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Brand Marketing Plan




By:
Team Brand Evolution
Rajeev Kalavar: rajeev_kalavar@mba.berkeley.edu
Susan Song: susan_song@mba.berkeley.edu

Date:
12/7/2009
Executive Summary


         The US auto insurance industry is highly commoditized with slow organic growth.

Brand awareness is critical, and GEICO has out-spent its competitors in advertising dollars.

However, competitors are catching up and we recommend GEICO increase its marketing budget

by 6.26% and allocate $882MM towards 2010.

         GEICO’s message is focused on superiority in price and ease of use. We recommend

additional focus on customer service and financial strength, which resonates well in the current

recessionary environment. GEICO needs to search for new target segments and cross-sell to

continue its growth. It should also increase its customer touch points by partnering with car

dealerships. To improve advertising efficiency, GEICO needs to ensure its media channels are in

sync when launching a new campaign. GEICO has done well in creating an emotional bond and

built strong brand assets. We recommend leveraging these specifically within the social network

media.

         Finally, we suggest executing a sustainable competitive pricing point lower than its

competitors till end of FY '10. With heightened focus on cost-savings, this is a great opportunity

for GEICO to accelerate customer acquisition and target the #2 position in the industry.


Business Trends
Economic

         The current recessionary environment has negatively impacted the auto insurance

industry. Insurance agencies charge most policyholders a monthly premium, which is then

invested until it is needed to pay out claims. With the stock exchange indexes in free-fall, most

companies have lost capital value of their investments. The last two years have also seen a big

                                                                                                    2
increase in weather-damage claims. Together with loss of investment income and unexpected

rise in claims, an industry with $5.8B in profits has had a net loss in 2008.


Social

         The recession has changed consumer behavior which hurts the auto insurance industry.

Policyholders are either increasing their deductibles to lower monthly premiums, or opting for no

coverage1. To save money and maintain margins, some insurance companies have been forced

to increase premiums on existing policyholders2, leading to higher than expected turnover. This

has fueled distrust among consumers towards their auto insurance companies and consumers

have become extremely price sensitive. Consumers are now searching for quotes online and

comparing rates. In addition, customers are avoiding small insurance companies in fear of

insolvency.



Industry Trends

Current business situation

         The US auto insurance industry is a multi-billion market where a one-percent shift in

market share amounts to a $1.6 billion dollar shift in premiums3. Major auto insurance

companies understand that customer satisfaction is the key to attract and retain customers –

including customer value: interaction, policy offerings, billing and payment, price and claims.


1
 Studies by the Insurance Research Council says approximately 17% of drivers across the United States may be
driving without insurance by 2010.
2
  “U.S. annual auto insurance premiums averaged $1,674 in September 2009” at
http://www.carinsurance.com/Average-Premiums.aspx
3
  “2008 National Auto Insurance Study”, JDPower.com, at http://www.jdpower.com/insurance/articles/2008-
national-auto-insurance-study


                                                                                                               3
The US auto insurance industry is fairly mature. In a span of a decade and a half, rate of

growth of the US auto insurance industry has been 4.5 percent4. With low growth rates,

capturing market share is essential for auto insurance companies.

        Major challenges currently facing US auto insurance industry include: 1) extremely high

expenses from over treating legitimate injuries and soft tissue injuries and 2) fraudulent claims,

both leading to high insurance premiums.


Trends versus Previous Periods

        According to a study from ComScore, approximately 32 million online quotes were

submitted and a record 2.4 million policies were purchased online in 20085. This is an increase

of 7 percent, indicating the increasing importance of the Internet as a transactional medium.

Consumers are becoming price sensitive, shopping for insurance and reconsidering coverage.

The online channel provides quick and easy access for comparison-shopping and fulfillment of

policy purchases.


Forecast of future trends


        With limited new customer segments, the industry is facing substantial challenge of slow

organic growth with companies vying for market share gains. Advertising remains a top priority

to stay relevant in the minds of consumers as they comparison shop. The industry will




4
  “US Auto Insurance”, EconomyWatch, at http://www.economywatch.com/world-industries/automobile/us-auto-
insurance.html
5
 Andrea Vollman, “Press Release-U.S. Auto Insurance Policies Purchased Online Up 7 Percent in 2008 Versus Year
Ago Despite Soft Consumer Demand”, conScore, posted 4/2/2009 at
http://www.comscore.com/Press_Events/Press_Releases/2009/4/Auto_Insurance_Policies_Purchased_Online_Up
_7_Percen


                                                                                                             4
consolidate through mergers once the economy recovers to achieve economies of scale and

scope.6



Competitive Environment

          GEICO markets its policies primarily through direct response methods. GEICO competes

for private passenger auto insurance customers with other companies that sell directly to the

customer as well as with companies that use a traditional agency sales force; from well-

established auto insurance companies to reinsurers serving the auto industry. GEICO's major

competitors include State Farm, Allstate, Progressive, and Nationwide.




             Exhibit 1 lists the top 10 companies in the Auto Insurance Industry. See complete list in appendix




          Exhibit 1 shows the top 10 auto insurance companies by market share7. As of last year,

State Farm owned 18.3% of the market, followed by Allstate with 10.7%, GEICO with 7.6% and



6
 Greg Horn, “Peering into the Future”, Automotive Body Repair News, Vol. 48 Issue 11, p100-102, published on
11/2009.

                                                                                                                  5
Progressive with 7.1%. The market is highly competitive and with little product differentiation,

extremely fragmented.

        GEICO is also competing to overcome the negative perception consumers have against

insurance companies, who they consider untrustworthy. As a commoditized industry, insurance

companies are perceived as 'boring', and establishing emotional relevance is a key challenge.



Major Competitors and Likely Movement

        State Farm, Allstate and Nationwide primarily market and sell their car-insurance policies

through agents. State Farm and Allstate have around 17,000 and 13,000 'captive' agents8,

respectively. Progressive also uses independent agents who sell policies for many different

companies. Progressive of late has also ramped up its direct channel and is a significant threat to

GEICO’s presence online.

