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FRAM ANALYSIS
OF THE
KEGWORTH AIR
DISASTER
ROSS APTED
FRAM ANALYSIS
0. Define the purpose of modeling and describe the situation
being analyzed. An event that has occurred (incident/accident) or a
possible future scenario (risk).
1. Identify the essential functions in the event ('foreground'
functions when things go right); characterize each by six basic
aspects.
2. Characterize the actual / potential variability of 'foreground'
functions and 'background' functions (context). Consider both
normal and worst case variability.
3. Define functional resonance based on potential / actual
dependencies (couplings) among functions.
4. Propose ways to monitor and dampen performance
variability(indicators, barriers, design / modification, etc.)
Non-normal event
                                            (Engine Failure)


                                                Non-normal
                                                procedures

              Air conditioning                  High engine
                   smoke                         vibrations

             Air conditioning                   High engine
            smoke procedures                     vibrations
                                                procedures
Engine shutdown


Engine shutdown             Divert to nearest
    checklist                    airport

                          Landing procedure              Review any engine
                                                        shutdown decisions
                                 Landing
T                  C

                                                                                                                                                          T                   C
        Non-normal
                                                               T                  C
          event
I        (Engine               O
         Failure)                                                                                                                                             High engine
                                                                                                                                                  I            vibrations             O
                                                                   Non-normal
                                                       I           procedures             O
    P                  R

                                                                                                                                                      P                       R
                                                               P                  R



                                                                                                                                          T                      C
                                           T                   C


                                                                                                                                              High engine
                                                   Air
                                                                                                                                  I            vibrations              O
                                       I       conditioning
                                                                     O                                                                        procedures
                                                 smoke

                                                                                      T                       C                           P
                                           P                                                                                                                     R
                                                               R
    T                  C
                                                                                              Divert to
                                                                              I               nearest
                                                                                                                  O
            Air                                                                                airport
        conditioning
I         smoke                O                                                                                                                                                  T                C
        procedures
                                                                                      P                   R
                                                                                                                                                                                      Review any
    P                                                                                                                                                                                  engine
                       R                                                                                                                                                  I                            O
                                                                                                                                                                                      shutdown
                                   T               C                                                                                                                                  decisions
                                                                                                                          T                   C
                                                                                                                                                                                  P                R
                                        Engine
                           I           shutdown            O              T                       C
                                                                                                                               Landing
                                                                                                                      I       procedure               O
                                                                                                                                                                      T                   C
                                                                                   Engine
                                   P                                 I            shutdown
                                                  R                                                       O
                                                                                  checklist
                                                                                                                          P               R
                                                                                                                                                                 I            Landing
                                                                                                                                                                                               O
                                                                          P                      R

                                                                                                                                                                      P                   R
CHARACTERISTICS OF
   FUNCTION I
                                                         Control
                    Time                                 Non-normal procedures ,
Time in which the system                                 Commander and first officers’
            is operational   T                      C    Actions.



                                   Non-normal
                         I            event                 Output
              Input                                     O
                                 (Engine Failure)           Input to:
                                                            Non-normal procedures


                             P
                                                    R
                                                        Resource
              Precondition                              Functioning system(
              System fault                              engine system)
CHARACTERISTICS OF
 FUNCTION II
                                                Control
                  Time                          Commander and first officer
    Priority while non-
normal event is active.   T                C




                      I       Non-normal           Output
           Input                               O
                              procedures           Input to:
Non-normal event                                   Air conditioning smoke
                                                        High engine vibrations
                                                   Review any engine shutdown-
                          P
                                           R                   decisions
                                               Resource
           Precondition                        Commanders and first officers’
                                               attention and time.
CHARACTERISTICS OF
   FUNCTION III
                                                         Control
                    Time                                 Non-normal procedures ,
Time in which the system                                 Commander and first officers’
            is operational   T                      C    Actions.



                                 Air conditioning           Output
             Input       I                              O
                                      smoke                 Input to:
        Non-normal                                          Air conditioning smoke
        procedures                                          procedures
                             P
                                                    R
                                                        Resource
              Precondition                              Functioning system(
              System fault                              Air conditioning)
                                                        Failing system(engine)
CHARACTERISTICS OF
  FUNCTION IV
                                                           Control
                   Time                                    Commander and first officer
     Must be completed                                     Non-normal procedures
        before crew are        T                      C
     adversely affected.


