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Rural Trends and
   Transportation Issues




                                                                           NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATIONS
             Shawn Seager
Mountainland Association of Governments
 NADO’s National RPO Council of Peers


                with support from the Federal Highway Administration   1
About NADO
 National association for 540 regional
  development organizations

 Promote public policies that strengthen




                                                NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATIONS
  local governments, communities and
  economies through the regional
  strategies
 Office in Washington DC, Joe McKinney,
  Executive Director
                                            2
Regional Development
Organizations
 Formed by state statute or executive order
 Often called: Council of Governments,
  Regional Planning Commission, Economic
  Development District, COG




                                                   NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATIONS
 Participate/administer many state and
  federal programs
     • Economic Development
     • Regional Planning
     • Human Services

                                               3
NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATIONS
                                            4
NADO’s Rural Planning Organization
RPO America Division
  Serves as the national professional association
   for rural and small metro transportation
   planners

  National Rural Transportation Peer Learning




                                                         NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATIONS
   Conference April 24-26, 2013 in Greenville, SC

  www.RuralTransportation.org
   Rural Transportation Newsletter
   www.Facebook.com/RPOAmerica
   Twitter @RPOAmerica

                                                     5
2010 U.S. Population 309M
Urban population: 249 Million (81%), Rural population: 59 Million (19%)




                                                                              A CHANGING RURAL
                                                                              AMERICA
                                                                          6
What’s Changing in Rural
            America?




                                              T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y
1. Less population as a % but more absolute pop.
2. Older and Diverse
3. Poverty and health care issues




                                             7
A CHANGING RURAL   AMERICA
                                             8
Rural U.S. Population
Rural U.S. Population Change




                                                                             A CHANGING RURAL
 Actual number of people living in rural areas has increased
  although % has decreased:
     1970: 53 Million
     2010: 59.5 Million

   Overall, rural areas lose ground to urban areas over time
       Metro areas higher growth rate
       Some fast-growing non-metro areas have been reclassified as
        metro
       Some fast-growing non-metro areas have been absorbed into




                                                                             AMERICA
        adjacent metro areas
       Lower immigration
       Less “natural increase” of births
       Rural growth occurred in recreation, retirement, amenity areas


                                                        – Source: USDA
                                                                         9
Rural U.S. Population: 1950-Now




                                                                A CHANGING RURAL
100
                                               Rural
 90
 80
 70                                                Urban
 60
 50
 40                                        Rural
                                           Urban
 30




                                                                AMERICA
 20
 10
  0
      1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

                                                           10
Population Change, 2000 – 2010




                                           A CHANGING RURAL
                                           AMERICA
                       Source: USDA   11
A CHANGING RURAL   AMERICA
                             12
Aging Population 2010




                             A CHANGING RURAL
                             AMERICA
                        13
Future Growth of Older Adults




                                                  A CHANGING RURAL
                                                  AMERICA
                                             14
                      Source: Global Aging
A CHANGING RURAL   AMERICA
                                                    15
                             Source: Daily Yonder
A CHANGING RURAL   AMERICA
                                                    16
                             Source: Daily Yonder
A CHANGING RURAL
2040 Minority Majority
(Minority > 50% Whites)




                               AMERICA
                          17
Rural Diversity




                                                                  A CHANGING RURAL
• Diversity accelerated in rural America
   – Racial and ethnic minorities account for 83% of rural
     population growth between 2000 and 2010.


• Children are in the vanguard of the increasing
  racial and ethnic diversity of rural America in the
  twenty-first century.




                                                                  AMERICA
• Source: Carsey Institute

                                                             18
Outmigration




                                   A CHANGING RURAL
                                   AMERICA
                              19
               Source: USDA
Rural Poverty




                                                                A CHANGING RURAL
• Highest poverty rates are in the most rural places

• 2006 Receiving food assistance:
   – 10.3% rural
   – 7.3% urban


• 2006 Children receive free school lunch:




                                                                AMERICA
   – 31% rural
   – 25% urban

                                Source: Carsey Institute
                                                           20
Rural Access to Health Care




                                                            A CHANGING RURAL
• Metros have four times as many physicians as do
  rural areas (per 100,000 residents)

• Metro areas have sixth times as many specialists
  as do rural counties (per 100,000 residents)




                                                            AMERICA
                                              Carsey




                                                       21
So now what do we do?
        New Opportunities




                                              T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y
1. Use existing Census data to know you region
2. Visualize these populations in you community
3. Strategize with your regional planners




                                             22
2010 Census Data Partners




                                            T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y
• For data and analysis specific to your
  region, contact your:
  – Regional planning entity
  – Regional planning commission
  – Council of governments
  – Development district
  – Universities
  – Census Bureau State Office

                                           23
Minority and Disabled Visualization




                                       T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y
                                      24
MAP-21 Planning




                                             T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y
 No changes in designation of MPOs

 Statewide planning is now Statewide and
  Non-metro

 Regional Transportation Planning
  Organizations are defined


                                            25
MAP-21 Planning




                                                      T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y
 RTPOs’ existence is optional, but where they
  exist, they:

   Must have a policy committee of majority local
    officials

   Must have a “parent” organization that will
    serve as administrative and fiscal agent and
    provide planning staff
                                                     26
T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y
                                        27
Typical RTPO Tasks




                                                 T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y
•   Long-range multimodal plan
•   Regional TIP (not fiscally constrained)
•   Technical Assistance to Local Governments
•   Public Participation




                                                28
Role in Statewide Planning




                                                       T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y
• Optional designation, but where RTPOs
  exist, states must:
  – “Cooperate” on long-range plan development
  – “Consult” on Interstate, Bridge, NHS, 5310,
    5311 projects in STIP
  – “Cooperate” on other projects in STIP for areas
    with a population under 50,000
  – “Consult” on Strategic Highway Safety Plan


