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A Global Perspectives White Paper




            Hedge Funds & the
          Global Economic Crisis

                   Willing Culprits or Easy
                        Scapegoats?



                                                By Shane Brett,
                                             Managing Director
                                            Global Perspectives

                                    www.globalperspective.co.uk
              th
       Date 29 September 2012
Contents
                              “It was quite convenient to blame the
Introduction              2   Hedge Funds. They were an easy
Willing Culprits?         2   target, in that they were super-rich, a lot
                              of them were American, and they were
Ea sy Scapegoats?         4
                              presented as bad people. They were
Conclusion                4   blamed for what was happening to our
                              banking system, which in reality was
                              complete rubbish”.

                              Kate Walsh, Sunday Times, 2010.


                              Introduction

                              The summer of 2012 marked 5 years since
                              the slow onset of an economic crisis that
                              first became known as the Credit Crunch
                              and then the half decade that became
                              known as the Great Recession.

                              At the time and over the last few years,
                              Hedge Funds have received a large portion
                              of the blame for the economic crash. They
                              have often been portrayed as one of the
                              main culprits responsible for causing the
                              global financial crisis.

                              With the benefit and hindsight of recent
                              history we can now look back with some
                              perspective and see if the crisis really was
                              the fault of the Hedge Fund Industry. Is
                              there some basis to the claim that the
                              industry was significantly responsible for the
                              worst economic crash since the Great
                              Depression; or were they merely a
                              scapegoat for a seething public and
                              outraged politicians and media?


                              Willing Culprits?

                              The first really significant event to signal a
                              coming financial storm occurred in the UK
                              on August 9th 2007, when BNP Paribas
                              halted redemptions from 3 of its Hedge
                              Funds due to a disappearance of liquidity in
                              the market.
Huge Short Selling of banking stocks in
This led to panic from many              2008 certainly served to accelerate the
investors as they tried to get their     general speed of economic collapse.
capital back from financial
institutions. Hedge Funds liquidated     As the effects of the Lehman collapse in
their holdings from many Prime           Sept 2008 reverberated throughout the
Brokers, making them more                financial system, the end of the year
susceptible to financial collapse.       brought further evidence to some that the
                                         Hedge Fund industry was rotten and at the
After the failure of Long Term           heart of the economic crash. Bernie Madoff
Capital Management in 1997 the           admitted that the Hedge Funds he had been
Hedge Fund industry had shown that       running for over two decades were in fact
the failure of a large fund had the      gigantic Ponzi schemes and that he had
potential to pull down one of the        defrauded investors of $65 Billion – the
leading investment banks and lead        largest fraud in world history. This merely
to a wider systemic crash by also        served to reinforce the negative image of
pulling down larger commercial           the Hedge Fund industry in the eyes of the
banks.                                   regulators, politicians and the general
                                         population.
In the recent crisis Hedge Funds
who acted as short-sellers have          Hedge Funds seemed to have brushed
been accused of contributing to the      aside basic checks of investment and
collapse of bank shares and the          operation due diligence to invest colossal
exacerbation of the financial panic      sums of money with this incredible
(Short selling of course sees            confidence trickster. Everyone from the
investors borrow and sell shares in a    regulators to the investors to his Feeder
company in the hope of buying them       Fund managers came across looking foolish
back cheaper in the future for a         and hopelessly outwitted. But it was the
profit).                                 Hedge Fund industry that deservedly took
                                         most of the blame.
We should be clear about this, while
Short Selling is an important part of    Elementary oversight and basic due
market activity and some would say       diligence was systematically ignored.
an essential tool in restoring market    Despite screaming red flags and plenty of
equilibrium of inflated valuations       whispering, the industry was content to let
(having helped expose multiple           sleeping dogs lie, as long as the smooth,
frauds including Enron), massive         stable long term returns continued year after
volumes of short selling right in the    year.
middle of an economic crisis does
not help financial stability.            Another charge against Hedge Funds is that
                                         it was their use of Excess leverage which
If the Hedge Fund industry has one       contributed to the scale of the financial
charge against them that will stick it   losses. There is certainly some truth in this,
is this. Especially when it became       as leverage was used across the board
known that some Hedge Funds were         particularly to amplify investment returns.
making massive Funds (e.g. Odey),
by shorting UK banks – that later        That is fine when times are rosy and
had to be bailed out with public         markets are growing but it simply magnifies
money.                                   the problem when liquidity dries up and
                                         there is an economic crash. This was
Global Perspective s
www.globalperspective.co.uk
Email: Shane@globalpers pective.co.uk
Phone: +44 (0) 20 3239 2843
illustrated clearly in the losses          graded by the rating agencies and sold in
caused by mortgage back                    every corner of the globe. The global
derivatives as the underlying loans        purchase of these securitised assets meant
went sour. The losses were far in          the effects of the crisis was felt worldwide
excess of the mortgages                    (e.g. as in the collapsed of exposed German
themselves, because investors              Landesbanks).
including Hedge Funds had
borrowed significantly to take out         It is also worth noting that in America the
synthetic positions through Credit         massive growth of Sub-Prime mortgage
Default Swaps.                             lending (through Freddie Mac and Fannie
                                           Mae) was partially caused by well
                                           intentioned but misguided government
                                           policies, aimed at making homeownership
Easy Scapegoats?                           available to sections of the public who
                                           otherwise would never have qualified.
However from a wider viewpoint it is
obvious that the crisis is the result of   This combined with a long period of
excessive worldwide debt. This             regulatory loosening by many
was built up by both individuals (US,      governments (for example by the repeal of
UK, Ireland), Governments (Greece,         the Depression-era US Glass-Steagall Act
Portugal, France), as well as private      separating investment and commercial
debt being guaranteed by sovereign         banking) which paved the way for an
states (Ireland, US, UK).                  explosion of bank lending.

