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UNL – Universidade Nova de Lisboa 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
ISEGI – Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação 
Learning Module Knowledge Management 
COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE 
Lecture 1 
Isabel Santos 
Mestrado em Estatística e Gestão de Informação e Pós-Graduações 
Isabel Santos © 23-11-2010 
2010/2011 (1st Term)
2 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
Course Plan 
 Competitive Intelligence. 
 CI Advantages. 
 The Competitive Intelligence 
Cycle 
 CI: Identifying Intelligence 
Needs. 
 Key Intelligence Topics 
 CI Information Sources. 
 Military Strategy /Military 
Intelligence & C.Intelligence 
 Early Warning Systems 
 CI : Overview – Risk, Change 
and Uncertainty. 
 Introduction to STEEP 
Analysis 
Isabel Santos © 23-11-2010
3 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
Summary: Lecture 1 
Contemporary Challenges. 
Competitive Intelligence. 
 CI Advantages. 
The Competitive Intelligence Life Cycle. 
Isabel Santos © 23-11-2010
4 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
Information: a Strategic Approach 
 INFORMATION 
- Organizational Strategic Resource (Choo, 1998) 
- Manageable as other organizational resources 
Strategic Approach for Managing Information 
A strategic tool to promote Organizational Survival, 
Organizational Competitiveness and Innovation 
COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE 
Isabel Santos ©
5 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
The Changing Face of Markets 
PAST TIME: 
 Geographically limited Transportation Systems 
 Limited Communications Infrastructures. 
 Local Markets / Local Customers 
 Local Competition 
 Limited Information Flow 
 Assymetric Information: Customers/Companies 
 Organizations define products/services 
 Standardized Products/Services 
 Mass Production Systems 
 Local Available Economic Resources 
 Slow Pace of Change 
 Risk is more manageable 
PRESENT TIME: 
 Globally Interconnected Transport Inf. 
 Globally Interconnected Communications 
 Global Markets/Global Customers 
 ‘GloCal’ Competition 
 Global Information and Resources Flow 
 Empowered Customers: More Informed 
 Customers define products/services 
 Mass Customization of Products/Services 
 Alternative Production Systems 
 Consumer Personalization 
 Faster/Dramatic Change 
 Risks are interconnected 
Isabel Santos ©
6 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
Contemporary Challenges 
 In Contemporary times, Organizations and Industries 
are open systems all embedded in a wider 
macroenviroment which encompasses a broad set of 
forces/trends emanating or operating from outside 
organizations. 
 These forces/trends affect organizational perfomances 
and represent some of the most critical ‘Contemporary 
Challenges’ that organizations came across… 
Isabel Santos ©
7 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
Some Contemporary Challenges 
 Globalization 
 Hipercompetition 
 Technology Disruption 
 Progressive Resources Scarcity 
 Consumer Personalization 
 Product Life Cycle Reduction 
 Production Life Cycle Reduction 
 Open Innovation SISTEMATIC 
RISK AND 
CHANGE 
Isabel Santos ©
8 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
So the Key Questions…. 
How can organizations manage these critical forces 
in order to survive in this demanding competitive 
macroenviroment? 
How can organizations take advantage of this 
competitive environment in terms of their emerging 
threats and opportunities? 
Can organizations manage in some way the growing 
pace of Change and Risk derived from it? 
Isabel Santos ©
9 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
There is a way… 
 Managing Information strategically may be a critical way to 
help organizations to cope with this contemporary 
challenges. 
 Competitive Intelligence is a Strategic Information 
Management Process that can be used as strategic tool to 
promote: 
- Organizational Survival 
- Organizational Competitiveness 
- Innovation. 
