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Where Are We Going?
Broadband/Mobile Broadband
       the 4th Utility


               LTE North America
         Dallas – 10th and 11th Nov 2010



                   Dr Shahram G Niri
  Director of LTE/SAE Global Strategy & Solution – NEC Europe
Table of Content



         Changing telecom industry (Services & Users, Networks)
         Diverged traffic and revenue growth
         Innovation & Reform Towards More Sustainability
         The need for Small Cells for capacity and performance in the future NWs
         Concluding remarks




Page 2
Changing Telecom Industry

         Users will grow in importance
          Customer delight is absolutely essential
          Adopting new habits (e.g. social media, video addiction, ...)
          More demanding on the quality, interactivity, personalisation
         Services will grow in multiplicity, diversity and richness
          New services with the Internet at the heart the services
         More powerful and enabled devices
         Networks will grow in complexity
          Hyper connectivity and increasing demand for capacity
         High capacity pipes with intelligent plumbing
         Self managed and automated networks
         Communication delivered through SW on standards / generic HW
         New business models will be in place
         New ecosystem & new player, and revenue models


    Communication networks to improve in intelligence, flexibility,
    automation, resilience, efficiency, speed, security, privacy, latency

Page 3
Diverged Traffic & Revenue Growth
                                                                                50             Telecoms Price Development

         Significant growth in traffic while slow in revenue                    40                            Mobile
                                                                                                              Broadband

          Ubiquitous Internet-based in hyper connected NWs                     30
          Hundred-fold increase in network flow brought by mass




                                                                   Euro/Month
           terminals and mass digital content                                   20


          Users are spending more time on the phone & internet                 10
          Average household spending on communication falls
          Consumer pay less while getting better value -> they                  0
           pay ~30% less than 5 years ago                                            2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009


          Significant growth in traffic while slow in revenue
                                                                                                    Traffic
         Broadband/Mobile Broadband the 4th Utility
         Ubiquitous , high quality and affordable inter-based
         broadband essential to the functioning of modern life &
         society                                                                                              Gap

                                                                                                                    Revenue

 From Kilo (103 ) bytes to Tera (1012 ) and Zeta (1021 ) bytes
                                                                                                                     Time
 YET lower delivery cost per bit/per sub/per sq km


Page 4
Innovation & Reform Towards More Sustainability

   Cost Vs Revenue does not add up
   User experience at risk

   Limit/control it (e.g. Cap in flat rate)
   Bring the cost of it down (e.g. More efficient deliveries in radio, transport and core
   network, Optimizations and other means of traffic handling
   Turn it to revenue (e.g. Innovative solutions, New revenue streams and sources)


    Small Cell Deployments
                                                                         Alternative NW topologies
    LTE Small Cells
    Bigger, Smarter & Cheaper pipe                                                             Relay   xG
    Cheaper NW operation
    Higher performance                                                                         Femto   4G
                                                                                                Pico    3G
    LTE Femto
    Intelligent Indoor Solution
                                                                                                Micro   2G
     New services & applications                                                               Macro   1G
    Cost saving and revenue generation

    Carrier Cloud
     New service & revenue model
     Service differentiation
    Cost optimization


                Lower cost & better performance and new revenue streams needed
Page 5
Small Cells; Smart Way to Future Mobile Broadband
                                                                                                       LTE and HSDPA performance relative to Theoretical Limits
                                                                                                6.00

    Spectrum is a finite resources, scarce & expensive                                          5.00




                                                               Achievable Efficiency (bps/Hz)
    LTE/HSPA link level spectrum efficiencies close to
                                                                                                                        shannon limit
                                                                                                                        HSDPA
                                                                                                4.00
     theoretical limits                                                                                                 LTE



     Other factors such as Coding & Modulation, MIMO and
                                                                                                3.00



     more spectrum contribute towards higher capacity –                                         2.00


     Spectrum highest contributor!                                                              1.00


                                                                                                0.00
                                                                                                         -10.00           -5            0          5       10.00         15.00
    Alternative LTE deployments (Small Cell - Pico                                                                             Required SNR (db)


      /Femto cells) needed to avoid capacity shortfalls
                                                                                                       30.00
                                                                                                                          Specturm
    Frequency reuse is the key to keep up with exponential                                            25.00              MIMO
                                                                                                                          Modulation & Coding
     increase of traffic in the future with limited spectrum                                           20.00
     availability
    Improves the QoS in the network – better user                                                     15.00


     experience                                                                                        10.00

    Allows for faster, more flexible, cheaper and easier                                               5.00
     deployment and operation
                                                                                                        0.00
                                                                                                                  GSM     GPRS EDGE                HSDPA HSPA+     LTE




         New network topologies and deployment strategy offer more gain than
                             new technologies and HW

Page 6
More Capacity & Better Performance (HSPA+ Vs LTE)