The quarter century from 1982              Banks not only lent hugely in relation to their
known as the Great Moderation              capital base (further reducing their Capital
(characterised as it was by low            Ratios to historically low levels), they also
inflation, low interest rates and rising   became more dependent on short term
employment) led to a loosening of          financing in the money markets to finance
financial regulation and an ensuing        this expansion. This was especially risky
debt expansion and asset bubble.           where this short term capital was being lent
                                           back out for long term loans (as Britain’s
While Hedge Funds certainly played         Northern Rock found out to its cost). This
their part in borrowing widely to          type of funding is exactly the sort of
finance investment (some would say         financing that dries up overnight in a credit
speculation), they were just one           crunch.
sliver of a wider debt bubble that
grew throughout the global economy
over the past quarter century.
The banks created the global               Conclusion
housing bubble by reducing the
requirements for mortgage                  Looking back on this recent history we can
qualification and massively                now see fairly clearly it was the banks that
increasing their property lending.         caused this economic crisis. It was the
                                           excesses of the banking industry, through
The private market then took these         the accelerated growth of debt and lax
loans and packaged them into               lending criteria that planted the seeds of
tranches for sale to different             global economic collapse.
investors. They were erroneously

Global Perspective s
www.globalperspective.co.uk
Email: Shane@globalpers pective.co.uk
Phone: +44 (0) 20 3239 2843
Hedge Fund did not contribute
significantly to the global housing
bubble nor did they play a pivotal or
systemic role in the crisis. Other
players such as mortgage lenders,         Sign up for all our monthly
the credit rating agencies and of         White Papers at-
course the banks themselves were
to blame for causing the crisis.          http://www.globalperspective.co.uk/#!white -
                                          papers
While Hedge Funds may not have
been substantially responsible for        Or email: - shane@globalperspective.co.uk
the global economic crisis, some of
their activities definitely contributed
to the scale of the collapse.

However it is worth remembering
that unlike the banks, no Hedge
Fund anywhere worldwide received
any public money, nor did any have
to be bailed out by a government.

Tellingly, after the financial crisis     Look out for our forthcoming e-book
Oliver Stone changed the script of                    in Q4 2012 “-
his movie “Wall Street 2” from
focusing on the Hedge Fund industry            “The Daily 200,000 - Why the
to that of Investment Banking.                Commodities Supercycle is just
                                            beginning & which commodities you
Nevertheless, the crisis that began 5                 need to buy”.
years ago has provided regulators
worldwide with the pretext they
wanted to regulate the Alternative
Investment Industry far more closely.     To pre-order email:-

The same regulators, who have             Shane@globalperspective.co.uk
been so sharply criticised for their
failures in averting the crisis, have
been enacting widespread
legislation in the US and Europe to
bring Hedge Funds firmly within their
regulatory remit.

