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Proposal for a new development model
Presentation Outline ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Purpose ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Methodology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Greek tourism today ,[object Object],[object Object]
The contribution of tourism  to GDP, employment, trade balance Source : WTTC,  Bank of Greece
Population evolution in selected tourism areas Source :  Athanasiou  et al, 1992,  Pavlopoulos  &  Kouzelis , 1998,  EL.STAT  statistical yearbooks  
Compound Index for Prosperity  &  Development  on regional level Source :  Allmedia , 2002,  Petrakos   G.  &  Psycharis  G. , 2004,  Regional development in Greece , Kritiki
Change in international tourist arrivals ,  receipts &  average per capita tourism expenditure,  Greece & competitors,  2000   -   2009 Source:   EL.STAT. , UNWTO
World ranking in arrivals  ( mi .)   2000  &  2009 12 th   Source:   UNWTO, 2006, Yearbook of Tourism Statistics   16 th   Source:   UNWTO, 2010, Tourism Highlights
World ranking in receipts  ( bi .  US$ )   2000  &  2009 11 th   Source:   UNWTO, 2006, Yearbook of Tourism Statistics   15 th   Source:   UNWTO, 2010, Tourism Highlights
Change in international tourist arrivals and hotel beds  2000  &  2009 Source:   SETE ,  based on data provided by the Hellenic Chamber of Hotels, EL. STAT
Geographical concentration of tourism supply  ( based on hotel beds )  2000  &  2009 Source:   SETE ,  based on data provided by the Hellenic Chamber of Hotels  65%
Image of  Greece as a tourism destination
Factors affecting tourism in the future ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Climate change  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Climate change  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Demographics  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source:   Valeria Croce, MODUL University Vienna, 2009, presentation in the World Travel Monitor Forum, Pisa  UN, 2002, World Population Aging 1950-2002
Technology ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source: Deloitte, 2010, Hospitality 2015: Game changers or spectators?  ( adaptation )
Globalization of competition Source: Ricky Mack,  Boeing Commercial Airplanes, 2009, presentation in the World Travel Monitor Forum 2009, Pisa  
  Safety The adaptation of crisis management methods and techniques must be  among our strategic priorities.
Middle class  size  (mi.) and global share (%) Source:   Wolfensohn Center for Development at Brookings, 2010,  “ China’s Emerging Middle Class: Beyond Economic Transformation”  
Perceptions of luxury  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The new development model for the tourism economy ,[object Object],[object Object]
Our vision for 2020 Greece  to be a country that offers a high standard of living   for its residents , a country where residents from all over the world would like to stay either permanently or temporarily .  Greece  to be a  pleasant  country for its permanent residents hence pleasant and attractive for its  visitors,  its temporary residents.
Our vision for 2020
Our vision for 2020 With this vision the   Gross Domestic Product   of   Greece  in the year  2020 will be referred as  Gross Domestic Prosperity   and  the  Average Spending per Person  of our visitors as Average Satisfaction per Person .
  The new development model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The new development model conceptual definition
  The new development model development options
  Business unit or destination?  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
To subsidize private investments or to finance infrastructure projects  ? Infant industry  For all business through general infrastructure Regional convergence Attracting investments Creating added value
  To support all businesses or  selected pioneers? Priority  should be given to the support of companies that  contribute  proportionally more both to the  broad economy  and  regional development  over time
Inbound or domestic tourism? Inbound  73% Domestic  27% Redistribution of income Positive influence on the balance of payments
New or established markets?
Quantity or quality?
  The new development model reference   framework Source:   SETE ,  based on  http://www.forumforthefuture.org/projects/the-five-capitals  
  The new development model    targeted result - Triple Bottom Line
The human factor ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The human factor employment in the tourism economy   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The human factor employment in the tourism economy Source:   SETE , ,  based on data provided by  WTTC, EL.STAT.
