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Experience with renewable
electricity (RES-E) support
schemes in Europe
Current status and recent trends
Dr. Corinna Klessmann
08/04/2014
© ECOFYS | |08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann2
• Feed-in tariff (FIT)
• Feed-in premium (FIP)
• Quota
• Tenders
Note: This map does not
include secondary support
instruments like tax incentives,
investment grants, etc. Source: Ecofys
What are the main RES-E support schemes in Europe?
Diversity of RES-E support
schemes in the EU-28
© ECOFYS | |
We will explore three major policy trends for RES-E
1. Quota schemes are losing ground
2. More and more countries use sliding feed-in premiums/contracts for
difference (Cfd)
3. More and more countries experiment with tendering schemes
08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann3
© ECOFYS | |
A closer look will explain these trends…
08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann4
© ECOFYS | |08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann5
• Feed-in tariff
• Feed-in premium
• Quota
• Tenders
Source: Ecofys
Trend 1: Quota schemes are losing ground
Trend 2: More countries use sliding FIPs/Cfds
 Countries that (plan to) phase out
their quota scheme
 Countries that have recently
introduced sliding FIP/Cfds (or
plan to do so)
© ECOFYS | |
The main support schemes expose RES-E producers to
different levels of risk
08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann6
Market price
RES-support
Green
certificate
revenues
FIT FIP
sliding/
Cfd
cap &
floor
fixed
Quota
Volume basedPrice based support
Source: Ecofys
© ECOFYS | |
The main support schemes expose RES-E producers to
different levels of risk
08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann7
Market price
RES-support
Green
certificate
revenues
FIT FIP
sliding/
Cfd
cap &
floor
fixed
Quota
Electricity market
price risk
Green certificate
market risk
No market
price risk
Limited market
price risk
Full electricity
market price risk
Certificate
market price
risk
RES-E producer sells directly to the market
Volume based
Market
integration
through TSO
Price based support Source: Ecofys
© ECOFYS | |
The level of risk exposure plays a crucial role for the
effectiveness and efficiency of support schemes
08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann8
Low cost of capital
Low risk =
High investor certainty
Low support level
required (efficiency)
 Risk-mitigating support schemes can reduce levelised cost of
electricity and resulting support costs to consumers by up to 30%
(de Jager et al. 2011)
Many investors
attracted
Low risk =
High investor certainty
High RES-E growth
(effectiveness)
© ECOFYS | |
Conclusions on risk exposure
Risk-conscious RES-E support policies that limit risks to investors are
generally more effective and efficient than high-risk support schemes
 Several European countries have abandoned their quota schemes for
support schemes with potentially lower risk and cost to consumers
Exposure to certain market price risks may still be beneficial from a
macro-economic perspective, if the RES-E producer is able to react
 Several countries have introduced sliding FIPs/Cfds as compromise
between revenue security of investors and RES-E exposure to market
signals
 The European Commission calls all Member States to move from FITs to
FIPs (or other schemes with market exposure); discussion on whether this
is the right approach for supply-driven RES-E
08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann9
© ECOFYS | |08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann10
• Feed-in tariff
• Feed-in premium
• Quota
• Tenders
Source: Ecofys
Trend 3: Countries experiment with tendering schemes
 Countries that have recently
introduced or are planning to
introduce tendering (price
competition)
Note: The draft State Aid
Guidelines by the European
Commission push for the
increased use of tendering
schemes
© ECOFYS | |
Some background on RES-E tenders/auctions
> A tender is not a support scheme by itself; it can be combined with all other
support schemes, most commonly with FITs or FIPs
> In traditional FIT/FIP schemes the support level is determined
administratively, usually based on estimated production cost (LCOE)
> In a tender/auction, the FIT/FIP is determined in a competitive procedure
(requirement: demand for support greater than tendered volume)
08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann11
Volume (e.g. in MW)
Price(supportlevel)
Successful bids Unsuccessful bids
Tendered
volume
Clearing price
© ECOFYS | |08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann12
> Not all winning projects will be
implemented  risk of under-
fulfilling political targets
> Higher risk for RES-E producers than
FIT/FIP, favouring bigger market
actors
– Uncertainty in the preparation phase
– Sunk cost for unsuccessful bidders
– Penalty risk for successful bidders
> Risk of underbidding or winner‘s
curse leading to prices below costs
> Risk of strategic behaviour
(collusion) leading to high prices and
producer rents
> Control of maximum volume and
support cost
> Support level is determined by the
market, not the administration
> Competition between RES-E
producers may lower prices
(compared to administrative
FIT/FIPs)
> Potential to discover real
production cost of RES-E
Opportunities Challenges
Specific opportunities and challenges of tenders/auctions
© ECOFYS | |
The experience with tendering schemes in Europe is
mixed and limited
Too early to conclude on overall best practice for Europe – further
policy learning required
Some ingredients for potentially successful RES-E tender design
 Adjust the tender design to the specific RES-E market structure (requires
detailed knowledge on market actors, project risks, etc.)