    3G based NW could run out
     of capacity in 2010+                                                                             Network Capacity offered per device V.S.
                                                                                                                                                           HSPA
                                                                                                            Forecast Traffic per device




                                         Network Capacity/Forecast Traffic (MB/month)
    HSPA+ needs major H/W                                                              3000
     upgrade to offer satisfactory
     performance & capacity;
                                                                                                                                                           HSPA+
    HSPA+ will not have                                                                2500
                                                                                                                             More usage due to
    considerable improvements over                                                                                           improved performance
    HSPA and will have short life time
                                                                                        2000
                                                                                                                                                           LTE &
                                                                                                                                                           HSPA
    LTE as an essential upgrade
    for all 3G operators will offer                                                     1500
                                                                                                            LTE with small
    better user experience (lower                                                                           cells & Femto
                                                                                                                                                           LTE &
                                                                                                                                                           HSPA &
    latency, higher data rate,                                                          1000                                                               Femto
    better availability of higher
    data rate, better QoE at cell                                                                                                                          Traffic
                                                                                                                                                           per
    edge)                                                                                500
                                                                                                                                                           device


    Alternative LTE                                                                       0                                                               Potential
    deployments (Small Cell - Pico                                                             2008      2009     2010     2011     2012     2013   2014   traffic

    /Femto cells) needed to avoid
    capacity shortfalls

                        A constant challenge to keep ahead of future traffic increase
Page 7
   7                                                                                    © NEC Corporation 2009
Think Big – Deploy Small Cells LTE
 LTE Macro deployment is not an option                                                      Coverage Layer
  Will not offer the necessary capacity and performance                                                   1
   with large /macro cells
  High cost of outdoor/macro radio                                                                   2
                                                                                            3                  4
  Data traffic /revenue mainly in hotspots & in-building
  2G and 3G networks (already provide macro coverage)
                                                                                        1   Coverage Driven
                                                                          Macro
 LTE Small Cell as Overlay capacity and performance layer                                       Macro deployment
                                                                         Micro
  A sustainable solution towards ever increasing capacity

                                                                                                                        
                                                                         Pico
   demand                                                                                   Capacity Layer
  Fast to deploy, cheap and easy to install and operate           Femto
  Start small and build as your number of users / traffic         (Residential /SME)                               4
   increases                                                                                           2
                                                                                            1                   3
  Revenue generation where the traffic is

                 HSPA & LTE (Coverage Layer)      LTE (Capacity Layer)                  2
         2G/3G                                                                                  Capacity Driven
                                                                                        Hotspots and high traffic zones
                                                                                                           4
                                   LTE Hot spot/Metro
                                                                                                       3
                                                                                            2                   1

                                                            LTE Femto
                                                                                        3       New Business Driven
                                         LTE Femto                                               Femto and hotspot islands


Page 8
More Network Capacity by LTE Small Cells
     Comparison of small Vs medium cell (DL)
     For the same traffic density, ISD 200m
     OMNI offers x 2.5 (x 3.5 in UL) user data rate
     on average, or x3 (x8 in UL) user data rate
     for cell edge user
     If targeting mean user data rate 10Mbps,
     5%-tile user data rate 2Mbps, ISD 200m               2
     OMNI offers ~4x system throughput

     The figures are MUCH higher if compared
     with larger cells

    Comparison of Macro & Macro+ Small (DL)
     for the same traffic density mixed
    deployment offer ~2.5 x user data rate                          or ~2.4x user data rate
    If targeting mean user data rate of 10 Mbps,
                                                                                ~1.7x
    the mixed deployment scenario offer ~1.8 x                                 Capacity
    capacity

    The figure are even higher for uplink (6X and
    2.5 times)

            Significant improvement by deploying small cells in terms of cost per bit per Km2
Page 9 9
 Page
High Performance yet Cheap, Easy and Fast deployment
                           High capacity and performance
                           Zero foot print, Wall/Poll Mount          Indoor deployment
                           No site acquisition necessary
                           Flexible and fast deployments
                           Self configuration & one-touch by SON
                           Indoor & outdoor installation




                                                                     Cascade
                           Fan less and air-cooling
                           Green & low power consumption
                           • 420mm x 230mm x 130mm, ~12kg


                       Outdoor
                      deployment            Pole installation        3 x4W all-in-one                S1




                                                                     Distributed
                                                                      Antenna
                                                                    S1
  Wall installation                                                                1x4W all-in-one


Page 10
 Page 10
LTE Small Cells for Operators & End Users




 Savings due to power, site                                      Faster data rates at high traffic
  rental, operation manpower                                       locations
 Saving in site acquisition,                                     Better and higher availability
  installation and civil work                                      of high data rate multimedia
 Build as you grow where the                                      services
  investment needed                                 User          Longer terminal battery life
                                      Cost
 Cost efficient capacity                        Experience        due to lower transmit power
  provision to high traffic areas                                  requirement



