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2009-2010 Budget

        The Perfect Storm……..

   Largest Enrollment Decline to Date…….

A Recession that Exceeded all Expectations……
February 2009 Enrollment

 FTE
Grade      High     Bayview   Middle   Interm.   Primary   WIA      Total
  K                                               45.00     2.00    47.00
  1                                               99.75     3.53    103.28
  2                                               90.00     5.98    95.98
  3                                    112.00     15.00     3.73    130.73
  4                                    102.00               5.38    107.38
  5                                    142.00              12.23    154.23
   6                          139.40                        9.42    148.82
   7                          124.00                        4.58    128.58
   8                          146.96                        5.32    152.28
   9       150.73                                           2.20    152.93
  10       152.52    11.75                                  7.36    171.63
  11       128.35    18.00                                  2.52    148.87
  12       157.94    42.00                                  3.28    203.22
Total      589.54    71.75    410.36   356.00    249.75    67.53   1744.93
2008-09 Enrollment by Month/Grade
 FTE
Grade       Sep        Oct      Nov       Dec        Jan       Feb     1 Mo. Chg
  K           48.00     48.00     48.00     47.50      47.50     47.00     (0.50)
  1           99.98     99.98    103.28    105.28     104.28    103.28     (1.00)
  2          103.18    103.18    102.18    100.18     100.18     95.98     (4.20)
  3          133.96    134.96    134.73    134.73     133.73    130.73     (3.00)
  4          105.40    106.40    105.40    105.40     106.38    107.38      1.00
  5          159.38    159.38    158.15    158.15     157.15    154.23     (2.92)
  6          147.66    148.66    148.26    149.26     150.26    148.82     (1.44)
  7          130.78    131.78    130.78    130.78     129.78    128.58     (1.20)
  8          150.28    153.48    154.48    154.28     156.28    152.28     (4.00)
  9          156.33    158.33    156.33    155.33     152.33    152.93      0.60
 10          173.28    173.60    173.58    173.60     170.60    171.63      1.03
 11          145.50    146.63    148.13    145.78     145.78    148.87      3.09
 12          211.82    211.68    209.10    208.10     206.72    203.22     (3.50)
Total       1765.55   1776.06   1772.40   1768.37   1760.97    1744.93    (16.04)
         
K‐5         650       652       652       651       649        639        (10.62)
 6‐8        429       434       434       434       436        430         (6.64)
9‐12        687       690       687       683       675        677          1.22
Enrollment History/Projections

                     Actual        Actual          Actual          Actual          Actual          Actual          Actual        Projected Projected
                   Enrollment    Enrollment      Enrollment      Enrollment      Enrollment      Enrollment      Enrollment      Enrollment Enrollment
    Grade           2001-02       2002-03         2003-04         2004-05         2005-06         2006-07         2007-08         2008-09    2009-10
      K                  54.96         60.90           61.72           47.44           60.65           44.02           48.72          48.21       44.65
       1                132.73        115.28          127.80          138.84          111.22          132.98           94.29         105.28      103.22
       2                145.30        139.29          121.11          136.47          151.64          118.91          136.93          97.17      108.99
       3                150.89        144.98          139.44          118.89          153.50          158.99          112.42         133.38       93.47
       4                167.22        156.44          151.87          145.89          123.69          148.54          160.89         103.79      127.79
       5                201.47        160.98          159.89          147.89          143.42          122.85          140.10         158.16      100.65
       6                156.98        207.62          161.89          159.89          145.22          143.43          126.02         148.83      158.46
       7                189.29        165.53          213.49          158.89          164.54          149.83          143.97         128.55      145.83
       8                185.98        194.57          179.00          219.35          155.31          170.76          150.21         152.97      131.66
       9                240.08        219.82          206.89          180.22          217.39          165.16          174.20         153.15      150.79
      10                209.27        233.91          213.70          202.24          173.76          220.02          160.31         169.71      149.46
      11                186.12        172.12          197.74          179.69          172.30          150.66          199.33         145.26      149.66
      12                137.10        168.36          168.48          174.92          160.40          167.88          160.29         206.02      146.70
                      2,157.39      2,139.80        2,103.02        2,010.62        1,933.04        1,894.03        1,807.68       1,750.49     1,611.33
     Total
                                       (17.59)         (36.78)         (92.40)         (77.58)         (39.01)         (86.35)        (57.19)    (139.16)
    FTE Chg

