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Seek4media:	
  The	
  Overthrow	
  of	
  Gaddafi	
  Has	
  Been	
  Messy	
  
and	
  Is	
  Likely	
  to	
  Get	
  Worse	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  overthrow	
  of	
  Muammar	
  Gaddafi	
  has	
  been	
  messy	
  and	
  is	
  likely	
  to	
  
get	
  more	
  so.	
  For	
  those	
  used	
  to	
  watching	
  armoured	
  columns	
  
streaming	
  in	
  triumphant	
  order	
  across	
  the	
  desert	
  to	
  depose	
  a	
  dictator	
  
and	
  pull	
  down	
  his	
  statues,	
  it	
  doesn't	
  look	
  very	
  impressive.	
  
	
  
But	
  this	
  is	
  what	
  the	
  future	
  probably	
  looks	
  like.	
  Better	
  get	
  used	
  to	
  it.	
  
Like	
  it	
  or	
  not,	
  the	
  ramshackle	
  rebel	
  army	
  is,	
  with	
  the	
  support	
  of	
  the	
  
Nato-­‐based	
  coalition,	
  creating	
  a	
  new	
  way	
  of	
  intervening	
  and	
  giving	
  
strength	
  to	
  a	
  new	
  strand	
  of	
  international	
  law.	
  Farewell	
  Gladstonian	
  
liberal	
  intervention	
  with	
  its	
  gunboats;	
  hello	
  people's	
  liberal	
  
intervention	
  with	
  its	
  Ray-­‐Bans,	
  T-­‐shirts	
  and	
  hastily	
  converted	
  pick-­‐
ups.	
  Of	
  course,	
  Libya	
  isn't	
  over	
  yet.	
  	
  
	
  
The	
  last	
  days	
  of	
  Gaddafi	
  could	
  be	
  just	
  as	
  messy	
  as	
  the	
  long	
  days	
  that	
  
led	
  to	
  his	
  downfall.	
  He	
  is	
  more	
  than	
  mad	
  enough	
  and	
  self-­‐declared	
  
martyr	
  enough	
  to	
  do	
  something	
  foolish	
  at	
  the	
  end.	
  But	
  even	
  if	
  the	
  
battle	
  ends	
  soon	
  and	
  cleanly,	
  the	
  peace	
  that	
  follows	
  is	
  likely	
  to	
  be	
  just	
  
as	
  confused	
  and	
  chaotic	
  as	
  the	
  conflict.	
  
	
  
How	
  could	
  it	
  be	
  otherwise?	
  We	
  have	
  intervened	
  to	
  prevent	
  a	
  
massacre	
  and	
  let	
  the	
  Libyan	
  people	
  shape	
  their	
  own	
  peace,	
  rather	
  
than	
  to	
  seek	
  to	
  impose	
  ours	
  something	
  which,	
  by	
  the	
  way,	
  we	
  
ourselves	
  weren't	
  very	
  good	
  at.	
  	
  
	
  
So,	
  as	
  we	
  watch	
  the	
  National	
  Transitional	
  Council	
  struggle	
  to	
  build	
  a	
  
government	
  (security	
  should	
  be	
  its	
  first	
  priority),	
  it	
  would	
  be	
  in	
  
order	
  to	
  remember	
  with	
  humility	
  that	
  when	
  we	
  tried	
  to	
  do	
  the	
  same	
  
thing	
  in	
  Baghdad	
  we	
  didn't	
  exactly	
  make	
  a	
  roaring	
  success	
  of	
  it	
  or	
  in	
  
Kabul	
  either.	
  Or,	
  indeed,	
  in	
  many	
  places	
  where	
  we	
  have	
  tried	
  to	
  
create	
  a	
  Western	
  peace	
  after	
  a	
  foreign	
  conflict.	
  	
  
	
  
We	
  should	
  now	
  do	
  all	
  that	
  we	
  can	
  to	
  help	
  the	
  rebels	
  to	
  bring	
  about	
  
order	
  and	
  government	
  in	
  Libya.	
  But	
  we	
  will	
  need	
  to	
  do	
  so	
  with	
  
understanding	
  and	
  patience.	
  Better	
  for	
  the	
  mistakes	
  that	
  will	
  
inevitably	
  be	
  made	
  to	
  be	
  local	
  ones,	
  rather	
  than	
  our	
  mistakes	
  that	
  
they	
  have	
  to	
  pay	
  for,	
  as	
  in	
  Iraq	
  and	
  Afghanistan.	
  	