        GEICO’s competitive advantage is derived from its low cost operations, which are made

possible by the direct sales business model. By selling products over the phone and online,

significant efficiencies can be captured. Using the Internet to search for and purchase insurance

is getting more common. The ongoing recession has accelerated this adoption, as price has

become an important aspect for consumers. Progressive and GEICO have stood to gain most

from this, as is evident from the Exhibit 2, highlighting GEICO and Progressive's Value Line

Report9.




7
  “Top 25 Insurance Companies-Total Private Passenger Auto”, National Association of Insurance Commissioners,
at http://naic.org/documents/research_premium_by_LOB.pdf
8
  “Different business models for auto insurers”, AAA Auto Insurance at
www.aaaautoinsurance.net/5303_different_business_models_for_auto_insurers.shtml
9
  “GEICO Vs Progressive: Selected 10 year Metrics”, Seeking Alpha at http://seekingalpha.com/article/144346-
geico-vs-progressive-selected-10-year-metrics

                                                                                                                6
Exhibit 2 GEICO and Progressive's Value Line Report as of 2009



        GEICO’s compounded annual growth rate in premiums earned over the ten-year period

was 10.1% while Progressive grew at a 9.1% rate. Over the past two years in particular, we can

conclusively see the benefits of GEICO’s low cost model. Despite having higher underwriting

loss ratios in both years as well as lower levels of premiums earned, GEICO ended up with

higher profits due to significantly lower underwriting expenses.


Audit of Threats to Existing Brand Franchise

        To reduce their high operating cost structure, we expect Farmer's, Allstate and

Nationwide to incorporate a direct model over time. While this is not an easy proposition10, this

is a potential threat.

        As a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway, GEICO has historically out-spent most of its

competitors to build awareness. This has been an effective strategy. However, most of the

competitors have increased their budgets as well; Farmers from $50MM in 2003 to almost




10
  First, it is a paradigm shift in their business model, which has been operating with captive agents since their
inception; State Farm was incorporated in 1922, AllState in 1931. Second, if they go direct, they will have an army
of jobless insurance agents, which can potentially lead to a backlash

                                                                                                                      7
$200MM in 2008, and Progressive by 160% since 2003 to almost $459MM11. But the more

insurers advertise, the more difficult it is for anyone to stand out. In a commoditized market, this

can negatively impact GEICO's ability to stay relevant.




                              Exhibit 3 GEICO's Strategic Leverage Triangulation




Recommended Brand Marketing Plan

        GEICO’s business strategy is to be a low-cost insurer by striving to provide excellent
service to customers, with the goal of establishing long-term customer relationship.


Overall Marketing Strategy

       The key to growth is acquiring new market share, and that is GEICO’s focus. It’s primary

target audience is adults 25-49 with HHI $30,000+ 12. It skews younger, is tech-savvy and likely

11
  “GEICO envy drives Farmer’s review”, Adweek Aug 13, 2008 at
http://www.adweek.com/aw/content_display/news/account-activity/e3i55fbb1a3b41a2bcd5e4e5711c3015293

                                                                                                     8
to accept the direct approach to auto insurance. They enjoy and understand GEICO's witty yet

self-deprecating meta-marketing. Their purchase decisions are driven by the desire for quality,

simplicity of purchase, stress-free encounters and accessibility. The creative strategy reinforces

GEICO's position as a leader at the forefront of technology while delivering the wit and charm

consumers expect from GEICO.

     From the conception of gecko the green lizard in 2000 to the more recent googly-eye money

stack campaign, GEICO's marketing campaigns have been extremely successful in capturing

audience' attention and increasing its brand awareness as the go-to company for car insurance. In

addition to being witty, each of GEICO’s campaigns delivers an important message and

frequently addresses consumers’ pain points:

     •   Gecko the green lizard – tackling the “low involvement” faced by insurance industry and

         creating a relatable image for the company brand name.

     •   Caveman – “It is so easy even a caveman can do it” – tackling the perception that

         shopping for insurance policy is a daunting affair.

     •   Googly-eye money stack – “15 minutes could save you 15%” – tackling consumers’

         desire to save on cost.

     For GEICO’s next campaign, we recommend GEICO focuses on addressing other major

customer concerns: customer service and a company’s financial strength. Since the economy

downturn, financial strength of the company has been a factor that consumers look for when

evaluating their choices. With a strong financial health and an icon like Warren Buffet, GEICO

can position itself as the best overall value player in the market.



12
  “DMA International Award Winner: GEICO”, Direct DMEF Works, at
http://www.directworks.org/Corporate/Default.aspx?id=1096


                                                                                                     9
Recommended Marketing Strategies

          a. Target Customers

                         i. Quantitative Audit


          Exhibit 4 highlights the key factors for consumers that drive their insurance company

decision. A survey taken indicates Price and customer service are top of the list, followed by

trustworthiness and ease of purchase. Interestingly, 3% quoted financial solvency as a deciding

factor.


                      #1 factor for selecting auto insurance
                        Product flexibility Financial solvency
                              5%                   3%


                                                                  Price (premium)
                             Trustworthiness
                                                                         33%
                                  23%


                                  Ease of Use
                                                           Customer Service
                                  (purchase)
                                                            (claim handling)
                                     15%
                                                                  21%




                          Exhibit 44 Survey: #1 factor for selecting auto insurance company



          In the same survey, on the question of who offered the best customer service, 36% quoted

Progressive, 26% quoted Allstate, with GEICO and Farmers at 19% each. See Exhibit 5.




                                                                                                  10
Insurance company with best customer
                                service
                            Nationwide
                               12%

                                Farmers                           Progressive
                                  15%                                36%


                              Geico
                              15%
                                                       Allstate
                                                        22%




                      Exhibit 5 Survey: Insurance company with the best customer service




       Finally, on the question of whether they would switch if another insurance company

satisfied the key attribute they valued, 77% responded as definitely, likely or maybe. This is

significant, since it highlights the commoditization of the industry, and places great value on

establishing an emotional connection in addition to perceived differentiation among the key

drivers for consumers.




