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www.alliedreliability.com   Page 1 of 33   ©2006 Allied Reliability, Inc
10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn




Copyright Notice
Copyright 2009 GPAllied, LLC. All rights reserved. Any unauthorized use, sharing,
reproduction or distribution of these materials by any means, electronic, mechanical, or
otherwise is strictly prohibited. No portion of these materials may be reproduced in any manner
whatsoever, without the express written consent of the publisher.

To obtain permission, please contact:

GPAllied, LLC
4360 Corporate Road
Suite 110
N. Charleston, SC 29405 USA

Phone 888-335-8276


info@gpallied.com
www.gpallied.com




  www.gpallied.com                                                          ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability




                   Table of Contents

                   10 Powerful Lessons from One of the Most Expensive Mistakes in Recent
                   Maintenance History.......................................................................................1
                   The Tiny Hole That Shook an Oil Giant..........................................................2
                   The Cost Side of the Equation .......................................................................3
                   The High Cost of Low Maintenance ...............................................................4
                   The Hidden Costs of Maintenance and Reliability..........................................5
                   The Most Expensive Word in Maintenance....................................................6
                   The Second Most Expensive Word in Maintenance.......................................7
                   Time is Money ................................................................................................8
                   The Truth About Equipment Breakdowns ......................................................9
                   The Disconnect Between Management and Maintenance...........................11
                   How Reliability Creates Wealth and Competitive Advantage.......................12
                   Articles and References ...............................................................................14
                   About GPAllied .............................................................................................15




www.gpallied.com                                                                                      ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn




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  www.gpallied.com                                                       ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability




                      10 Powerful Lessons from One of the Most
                      Expensive Mistakes in Recent Maintenance
                      History
                      Monday, November 6, 2006
                      Updated: Tuesday, May 19, 2009

                      What’s the first thing you think of when you hear the word
                      “maintenance”?

                      Trouble? Bad news? A necessary evil?

                      Or just plain boring?

                      Then August 7, 2006 should be your wake-up call.

                      That’s when oil giant BP admitted a tiny quarter-inch hole was part of a
                      widespread corrosion problem affecting 16 miles of a 22-mile pipeline
                      from Prudhoe Bay.

                      As a result, BP was forced to shutdown up to 400,000 barrels a day of
                      production from the largest oil field in the United States.

                      The costs are staggering. However, BP’s battles with corrosion in its 29-
                      year-old Alaskan oil pipeline are a reflection of a much bigger concern for
                      many big corporations. Aging assets and years of poor maintenance are
                      now taking their toll on profits.


                      So that’s why we published this special report. Here are 10 important
                      lessons you can learn from BP’s experience – surely one of the most
                      expensive mistakes in recent history.




©2009 GPAllied, LLC                           Page 1 of 15                              www.gpallied.com
10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn




                     The Tiny Hole That Shook an Oil Giant
                     On March 2, 2006, a BP operator discovered a leak and quarter-inch
                     hole in a pipe delivering oil to the trans-Alaska pipeline. Ultimately,
                     that discovery led to the massive shutdown in August.

                     BP’s decision affected a whopping 8 per cent of the US’s total
                     domestic oil supply. In a market with tight oil supplies and near-record
                     prices, BP’s shutdown could not have come at a worse time.

                     For starters, revenue losses for BP and its partners, Exxon Mobil and
                     Conoco, reached an astounding $28 million per day – or over $1
                     million per hour.

                     And that could be the tip of the iceberg. The long-term impact of lost
                     customers and lost business is still uncertain.

                     Here’s the point. Most senior managers view maintenance simply as a
                     cost. The truth is, maintenance has a tremendous impact on the top
                     line of “asset-dependent” companies – like oil and chemical
                     companies, pharmaceuticals, metals, electric utilities, etc.

                     Every minute your equipment is shut down for unplanned maintenance
                     means lost product – and lost sales.


                     Lesson 1:         Reliability has a huge impact on revenues.
                                       “Small” problems can make big money disappear
                                       from your top line.




  www.gpallied.com                                                          ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability




                      The Cost Side of the Equation
                      By all accounts, BP’s repair costs will be huge. At this writing, the
                      company is expected to spend around $550 million to replace the 16
                      miles of pipe.

                      That includes $30 million for new pipe, partly because BP is known as
                      quot;a distressed buyerquot; in the steel market. And the costs for skilled
                      workers like welders will come at a premium, since the labor market
                      was already tight.

                      Plus, BP announced the hiring of three outside experts to come in and
                      recommend improvements for its corrosion program.

                      Once again, these are just the direct costs for labor and materials.
                      Fines, liabilities and legal costs are still adding up.

                      Now this may seem like a drop in the bucket for a company the size of
                      BP. After all, BP reported profits for the second quarter of 2006 soared
                      to $7.27 billion.

                      But earnings will surely take a hit from the huge costs of the temporary
                      shutdown. And you can bet this money was not in the budget.


                      Lesson 2:    Reliability impacts both sides of the income
                                   statement: sales and cost of goods sold. That’s why
                                   Reliability causes enormous swings in profits.