  
	
  
In	
  1997,	
  before	
  the	
  Kosovo	
  war	
  started,	
  I	
  was	
  in	
  the	
  little	
  Albanian	
  
villages	
  south	
  of	
  Pristina	
  being	
  bombarded	
  by	
  the	
  main	
  battle	
  units	
  of	
  
the	
  Serb	
  Army.	
  The	
  following	
  day	
  I	
  met	
  one	
  of	
  the	
  Serb	
  artillery	
  
commanders	
  and	
  found	
  that	
  he	
  was	
  more	
  worried	
  about	
  being	
  
indicted	
  by	
  what	
  was	
  then	
  the	
  infant	
  Yugoslav	
  war	
  crimes	
  tribunal	
  
than	
  he	
  was	
  of	
  Nato's	
  bombs.	
  	
  
	
  
The	
  point	
  about	
  law	
  is	
  that	
  it	
  exists	
  not	
  just	
  to	
  deliver	
  justice	
  after	
  the	
  
event	
  but	
  also	
  to	
  govern	
  behaviour	
  beforehand.	
  After	
  Kosovo,	
  the	
  
world	
  summit	
  of	
  2005	
  gave	
  form	
  to	
  a	
  new	
  international	
  legal	
  
concept:	
  the	
  responsibility	
  to	
  protect	
  (R2P	
  for	
  short).	
  This	
  asserted	
  
that,	
  under	
  international	
  law,	
  there	
  ought	
  to	
  be	
  an	
  obligation	
  (note	
  
"ought"	
  and	
  "obligation")	
  on	
  a	
  government	
  to	
  protect	
  its	
  people,	
  not	
  
abuse	
  them.	
  Many	
  of	
  us	
  thought	
  R2P	
  would	
  never	
  be	
  more	
  than	
  a	
  
piece	
  of	
  well-­‐meaning	
  rhetoric.	
  But	
  Libya	
  has	
  given	
  R2P	
  both	
  form	
  
and	
  precedent.	
  	
  
	
  
How	
  R2P	
  is	
  carried	
  forward	
  post	
  Libya	
  will	
  also	
  not	
  be	
  smooth	
  or	
  
free	
  of	
  contradictions.	
  R2P	
  will	
  be	
  applied	
  with	
  force	
  in	
  places	
  where	
  
it	
  can	
  be	
  Libya	
  for	
  example;	
  but	
  not	
  be	
  so	
  applied	
  in	
  others,	
  where	
  it	
  
can't	
  be	
  Syria	
  probably.	
  But	
  then	
  this	
  was	
  true	
  of	
  classic	
  liberal	
  
interventionism	
  too.	
  	
  
	
  
International	
  law	
  does	
  not	
  spring	
  from	
  a	
  single	
  pen	
  or	
  a	
  single	
  piece	
  
of	
  paper;	
  it	
  evolves	
  over	
  time	
  confusingly,	
  inelegantly	
  and	
  often	
  in	
  
contradictory	
  fashion.	
  Libya	
  has	
  placed	
  us	
  slap-­‐bang	
  in	
  the	
  middle	
  of	
  
that	
  messy	
  process.	
  	
  
	
  
Many	
  of	
  us,	
  me	
  included,	
  feared	
  that,	
  after	
  the	
  Iraq	
  debacle,	
  the	
  
multilateral	
  system	
  might	
  never	
  be	
  able	
  to	
  be	
  used	
  again	
  for	
  good	
  
ends.	
  But	
  it	
  has	
  been	
  and	
  triumphantly.	
  
	
  
Seek4media	
  is	
  an	
  independent	
  voice	
  on	
  the	
  web.	
  We	
  report	
  today's	
  
news	
  is	
  tomorrow’s	
  headlines	
  responsibly	
  and	
  truthfully	
  so	
  that	
  
readers	
  can	
  improve	
  their	
  own	
  lives	
  and	
  increase	
  their	
  
understanding	
  and	
  respect	
  for	
  their	
  neighbors	
  next	
  door	
  and	
  around	
  
the	
  globe.	
  In	
  our	
  approach	
  and	
  in	
  our	
  content,	
  we	
  uphold	
  universal	
  
human	
  values,	
  rights,	
  and	
  freedoms.	
  We	
  are	
  a	
  business	
  that	
  puts	
  our	
  
readers'	
  interests	
  first,	
  in	
  all	
  that	
  we	
  do.	
  