                                                                                                  11
% Switchers if key driver is satisfied


                                   Would not switch        Would switch
                                        16%                immediately
                                                              23%
                      May switch
                        21%


                                                                    Likely to switch
                                                                          40%




                             Exhibit 6 Survey: % switchers if key driver is satisfied



                       ii. Segmenting Affinity Groups

       The key target segment for most insurance companies is the preferred-risk higher income

demographic. There is a high statistical correlation between higher income individuals and safe

drivers. GEICO's research has indicated college educated first time car buyers may also be a

low-risk option, a viable segment. On a psychographic scale, GEICO also serves the motorcycle,

RV, ATV and boat insurance market, where their target segment includes individuals who love

sports, are adventurous, and enjoy outdoor activities. Finally, one can identify 4 key behavioral

segments - consumers who value price, customer service, ease of use and product flexibility. In

the survey, these attributes had almost equal distributions, indicating each of these attributes is an

important segment.

       b. Brand Platform

                        i. Positioning



                                                                                                   12
To achieve its overall marketing strategy, GEICO's offerings must be aligned to its target

segments, whose needs are categorized in Exhibit 7 below:


Customer Wants         Mindset                                    Positioning
Lowest Premium         • Want to pay the lowest premium. Price    • Saves money
                       drives everything                          • Flexible product options
                       • Willing to compromise on coverage or     • Best in class for the price
                       deductibles                                • Great discounts
Great customer service • Simplicity of purchase                   • Intuitive - extremely easy to buy
                       • Quick resolution to issue                • Best in class customer service
                       • Anytime access to service agent          • Quickest resolution to claims
                                                                  • Always there - 24/7 service
Flexible product                                                  • The most flexible product options
                       • Cares about coverage details             • You're in control - pay only for what
                       • Cares about customizing coverage         you need
                                                                  • Extremely easy to customize
Complete coverage      • Wants coverage for auto, other vehicles, • One-stop shop - complete coverage
                       home, etc.                                 for all your needs
                       • Wants minimal effort to get coverage.    • Extremely easy to add more
                       Prefers to deal with one company           coverage
                       • Hates to shop around                     • Financially strong, a brand you can
                       • Peace of mind                            trust

                                  Exhibit 7 Target Segments Categories




                                                                                               13
Exhibit 8 Brand Positioning Proposition



                      ii. Strategic Personality

       The insurance industry is perceived to be “old and boring” and untrustworthy. GEICO is

looking to reverse that perception through its ever-present Gecko Salesman mascot, which

projects a youthful persona that's intriguing with its cockney accent, and refreshingly innocent.

Through this, GEICO aims to portray itself as different and better. We believe this is the right

personality for the brand, and recommend its continuation.


                      iii. Brand Attitude




                                                                                                    14
GEICO should aim at building an emotional connection to its customers. GEICO has

done a good job of this through ads that target particular pain points13. GEICO signals that it

understands its users to be suave and witty, who are 'cool' like their insurance company.

However, we believe GEICO needs to start catering to its growing 49-65 segment. People in this

segment care about their kids having insurance coverage. GEICO needs to develop an attitude

that convinces them that GEICO is sympathetic to this viewpoint, and has a solution for it.


                          iv. Net value proposition

           GEICO's net value proposition is its ability to provide competitive rates and provide

excellent customer service. As a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway, it has a Standard & Poor

AAA rating for its financial strength14. In the current economic climate, carrier solvency is an

important value proposition and GEICO should develop a marketing strategy that highlights it to

differentiate itself.




13
     Caveman commercials target ease of use, Googly-eyes targets saving money
14
     Geico.com website at http://www.geico.com/about/corporate/honors-and-ratings/

                                                                                                   15
Exhibit 9 Brand Platform Diagnostic




       c. Pricing Strategy

       The US auto insurance industry is at maturity with slowing organic growth. Growth for

the company is at the expense of other insurance companies. As consumers change behavior to

save money, GEICO's direct model has enabled them to weather this change in consumer

behavior; in 2008, premiums increased 5.7% over 2007, reflecting an 8.2% increase in voluntary




                                                                                               16
auto policies-in-force partially offset by lower average premiums per policy15. With heightened

focus on saving on insurance premiums, this is a great opportunity for GEICO to accelerate

customer acquisition and we recommend executing a sustained competitive pricing strategy with

a price point lower than its competitors, at least till end of FY '10. This strategy is aligned with

GEICO's lowest-cost position, and we believe it enables them to aggressively increase their

market share.


Recommended Marketing Programs


                a. Advertising Budget

            GEICO's marketing budget has been growing steadily since 2005; roughly about $483

MMs in 2006 to the latest data measured $618 MM in 200816. Projecting, GEICO is estimated to

spend about $790 MM in 2010 on advertising. We recommend that GEICO double the spending

increase amount and allocate $882MM for advertising budget in 2010, with the majority of the

additional spending allocated to recommended programs on social media networks, promotional

program with car dealership, community outreach program, and direct mail [see Exhibit 10].


     (Amounts in '000)                                  2006          2007           2008        2009         2010
     Total Premiums                              11,055,000     11,806,000    12,479,000    13,258,375   14,086,426
     Historical Advertising Spend                    483,000                     618,000
     Projected Advertising Spend                                                              699,051      790,733
     Recommended Advertising Spend (r x 2)                                                                 882,414
     Spend as % of Premiums                           4.37%                        4.95%        5.27%        6.26%


     *Note 1: Italic = Projected Value

     *Note 2: Advertising Spending Annual Increase => 483*(1+r)^2 = 618; r = 13.11%




15
     GEICO 2008 10-K statement
16
     “Power Players”, Advertising Age, Vol. 80 Issue 37, p22-32, published on 11/2/2009.

                                                                                                             17
Exhibit 10 Projected & Recommended Advertising Budget



          b. Media Spending Strategy:

       Communication Goal: To engage insurance policy shoppers by convincing them that

GEICO is the #1 go-to company offering the best value in the market.