                                        -0.8%           -2.5%           -6.8%          -10.4%          -12.2%          -16.2%         -18.9%      -25.3%
% Chg vs 2001-02
Preliminary 2009-10 Enrollment Projections
   Budget Recommendation - 2009-10 (5 Yr Weighted PLUS)
         High     Bayview   Middle   Elementary   WIA      Total
Grade


 K          -         -        -        42.75      1.90      44.65
  1         -         -        -        99.70      3.52     103.22
  2         -         -        -       102.20      6.79     108.99
  3         -         -        -        90.84      2.63      93.47
  4         -         -        -       121.56      6.23     127.79
  5         -         -        -        92.88      7.78     100.65
  6         -         -     148.31                10.15     158.46
  7         -         -     140.52        -        5.31     145.83
  8         -         -     126.96        -        4.71     131.66
  9      148.55       -        -          -        2.24     150.79
 10      132.82     10.23      -          -        6.41     149.46
 11      129.03     18.10      -          -        2.53     149.66
 12      114.01     30.32      -          -        2.37     146.70
Total    524.41     58.65   415.78     549.91     62.57   1,611.33
139 Fewer Students in 2009‐10




Grades K‐5                     Grades 9‐12

 ‐67 fte                        ‐78 fte



                  Grades 6‐8

                    +6 fte
State Apportionment
   (Guaranteed Revenue)




  x Staffing Ratio =
   # Certificated Staff
   # Classified Staff
   # Administrators

   FUNDED
Under the latest forecast, state general fund revenue is
expected to have its steepest decline in over twenty years
State Budget Deficit
      Projections

April 2008                       $1.7 Billion
September 2008                   $3.2 Billion
November 2008                    $5.1 Billion
December 2008                    $6 Billion*
January 2009                     $7 Billion
February 2009                    $8.3 Billion
March 2009                       ?????

*Governor's budget proposal built on this projection
A First Look At The Impact of
                         the State Budget



• 100% Suspension of I-732 (COLA)                         Unknown at this time

• 100% Reduction in I-728 (est based on $8.3 B deficit)        ($854,090)

• 100% Reduction in Math/Science PD                            ($ 61,864)


Potential State Revenue Reduction                              ($915,954)
A First Look At The Impact On SWSD


Potential State Revenue Reduction            ($915,954)


Enrollment Decline (139 fte)                 ($770,000)


Potential Increased Costs (Payroll)           $191,020


Potential Change to SWSD Budget           ($1,876,974)
                                          ($1,876,974


        = an 11% Reduction of the General Fund Budget
Will the Federal Stimulus
         help us?
Federal Stimulus Package
                Questions and Answers
                K-20 February 24, 2009




                     Office of Superintendent of Public 
2/24/2009                                                  26
                                 Instruction
State Fiscal Stabilization


    Question: How much money is Washington State
    receiving?


    Answer: The preliminary estimate is $1 billion.
        81.8% is for education ($819.9 Million).
    This includes K-12 & Post Secondary education.




                         Office of Superintendent of Public 
2/24/2009                                                      27
                                     Instruction
State Fiscal Stabilization - Basic

    Question: What can basic stabilization funds be used for?


    Answer: Any activity authorized under ESEA (NCLB),
    IDEA, the Perkins Act, or modernization of public school
    facilities.


    •Very significant issue. If the Legislature replaces I-728
    with stabilization funding, and districts can only spend the
    resources on these federal programs, the use of funds will
    be very constricted.



                          Office of Superintendent of Public 
2/24/2009                                                          29
                                      Instruction
What does this mean?

Unless federal regulations (Supplanting &
 Maintenance of Effort) are changed….

Federal stimulus funds may have no effect on
 the General Fund budget deficit!
Federal Stimulus Funds


    South Whidbey is estimated to receive:


    $58,000 per year in Additional Title I funds


    $246,000 per year in Additional Special Education
    funds



                        Office of Superintendent of Public 
2/24/2009                                                     34
                                    Instruction
What can we do?
Cost Savings Options Available To
           School Districts?

Implement                               Implement Program
Operational                               Reductions Incl.
Efficiencies                           Salaries, Benefits, and
                                        Non-employee costs




                                         Raise additional
Spend Down
                                            Revenue
Fund Balance



               Increase Levy Funding
What can’t we do?
• Increase Local Levy Funds (24% Levy Lid)

• Use special levy funds (Technology/Capital Projects) for
  General Fund costs.