	
  
	
  
	
  

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Seek4media: The Overthrow of Gaddafi Has Been Messy and Is Likely to Get Worse

  • 1. Seek4media:  The  Overthrow  of  Gaddafi  Has  Been  Messy   and  Is  Likely  to  Get  Worse       The  overthrow  of  Muammar  Gaddafi  has  been  messy  and  is  likely  to   get  more  so.  For  those  used  to  watching  armoured  columns   streaming  in  triumphant  order  across  the  desert  to  depose  a  dictator   and  pull  down  his  statues,  it  doesn't  look  very  impressive.     But  this  is  what  the  future  probably  looks  like.  Better  get  used  to  it.   Like  it  or  not,  the  ramshackle  rebel  army  is,  with  the  support  of  the   Nato-­‐based  coalition,  creating  a  new  way  of  intervening  and  giving   strength  to  a  new  strand  of  international  law.  Farewell  Gladstonian   liberal  intervention  with  its  gunboats;  hello  people's  liberal   intervention  with  its  Ray-­‐Bans,  T-­‐shirts  and  hastily  converted  pick-­‐ ups.  Of  course,  Libya  isn't  over  yet.       The  last  days  of  Gaddafi  could  be  just  as  messy  as  the  long  days  that   led  to  his  downfall.  He  is  more  than  mad  enough  and  self-­‐declared   martyr  enough  to  do  something  foolish  at  the  end.  But  even  if  the   battle  ends  soon  and  cleanly,  the  peace  that  follows  is  likely  to  be  just   as  confused  and  chaotic  as  the  conflict.     How  could  it  be  otherwise?  We  have  intervened  to  prevent  a   massacre  and  let  the  Libyan  people  shape  their  own  peace,  rather   than  to  seek  to  impose  ours  something  which,  by  the  way,  we   ourselves  weren't  very  good  at.       So,  as  we  watch  the  National  Transitional  Council  struggle  to  build  a   government  (security  should  be  its  first  priority),  it  would  be  in   order  to  remember  with  humility  that  when  we  tried  to  do  the  same   thing  in  Baghdad  we  didn't  exactly  make  a  roaring  success  of  it  or  in   Kabul  either.  Or,  indeed,  in  many  places  where  we  have  tried  to   create  a  Western  peace  after  a  foreign  conflict.       We  should  now  do  all  that  we  can  to  help  the  rebels  to  bring  about   order  and  government  in  Libya.  But  we  will  need  to  do  so  with   understanding  and  patience.  Better  for  the  mistakes  that  will   inevitably  be  made  to  be  local  ones,  rather  than  our  mistakes  that   they  have  to  pay  for,  as  in  Iraq  and  Afghanistan.      
  • 2. In  1997,  before  the  Kosovo  war  started,  I  was  in  the  little  Albanian   villages  south  of  Pristina  being  bombarded  by  the  main  battle  units  of   the  Serb  Army.  The  following  day  I  met  one  of  the  Serb  artillery   commanders  and  found  that  he  was  more  worried  about  being   indicted  by  what  was  then  the  infant  Yugoslav  war  crimes  tribunal   than  he  was  of  Nato's  bombs.       The  point  about  law  is  that  it  exists  not  just  to  deliver  justice  after  the   event  but  also  to  govern  behaviour  beforehand.  After  Kosovo,  the   world  summit  of  2005  gave  form  to  a  new  international  legal   concept:  the  responsibility  to  protect  (R2P  for  short).  This  asserted   that,  under  international  law,  there  ought  to  be  an  obligation  (note   "ought"  and  "obligation")  on  a  government  to  protect  its  people,  not   abuse  them.  Many  of  us  thought  R2P  would  never  be  more  than  a   piece  of  well-­‐meaning  rhetoric.  But  Libya  has  given  R2P  both  form   and  precedent.       How  R2P  is  carried  forward  post  Libya  will  also  not  be  smooth  or   free  of  contradictions.  R2P  will  be  applied  with  force  in  places  where   it  can  be  Libya  for  example;  but  not  be  so  applied  in  others,  where  it   can't  be  Syria  probably.  But  then  this  was  true  of  classic  liberal   interventionism  too.       International  law  does  not  spring  from  a  single  pen  or  a  single  piece   of  paper;  it  evolves  over  time  confusingly,  inelegantly  and  often  in   contradictory  fashion.  Libya  has  placed  us  slap-­‐bang  in  the  middle  of   that  messy  process.       Many  of  us,  me  included,  feared  that,  after  the  Iraq  debacle,  the   multilateral  system  might  never  be  able  to  be  used  again  for  good   ends.  But  it  has  been  and  triumphantly.     Seek4media  is  an  independent  voice  on  the  web.  We  report  today's   news  is  tomorrow’s  headlines  responsibly  and  truthfully  so  that   readers  can  improve  their  own  lives  and  increase  their   understanding  and  respect  for  their  neighbors  next  door  and  around   the  globe.  In  our  approach  and  in  our  content,  we  uphold  universal   human  values,  rights,  and  freedoms.  We  are  a  business  that  puts  our   readers'  interests  first,  in  all  that  we  do.