Isabel Santos ©
10 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
Introducing Competitive Intelligence 
(a definition) 
“…“...the process of ethically and systematically 
collecting, analyzing, and disseminating accurate, 
relevant, specific, timely, foresighted and actionable 
intelligence regarding the implications of the 
organizational environment, competitors, and the 
organization itself” (Miller,2000) 
Isabel Santos ©
11 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
Introducing Competitive Intelligence 
 Intelligence definitions: 
“ (...) a collection of information pieces which have been filtered, distilled 
and analyzed; it has been turned into something that can be acted 
upon” (Miller, 2000) 
“ (…) refers to information that has been analysed (taking into account 
the commercial situation of a company) and then used to the tactical 
or strategic advantage of that company” (Gilad, 2003) 
“ (…) intelligence is a methodical assessment of future events” (ibidem) 
Isabel Santos ©
12 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
CI Advantages 
Competitive Intelligence allows organizations to: 
 Target Market Threats and Opportunities 
 Monitorize Competitor Ofensive and Defensive Moves 
 Identify potential Partnerships and Stakeholders 
 Identify Emerging Commercial Technologies and Scientific Knowledge 
 Identify Emerging Products and Services 
 Prepare/Support Strategic Management Planning 
 Develop Foresight Vision 
 Foster Innovation 
 Improve Risk Management 
Isabel Santos ©
13 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
Organizations and Competitive Intelligence 
 All sort of organizations can/must implement a Competitive 
Intelligence function or develop Competitive Intelligence 
capabilities. 
What do you mean by 
“all sort” of organizations? 
 Profit and non profit, big companies, small or medium size 
enterprises, across all industries in all countries. 
Isabel Santos ©
14 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
Theoretical/Pratical Foundations 
1. Management Strategy 
2. Military Strategy 
3. Knowledge and The Information Society 
4. Other: Intelligence Agencies 
Isabel Santos ©
 Strategy embraces the relationship between the organization and its 
environment …. 
 STRATEGY operative definitions: 
- “ The determination of the basic long term goals and objectives of 
an enterprise, and the adoption of courses of action and the 
allocation of resources necessary for carrying out these goals” 
(Chandler,1962) 
- Strategy is “about the purposes, directions, choices, changes, 
governance, organization and performance of organizations in their 
industry, market and social, economic, political contexts”. (Pettigrew 
et all, 2002) 
15 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
1. Management Strategy 
Isabel Santos ©
16 
Management Strategy 
INTERNAL VIEW EXTERNAL VIEW 
Competitors 
Suppliers 
Distribuition 
Industry 
Customers 
Stackolders 
Economy 
Technology 
Society 
Ecology 
Culture 
Politics 
Mision and Vision 
Strategic Goals 
Culture / Values 
Competences 
Capabilities 
Infrastructures 
Processes 
Resources 
People 
Organization 
Strenghts 
Weakness 
Threats 
Opportunities 
(Based on Freire 2001 and Fleisher & Bensoussan, 2003) 
Isabel Santos ©
17 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
Management Strategy and Information 
 In his book “Competitive Stratregy:Techniques for Analyzing 
Industries and Competitors”(1980), Michael Porter underlines the 
critical importance of strategic information management to 
support/develop Strategy. 
 He was the first author to advocate a “Competitor Intelligence 
System” as an important tool to “forecasting future industry 
conditions”, to support strategy formulation and the top management 
decision making processes. 
Isabel Santos ©
18 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
2. Military Strategy 
 Market as a Battle Field 
 Competition as Warfare 
 Information as a strategic resource in Warfare 
“If you know the enemy and know yourself, 
you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. 
If you know yourself but not the enemy, 
for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. 
If you know neither the enemy nor 
yourself, you will succumb in every battle” 
Sun Tzu. “The Art of War” 
Isabel Santos ©
19 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
3. Knowledge and The Information Society 
A few decades ago some key authors foresaw the emergence of 
information and knowledge as the critical assets for economic and 
social development. 
 “Knowledge has become the basic economic resource” (Peter Drucker, 1976). 
 “Society is evolving towards a new age, where information will be the most basic 
resource in the economic developement” (Alvin Toffler, 1980) 
 “In the new, informational mode of development the source of productivity lies in the 
technology of knowledge generation, information processing and symbol 
communication. (…) ..what is specific to the informational mode of development is 
the action of knowledge upon knowledge itself as the main source of productivity” 
(Manuel Castells, 1996).” 
Isabel Santos ©
20 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
Knowledge Management 
 Information as the basis of knowledge. 
 Information and knowledge as sources of competitiveness 
and drivers for innovation. 
 “When markets shift, technologies proliferate, competitors multiply, and 
products become obsolete almost over night, successful companies are those 
that consistently create new knowledge, disseminate it widely throughout the 
organization, and quickly embody it in new technologies and products. These 
activities define the ‘Knowledge creating’ company, whose sole business is 
continuous innovation” (Nonaka, 1991) 
Isabel Santos ©
Collecting Information 
21 
4. Intelligence Agencies 
 Competitive Intelligence adopted the ’Intelligence Cycle’ model 
used by intelligence and security agencies (CIA, others) as the 
basic model for managing information strategically. 
