2. Climate Change Studies Related to Oceans
Evidence and Interpretation of Environmental
Factors
Increase
In Ocean
Temperatures
Increase
In Global
Sea Levels
Temperatures Rise
As reflective
ice
disappears,
darker ocean
waters
absorb more
heat
Arctic sea
ice melts
3. Climate Change Studies Related to Oceans
Evidence and Interpretation of Biological
Factors
Increase
In Ocean
Temperatures
Reduced
habitat leads
to food
shortages
Temperatures Rise
As reflective
ice
disappears,
darker ocean
waters
absorb more
heat
Arctic sea
ice melts
Reduced polar
bear cub
survival
4. Climate Change Studies Related to Oceans
Evidence and Interpretation of Biological
Factors
Increase
In Ocean
Temperatures
Reduced
habitat leads
to food
shortages
Temperatures Rise
As reflective
ice
disappears,
darker ocean
waters
absorb more
heat
Arctic sea
ice melts
Reduced polar
bear cub
survival
Hydrosphere
Hydrosphere/
Cryosphere Hydrosphere
Atmosphere
Biosphere
Hydrosphere/
Cryosphere
5. Gray Whale as Ecosystem Sentinel
What is an Ecosystem Sentinel?
Animals that serve as an indicator of the health of the
ecosystem.
Seabirds and marine mammals are conspicuous
animals that integrate changes in the ecosystem and
reflect the existing state of the environment (Aguirre and Tabor
2004; Boersma 2008; Thiele et a1. 2004).
6. Gray Whale Global Distribution
Blue areas on map represent gray whale habitat for Western Pacific and Eastern Pacific
populations. Labels provided for Western Pacific Stock indicating feeding grounds,
breeding grounds and migratory routes.
Breeding
Grounds
Feeding
Grounds
Migration Route
Western
Pacific
Eastern
Pacific
7. The Gray Whale Life Cycle;
Migratory and Feeding Behaviors
Summer Feeding Grounds – In higher
latitudes, gray whales feed from late
spring to early fall.
Fall Migration – Southbound whales
travel to the breeding lagoons when ice
forms in the Arctic, around November.
Mating and Calving Grounds – By
January, most gray whales are
occupying the breeding areas.
Spring Migration – Northward migration
occurs from January through June.
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov
DecWinter Mating/Calving Spring Migration Summer Feeding Fall Migration
8. Environmental Factors
Sea Ice:
Reduction in sea ice allows
gray whales more access to
feeding grounds in
Arctic areas in the winter.
Following
reduction in sea ice, greater
numbers of calves were
counted on northbound
migration.
NASA and Natural Defense Council
9. Environmental Factors
Prey Availability: Gray whales are opportunistic feeders
and can shift their primary feeding grounds in response
to prey densities.
“I suspect the gray whales will be among the winners in the great
climate change experiment.” UC Berkley News Center
http://newscenter.berkeley.edu/2011/07/06/gray-whales-likely-survived-the-ice-ages-by-changing-their-diets/
10. Environmental Factors
Regime Shift = a major reorganization of biota in the
northeast Pacific, related to Pacific Decadal Oscillation.
The Pacific
Decadal
Oscillation (PDO)
is a long-term
ocean fluctuation
of the Pacific
Ocean with cool
and warm phases
oscillated every
20–30 years.
• During the 1970s warm phase, gray whales
showed a one-week delay in southbound
11. Environmental Factors
Warm El Nino and Cold La Nina extremes
• El Nino is a disruption of the ocean-atmosphere system which
causes ocean temperatures to increase by a few degrees.
Mothers and calves have shown changes in occupancy and
departure time from breeding lagoons in response to the extremes
of ocean temperatures correlated with El Nino Oscillation events in
the Pacific Ocean.
12. Activity – Gallery Walk
2) Station
Rotations
1) Evidence
2) Interpretation/
Change In
Environment
3) Category of Life
Cycle
4) Review and
Comment
1) Group Assignment
• Concept/Change in gray whale
behavior
• Evidence
3) Group Report
Orally summarize evidence and
interpretation for class at
original
station
13. Rotation 1 – Change in Distribution
and/or Behavior of Gray Whale
List the evidence for this scientific study
provided in the “Marine Mammals As Ecosystem
Sentinels” article.
14. Rotation 2 – Interpretation Related to Climate
Change
Propose a scientific reason for the scientific
study provided to you in the last rotation. This
reason should be related to climate change, or
interpretation for this noted evidence.
15. Rotation 3 – Life Cycle Affected
Categorize the evidence and interpretation as to
which part of the Gray Whale Life Cycle is most
affected, feeding (wintering grounds), breeding
(summering grounds), or migration route.
16. Rotation 4 – Review Evidence and
Interpretation.
1) Review the posts provided by the first 3
rotations.
2) Agree or disagree with the evidence and
interpretation.
3) Note any changes in writing on the poster.
Include comments, additional facts or
evidence, or alternative interpretations.