This means that whether Hedge
Funds were responsible or not, the
Global Economic Crisis will deeply
change the nature and structure of
the industry through increased
global regulatory requirements.



Global Perspective s
www.globalperspective.co.uk
Email: Shane@globalpers pective.co.uk
Phone: +44 (0) 20 3239 2843

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Hedge Funds and the Global Economic Crisis - Willing Culprit or Easy Scapegoats? - Global Perspectives White Paper - September 2012

  • 1. A Global Perspectives White Paper Hedge Funds & the Global Economic Crisis Willing Culprits or Easy Scapegoats? By Shane Brett, Managing Director Global Perspectives www.globalperspective.co.uk th Date 29 September 2012
  • 2. Contents “It was quite convenient to blame the Introduction 2 Hedge Funds. They were an easy Willing Culprits? 2 target, in that they were super-rich, a lot of them were American, and they were Ea sy Scapegoats? 4 presented as bad people. They were Conclusion 4 blamed for what was happening to our banking system, which in reality was complete rubbish”. Kate Walsh, Sunday Times, 2010. Introduction The summer of 2012 marked 5 years since the slow onset of an economic crisis that first became known as the Credit Crunch and then the half decade that became known as the Great Recession. At the time and over the last few years, Hedge Funds have received a large portion of the blame for the economic crash. They have often been portrayed as one of the main culprits responsible for causing the global financial crisis. With the benefit and hindsight of recent history we can now look back with some perspective and see if the crisis really was the fault of the Hedge Fund Industry. Is there some basis to the claim that the industry was significantly responsible for the worst economic crash since the Great Depression; or were they merely a scapegoat for a seething public and outraged politicians and media? Willing Culprits? The first really significant event to signal a coming financial storm occurred in the UK on August 9th 2007, when BNP Paribas halted redemptions from 3 of its Hedge Funds due to a disappearance of liquidity in the market.
  • 3. Huge Short Selling of banking stocks in This led to panic from many 2008 certainly served to accelerate the investors as they tried to get their general speed of economic collapse. capital back from financial institutions. Hedge Funds liquidated As the effects of the Lehman collapse in their holdings from many Prime Sept 2008 reverberated throughout the Brokers, making them more financial system, the end of the year susceptible to financial collapse. brought further evidence to some that the Hedge Fund industry was rotten and at the After the failure of Long Term heart of the economic crash. Bernie Madoff Capital Management in 1997 the admitted that the Hedge Funds he had been Hedge Fund industry had shown that running for over two decades were in fact the failure of a large fund had the gigantic Ponzi schemes and that he had potential to pull down one of the defrauded investors of $65 Billion – the leading investment banks and lead largest fraud in world history. This merely to a wider systemic crash by also served to reinforce the negative image of pulling down larger commercial the Hedge Fund industry in the eyes of the banks. regulators, politicians and the general population. In the recent crisis Hedge Funds who acted as short-sellers have Hedge Funds seemed to have brushed been accused of contributing to the aside basic checks of investment and collapse of bank shares and the operation due diligence to invest colossal exacerbation of the financial panic sums of money with this incredible (Short selling of course sees confidence trickster. Everyone from the investors borrow and sell shares in a regulators to the investors to his Feeder company in the hope of buying them Fund managers came across looking foolish back cheaper in the future for a and hopelessly outwitted. But it was the profit). Hedge Fund industry that deservedly took most of the blame. We should be clear about this, while Short Selling is an important part of Elementary oversight and basic due market activity and some would say diligence was systematically ignored. an essential tool in restoring market Despite screaming red flags and plenty of equilibrium of inflated valuations whispering, the industry was content to let (having helped expose multiple sleeping dogs lie, as long as the smooth, frauds including Enron), massive stable long term returns continued year after volumes of short selling right in the year. middle of an economic crisis does not help financial stability. Another charge against Hedge Funds is that it was their use of Excess leverage which If the Hedge Fund industry has one contributed to the scale of the financial charge against them that will stick it losses. There is certainly some truth in this, is this. Especially when it became as leverage was used across the board known that some Hedge Funds were particularly to amplify investment returns. making massive Funds (e.g. Odey), by shorting UK banks – that later That is fine when times are rosy and had to be bailed out with public markets are growing but it simply magnifies money. the problem when liquidity dries up and there is an economic crash. This was Global Perspective s www.globalperspective.co.uk Email: Shane@globalpers pective.co.uk Phone: +44 (0) 20 3239 2843
