SlideShare uma empresa Scribd logo
1 de 43
Baixar para ler offline
WELCOME
SHOULD U.S. RAISE ITS
   DEBT CEILING?
THE FLOW
• The Current Scenario
• How did they reach here
• Why do you need debt ceiling?
• The Criticality of the situation
• Issues if they raise and if they don’t raise
  the ceiling
• Open Forum
CURRENT SCENARIO

• US $14.29 trillion

• 96% of GDP

• AAA rating since 1917
Have High Debt and High Rating

Why US has been able to raise so much money
THE DOLLAR
• Largest industrial base and surplus of dollar
backed by Gold post 2nd world war.

•1971: The Dollar was fixed as Reserve Currency.

• 1973 oil crisis: Increase in US treasury bills
held by central governments

•As a result demand for Dollar increased in the
world arena.
WHO IS HOLDING THIS DEBT
DEBT CEILING
DEBT CEILING

• Limits the amount of public debt that
  can be outstanding.

• Prevents the U.S. Treasury from
  issuing new debt once the limit has
  been reached.
IMPORTANCE OF DEBT
     CEILING
IMPORTANCE OF DEBIT CEILING


• Provides Congress with the strings to
  control the federal purse

• A form of fiscal accountability

• Compels Congress and the President to
  check their debt borrowings
But you can always increase it
The REASONS

    From a forecast annual surpluses of
$850 billion for 2009–2012 to deficit reality of
                 $1,215 billion
How serious is this issue of Debt ceiling
Default in
payment
Default in   Employment
payment
Default in   Employment
payment




 Inflation
Default in   Employment
payment




Inflation     Exchange
                Rate
GDP
Default in         Employment
payment




Inflation            Exchange
                       Rate
GDP
Default in              Employment
payment

             National
             Income


Inflation                 Exchange
                            Rate
GDP
Default in              Employment
payment

             National
             Income        Stock Market


Inflation                 Exchange
                            Rate
GDP
Default in                  Employment
payment

                National
                Income         Stock Market


Inflation                     Exchange
                                Rate
             Dollar Value
GDP
                                  Employment
      Default in
      payment

Interest              National
 Rates                Income         Stock Market


     Inflation                      Exchange
                                      Rate
                   Dollar Value
IF THEY DON’T RAISE THE
     DEBT CEILING
• Decrease in Expenses

• Effect on Stock Market

• Sky High mortgage and Interest rate

• Treasury Bond Collapse
BUT WHAT IF THEY RAISE
  THE DEBT CEILING
Dollar weakens
Imports
• Imports become dearer.

• End up paying more money for same quantity
  of goods purchased.

• Pace of economic growth rate slows down.
Exports
• Exports become cheaper.

• Importer country ends up buying same
  amount of goods for a lesser price.

• As a result of increase in exports, the trade
  deficit might decrease.
INFLATION

• As imports get dearer, inflation increases.

• Prices of goods increases.
INTEREST RATES
• As a result of increase in inflation, the interest
  rates will go up.

• Investor confidence will go down.

• As a result the investment in the economy will
  go down.
CAPITAL FLIGHT
• Flow of funds or investments from develop to
  developing countries.

• Increases unemployment in the country.
CAPITAL FORMATION
• Investments and capital formation are
  positively correlated.

• As investments go down rate of capital
  formation goes down.

• Hence government needs money to initiate
  investments and growth in the economy.
Us debt crisis
Us debt crisis

Mais conteúdo relacionado

Mais procurados

Government Spends = We Lose 8.12.09
Government Spends = We Lose 8.12.09Government Spends = We Lose 8.12.09
Government Spends = We Lose 8.12.09
ALineofSight
 
Global Economic Outlook
Global Economic OutlookGlobal Economic Outlook
Global Economic Outlook
kktv
 
Government spends we lose 9.6.10
Government spends we lose 9.6.10Government spends we lose 9.6.10
Government spends we lose 9.6.10
lineofsight
 
zimbabwe economy
zimbabwe economyzimbabwe economy
zimbabwe economy
Karan Mehta
 
Economics q7(inflation)
Economics q7(inflation)Economics q7(inflation)
Economics q7(inflation)
ianmccarthy991
 
