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Denis Pombriant
Managing Principal
Beagle Research Group, LLC
Driving Success
with Subscriptions
Making a Win/Win
The New Paradigm
BUY NOW SUBSCRIBE
Then Now
Lots of Tech Examples
Beyond Tech…
“By2015, 35%of Global 2000 companies will generate revenuethrough
subscription-based servicesand revenuemodels.”
Driving the Subscription Economy
Technology
Trends
Economy
Business
Model
Capitalism
at its Best
Vendor Side Less Pretty
 Lower cost of entry
 Ability to modify agreement almost at will
 Lower ongoing costs
 Greater reliability
Business Model Advantages
 More customers can
suddenly afford your
product
 Greater flexibility
 Configuring products
 Taking them to market
 Rapidly scale your business
 Eventually more predictable
revenue streams, if you
manage the business right
Vendors Like It Too
 More invoices to
process (and get right!)
 The possibility of
customer change at
any moment requires
great flexibility from
your systems
 Rapid product
prototyping SKUs!!!
 You can’t reach out and
touch your customers
Can Your Systems Keep Up?
Four Key Attributes
Subscription Reality
Capture
Big Data
Social
Media
Financial
Systems
Analytics
and
Predictive
Modeling
Develop
Metrics
 Customer data –
social media
 Use data – primary
system
 Financial data –
financial system
Big Data
 They do different
things and you
need both
 Analytics
 Retrospective, How
did we do?
 Predictive modeling
 What if?
Analytics and Modeling
No Perfect Metrics
 Recurring Revenue — ARR, MRR
 Deferred revenue (booked, unbilled, etc.)
 Customer Churn Rate – Avoidable?
 Renewals
 Customer Lifetime Value
 Value Remaining
 Gross/Net Attrition — avoidable,
unavoidable
Metrics
 Customer Churn Rate
 The historical average of the percentage of
customers who leave a service on a monthly
basis.
 Growth
 [ARR * Retention Rate] + [Unbilled Deferred
Revenue for forward 12 months] – [Projected
Churn] + Planned Growth Rate * Last 12
months ARR
Some Basics
Many Interpretations
 Retention rate: What % of ARR comes
back? How hard is it to keep?
 Recurring Profit Margin: ARR – Churn –
Non-growth Spend
 Growth Efficiency: Cost of getting $1 of
new ACV (affected by marketing costs +
onboarding costs + upgrades, renewals,
churn etc.)
Core Ideas
In Short…
“The metrics for Cloud computing is
fairly different from traditional
enterprise software.”
Bessemer Venture Partners – Top 10 Laws for Cloud Computing
Metrics Matter
 Conventional ERP
 ERP + spreadsheets
 Roll your own
 Only captures data
 Still need good analytics
You Really Need a System
Your Business Processes
CRM ERP GL
Lots of Vendors
Achdirect, Aria Systems, Ascenduregroup,
Batchbill, Bill.com, Billing Circle, Blusynergy,
Cannibill, Chargebee, Chargify,
Cheddargetter, ChickPea, Cloudability,
,Evapt, Fusebill, Magnaquest, Metanga,
Monexa, NetSuite, Paysimple, Recurly,
Saasy, Zuora
 Subscription business model is here to
stay
 Your customers see you as an expert
 You are going to need it as markets
continue to shift
 Embracing it will help you grow your
business
 Use case for analytics and metrics
Conclusions
Beagle Research Group, LLC
www.BeagleResearch.com
781-297-0066
Thanks!

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SugarCon 2013: How the Subscription Economy is Affecting Businesses and CRM