                                                                  Fast LTE deployment
 More capacity at reduced                                        Target high revenue locations
  cost per bit                          NW        Business
                                                                  New revenue streams from
 Higher average and peak cell      Peformance   Opportunities
                                                                   Pockets of Services with Cloud
  edge throughput                                                  Computing
                                                                  Last mile broadband solution



Page 11
Concluding Remarks


          Mobile broadband is a reality, potentials are huge but challenges are huge too

          Broadband/mobile broadband as the 4th utility will be an integral part of modern life
           & society

          Spectrum is a finite, scarce and expensive resources

          New innovative solution will be key to the success of mobile broadband (lower TCO,
           flexibility and scalability in the deployment, simplicity and ease of operation)

          New network topologies and deployment strategy offer more gain than new
            technologies and HW

          Small cells as a cost effective and future proof technology is a key to future mobile
           broadband

          An overlay network with LTE small cells and LTE Femto deployment is the way
           forward




Page 12
Lte us 2010 s niri

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Lte us 2010 s niri

  • 1. Where Are We Going? Broadband/Mobile Broadband the 4th Utility LTE North America Dallas – 10th and 11th Nov 2010 Dr Shahram G Niri Director of LTE/SAE Global Strategy & Solution – NEC Europe
  • 2. Table of Content Changing telecom industry (Services & Users, Networks) Diverged traffic and revenue growth Innovation & Reform Towards More Sustainability The need for Small Cells for capacity and performance in the future NWs Concluding remarks Page 2
  • 3. Changing Telecom Industry Users will grow in importance  Customer delight is absolutely essential  Adopting new habits (e.g. social media, video addiction, ...)  More demanding on the quality, interactivity, personalisation Services will grow in multiplicity, diversity and richness  New services with the Internet at the heart the services More powerful and enabled devices Networks will grow in complexity  Hyper connectivity and increasing demand for capacity High capacity pipes with intelligent plumbing Self managed and automated networks Communication delivered through SW on standards / generic HW New business models will be in place New ecosystem & new player, and revenue models Communication networks to improve in intelligence, flexibility, automation, resilience, efficiency, speed, security, privacy, latency Page 3
  • 4. Diverged Traffic & Revenue Growth 50 Telecoms Price Development Significant growth in traffic while slow in revenue 40 Mobile Broadband  Ubiquitous Internet-based in hyper connected NWs 30  Hundred-fold increase in network flow brought by mass Euro/Month terminals and mass digital content 20  Users are spending more time on the phone & internet 10  Average household spending on communication falls  Consumer pay less while getting better value -> they 0 pay ~30% less than 5 years ago 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009  Significant growth in traffic while slow in revenue Traffic Broadband/Mobile Broadband the 4th Utility Ubiquitous , high quality and affordable inter-based broadband essential to the functioning of modern life & society Gap Revenue From Kilo (103 ) bytes to Tera (1012 ) and Zeta (1021 ) bytes Time YET lower delivery cost per bit/per sub/per sq km Page 4
  • 5. Innovation & Reform Towards More Sustainability Cost Vs Revenue does not add up User experience at risk Limit/control it (e.g. Cap in flat rate) Bring the cost of it down (e.g. More efficient deliveries in radio, transport and core network, Optimizations and other means of traffic handling Turn it to revenue (e.g. Innovative solutions, New revenue streams and sources) Small Cell Deployments Alternative NW topologies LTE Small Cells Bigger, Smarter & Cheaper pipe Relay xG Cheaper NW operation Higher performance Femto 4G Pico 3G LTE Femto Intelligent Indoor Solution Micro 2G  New services & applications Macro 1G Cost saving and revenue generation Carrier Cloud  New service & revenue model  Service differentiation Cost optimization Lower cost & better performance and new revenue streams needed Page 5
  • 6. Small Cells; Smart Way to Future Mobile Broadband LTE and HSDPA performance relative to Theoretical Limits 6.00 Spectrum is a finite resources, scarce & expensive 5.00 Achievable Efficiency (bps/Hz) LTE/HSPA link level spectrum efficiencies close to shannon limit HSDPA 4.00 theoretical limits LTE  Other factors such as Coding & Modulation, MIMO and 3.00 more spectrum contribute towards higher capacity – 2.00 Spectrum highest contributor! 1.00 0.00 -10.00 -5 0 5 10.00 15.00 Alternative LTE deployments (Small Cell - Pico Required SNR (db) /Femto cells) needed to avoid capacity shortfalls 30.00 Specturm Frequency reuse is the key to keep up with exponential 25.00 MIMO Modulation & Coding increase of traffic in the future with limited spectrum 20.00 availability Improves the QoS in the network – better user 15.00 experience 10.00 Allows for faster, more flexible, cheaper and easier 5.00 deployment and operation 0.00 GSM GPRS EDGE HSDPA HSPA+ LTE New network topologies and deployment strategy offer more gain than new technologies and HW Page 6
