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Critical Thinking
(For UX Designers--or Anyone, Really)
#critthink




South by Southwest 2011
Russ Unger       |
Christina Wodtke | Zynga




                                        Image Source © Time Inc.
DTCT
Defining The Critical Thinking
Houses, Walls, Windows




                         Image Source © Time Inc.
Henry Ford




             “
             If I would have asked people what
             they wanted, they would have
             said “a faster horse.”



                                         Images Source © Time Inc.
The Limbic System




                Images Source http://home.comcast.net/~momtofive/SIDWEBPAGE2.htm
Brains Are Wired 2-Dimensionally




                              Image Source © icanhascheezburger.com
Limbic Also Controls the Orgasms




                               Image Source © http://www.meh.ro/
My Wife




          “
          Really? An orgasm slide?

          ﬔose people had better not think
          that’s me in the picture...


                                      Image Source Russ Unger
Dr. Steve Julius




             “
                   With a bit of training and through
                   some basic brain-stretching
                   exercises, we can be reflective.
                   We can slow down and find
                   alternative solutions.

                                                Image Source Steve’s Son Max
Let’s Try One
• Four Magic Seedlings
• Must be planted equal distances
  apart from each other
• Yes. You have to plant four of
  them to make the magic




                                    Image Source © Russ Unger
Show Your Work
            2’
                          Math Lesson:
            271
               2’
                            A2 + B2 = C2

2’                  2’        4+4=8
         284
      2.8



                         Square Root of 8
                          = 2.82842712
            2’
                                   Image Source © Russ Unger
Solved!




                 2’
          2’




                      2’
           2’         2’

                2’
                           Image Source © Russ Unger
DTCT
What It IS NOT:   What It IS:
 • Biased          • Self-directed
 • Partial         • Self-monitored
 • Uninformed      • Self-corrective
 • Prejudiced




                                       Image Source © Time Inc.
The Reality of It All
      An Example in Failure
The Cotton Bowl




“
  She focused so much on her business that she forgot
  to focus on her business.




                                                 Image Source My Cousin
The Reality of It All, Part 2
An Example in “Well, we’ll have to wait and see how this one plays out, but, hmm...”
News To Me




             Images Source © Time Inc.
Deja vu?




           Images Source © ﬔe Wachowski Brothers
Remember These?




“
 When the cassette recorder was invented, the
 music industry announced a moral panic over the
 fact that people could simply steal music from the
 radio, or copy it from each other.

 - John Lanchester
                             Images Source © http://www.flickr.com/photos/jacksonboyle/1506260962/sizes/l/in/photostream/
Remember These?




                  Images Source Wikipedia
Meet the First Digital Audio Player




                 1979
                              Images Source Kane Kramer http://www.kanekramer.com
Meet the First Digital Audio Player




                              Images Source Kane Kramer http://www.kanekramer.com
Meet the First Digital Audio Player




                              Images Source Kane Kramer http://www.kanekramer.com
The MP3 Player is an Application




                                   Images Source © http://flickriver.com
The New Books




                Free?
Back to the Newspapers...
Back to the Newspapers...
Christina Wodtke - Zynga
Business is from Mars, Design from Venus

Deductive/Inductive Reasoning                     Abductive Reasoning
“Traditional firms utilize and reward the use of   “Designers value highly a third type of logic:
two kinds of logic. ﬔe first, inductive, entails   abductive reasoning. Abductive reasoning, as
proving through observation that something        described by Darden professor Jeanne Liedtka,
actually works. ﬔe second, deductive, involves    embraces the logic of what might be.
proving -- through reasoning from principles --
that something must be.”                          ﬔis style of thinking is critical to the creative
                                                  process.”


     http://www.businessweek.com/innovate/content/aug2005/di20050803_823317.htm
Designers can make great leaps forward
But the business folks can be left behind

Critical thinking can be used to build a bridge between two types of thinking,
connecting the dots
Critical thinking can also help you with their ideas

How many have you thought about a client or a boss “ﬔat’s a
moronic idea”

Can you build a bridge to their goal?
Yes, and




               AND
7
Step Back

                                   Think

                                   Organize

                                   Proceed
    ﬔe Inner Game of Stress: Outsmart Life's Challenges and Fulfill Your Potential
    by W. Timothy Gallwey
8
Tools for Thinking

Clarification:
Do I understand what you are saying?