The Future of Public Debt
The Future of Public DebtThe Future of Public Debt
The Future of Public Debt
Paul Kedrosky
 

Mais procurados (20)

Government Spends = We Lose 8.12.09
Government Spends = We Lose 8.12.09Government Spends = We Lose 8.12.09
Government Spends = We Lose 8.12.09
 
Is govt investment productive for stud exam
Is govt investment productive for stud examIs govt investment productive for stud exam
Is govt investment productive for stud exam
 
Part 2, The Fed, Bitcoins, and Inflation
Part 2, The Fed, Bitcoins, and InflationPart 2, The Fed, Bitcoins, and Inflation
Part 2, The Fed, Bitcoins, and Inflation
 
Hyperinflation theory
Hyperinflation theoryHyperinflation theory
Hyperinflation theory
 
Economic Crisis in Zimbabwe- Revealed
Economic Crisis in Zimbabwe- RevealedEconomic Crisis in Zimbabwe- Revealed
Economic Crisis in Zimbabwe- Revealed
 
Pegging and the trilemma
Pegging and the trilemmaPegging and the trilemma
Pegging and the trilemma
 
Portfolio
PortfolioPortfolio
Portfolio
 
Hyperinflation and its effect on different world economies
Hyperinflation and its effect on different world economiesHyperinflation and its effect on different world economies
Hyperinflation and its effect on different world economies
 
Buyers
BuyersBuyers
Buyers
 
HAR Networking 11.13.2014
HAR Networking 11.13.2014HAR Networking 11.13.2014
HAR Networking 11.13.2014
 
Hyperinflation in zimbabwe
Hyperinflation in zimbabweHyperinflation in zimbabwe
Hyperinflation in zimbabwe
 
Putting it all together
Putting it all togetherPutting it all together
Putting it all together
 
Global Economic Outlook
Global Economic OutlookGlobal Economic Outlook
Global Economic Outlook
 
Government spends we lose 9.6.10
Government spends we lose 9.6.10Government spends we lose 9.6.10
Government spends we lose 9.6.10
 
zimbabwe economy
zimbabwe economyzimbabwe economy
zimbabwe economy
 
Economics q7(inflation)
Economics q7(inflation)Economics q7(inflation)
Economics q7(inflation)
 
The Future of Public Debt
The Future of Public DebtThe Future of Public Debt
The Future of Public Debt
 
Pegs
PegsPegs
Pegs
 
Currecny crisis
Currecny crisisCurrecny crisis
Currecny crisis
 
Structure of Philippine Public Debt
Structure of Philippine Public DebtStructure of Philippine Public Debt
Structure of Philippine Public Debt
 

Semelhante a Us debt crisis

Devaluation of money (India)
Devaluation of money (India)Devaluation of money (India)
Devaluation of money (India)
Amit Kumar
 
Fed challenge meeting october 8
Fed challenge meeting   october 8Fed challenge meeting   october 8
Fed challenge meeting october 8
sihewitt
 
international business trade
international business tradeinternational business trade
international business trade
Nitin Patil
 
Global financial crisis
Global financial crisisGlobal financial crisis
Global financial crisis
Rahul Wozniak
 
El rady interest rate forecast
El rady interest rate forecastEl rady interest rate forecast
El rady interest rate forecast
Joe El Rady
 
מצגת לוורקשופ
מצגת לוורקשופמצגת לוורקשופ
מצגת לוורקשופ
Alex Sklar
 
Financial forces in international business2
Financial forces in international business2Financial forces in international business2
Financial forces in international business2
ajikesh
 
Interest Rates And Inflation Seminar Full
Interest Rates And Inflation Seminar FullInterest Rates And Inflation Seminar Full
Interest Rates And Inflation Seminar Full
dfdai
 

Semelhante a Us debt crisis (20)

Devaluation of money (India)
Devaluation of money (India)Devaluation of money (India)
Devaluation of money (India)
 