• Use the increase in Federal Special Education & Title I
  funds to supplant the General Fund budget deficit.

• Sell property to support the General Fund budget.
What are we doing?
                                    1. Draw down Fund Balance
                   $1,876,974
$2,000,000                          2. Reduce Teaching &
                                       Learning Funds
$1,8000,000

                                    3. Find ways to become more
$1,6000,000
                                       efficient
$1,4000,000           ???
                       ???
                                    4. Evaluate all Programs
$1,2000,000

                                    5. Reduce Employee Related
$1,000,000
                                       Costs
$800,000              ???
$600,000              ???
                     $200,000
$400,000
                                         Employee Costs
$200,000             $300,000            Program Review
                                         Efficiency
$0
                                         Teaching & Learning Reduction
                 Budget Reduction
                                         Fund Balance Reduction



                                                                         48
More To Come


House and Senate Budgets Released      March 2009

Conference Committee’s Reconcile      March-April

Last Day of Regular Session           April 26, 2009

Details on Federal Stimulus package      TBD
F-195 Budget Timeline
02/03/09   Budget Discussion: Process - Assumptions - Initial Enrollment Projections
           Seniority Lists Published (SWEA - PSE - SEIU)
03/01/09

03/03/09   Values/Priorities Discussion (Admin)
           Program Discussion (Admin)
03/17/09
March      2009-10 Budget Preview

           Admin. Budget Workshop - PRELIMINARY STAFFING REDUCTIONS
03/31/09
           SWEA - PSE - SEIU - Identification of RIF list
04/13/09
           Board Workshop - Budget Review #1 - Enrollment & Revenue Estimates
04/15/09
04/15/09   SWEA Contract Date - Initial Determiniation of non-renewal list to SWEA

04/22/09   I-728 Public Hearing - (Possibly)

05/15/09   Last day to notify SWEA members of non-renewal.
05/27/09   Board of Director's Meeting - Progress Report

06/01/09   RIF Notification - Classified Staff

           Board Workshop - Budget Review #2 - Expenditures
06/10/09
           Public Advertisement #1
06/20/09
           Board of Director's Mtg - Public Budget Draft Presentation #1
06/24/09
           Public Advertisement #2
06/27/09


07/08/09   Board Workshop - Public Budget Draft Presentation #2

07/10/09   **Budget submitted to ESD189 for review/available to public @ DO


07/22/09   Public Budget Hearing and Adoption

07/31/09   Final Budget Adoption Date per WAC 392-123-054

08/03/09   Final date to send ADOPTED budget to ESD per WAC 392-123-054
Questions
         and
  Budget Saving Ideas