                                                      29
Additional Resources




                               T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y
www.NADO.org
www.RuralTransportation.org

Carrie Kissel
ckissel@nado.org
202.624.8829

Shawn Seager
sseager@mountainland.org
801.229.3837

                              30

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Rural Trends and Transportation Issues

  • 1. Rural Trends and Transportation Issues NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATIONS Shawn Seager Mountainland Association of Governments NADO’s National RPO Council of Peers with support from the Federal Highway Administration 1
  • 2. About NADO  National association for 540 regional development organizations  Promote public policies that strengthen NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATIONS local governments, communities and economies through the regional strategies  Office in Washington DC, Joe McKinney, Executive Director 2
  • 3. Regional Development Organizations  Formed by state statute or executive order  Often called: Council of Governments, Regional Planning Commission, Economic Development District, COG NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATIONS  Participate/administer many state and federal programs • Economic Development • Regional Planning • Human Services 3
  • 4. NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATIONS 4
  • 5. NADO’s Rural Planning Organization RPO America Division  Serves as the national professional association for rural and small metro transportation planners  National Rural Transportation Peer Learning NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATIONS Conference April 24-26, 2013 in Greenville, SC  www.RuralTransportation.org Rural Transportation Newsletter www.Facebook.com/RPOAmerica Twitter @RPOAmerica 5
  • 6. 2010 U.S. Population 309M Urban population: 249 Million (81%), Rural population: 59 Million (19%) A CHANGING RURAL AMERICA 6
  • 7. What’s Changing in Rural America? T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y 1. Less population as a % but more absolute pop. 2. Older and Diverse 3. Poverty and health care issues 7
  • 8. A CHANGING RURAL AMERICA 8 Rural U.S. Population
  • 9. Rural U.S. Population Change A CHANGING RURAL  Actual number of people living in rural areas has increased although % has decreased:  1970: 53 Million  2010: 59.5 Million  Overall, rural areas lose ground to urban areas over time  Metro areas higher growth rate  Some fast-growing non-metro areas have been reclassified as metro  Some fast-growing non-metro areas have been absorbed into AMERICA adjacent metro areas  Lower immigration  Less “natural increase” of births  Rural growth occurred in recreation, retirement, amenity areas – Source: USDA 9
  • 10. Rural U.S. Population: 1950-Now A CHANGING RURAL 100 Rural 90 80 70 Urban 60 50 40 Rural Urban 30 AMERICA 20 10 0 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 10
  • 11. Population Change, 2000 – 2010 A CHANGING RURAL AMERICA Source: USDA 11
  • 12. A CHANGING RURAL AMERICA 12
  • 13. Aging Population 2010 A CHANGING RURAL AMERICA 13
  • 14. Future Growth of Older Adults A CHANGING RURAL AMERICA 14 Source: Global Aging
  • 15. A CHANGING RURAL AMERICA 15 Source: Daily Yonder
  • 16. A CHANGING RURAL AMERICA 16 Source: Daily Yonder
  • 17. A CHANGING RURAL 2040 Minority Majority (Minority > 50% Whites) AMERICA 17
  • 18. Rural Diversity A CHANGING RURAL • Diversity accelerated in rural America – Racial and ethnic minorities account for 83% of rural population growth between 2000 and 2010. • Children are in the vanguard of the increasing racial and ethnic diversity of rural America in the twenty-first century. AMERICA • Source: Carsey Institute 18
  • 19. Outmigration A CHANGING RURAL AMERICA 19 Source: USDA
  • 20. Rural Poverty A CHANGING RURAL • Highest poverty rates are in the most rural places • 2006 Receiving food assistance: – 10.3% rural – 7.3% urban • 2006 Children receive free school lunch: AMERICA – 31% rural – 25% urban Source: Carsey Institute 20
  • 21. Rural Access to Health Care A CHANGING RURAL • Metros have four times as many physicians as do rural areas (per 100,000 residents) • Metro areas have sixth times as many specialists as do rural counties (per 100,000 residents) AMERICA Carsey 21
  • 22. So now what do we do? New Opportunities T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y 1. Use existing Census data to know you region 2. Visualize these populations in you community 3. Strategize with your regional planners 22
  • 23. 2010 Census Data Partners T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y • For data and analysis specific to your region, contact your: – Regional planning entity – Regional planning commission – Council of governments – Development district – Universities – Census Bureau State Office 23
  • 24. Minority and Disabled Visualization T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y 24
  • 25. MAP-21 Planning T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y  No changes in designation of MPOs  Statewide planning is now Statewide and Non-metro  Regional Transportation Planning Organizations are defined 25
  • 26. MAP-21 Planning T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y  RTPOs’ existence is optional, but where they exist, they:  Must have a policy committee of majority local officials  Must have a “parent” organization that will serve as administrative and fiscal agent and provide planning staff 26
  • 27. T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y 27
  • 28. Typical RTPO Tasks T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y • Long-range multimodal plan • Regional TIP (not fiscally constrained) • Technical Assistance to Local Governments • Public Participation 28
  • 29. Role in Statewide Planning T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y • Optional designation, but where RTPOs exist, states must: – “Cooperate” on long-range plan development – “Consult” on Interstate, Bridge, NHS, 5310, 5311 projects in STIP – “Cooperate” on other projects in STIP for areas with a population under 50,000 – “Consult” on Strategic Highway Safety Plan 29
  • 30. Additional Resources T R A N S P O R TAT I O N P O L I C Y www.NADO.org www.RuralTransportation.org Carrie Kissel ckissel@nado.org 202.624.8829 Shawn Seager sseager@mountainland.org 801.229.3837 30