INFLATION[1]
INFLATION[1]INFLATION[1]
INFLATION[1]
 
economic_aspect
economic_aspecteconomic_aspect
economic_aspect
 
Fed challenge meeting october 8
Fed challenge meeting   october 8Fed challenge meeting   october 8
Fed challenge meeting october 8
 
DEVALUATION OF INDIAN CURRENCY
DEVALUATION OF INDIAN CURRENCYDEVALUATION OF INDIAN CURRENCY
DEVALUATION OF INDIAN CURRENCY
 
Sub prime crisis
Sub prime crisisSub prime crisis
Sub prime crisis
 
international business trade
international business tradeinternational business trade
international business trade
 
Road ahead presentation 2012 revised
Road ahead presentation 2012 revisedRoad ahead presentation 2012 revised
Road ahead presentation 2012 revised
 
macroeconomic Problem (core)
macroeconomic Problem (core)macroeconomic Problem (core)
macroeconomic Problem (core)
 
Global financial crisis
Global financial crisisGlobal financial crisis
Global financial crisis
 
Canadian (Non)Exceptionalism: Crisis, Recovery, Austerity
Canadian (Non)Exceptionalism: Crisis, Recovery, AusterityCanadian (Non)Exceptionalism: Crisis, Recovery, Austerity
Canadian (Non)Exceptionalism: Crisis, Recovery, Austerity
 
Economic outlook 2011 12
Economic outlook 2011 12Economic outlook 2011 12
Economic outlook 2011 12
 
El rady interest rate forecast
El rady interest rate forecastEl rady interest rate forecast
El rady interest rate forecast
 
Inflation
Inflation   Inflation
Inflation
 
מצגת לוורקשופ
מצגת לוורקשופמצגת לוורקשופ
מצגת לוורקשופ
 
What’S Going On In Financial Markets
What’S Going On In Financial MarketsWhat’S Going On In Financial Markets
What’S Going On In Financial Markets
 
Financial forces in international business2
Financial forces in international business2Financial forces in international business2
Financial forces in international business2
 
Interest Rates And Inflation Seminar Full
Interest Rates And Inflation Seminar FullInterest Rates And Inflation Seminar Full
Interest Rates And Inflation Seminar Full
 
Angelic Real Estate 2014 Commercial Real Estate Capital Markets View
Angelic Real Estate 2014 Commercial Real Estate Capital Markets ViewAngelic Real Estate 2014 Commercial Real Estate Capital Markets View
Angelic Real Estate 2014 Commercial Real Estate Capital Markets View
 
Fiscal deficit
Fiscal deficitFiscal deficit
Fiscal deficit
 

Último

Challenges and Opportunities: A Qualitative Study on Tax Compliance in Pakistan
Challenges and Opportunities: A Qualitative Study on Tax Compliance in PakistanChallenges and Opportunities: A Qualitative Study on Tax Compliance in Pakistan
Challenges and Opportunities: A Qualitative Study on Tax Compliance in Pakistan
vineshkumarsajnani12
 
obat aborsi bandung wa 081336238223 jual obat aborsi cytotec asli di bandung9...
obat aborsi bandung wa 081336238223 jual obat aborsi cytotec asli di bandung9...obat aborsi bandung wa 081336238223 jual obat aborsi cytotec asli di bandung9...
obat aborsi bandung wa 081336238223 jual obat aborsi cytotec asli di bandung9...
yulianti213969
 
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan CytotecJual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
ZurliaSoop
 

Último (20)

Falcon Invoice Discounting: The best investment platform in india for investors
Falcon Invoice Discounting: The best investment platform in india for investorsFalcon Invoice Discounting: The best investment platform in india for investors
Falcon Invoice Discounting: The best investment platform in india for investors
 
Berhampur 70918*19311 CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
Berhampur 70918*19311 CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDINGBerhampur 70918*19311 CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
Berhampur 70918*19311 CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
 
Unveiling Falcon Invoice Discounting: Leading the Way as India's Premier Bill...
Unveiling Falcon Invoice Discounting: Leading the Way as India's Premier Bill...Unveiling Falcon Invoice Discounting: Leading the Way as India's Premier Bill...
Unveiling Falcon Invoice Discounting: Leading the Way as India's Premier Bill...
 