                YEAR                                                                  2010
                                                                          (Amounts in '000)
                TOTAL                                                           $882,414

                Television Total                                                  $255,900
                National Cables (HBO, Comedy Central, Bravo,
                MSNBC, Travel Channel, CNN, etc.)                                  $76,770
                National Networks (NBC, CBS, ABC, FOX, high-
                profile programs - Superbowl, Grammy's, etc.)                     $127,950
                Spot TV in multiple markets                                        $51,180
                Radio Total                                                       $176,483
                Network Radio (i.e. CarTalk)                                       $88,241
                Spot Radio                                                         $88,241
                National Print                                                     $88,241
                Outdoor                                                            $35,297
                Online Total                                                      $123,538
                Search Engine Marketing (SEM)                                      $86,477
                Social Media Networks(Facebook, Twitter,
                YouToube, etc.)                                                    $24,708
                Other Auto Related Website(Kelly's Blue Book,
                etc.)                                                              $12,354
                Direct Mail                                                       $158,835
                Local Community Outreach Program                                    $8,824
                Car Dealership Promotional Program                                 $35,297


                          Exhibit 11 Recommended Media Spending by Channels




                                                                                              18
GEICO has done a phenomenon job in traditional advertising media categories including

television, radio, and print. Here are areas of improvement recommended to GEICO’s marketing

program to stretch its reach even further:

             c. Promotional Program with National Car Dealership


        GEICO should expand beyond its direct-sales model to diversify revenue streams and

capture clients at all possible touch points. We suggest that GEICO partner with car dealers by

offering new car buyer promotions at the point of purchase. Each year more than 7 million

people who go in to buy a car also buy auto insurance on-site, amounting to about 15 percent of

all car purchases17. The point of purchase represents a unique opportunity for GEICO to

encourage non-clients to switch over.

        According to a study done by Insurance Information Institute, GEICO’s current market

share in 2008 is 7.6%18. If GEICO can maintain the same market share in the dealership

purchase space, a 7.6% share of 7 million clients translates to an additional 532,000 policies per

year. At an average annual premium of $1,884 per policy19, this represents a $1 billion

opportunity.

             d. Cross-sell Other Insurance Products via Direct Mail/Email

        GEICO's website lists a range of other insurance products it provides. However, in spite

of mailing over 800 million mailers annually, GEICO has minimal mailers, if any, promoting


17
   Kirsten Force, “Offering Insurance Can Seal the Deal”, Management & Technology Magazine, 2/2005 – NADA
Issue, at http://www.explink.com/pressroom.cfm
18
  “Major Players-Ranking By Line”, Insurance Information Institute, at
http://www.iii.org/economics/national/majorplayers/
19
  IFAwebnews Staff, “Report: Average auto premiums show first increase in five months”, IFAwebnews.com,
posted 7/3/2009 at: http://ifawebnews.com/2009/07/03/report-average-auto-premiums-show-first-increase-in-five-
months/


                                                                                                            19
their cross-line products. We believe that with GEICO's strong brand name and high customer

satisfaction, GEICO is in a good position to showcase their other insurance products. We

suggest that GEICO starts this initiative on its current customers via direct mail.


        Assuming a 5% (1 in 20) cross sell20 on 9 million GEICO customers will generate an

additional $252 million in revenues and almost $36 million in added profits per year21.


             e. Online Marketing Program

        GEICO already has a strong emphasis on its online marketing program; in 2007 GEICO

spends about $90 million dollars in SEM alone22. There are two areas that GEICO should

improve upon:

                     i.       Tap into Social Media Networks

        GEICO has an extremely valuable asset to its marketing mix - the lovable green lizard

Gecko. Gecko has been an instrumental driver for GEICO's strong name recognition since its

inception in 2000. We suggest that GEICO take a step further and explore using Gecko in social

media channels such as Facebook and Twitter. Several other competitors such as Allstate and




20
   Anthony O’Donnel, “The Elusive Prize: Effective Cross-Selling”, Insurance & Technology, posted on 9/16/2005 at
http://www.insurancetech.com/news/showArticle.jhtml;jsessionid=1VK53JNWYLRVVQE1GHPSKHWATMY32JVN?a
rticleID=170704148&pgno=4

21
  According to Epiphany, a CRM solutions provider, for a diversified insurance and financial
services company that has about 5 million customers, an increase of only one product per 20
customers could result in nearly $140 million in additional annual revenues and almost $20
million in added annual profits
22
  Andrew Davis, “How GEICO Wastes $90 MM a Year on Search Engine Marketing”, Tippingpoint Labs, posted
4/3/2009 at http://blog.tippingpointlabs.com/2009/04/how-geico-wastes-90mm-a-year-on-search-engine-
marketing/


                                                                                                              20
State Farm have already ventured into this arena; successful cases have already been seen in

UK's auto insurance industry23.

                    ii.      Search Engine Marketing

        GEICO is one of the top SEM spenders, if not the largest. GEICO may be wasting its

money by purchasing generic insurance related AdWords.. Studies have shown that GEICO's

website is already well designed for organic search [see Exhibit 12]. Purchasing expensive

AdWords on these generic insurance terms may not be the best usage of its SEM budget. Instead,

GEICO should consider purchasing relevant keywords in sync with its in-running marketing

campaign, such as "Googly-Eye commercial", "Cavemen” or “Gecko”.




                                                                               24
                                  Exhibit 12 Google Key Words Search Results




23
  Michael Litman, “Social Media and Car Insurance: A Match Made in Heaven?”, Mashable The Social Media Guide,
posted on 4/5/2009 at http://mashable.com/2009/04/05/compare-the-meerkat/


                                                                                                         21
f. Public Relations Programs

          There has been some negative press regarding to GEICO's "preferential treatment" on

customers' education and economic status. We recommend that GEICO continue to take the "no

comments" position, as it certainly does not want more attention on these sensitive

issues. However we do suggest that GEICO initiate local community outreach programs and

gets directly involved especially in the lower economic neighborhoods. It should also sponsor

programs such as safe driver program to educate consumers on becoming safer drivers.


Success Metric Measurement


Short-Term ROMI:

          The incremental $91 million advertising and promotion spend targeted along the major

initiatives outlined above will generate an estimated +$1.25 billion in new business

revenues. Given a 5 year projected timeframe to achieve full implementation, we can

conservatively estimated $250 million in revenues for the first year alone, yielding a 2.75 ROMI

factor.


