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CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 1 of 29
PowerPoint Lectures for
Principles of Economics,
9e
By
Karl E. Case,
Ray C. Fair &
Sharon M. Oster
; ;
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 2 of 29
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster
29
PART V THE CORE OF MACROECONOMIC
THEORY
The Labor Market In
the Macroeconomy
Fernando & Yvonn Quijano
Prepared by:
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 4 of 29
11
The Labor Market: Basic Concepts
The Classical View of the Labor Market
The Classical Labor Market and the Aggregate
Supply Curve
The Unemployment Rate and the Classical View
Explaining the Existence of Unemployment
Sticky Wages
Efficiency Wage Theory
Imperfect Information
Minimum Wage Laws
An Open Question
The Short-Run Relationship Between the
Unemployment Rate and Inflation
The Phillips Curve: A Historical Perspective
Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand Analysis
and the Phillips Curve
Expectations and the Phillips Curve
Is There a Short-Run Trade-Off between Inflation
and Unemployment?
The Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve,
Potential Output, and the Natural Rate of
Unemployment
The Nonaccelerating Inflation Rate of
Unemployment (NAIRU)
Looking Ahead
CHAPTER OUTLINE
The Labor Market In
the Macroeconomy
29
PART V THE CORE OF MACROECONOMIC
THEORY
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 5 of 29
The Labor Market: Basic Concepts
The labor force (LF) is the number of employed
plus unemployed:
LF = E + U
unemployment rate The number of people
unemployed as a percentage of the labor force.
Unemployment rate = U/LF
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 6 of 29
The Labor Market: Basic Concepts
frictional unemployment The portion of
unemployment that is due to the normal working of
the labor market; used to denote short-run job/skill
matching problems.
structural unemployment The portion of
unemployment that is due to changes in the
structure of the economy that result in a significant
loss of jobs in certain industries.
cyclical unemployment The increase in
unemployment that occurs during recessions and
depressions.
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 7 of 29
The Classical View of the Labor Market
labor demand curve A graph that illustrates the
amount of labor that firms want to employ at each
given wage rate.
labor supply curve A graph that illustrates the
amount of labor that households want to supply at
each given wage rate.
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 8 of 29
The Classical View of the Labor Market
Classical economists believe that the labor market always clears. If the demand for labor shifts from D0 to D1,
the equilibrium wage will fall from W0 to W1. Anyone who wants a job at W1 will have one.
 FIGURE 29.1 The Classical Labor Market
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 9 of 29
The Classical View of the Labor Market
The Classical Labor Market and the Aggregate Supply Curve
The classical idea that wages adjust to clear the
labor market is consistent with the view that wages
respond quickly to price changes. This means that
the AS curve is vertical.
When the AS curve is vertical, monetary and fiscal
policy cannot affect the level of output and
employment in the economy.
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 10 of 29
The Classical View of the Labor Market
The Unemployment Rate and the Classical View
The unemployment rate is not necessarily an
accurate indicator of whether the labor market is
working properly.
The measured unemployment rate may sometimes
seem high even though the labor market is
working well.
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 11 of 29
Explaining the Existence of Unemployment
Sticky Wages
sticky wages The downward rigidity of wages as
an explanation for the existence of unemployment.
If wages “stick” at W0 instead of
falling to the new equilibrium wage
of W* following a shift of demand
from D0 to D1, the result will be
unemployment equal to L0 - L1.
 FIGURE 29.2 Sticky Wages
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 12 of 29
Explaining the Existence of Unemployment
Sticky Wages
social, or implicit, contracts Unspoken
agreements between workers and firms that firms
will not cut wages.
Social, or Implicit, Contracts
relative-wage explanation of unemployment
An explanation for sticky wages (and therefore
unemployment): If workers are concerned about
their wages relative to other workers in other firms
and industries, they may be unwilling to accept a
wage cut unless they know that all other workers
are receiving similar cuts.
