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Why Start Ups Fail?
Mark D. Iwanowski
Managing Director
Trident Capital
December, 2010
Silicon Valley: A Great Success Story



Job creation
     More than 10,000 companies
     headquartered in Silicon Valley
     Employ more than 1.1 million
     people

Wealth creation
     Publicly traded Silicon Valley
     companies have an aggregate
     market capitalization of over $1.4
     trillion


Entrepreneurial Culture
     Merit Based
     Lineage, Race, Sex, Personality:
     Irrelevant


Success Oriented
     Making a lot of money is
     acceptable
     Failure is part of the learning
     process




                                          Confidential and Proprietary   2
Trident Capital

    ●   Founded 1993
    ●   Seven funds since inception
    ●   Superior investment performance and
        liquidity
         ●   [35]% All-Fund Net IRR since inception

    ●   Sector focused, thesis driven investors
    ●   Value investors → multistage investing
    ●   Company builders
    ●   Strong operating skills
    ●   Deep domain expertise


                          Confidential and Proprietary   3
Strategy:
Sector Focused, Thesis Driven


          Enterprise IT                                 Internet
           Software/SaaS
           Security
           Outsourcing
           Payments
                            Information
                            Technology

          Healthcare IT                           Clean-Tech
                                                  and Energy IT



                         Confidential and Proprietary              4
What do we look for as Investors?
● Attractive high growth markets with good margin potential
     –   Big commoditized low margin markets are NOT attractive as low margins do not
         allow for any hiccups which almost always occur.

● Offering/technology that is unique in market place
     –   Very Important to be able to demonstrate you understand the competitive
         landscape, => that is who all your competitors are and how you are different

● Proven Management Team
     –   Look to recruit this if don’t already have on team

● Attractive Deal Structure
     – Need to have a pre-money that will allow us to hit an expected 3-5X return under
       conservative assumptions
     – Keep in mind , it usually takes $20+M to take a Software company through
       profitability and much more for a hardware company




                                 Confidential and Proprietary                             5
SO WHY DO START UPS FAIL?




        Confidential and Proprietary   6
Team Issues
● No Strong Entrepreneur on Team
    –   Need to know how -- and be willing -- to taken prudent risks
● Team not Properly Trained/Educated
    –   Teams without experience have very high probability of failure
    –   Not knowing what they don’t know
● Single Founder
    –   Few Successful Startups Have One Founder
    –   Requires Team with Common Vision
● Half hearted attempts
    –   Lack of commitment kills large number of start ups
● Lack of Confidence
    –   If you aren’t sure, who will be?



                           Confidential and Proprietary                  7
Market Issues
● Not knowing your customer
    –   Engineers many times fail to build what customers want, they
        build what they think they want without confirming by talking to
        large enough sample set
● Not understanding the competitive landscape
    –   Failure to know your competition is deadly
● No viable market
    –   Lack of homework relative to what customers will buy
● Marginal Niche Market
    –   Need large fast growing market to overcome start Up shortfalls
● Derivative Idea
    –   Rarely do small tweaks to existing products succeed
● Lack of Competitive Advantage
    –   Tightly coupled to knowing your competitors
                           Confidential and Proprietary                    8
Market Issues
● Don’t Keep Up with Market
    –   Product introduction time continues to speed up
● Market Timing (too soon or late)
    –   Lots of cases where products brought to market too early or late
● Weak Value Proposition
    –   Customers must be comfortable that perceived value exceeds
        cost
● Poor Pricing Strategy
    –   Aligning pricing with value proposition
    –   Converting trial customers to paying customers
    –   SaaS/Cloud models can be dangerous due to upfront capital cost
        vs time to breakeven per customer
● Competing Head to Head with Industry leaders
    –   David rarely beats a stronger market leading Goliath

                          Confidential and Proprietary                     9
Execution
● Not focused
    –   Optimizing use of resources at all times
● Not agile
    –   Need to shift strategy when market conditions dictate
    –   First business plan is rarely where you end up!
● Product shortfalls/weaknesses
    –   Important to understand what competition is doing at all times
● Poor product management discipline
    –   Ensure development focus on ROI at all times
    –   Critical to breakeven time per customer right!
● Cost of Customer Acquisition vs. Long Term Customer
  Revenue


                           Confidential and Proprietary                  10
Execution
● Not enough capital
    –   Revenue projections are almost always too rosy
    –   Cost to deliver product almost always underestimated by 2-3X
● Too much capital
    –   Spending to fast
    –   Spend every dollar like it is your last
    –   Balance product release vs. customer uptake
● Slow to Market
    –   Delays in product launch result in missed opportunity
● Launch before ready
    –   Too early launch can be very damaging
● Growing too fast
    –   Misunderstanding working capital needs
    –   Maintaining good hiring practices
                          Confidential and Proprietary                 11
Execution


● Bad Location
   –   Very US few start ups are successful outside of Silicon Valley and
       other US entrepreneurial hubs (Austin, Route 128)
   –   Need appropriate culture and ecosystem


● Poor Customer Service
   –   Usually results in high churn
   –   Cost of good customer service vs financial benefits


● Poor Channel Strategy
   –   Channel partners need to receive as much benefit as company
   –   Understanding competing products in channel partner inventory



                         Confidential and Proprietary                       12
Execution



● Not willing to get hands dirty
    –   Critical for CEO to understand key internal risks and get in front of
        customers continuously