Long-Term ROMI:

                         Ongoing Metrics
          Metrics:       - Brand Awareness & Positioning

                         - Brand Consideration

                         - Purchase Intent vs. Non Purchase intent



24
  Andrew Davis, “How Geico Wastes $90 MM a Year on Search Engine Marketing”, Tippingpoint Labs, posted
4/3/2009 at http://blog.tippingpointlabs.com/2009/04/how-geico-wastes-90mm-a-year-on-search-engine-
marketing/

                                                                                                         22
- Prospect to Client Conversion Rate

             - Cross-Sell Conversion Rate
Goals:       - 100% Brand Awareness

             - 90% Brand Consideration

             - 50% Purchase Intent

             - 50% Prospect to Client Conversion Rate

             - 20% Cross-Sell Conversion Rate
Frequency:   Quarterly




                                                        23

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Brand Marketing Plan for GEICO

  • 1. Brand Marketing Plan By: Team Brand Evolution Rajeev Kalavar: rajeev_kalavar@mba.berkeley.edu Susan Song: susan_song@mba.berkeley.edu Date: 12/7/2009
  • 2. Executive Summary The US auto insurance industry is highly commoditized with slow organic growth. Brand awareness is critical, and GEICO has out-spent its competitors in advertising dollars. However, competitors are catching up and we recommend GEICO increase its marketing budget by 6.26% and allocate $882MM towards 2010. GEICO’s message is focused on superiority in price and ease of use. We recommend additional focus on customer service and financial strength, which resonates well in the current recessionary environment. GEICO needs to search for new target segments and cross-sell to continue its growth. It should also increase its customer touch points by partnering with car dealerships. To improve advertising efficiency, GEICO needs to ensure its media channels are in sync when launching a new campaign. GEICO has done well in creating an emotional bond and built strong brand assets. We recommend leveraging these specifically within the social network media. Finally, we suggest executing a sustainable competitive pricing point lower than its competitors till end of FY '10. With heightened focus on cost-savings, this is a great opportunity for GEICO to accelerate customer acquisition and target the #2 position in the industry. Business Trends Economic The current recessionary environment has negatively impacted the auto insurance industry. Insurance agencies charge most policyholders a monthly premium, which is then invested until it is needed to pay out claims. With the stock exchange indexes in free-fall, most companies have lost capital value of their investments. The last two years have also seen a big 2
  • 3. increase in weather-damage claims. Together with loss of investment income and unexpected rise in claims, an industry with $5.8B in profits has had a net loss in 2008. Social The recession has changed consumer behavior which hurts the auto insurance industry. Policyholders are either increasing their deductibles to lower monthly premiums, or opting for no coverage1. To save money and maintain margins, some insurance companies have been forced to increase premiums on existing policyholders2, leading to higher than expected turnover. This has fueled distrust among consumers towards their auto insurance companies and consumers have become extremely price sensitive. Consumers are now searching for quotes online and comparing rates. In addition, customers are avoiding small insurance companies in fear of insolvency. Industry Trends Current business situation The US auto insurance industry is a multi-billion market where a one-percent shift in market share amounts to a $1.6 billion dollar shift in premiums3. Major auto insurance companies understand that customer satisfaction is the key to attract and retain customers – including customer value: interaction, policy offerings, billing and payment, price and claims. 1 Studies by the Insurance Research Council says approximately 17% of drivers across the United States may be driving without insurance by 2010. 2 “U.S. annual auto insurance premiums averaged $1,674 in September 2009” at http://www.carinsurance.com/Average-Premiums.aspx 3 “2008 National Auto Insurance Study”, JDPower.com, at http://www.jdpower.com/insurance/articles/2008- national-auto-insurance-study 3
  • 4. The US auto insurance industry is fairly mature. In a span of a decade and a half, rate of growth of the US auto insurance industry has been 4.5 percent4. With low growth rates, capturing market share is essential for auto insurance companies. Major challenges currently facing US auto insurance industry include: 1) extremely high expenses from over treating legitimate injuries and soft tissue injuries and 2) fraudulent claims, both leading to high insurance premiums. Trends versus Previous Periods According to a study from ComScore, approximately 32 million online quotes were submitted and a record 2.4 million policies were purchased online in 20085. This is an increase of 7 percent, indicating the increasing importance of the Internet as a transactional medium. Consumers are becoming price sensitive, shopping for insurance and reconsidering coverage. The online channel provides quick and easy access for comparison-shopping and fulfillment of policy purchases. Forecast of future trends With limited new customer segments, the industry is facing substantial challenge of slow organic growth with companies vying for market share gains. Advertising remains a top priority to stay relevant in the minds of consumers as they comparison shop. The industry will 4 “US Auto Insurance”, EconomyWatch, at http://www.economywatch.com/world-industries/automobile/us-auto- insurance.html 5 Andrea Vollman, “Press Release-U.S. Auto Insurance Policies Purchased Online Up 7 Percent in 2008 Versus Year Ago Despite Soft Consumer Demand”, conScore, posted 4/2/2009 at http://www.comscore.com/Press_Events/Press_Releases/2009/4/Auto_Insurance_Policies_Purchased_Online_Up _7_Percen 4
  • 5. consolidate through mergers once the economy recovers to achieve economies of scale and scope.6 Competitive Environment GEICO markets its policies primarily through direct response methods. GEICO competes for private passenger auto insurance customers with other companies that sell directly to the customer as well as with companies that use a traditional agency sales force; from well- established auto insurance companies to reinsurers serving the auto industry. GEICO's major competitors include State Farm, Allstate, Progressive, and Nationwide. Exhibit 1 lists the top 10 companies in the Auto Insurance Industry. See complete list in appendix Exhibit 1 shows the top 10 auto insurance companies by market share7. As of last year, State Farm owned 18.3% of the market, followed by Allstate with 10.7%, GEICO with 7.6% and 6 Greg Horn, “Peering into the Future”, Automotive Body Repair News, Vol. 48 Issue 11, p100-102, published on 11/2009. 5