 Find the right balance between stringent penalties/qualification requirements
and limiting risks for bidders (high implementation rates = high costs)
 Allow time for testing, evaluating and up-scaling tendering schemes
08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann13
© ECOFYS | |
Trends and challenges ahead that cannot be further
explored in this presentation…
08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann14
© ECOFYS | |
Further trends and challenges for RES-E policy
Some countries have stopped their support
schemes or changed them retroactively
 How to attract renewables investments
under strong budgetary constraints?
 When can support be phased out?
Not yet a trend: increased cooperation between
Member States, e.g. partial opening of RES-E
support schemes
 How to open support schemes?
 Role of cooperation beyond 2020?
High RES-E deployment impacts the electricity
system and markets
 How to further align RES-E policies and
general power market regulations?
08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann15
© ECOFYS | |
Recent reports on RES-E policy in the EU
> Held et al. (2014). Design features of support schemes for renewable electricity.
http://www.ecofys.com/en/publication/renewable-electricity-support-schemes-and-
cooperation-mechanisms-in-/
> Klessmann et al. (2014). Cooperation between EU Member States under the RES
Directive. http://www.ecofys.com/en/publication/renewable-electricity-support-
schemes-and-cooperation-mechanisms-in-/
> Resch et al. (2014). Beyond2020 – Design and impact of a harmonised policy for
renewable electricity in Europe. http://www.res-policy-beyond2020.eu/downloads.html
> Klessmann et al. (2013). Policy options for reducing the costs of reaching the European
renewables target. Renewable Energy 57(2013), 390-430
> Ragwitz et al. (2012). RE-Shaping: Shaping an effective and
> efficient European renewable energy market. http://www.reshaping-res-policy.eu/
> Klessmann (2012). Increasing the effectiveness and efficiency of renewable energy
support policies in the European Union.
http://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/218063
> Rathmann et al. (2011). Towards triple-A policies: More renewable energy at lower
cost. http://www.reshaping-res-policy.eu/downloads/Towards-triple-A-policies_RE-
ShapingD16.pdf
> de Jager et al. (2011). Financing Renewable Energy in the European Energy Market.
http://ec.europa.eu/energy/renewables/studies/doc/renewables/2011_financing_renew
able.pdf
08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann16
© ECOFYS | |08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann17
Please contact us for more information
Ecofys Germany GmbH
Am Karlsbad 11
10785 Berlin
Germany
T: +49 (0)30 297 735 79-0
E: c.klessmann@ecofys.com
I: www.ecofys.com

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Webinar - Experience with Support Policies for Renewable Energy in EU

  • 1. Experience with renewable electricity (RES-E) support schemes in Europe Current status and recent trends Dr. Corinna Klessmann 08/04/2014
  • 2. © ECOFYS | |08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann2 • Feed-in tariff (FIT) • Feed-in premium (FIP) • Quota • Tenders Note: This map does not include secondary support instruments like tax incentives, investment grants, etc. Source: Ecofys What are the main RES-E support schemes in Europe? Diversity of RES-E support schemes in the EU-28
  • 3. © ECOFYS | | We will explore three major policy trends for RES-E 1. Quota schemes are losing ground 2. More and more countries use sliding feed-in premiums/contracts for difference (Cfd) 3. More and more countries experiment with tendering schemes 08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann3
  • 4. © ECOFYS | | A closer look will explain these trends… 08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann4
  • 5. © ECOFYS | |08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann5 • Feed-in tariff • Feed-in premium • Quota • Tenders Source: Ecofys Trend 1: Quota schemes are losing ground Trend 2: More countries use sliding FIPs/Cfds  Countries that (plan to) phase out their quota scheme  Countries that have recently introduced sliding FIP/Cfds (or plan to do so)
  • 6. © ECOFYS | | The main support schemes expose RES-E producers to different levels of risk 08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann6 Market price RES-support Green certificate revenues FIT FIP sliding/ Cfd cap & floor fixed Quota Volume basedPrice based support Source: Ecofys
  • 7. © ECOFYS | | The main support schemes expose RES-E producers to different levels of risk 08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann7 Market price RES-support Green certificate revenues FIT FIP sliding/ Cfd cap & floor fixed Quota Electricity market price risk Green certificate market risk No market price risk Limited market price risk Full electricity market price risk Certificate market price risk RES-E producer sells directly to the market Volume based Market integration through TSO Price based support Source: Ecofys
  • 8. © ECOFYS | | The level of risk exposure plays a crucial role for the effectiveness and efficiency of support schemes 08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann8 Low cost of capital Low risk = High investor certainty Low support level required (efficiency)  Risk-mitigating support schemes can reduce levelised cost of electricity and resulting support costs to consumers by up to 30% (de Jager et al. 2011) Many investors attracted Low risk = High investor certainty High RES-E growth (effectiveness)