©2009 GPAllied, LLC                          Page 3 of 15                              www.gpallied.com
10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn




                    The High Cost of Low Maintenance
                    BP budgeted some $71 million for battling corrosion in its Alaskan
                    pipelines in 2006. That’s 15 percent more than 2005 and 80 percent
                    over 2001. And that doesn’t include money for replacement and
                    repairs.

                    Was it enough? Apparently not. After the shutdown, BP admitted
                    inadequate pipeline maintenance procedures and quot;a gapquot; in their
                    corrosion program.

                    quot;We based our corrosion program in cooperation with agencies ---
                    what we thought was an adequate program. Clearly it is not,quot; said Bob
                    Malone, president of BP America.

                    quot;Our program was insufficient and will be rectified going forward,quot;
                    Steve Marshall, president of BP Alaska said during an August news
                    conference.

                    Let’s do the math. In essence, BP was spending $71 million to protect
                    an asset that delivers about $10 billion in annual revenues.

                    Now even if you don’t know anything about maintenance and reliability,
                    doesn’t that sound a little risky?

                    Shortchanging maintenance is like playing Russian roulette. Pay now
                    or pay later.


                    Lesson 3:          Reliability is a long-term investment strategy. It is
                                       not the place for turning a quick buck.




www.gpallied.com                            Page 4 of 15                         ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability




                      The Hidden Costs of Maintenance and
                      Reliability
                      The fallout from BP’s shutdown continues, now that the blame game
                      has begun. Here are just a few examples of the nasty criticism and
                      finger-pointing aimed at BP:

                             Whistleblowers inside BP accused the company of skirting
                             maintenance issues for years, while BP says it acted responsibly.

                             Internal audits pointed to problems with an understaffed maintenance
                              and reliability team, along with management that was “fairly new” to
                              the job.

                             Heads are starting to roll as one key manager was quot;put on leave.quot;

                             BP’s top executives faced angry grilling from US lawmakers in
                              Washington as the company got blasted for its pipeline maintenance
                              lapses.

                             The company was forced to respond to accusations that it engineered
                              the shutdown to manipulate oil prices. “Nothing could be further from
                              the truth,” said BP executive Malone.

                             Joe Barton, a Texas Republican who chairs the House of
                              Representatives' energy and commerce committee, said:

                             quot;If … one of the world's most successful oil companies can't do
                              simple, basic maintenance needed to keep the Prudhoe Bay field
                              operating safely … maybe it shouldn't operate the pipeline.”

                             Competitors started taking advantage, chuckling that BP stands for
                             “Big Problems”.

                      All this finger-pointing adds up to one big corporate black eye for BP.


                      Lesson 4:     The hidden costs of poor reliability far outweigh the
                                    direct costs of replacement and repairs.




©2009 GPAllied, LLC                           Page 5 of 15                              www.gpallied.com
10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn




                    The Most Expensive Word in Maintenance
                    The following is an excerpt from BP’s press release on August 7, 2006
                    announcing the shutdown of Prudhoe Bay:

                    “BP … has begun an orderly and phased shutdown of the Prudhoe
                    Bay oil field following the discovery of unexpectedly severe corrosion
                    …”

                    What’s the key word here? “Unexpectedly”.

                    In maintenance, “unexpected” means “emergency”. And emergency
                    maintenance is absolutely the most expensive form of maintenance
                    possible.

                    Why?

                    Emergency maintenance means immediate shutdowns. Phone calls in
                    the middle of the night. Troubleshooting on the fly. Expediting spare
                    parts. Rush jobs. Working around the clock until the repairs are
                    made.

                    In essence, emergency maintenance equals pure chaos. Does that
                    sound like a cost-effective way to do maintenance to you?


                    Lesson 5:          The most expensive word in maintenance is
                                       “unexpected”. That’s what happens when you don’t
                                       do maintenance right.




www.gpallied.com                            Page 6 of 15                     ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability




                      The Second Most Expensive Word in
                      Maintenance

                      According to published reports, a BP operator first discovered the leak
                      that ultimately led to the shutdown.

                      The big problem here is the word “operator”. Because when operators
                      are the first ones to notice equipment problems, it’s usually too late.

                      That’s equivalent to waiting for cardiac arrest as the first sign of a heart
                      problem.

                      Listen, modern maintenance is not a repair function any more. The
                      image of the Maytag repairman sitting around playing cards, waiting for
                      the phone to ring is long gone.

                      If your maintenance people are waiting for calls from operators, you’re
                      skating on thin ice. Yet that’s exactly what’s happening at the majority
                      of manufacturing plants in North America right now.

                      There’s still way too much maintenance that is emergency
                      maintenance. As a result, many plants are one small failure away from
                      a major disruption in business.


                      Lesson 6:     Reliability should not be triggered by an “event”.
                                    The objective is to create a non-event.