Information Processing 
& Storage 
Dissemination 
Analysis 
The Intelligence Cycle 
Isabel Santos © 
Planning & Direction
22 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
The Competitive Intelligence Life Cycle 
1 - Identifying Intelligence Needs 
2 - Mapping Information Sources; 
Collecting Information 
3 - Analysis 
4 - Dissemination 
Isabel Santos ©
The Competitive Intelligence Life Cycle. 
The 4 Basic Steps: An Overview 
1 - Identifying Intelligence Needs 
2 - Mapping Information Sources; 
Collecting Information 
3 - Analysis 
4 - Dissemination 
Isabel Santos ©
24 
Superio de Estatística e Gestão Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão d dee InInfoformrmaaççããoo.. UNL 
1 – Identifying Intelligence Needs 
Organizations have different intelligence needs, 
depending on its strategic goals and the industries 
they belong to. 
 Intelligence Needs Identification within the CI 
framework, allows organizations to focus on the flow 
of information that is really critical to build up and 
support its middle and long term business 
strategies. 
Isabel Santos ©
25 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
Identifying Information Needs 
Different Intelligence Needs…. 
 Software Development Company 
Beverage and Drinks Company 
Footwear Industry 
Isabel Santos ©
26 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
2 – Mapping Sources and Collecting Information 
Once organizational Intelligence Needs are 
identified (Step 1), Competitive Intelligence 
researchers need to map what type of information 
sources can provide the information above (Step 2). 
 Step 2 also comprises tapping information from the 
target sources and organize it in order to make it 
available for the 3rd step in the CI Life Cycle: 
Analysis 
Isabel Santos ©
27 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
Mapping Sources 
Types of Information Sources 
 Secundary Sources 
- Mass Media 
- Web Sources 
- Monographies 
- Reports 
- Recorded Images and Sounds 
- Data Bases on/ off line 
- Patents 
- Published Documents 
- Internal Sources Docs. 
- Other 
 Primary Sources 
- Customers 
- Competitors 
- Suppliers 
- Experts 
- Consultants 
- Co-Workers 
- Journalists 
- Other Human Sources 
- Observation 
Isabel Santos ©
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
3 – Analysis 
 “To-be truly value-adding, CI analysis must go beyond 
informing knowledge wich, in Taylor’s (1986) value-added 
spectrum means validating, synthesizing, comparing, 
evaluating, separating, and interpreting data as a means of 
providing productive knowledge. This is a judgmental 
process in which the task is to present option, advantages, 
disadvantages or implications for decisions making and 
action” 
28 
( Bergeron e Hiller, 2002) 
Isabel Santos ©
29
30 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
So Analysis… 
Analysis 
 … Is the process that enables ‘intelligence’ production. 
 … Comprises the synthetisation, comparison, evaluation, 
separation, and interpretation of data and information 
trough the application of strategic analysis techniques. 
 The result of Analysis is ‘intelligence’ 
Isabel Santos ©
31 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
CI Analysis Techniques: Examples 
 Profiles 
 Shadowing 
 SWOT Analysis 
 STEEP Analysis 
 Five Industry Forces 
 War Games 
 Strategic Group Analysis 
 Discourse Analysis 
 Benchmarking 
 Scenario Planning 
 Stakeholder Analysis 
 Value Chain Analysis 
 BCG Matrix 
 Blindspot Analysis 
 Core Competences 
 ABC Analysis 
Isabel Santos ©
32 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
Analysis 
 Questions to answer before Analysis starts: 
- Which Analysis Techniques one masters? 
- How are they interrelated? 
- What scope of competitive enviroment is one going to take 
into account? 
- What constraints does one have to take in consideration in 
terms of resources to perform Analysis (time, financial, 
human resources, etc) 
Isabel Santos ©
33 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
4 – Dissemination 
 Dissemination (or Communication) is the process of 
informing CI customers (Middle and Top Managers) about 
‘intelligence’ findings, so they can based their strategic 
decisions upon. 
Isabel Santos ©
34 
Dissemination 
 CI Researchers must adjust the Dissemination procedure 
to the specific manager’s caractheristics and needs. 
 This means adjusting the communication medium and the 
format content in a way that decision makers can really 
absorb and understand ‘intelligence’ findings and effectively 
decide and take action upon them. 
