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Chris Skinner




   www.thefinanser.com
Corporate2Bank
  Relationships –
Brilliant or Broken?
Interactive Vote
Do you think that, since the crisis began in
2008, the Corporate-Bank relationships you are
engaged with are:

1. Better?
2. Same?
3. Worse?
Corporate2Bank
  Relationships –
Brilliant or Broken?
Past
• Global platforms       • Open Account vs
• Payment Factory          Letter of Credit
• Supply Chain           • SEPA
  Management             • e-invoicing
• Working Capital        • Treasury metrics /
• IFRS vs GAAP             treasury workstation
• Bank consolidation     • Standards
Present
•   Cash management         •   Regulatory change
•   FX: Remnimbi v Dollar   •   Risk management
•   Eurozone                •   Cloud services
•   Hedging strategies      •   Real-time forecasting
•   SEPA end-date           •   XML
    [1 February 2014 ]
PwC Treasury Survey 2010
• Nearly 80% of participants believe that the financial crisis
  has won them greater boardroom attention.
• Nearly 70% of participants believe that the crisis has
  highlighted the value they create within the business.
• Only 20% have secured extra resources as a result of the
  crisis.
• More than 70% of participants are keen to sustain a long-
  term portfolio-style relationship with their bank, though
  60% believe their banks would prefer an individually
  profitable transactional approach.
• The proportion of participants rating cash management
  and working capital management as highly important has
  more than doubled (from 35% pre-crisis to more than 70%
  during and after).
• Risk management tops the list of priorities for the future.
Top 10 risks for 2012
                   (2010 results)
1.    Macro-economic risk (4)
2.    Credit risk (2)
3.    Liquidity (5)
4.    Capital availability (6)
5.    Political interference (1)
6.    Regulation (3)
7.    Profitability (-)
8.    Derivatives (7)
9.    Corporate governance (12)
10.   Quality of risk management (8)

Source: PwC Banking Banana Skins 2012
Future
Political                    Economic                     Social                 Technological
Dodd Frank                  Eurozone uncertainty     Global gossiping            Mobile
Volcker Rule                Sovereign debt issues    Crowdfunding                Contactless
Durbin Agreement            Remnimbi vs Dollar       Social finance              Tablet PCs
Vickers Report              CIVETS / Growth8         Occupy Wall Street etc      Social networking
Merkozy Eurozone            New Africa               Wikileaks                   Social media
East-West China divide      Russia WTO               Anonymous                   Apps
US elections (2012)         China inflation bubble   Global connectivity 1:1     Connectivity
French elections (2012)     China 2018 or 2047       New economies               Chips in everything
UK elections (2014)         India post-2020          Virtual currencies          Wireless touch




Change
    Boring banking vs casino capitalism
                                                          Vision
                                                      •   Products are apps, manufactured in such a way
    New regulations
                                                          that customers can put them together to suit their
    New economies
                                                          lifestyle.
    Micromoney
                                                      •   Processing is open sourced, offered to anyone to
    Hybrid value management
                                                          plug and play with their offerings through APIs.
    Global currencies (Bitcoin)
                                                      •   Retailing is based upon competitive differentiation
                                                          through big data analysis to deliver contextual
                                                          personalisation.
The real issue =
  complexity
“Even the financiers themselves couldn't
understand the implications or robustness of the
financial derivatives they were trading, or even
how to properly price them.”
Prophets Against Profits? What Occupy Wall Street Misses
OTC Derivatives
Commercially
   robust versus
speculative trades?
FX hedging is key
What does a bank
  need to do?
Barclays Treasury Survey 2011
Barclays Treasury Survey 2011


“There is a clear message here for banks: in
order to be the risk management partner of
choice, banks need to distinguish themselves
through more than just price. Corporate
treasurers value ideas and quality of coverage.”
Strategic                                                         Long-term




               CEO        Trusted Advisor             Self-
                                                  Actualisation

             Executive       Strategic Partner      Esteem


            Management       Preferred Supplier    Belonging


            Supervisory      Solutions Provider      Safety



               Staff             Product          Physiological
                                 Vendor




Tactical                                                          Short-term
Future
• Dealing with            • Recognising market
  uncertainty               failures and issues
• Finding returns through • Knowing and managing
  growth markets            risks
• Managing stagnant or    • Getting good advice
  contracting old markets
Does your bank
care about your
business first and
 theirs second?
Interactive Vote
Does your bank care about your business first
and theirs second:

1. Yes
2. No
3. Abstain
Chris Skinner




   www.thefinanser.com

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Act, 020212 final

  • 1. Chris Skinner www.thefinanser.com
  • 2. Corporate2Bank Relationships – Brilliant or Broken?
  • 3. Interactive Vote Do you think that, since the crisis began in 2008, the Corporate-Bank relationships you are engaged with are: 1. Better? 2. Same? 3. Worse?
  • 4. Corporate2Bank Relationships – Brilliant or Broken?
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. Past • Global platforms • Open Account vs • Payment Factory Letter of Credit • Supply Chain • SEPA Management • e-invoicing • Working Capital • Treasury metrics / • IFRS vs GAAP treasury workstation • Bank consolidation • Standards
  • 9. Present • Cash management • Regulatory change • FX: Remnimbi v Dollar • Risk management • Eurozone • Cloud services • Hedging strategies • Real-time forecasting • SEPA end-date • XML [1 February 2014 ]
  • 10. PwC Treasury Survey 2010 • Nearly 80% of participants believe that the financial crisis has won them greater boardroom attention. • Nearly 70% of participants believe that the crisis has highlighted the value they create within the business. • Only 20% have secured extra resources as a result of the crisis. • More than 70% of participants are keen to sustain a long- term portfolio-style relationship with their bank, though 60% believe their banks would prefer an individually profitable transactional approach. • The proportion of participants rating cash management and working capital management as highly important has more than doubled (from 35% pre-crisis to more than 70% during and after). • Risk management tops the list of priorities for the future.
  • 11. Top 10 risks for 2012 (2010 results) 1. Macro-economic risk (4) 2. Credit risk (2) 3. Liquidity (5) 4. Capital availability (6) 5. Political interference (1) 6. Regulation (3) 7. Profitability (-) 8. Derivatives (7) 9. Corporate governance (12) 10. Quality of risk management (8) Source: PwC Banking Banana Skins 2012
  • 12. Future Political Economic Social Technological Dodd Frank Eurozone uncertainty Global gossiping Mobile Volcker Rule Sovereign debt issues Crowdfunding Contactless Durbin Agreement Remnimbi vs Dollar Social finance Tablet PCs Vickers Report CIVETS / Growth8 Occupy Wall Street etc Social networking Merkozy Eurozone New Africa Wikileaks Social media East-West China divide Russia WTO Anonymous Apps US elections (2012) China inflation bubble Global connectivity 1:1 Connectivity French elections (2012) China 2018 or 2047 New economies Chips in everything UK elections (2014) India post-2020 Virtual currencies Wireless touch Change Boring banking vs casino capitalism Vision • Products are apps, manufactured in such a way New regulations that customers can put them together to suit their New economies lifestyle. Micromoney • Processing is open sourced, offered to anyone to Hybrid value management plug and play with their offerings through APIs. Global currencies (Bitcoin) • Retailing is based upon competitive differentiation through big data analysis to deliver contextual personalisation.
  • 13. The real issue = complexity
  • 14. “Even the financiers themselves couldn't understand the implications or robustness of the financial derivatives they were trading, or even how to properly price them.” Prophets Against Profits? What Occupy Wall Street Misses
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18. Commercially robust versus speculative trades?
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 25. What does a bank need to do?
  • 26.
  • 28. Barclays Treasury Survey 2011 “There is a clear message here for banks: in order to be the risk management partner of choice, banks need to distinguish themselves through more than just price. Corporate treasurers value ideas and quality of coverage.”
  • 29. Strategic Long-term CEO Trusted Advisor Self- Actualisation Executive Strategic Partner Esteem Management Preferred Supplier Belonging Supervisory Solutions Provider Safety Staff Product Physiological Vendor Tactical Short-term
  • 30. Future • Dealing with • Recognising market uncertainty failures and issues • Finding returns through • Knowing and managing growth markets risks • Managing stagnant or • Getting good advice contracting old markets
  • 31. Does your bank care about your business first and theirs second?
  • 32. Interactive Vote Does your bank care about your business first and theirs second: 1. Yes 2. No 3. Abstain
  • 33. Chris Skinner www.thefinanser.com

Notas do Editor

  1. http://workforall.net/OTC-Over-the-counter-derivatives.html