©2009 GPAllied, LLC                           Page 7 of 15                              www.gpallied.com
10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn




                    Time is Money
                    Despite what you may have heard, the basic maintenance process is
                    really simple:

                        1. Detect problems
                        2. Plan and schedule the repairs
                        3. Make the repairs

                    And the secret to good maintenance is in the first step: Detecting
                    problems early. Why? Because there is a direct correlation between
                    early detection and maintenance costs.

                    Simply put, the earlier you can detect problems, the faster, cheaper
                    and easier it is to make repairs.

                    You’ve seen the damage at BP – the costs of emergency repairs can
                    be astronomic. There is a huge difference between emergency
                    maintenance and planned, proactive maintenance:

Emergency maintenance
                                           Proactive maintenance means:
means:
Late detection by operators                Early detection by skilled maintenance technicians using
                                           advanced monitoring technologies
Waiting for things to happen               Thinking about things before they happen. Identifying
                                           problems that are still small and easy to fix
Immediate shutdowns and indefinite         Planned, scheduled shutdowns to keep downtime to a
downtime                                   minimum
Expediting spare parts -- regardless of    Planning and ordering spare parts in advance
costs
Working overtime, 24/7 until repairs are   Having everything prepared for – scheduling maintenance
made                                       crews to do the job right the first time
High costs                                 Low costs
High stress                                Low stress
High safety risk                           Low safety risk
Blame, finger-pointing, frustration,       Confidence, pride, job security, teamwork, optimism,
distrust, pessimism, waste                 rewarding

                    Lesson 7:          In maintenance, time is money. Late detection
                                       means costly corrections.




www.gpallied.com                            Page 8 of 15                                ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability




                      The Truth About Equipment Breakdowns
                      That quarter-inch hole didn’t suddenly appear in BP’s pipeline
                      overnight. Like most failures, it developed over a period of weeks,
                      months or years.

                      Fact is, problems start small and get worse with time. What’s
                      important to realize is that the equipment will send off early warning
                      signals along the way.

                      These early warning signs might be slight changes in physical
                      dimensions -- like pipe thickness at BP. Or they could be minor
                      changes in temperature, vibration or sound.

                      Not all of these changes can be detected by human senses -- but they
                      can be picked up with special equipment designed for that purpose.

                      And that’s what the whole field of condition monitoring and predictive
                      maintenance is all about.

                      With advanced technologies in vibration analysis, infrared, ultrasound,
                      oil analysis, motor current analysis and nondestructive testing --
                      trained technicians can routinely monitor and inspect equipment, and
                      detect these early warning signals.

                      The difference between the time a PdM specialist detects problems
                      and when an operator sees them are huge. Remember, detection time
                      equals money – big money.




©2009 GPAllied, LLC                          Page 9 of 15                              www.gpallied.com
10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn




                    The following graph illustrates how repair costs increase according to
                    the time a problem is detected:




                    In spite of the evidence, the reality is that most asset-dependent
                    companies are not doing nearly enough predictive maintenance. Even
                    though PdM has been around for over 40 years, it is still “new” to some
                    organizations.

                    That leads to late detections, emergency maintenance, and all the
                    painful costs that come with it.


                    Lesson 8:          Predictive maintenance should be an integral part of
                                       your reliability strategy – and account for at least
                                       50% of your maintenance work.




www.gpallied.com                            Page 10 of 15                     ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability




                      The Disconnect Between Management and
                      Maintenance
                      Despite the enormous impact on the bottom line, you won’t find
                      maintenance and reliability taught in many schools. Zero business
                      schools, in fact.

                      So, most senior managers really don’t know what’s going on in
                      maintenance. What’s worse, they don’t even know the right questions
                      to ask.

                      What they do know is that maintenance is usually the single largest
                      controllable expense in a plant. And if the equipment appears to be
                      running “just fine”, they see maintenance as an easy way to cut
                      budgets and save money.

                      Trouble is, they don’t realize what the long-term impact is going to be.
                      And they usually get away with it – for awhile. Because it takes about
                      18 months before shortchanging maintenance takes its toll.

                      Then again, those who do understand reliability aren’t running the
                      companies. So they struggle to get the support they need for staffing,
                      equipment and training.

                      For example, a key reliability management position went unfilled at BP
                      for almost a year before the disastrous shutdown. What does that tell
                      you?

                      The truth is, most maintenance people are hard workers who care
                      about doing good work. But they don’t always have the leadership and
                      support they need to be successful.

                      The bottom line is that everyone is responsible for reliability, just like
                      everyone is responsible for safety.


                      Lesson 9:     Reliability must have support from the top. It is an
                                    investment to be optimized, not a cost to be
                                    minimized.




©2009 GPAllied, LLC                           Page 11 of 15                              www.gpallied.com
10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn




                    How Reliability Creates Wealth and
                    Competitive Advantage
                    Now for the good news.

                    Done right, reliability can produce eye-popping gains on income
                    statements and balance sheets. Consider the following:

                    A major pharmaceutical company slashed maintenance costs by $33
                    million and increased production rates – at just one plant.