 For example: intelligence findings can be comunicated 
trough a brief writtten report, an oral presentation, by email, 
etc, etc,… 
Isabel Santos ©
35 
Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 
References 
 Castells, Manuel. (1996) “The Rise of the Network Society” in “The Information Age: 
Economy, Society and Culture.Vol.1. Blackwell Publishers. ISBN 1-55786-617-1. 
 Choo, Chun Wei.(1998) “Information Management for the Intelligent Organization. 
The Art of Scanning the Environment”. Ed. American Society for Information 
Management. 2nd Ed. ISBN:1-57387-057-9 
 Miller, Jerry P. (Ed) and The BI Braintrust (2000). Millennium Intelligence: 
Understanding and Conducting Competitive Intelligence in the Digital Age. 
CyberAge Books. ISBN-13: 978-0910965286 
 Porter, Michael E. “ Competitive Strategy. Techniques for Analyzing Industries and 
Competitors”. Free Press, New York, 1980. ISBN:0-7432-6088-0. 
 Sun Tzu. “The Art of War”. E-Book available at: 
http://www.artofwarsuntzu.com/Art%20of%20War%20PDF.pdf 
 Chesbrough, Henry W. (2003) “The Era of Open Innovation.” Sloan Management 
Review, 44, 3 (Spring): 35-41. 
Isabel Santos ©
36 
INCERTEZA E Scenários 
 Jolly. V. commercializing new technologies – getting from mind to market. 
 Lawson B. how designers think – The design Process desmistified. 1997 
(Lawson Model) 
 Forrester JW. Mistslon.mit edu 
 Dixon P. Meeting The Future Halfway. Center for management 
development. 
 Manzini E. 2003 
 Manzini E , Jegou, F “Sustainable Everyday – Scenarios.. 
 Whoudhuysen J. About Trends 2005 
Activity-centered Design / Human centered design
37 
Alvim Toffler: The Third Wave 
 In the book Toffler describes three types of societies, based on the concept of 'waves' - each wave 
pushes the older societies and cultures aside. 
 The First Wave is the settled agricultural society which prevailed in much of the world after the Neolithic 
Revolution, which replaced hunter-gatherer cultures. 
 The Second Wave is Industrial Age society. The Second Wave began in Western Europe with the 
Industrial Revolution, and subsequently spread across the world. Key aspects of Second Wave society 
are the nuclear family, a factory-type education system and the corporation. Toffler writes: 
The Second Wave Society is industrial and based on mass production, mass distribution, mass consumption, 
mass education, mass media, , , and weapons of mass destruction. You combine those things with 
standardization, centralization, concentration, and synchronization, and you wind up with a style of 
organization we call bureaucracy.“ 
The Third Wave is the post-industrial society. Toffler says that since the late 1950s most countries have been 
transitioning from a Second Wave society into a Third Wave society. He coined many words to describe 
it and mentions names invented by others, such as the Information Age.

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A Quick Introduction to Competitive Intelligence

  • 1. UNL – Universidade Nova de Lisboa Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL ISEGI – Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação Learning Module Knowledge Management COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE Lecture 1 Isabel Santos Mestrado em Estatística e Gestão de Informação e Pós-Graduações Isabel Santos © 23-11-2010 2010/2011 (1st Term)
  • 2. 2 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL Course Plan  Competitive Intelligence.  CI Advantages.  The Competitive Intelligence Cycle  CI: Identifying Intelligence Needs.  Key Intelligence Topics  CI Information Sources.  Military Strategy /Military Intelligence & C.Intelligence  Early Warning Systems  CI : Overview – Risk, Change and Uncertainty.  Introduction to STEEP Analysis Isabel Santos © 23-11-2010
  • 3. 3 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL Summary: Lecture 1 Contemporary Challenges. Competitive Intelligence.  CI Advantages. The Competitive Intelligence Life Cycle. Isabel Santos © 23-11-2010
  • 4. 4 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL Information: a Strategic Approach  INFORMATION - Organizational Strategic Resource (Choo, 1998) - Manageable as other organizational resources Strategic Approach for Managing Information A strategic tool to promote Organizational Survival, Organizational Competitiveness and Innovation COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE Isabel Santos ©
  • 5. 5 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL The Changing Face of Markets PAST TIME:  Geographically limited Transportation Systems  Limited Communications Infrastructures.  Local Markets / Local Customers  Local Competition  Limited Information Flow  Assymetric Information: Customers/Companies  Organizations define products/services  Standardized Products/Services  Mass Production Systems  Local Available Economic Resources  Slow Pace of Change  Risk is more manageable PRESENT TIME:  Globally Interconnected Transport Inf.  Globally Interconnected Communications  Global Markets/Global Customers  ‘GloCal’ Competition  Global Information and Resources Flow  Empowered Customers: More Informed  Customers define products/services  Mass Customization of Products/Services  Alternative Production Systems  Consumer Personalization  Faster/Dramatic Change  Risks are interconnected Isabel Santos ©