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 13 of 29
Explaining the Existence of Unemployment
Sticky Wages
explicit contracts Employment contracts that
stipulate workers’ wages, usually for a period of 1
to 3 years.
Explicit Contracts
cost-of-living adjustments (COLAs) Contract
provisions that tie wages to changes in the cost of
living. The greater the inflation rate, the more
wages are raised.
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 14 of 29
Explaining the Existence of Unemployment
Sticky Wages
Explicit Contracts
Graduate School
Applications in
Recessions
Graduate School Offers
Relief During Economic
Recession
Oklahoma Daily
(U. Oklahoma)
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 15 of 29
Explaining the Existence of Unemployment
Efficiency Wage Theory
efficiency wage theory An explanation for
unemployment that holds that the productivity of
workers increases with the wage rate. If this is so,
firms may have an incentive to pay wages above
the market-clearing rate.
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 16 of 29
Explaining the Existence of Unemployment
Imperfect Information
Firms may not have enough information at their
disposal to know what the market-clearing wage is.
In this case, firms are said to have imperfect
information.
If firms have imperfect or incomplete information,
they may set wages wrong—wages that do not
clear the labor market.
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 17 of 29
Explaining the Existence of Unemployment
Minimum Wage Laws
minimum wage laws Laws that set a floor for
wage rates—that is, a minimum hourly rate for any
kind of labor.
An Open Question
The aggregate labor market is very complicated,
and there are no simple answers to why there is
unemployment.
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 18 of 29
The Short-Run Relationship Between
the Unemployment Rate and Inflation
The AS curve shows a positive
relationship between the price
level (P) and aggregate output
(income) (Y).
 FIGURE 29.3 The Aggregate
Supply Curve
In the short run, the unemployment rate (U) and
aggregate output (income) (Y) are negatively
related.
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 19 of 29
The Short-Run Relationship Between
the Unemployment Rate and Inflation
This curve shows a negative
relationship between the price
level (P) and the unemployment
rate (U). As the unemployment
rate declines in response to the
economy’s moving closer and
closer to capacity output, the price
level rises more and more.
 FIGURE 29.4 The Relationship
Between the Price Level and the
Unemployment Rate
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 20 of 29
The Short-Run Relationship Between
the Unemployment Rate and Inflation
inflation rate The percentage change in the price
level.
Phillips Curve A curve showing the relationship
between the inflation rate and the unemployment
rate.
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 21 of 29
The Short-Run Relationship Between
the Unemployment Rate and Inflation
The Phillips Curve shows the
relationship between the inflation
rate and the unemployment rate.
 FIGURE 29.5 The Phillips
Curve
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 22 of 29
The Short-Run Relationship Between
the Unemployment Rate and Inflation
During the 1960s, there seemed
to be an obvious trade-off
between inflation and
unemployment. Policy debates
during the period revolved around
this apparent trade-off.
 FIGURE 29.6 Unemployment
and Inflation, 1960–1969
The Phillips Curve: A Historical Perspective
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 23 of 29
The Short-Run Relationship Between
the Unemployment Rate and Inflation
From the 1970s on, it became
clear that the relationship between
unemployment and inflation was
anything but simple.
 FIGURE 29.7 Unemployment
and Inflation, 1970–2007
The Phillips Curve: A Historical Perspective
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 24 of 29
The Short-Run Relationship Between
the Unemployment Rate and Inflation
Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand Analysis and the
Phillips Curve
 FIGURE 29.8 Changes in the Price Level and Aggregate Output Depend on Shifts in Both
Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 25 of 29
The Short-Run Relationship Between
the Unemployment Rate and Inflation
Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand Analysis and the
Phillips Curve
 FIGURE 29.9 The Price of Imports, 1960 I–2007 IV
The Role of Import Prices
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 26 of 29
The Short-Run Relationship Between
the Unemployment Rate and Inflation
Expectations and the Phillips Curve
Expectations are self-fulfilling. This means that
wage inflation is affected by expectations of future
price inflation.
Price expectations that affect wage contracts
eventually affect prices themselves.