                    A steel maker went from the verge of bankruptcy to the most profitable
                    steel maker in the world – cutting inventories by $40 million and
                    maintenance costs by 50%, while production shot up 17% and product
                    quality went up 20%.

                    A chemical company cut maintenance spending by 22% and added 15
                    million dollars to its bottom line in just two years.

                    A food processing plant doubled production and achieved a $45 million
                    swing in P&L in three years.

                    How did they do it? By understanding these ten basic truths about
                    reliability.

                    Reliability …

                    1. Has a huge impact on sales.
                    2. Has a huge impact on the cost of sales and therefore drives big
                       profit swings.
                    3. Is a long-term investment strategy.
                    4. Contains hidden costs not seen on your income statement.
                    5. Should not be a reactive, emergency-driven strategy.
                    6. Should not be triggered by a catastrophic “event”. The objective is
                       to create a non-event.
                    7. Costs are directly related to early detection of equipment problems.
                       Sooner is always better than later.




www.gpallied.com                       Page 12 of 15                          ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability




                      8. Relies heavily on predictive maintenance for early detection. Most
                         companies aren’t doing enough PdM.
                      9. Must have support from the top, yet few senior managers are
                         educated in the basic principles.

                      And that’s what we’ve attempted to do in this report – get you thinking
                      differently about your business than you were before.

                      Hopefully, by now you understand how reliability impacts your
                      company as an employer, business partner and community citizen.
                      You’ve seen how it influences revenues, costs, profits and share price.

                      And finally, that brings us to …


                      Lesson 10: Reliability is one of the last frontiers for real
                                 breakthroughs in wealth and competitive advantage.




©2009 GPAllied, LLC                          Page 13 of 15                              www.gpallied.com
10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn




                    Articles and References
                    BP to Shutdown Prudhoe Bay Oil Field
                    Press Release
                    August 7, 2006
                    http://www.bp.com/genericarticle.do?categoryId=2012968&contentId=7020563


                    BP shuts down Prudhoe Bay
                    By Wesley and Richard Richtmyer, Anchorage Daily News
                    August 7, 2006
                    http://www.adn.com/money/industries/oil/story/8052561p-7945629c.html


                    BP: Pipeline shutdown could last weeks or months
                    USAToday.com
                    August 7, 2006
                    http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/2006-08-06-alaskan-oil-field_x.htm


                    Pipeline Closure Sends Oil Higher; BP to Halt Production of 400,000
                    Barrels a Day in Alaska
                    By Steven Mufson, Washington Post Staff Writer; Page A01
                    August 8, 2006
                    http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/08/07/AR2006080700131.html


                    Alaskan shutdown to cost BP at least $100m
                    By Stephen Foley in New York, The Independent (London)
                    August 11, 2006
                    http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qn4158/is_20060811


                    BP's hard road ahead
                    By Steve Hargreaves, CNNMoney.com staff writer
                    August 14, 2006
                    http://money.cnn.com/2006/08/14/news/economy/bp_fix/index.htm


                    Analysis: Congress probes BP corrosion
                    By Donna Borak, UPI Energy Correspondent, WASHINGTON
                    September 6, 2006
                    http://www.upi.com/Energy/view.php?StoryID=20060906-022918-7864r


                    BP exec weasels out of testifying before congress; others admit BP
                    failed in Alaska
                    September 6, 2006
                    http://www.alaskareport.com/news11034.htm


                    BP corrosion expert job was unfilled more than year before spill
                    September 8, 2006
                    http://www.alaskareport.com/news11038.htm




www.gpallied.com                           Page 14 of 15                                 ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability




                      About GPAllied
                      GPAllied is a joint venture with General Physics Corporation, a global
                      performance improvement solutions provider of sales and technical training,
                      e-Learning solutions, management consulting and engineering services, and
                      Allied Reliability, Inc., a global engineering firm specializing in training,
                      predictive maintenance and reliability engineering.

                      GPAllied provides the most diverse reliability and operations consulting and
                      services globally available today. With offices in the Americas, Europe and
                      the Asia-Pacific region, GPAllied has extensive experience in the specialty
                      fields of Lean, Reliability Engineering, Six Sigma, Condition Monitoring,
                      Leadership and Change Management, Maintenance Planning and
                      Scheduling, Workforce Development and Maintenance Craft Skills training.
                      GPAllied serves clients in asset-intensive industries, like petrochemical,
                      mining, energy, manufacturing, food and beverage, and life sciences to
                      name a few. GPAllied brings together unique capabilities and synergistic
                      strengths of two thought leaders and allows for global implementation never
                      before realized by the industry. The result is the joining of People,
                      Processes and Technologies in one total package never before realized -
                      now available to the global marketplace.

                      FREE Reliability Consultation

                      Every year the gap between the companies who are taking advantage of
                      reliability and the ones who aren’t gets wider.

                      That’s why you can’t afford miss out on significant reliability improvements in
                      2009. Those who prepare now will reap big dividends in the future … while
                      others will continue to struggle to survive in these difficult economic times.

                      There are very few shortcuts. However, one is to make sure you get the
                      right help.