  • 1. Denis Pombriant Managing Principal Beagle Research Group, LLC Driving Success with Subscriptions Making a Win/Win
  • 2. The New Paradigm BUY NOW SUBSCRIBE Then Now
  • 3. Lots of Tech Examples
  • 4. Beyond Tech… “By2015, 35%of Global 2000 companies will generate revenuethrough subscription-based servicesand revenuemodels.”
  • 5. Driving the Subscription Economy Technology Trends Economy Business Model Capitalism at its Best
  • 7.  Lower cost of entry  Ability to modify agreement almost at will  Lower ongoing costs  Greater reliability Business Model Advantages
  • 8.  More customers can suddenly afford your product  Greater flexibility  Configuring products  Taking them to market  Rapidly scale your business  Eventually more predictable revenue streams, if you manage the business right Vendors Like It Too
  • 9.  More invoices to process (and get right!)  The possibility of customer change at any moment requires great flexibility from your systems  Rapid product prototyping SKUs!!!  You can’t reach out and touch your customers Can Your Systems Keep Up?
  • 10. Four Key Attributes Subscription Reality Capture Big Data Social Media Financial Systems Analytics and Predictive Modeling Develop Metrics
  • 11.  Customer data – social media  Use data – primary system  Financial data – financial system Big Data
  • 12.  They do different things and you need both  Analytics  Retrospective, How did we do?  Predictive modeling  What if? Analytics and Modeling
  • 14.  Recurring Revenue — ARR, MRR  Deferred revenue (booked, unbilled, etc.)  Customer Churn Rate – Avoidable?  Renewals  Customer Lifetime Value  Value Remaining  Gross/Net Attrition — avoidable, unavoidable Metrics
  • 15.  Customer Churn Rate  The historical average of the percentage of customers who leave a service on a monthly basis.  Growth  [ARR * Retention Rate] + [Unbilled Deferred Revenue for forward 12 months] – [Projected Churn] + Planned Growth Rate * Last 12 months ARR Some Basics
  • 17.  Retention rate: What % of ARR comes back? How hard is it to keep?  Recurring Profit Margin: ARR – Churn – Non-growth Spend  Growth Efficiency: Cost of getting $1 of new ACV (affected by marketing costs + onboarding costs + upgrades, renewals, churn etc.) Core Ideas
  • 18. In Short… “The metrics for Cloud computing is fairly different from traditional enterprise software.” Bessemer Venture Partners – Top 10 Laws for Cloud Computing
  • 20.  Conventional ERP  ERP + spreadsheets  Roll your own  Only captures data  Still need good analytics You Really Need a System
  • 22. Lots of Vendors Achdirect, Aria Systems, Ascenduregroup, Batchbill, Bill.com, Billing Circle, Blusynergy, Cannibill, Chargebee, Chargify, Cheddargetter, ChickPea, Cloudability, ,Evapt, Fusebill, Magnaquest, Metanga, Monexa, NetSuite, Paysimple, Recurly, Saasy, Zuora
  • 23.  Subscription business model is here to stay  Your customers see you as an expert  You are going to need it as markets continue to shift  Embracing it will help you grow your business  Use case for analytics and metrics Conclusions
  • 24. Beagle Research Group, LLC www.BeagleResearch.com 781-297-0066 Thanks!

Notas do Editor

  1. Subscribe rather than purchase and save resources for other deploymentsEven the big guys are converting
  2. Subscriptions are a happening thing. Avis bought ZipcarEither getting a better product or a better customer experience because the service fits your life better than the product alone.Younger demographic is adopting subscriptions and subscription products like bike sharing services
  3. Technology trends — anything can be delivered as a service through Internet and fast, reliable shippingEconomy and Demand — slack demand in many sectors as people and companies want to preserve cash rather than spend large sums on single deploymentsBusiness Model — Better model for growth, lower overhead, more automated modelCapitalism at its finest — strips out the business clutter, enables vendors and customers to run lean, sets up a recurring revenue stream.
  4. Vendors find it hard to make the switch because they take in revenue in smaller chunks and Wall Street doesn’t know how to value them.Hard to monetizeHard to explain to Wall StreetHard to keep customersHard to trackBut companies that don’t adopt eventually find that their customers and markets are moving away from them regardless.
  5. The case for mobile and the need for it are realities that all businesses have to deal with. Over the last decade we’ve seen a growing infrastructure of standards, devices and increasingly powerful networks that have set the stage for very good mobile computing. These components have delivered the basics of mobile computing but most companies still need two very important bits that are unique to their businesses.
  6. Too often budding subscription companies either try to make a conventional ERP system do the job with great difficulty or they build their own system (not a good use of resources) or they resort to spreadsheets (no controls, easily corrupted)