Inflationary expectations shift the Phillips Curve to
the right.
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 27 of 29
The Short-Run Relationship Between
the Unemployment Rate and Inflation
Is There a Short-Run Trade-Off between Inflation and
Unemployment?
There is a short-run trade-off between inflation and
unemployment, but other factors besides
unemployment affect inflation. Policy involves
more than simply choosing a point along a nice
smooth curve.
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 28 of 29
The Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve, Potential Output, and the
Natural Rate of Unemployment
If the AS curve is vertical in the long run, so is the Phillips Curve. In the long run, the Phillips Curve
corresponds to the natural rate of unemployment—that is, the unemployment rate that is consistent
with the notion of a fixed long-run output at potential output. U* is the natural rate of unemployment.
 FIGURE 29.10 The Long-Run Phillips Curve: The Natural Rate of Unemployment
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 29 of 29
The Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve, Potential Output, and the
Natural Rate of Unemployment
natural rate of unemployment The
unemployment that occurs as a normal part of the
functioning of the economy. Sometimes taken as
the sum of frictional unemployment and structural
unemployment.
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 30 of 29
The Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve, Potential Output, and the
Natural Rate of Unemployment
The Nonaccelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU)
NAIRU The nonaccelerating inflation rate of
unemployment.
To the left of the NAIRU, the price
level is accelerating (positive
changes in the inflation rate); to
the right of the NAIRU, the price
level is decelerating (negative
changes in the inflation rate). Only
when the unemployment rate is
equal to the NAIRU is the price
level changing at a constant rate
(no change in the inflation rate).
 FIGURE 29.11 The NAIRU
Diagram
CHATheLaborMarketIn
© 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 31 of 29
cost-of-living adjustments
(COLAs)
cyclical unemployment
efficient wage theory
explicit contracts
frictional unemployment
inflation rate
labor demand curve
labor supply curve
minimum wage laws
REVIEW TERMS AND CONCEPTS
NAIRU
natural rate of unemployment
Phillips Curve
relative-wage explanation of
unemployment
social, or implicit, contracts
sticky wages
structural unemployment
unemployment rate

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Ppt econ 9e_one_click_ch29

  • 1. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 1 of 29 PowerPoint Lectures for Principles of Economics, 9e By Karl E. Case, Ray C. Fair & Sharon M. Oster ; ;
  • 2. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 2 of 29
  • 3. © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 29 PART V THE CORE OF MACROECONOMIC THEORY The Labor Market In the Macroeconomy Fernando & Yvonn Quijano Prepared by:
  • 4. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 4 of 29 11 The Labor Market: Basic Concepts The Classical View of the Labor Market The Classical Labor Market and the Aggregate Supply Curve The Unemployment Rate and the Classical View Explaining the Existence of Unemployment Sticky Wages Efficiency Wage Theory Imperfect Information Minimum Wage Laws An Open Question The Short-Run Relationship Between the Unemployment Rate and Inflation The Phillips Curve: A Historical Perspective Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand Analysis and the Phillips Curve Expectations and the Phillips Curve Is There a Short-Run Trade-Off between Inflation and Unemployment? The Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve, Potential Output, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment The Nonaccelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU) Looking Ahead CHAPTER OUTLINE The Labor Market In the Macroeconomy 29 PART V THE CORE OF MACROECONOMIC THEORY
  • 5. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 5 of 29 The Labor Market: Basic Concepts The labor force (LF) is the number of employed plus unemployed: LF = E + U unemployment rate The number of people unemployed as a percentage of the labor force. Unemployment rate = U/LF
  • 6. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 6 of 29 The Labor Market: Basic Concepts frictional unemployment The portion of unemployment that is due to the normal working of the labor market; used to denote short-run job/skill matching problems. structural unemployment The portion of unemployment that is due to changes in the structure of the economy that result in a significant loss of jobs in certain industries. cyclical unemployment The increase in unemployment that occurs during recessions and depressions.