                      Now you can get answers to your most important questions about reliability
                      with a free, 55-minute reliability phone consultation.

                      There’s no hassle, no cost and no obligations. Any information you provide is
                      confidential and will not be shared outside of our firm.

                      To take advantage of this special offer, call Ricky Smith at 888-335-8276 or
                      843-725-8378. Or email at rsmith@gpallied.com




©2009 GPAllied, LLC                            Page 15 of 15                              www.gpallied.com
10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn




Legal Notice
While all attempts have been made to verify information provided in this publication, neither the
author nor the publisher assumes any responsibility for errors, omissions or contradictory
interpretation of the subject matter herein.

The purchaser or reader of this publication assumes responsibility for the use of these materials
and information. Adherence to all applicable laws and regulations, including federal, state and
local, governing business practices and any other aspects of doing business in the U.S. or any
other jurisdiction is the sole responsibility of the purchaser or reader. GPAllied, LLC assumes
no responsibility or liability whatsoever on behalf of any purchaser or reader of these materials.




  www.gpallied.com                                                            ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
GPAllied, LLC
4360 Corporate Road ▪ Suite 110 ▪ North Charleston, SC 29405 USA
                      Phone 888-335-8276
              www.gpallied.com ▪ info@gpallied.com

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What Every Senior Manager Should Know about Reliability