  • 6. 6 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL Contemporary Challenges  In Contemporary times, Organizations and Industries are open systems all embedded in a wider macroenviroment which encompasses a broad set of forces/trends emanating or operating from outside organizations.  These forces/trends affect organizational perfomances and represent some of the most critical ‘Contemporary Challenges’ that organizations came across… Isabel Santos ©
  • 7. 7 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL Some Contemporary Challenges  Globalization  Hipercompetition  Technology Disruption  Progressive Resources Scarcity  Consumer Personalization  Product Life Cycle Reduction  Production Life Cycle Reduction  Open Innovation SISTEMATIC RISK AND CHANGE Isabel Santos ©
  • 8. 8 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL So the Key Questions…. How can organizations manage these critical forces in order to survive in this demanding competitive macroenviroment? How can organizations take advantage of this competitive environment in terms of their emerging threats and opportunities? Can organizations manage in some way the growing pace of Change and Risk derived from it? Isabel Santos ©
  • 9. 9 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL There is a way…  Managing Information strategically may be a critical way to help organizations to cope with this contemporary challenges.  Competitive Intelligence is a Strategic Information Management Process that can be used as strategic tool to promote: - Organizational Survival - Organizational Competitiveness - Innovation. Isabel Santos ©
  • 10. 10 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL Introducing Competitive Intelligence (a definition) “…“...the process of ethically and systematically collecting, analyzing, and disseminating accurate, relevant, specific, timely, foresighted and actionable intelligence regarding the implications of the organizational environment, competitors, and the organization itself” (Miller,2000) Isabel Santos ©
  • 11. 11 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL Introducing Competitive Intelligence  Intelligence definitions: “ (...) a collection of information pieces which have been filtered, distilled and analyzed; it has been turned into something that can be acted upon” (Miller, 2000) “ (…) refers to information that has been analysed (taking into account the commercial situation of a company) and then used to the tactical or strategic advantage of that company” (Gilad, 2003) “ (…) intelligence is a methodical assessment of future events” (ibidem) Isabel Santos ©
  • 12. 12 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL CI Advantages Competitive Intelligence allows organizations to:  Target Market Threats and Opportunities  Monitorize Competitor Ofensive and Defensive Moves  Identify potential Partnerships and Stakeholders  Identify Emerging Commercial Technologies and Scientific Knowledge  Identify Emerging Products and Services  Prepare/Support Strategic Management Planning  Develop Foresight Vision  Foster Innovation  Improve Risk Management Isabel Santos ©
  • 13. 13 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL Organizations and Competitive Intelligence  All sort of organizations can/must implement a Competitive Intelligence function or develop Competitive Intelligence capabilities. What do you mean by “all sort” of organizations?  Profit and non profit, big companies, small or medium size enterprises, across all industries in all countries. Isabel Santos ©
  • 14. 14 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL Theoretical/Pratical Foundations 1. Management Strategy 2. Military Strategy 3. Knowledge and The Information Society 4. Other: Intelligence Agencies Isabel Santos ©
  • 15.  Strategy embraces the relationship between the organization and its environment ….  STRATEGY operative definitions: - “ The determination of the basic long term goals and objectives of an enterprise, and the adoption of courses of action and the allocation of resources necessary for carrying out these goals” (Chandler,1962) - Strategy is “about the purposes, directions, choices, changes, governance, organization and performance of organizations in their industry, market and social, economic, political contexts”. (Pettigrew et all, 2002) 15 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 1. Management Strategy Isabel Santos ©
  • 16. 16 Management Strategy INTERNAL VIEW EXTERNAL VIEW Competitors Suppliers Distribuition Industry Customers Stackolders Economy Technology Society Ecology Culture Politics Mision and Vision Strategic Goals Culture / Values Competences Capabilities Infrastructures Processes Resources People Organization Strenghts Weakness Threats Opportunities (Based on Freire 2001 and Fleisher & Bensoussan, 2003) Isabel Santos ©
