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SOLAR POWER

Where	
  do	
  business	
  opportuni/es	
  lie	
  
for	
  the	
  UK	
  solar	
  PV	
  industry	
  within	
  
the	
  new	
  framework?	
  

Ray	
  Noble	
  –	
  REA	
  Solar	
  Power	
  Specialist	
  



                                              SolarPlaza	
  –	
  22	
  June	
  2010	
  
What	
  is	
  UK	
  SOLAR	
  POWER?	
  
 SOLAR	
  POWER	
  is	
  the	
  Voice	
  of	
  Solar	
  PV	
  to	
  UK	
  Government,	
  
  Customers,	
  Regulators,	
  etc	
  
 SOLAR	
  POWER	
  	
  with	
  acceptance	
  by	
  EPIA	
  allows	
  us	
  to	
  be	
  the	
  link	
  
  with	
  Europe	
  
 SOLAR	
  POWER	
  represents	
  all	
  interests	
  of	
  the	
  PV	
  Industry,	
  
  providing	
  advice	
  and	
  support	
  
 SOLAR	
  POWER	
  arrange	
  and	
  partner	
  on	
  promo/on	
  Events	
  and	
  
  Exhibi/ons	
  	
  
 SOLAR	
  POWER	
  produce	
  NewsleQers	
  &	
  Website	
  
 SOLAR	
  POWER	
  –	
  see	
  www.r-­‐e-­‐a.net	
  
Where	
  have	
  we	
  come	
  from?	
  
•  Although	
  we	
  only	
  have	
  30MWp	
  
   installed	
  too	
  date,	
  the	
  UK	
  PV	
  
   Industry	
  have	
  been	
  ac/ve	
  for	
  over	
  
   20	
  years	
  
•  The	
  Northumberland	
  Building,	
  the	
  
   First	
  and	
  Largest	
  BIPV	
  Facade	
  in	
  
   the	
  World	
  –	
  40kWp	
  in	
  1996	
  
•  Ford	
  Bridgend,	
  the	
  Largest	
  PV	
  
   Installa/on	
  on	
  a	
  Commercial	
  
   Building	
  -­‐	
  26	
  PV	
  Rooflights,	
  
   103kWp	
  in	
  1998	
  
And	
  there	
  were	
  more!
                                                    	
  

•  The	
  Earth	
  Centre,	
  the	
  Largest	
  
   PV	
  Glass	
  Canopy	
  in	
  the	
  World	
  –	
  
   106kWp	
  in	
  1999	
  
•  BedZed	
  Zero	
  Carbon	
  
   Development	
  and	
  Winner	
  of	
  
   the	
  World	
  Energy	
  Globe	
  Award	
  
   –	
  108kWp	
  in	
  2001	
  
Raised	
  Awareness
                                                	
  
•  	
  Developed	
  	
  and	
  demonstrated	
  
   the	
  BP	
  Service	
  Sta/on	
  PV	
  
   Systems	
  	
  as	
  a	
  PV	
  awareness	
  
   raising	
  process	
  prior	
  to	
  roll	
  out	
  
   in	
  various	
  countries	
  in	
  the	
  
   world	
  
•  Crystalline	
  	
  PV	
  –	
  Sunflower	
  
   (s/ll	
  working)	
  
•  Thin	
  Film	
  PV	
  -­‐	
  	
  	
  Harmony	
  
   (complete	
  failure)	
  
Iconic	
  Designs	
  
                                                  	
  

•  Demonstra/on	
  of	
  future	
  energy	
  
   efficient	
  building	
  design	
  with	
  
   integrated	
  Solar	
  PV	
  playing	
  its	
  
   part	
  
•  Worked	
  closely	
  with	
  Architects,	
  
   Engineers	
  and	
  Building	
  Industry	
  
   to	
  develop	
  PV	
  Iconic	
  Designs	
  to	
  
   help	
  showcase	
  PV	
  
Developed	
  BIPV	
  Products
                                              	
  
•  Working	
  with	
  the	
  Building	
  
   Industry	
  	
  to	
  develop	
  BIPV	
  
   products,	
  most	
  of	
  which	
  are	
  
   exported	
  
Which	
  businesses	
  can	
  benefit?	
  
ALL	
  :-­‐	
  	
  
•  Designers	
  
•  Manufacturers	
  
•  Suppliers	
  	
  
•  Installers	
  	
  
•  Maintenance	
  
Even	
  without	
  any	
  marke/ng	
  
   too	
  date!	
  Even	
  from	
  the	
  
   U/li/es!	
  
Where	
  are	
  the	
  immediate	
  benefits?	
  