  • 1. www.alliedreliability.com Page 1 of 33 ©2006 Allied Reliability, Inc
  • 2. 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn Copyright Notice Copyright 2009 GPAllied, LLC. All rights reserved. Any unauthorized use, sharing, reproduction or distribution of these materials by any means, electronic, mechanical, or otherwise is strictly prohibited. No portion of these materials may be reproduced in any manner whatsoever, without the express written consent of the publisher. To obtain permission, please contact: GPAllied, LLC 4360 Corporate Road Suite 110 N. Charleston, SC 29405 USA Phone 888-335-8276 info@gpallied.com www.gpallied.com www.gpallied.com ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
  • 3. What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability Table of Contents 10 Powerful Lessons from One of the Most Expensive Mistakes in Recent Maintenance History.......................................................................................1 The Tiny Hole That Shook an Oil Giant..........................................................2 The Cost Side of the Equation .......................................................................3 The High Cost of Low Maintenance ...............................................................4 The Hidden Costs of Maintenance and Reliability..........................................5 The Most Expensive Word in Maintenance....................................................6 The Second Most Expensive Word in Maintenance.......................................7 Time is Money ................................................................................................8 The Truth About Equipment Breakdowns ......................................................9 The Disconnect Between Management and Maintenance...........................11 How Reliability Creates Wealth and Competitive Advantage.......................12 Articles and References ...............................................................................14 About GPAllied .............................................................................................15 www.gpallied.com ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
  • 4. 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn [ This page intentionally left blank ] www.gpallied.com ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
  • 5. What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability 10 Powerful Lessons from One of the Most Expensive Mistakes in Recent Maintenance History Monday, November 6, 2006 Updated: Tuesday, May 19, 2009 What’s the first thing you think of when you hear the word “maintenance”? Trouble? Bad news? A necessary evil? Or just plain boring? Then August 7, 2006 should be your wake-up call. That’s when oil giant BP admitted a tiny quarter-inch hole was part of a widespread corrosion problem affecting 16 miles of a 22-mile pipeline from Prudhoe Bay. As a result, BP was forced to shutdown up to 400,000 barrels a day of production from the largest oil field in the United States. The costs are staggering. However, BP’s battles with corrosion in its 29- year-old Alaskan oil pipeline are a reflection of a much bigger concern for many big corporations. Aging assets and years of poor maintenance are now taking their toll on profits. So that’s why we published this special report. Here are 10 important lessons you can learn from BP’s experience – surely one of the most expensive mistakes in recent history. ©2009 GPAllied, LLC Page 1 of 15 www.gpallied.com
  • 6. 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn The Tiny Hole That Shook an Oil Giant On March 2, 2006, a BP operator discovered a leak and quarter-inch hole in a pipe delivering oil to the trans-Alaska pipeline. Ultimately, that discovery led to the massive shutdown in August. BP’s decision affected a whopping 8 per cent of the US’s total domestic oil supply. In a market with tight oil supplies and near-record prices, BP’s shutdown could not have come at a worse time. For starters, revenue losses for BP and its partners, Exxon Mobil and Conoco, reached an astounding $28 million per day – or over $1 million per hour. And that could be the tip of the iceberg. The long-term impact of lost customers and lost business is still uncertain. Here’s the point. Most senior managers view maintenance simply as a cost. The truth is, maintenance has a tremendous impact on the top line of “asset-dependent” companies – like oil and chemical companies, pharmaceuticals, metals, electric utilities, etc. Every minute your equipment is shut down for unplanned maintenance means lost product – and lost sales. Lesson 1: Reliability has a huge impact on revenues. “Small” problems can make big money disappear from your top line. www.gpallied.com ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
  • 7. What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability The Cost Side of the Equation By all accounts, BP’s repair costs will be huge. At this writing, the company is expected to spend around $550 million to replace the 16 miles of pipe. That includes $30 million for new pipe, partly because BP is known as quot;a distressed buyerquot; in the steel market. And the costs for skilled workers like welders will come at a premium, since the labor market was already tight. Plus, BP announced the hiring of three outside experts to come in and recommend improvements for its corrosion program. Once again, these are just the direct costs for labor and materials. Fines, liabilities and legal costs are still adding up. Now this may seem like a drop in the bucket for a company the size of BP. After all, BP reported profits for the second quarter of 2006 soared to $7.27 billion. But earnings will surely take a hit from the huge costs of the temporary shutdown. And you can bet this money was not in the budget. Lesson 2: Reliability impacts both sides of the income statement: sales and cost of goods sold. That’s why Reliability causes enormous swings in profits. ©2009 GPAllied, LLC Page 3 of 15 www.gpallied.com
  • 8. 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn The High Cost of Low Maintenance BP budgeted some $71 million for battling corrosion in its Alaskan pipelines in 2006. That’s 15 percent more than 2005 and 80 percent over 2001. And that doesn’t include money for replacement and repairs. Was it enough? Apparently not. After the shutdown, BP admitted inadequate pipeline maintenance procedures and quot;a gapquot; in their corrosion program. quot;We based our corrosion program in cooperation with agencies --- what we thought was an adequate program. Clearly it is not,quot; said Bob Malone, president of BP America. quot;Our program was insufficient and will be rectified going forward,quot; Steve Marshall, president of BP Alaska said during an August news conference. Let’s do the math. In essence, BP was spending $71 million to protect an asset that delivers about $10 billion in annual revenues. Now even if you don’t know anything about maintenance and reliability, doesn’t that sound a little risky? Shortchanging maintenance is like playing Russian roulette. Pay now or pay later. Lesson 3: Reliability is a long-term investment strategy. It is not the place for turning a quick buck. www.gpallied.com Page 4 of 15 ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