  • 7. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 7 of 29 The Classical View of the Labor Market labor demand curve A graph that illustrates the amount of labor that firms want to employ at each given wage rate. labor supply curve A graph that illustrates the amount of labor that households want to supply at each given wage rate.
  • 8. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 8 of 29 The Classical View of the Labor Market Classical economists believe that the labor market always clears. If the demand for labor shifts from D0 to D1, the equilibrium wage will fall from W0 to W1. Anyone who wants a job at W1 will have one.  FIGURE 29.1 The Classical Labor Market
  • 9. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 9 of 29 The Classical View of the Labor Market The Classical Labor Market and the Aggregate Supply Curve The classical idea that wages adjust to clear the labor market is consistent with the view that wages respond quickly to price changes. This means that the AS curve is vertical. When the AS curve is vertical, monetary and fiscal policy cannot affect the level of output and employment in the economy.
  • 10. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 10 of 29 The Classical View of the Labor Market The Unemployment Rate and the Classical View The unemployment rate is not necessarily an accurate indicator of whether the labor market is working properly. The measured unemployment rate may sometimes seem high even though the labor market is working well.
  • 11. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 11 of 29 Explaining the Existence of Unemployment Sticky Wages sticky wages The downward rigidity of wages as an explanation for the existence of unemployment. If wages “stick” at W0 instead of falling to the new equilibrium wage of W* following a shift of demand from D0 to D1, the result will be unemployment equal to L0 - L1.  FIGURE 29.2 Sticky Wages
  • 12. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 12 of 29 Explaining the Existence of Unemployment Sticky Wages social, or implicit, contracts Unspoken agreements between workers and firms that firms will not cut wages. Social, or Implicit, Contracts relative-wage explanation of unemployment An explanation for sticky wages (and therefore unemployment): If workers are concerned about their wages relative to other workers in other firms and industries, they may be unwilling to accept a wage cut unless they know that all other workers are receiving similar cuts.
  • 13. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 13 of 29 Explaining the Existence of Unemployment Sticky Wages explicit contracts Employment contracts that stipulate workers’ wages, usually for a period of 1 to 3 years. Explicit Contracts cost-of-living adjustments (COLAs) Contract provisions that tie wages to changes in the cost of living. The greater the inflation rate, the more wages are raised.
  • 14. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 14 of 29 Explaining the Existence of Unemployment Sticky Wages Explicit Contracts Graduate School Applications in Recessions Graduate School Offers Relief During Economic Recession Oklahoma Daily (U. Oklahoma)
  • 15. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 15 of 29 Explaining the Existence of Unemployment Efficiency Wage Theory efficiency wage theory An explanation for unemployment that holds that the productivity of workers increases with the wage rate. If this is so, firms may have an incentive to pay wages above the market-clearing rate.
  • 16. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 16 of 29 Explaining the Existence of Unemployment Imperfect Information Firms may not have enough information at their disposal to know what the market-clearing wage is. In this case, firms are said to have imperfect information. If firms have imperfect or incomplete information, they may set wages wrong—wages that do not clear the labor market.
  • 17. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 17 of 29 Explaining the Existence of Unemployment Minimum Wage Laws minimum wage laws Laws that set a floor for wage rates—that is, a minimum hourly rate for any kind of labor. An Open Question The aggregate labor market is very complicated, and there are no simple answers to why there is unemployment.
  • 18. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 18 of 29 The Short-Run Relationship Between the Unemployment Rate and Inflation The AS curve shows a positive relationship between the price level (P) and aggregate output (income) (Y).  FIGURE 29.3 The Aggregate Supply Curve In the short run, the unemployment rate (U) and aggregate output (income) (Y) are negatively related.
  • 19. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 19 of 29 The Short-Run Relationship Between the Unemployment Rate and Inflation This curve shows a negative relationship between the price level (P) and the unemployment rate (U). As the unemployment rate declines in response to the economy’s moving closer and closer to capacity output, the price level rises more and more.  FIGURE 29.4 The Relationship Between the Price Level and the Unemployment Rate
  • 20. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 20 of 29 The Short-Run Relationship Between the Unemployment Rate and Inflation inflation rate The percentage change in the price level. Phillips Curve A curve showing the relationship between the inflation rate and the unemployment rate.