Significant	
  growth	
  in	
  all	
  sectors	
  
   happening:-­‐	
  
•  Domes/c	
  Market	
  
•  Social	
  Housing	
  Sector	
  
•  Public	
  Buildings	
  
•  Commercial	
  Buildings	
  
•  Large	
  Roofs	
  
•  Farm	
  Buildings	
  
•  PV	
  Fields	
  
Crea/on	
  of	
  jobs	
  in	
  both	
  Manufacturing	
  
   and	
  Installa/on	
  
What	
  market	
  growth	
  	
  is	
  expected?	
  
•  with	
  	
  only	
  30MWp	
  installed	
  in	
  
   the	
  first	
  20	
  years	
  
•  To	
  40MWp	
  to	
  100MWp	
  
   predicted	
  in	
  2011	
  
•  And	
  anywhere	
  from	
  200MWp	
  
   to	
  750MWp	
  in	
  2012	
  
•  Many	
  talking	
  of	
  UK	
  being	
  the	
  
   “new”	
  Germany!	
  
Which	
  business	
  models	
  might	
  evolve?	
  
•  The	
  “Genera/on	
  Tariff”	
  allows	
  some	
  
   interes/ng	
  business	
  models	
  –	
  “Free	
  PV	
  
   Installa/on”	
  with	
  benefits	
  of	
  the	
  
   electricity	
  for	
  use	
  in	
  the	
  building,	
  at	
  no	
  
   charge,	
  and	
  	
  the	
  customer	
  earnings	
  
   from	
  the	
  “Export	
  Tariff”	
  
•  Un/l	
  a	
  Smart	
  Meter	
  is	
  installed,	
  
   some/me	
  between	
  2013	
  to	
  2020,	
  
   Domes/c	
  Housing	
  is	
  “deemed”	
  that	
  
   50%	
  of	
  all	
  genera/on	
  is	
  exported	
  	
  
•  Commercial	
  installa/ons	
  will	
  have	
  
   output	
  measured	
  from	
  the	
  start	
  
What	
  problems	
  can	
  be	
  an/cipated?	
  
•  Shortage	
  of	
  a	
  skilled	
  workforce	
  for	
  the	
  Design,	
  
   Installa/on	
  and	
  Sales	
  
•  Possibly	
  inadequate	
  Supply	
  Chain	
  /	
  Distribu/on	
  
   Network	
  not	
  able	
  to	
  respond	
  to	
  demand	
  
•  Rapid	
  growth	
  could	
  exceed	
  available	
  supply	
  /	
  
   alloca/on	
  to	
  UK	
  of	
  both	
  PV	
  Modules	
  and	
  Inverters	
  
•  Quick	
  learning	
  curve	
  required	
  on	
  the	
  Design	
  and	
  
   Installa/on	
  of	
  PV	
  Fields	
  
•  Planners	
  need	
  educa/ng!	
  PermiQed	
  Development	
  
   on	
  Housing	
  
•  DNO’s	
  need	
  to	
  be	
  brought	
  on	
  side!	
  G59	
  Regs	
  
Impact	
  of	
  other	
  Regula/ons?	
  
•  UK	
  have	
  other	
  Regula/ons	
  that	
  
   assist	
  the	
  growth	
  and	
  adop/on	
  
   of	
  PV:-­‐	
  
•  New	
  Build	
  Planning	
  
   Requirements	
  –	
  10%	
  to	
  20%	
  
   electricity	
  generated	
  on	
  site	
  
•  Code	
  for	
  Sustainable	
  Homes	
  
   Zero	
  Carbon	
  Houses	
  by	
  2016	
  
•  All	
  new	
  Buildings	
  to	
  be	
  Zero	
  
   Carbon	
  by	
  2019	
  
•  MCS	
  process	
  will	
  be	
  developed!	
  
Educa/on	
  s/ll	
  required?	
  
Thank	
  You	
  
  Ray	
  Noble	
  
  rnoble@r-­‐e-­‐a.net	
  
  www.r-­‐e-­‐a.net	
  

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UKPVC 2010 Ray Noble - Where do business opportunities lie for the uk solar pv industry within the new framework?