  • 9. What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability The Hidden Costs of Maintenance and Reliability The fallout from BP’s shutdown continues, now that the blame game has begun. Here are just a few examples of the nasty criticism and finger-pointing aimed at BP: Whistleblowers inside BP accused the company of skirting maintenance issues for years, while BP says it acted responsibly. Internal audits pointed to problems with an understaffed maintenance and reliability team, along with management that was “fairly new” to the job. Heads are starting to roll as one key manager was quot;put on leave.quot; BP’s top executives faced angry grilling from US lawmakers in Washington as the company got blasted for its pipeline maintenance lapses. The company was forced to respond to accusations that it engineered the shutdown to manipulate oil prices. “Nothing could be further from the truth,” said BP executive Malone. Joe Barton, a Texas Republican who chairs the House of Representatives' energy and commerce committee, said: quot;If … one of the world's most successful oil companies can't do simple, basic maintenance needed to keep the Prudhoe Bay field operating safely … maybe it shouldn't operate the pipeline.” Competitors started taking advantage, chuckling that BP stands for “Big Problems”. All this finger-pointing adds up to one big corporate black eye for BP. Lesson 4: The hidden costs of poor reliability far outweigh the direct costs of replacement and repairs. ©2009 GPAllied, LLC Page 5 of 15 www.gpallied.com
  • 10. 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn The Most Expensive Word in Maintenance The following is an excerpt from BP’s press release on August 7, 2006 announcing the shutdown of Prudhoe Bay: “BP … has begun an orderly and phased shutdown of the Prudhoe Bay oil field following the discovery of unexpectedly severe corrosion …” What’s the key word here? “Unexpectedly”. In maintenance, “unexpected” means “emergency”. And emergency maintenance is absolutely the most expensive form of maintenance possible. Why? Emergency maintenance means immediate shutdowns. Phone calls in the middle of the night. Troubleshooting on the fly. Expediting spare parts. Rush jobs. Working around the clock until the repairs are made. In essence, emergency maintenance equals pure chaos. Does that sound like a cost-effective way to do maintenance to you? Lesson 5: The most expensive word in maintenance is “unexpected”. That’s what happens when you don’t do maintenance right. www.gpallied.com Page 6 of 15 ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
  • 11. What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability The Second Most Expensive Word in Maintenance According to published reports, a BP operator first discovered the leak that ultimately led to the shutdown. The big problem here is the word “operator”. Because when operators are the first ones to notice equipment problems, it’s usually too late. That’s equivalent to waiting for cardiac arrest as the first sign of a heart problem. Listen, modern maintenance is not a repair function any more. The image of the Maytag repairman sitting around playing cards, waiting for the phone to ring is long gone. If your maintenance people are waiting for calls from operators, you’re skating on thin ice. Yet that’s exactly what’s happening at the majority of manufacturing plants in North America right now. There’s still way too much maintenance that is emergency maintenance. As a result, many plants are one small failure away from a major disruption in business. Lesson 6: Reliability should not be triggered by an “event”. The objective is to create a non-event. ©2009 GPAllied, LLC Page 7 of 15 www.gpallied.com
  • 12. 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn Time is Money Despite what you may have heard, the basic maintenance process is really simple: 1. Detect problems 2. Plan and schedule the repairs 3. Make the repairs And the secret to good maintenance is in the first step: Detecting problems early. Why? Because there is a direct correlation between early detection and maintenance costs. Simply put, the earlier you can detect problems, the faster, cheaper and easier it is to make repairs. You’ve seen the damage at BP – the costs of emergency repairs can be astronomic. There is a huge difference between emergency maintenance and planned, proactive maintenance: Emergency maintenance Proactive maintenance means: means: Late detection by operators Early detection by skilled maintenance technicians using advanced monitoring technologies Waiting for things to happen Thinking about things before they happen. Identifying problems that are still small and easy to fix Immediate shutdowns and indefinite Planned, scheduled shutdowns to keep downtime to a downtime minimum Expediting spare parts -- regardless of Planning and ordering spare parts in advance costs Working overtime, 24/7 until repairs are Having everything prepared for – scheduling maintenance made crews to do the job right the first time High costs Low costs High stress Low stress High safety risk Low safety risk Blame, finger-pointing, frustration, Confidence, pride, job security, teamwork, optimism, distrust, pessimism, waste rewarding Lesson 7: In maintenance, time is money. Late detection means costly corrections. www.gpallied.com Page 8 of 15 ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
  • 13. What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability The Truth About Equipment Breakdowns That quarter-inch hole didn’t suddenly appear in BP’s pipeline overnight. Like most failures, it developed over a period of weeks, months or years. Fact is, problems start small and get worse with time. What’s important to realize is that the equipment will send off early warning signals along the way. These early warning signs might be slight changes in physical dimensions -- like pipe thickness at BP. Or they could be minor changes in temperature, vibration or sound. Not all of these changes can be detected by human senses -- but they can be picked up with special equipment designed for that purpose. And that’s what the whole field of condition monitoring and predictive maintenance is all about. With advanced technologies in vibration analysis, infrared, ultrasound, oil analysis, motor current analysis and nondestructive testing -- trained technicians can routinely monitor and inspect equipment, and detect these early warning signals. The difference between the time a PdM specialist detects problems and when an operator sees them are huge. Remember, detection time equals money – big money. ©2009 GPAllied, LLC Page 9 of 15 www.gpallied.com
  • 14. 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn The following graph illustrates how repair costs increase according to the time a problem is detected: In spite of the evidence, the reality is that most asset-dependent companies are not doing nearly enough predictive maintenance. Even though PdM has been around for over 40 years, it is still “new” to some organizations. That leads to late detections, emergency maintenance, and all the painful costs that come with it. Lesson 8: Predictive maintenance should be an integral part of your reliability strategy – and account for at least 50% of your maintenance work. www.gpallied.com Page 10 of 15 ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
  • 15. What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability The Disconnect Between Management and Maintenance Despite the enormous impact on the bottom line, you won’t find maintenance and reliability taught in many schools. Zero business schools, in fact. So, most senior managers really don’t know what’s going on in maintenance. What’s worse, they don’t even know the right questions to ask. What they do know is that maintenance is usually the single largest controllable expense in a plant. And if the equipment appears to be running “just fine”, they see maintenance as an easy way to cut budgets and save money. Trouble is, they don’t realize what the long-term impact is going to be. And they usually get away with it – for awhile. Because it takes about 18 months before shortchanging maintenance takes its toll. Then again, those who do understand reliability aren’t running the companies. So they struggle to get the support they need for staffing, equipment and training. For example, a key reliability management position went unfilled at BP for almost a year before the disastrous shutdown. What does that tell you? The truth is, most maintenance people are hard workers who care about doing good work. But they don’t always have the leadership and support they need to be successful. The bottom line is that everyone is responsible for reliability, just like everyone is responsible for safety. Lesson 9: Reliability must have support from the top. It is an investment to be optimized, not a cost to be minimized. ©2009 GPAllied, LLC Page 11 of 15 www.gpallied.com