Getting Real with AI - Columbus DAW - May 2024 - Nick Woo from AlignAI
Getting Real with AI - Columbus DAW - May 2024 - Nick Woo from AlignAIGetting Real with AI - Columbus DAW - May 2024 - Nick Woo from AlignAI
Getting Real with AI - Columbus DAW - May 2024 - Nick Woo from AlignAI
 
Ooty Call Gril 80022//12248 Only For Sex And High Profile Best Gril Sex Avail...
Ooty Call Gril 80022//12248 Only For Sex And High Profile Best Gril Sex Avail...Ooty Call Gril 80022//12248 Only For Sex And High Profile Best Gril Sex Avail...
Ooty Call Gril 80022//12248 Only For Sex And High Profile Best Gril Sex Avail...
 
Lucknow Housewife Escorts by Sexy Bhabhi Service 8250092165
Lucknow Housewife Escorts  by Sexy Bhabhi Service 8250092165Lucknow Housewife Escorts  by Sexy Bhabhi Service 8250092165
Lucknow Housewife Escorts by Sexy Bhabhi Service 8250092165
 
Lundin Gold - Q1 2024 Conference Call Presentation (Revised)
Lundin Gold - Q1 2024 Conference Call Presentation (Revised)Lundin Gold - Q1 2024 Conference Call Presentation (Revised)
Lundin Gold - Q1 2024 Conference Call Presentation (Revised)
 
Challenges and Opportunities: A Qualitative Study on Tax Compliance in Pakistan
Challenges and Opportunities: A Qualitative Study on Tax Compliance in PakistanChallenges and Opportunities: A Qualitative Study on Tax Compliance in Pakistan
Challenges and Opportunities: A Qualitative Study on Tax Compliance in Pakistan
 
KOTA 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in Escort service book now
KOTA 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in  Escort service book nowKOTA 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in  Escort service book now
KOTA 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in Escort service book now
 
HomeRoots Pitch Deck | Investor Insights | April 2024
HomeRoots Pitch Deck | Investor Insights | April 2024HomeRoots Pitch Deck | Investor Insights | April 2024
HomeRoots Pitch Deck | Investor Insights | April 2024
 
UAE Bur Dubai Call Girls ☏ 0564401582 Call Girl in Bur Dubai
UAE Bur Dubai Call Girls ☏ 0564401582 Call Girl in Bur DubaiUAE Bur Dubai Call Girls ☏ 0564401582 Call Girl in Bur Dubai
UAE Bur Dubai Call Girls ☏ 0564401582 Call Girl in Bur Dubai
 
Call 7737669865 Vadodara Call Girls Service at your Door Step Available All Time
Call 7737669865 Vadodara Call Girls Service at your Door Step Available All TimeCall 7737669865 Vadodara Call Girls Service at your Door Step Available All Time
Call 7737669865 Vadodara Call Girls Service at your Door Step Available All Time
 
Berhampur 70918*19311 CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
Berhampur 70918*19311 CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDINGBerhampur 70918*19311 CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
Berhampur 70918*19311 CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
 
PARK STREET 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in Escort service book now
PARK STREET 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in  Escort service book nowPARK STREET 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in  Escort service book now
PARK STREET 💋 Call Girl 9827461493 Call Girls in Escort service book now
 
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Unlock Your Business Potential
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Unlock Your Business PotentialFalcon Invoice Discounting: Unlock Your Business Potential
Falcon Invoice Discounting: Unlock Your Business Potential
 
Berhampur CALL GIRL❤7091819311❤CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
Berhampur CALL GIRL❤7091819311❤CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDINGBerhampur CALL GIRL❤7091819311❤CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
Berhampur CALL GIRL❤7091819311❤CALL GIRLS IN ESCORT SERVICE WE ARE PROVIDING
 
obat aborsi bandung wa 081336238223 jual obat aborsi cytotec asli di bandung9...
obat aborsi bandung wa 081336238223 jual obat aborsi cytotec asli di bandung9...obat aborsi bandung wa 081336238223 jual obat aborsi cytotec asli di bandung9...
obat aborsi bandung wa 081336238223 jual obat aborsi cytotec asli di bandung9...
 