  • 1. SOLAR POWER Where  do  business  opportuni/es  lie   for  the  UK  solar  PV  industry  within   the  new  framework?   Ray  Noble  –  REA  Solar  Power  Specialist   SolarPlaza  –  22  June  2010  
  • 2. What  is  UK  SOLAR  POWER?    SOLAR  POWER  is  the  Voice  of  Solar  PV  to  UK  Government,   Customers,  Regulators,  etc    SOLAR  POWER    with  acceptance  by  EPIA  allows  us  to  be  the  link   with  Europe    SOLAR  POWER  represents  all  interests  of  the  PV  Industry,   providing  advice  and  support    SOLAR  POWER  arrange  and  partner  on  promo/on  Events  and   Exhibi/ons      SOLAR  POWER  produce  NewsleQers  &  Website    SOLAR  POWER  –  see  www.r-­‐e-­‐a.net  
  • 3. Where  have  we  come  from?   •  Although  we  only  have  30MWp   installed  too  date,  the  UK  PV   Industry  have  been  ac/ve  for  over   20  years   •  The  Northumberland  Building,  the   First  and  Largest  BIPV  Facade  in   the  World  –  40kWp  in  1996   •  Ford  Bridgend,  the  Largest  PV   Installa/on  on  a  Commercial   Building  -­‐  26  PV  Rooflights,   103kWp  in  1998  
  • 4. And  there  were  more!   •  The  Earth  Centre,  the  Largest   PV  Glass  Canopy  in  the  World  –   106kWp  in  1999   •  BedZed  Zero  Carbon   Development  and  Winner  of   the  World  Energy  Globe  Award   –  108kWp  in  2001  
  • 5. Raised  Awareness   •   Developed    and  demonstrated   the  BP  Service  Sta/on  PV   Systems    as  a  PV  awareness   raising  process  prior  to  roll  out   in  various  countries  in  the   world   •  Crystalline    PV  –  Sunflower   (s/ll  working)   •  Thin  Film  PV  -­‐      Harmony   (complete  failure)  
  • 6. Iconic  Designs     •  Demonstra/on  of  future  energy   efficient  building  design  with   integrated  Solar  PV  playing  its   part   •  Worked  closely  with  Architects,   Engineers  and  Building  Industry   to  develop  PV  Iconic  Designs  to   help  showcase  PV  
  • 7. Developed  BIPV  Products   •  Working  with  the  Building   Industry    to  develop  BIPV   products,  most  of  which  are   exported  
  • 8. Which  businesses  can  benefit?   ALL  :-­‐     •  Designers   •  Manufacturers   •  Suppliers     •  Installers     •  Maintenance   Even  without  any  marke/ng   too  date!  Even  from  the   U/li/es!  
  • 9. Where  are  the  immediate  benefits?   Significant  growth  in  all  sectors   happening:-­‐   •  Domes/c  Market   •  Social  Housing  Sector   •  Public  Buildings   •  Commercial  Buildings   •  Large  Roofs   •  Farm  Buildings   •  PV  Fields   Crea/on  of  jobs  in  both  Manufacturing   and  Installa/on  
  • 10. What  market  growth    is  expected?   •  with    only  30MWp  installed  in   the  first  20  years   •  To  40MWp  to  100MWp   predicted  in  2011   •  And  anywhere  from  200MWp   to  750MWp  in  2012   •  Many  talking  of  UK  being  the   “new”  Germany!  
  • 11. Which  business  models  might  evolve?   •  The  “Genera/on  Tariff”  allows  some   interes/ng  business  models  –  “Free  PV   Installa/on”  with  benefits  of  the   electricity  for  use  in  the  building,  at  no   charge,  and    the  customer  earnings   from  the  “Export  Tariff”   •  Un/l  a  Smart  Meter  is  installed,   some/me  between  2013  to  2020,   Domes/c  Housing  is  “deemed”  that   50%  of  all  genera/on  is  exported     •  Commercial  installa/ons  will  have   output  measured  from  the  start  
  • 12. What  problems  can  be  an/cipated?   •  Shortage  of  a  skilled  workforce  for  the  Design,   Installa/on  and  Sales   •  Possibly  inadequate  Supply  Chain  /  Distribu/on   Network  not  able  to  respond  to  demand   •  Rapid  growth  could  exceed  available  supply  /   alloca/on  to  UK  of  both  PV  Modules  and  Inverters   •  Quick  learning  curve  required  on  the  Design  and   Installa/on  of  PV  Fields   •  Planners  need  educa/ng!  PermiQed  Development   on  Housing   •  DNO’s  need  to  be  brought  on  side!  G59  Regs  
  • 13. Impact  of  other  Regula/ons?   •  UK  have  other  Regula/ons  that   assist  the  growth  and  adop/on   of  PV:-­‐   •  New  Build  Planning   Requirements  –  10%  to  20%   electricity  generated  on  site   •  Code  for  Sustainable  Homes   Zero  Carbon  Houses  by  2016   •  All  new  Buildings  to  be  Zero   Carbon  by  2019   •  MCS  process  will  be  developed!  
  • 15. Thank  You   Ray  Noble   rnoble@r-­‐e-­‐a.net   www.r-­‐e-­‐a.net