                                   Air conditioning           Output
              Input     I                                 O
                                        smoke                 Input to:
   Air conditioning                  procedures                  Engine shutdown
            smoke                                             Divert to nearest airport
                               P
                                                      R
                                                          Resource
            Precondition                                  Commanders and first officers’
Any procedure that have a                                 attention and time.
       higher priority level
   must be taken care of.
CHARACTERISTICS OF
   FUNCTION V
                                                       Control
                  Time                                 Commander and first officer
     Must be completed                                 Engine shutdown checklist
          immediately if    T                     C    Boeing 737 operations
emergency. (engine fire).                              Manual.



                        I                                 Output
               Input            Engine shutdown       O
                                                          Input to:
    Air conditioning                                      Engine shutdown checklist
             smoke
         procedures
                            P
                                              R

          Precondition                                Resource
      Appropriate engine                              Commanders and first officers’
  non-normal procedures                               attention and time.
            completed                                 An engine
CHARACTERISTICS OF
 FUNCTION VI
                                                     Control
                  Time                               Commander and first officer
 Time must be taken to                               Boeing 737 operations
evaluate every stage of   T                     C    Manual.
              checklist


                              Engine shutdown           Output
           Input      I                             O
                                  checklist
Engine shutdown


                          P
                                            R

        Precondition                                Resource
    Appropriate engine                              Commanders and first officers’
non-normal procedures                               attention and time.
          completed
CHARACTERISTICS OF
   FUNCTION VII
                                                             Control
                     Time                                    Non-normal procedures ,
 Must divert immediately,                                    Commander and first officers’
               top priority.    T                       C    Actions. Boeing 737 operations
                                                             Manual.



                           I        Divert to nearest           Output
              Input                                         O
                                         airport                Input to:
   Air conditioning                                             Landing procedure
 smoke procedures

                                P
                                                        R
                                                            Resource
                Precondition                                Commanders and first officers’
Air traffic control clearance                               attention and time, cabin crews
                                                            attention, air traffic control and
                                                            ground crew manpower
CHARACTERISTICS OF
  FUNCTION VIII
                                                   Control
                      Time                         Air traffic control,
Must be complete at top                            Commander and first officers’
 priority if in emergency     T               C    Actions. Boeing 737 operations
                  situation                        Manual.


                                   Landing            Output
             Input        I                       O
                                  procedure           Input to:
           Landing                                    Landing


                              P
                                              R

            Precondition                          Resource
                                                  Commanders and first officers’
                                                  attention and time.
                                                  Flight crew time and attention.
                                                  Air traffic control coordination
CHARACTERISTICS OF
    FUNCTION IX
                                                    Control
                        Time                        Air traffic control,
 Must be in time allocated                          Commander and first officers’
 by air traffic control, must    T             C    Actions.
     not conflict with other
                       tasks.

                                     Landing           Output
             Input          I                      O
Landing procedure


                                 P
                                               R

                Precondition                       Resource
  Landing procedures have                          Commanders and first officers’
              be completed,                        attention and time, cabin crews
air traffic control clearance,                     attention, air traffic control and
           ground crew ready                       ground crew manpower
CHARACTERISTICS OF
   FUNCTION X
                                                    Control,
                    Time                            Commander and first officers’
Time in which the system                            Actions.
            is operational   T                 C
                         .


                                 High engine           Output
             Input       I                         O
                                  vibrations           Input to:
        Non-normal                                     High engine vibrations
        procedures                                     procedures
                             P
                                               R

            Precondition                           Resource
             System fault                          Failing system(engine)
CHARACTERISTICS OF
    FUNCTION XI
                                                      Control,
                    Time                              Commander and first officers,
      Must be completed                               Non-normal procedures,
  before crew or craft are     T                 C    Boeing 737 operations
      adversely affected.                             Manual.


                                   High engine
                          I         vibrations           Output
              Input                                  O
        High engine                procedures
          vibrations

                               P
                                                 R

            Precondition                             Resource
Any procedure that have a                            Commanders and first officers’
       higher priority level                         attention and time.
    must be taken care of                            Engine thrust(will decrease)
CHARACTERISTICS OF
   FUNCTION XII
                                                        Control,
                     Time                               Commander,
Must be completed after                                 Non-normal procedures,
   every procedure that      T                     C
          requires engine
    shutdown, must not
conflict with other tasks.
                         .         Review any
                         I       engine shutdown           Output
               Input                                   O
        Non-normal                  decisions
        procedures

                             P
                                               R

            Precondition                               Resource
A procedure that requires                              Commanders’
      an engine shutdown                               attention and time.
T                    C                                                                                                                                T                   C

