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd.
81.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Put Opportunity - Buy Puts on some of the Crop You Do Not Want to Sell on a Cash Contract
82.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Nov. 2010 Roach Ag. Bean Sell Signals
83.
84.
85.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. The Information Revolution is Driving the Long Term Demand for Milk, Meat, and Eggs
86.
© Roach Ag
Marketing, Ltd. Roach Ag Marketing, Ltd. 7601 N. Federal Hwy Suite 265-B Boca Raton, FL 33487 800-622-7628 [email_address] http:// www.roachag.com
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