dpoolman@sw.wednet.edu
   221-6100 ext 2244

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2009 Budget Preview

  • 1. 2009-2010 Budget The Perfect Storm…….. Largest Enrollment Decline to Date……. A Recession that Exceeded all Expectations……
  • 2. February 2009 Enrollment FTE Grade High Bayview Middle Interm. Primary WIA Total K 45.00 2.00 47.00 1 99.75 3.53 103.28 2 90.00 5.98 95.98 3 112.00 15.00 3.73 130.73 4 102.00 5.38 107.38 5 142.00 12.23 154.23 6 139.40 9.42 148.82 7 124.00 4.58 128.58 8 146.96 5.32 152.28 9 150.73 2.20 152.93 10 152.52 11.75 7.36 171.63 11 128.35 18.00 2.52 148.87 12 157.94 42.00 3.28 203.22 Total 589.54 71.75 410.36 356.00 249.75 67.53 1744.93
  • 3. 2008-09 Enrollment by Month/Grade FTE Grade Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb 1 Mo. Chg K 48.00 48.00 48.00 47.50 47.50 47.00 (0.50) 1 99.98 99.98 103.28 105.28 104.28 103.28 (1.00) 2 103.18 103.18 102.18 100.18 100.18 95.98 (4.20) 3 133.96 134.96 134.73 134.73 133.73 130.73 (3.00) 4 105.40 106.40 105.40 105.40 106.38 107.38 1.00 5 159.38 159.38 158.15 158.15 157.15 154.23 (2.92) 6 147.66 148.66 148.26 149.26 150.26 148.82 (1.44) 7 130.78 131.78 130.78 130.78 129.78 128.58 (1.20) 8 150.28 153.48 154.48 154.28 156.28 152.28 (4.00) 9 156.33 158.33 156.33 155.33 152.33 152.93 0.60 10 173.28 173.60 173.58 173.60 170.60 171.63 1.03 11 145.50 146.63 148.13 145.78 145.78 148.87 3.09 12 211.82 211.68 209.10 208.10 206.72 203.22 (3.50) Total 1765.55 1776.06 1772.40 1768.37 1760.97 1744.93 (16.04)   K‐5 650 652 652 651 649 639 (10.62) 6‐8 429 434 434 434 436 430 (6.64) 9‐12 687 690 687 683 675 677 1.22
  • 4. Enrollment History/Projections Actual Actual Actual Actual Actual Actual Actual Projected Projected Enrollment Enrollment Enrollment Enrollment Enrollment Enrollment Enrollment Enrollment Enrollment Grade 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 K 54.96 60.90 61.72 47.44 60.65 44.02 48.72 48.21 44.65 1 132.73 115.28 127.80 138.84 111.22 132.98 94.29 105.28 103.22 2 145.30 139.29 121.11 136.47 151.64 118.91 136.93 97.17 108.99 3 150.89 144.98 139.44 118.89 153.50 158.99 112.42 133.38 93.47 4 167.22 156.44 151.87 145.89 123.69 148.54 160.89 103.79 127.79 5 201.47 160.98 159.89 147.89 143.42 122.85 140.10 158.16 100.65 6 156.98 207.62 161.89 159.89 145.22 143.43 126.02 148.83 158.46 7 189.29 165.53 213.49 158.89 164.54 149.83 143.97 128.55 145.83 8 185.98 194.57 179.00 219.35 155.31 170.76 150.21 152.97 131.66 9 240.08 219.82 206.89 180.22 217.39 165.16 174.20 153.15 150.79 10 209.27 233.91 213.70 202.24 173.76 220.02 160.31 169.71 149.46 11 186.12 172.12 197.74 179.69 172.30 150.66 199.33 145.26 149.66 12 137.10 168.36 168.48 174.92 160.40 167.88 160.29 206.02 146.70 2,157.39 2,139.80 2,103.02 2,010.62 1,933.04 1,894.03 1,807.68 1,750.49 1,611.33 Total (17.59) (36.78) (92.40) (77.58) (39.01) (86.35) (57.19) (139.16) FTE Chg -0.8% -2.5% -6.8% -10.4% -12.2% -16.2% -18.9% -25.3% % Chg vs 2001-02
  • 5. Preliminary 2009-10 Enrollment Projections Budget Recommendation - 2009-10 (5 Yr Weighted PLUS) High Bayview Middle Elementary WIA Total Grade K - - - 42.75 1.90 44.65 1 - - - 99.70 3.52 103.22 2 - - - 102.20 6.79 108.99 3 - - - 90.84 2.63 93.47 4 - - - 121.56 6.23 127.79 5 - - - 92.88 7.78 100.65 6 - - 148.31 10.15 158.46 7 - - 140.52 - 5.31 145.83 8 - - 126.96 - 4.71 131.66 9 148.55 - - - 2.24 150.79 10 132.82 10.23 - - 6.41 149.46 11 129.03 18.10 - - 2.53 149.66 12 114.01 30.32 - - 2.37 146.70 Total 524.41 58.65 415.78 549.91 62.57 1,611.33
  • 6. 139 Fewer Students in 2009‐10 Grades K‐5 Grades 9‐12 ‐67 fte ‐78 fte Grades 6‐8 +6 fte
  • 7. State Apportionment (Guaranteed Revenue) x Staffing Ratio = # Certificated Staff # Classified Staff # Administrators FUNDED
  • 8. Under the latest forecast, state general fund revenue is expected to have its steepest decline in over twenty years
  • 9. State Budget Deficit Projections April 2008 $1.7 Billion September 2008 $3.2 Billion November 2008 $5.1 Billion December 2008 $6 Billion* January 2009 $7 Billion February 2009 $8.3 Billion March 2009 ????? *Governor's budget proposal built on this projection
  • 10. A First Look At The Impact of the State Budget • 100% Suspension of I-732 (COLA) Unknown at this time • 100% Reduction in I-728 (est based on $8.3 B deficit) ($854,090) • 100% Reduction in Math/Science PD ($ 61,864) Potential State Revenue Reduction ($915,954)