Understanding:
Do I understand your thinking

Context:
Do I understand the world we are acting in?

Evidence:
What tells me this is right?
For Clarification, try Active Listening

                     1. Repeat
                     2. Paraphrase
                     3. Extend
For Understanding, try Five Whys

My car will not start. (the problem)

   •Why? - ﬔe battery is dead. (first why)
   •Why? - ﬔe alternator is not functioning. (second why)
   •Why? - ﬔe alternator belt has broken. (third why)
   •Why? - ﬔe alternator belt was well beyond its useful service life and has never been replaced.
 (fourth why)
    •Why? - I have not been maintaining my car according to the recommended service schedule.
 (fih why, a root cause)
    •Why? - Replacement parts are not available because of the extreme age of my vehicle. (sixth
 why, optional footnote)
Context
A Little About Markets
One Word: Plastics
Why the one word?



                Opportunity
            Brand Completeness
            Blocking competition
               Raising money
                  Curiosity
Is it worth doing? Three reality checks

1. Size of Market
2. Type of market
3. Personality of market
REALITY CHECK #1: SIZE MATTERS
           TAM is not SAM
How Big Is The Opportunity?

                            Total Available Market (TAM)
                               • How many people would want/need
                               the product?
                               • How large is the market be
   Total Available Market      (in $’s) if they all bought?
           (TAM)               • How many units would that be?

                            How Do I Find Out?
                               • Industry Analysts – Gartner, Forrester
                               • Wall Street Analysts – Goldman,
                               Morgan
How Big Is My Slice?

                            Served Available Market (SAM)
                               • How many people need or can use
                               product?
                               • How many people have the money to
   Total Available Market      buy the product
      Served Available
       Market (SAM)
                               • How large would the market be (in
            (TAM)              $’s) if they all bought?
                               • Can you reach them?

                            How Do I Find Out?
                               • Talk to potential customers
Some Startups saw this.



              (SAM)

             Total Available Market
                     (TAM)
Return on Investment
All your CEO cares about …

     •Returns (measurable changes)
     •Increased sales
     •Reduced costs
     •Achieving the mission (for a non-profit)

     •Investments (cost of making change happen)
     •Keeping headcount low
     •Using resources more effectively
     •Only bringing in consultants if necessary
REALITY CHECK #2: DIFFERENT MARKETS HAVE
            DIFFERENT NEEDS
            What Business Will You Be In?
Three Types of Markets

          Existing Market     Resegmented Market        New Market


                              Who Cares?
                  Type of Market changes EVERYTHING
Sales, marketing and business development differ radically by market type
Existing
Competitor
Competing in an Existing Market

Faster/Better
Somewhere Else
The 9X Effect

     John Gourville, Eager Sellers and Stony Buyers (2006)
Resegmented
Gap’s new entry
Competing By Resegmenting

Niche = marketing/branding driven
Cheaper = low end
New Market?
Same Product, Different Markets




                New




    New          Existing   Resegmented
New Market

Cheaper/good enough can create a
new class of product/customer
Innovative/never existed before
Choose your idea wisely
                  From Guy Kawasaki, Art of the Start

                   stupid                         ﬔe holy grail
Your ability to
provide
unique
product or
service
                   bankrupt                            compete on price

                              Value to customer
REALITY CHECK #3: MARKETS ARE PEOPLE
Customer Development

  Steven Gary Blank, Four Steps to the Ephinany

    Customer    Customer     Customer    Company
    Discovery   Validation   Creation    Building
Potential Roadmap
What Would You Move?
                                                                  •    Collaboration space
                                                                  •   Speaker features/video
                                       • Reporting and advanced
Capability




                                         Admin
                                       • Community features
                                       • E(mail) to attendees
             Version 1.0
             • Un/Official events list
             • Network notifications
             • Basic Admin


                    Soon                        Later                        Much Later
                                                                                   39
Evidence


 Research: Ethnography, user diaries, etc

 Testing: paper prototyping, ghetto testing, etc

                       You’re good at this part!
Proceed Together
               ﬔe 3 Skills You Need to Succeed
                          Product




    Business                                     Tech
And Pray




   Idea    Execution   Timing   Dumb Luck
So, Now What?
User / Browser Role Play




                           Courtesy of Stephen Anderson
Wear A Different Hat




                      Courtesy of Stephen Anderson
Hold A Funeral For Your Product




                                  Images Source © Time Inc.
Thank You!