● Bad Hires
    –   Most founders don’t spend enough time ensuring good hires


● Bad luck
    –   Sometimes “@%#&” happens




                           Confidential and Proprietary                         13
Take Aways


● Continuously focus on reasons why companies succeed
  and fail


● Takes a special breed to be a successful entrepreneur


● If it was easy, everyone would be doing it




                     Confidential and Proprietary         14

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Mark Iwanowski : Why start ups fail

  • 1. Why Start Ups Fail? Mark D. Iwanowski Managing Director Trident Capital December, 2010
  • 2. Silicon Valley: A Great Success Story Job creation More than 10,000 companies headquartered in Silicon Valley Employ more than 1.1 million people Wealth creation Publicly traded Silicon Valley companies have an aggregate market capitalization of over $1.4 trillion Entrepreneurial Culture Merit Based Lineage, Race, Sex, Personality: Irrelevant Success Oriented Making a lot of money is acceptable Failure is part of the learning process Confidential and Proprietary 2
  • 3. Trident Capital ● Founded 1993 ● Seven funds since inception ● Superior investment performance and liquidity ● [35]% All-Fund Net IRR since inception ● Sector focused, thesis driven investors ● Value investors → multistage investing ● Company builders ● Strong operating skills ● Deep domain expertise Confidential and Proprietary 3
  • 4. Strategy: Sector Focused, Thesis Driven Enterprise IT Internet Software/SaaS Security Outsourcing Payments Information Technology Healthcare IT Clean-Tech and Energy IT Confidential and Proprietary 4
  • 5. What do we look for as Investors? ● Attractive high growth markets with good margin potential – Big commoditized low margin markets are NOT attractive as low margins do not allow for any hiccups which almost always occur. ● Offering/technology that is unique in market place – Very Important to be able to demonstrate you understand the competitive landscape, => that is who all your competitors are and how you are different ● Proven Management Team – Look to recruit this if don’t already have on team ● Attractive Deal Structure – Need to have a pre-money that will allow us to hit an expected 3-5X return under conservative assumptions – Keep in mind , it usually takes $20+M to take a Software company through profitability and much more for a hardware company Confidential and Proprietary 5
  • 6. SO WHY DO START UPS FAIL? Confidential and Proprietary 6
  • 7. Team Issues ● No Strong Entrepreneur on Team – Need to know how -- and be willing -- to taken prudent risks ● Team not Properly Trained/Educated – Teams without experience have very high probability of failure – Not knowing what they don’t know ● Single Founder – Few Successful Startups Have One Founder – Requires Team with Common Vision ● Half hearted attempts – Lack of commitment kills large number of start ups ● Lack of Confidence – If you aren’t sure, who will be? Confidential and Proprietary 7
  • 8. Market Issues ● Not knowing your customer – Engineers many times fail to build what customers want, they build what they think they want without confirming by talking to large enough sample set ● Not understanding the competitive landscape – Failure to know your competition is deadly ● No viable market – Lack of homework relative to what customers will buy ● Marginal Niche Market – Need large fast growing market to overcome start Up shortfalls ● Derivative Idea – Rarely do small tweaks to existing products succeed ● Lack of Competitive Advantage – Tightly coupled to knowing your competitors Confidential and Proprietary 8
  • 9. Market Issues ● Don’t Keep Up with Market – Product introduction time continues to speed up ● Market Timing (too soon or late) – Lots of cases where products brought to market too early or late ● Weak Value Proposition – Customers must be comfortable that perceived value exceeds cost ● Poor Pricing Strategy – Aligning pricing with value proposition – Converting trial customers to paying customers – SaaS/Cloud models can be dangerous due to upfront capital cost vs time to breakeven per customer ● Competing Head to Head with Industry leaders – David rarely beats a stronger market leading Goliath Confidential and Proprietary 9
  • 10. Execution ● Not focused – Optimizing use of resources at all times ● Not agile – Need to shift strategy when market conditions dictate – First business plan is rarely where you end up! ● Product shortfalls/weaknesses – Important to understand what competition is doing at all times ● Poor product management discipline – Ensure development focus on ROI at all times – Critical to breakeven time per customer right! ● Cost of Customer Acquisition vs. Long Term Customer Revenue Confidential and Proprietary 10
  • 11. Execution ● Not enough capital – Revenue projections are almost always too rosy – Cost to deliver product almost always underestimated by 2-3X ● Too much capital – Spending to fast – Spend every dollar like it is your last – Balance product release vs. customer uptake ● Slow to Market – Delays in product launch result in missed opportunity ● Launch before ready – Too early launch can be very damaging ● Growing too fast – Misunderstanding working capital needs – Maintaining good hiring practices Confidential and Proprietary 11
  • 12. Execution ● Bad Location – Very US few start ups are successful outside of Silicon Valley and other US entrepreneurial hubs (Austin, Route 128) – Need appropriate culture and ecosystem ● Poor Customer Service – Usually results in high churn – Cost of good customer service vs financial benefits ● Poor Channel Strategy – Channel partners need to receive as much benefit as company – Understanding competing products in channel partner inventory Confidential and Proprietary 12
  • 13. Execution ● Not willing to get hands dirty – Critical for CEO to understand key internal risks and get in front of customers continuously ● Bad Hires – Most founders don’t spend enough time ensuring good hires ● Bad luck – Sometimes “@%#&” happens Confidential and Proprietary 13
  • 14. Take Aways ● Continuously focus on reasons why companies succeed and fail ● Takes a special breed to be a successful entrepreneur ● If it was easy, everyone would be doing it Confidential and Proprietary 14