  • 11. A First Look At The Impact On SWSD Potential State Revenue Reduction ($915,954) Enrollment Decline (139 fte) ($770,000) Potential Increased Costs (Payroll) $191,020 Potential Change to SWSD Budget ($1,876,974) ($1,876,974 = an 11% Reduction of the General Fund Budget
  • 12. Will the Federal Stimulus help us?
  • 13. Federal Stimulus Package Questions and Answers K-20 February 24, 2009 Office of Superintendent of Public  2/24/2009 26 Instruction
  • 14. State Fiscal Stabilization Question: How much money is Washington State receiving? Answer: The preliminary estimate is $1 billion. 81.8% is for education ($819.9 Million). This includes K-12 & Post Secondary education. Office of Superintendent of Public  2/24/2009 27 Instruction
  • 15. State Fiscal Stabilization - Basic Question: What can basic stabilization funds be used for? Answer: Any activity authorized under ESEA (NCLB), IDEA, the Perkins Act, or modernization of public school facilities. •Very significant issue. If the Legislature replaces I-728 with stabilization funding, and districts can only spend the resources on these federal programs, the use of funds will be very constricted. Office of Superintendent of Public  2/24/2009 29 Instruction
  • 16. What does this mean? Unless federal regulations (Supplanting & Maintenance of Effort) are changed…. Federal stimulus funds may have no effect on the General Fund budget deficit!
  • 17. Federal Stimulus Funds South Whidbey is estimated to receive: $58,000 per year in Additional Title I funds $246,000 per year in Additional Special Education funds Office of Superintendent of Public  2/24/2009 34 Instruction
  • 18. What can we do?
  • 19. Cost Savings Options Available To School Districts? Implement Implement Program Operational Reductions Incl. Efficiencies Salaries, Benefits, and Non-employee costs Raise additional Spend Down Revenue Fund Balance Increase Levy Funding
  • 20. What can’t we do? • Increase Local Levy Funds (24% Levy Lid) • Use special levy funds (Technology/Capital Projects) for General Fund costs. • Use the increase in Federal Special Education & Title I funds to supplant the General Fund budget deficit. • Sell property to support the General Fund budget.
  • 21. What are we doing? 1. Draw down Fund Balance $1,876,974 $2,000,000 2. Reduce Teaching & Learning Funds $1,8000,000 3. Find ways to become more $1,6000,000 efficient $1,4000,000 ??? ??? 4. Evaluate all Programs $1,2000,000 5. Reduce Employee Related $1,000,000 Costs $800,000 ??? $600,000 ??? $200,000 $400,000 Employee Costs $200,000 $300,000 Program Review Efficiency $0 Teaching & Learning Reduction Budget Reduction Fund Balance Reduction 48
  • 22. More To Come House and Senate Budgets Released March 2009 Conference Committee’s Reconcile March-April Last Day of Regular Session April 26, 2009 Details on Federal Stimulus package TBD
  • 23. F-195 Budget Timeline 02/03/09 Budget Discussion: Process - Assumptions - Initial Enrollment Projections Seniority Lists Published (SWEA - PSE - SEIU) 03/01/09 03/03/09 Values/Priorities Discussion (Admin) Program Discussion (Admin) 03/17/09 March 2009-10 Budget Preview Admin. Budget Workshop - PRELIMINARY STAFFING REDUCTIONS 03/31/09 SWEA - PSE - SEIU - Identification of RIF list 04/13/09 Board Workshop - Budget Review #1 - Enrollment & Revenue Estimates 04/15/09 04/15/09 SWEA Contract Date - Initial Determiniation of non-renewal list to SWEA 04/22/09 I-728 Public Hearing - (Possibly) 05/15/09 Last day to notify SWEA members of non-renewal. 05/27/09 Board of Director's Meeting - Progress Report 06/01/09 RIF Notification - Classified Staff Board Workshop - Budget Review #2 - Expenditures 06/10/09 Public Advertisement #1 06/20/09 Board of Director's Mtg - Public Budget Draft Presentation #1 06/24/09 Public Advertisement #2 06/27/09 07/08/09 Board Workshop - Public Budget Draft Presentation #2 07/10/09 **Budget submitted to ESD189 for review/available to public @ DO 07/22/09 Public Budget Hearing and Adoption 07/31/09 Final Budget Adoption Date per WAC 392-123-054 08/03/09 Final date to send ADOPTED budget to ESD per WAC 392-123-054
  • 24. Questions and Budget Saving Ideas dpoolman@sw.wednet.edu 221-6100 ext 2244