                Non-normal
                  event                                                                                                                                                High engine                              Pilots did not know of
    I            (Engine                 O                                                                                                                  I
                                                                                  T                  C                                                                  vibrations           O                    newly introduced
                 Failure)                                                                                                    Pilots experienced                                                                    engine vibration
                                                  Left engine
                                                 malfunctioned                                                              symptoms of engine                                                                        procedure
                                                                                                                                    failure
            P                  R                                                      Non-normal                                                                  P
                                                                          I                                    O                                                                     R
                                                                                      procedures

                                                                                                                                                                                      Engine vibration
                                                                                                                                                                                     producers were not
                                                                                                                                                                                          Engine vibration
                                                                                  P                                                                                                      carried out
                                                                                                                                                                                        producers were not
                                                                                                    R
                                                                                                                                                                                            carried out
                                                                                                                                       symptoms stopped
                                                                                               Pilots experienced
                                                                                              symptoms of engine                                                               T                     C
                                                           T                  C                       failure

                                                                                                                                                                                     High engine
                                                                   Air                                                                                                    I           vibrations            O
                                                    I          conditioning                                                                                                          procedures
                                                                                      O                            T                     C
                                                                 smoke


                                                                                                                           Divert to                                           P                     R
                                                           P                  R                                            nearest
                                                                                                           I                                     O
                                                                                                                            airport
                                                                                                                                                                                                     T                C
                                             Flight crews chose to
                                                deal with smoke                                                    P                                                                                     Review any
                                                                                                                                        R
                                                                                                                                                     Shut down of right                                   engine
        T                    C                                                                                                                                                               I           shutdown             O
                                                                                                 Flight crews attention                               engine was not
                                               symptoms stopped                                                                                          reviewed                                        decisions
                                                                                                 focused on diverting
                Air                                                                                to nearest airport
            conditioning
I                                                                                                                                                                                                    P                R
              smoke                  O
                                                                                          T                    C                                 T                 C
            procedures                          Determined that right                                                                                                     High cabin workload
                                                 engine was cause
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Pilots were
        P                                                                                       Engine                                                                                                                          required to
                           R                                                                                                                           Landing                                                                land a review
                                                T                   C             I            shutdown                                      I
                                                                                                                       O                              procedure           O                      T              C
                                                                                               checklist                                                                                                                          engine
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 shutdown
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 decisions
                                                         Engine
                                         I              shutdown          O               P                    R                                 P                R                      I           Landing
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          O



                                                P                  R                                                                                                                             P              R