The human factor employment in the tourism economy   Service Productivity in tourism : Greece and competitors Source:   SETE
The human factor employment in the tourism economy   International tourism receipts per employee  (US$) Source:   SETE
The human factor employment policy for tourism
  The human factor  tourism policy for employment For every 100  beds 16  jobs  are created  For every 100  beds 6  jobs  are created
  The human factor  human resource training
  The human factor  image and social status Employees  Denigration  Prestige Being proud  Businessmen   Social   stereotype Sector introversion Anti –partnership syndrome
The new development model for tourism economy areas of intervention ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Organizational and institutional reforms ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
  Organizational and institutional reforms government and broad public sector 1992 – 2010 : 18   years 48   different persons on governmental level  in tourism administration
  Organizational and institutional reforms government and broad public sector 1992 – 2010 : 18  χρόνια 48  πρόσωπα   στην πολιτική ηγεσία  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
  Organizational and institutional reforms government and broad public sector Regional governance based on Kallikrati’s plan Regional Marketing Agencies Source:   http :// www . ypes . gr / Source:   SETE , 2004  
  Organizational and institutional reforms government and broad public sector Sample product mix per region
  Organizational and institutional reforms government and broad public sector
  Organizational and institutional reforms private  sector - representation
  Organizational and institutional reforms private  sector - organization
  Organizational and institutional reforms private  sector - organization ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
  Organizational and institutional reforms distribution networks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
  Organizational and institutional reforms distribution networks - web presence
  Organizational and institutional reforms distribution networks - National Tourism Organization
Source:   Ministry of Economy and Innovation, 2007, National Strategic Plan for Tourism-Portugal   Organizational and institutional reforms distribution networks - alliances Initial distribution model New distribution model
  Organizational and institutional reforms influential networks
Organizational and institutional reforms  brand
Organizational and institutional reforms  brand
Organizational and institutional reforms  brand Explore your senses ’ 06 Live your myth in Greece ’ 05 ’ 07 - ‘08 The true experience
Organizational and institutional reforms  brand
Organizational and institutional reforms  brand
Organizational and institutional reforms  brand
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The new development model for tourism economy areas of intervention
Tourism supply management ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tourism supply management Oversupply estimation Source:   SETE ,  based on data provided by the Hellenic Chamber of Hotels, EL. STAT, Confederation of Greek Rented Rooms ( ΣΕΕΔΔΕ )
Tourism supply management qualitative features  Final product of QUESTIONABLE  QUALITY, OVERPRICED, NON COMPETITIVE Core product   EXCELLENT   Added value NEGATIVE
Source:   SETE   Tourism supply management expectation gap & value for money under promise - OVER DELIVER
Tourism supply management No need for  classification  systems Source:   Amadeus, 2010, Invent the future: the new normal for hotels in 2010 and beyond
Tourism supply management anti-service syndrome
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Tourism supply management
Tourism supply management existing supply More Value for Money
Tourism supply management new supply Source:   SETE ,  based on data provided by UNWTO ,  World Travel   Monitor , 2005 & 2009,  EL.STAT. Market share of Greece in its basic source markets
Tourism supply management new supply Source:   SETE ,  based on data provided by UNWTO ,  World Travel   Monitor , 2009 Total outbound trips  :  geographical and product markets, 2009
Tourism supply management - ikos   approach
Tourism supply management - ikos   approach Evaluating the competitiveness of tourism products
Tourism supply management intersectoral approach  Tourism  Accommodation , Food ,  Transportation ,  Sightseeing Equipment, Entertainment Construction ,  Health Services, Financial Services ,  Printing ,  Shipbuilding, Aerospace, Security Services, Education, Wholesale, Chemicals, Food and Beverage Demand
Tourism supply management intersectoral approach  To approach sectors for developing synergies
Tourism supply management intersectoral approach  gastronomy ,  sports,   health services, education, culture
Tourism supply management intersectoral approach - gastronomy Source:   SETE , 2009,  Gastronomy in Greek Tourism Marketing
Tourism supply management intersectoral approach - sports
Tourism supply management intersectoral approach - sports
Tourism supply management intersectoral approach - health services ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Tourism supply management intersectoral approach - education
Tourism supply management intersectoral approach - culture  Source:   SETE  ,  based on data provided by UNWTO ,  World Travel Monitor , 2004,  EL.STAT. European outbound cultural tourism: trips (000) & destination market share (%),  2004
Tourism supply management intersectoral approach - culture
Tourism supply management intersectoral approach ,[object Object],Sport Gastronomy Culture Health services  Education
Tourism supply management  holiday home not paid for (second home)  Source:   SETE, based on data provided by UNWTO ,  World Travel Monitor  2009 European outbound tourism :  trips  (000)  to holiday home , 2009
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],The new development model for tourism economy areas of intervention
Tourism demand management  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Source:   SETE ,  based on data provided by EL.STAT. ,  Bank of Greece Tourism demand management markets - 10 top markets for Greece
Source:   UNWTO, 2009 & 2010,  Tourism Highlights Tourism demand management markets - 10 top markets in the world
No1 Target  Tourism demand management markets
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Tourism demand management seasonality
Source:   SETE ,  based on data provided by EL. STAT. Seasonality of international tourists arrivals ,  Greece,  2009 Tourism demand management seasonality
Seasonality of international tourist arrivals Tourism demand management All year long tourism?  Source:   SETE ,  based on data provided by EL. STAT.
Seasonality of international tourist arrivals Tourism demand management All year long tourism?  Additional demand  3  milions ! Performance at 80%! Source:   SETE ,  based on data provided by EL. STAT.