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Critical Thinking for UX Designers (Or Anyone, Really)

  • 1. Critical Thinking (For UX Designers--or Anyone, Really) #critthink South by Southwest 2011 Russ Unger | Christina Wodtke | Zynga Image Source © Time Inc.
  • 3. Houses, Walls, Windows Image Source © Time Inc.
  • 4. Henry Ford “ If I would have asked people what they wanted, they would have said “a faster horse.” Images Source © Time Inc.
  • 5. The Limbic System Images Source http://home.comcast.net/~momtofive/SIDWEBPAGE2.htm
  • 6. Brains Are Wired 2-Dimensionally Image Source © icanhascheezburger.com
  • 7. Limbic Also Controls the Orgasms Image Source © http://www.meh.ro/
  • 8. My Wife “ Really? An orgasm slide? ﬔose people had better not think that’s me in the picture... Image Source Russ Unger
  • 9. Dr. Steve Julius “ With a bit of training and through some basic brain-stretching exercises, we can be reflective. We can slow down and find alternative solutions. Image Source Steve’s Son Max
  • 10. Let’s Try One • Four Magic Seedlings • Must be planted equal distances apart from each other • Yes. You have to plant four of them to make the magic Image Source © Russ Unger
  • 11. Show Your Work 2’ Math Lesson: 271 2’ A2 + B2 = C2 2’ 2’ 4+4=8 284 2.8 Square Root of 8 = 2.82842712 2’ Image Source © Russ Unger
  • 12. Solved! 2’ 2’ 2’ 2’ 2’ 2’ Image Source © Russ Unger
  • 13. DTCT What It IS NOT: What It IS: • Biased • Self-directed • Partial • Self-monitored • Uninformed • Self-corrective • Prejudiced Image Source © Time Inc.
  • 14. The Reality of It All An Example in Failure
  • 15. The Cotton Bowl “ She focused so much on her business that she forgot to focus on her business. Image Source My Cousin
  • 16. The Reality of It All, Part 2 An Example in “Well, we’ll have to wait and see how this one plays out, but, hmm...”
  • 17. News To Me Images Source © Time Inc.
  • 18. Deja vu? Images Source © ﬔe Wachowski Brothers
  • 19. Remember These? “ When the cassette recorder was invented, the music industry announced a moral panic over the fact that people could simply steal music from the radio, or copy it from each other. - John Lanchester Images Source © http://www.flickr.com/photos/jacksonboyle/1506260962/sizes/l/in/photostream/
  • 20. Remember These? Images Source Wikipedia
  • 21. Meet the First Digital Audio Player 1979 Images Source Kane Kramer http://www.kanekramer.com
  • 22. Meet the First Digital Audio Player Images Source Kane Kramer http://www.kanekramer.com
  • 23. Meet the First Digital Audio Player Images Source Kane Kramer http://www.kanekramer.com
  • 24. The MP3 Player is an Application Images Source © http://flickriver.com
  • 25. The New Books Free?
  • 26. Back to the Newspapers...
  • 27. Back to the Newspapers...
  • 29. Business is from Mars, Design from Venus Deductive/Inductive Reasoning Abductive Reasoning “Traditional firms utilize and reward the use of “Designers value highly a third type of logic: two kinds of logic. ﬔe first, inductive, entails abductive reasoning. Abductive reasoning, as proving through observation that something described by Darden professor Jeanne Liedtka, actually works. ﬔe second, deductive, involves embraces the logic of what might be. proving -- through reasoning from principles -- that something must be.” ﬔis style of thinking is critical to the creative process.” http://www.businessweek.com/innovate/content/aug2005/di20050803_823317.htm
  • 30. Designers can make great leaps forward
  • 31. But the business folks can be left behind Critical thinking can be used to build a bridge between two types of thinking, connecting the dots
  • 32. Critical thinking can also help you with their ideas How many have you thought about a client or a boss “ﬔat’s a moronic idea” Can you build a bridge to their goal?
  • 33.
  • 34. Yes, and AND 7
  • 35. Step Back Think Organize Proceed ﬔe Inner Game of Stress: Outsmart Life's Challenges and Fulfill Your Potential by W. Timothy Gallwey 8