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FRAM Analysis - Kegworth

  • 1. FRAM ANALYSIS OF THE KEGWORTH AIR DISASTER ROSS APTED
  • 2. FRAM ANALYSIS 0. Define the purpose of modeling and describe the situation being analyzed. An event that has occurred (incident/accident) or a possible future scenario (risk). 1. Identify the essential functions in the event ('foreground' functions when things go right); characterize each by six basic aspects. 2. Characterize the actual / potential variability of 'foreground' functions and 'background' functions (context). Consider both normal and worst case variability. 3. Define functional resonance based on potential / actual dependencies (couplings) among functions. 4. Propose ways to monitor and dampen performance variability(indicators, barriers, design / modification, etc.)
  • 3. Non-normal event (Engine Failure) Non-normal procedures Air conditioning High engine smoke vibrations Air conditioning High engine smoke procedures vibrations procedures Engine shutdown Engine shutdown Divert to nearest checklist airport Landing procedure Review any engine shutdown decisions Landing
  • 4. T C T C Non-normal T C event I (Engine O Failure) High engine I vibrations O Non-normal I procedures O P R P R P R T C T C High engine Air I vibrations O I conditioning O procedures smoke T C P P R R T C Divert to I nearest O Air airport conditioning I smoke O T C procedures P R Review any P engine R I O shutdown T C decisions T C P R Engine I shutdown O T C Landing I procedure O T C Engine P I shutdown R O checklist P R I Landing O P R P R
  • 5. CHARACTERISTICS OF FUNCTION I Control Time Non-normal procedures , Time in which the system Commander and first officers’ is operational T C Actions. Non-normal I event Output Input O (Engine Failure) Input to: Non-normal procedures P R Resource Precondition Functioning system( System fault engine system)
  • 6. CHARACTERISTICS OF FUNCTION II Control Time Commander and first officer Priority while non- normal event is active. T C I Non-normal Output Input O procedures Input to: Non-normal event Air conditioning smoke High engine vibrations Review any engine shutdown- P R decisions Resource Precondition Commanders and first officers’ attention and time.
  • 7. CHARACTERISTICS OF FUNCTION III Control Time Non-normal procedures , Time in which the system Commander and first officers’ is operational T C Actions. Air conditioning Output Input I O smoke Input to: Non-normal Air conditioning smoke procedures procedures P R Resource Precondition Functioning system( System fault Air conditioning) Failing system(engine)
  • 8. CHARACTERISTICS OF FUNCTION IV Control Time Commander and first officer Must be completed Non-normal procedures before crew are T C adversely affected. Air conditioning Output Input I O smoke Input to: Air conditioning procedures Engine shutdown smoke Divert to nearest airport P R Resource Precondition Commanders and first officers’ Any procedure that have a attention and time. higher priority level must be taken care of.
  • 9. CHARACTERISTICS OF FUNCTION V Control Time Commander and first officer Must be completed Engine shutdown checklist immediately if T C Boeing 737 operations emergency. (engine fire). Manual. I Output Input Engine shutdown O Input to: Air conditioning Engine shutdown checklist smoke procedures P R Precondition Resource Appropriate engine Commanders and first officers’ non-normal procedures attention and time. completed An engine
  • 10. CHARACTERISTICS OF FUNCTION VI Control Time Commander and first officer Time must be taken to Boeing 737 operations evaluate every stage of T C Manual. checklist Engine shutdown Output Input I O checklist Engine shutdown P R Precondition Resource Appropriate engine Commanders and first officers’ non-normal procedures attention and time. completed
  • 11. CHARACTERISTICS OF FUNCTION VII Control Time Non-normal procedures , Must divert immediately, Commander and first officers’ top priority. T C Actions. Boeing 737 operations Manual. I Divert to nearest Output Input O airport Input to: Air conditioning Landing procedure smoke procedures P R Resource Precondition Commanders and first officers’ Air traffic control clearance attention and time, cabin crews attention, air traffic control and ground crew manpower
  • 12. CHARACTERISTICS OF FUNCTION VIII Control Time Air traffic control, Must be complete at top Commander and first officers’ priority if in emergency T C Actions. Boeing 737 operations situation Manual. Landing Output Input I O procedure Input to: Landing Landing P R Precondition Resource Commanders and first officers’ attention and time. Flight crew time and attention. Air traffic control coordination
  • 13. CHARACTERISTICS OF FUNCTION IX Control Time Air traffic control, Must be in time allocated Commander and first officers’ by air traffic control, must T C Actions. not conflict with other tasks. Landing Output Input I O Landing procedure P R Precondition Resource Landing procedures have Commanders and first officers’ be completed, attention and time, cabin crews air traffic control clearance, attention, air traffic control and ground crew ready ground crew manpower
  • 14. CHARACTERISTICS OF FUNCTION X Control, Time Commander and first officers’ Time in which the system Actions. is operational T C . High engine Output Input I O vibrations Input to: Non-normal High engine vibrations procedures procedures P R Precondition Resource System fault Failing system(engine)
  • 15. CHARACTERISTICS OF FUNCTION XI Control, Time Commander and first officers, Must be completed Non-normal procedures, before crew or craft are T C Boeing 737 operations adversely affected. Manual. High engine I vibrations Output Input O High engine procedures vibrations P R Precondition Resource Any procedure that have a Commanders and first officers’ higher priority level attention and time. must be taken care of Engine thrust(will decrease)
  • 16. CHARACTERISTICS OF FUNCTION XII Control, Time Commander, Must be completed after Non-normal procedures, every procedure that T C requires engine shutdown, must not conflict with other tasks. . Review any I engine shutdown Output Input O Non-normal decisions procedures P R Precondition Resource A procedure that requires Commanders’ an engine shutdown attention and time.
  • 17. T C T C Non-normal event High engine Pilots did not know of I (Engine O I T C vibrations O newly introduced Failure) Pilots experienced engine vibration Left engine malfunctioned symptoms of engine procedure failure P R Non-normal P I O R procedures Engine vibration producers were not Engine vibration P carried out producers were not R carried out symptoms stopped Pilots experienced symptoms of engine T C T C failure High engine Air I vibrations O I conditioning procedures O T C smoke Divert to P R P R nearest I O airport T C Flight crews chose to deal with smoke P Review any R Shut down of right engine T C I shutdown O Flight crews attention engine was not symptoms stopped reviewed decisions focused on diverting Air to nearest airport conditioning I P R smoke O T C T C procedures Determined that right High cabin workload engine was cause Pilots were P Engine required to R Landing land a review T C I shutdown I O procedure O T C checklist engine shutdown decisions Engine I shutdown O P R P R I Landing O P R P R