Tourism demand management crisis management  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Source:   SETE ,  based on a proposal provided by  PRC  Group , THR, MRB, 2007,  Crisis Management Plan for Greek Tourism   Tourism demand management crisis management
Digital strategy is not about technology .  It focuses   on  human beings  and   their desire to be  connected with whatever they like . Tourism demand management digital strategy
Tourism demand management digital strategy
Tourism demand management digital strategy
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
www.greektourism2020.gr

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Greece's New Tourism Development Model for 2020

  • 1. Proposal for a new development model
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6. The contribution of tourism to GDP, employment, trade balance Source : WTTC, Bank of Greece
  • 7. Population evolution in selected tourism areas Source : Athanasiou et al, 1992, Pavlopoulos & Kouzelis , 1998, EL.STAT statistical yearbooks  
  • 8. Compound Index for Prosperity & Development on regional level Source : Allmedia , 2002, Petrakos G. & Psycharis G. , 2004, Regional development in Greece , Kritiki
  • 9. Change in international tourist arrivals , receipts & average per capita tourism expenditure, Greece & competitors, 2000 - 2009 Source: EL.STAT. , UNWTO
  • 10. World ranking in arrivals ( mi .) 2000 & 2009 12 th Source: UNWTO, 2006, Yearbook of Tourism Statistics 16 th Source: UNWTO, 2010, Tourism Highlights
  • 11. World ranking in receipts ( bi . US$ ) 2000 & 2009 11 th Source: UNWTO, 2006, Yearbook of Tourism Statistics 15 th Source: UNWTO, 2010, Tourism Highlights
  • 12. Change in international tourist arrivals and hotel beds 2000 & 2009 Source: SETE , based on data provided by the Hellenic Chamber of Hotels, EL. STAT
  • 13. Geographical concentration of tourism supply ( based on hotel beds ) 2000 & 2009 Source: SETE , based on data provided by the Hellenic Chamber of Hotels 65%
  • 14. Image of Greece as a tourism destination
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. Globalization of competition Source: Ricky Mack, Boeing Commercial Airplanes, 2009, presentation in the World Travel Monitor Forum 2009, Pisa  
  • 21. Safety The adaptation of crisis management methods and techniques must be among our strategic priorities.
  • 22. Middle class size (mi.) and global share (%) Source: Wolfensohn Center for Development at Brookings, 2010, “ China’s Emerging Middle Class: Beyond Economic Transformation”  
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25. Our vision for 2020 Greece to be a country that offers a high standard of living for its residents , a country where residents from all over the world would like to stay either permanently or temporarily . Greece to be a pleasant country for its permanent residents hence pleasant and attractive for its visitors, its temporary residents.
  • 27. Our vision for 2020 With this vision the Gross Domestic Product of Greece in the year 2020 will be referred as Gross Domestic Prosperity and the Average Spending per Person of our visitors as Average Satisfaction per Person .
  • 28.
  • 29. The new development model conceptual definition
  • 30. The new development model development options
  • 31.
  • 32. To subsidize private investments or to finance infrastructure projects ? Infant industry For all business through general infrastructure Regional convergence Attracting investments Creating added value
  • 33. To support all businesses or selected pioneers? Priority should be given to the support of companies that contribute proportionally more both to the broad economy and regional development over time
  • 34. Inbound or domestic tourism? Inbound 73% Domestic 27% Redistribution of income Positive influence on the balance of payments
  • 35. New or established markets?
  • 37. The new development model reference framework Source: SETE , based on http://www.forumforthefuture.org/projects/the-five-capitals  
  • 38. The new development model targeted result - Triple Bottom Line
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41. The human factor employment in the tourism economy Source: SETE , , based on data provided by WTTC, EL.STAT.
  • 42. The human factor employment in the tourism economy Service Productivity in tourism : Greece and competitors Source: SETE
  • 43. The human factor employment in the tourism economy International tourism receipts per employee (US$) Source: SETE
  • 44. The human factor employment policy for tourism
  • 45. The human factor tourism policy for employment For every 100 beds 16 jobs are created For every 100 beds 6 jobs are created
  • 46. The human factor human resource training
  • 47. The human factor image and social status Employees Denigration Prestige Being proud Businessmen Social stereotype Sector introversion Anti –partnership syndrome
  • 48.
  • 49.
  • 50. Organizational and institutional reforms government and broad public sector 1992 – 2010 : 18 years 48 different persons on governmental level in tourism administration
  • 51.