  • 6. Progressive with 7.1%. The market is highly competitive and with little product differentiation, extremely fragmented. GEICO is also competing to overcome the negative perception consumers have against insurance companies, who they consider untrustworthy. As a commoditized industry, insurance companies are perceived as 'boring', and establishing emotional relevance is a key challenge. Major Competitors and Likely Movement State Farm, Allstate and Nationwide primarily market and sell their car-insurance policies through agents. State Farm and Allstate have around 17,000 and 13,000 'captive' agents8, respectively. Progressive also uses independent agents who sell policies for many different companies. Progressive of late has also ramped up its direct channel and is a significant threat to GEICO’s presence online. GEICO’s competitive advantage is derived from its low cost operations, which are made possible by the direct sales business model. By selling products over the phone and online, significant efficiencies can be captured. Using the Internet to search for and purchase insurance is getting more common. The ongoing recession has accelerated this adoption, as price has become an important aspect for consumers. Progressive and GEICO have stood to gain most from this, as is evident from the Exhibit 2, highlighting GEICO and Progressive's Value Line Report9. 7 “Top 25 Insurance Companies-Total Private Passenger Auto”, National Association of Insurance Commissioners, at http://naic.org/documents/research_premium_by_LOB.pdf 8 “Different business models for auto insurers”, AAA Auto Insurance at www.aaaautoinsurance.net/5303_different_business_models_for_auto_insurers.shtml 9 “GEICO Vs Progressive: Selected 10 year Metrics”, Seeking Alpha at http://seekingalpha.com/article/144346- geico-vs-progressive-selected-10-year-metrics 6
  • 7. Exhibit 2 GEICO and Progressive's Value Line Report as of 2009 GEICO’s compounded annual growth rate in premiums earned over the ten-year period was 10.1% while Progressive grew at a 9.1% rate. Over the past two years in particular, we can conclusively see the benefits of GEICO’s low cost model. Despite having higher underwriting loss ratios in both years as well as lower levels of premiums earned, GEICO ended up with higher profits due to significantly lower underwriting expenses. Audit of Threats to Existing Brand Franchise To reduce their high operating cost structure, we expect Farmer's, Allstate and Nationwide to incorporate a direct model over time. While this is not an easy proposition10, this is a potential threat. As a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway, GEICO has historically out-spent most of its competitors to build awareness. This has been an effective strategy. However, most of the competitors have increased their budgets as well; Farmers from $50MM in 2003 to almost 10 First, it is a paradigm shift in their business model, which has been operating with captive agents since their inception; State Farm was incorporated in 1922, AllState in 1931. Second, if they go direct, they will have an army of jobless insurance agents, which can potentially lead to a backlash 7
  • 8. $200MM in 2008, and Progressive by 160% since 2003 to almost $459MM11. But the more insurers advertise, the more difficult it is for anyone to stand out. In a commoditized market, this can negatively impact GEICO's ability to stay relevant. Exhibit 3 GEICO's Strategic Leverage Triangulation Recommended Brand Marketing Plan GEICO’s business strategy is to be a low-cost insurer by striving to provide excellent service to customers, with the goal of establishing long-term customer relationship. Overall Marketing Strategy The key to growth is acquiring new market share, and that is GEICO’s focus. It’s primary target audience is adults 25-49 with HHI $30,000+ 12. It skews younger, is tech-savvy and likely 11 “GEICO envy drives Farmer’s review”, Adweek Aug 13, 2008 at http://www.adweek.com/aw/content_display/news/account-activity/e3i55fbb1a3b41a2bcd5e4e5711c3015293 8
  • 9. to accept the direct approach to auto insurance. They enjoy and understand GEICO's witty yet self-deprecating meta-marketing. Their purchase decisions are driven by the desire for quality, simplicity of purchase, stress-free encounters and accessibility. The creative strategy reinforces GEICO's position as a leader at the forefront of technology while delivering the wit and charm consumers expect from GEICO. From the conception of gecko the green lizard in 2000 to the more recent googly-eye money stack campaign, GEICO's marketing campaigns have been extremely successful in capturing audience' attention and increasing its brand awareness as the go-to company for car insurance. In addition to being witty, each of GEICO’s campaigns delivers an important message and frequently addresses consumers’ pain points: • Gecko the green lizard – tackling the “low involvement” faced by insurance industry and creating a relatable image for the company brand name. • Caveman – “It is so easy even a caveman can do it” – tackling the perception that shopping for insurance policy is a daunting affair. • Googly-eye money stack – “15 minutes could save you 15%” – tackling consumers’ desire to save on cost. For GEICO’s next campaign, we recommend GEICO focuses on addressing other major customer concerns: customer service and a company’s financial strength. Since the economy downturn, financial strength of the company has been a factor that consumers look for when evaluating their choices. With a strong financial health and an icon like Warren Buffet, GEICO can position itself as the best overall value player in the market. 12 “DMA International Award Winner: GEICO”, Direct DMEF Works, at http://www.directworks.org/Corporate/Default.aspx?id=1096 9
  • 10. Recommended Marketing Strategies a. Target Customers i. Quantitative Audit Exhibit 4 highlights the key factors for consumers that drive their insurance company decision. A survey taken indicates Price and customer service are top of the list, followed by trustworthiness and ease of purchase. Interestingly, 3% quoted financial solvency as a deciding factor. #1 factor for selecting auto insurance Product flexibility Financial solvency 5% 3% Price (premium) Trustworthiness 33% 23% Ease of Use Customer Service (purchase) (claim handling) 15% 21% Exhibit 44 Survey: #1 factor for selecting auto insurance company In the same survey, on the question of who offered the best customer service, 36% quoted Progressive, 26% quoted Allstate, with GEICO and Farmers at 19% each. See Exhibit 5. 10