  • 17. 17 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL Management Strategy and Information  In his book “Competitive Stratregy:Techniques for Analyzing Industries and Competitors”(1980), Michael Porter underlines the critical importance of strategic information management to support/develop Strategy.  He was the first author to advocate a “Competitor Intelligence System” as an important tool to “forecasting future industry conditions”, to support strategy formulation and the top management decision making processes. Isabel Santos ©
  • 18. 18 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 2. Military Strategy  Market as a Battle Field  Competition as Warfare  Information as a strategic resource in Warfare “If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle” Sun Tzu. “The Art of War” Isabel Santos ©
  • 19. 19 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 3. Knowledge and The Information Society A few decades ago some key authors foresaw the emergence of information and knowledge as the critical assets for economic and social development.  “Knowledge has become the basic economic resource” (Peter Drucker, 1976).  “Society is evolving towards a new age, where information will be the most basic resource in the economic developement” (Alvin Toffler, 1980)  “In the new, informational mode of development the source of productivity lies in the technology of knowledge generation, information processing and symbol communication. (…) ..what is specific to the informational mode of development is the action of knowledge upon knowledge itself as the main source of productivity” (Manuel Castells, 1996).” Isabel Santos ©
  • 20. 20 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL Knowledge Management  Information as the basis of knowledge.  Information and knowledge as sources of competitiveness and drivers for innovation.  “When markets shift, technologies proliferate, competitors multiply, and products become obsolete almost over night, successful companies are those that consistently create new knowledge, disseminate it widely throughout the organization, and quickly embody it in new technologies and products. These activities define the ‘Knowledge creating’ company, whose sole business is continuous innovation” (Nonaka, 1991) Isabel Santos ©
  • 21. Collecting Information 21 4. Intelligence Agencies  Competitive Intelligence adopted the ’Intelligence Cycle’ model used by intelligence and security agencies (CIA, others) as the basic model for managing information strategically. Information Processing & Storage Dissemination Analysis The Intelligence Cycle Isabel Santos © Planning & Direction
  • 22. 22 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL The Competitive Intelligence Life Cycle 1 - Identifying Intelligence Needs 2 - Mapping Information Sources; Collecting Information 3 - Analysis 4 - Dissemination Isabel Santos ©
  • 23. The Competitive Intelligence Life Cycle. The 4 Basic Steps: An Overview 1 - Identifying Intelligence Needs 2 - Mapping Information Sources; Collecting Information 3 - Analysis 4 - Dissemination Isabel Santos ©
  • 24. 24 Superio de Estatística e Gestão Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão d dee InInfoformrmaaççããoo.. UNL 1 – Identifying Intelligence Needs Organizations have different intelligence needs, depending on its strategic goals and the industries they belong to.  Intelligence Needs Identification within the CI framework, allows organizations to focus on the flow of information that is really critical to build up and support its middle and long term business strategies. Isabel Santos ©
  • 25. 25 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL Identifying Information Needs Different Intelligence Needs….  Software Development Company Beverage and Drinks Company Footwear Industry Isabel Santos ©
  • 26. 26 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 2 – Mapping Sources and Collecting Information Once organizational Intelligence Needs are identified (Step 1), Competitive Intelligence researchers need to map what type of information sources can provide the information above (Step 2).  Step 2 also comprises tapping information from the target sources and organize it in order to make it available for the 3rd step in the CI Life Cycle: Analysis Isabel Santos ©
  • 27. 27 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL Mapping Sources Types of Information Sources  Secundary Sources - Mass Media - Web Sources - Monographies - Reports - Recorded Images and Sounds - Data Bases on/ off line - Patents - Published Documents - Internal Sources Docs. - Other  Primary Sources - Customers - Competitors - Suppliers - Experts - Consultants - Co-Workers - Journalists - Other Human Sources - Observation Isabel Santos ©