  • 9. © ECOFYS | | Conclusions on risk exposure Risk-conscious RES-E support policies that limit risks to investors are generally more effective and efficient than high-risk support schemes  Several European countries have abandoned their quota schemes for support schemes with potentially lower risk and cost to consumers Exposure to certain market price risks may still be beneficial from a macro-economic perspective, if the RES-E producer is able to react  Several countries have introduced sliding FIPs/Cfds as compromise between revenue security of investors and RES-E exposure to market signals  The European Commission calls all Member States to move from FITs to FIPs (or other schemes with market exposure); discussion on whether this is the right approach for supply-driven RES-E 08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann9
  • 10. © ECOFYS | |08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann10 • Feed-in tariff • Feed-in premium • Quota • Tenders Source: Ecofys Trend 3: Countries experiment with tendering schemes  Countries that have recently introduced or are planning to introduce tendering (price competition) Note: The draft State Aid Guidelines by the European Commission push for the increased use of tendering schemes
  • 11. © ECOFYS | | Some background on RES-E tenders/auctions > A tender is not a support scheme by itself; it can be combined with all other support schemes, most commonly with FITs or FIPs > In traditional FIT/FIP schemes the support level is determined administratively, usually based on estimated production cost (LCOE) > In a tender/auction, the FIT/FIP is determined in a competitive procedure (requirement: demand for support greater than tendered volume) 08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann11 Volume (e.g. in MW) Price(supportlevel) Successful bids Unsuccessful bids Tendered volume Clearing price
  • 12. © ECOFYS | |08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann12 > Not all winning projects will be implemented  risk of under- fulfilling political targets > Higher risk for RES-E producers than FIT/FIP, favouring bigger market actors – Uncertainty in the preparation phase – Sunk cost for unsuccessful bidders – Penalty risk for successful bidders > Risk of underbidding or winner‘s curse leading to prices below costs > Risk of strategic behaviour (collusion) leading to high prices and producer rents > Control of maximum volume and support cost > Support level is determined by the market, not the administration > Competition between RES-E producers may lower prices (compared to administrative FIT/FIPs) > Potential to discover real production cost of RES-E Opportunities Challenges Specific opportunities and challenges of tenders/auctions
  • 13. © ECOFYS | | The experience with tendering schemes in Europe is mixed and limited Too early to conclude on overall best practice for Europe – further policy learning required Some ingredients for potentially successful RES-E tender design  Adjust the tender design to the specific RES-E market structure (requires detailed knowledge on market actors, project risks, etc.)  Find the right balance between stringent penalties/qualification requirements and limiting risks for bidders (high implementation rates = high costs)  Allow time for testing, evaluating and up-scaling tendering schemes 08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann13
  • 14. © ECOFYS | | Trends and challenges ahead that cannot be further explored in this presentation… 08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann14
  • 15. © ECOFYS | | Further trends and challenges for RES-E policy Some countries have stopped their support schemes or changed them retroactively  How to attract renewables investments under strong budgetary constraints?  When can support be phased out? Not yet a trend: increased cooperation between Member States, e.g. partial opening of RES-E support schemes  How to open support schemes?  Role of cooperation beyond 2020? High RES-E deployment impacts the electricity system and markets  How to further align RES-E policies and general power market regulations? 08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann15
  • 16. © ECOFYS | | Recent reports on RES-E policy in the EU > Held et al. (2014). Design features of support schemes for renewable electricity. http://www.ecofys.com/en/publication/renewable-electricity-support-schemes-and- cooperation-mechanisms-in-/ > Klessmann et al. (2014). Cooperation between EU Member States under the RES Directive. http://www.ecofys.com/en/publication/renewable-electricity-support- schemes-and-cooperation-mechanisms-in-/ > Resch et al. (2014). Beyond2020 – Design and impact of a harmonised policy for renewable electricity in Europe. http://www.res-policy-beyond2020.eu/downloads.html > Klessmann et al. (2013). Policy options for reducing the costs of reaching the European renewables target. Renewable Energy 57(2013), 390-430 > Ragwitz et al. (2012). RE-Shaping: Shaping an effective and > efficient European renewable energy market. http://www.reshaping-res-policy.eu/ > Klessmann (2012). Increasing the effectiveness and efficiency of renewable energy support policies in the European Union. http://dspace.library.uu.nl/handle/1874/218063 > Rathmann et al. (2011). Towards triple-A policies: More renewable energy at lower cost. http://www.reshaping-res-policy.eu/downloads/Towards-triple-A-policies_RE- ShapingD16.pdf > de Jager et al. (2011). Financing Renewable Energy in the European Energy Market. http://ec.europa.eu/energy/renewables/studies/doc/renewables/2011_financing_renew able.pdf 08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann16
  • 17. © ECOFYS | |08/04/2014 Dr. Corinna Klessmann17 Please contact us for more information Ecofys Germany GmbH Am Karlsbad 11 10785 Berlin Germany T: +49 (0)30 297 735 79-0 E: c.klessmann@ecofys.com I: www.ecofys.com