  • 11. Insurance company with best customer service Nationwide 12% Farmers Progressive 15% 36% Geico 15% Allstate 22% Exhibit 5 Survey: Insurance company with the best customer service Finally, on the question of whether they would switch if another insurance company satisfied the key attribute they valued, 77% responded as definitely, likely or maybe. This is significant, since it highlights the commoditization of the industry, and places great value on establishing an emotional connection in addition to perceived differentiation among the key drivers for consumers. 11
  • 12. % Switchers if key driver is satisfied Would not switch Would switch 16% immediately 23% May switch 21% Likely to switch 40% Exhibit 6 Survey: % switchers if key driver is satisfied ii. Segmenting Affinity Groups The key target segment for most insurance companies is the preferred-risk higher income demographic. There is a high statistical correlation between higher income individuals and safe drivers. GEICO's research has indicated college educated first time car buyers may also be a low-risk option, a viable segment. On a psychographic scale, GEICO also serves the motorcycle, RV, ATV and boat insurance market, where their target segment includes individuals who love sports, are adventurous, and enjoy outdoor activities. Finally, one can identify 4 key behavioral segments - consumers who value price, customer service, ease of use and product flexibility. In the survey, these attributes had almost equal distributions, indicating each of these attributes is an important segment. b. Brand Platform i. Positioning 12
  • 13. To achieve its overall marketing strategy, GEICO's offerings must be aligned to its target segments, whose needs are categorized in Exhibit 7 below: Customer Wants Mindset Positioning Lowest Premium • Want to pay the lowest premium. Price • Saves money drives everything • Flexible product options • Willing to compromise on coverage or • Best in class for the price deductibles • Great discounts Great customer service • Simplicity of purchase • Intuitive - extremely easy to buy • Quick resolution to issue • Best in class customer service • Anytime access to service agent • Quickest resolution to claims • Always there - 24/7 service Flexible product • The most flexible product options • Cares about coverage details • You're in control - pay only for what • Cares about customizing coverage you need • Extremely easy to customize Complete coverage • Wants coverage for auto, other vehicles, • One-stop shop - complete coverage home, etc. for all your needs • Wants minimal effort to get coverage. • Extremely easy to add more Prefers to deal with one company coverage • Hates to shop around • Financially strong, a brand you can • Peace of mind trust Exhibit 7 Target Segments Categories 13
  • 14. Exhibit 8 Brand Positioning Proposition ii. Strategic Personality The insurance industry is perceived to be “old and boring” and untrustworthy. GEICO is looking to reverse that perception through its ever-present Gecko Salesman mascot, which projects a youthful persona that's intriguing with its cockney accent, and refreshingly innocent. Through this, GEICO aims to portray itself as different and better. We believe this is the right personality for the brand, and recommend its continuation. iii. Brand Attitude 14
  • 15. GEICO should aim at building an emotional connection to its customers. GEICO has done a good job of this through ads that target particular pain points13. GEICO signals that it understands its users to be suave and witty, who are 'cool' like their insurance company. However, we believe GEICO needs to start catering to its growing 49-65 segment. People in this segment care about their kids having insurance coverage. GEICO needs to develop an attitude that convinces them that GEICO is sympathetic to this viewpoint, and has a solution for it. iv. Net value proposition GEICO's net value proposition is its ability to provide competitive rates and provide excellent customer service. As a subsidiary of Berkshire Hathaway, it has a Standard & Poor AAA rating for its financial strength14. In the current economic climate, carrier solvency is an important value proposition and GEICO should develop a marketing strategy that highlights it to differentiate itself. 13 Caveman commercials target ease of use, Googly-eyes targets saving money 14 Geico.com website at http://www.geico.com/about/corporate/honors-and-ratings/ 15
  • 16. Exhibit 9 Brand Platform Diagnostic c. Pricing Strategy The US auto insurance industry is at maturity with slowing organic growth. Growth for the company is at the expense of other insurance companies. As consumers change behavior to save money, GEICO's direct model has enabled them to weather this change in consumer behavior; in 2008, premiums increased 5.7% over 2007, reflecting an 8.2% increase in voluntary 16
  • 17. auto policies-in-force partially offset by lower average premiums per policy15. With heightened focus on saving on insurance premiums, this is a great opportunity for GEICO to accelerate customer acquisition and we recommend executing a sustained competitive pricing strategy with a price point lower than its competitors, at least till end of FY '10. This strategy is aligned with GEICO's lowest-cost position, and we believe it enables them to aggressively increase their market share. Recommended Marketing Programs a. Advertising Budget GEICO's marketing budget has been growing steadily since 2005; roughly about $483 MMs in 2006 to the latest data measured $618 MM in 200816. Projecting, GEICO is estimated to spend about $790 MM in 2010 on advertising. We recommend that GEICO double the spending increase amount and allocate $882MM for advertising budget in 2010, with the majority of the additional spending allocated to recommended programs on social media networks, promotional program with car dealership, community outreach program, and direct mail [see Exhibit 10]. (Amounts in '000) 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Total Premiums 11,055,000 11,806,000 12,479,000 13,258,375 14,086,426 Historical Advertising Spend 483,000 618,000 Projected Advertising Spend 699,051 790,733 Recommended Advertising Spend (r x 2) 882,414 Spend as % of Premiums 4.37% 4.95% 5.27% 6.26% *Note 1: Italic = Projected Value *Note 2: Advertising Spending Annual Increase => 483*(1+r)^2 = 618; r = 13.11% 15 GEICO 2008 10-K statement 16 “Power Players”, Advertising Age, Vol. 80 Issue 37, p22-32, published on 11/2/2009. 17