  • 28. Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 3 – Analysis  “To-be truly value-adding, CI analysis must go beyond informing knowledge wich, in Taylor’s (1986) value-added spectrum means validating, synthesizing, comparing, evaluating, separating, and interpreting data as a means of providing productive knowledge. This is a judgmental process in which the task is to present option, advantages, disadvantages or implications for decisions making and action” 28 ( Bergeron e Hiller, 2002) Isabel Santos ©
  • 29. 29
  • 30. 30 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL So Analysis… Analysis  … Is the process that enables ‘intelligence’ production.  … Comprises the synthetisation, comparison, evaluation, separation, and interpretation of data and information trough the application of strategic analysis techniques.  The result of Analysis is ‘intelligence’ Isabel Santos ©
  • 31. 31 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL CI Analysis Techniques: Examples  Profiles  Shadowing  SWOT Analysis  STEEP Analysis  Five Industry Forces  War Games  Strategic Group Analysis  Discourse Analysis  Benchmarking  Scenario Planning  Stakeholder Analysis  Value Chain Analysis  BCG Matrix  Blindspot Analysis  Core Competences  ABC Analysis Isabel Santos ©
  • 32. 32 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL Analysis  Questions to answer before Analysis starts: - Which Analysis Techniques one masters? - How are they interrelated? - What scope of competitive enviroment is one going to take into account? - What constraints does one have to take in consideration in terms of resources to perform Analysis (time, financial, human resources, etc) Isabel Santos ©
  • 33. 33 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL 4 – Dissemination  Dissemination (or Communication) is the process of informing CI customers (Middle and Top Managers) about ‘intelligence’ findings, so they can based their strategic decisions upon. Isabel Santos ©
  • 34. 34 Dissemination  CI Researchers must adjust the Dissemination procedure to the specific manager’s caractheristics and needs.  This means adjusting the communication medium and the format content in a way that decision makers can really absorb and understand ‘intelligence’ findings and effectively decide and take action upon them.  For example: intelligence findings can be comunicated trough a brief writtten report, an oral presentation, by email, etc, etc,… Isabel Santos ©
  • 35. 35 Instituto Superior de Estatística e Gestão de Informação. UNL References  Castells, Manuel. (1996) “The Rise of the Network Society” in “The Information Age: Economy, Society and Culture.Vol.1. Blackwell Publishers. ISBN 1-55786-617-1.  Choo, Chun Wei.(1998) “Information Management for the Intelligent Organization. The Art of Scanning the Environment”. Ed. American Society for Information Management. 2nd Ed. ISBN:1-57387-057-9  Miller, Jerry P. (Ed) and The BI Braintrust (2000). Millennium Intelligence: Understanding and Conducting Competitive Intelligence in the Digital Age. CyberAge Books. ISBN-13: 978-0910965286  Porter, Michael E. “ Competitive Strategy. Techniques for Analyzing Industries and Competitors”. Free Press, New York, 1980. ISBN:0-7432-6088-0.  Sun Tzu. “The Art of War”. E-Book available at: http://www.artofwarsuntzu.com/Art%20of%20War%20PDF.pdf  Chesbrough, Henry W. (2003) “The Era of Open Innovation.” Sloan Management Review, 44, 3 (Spring): 35-41. Isabel Santos ©
  • 36. 36 INCERTEZA E Scenários  Jolly. V. commercializing new technologies – getting from mind to market.  Lawson B. how designers think – The design Process desmistified. 1997 (Lawson Model)  Forrester JW. Mistslon.mit edu  Dixon P. Meeting The Future Halfway. Center for management development.  Manzini E. 2003  Manzini E , Jegou, F “Sustainable Everyday – Scenarios..  Whoudhuysen J. About Trends 2005 Activity-centered Design / Human centered design
  • 37. 37 Alvim Toffler: The Third Wave  In the book Toffler describes three types of societies, based on the concept of 'waves' - each wave pushes the older societies and cultures aside.  The First Wave is the settled agricultural society which prevailed in much of the world after the Neolithic Revolution, which replaced hunter-gatherer cultures.  The Second Wave is Industrial Age society. The Second Wave began in Western Europe with the Industrial Revolution, and subsequently spread across the world. Key aspects of Second Wave society are the nuclear family, a factory-type education system and the corporation. Toffler writes: The Second Wave Society is industrial and based on mass production, mass distribution, mass consumption, mass education, mass media, , , and weapons of mass destruction. You combine those things with standardization, centralization, concentration, and synchronization, and you wind up with a style of organization we call bureaucracy.“ The Third Wave is the post-industrial society. Toffler says that since the late 1950s most countries have been transitioning from a Second Wave society into a Third Wave society. He coined many words to describe it and mentions names invented by others, such as the Information Age.