Bangalore Call Girl Just Call♥️ 8084732287 ♥️Top Class Call Girl Service Avai...
Bangalore Call Girl Just Call♥️ 8084732287 ♥️Top Class Call Girl Service Avai...Bangalore Call Girl Just Call♥️ 8084732287 ♥️Top Class Call Girl Service Avai...
Bangalore Call Girl Just Call♥️ 8084732287 ♥️Top Class Call Girl Service Avai...
 
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan CytotecJual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
Jual Obat Aborsi ( Asli No.1 ) 085657271886 Obat Penggugur Kandungan Cytotec
 
Pre Engineered Building Manufacturers Hyderabad.pptx
Pre Engineered  Building Manufacturers Hyderabad.pptxPre Engineered  Building Manufacturers Hyderabad.pptx
Pre Engineered Building Manufacturers Hyderabad.pptx
 

Us debt crisis

  • 2. SHOULD U.S. RAISE ITS DEBT CEILING?
  • 3. THE FLOW • The Current Scenario • How did they reach here • Why do you need debt ceiling? • The Criticality of the situation • Issues if they raise and if they don’t raise the ceiling • Open Forum
  • 4. CURRENT SCENARIO • US $14.29 trillion • 96% of GDP • AAA rating since 1917
  • 5. Have High Debt and High Rating Why US has been able to raise so much money
  • 6. THE DOLLAR • Largest industrial base and surplus of dollar backed by Gold post 2nd world war. •1971: The Dollar was fixed as Reserve Currency. • 1973 oil crisis: Increase in US treasury bills held by central governments •As a result demand for Dollar increased in the world arena.
  • 7. WHO IS HOLDING THIS DEBT
  • 9. DEBT CEILING • Limits the amount of public debt that can be outstanding. • Prevents the U.S. Treasury from issuing new debt once the limit has been reached.
  • 11. IMPORTANCE OF DEBIT CEILING • Provides Congress with the strings to control the federal purse • A form of fiscal accountability • Compels Congress and the President to check their debt borrowings
  • 12. But you can always increase it
  • 13.
  • 14. The REASONS From a forecast annual surpluses of $850 billion for 2009–2012 to deficit reality of $1,215 billion
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20. How serious is this issue of Debt ceiling
  • 22. Default in Employment payment
  • 23. Default in Employment payment Inflation
  • 24. Default in Employment payment Inflation Exchange Rate
  • 25. GDP Default in Employment payment Inflation Exchange Rate
  • 26. GDP Default in Employment payment National Income Inflation Exchange Rate
  • 27. GDP Default in Employment payment National Income Stock Market Inflation Exchange Rate
  • 28. GDP Default in Employment payment National Income Stock Market Inflation Exchange Rate Dollar Value
  • 29. GDP Employment Default in payment Interest National Rates Income Stock Market Inflation Exchange Rate Dollar Value
  • 30. IF THEY DON’T RAISE THE DEBT CEILING
  • 31. • Decrease in Expenses • Effect on Stock Market • Sky High mortgage and Interest rate • Treasury Bond Collapse
  • 32. BUT WHAT IF THEY RAISE THE DEBT CEILING
  • 33.
  • 35. Imports • Imports become dearer. • End up paying more money for same quantity of goods purchased. • Pace of economic growth rate slows down.
  • 36. Exports • Exports become cheaper. • Importer country ends up buying same amount of goods for a lesser price. • As a result of increase in exports, the trade deficit might decrease.
  • 37. INFLATION • As imports get dearer, inflation increases. • Prices of goods increases.
  • 38. INTEREST RATES • As a result of increase in inflation, the interest rates will go up. • Investor confidence will go down. • As a result the investment in the economy will go down.
  • 39.
  • 40. CAPITAL FLIGHT • Flow of funds or investments from develop to developing countries. • Increases unemployment in the country.
  • 41. CAPITAL FORMATION • Investments and capital formation are positively correlated. • As investments go down rate of capital formation goes down. • Hence government needs money to initiate investments and growth in the economy.