  • 36. Tools for Thinking Clarification: Do I understand what you are saying? Understanding: Do I understand your thinking Context: Do I understand the world we are acting in? Evidence: What tells me this is right?
  • 37. For Clarification, try Active Listening 1. Repeat 2. Paraphrase 3. Extend
  • 38. For Understanding, try Five Whys My car will not start. (the problem) •Why? - ﬔe battery is dead. (first why) •Why? - ﬔe alternator is not functioning. (second why) •Why? - ﬔe alternator belt has broken. (third why) •Why? - ﬔe alternator belt was well beyond its useful service life and has never been replaced. (fourth why) •Why? - I have not been maintaining my car according to the recommended service schedule. (fih why, a root cause) •Why? - Replacement parts are not available because of the extreme age of my vehicle. (sixth why, optional footnote)
  • 41. Why the one word? Opportunity Brand Completeness Blocking competition Raising money Curiosity
  • 42. Is it worth doing? Three reality checks 1. Size of Market 2. Type of market 3. Personality of market
  • 43. REALITY CHECK #1: SIZE MATTERS TAM is not SAM
  • 44. How Big Is The Opportunity? Total Available Market (TAM) • How many people would want/need the product? • How large is the market be Total Available Market (in $’s) if they all bought? (TAM) • How many units would that be? How Do I Find Out? • Industry Analysts – Gartner, Forrester • Wall Street Analysts – Goldman, Morgan
  • 45. How Big Is My Slice? Served Available Market (SAM) • How many people need or can use product? • How many people have the money to Total Available Market buy the product Served Available Market (SAM) • How large would the market be (in (TAM) $’s) if they all bought? • Can you reach them? How Do I Find Out? • Talk to potential customers
  • 46. Some Startups saw this. (SAM) Total Available Market (TAM)
  • 47. Return on Investment All your CEO cares about … •Returns (measurable changes) •Increased sales •Reduced costs •Achieving the mission (for a non-profit) •Investments (cost of making change happen) •Keeping headcount low •Using resources more effectively •Only bringing in consultants if necessary
  • 48. REALITY CHECK #2: DIFFERENT MARKETS HAVE DIFFERENT NEEDS What Business Will You Be In?
  • 49. Three Types of Markets Existing Market Resegmented Market New Market Who Cares? Type of Market changes EVERYTHING Sales, marketing and business development differ radically by market type
  • 52. Competing in an Existing Market Faster/Better Somewhere Else
  • 53. The 9X Effect John Gourville, Eager Sellers and Stony Buyers (2006)
  • 56. Competing By Resegmenting Niche = marketing/branding driven Cheaper = low end
  • 58. Same Product, Different Markets New New Existing Resegmented
  • 59. New Market Cheaper/good enough can create a new class of product/customer Innovative/never existed before
  • 60. Choose your idea wisely From Guy Kawasaki, Art of the Start stupid ﬔe holy grail Your ability to provide unique product or service bankrupt compete on price Value to customer
  • 61. REALITY CHECK #3: MARKETS ARE PEOPLE
  • 62. Customer Development Steven Gary Blank, Four Steps to the Ephinany Customer Customer Customer Company Discovery Validation Creation Building
  • 63. Potential Roadmap What Would You Move? • Collaboration space • Speaker features/video • Reporting and advanced Capability Admin • Community features • E(mail) to attendees Version 1.0 • Un/Official events list • Network notifications • Basic Admin Soon Later Much Later 39
  • 64. Evidence Research: Ethnography, user diaries, etc Testing: paper prototyping, ghetto testing, etc You’re good at this part!
  • 65. Proceed Together ﬔe 3 Skills You Need to Succeed Product Business Tech
  • 66. And Pray Idea Execution Timing Dumb Luck
  • 68. User / Browser Role Play Courtesy of Stephen Anderson
  • 69. Wear A Different Hat Courtesy of Stephen Anderson
  • 70. Hold A Funeral For Your Product Images Source © Time Inc.