18. Station Design Template
Station 3
Feeding Year
Round
Evidence:
Interpretation:
Life Cycle Stage:
• Instructor Labels Station Number and Scientific Study (Underlined)
• Students fill in Evidence, Interpretation and Life Cycle Stage during rotat
Station 2
Calf Numbers
And Lagoon
Occupancy
Evidence:
Interpretation:
Life Cycle Stage:
Station 1
Southbound
Migration
Evidence:
Interpretation:
Life Cycle Stage:
Station 4
Gray Whale
Calls
Evidence:
Interpretation:
Life Cycle Stage:
Four stations – poster paper taped to walls or places on flat tables around r
Center of room (wall posters version)
or filled with table tops (larger groups)
Screen/WhiteBoard
19. Sample Station Poster –
Completed
Station 1: Southbound Migration
Evidence: One-week delay in southbound
migration, as noted by coastal whale counts
Interpretation: Response to the late 1970s
regime shift in the North Pacific
Life Cycle Affected: Migration
Editor's Notes
Image Credit: Michelle Kinzel
Image Credit . Photographer: Kelley Elliott Credit: Hidden Ocean 2005 Expedition: NOAA Office of Ocean Exploration.” Scan of 2D image in the public domain believed to be free to use without restriction in the United States.
http://vintageprintable.com/vintage-printable-environment-landscape/animal-bear-polar-bear-photo-3/
Talking Points:
Traditional climate change studies emphasis environmental factors.
This slide describes the feedback mechanisms of climate change that lead to increase in global sea levels.
Image Credit . Photographer: Kelley Elliott Credit: Hidden Ocean 2005 Expedition: NOAA Office of Ocean Exploration.” Scan of 2D image in the public domain believed to be free to use without restriction in the United States.
Talking Points
Climate change affects systems at many levels.
This slide emphasizes the influences, feedback mechanisms and effects of climate change on a biological species, the polar bear.
From homework –
Scientific Study: Climate Change in Oceans Affecting Polar Bears
Facts:
1) Ocean temperatures have increased.
2) Reflective ice disappears, and darker waters absorb more heat.
3) Arctic sea ice melts as temperature rise.
4) Fewer polar bear cubs are surviving.
Interpretation of Observation: The reduced polar bear cub survival is attributed to food shortages caused by reduction in habitat from melting sea ice.
Image Credit. Photographer: Kelley Elliott Credit: Hidden Ocean 2005 Expedition: NOAA Office of Ocean Exploration.” Scan of 2D image in the public domain believed to be free to use without restriction in the United States.
Talking Points
Climate change affects systems at many levels.
This slide emphasizes the influences, feedback mechanisms and effects of climate change on a biological species, the polar bear.
From homework –
Scientific Study: Climate Change in Oceans Affecting Polar Bears
Facts:
1) Ocean Temperatures have increased.
2) Reflective ice disappears, and darker waters absorb more heat.
3) Arctic sea ice melts as temperature rise.
4) Fewer polar bear cubs are surviving.
Interpretation of Observation: The reduced polar bear cub survival is attributed to food shortages caused by reduction in habitat from melting sea ice.
Image Credit(s): Michelle Kinzel
Talking Points
Animal species can be used to study health and changes in an ecosystem related to climate change.
Map Image Credit: "Cypron-Range Eschrichtius robustus" by Own work. Licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 via Wikimedia Commons - https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Cypron-Range_Eschrichtius_robustus.svg#/media/File:Cypron-Range_Eschrichtius_robustus.svg
Talking Points – Image shows breeding grounds, feeding grounds and migratory route for gray whale. Note geographic locations and distributions, summer feeding grounds in North and higher latitudes, winter breeding grounds in the southern, lower latitudes.
Map Image Credit: Journey North http://www.learner.org/jnorth/tm/gwhale/sl/9/3.html
http://www.slocoe.org/resource/whale/whale3a.html
‘Gray Whale Migration’ inset http://www.learner.org/jnorth/images/graphics/gwhale/maps/map_annual_tn.gif, Creative Commons
Talking Points
Describe the locations and behaviors that gray whales exhibit along their yearly migration, south in the winter and north in the summer.
Image Credit: NASA and Natural Defense Council, Creative Commons License
Talking points
Evidence = reduction in sea ice, greater number of calves.
Interpretation = because of reduced sea ice, whales had more access to food and feeding grounds in winter, healthier whales produced more offspring and more calves were counted on northbound migration.
http://newscenter.berkeley.edu/2011/07/06/gray-whales-likely-survived-the-ice-ages-by-changing-their-diets/
Image Credit: Michelle Kinzel, Photographer
Talking Points:
Evidence: Lack of gray whales feeding in July in Chrikov Basin.
Interpretation: Decline in prey availability in Chirikov Basin.
Image: https://sealevel.jpl.nasa.gov/science/elninopdo/pdo/
JPL Image Use Policy http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/imagepolicy/
The PDO waxes and wanes approximately every 20 to 30 years. The “cool” phase is characterized by a cool wedge of lower than normal sea-surface heights/ocean temperatures in the eastern equatorial Pacific and a warm horseshoe pattern of higher than normal sea-surface heights connecting the north, west and southern Pacific. In the “warm” or “positive” phase, which appears to have lasted from 1977– 1999, the west Pacific Ocean becomes cool and the wedge in the east warms.
Talking Points :
Evidence: One-week delay in southbound migration.
Interpretation = Response to 1970s regime shift.
Image Credit: JPL Website
JPL Image Use Policy http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/imagepolicy/
Talking Points
Evidence = changes in occupancy and departure times from lagoons.
Interpretation = gray whales are responding to ocean-atmosphere system disruptions (El Nino and La Nina events).
Image Credit: Michelle Kinzel
See document “Unit 4 Gallery Walk Instructions” for detailed explanation of these steps.