  • 7. More Capacity & Better Performance (HSPA+ Vs LTE) 3G based NW could run out of capacity in 2010+ Network Capacity offered per device V.S. HSPA Forecast Traffic per device Network Capacity/Forecast Traffic (MB/month) HSPA+ needs major H/W 3000 upgrade to offer satisfactory performance & capacity; HSPA+ HSPA+ will not have 2500 More usage due to considerable improvements over improved performance HSPA and will have short life time 2000 LTE & HSPA LTE as an essential upgrade for all 3G operators will offer 1500 LTE with small better user experience (lower cells & Femto LTE & HSPA & latency, higher data rate, 1000 Femto better availability of higher data rate, better QoE at cell Traffic per edge) 500 device Alternative LTE 0 Potential deployments (Small Cell - Pico 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 traffic /Femto cells) needed to avoid capacity shortfalls A constant challenge to keep ahead of future traffic increase Page 7 7 © NEC Corporation 2009
  • 8. Think Big – Deploy Small Cells LTE LTE Macro deployment is not an option Coverage Layer  Will not offer the necessary capacity and performance 1 with large /macro cells  High cost of outdoor/macro radio 2 3 4  Data traffic /revenue mainly in hotspots & in-building  2G and 3G networks (already provide macro coverage) 1 Coverage Driven Macro LTE Small Cell as Overlay capacity and performance layer Macro deployment Micro  A sustainable solution towards ever increasing capacity  Pico demand Capacity Layer  Fast to deploy, cheap and easy to install and operate Femto  Start small and build as your number of users / traffic (Residential /SME) 4 increases 2 1 3  Revenue generation where the traffic is HSPA & LTE (Coverage Layer) LTE (Capacity Layer) 2 2G/3G Capacity Driven Hotspots and high traffic zones 4 LTE Hot spot/Metro 3 2 1 LTE Femto 3 New Business Driven LTE Femto Femto and hotspot islands Page 8
  • 9. More Network Capacity by LTE Small Cells Comparison of small Vs medium cell (DL) For the same traffic density, ISD 200m OMNI offers x 2.5 (x 3.5 in UL) user data rate on average, or x3 (x8 in UL) user data rate for cell edge user If targeting mean user data rate 10Mbps, 5%-tile user data rate 2Mbps, ISD 200m 2 OMNI offers ~4x system throughput The figures are MUCH higher if compared with larger cells Comparison of Macro & Macro+ Small (DL)  for the same traffic density mixed deployment offer ~2.5 x user data rate or ~2.4x user data rate If targeting mean user data rate of 10 Mbps, ~1.7x the mixed deployment scenario offer ~1.8 x Capacity capacity The figure are even higher for uplink (6X and 2.5 times) Significant improvement by deploying small cells in terms of cost per bit per Km2 Page 9 9 Page
  • 10. High Performance yet Cheap, Easy and Fast deployment High capacity and performance Zero foot print, Wall/Poll Mount Indoor deployment No site acquisition necessary Flexible and fast deployments Self configuration & one-touch by SON Indoor & outdoor installation Cascade Fan less and air-cooling Green & low power consumption • 420mm x 230mm x 130mm, ~12kg Outdoor deployment Pole installation 3 x4W all-in-one S1 Distributed Antenna S1 Wall installation 1x4W all-in-one Page 10 Page 10
  • 11. LTE Small Cells for Operators & End Users  Savings due to power, site  Faster data rates at high traffic rental, operation manpower locations  Saving in site acquisition,  Better and higher availability installation and civil work of high data rate multimedia  Build as you grow where the services investment needed User  Longer terminal battery life Cost  Cost efficient capacity Experience due to lower transmit power provision to high traffic areas requirement  Fast LTE deployment  More capacity at reduced  Target high revenue locations cost per bit NW Business  New revenue streams from  Higher average and peak cell Peformance Opportunities Pockets of Services with Cloud edge throughput Computing  Last mile broadband solution Page 11
  • 12. Concluding Remarks Mobile broadband is a reality, potentials are huge but challenges are huge too Broadband/mobile broadband as the 4th utility will be an integral part of modern life & society Spectrum is a finite, scarce and expensive resources New innovative solution will be key to the success of mobile broadband (lower TCO, flexibility and scalability in the deployment, simplicity and ease of operation) New network topologies and deployment strategy offer more gain than new technologies and HW Small cells as a cost effective and future proof technology is a key to future mobile broadband An overlay network with LTE small cells and LTE Femto deployment is the way forward Page 12