  • 52. Organizational and institutional reforms government and broad public sector Regional governance based on Kallikrati’s plan Regional Marketing Agencies Source: http :// www . ypes . gr / Source: SETE , 2004  
  • 53. Organizational and institutional reforms government and broad public sector Sample product mix per region
  • 54. Organizational and institutional reforms government and broad public sector
  • 55. Organizational and institutional reforms private sector - representation
  • 56. Organizational and institutional reforms private sector - organization
  • 57.
  • 58.
  • 59. Organizational and institutional reforms distribution networks - web presence
  • 60. Organizational and institutional reforms distribution networks - National Tourism Organization
  • 61. Source: Ministry of Economy and Innovation, 2007, National Strategic Plan for Tourism-Portugal Organizational and institutional reforms distribution networks - alliances Initial distribution model New distribution model
  • 62. Organizational and institutional reforms influential networks
  • 65. Organizational and institutional reforms brand Explore your senses ’ 06 Live your myth in Greece ’ 05 ’ 07 - ‘08 The true experience
  • 69.
  • 70.
  • 71. Tourism supply management Oversupply estimation Source: SETE , based on data provided by the Hellenic Chamber of Hotels, EL. STAT, Confederation of Greek Rented Rooms ( ΣΕΕΔΔΕ )
  • 72. Tourism supply management qualitative features Final product of QUESTIONABLE QUALITY, OVERPRICED, NON COMPETITIVE Core product EXCELLENT Added value NEGATIVE
  • 73. Source: SETE   Tourism supply management expectation gap & value for money under promise - OVER DELIVER
  • 74. Tourism supply management No need for classification systems Source: Amadeus, 2010, Invent the future: the new normal for hotels in 2010 and beyond
  • 75. Tourism supply management anti-service syndrome
  • 76.
  • 77. Tourism supply management existing supply More Value for Money
  • 78. Tourism supply management new supply Source: SETE , based on data provided by UNWTO , World Travel Monitor , 2005 & 2009, EL.STAT. Market share of Greece in its basic source markets
  • 79. Tourism supply management new supply Source: SETE , based on data provided by UNWTO , World Travel Monitor , 2009 Total outbound trips : geographical and product markets, 2009
  • 80. Tourism supply management - ikos approach
  • 81. Tourism supply management - ikos approach Evaluating the competitiveness of tourism products
  • 82. Tourism supply management intersectoral approach Tourism Accommodation , Food , Transportation , Sightseeing Equipment, Entertainment Construction , Health Services, Financial Services , Printing , Shipbuilding, Aerospace, Security Services, Education, Wholesale, Chemicals, Food and Beverage Demand
  • 83. Tourism supply management intersectoral approach To approach sectors for developing synergies
  • 84. Tourism supply management intersectoral approach gastronomy , sports, health services, education, culture
  • 85. Tourism supply management intersectoral approach - gastronomy Source: SETE , 2009, Gastronomy in Greek Tourism Marketing
  • 86. Tourism supply management intersectoral approach - sports
  • 87. Tourism supply management intersectoral approach - sports
  • 88.
  • 89. Tourism supply management intersectoral approach - education
  • 90. Tourism supply management intersectoral approach - culture Source: SETE , based on data provided by UNWTO , World Travel Monitor , 2004, EL.STAT. European outbound cultural tourism: trips (000) & destination market share (%), 2004
  • 91. Tourism supply management intersectoral approach - culture
  • 92.
  • 93. Tourism supply management holiday home not paid for (second home) Source: SETE, based on data provided by UNWTO , World Travel Monitor 2009 European outbound tourism : trips (000) to holiday home , 2009
  • 94.
  • 95.
  • 96. Source: SETE , based on data provided by EL.STAT. , Bank of Greece Tourism demand management markets - 10 top markets for Greece
  • 97. Source: UNWTO, 2009 & 2010, Tourism Highlights Tourism demand management markets - 10 top markets in the world
  • 98. No1 Target Tourism demand management markets
  • 99.
  • 100. Source: SETE , based on data provided by EL. STAT. Seasonality of international tourists arrivals , Greece, 2009 Tourism demand management seasonality
  • 101. Seasonality of international tourist arrivals Tourism demand management All year long tourism? Source: SETE , based on data provided by EL. STAT.
  • 102. Seasonality of international tourist arrivals Tourism demand management All year long tourism? Additional demand 3 milions ! Performance at 80%! Source: SETE , based on data provided by EL. STAT.
  • 103.
  • 104. Source: SETE , based on a proposal provided by PRC Group , THR, MRB, 2007, Crisis Management Plan for Greek Tourism   Tourism demand management crisis management
  • 105. Digital strategy is not about technology . It focuses on human beings and their desire to be connected with whatever they like . Tourism demand management digital strategy
  • 106. Tourism demand management digital strategy
  • 107. Tourism demand management digital strategy
  • 108.