  • 4. illustrated clearly in the losses graded by the rating agencies and sold in caused by mortgage back every corner of the globe. The global derivatives as the underlying loans purchase of these securitised assets meant went sour. The losses were far in the effects of the crisis was felt worldwide excess of the mortgages (e.g. as in the collapsed of exposed German themselves, because investors Landesbanks). including Hedge Funds had borrowed significantly to take out It is also worth noting that in America the synthetic positions through Credit massive growth of Sub-Prime mortgage Default Swaps. lending (through Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae) was partially caused by well intentioned but misguided government policies, aimed at making homeownership Easy Scapegoats? available to sections of the public who otherwise would never have qualified. However from a wider viewpoint it is obvious that the crisis is the result of This combined with a long period of excessive worldwide debt. This regulatory loosening by many was built up by both individuals (US, governments (for example by the repeal of UK, Ireland), Governments (Greece, the Depression-era US Glass-Steagall Act Portugal, France), as well as private separating investment and commercial debt being guaranteed by sovereign banking) which paved the way for an states (Ireland, US, UK). explosion of bank lending. The quarter century from 1982 Banks not only lent hugely in relation to their known as the Great Moderation capital base (further reducing their Capital (characterised as it was by low Ratios to historically low levels), they also inflation, low interest rates and rising became more dependent on short term employment) led to a loosening of financing in the money markets to finance financial regulation and an ensuing this expansion. This was especially risky debt expansion and asset bubble. where this short term capital was being lent back out for long term loans (as Britain’s While Hedge Funds certainly played Northern Rock found out to its cost). This their part in borrowing widely to type of funding is exactly the sort of finance investment (some would say financing that dries up overnight in a credit speculation), they were just one crunch. sliver of a wider debt bubble that grew throughout the global economy over the past quarter century. The banks created the global Conclusion housing bubble by reducing the requirements for mortgage Looking back on this recent history we can qualification and massively now see fairly clearly it was the banks that increasing their property lending. caused this economic crisis. It was the excesses of the banking industry, through The private market then took these the accelerated growth of debt and lax loans and packaged them into lending criteria that planted the seeds of tranches for sale to different global economic collapse. investors. They were erroneously Global Perspective s www.globalperspective.co.uk Email: Shane@globalpers pective.co.uk Phone: +44 (0) 20 3239 2843
  • 5. Hedge Fund did not contribute significantly to the global housing bubble nor did they play a pivotal or systemic role in the crisis. Other players such as mortgage lenders, Sign up for all our monthly the credit rating agencies and of White Papers at- course the banks themselves were to blame for causing the crisis. http://www.globalperspective.co.uk/#!white - papers While Hedge Funds may not have been substantially responsible for Or email: - shane@globalperspective.co.uk the global economic crisis, some of their activities definitely contributed to the scale of the collapse. However it is worth remembering that unlike the banks, no Hedge Fund anywhere worldwide received any public money, nor did any have to be bailed out by a government. Tellingly, after the financial crisis Look out for our forthcoming e-book Oliver Stone changed the script of in Q4 2012 “- his movie “Wall Street 2” from focusing on the Hedge Fund industry “The Daily 200,000 - Why the to that of Investment Banking. Commodities Supercycle is just beginning & which commodities you Nevertheless, the crisis that began 5 need to buy”. years ago has provided regulators worldwide with the pretext they wanted to regulate the Alternative Investment Industry far more closely. To pre-order email:- The same regulators, who have Shane@globalperspective.co.uk been so sharply criticised for their failures in averting the crisis, have been enacting widespread legislation in the US and Europe to bring Hedge Funds firmly within their regulatory remit. This means that whether Hedge Funds were responsible or not, the Global Economic Crisis will deeply change the nature and structure of the industry through increased global regulatory requirements. Global Perspective s www.globalperspective.co.uk Email: Shane@globalpers pective.co.uk Phone: +44 (0) 20 3239 2843