  • 21. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 21 of 29 The Short-Run Relationship Between the Unemployment Rate and Inflation The Phillips Curve shows the relationship between the inflation rate and the unemployment rate.  FIGURE 29.5 The Phillips Curve
  • 22. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 22 of 29 The Short-Run Relationship Between the Unemployment Rate and Inflation During the 1960s, there seemed to be an obvious trade-off between inflation and unemployment. Policy debates during the period revolved around this apparent trade-off.  FIGURE 29.6 Unemployment and Inflation, 1960–1969 The Phillips Curve: A Historical Perspective
  • 23. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 23 of 29 The Short-Run Relationship Between the Unemployment Rate and Inflation From the 1970s on, it became clear that the relationship between unemployment and inflation was anything but simple.  FIGURE 29.7 Unemployment and Inflation, 1970–2007 The Phillips Curve: A Historical Perspective
  • 24. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 24 of 29 The Short-Run Relationship Between the Unemployment Rate and Inflation Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand Analysis and the Phillips Curve  FIGURE 29.8 Changes in the Price Level and Aggregate Output Depend on Shifts in Both Aggregate Demand and Aggregate Supply
  • 25. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 25 of 29 The Short-Run Relationship Between the Unemployment Rate and Inflation Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand Analysis and the Phillips Curve  FIGURE 29.9 The Price of Imports, 1960 I–2007 IV The Role of Import Prices
  • 26. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 26 of 29 The Short-Run Relationship Between the Unemployment Rate and Inflation Expectations and the Phillips Curve Expectations are self-fulfilling. This means that wage inflation is affected by expectations of future price inflation. Price expectations that affect wage contracts eventually affect prices themselves. Inflationary expectations shift the Phillips Curve to the right.
  • 27. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 27 of 29 The Short-Run Relationship Between the Unemployment Rate and Inflation Is There a Short-Run Trade-Off between Inflation and Unemployment? There is a short-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment, but other factors besides unemployment affect inflation. Policy involves more than simply choosing a point along a nice smooth curve.
  • 28. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 28 of 29 The Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve, Potential Output, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment If the AS curve is vertical in the long run, so is the Phillips Curve. In the long run, the Phillips Curve corresponds to the natural rate of unemployment—that is, the unemployment rate that is consistent with the notion of a fixed long-run output at potential output. U* is the natural rate of unemployment.  FIGURE 29.10 The Long-Run Phillips Curve: The Natural Rate of Unemployment
  • 29. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 29 of 29 The Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve, Potential Output, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment natural rate of unemployment The unemployment that occurs as a normal part of the functioning of the economy. Sometimes taken as the sum of frictional unemployment and structural unemployment.
  • 30. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 30 of 29 The Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve, Potential Output, and the Natural Rate of Unemployment The Nonaccelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment (NAIRU) NAIRU The nonaccelerating inflation rate of unemployment. To the left of the NAIRU, the price level is accelerating (positive changes in the inflation rate); to the right of the NAIRU, the price level is decelerating (negative changes in the inflation rate). Only when the unemployment rate is equal to the NAIRU is the price level changing at a constant rate (no change in the inflation rate).  FIGURE 29.11 The NAIRU Diagram
  • 31. CHATheLaborMarketIn © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Principles of Economics 9e by Case, Fair and Oster 31 of 29 cost-of-living adjustments (COLAs) cyclical unemployment efficient wage theory explicit contracts frictional unemployment inflation rate labor demand curve labor supply curve minimum wage laws REVIEW TERMS AND CONCEPTS NAIRU natural rate of unemployment Phillips Curve relative-wage explanation of unemployment social, or implicit, contracts sticky wages structural unemployment unemployment rate