  • 16. 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn How Reliability Creates Wealth and Competitive Advantage Now for the good news. Done right, reliability can produce eye-popping gains on income statements and balance sheets. Consider the following: A major pharmaceutical company slashed maintenance costs by $33 million and increased production rates – at just one plant. A steel maker went from the verge of bankruptcy to the most profitable steel maker in the world – cutting inventories by $40 million and maintenance costs by 50%, while production shot up 17% and product quality went up 20%. A chemical company cut maintenance spending by 22% and added 15 million dollars to its bottom line in just two years. A food processing plant doubled production and achieved a $45 million swing in P&L in three years. How did they do it? By understanding these ten basic truths about reliability. Reliability … 1. Has a huge impact on sales. 2. Has a huge impact on the cost of sales and therefore drives big profit swings. 3. Is a long-term investment strategy. 4. Contains hidden costs not seen on your income statement. 5. Should not be a reactive, emergency-driven strategy. 6. Should not be triggered by a catastrophic “event”. The objective is to create a non-event. 7. Costs are directly related to early detection of equipment problems. Sooner is always better than later. www.gpallied.com Page 12 of 15 ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
  • 17. What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability 8. Relies heavily on predictive maintenance for early detection. Most companies aren’t doing enough PdM. 9. Must have support from the top, yet few senior managers are educated in the basic principles. And that’s what we’ve attempted to do in this report – get you thinking differently about your business than you were before. Hopefully, by now you understand how reliability impacts your company as an employer, business partner and community citizen. You’ve seen how it influences revenues, costs, profits and share price. And finally, that brings us to … Lesson 10: Reliability is one of the last frontiers for real breakthroughs in wealth and competitive advantage. ©2009 GPAllied, LLC Page 13 of 15 www.gpallied.com
  • 18. 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn Articles and References BP to Shutdown Prudhoe Bay Oil Field Press Release August 7, 2006 http://www.bp.com/genericarticle.do?categoryId=2012968&contentId=7020563 BP shuts down Prudhoe Bay By Wesley and Richard Richtmyer, Anchorage Daily News August 7, 2006 http://www.adn.com/money/industries/oil/story/8052561p-7945629c.html BP: Pipeline shutdown could last weeks or months USAToday.com August 7, 2006 http://www.usatoday.com/news/nation/2006-08-06-alaskan-oil-field_x.htm Pipeline Closure Sends Oil Higher; BP to Halt Production of 400,000 Barrels a Day in Alaska By Steven Mufson, Washington Post Staff Writer; Page A01 August 8, 2006 http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/08/07/AR2006080700131.html Alaskan shutdown to cost BP at least $100m By Stephen Foley in New York, The Independent (London) August 11, 2006 http://www.findarticles.com/p/articles/mi_qn4158/is_20060811 BP's hard road ahead By Steve Hargreaves, CNNMoney.com staff writer August 14, 2006 http://money.cnn.com/2006/08/14/news/economy/bp_fix/index.htm Analysis: Congress probes BP corrosion By Donna Borak, UPI Energy Correspondent, WASHINGTON September 6, 2006 http://www.upi.com/Energy/view.php?StoryID=20060906-022918-7864r BP exec weasels out of testifying before congress; others admit BP failed in Alaska September 6, 2006 http://www.alaskareport.com/news11034.htm BP corrosion expert job was unfilled more than year before spill September 8, 2006 http://www.alaskareport.com/news11038.htm www.gpallied.com Page 14 of 15 ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
  • 19. What Every Senior Manager Must Know About Reliability About GPAllied GPAllied is a joint venture with General Physics Corporation, a global performance improvement solutions provider of sales and technical training, e-Learning solutions, management consulting and engineering services, and Allied Reliability, Inc., a global engineering firm specializing in training, predictive maintenance and reliability engineering. GPAllied provides the most diverse reliability and operations consulting and services globally available today. With offices in the Americas, Europe and the Asia-Pacific region, GPAllied has extensive experience in the specialty fields of Lean, Reliability Engineering, Six Sigma, Condition Monitoring, Leadership and Change Management, Maintenance Planning and Scheduling, Workforce Development and Maintenance Craft Skills training. GPAllied serves clients in asset-intensive industries, like petrochemical, mining, energy, manufacturing, food and beverage, and life sciences to name a few. GPAllied brings together unique capabilities and synergistic strengths of two thought leaders and allows for global implementation never before realized by the industry. The result is the joining of People, Processes and Technologies in one total package never before realized - now available to the global marketplace. FREE Reliability Consultation Every year the gap between the companies who are taking advantage of reliability and the ones who aren’t gets wider. That’s why you can’t afford miss out on significant reliability improvements in 2009. Those who prepare now will reap big dividends in the future … while others will continue to struggle to survive in these difficult economic times. There are very few shortcuts. However, one is to make sure you get the right help. Now you can get answers to your most important questions about reliability with a free, 55-minute reliability phone consultation. There’s no hassle, no cost and no obligations. Any information you provide is confidential and will not be shared outside of our firm. To take advantage of this special offer, call Ricky Smith at 888-335-8276 or 843-725-8378. Or email at rsmith@gpallied.com ©2009 GPAllied, LLC Page 15 of 15 www.gpallied.com
  • 20. 10 Powerful Lessons You Should Learn Legal Notice While all attempts have been made to verify information provided in this publication, neither the author nor the publisher assumes any responsibility for errors, omissions or contradictory interpretation of the subject matter herein. The purchaser or reader of this publication assumes responsibility for the use of these materials and information. Adherence to all applicable laws and regulations, including federal, state and local, governing business practices and any other aspects of doing business in the U.S. or any other jurisdiction is the sole responsibility of the purchaser or reader. GPAllied, LLC assumes no responsibility or liability whatsoever on behalf of any purchaser or reader of these materials. www.gpallied.com ©2009 GPAllied, LLC
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