  • 18. Exhibit 10 Projected & Recommended Advertising Budget b. Media Spending Strategy: Communication Goal: To engage insurance policy shoppers by convincing them that GEICO is the #1 go-to company offering the best value in the market. YEAR 2010 (Amounts in '000) TOTAL $882,414 Television Total $255,900 National Cables (HBO, Comedy Central, Bravo, MSNBC, Travel Channel, CNN, etc.) $76,770 National Networks (NBC, CBS, ABC, FOX, high- profile programs - Superbowl, Grammy's, etc.) $127,950 Spot TV in multiple markets $51,180 Radio Total $176,483 Network Radio (i.e. CarTalk) $88,241 Spot Radio $88,241 National Print $88,241 Outdoor $35,297 Online Total $123,538 Search Engine Marketing (SEM) $86,477 Social Media Networks(Facebook, Twitter, YouToube, etc.) $24,708 Other Auto Related Website(Kelly's Blue Book, etc.) $12,354 Direct Mail $158,835 Local Community Outreach Program $8,824 Car Dealership Promotional Program $35,297 Exhibit 11 Recommended Media Spending by Channels 18
  • 19. GEICO has done a phenomenon job in traditional advertising media categories including television, radio, and print. Here are areas of improvement recommended to GEICO’s marketing program to stretch its reach even further: c. Promotional Program with National Car Dealership GEICO should expand beyond its direct-sales model to diversify revenue streams and capture clients at all possible touch points. We suggest that GEICO partner with car dealers by offering new car buyer promotions at the point of purchase. Each year more than 7 million people who go in to buy a car also buy auto insurance on-site, amounting to about 15 percent of all car purchases17. The point of purchase represents a unique opportunity for GEICO to encourage non-clients to switch over. According to a study done by Insurance Information Institute, GEICO’s current market share in 2008 is 7.6%18. If GEICO can maintain the same market share in the dealership purchase space, a 7.6% share of 7 million clients translates to an additional 532,000 policies per year. At an average annual premium of $1,884 per policy19, this represents a $1 billion opportunity. d. Cross-sell Other Insurance Products via Direct Mail/Email GEICO's website lists a range of other insurance products it provides. However, in spite of mailing over 800 million mailers annually, GEICO has minimal mailers, if any, promoting 17 Kirsten Force, “Offering Insurance Can Seal the Deal”, Management & Technology Magazine, 2/2005 – NADA Issue, at http://www.explink.com/pressroom.cfm 18 “Major Players-Ranking By Line”, Insurance Information Institute, at http://www.iii.org/economics/national/majorplayers/ 19 IFAwebnews Staff, “Report: Average auto premiums show first increase in five months”, IFAwebnews.com, posted 7/3/2009 at: http://ifawebnews.com/2009/07/03/report-average-auto-premiums-show-first-increase-in-five- months/ 19
  • 20. their cross-line products. We believe that with GEICO's strong brand name and high customer satisfaction, GEICO is in a good position to showcase their other insurance products. We suggest that GEICO starts this initiative on its current customers via direct mail. Assuming a 5% (1 in 20) cross sell20 on 9 million GEICO customers will generate an additional $252 million in revenues and almost $36 million in added profits per year21. e. Online Marketing Program GEICO already has a strong emphasis on its online marketing program; in 2007 GEICO spends about $90 million dollars in SEM alone22. There are two areas that GEICO should improve upon: i. Tap into Social Media Networks GEICO has an extremely valuable asset to its marketing mix - the lovable green lizard Gecko. Gecko has been an instrumental driver for GEICO's strong name recognition since its inception in 2000. We suggest that GEICO take a step further and explore using Gecko in social media channels such as Facebook and Twitter. Several other competitors such as Allstate and 20 Anthony O’Donnel, “The Elusive Prize: Effective Cross-Selling”, Insurance & Technology, posted on 9/16/2005 at http://www.insurancetech.com/news/showArticle.jhtml;jsessionid=1VK53JNWYLRVVQE1GHPSKHWATMY32JVN?a rticleID=170704148&pgno=4 21 According to Epiphany, a CRM solutions provider, for a diversified insurance and financial services company that has about 5 million customers, an increase of only one product per 20 customers could result in nearly $140 million in additional annual revenues and almost $20 million in added annual profits 22 Andrew Davis, “How GEICO Wastes $90 MM a Year on Search Engine Marketing”, Tippingpoint Labs, posted 4/3/2009 at http://blog.tippingpointlabs.com/2009/04/how-geico-wastes-90mm-a-year-on-search-engine- marketing/ 20
  • 21. State Farm have already ventured into this arena; successful cases have already been seen in UK's auto insurance industry23. ii. Search Engine Marketing GEICO is one of the top SEM spenders, if not the largest. GEICO may be wasting its money by purchasing generic insurance related AdWords.. Studies have shown that GEICO's website is already well designed for organic search [see Exhibit 12]. Purchasing expensive AdWords on these generic insurance terms may not be the best usage of its SEM budget. Instead, GEICO should consider purchasing relevant keywords in sync with its in-running marketing campaign, such as "Googly-Eye commercial", "Cavemen” or “Gecko”. 24 Exhibit 12 Google Key Words Search Results 23 Michael Litman, “Social Media and Car Insurance: A Match Made in Heaven?”, Mashable The Social Media Guide, posted on 4/5/2009 at http://mashable.com/2009/04/05/compare-the-meerkat/ 21
  • 22. f. Public Relations Programs There has been some negative press regarding to GEICO's "preferential treatment" on customers' education and economic status. We recommend that GEICO continue to take the "no comments" position, as it certainly does not want more attention on these sensitive issues. However we do suggest that GEICO initiate local community outreach programs and gets directly involved especially in the lower economic neighborhoods. It should also sponsor programs such as safe driver program to educate consumers on becoming safer drivers. Success Metric Measurement Short-Term ROMI: The incremental $91 million advertising and promotion spend targeted along the major initiatives outlined above will generate an estimated +$1.25 billion in new business revenues. Given a 5 year projected timeframe to achieve full implementation, we can conservatively estimated $250 million in revenues for the first year alone, yielding a 2.75 ROMI factor. Long-Term ROMI: Ongoing Metrics Metrics: - Brand Awareness & Positioning - Brand Consideration - Purchase Intent vs. Non Purchase intent 24 Andrew Davis, “How Geico Wastes $90 MM a Year on Search Engine Marketing”, Tippingpoint Labs, posted 4/3/2009 at http://blog.tippingpointlabs.com/2009/04/how-geico-wastes-90mm-a-year-on-search-engine- marketing/ 22
  • 23. - Prospect to Client Conversion Rate - Cross-Sell Conversion Rate Goals: - 100% Brand Awareness - 90% Brand Consideration - 50% Purchase Intent - 50% Prospect to Client Conversion Rate - 20% Cross-Sell Conversion Rate Frequency: Quarterly 23