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DEMOGRAPHYCAL
    MIGRATION
 MODELING WITH GIS
• INSTITUTE OF APPLIED SYSTEM
  ANALYSIS (UKRAINE)
• Prof. A .Makarenko, S.Trofimenko
• E-mail: makalex@i.com.ua
GOALS AND APPROACH
• MODELING OF MIGRATION
  SCENAROOS
• DIFFERENT ATTITUDES OF
  POPULATION
• MULTIAGENT AND CELLULAR
  MODELS
• GEOINFORMATIONAL SYSTEMS AND
  REAL DATA BASE
CASE OF CAPITAL ATTRACTIVITY



    1   1       1
    ↓   ↓       ↓
    3   1   2   5   1   3      1
    →   →   →       ←   ←      ↓
    1   2       1   1   1      1   2
    ↑   ↑       ↑   ←   ↓      ↓   ←
    1       1       1   4      5   1
    ↑       →       →   →          ←
                1   1   1      2
                ↑   ←   ↑      ↑
                2   1
                ↑   ←
                    1
                    ↑
4   3   2   9   1   2   1
→   →   →       ←   ←   ↓
1   1       1           1   2
↑   ↑       ↑           ↓   ←
            2       6   9
            ↑       →
            1           1
            ↑           ↑
            2   1
            ↑   ←
4   4   2   12   1   1
→   →   →        ←   ←
            1            2    1
            ↑            ↓    ←
            2        5   12
            ↑        →
            1
            ↑
            2
            ↑
3   4   2   15   1
→   →   →        ←
            1            2
            ↑            ←
            2        4   14
            ↑        ←   ←
            1
            ↑
            1
            ↑
2   4   2   18   1
→   →   →        ←
            1        1   1
            ↑        ←   ←
            2    1   4   13
            ↑    ←   ←   ←
            1
            ↑
1   4   2   21
→   →   →
            1    1   1
            ↑    ←   ←
            3    1   4   12
            ↑    ←   ←   ←
4   2   23
→   →
        1    1
        ↑    ←
        3    1   4   11
        ↑    ←   ←   ←
3   2   25
→   →
        2
        ↑
        3    1   4   10
        ↑    ←   ←   ←
2   2   27
→   →
        2
        ↑
        3    1   4   9
        ↑    ←   ←   ←
1   2   29
→   →
        2
        ↑
        3    1   4   8
        ↑    ←   ←   ←
2   31
→
    2
    ↑
    3    1   4   7
    ↑    ←   ←   ←
1   33
→
    2
    ↑
    3    1   4   6
    ↑    ←   ←   ←
35


2
↑
3    1   4   5
↑    ←   ←   ←
40


2
↑
3    1   4
↑    ←   ←
50

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Demographic Migration Modelling with GIS

  • 1. DEMOGRAPHYCAL MIGRATION MODELING WITH GIS • INSTITUTE OF APPLIED SYSTEM ANALYSIS (UKRAINE) • Prof. A .Makarenko, S.Trofimenko • E-mail: makalex@i.com.ua
  • 2. GOALS AND APPROACH • MODELING OF MIGRATION SCENAROOS • DIFFERENT ATTITUDES OF POPULATION • MULTIAGENT AND CELLULAR MODELS • GEOINFORMATIONAL SYSTEMS AND REAL DATA BASE
  • 3. CASE OF CAPITAL ATTRACTIVITY 1 1 1 ↓ ↓ ↓ 3 1 2 5 1 3 1 → → → ← ← ↓ 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 ↑ ↑ ↑ ← ↓ ↓ ← 1 1 1 4 5 1 ↑ → → → ← 1 1 1 2 ↑ ← ↑ ↑ 2 1 ↑ ← 1 ↑
  • 4. 4 3 2 9 1 2 1 → → → ← ← ↓ 1 1 1 1 2 ↑ ↑ ↑ ↓ ← 2 6 9 ↑ → 1 1 ↑ ↑ 2 1 ↑ ←
  • 5. 4 4 2 12 1 1 → → → ← ← 1 2 1 ↑ ↓ ← 2 5 12 ↑ → 1 ↑ 2 ↑
  • 6. 3 4 2 15 1 → → → ← 1 2 ↑ ← 2 4 14 ↑ ← ← 1 ↑ 1 ↑
  • 7. 2 4 2 18 1 → → → ← 1 1 1 ↑ ← ← 2 1 4 13 ↑ ← ← ← 1 ↑
  • 8. 1 4 2 21 → → → 1 1 1 ↑ ← ← 3 1 4 12 ↑ ← ← ←
  • 9. 4 2 23 → → 1 1 ↑ ← 3 1 4 11 ↑ ← ← ←
  • 10. 3 2 25 → → 2 ↑ 3 1 4 10 ↑ ← ← ←
  • 11. 2 2 27 → → 2 ↑ 3 1 4 9 ↑ ← ← ←
  • 12. 1 2 29 → → 2 ↑ 3 1 4 8 ↑ ← ← ←
  • 13. 2 31 → 2 ↑ 3 1 4 7 ↑ ← ← ←
  • 14. 1 33 → 2 ↑ 3 1 4 6 ↑ ← ← ←
  • 15. 35 2 ↑ 3 1 4 5 ↑ ← ← ←
  • 16. 40 2 ↑ 3 1 4 ↑ ← ←
  • 17. 50