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Results of BBA/ISDA/RMA IRB Validation Study BBA/ISDA/RMA Advanced IRB Forum Monika Mars London - June 23, 2003
Agenda ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Survey Approach Survey research  and design Data collection, and analysis Report preparation Report presentation Interviews Jan – Feb 2003 June 19/23 Feb – Mar 2003  1 st  Draft Mid March 2003 Final Report Draft – early May 4 th  Quarter 2002
Survey responses covered all asset classes representing a  diverse group of  institutions
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Agenda
Internal ratings are key to managing the business at most firms
Most banks use “Master Scales” to compare ratings information across portfolios
Default definitions, time horizons and alignment to external sources vary among institutions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Agenda
Key Findings ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Banks employ a wide range of techniques to validate internal ratings - key differences exist between corporate and retail ratings ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
A variety of model types are employed within each asset class  5 7 10 Hybrid 17 2 7 External Vendor 8 11 15 Expert Judgement 23 4 7 Statistical  Retail Middle Market Corporate Model Type
Models for bank and sovereign exposures extensively use external information and expert judgement  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Most banks surveyed have a rating system for specialised lending in place but face major issues in its validation  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Rating validation is not an exact science ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The performance of statistical rating models is achieved through a number of different techniques
Different triggers are used to evaluate the overall performance of expert judgement rating models
A variety of techniques are employed for evaluating vendor models
Expert judgement is essential in the validation process ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Most data issues centre around quantity of data available not the quality of the data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Clear regional differences exist with regard to internal ratings for corporate assets and their validation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Similar differences can be observed for the retail asset class ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
More work needs to be done in defining standards for stress testing ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Agenda
The industry, regulators and other stakeholders  must continue a dialogue to address Basel II implementation issues ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 

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Internal Ratings Validations

  • 1. Results of BBA/ISDA/RMA IRB Validation Study BBA/ISDA/RMA Advanced IRB Forum Monika Mars London - June 23, 2003
  • 2.
  • 3. Survey Approach Survey research and design Data collection, and analysis Report preparation Report presentation Interviews Jan – Feb 2003 June 19/23 Feb – Mar 2003 1 st Draft Mid March 2003 Final Report Draft – early May 4 th Quarter 2002
  • 4. Survey responses covered all asset classes representing a diverse group of institutions
  • 5.
  • 6. Internal ratings are key to managing the business at most firms
  • 7. Most banks use “Master Scales” to compare ratings information across portfolios
  • 8.
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12. A variety of model types are employed within each asset class 5 7 10 Hybrid 17 2 7 External Vendor 8 11 15 Expert Judgement 23 4 7 Statistical Retail Middle Market Corporate Model Type
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. The performance of statistical rating models is achieved through a number of different techniques
  • 17. Different triggers are used to evaluate the overall performance of expert judgement rating models
  • 18. A variety of techniques are employed for evaluating vendor models
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.