The Danish defense budget, valued at US$4.1 billion in 2013, is estimated to register a CAGR of -9.16% during the forecast period and decline to US$2.8 billion by 2018. This decrease in spending is expected to be primarily due to the country's public debt, which will force Denmark to cut its defense budget over the forecast period. Primarily driven by capability building and participation in NATO and UN operations, the country's defense expenditure is expected to focus more on the procurement of equipment for its maritime security, cyber security, missile defense, and counterterrorism capabilities over the period 2014-2018. The country's defense imports and exports are expected to increase marginally over the forecast period.
ResearchMoz: Future of the Danish Defense Industry to 2018
1. Future of the Danish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018
Product Synopsis
This report is the result of SDI's extensive market and company research covering the Danish defense
industry, and provides detailed analysis of both historic and forecast defense industry values including key
growth stimulators, analysis of the leading companies in the industry, and key news.
Introduction and Landscape
Why was the report written?
The Future of the Danish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to
2018 offers the reader an insight into the market opportunities and entry strategies adopted by foreign original
equipment manufacturers (OEMs) to gain market share in the Danish defense industry.
What is the current market landscape and what is changing?
The Danish defense budget, valued at US$4.1 billion in 2013, is estimated to register a CAGR of -9.16%
during the forecast period and decline to US$2.8 billion by 2018. This decrease in spending is expected to be
primarily due to the country's public debt, which will force Denmark to cut its defense budget over the
forecast period. Primarily driven by capability building and participation in NATO and UN operations, the
country's defense expenditure is expected to focus more on the procurement of equipment for its maritime
security, cyber security, missile defense, and counterterrorism capabilities over the period 2014-2018. The
country's defense imports and exports are expected to increase marginally over the forecast period.
What are the key drivers behind recent market changes?
Denmark's defense priorities focus on enhancing the capabilities of its armed forces to deploy force
contributions at short notice for safeguarding Danish interests at home and abroad, and for participation in
NATO's operations and UN peacekeeping operations. These factors are expected to drive the country's
military expenditure over the forecast period.
What makes this report unique and essential to read?
The Future of the Danish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to
2018 provides detailed analysis of the current industry size and growth expectations from 2014 to 2018,
including highlights of key growth stimulators. It also benchmarks the industry against key global markets and
provides a detailed understanding of emerging opportunities in specific areas.
Key Features and Benefits
The report provides detailed analysis of the current industry size and growth expectations from 2014 to 2018,
including highlights of key growth stimulators, and also benchmarks the industry against key global markets
and provides a detailed understanding of emerging opportunities in specific areas.
The report includes trend analysis of imports and exports, together with their implications and impact on the
Danish defense industry.
Future of the Danish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018
2. The report covers five forces analysis to identify various power centers in the industry and how these are
expected to develop in the future.
The report allows readers to identify possible ways to enter the market, together with detailed descriptions of
how existing companies have entered the market, including key contracts, alliances, and strategic initiatives.
The report helps the reader to understand the competitive landscape of the defense industry in Denmark. It
provides an overview of key defense companies, both domestic and foreign, together with insights such as key
alliances, strategic initiatives, and a brief financial analysis.
Key Market Issues
Denmark has a small defense budget when compared to other European countries such as the UK, Germany,
and France, and is likely to register negative growth over the forecast period. As the Danish government
allocates a small proportion of its budget to defense, the country spends less on the purchase of equipment and
high-technology arms and ammunition. Moreover, the country spends less on advanced technology and
research and development, resulting in lower export capacities. Consequently, the country's low defense
budget has become a barrier to entry for foreign companies. As Denmark's defense industry comprises small
companies with little specialization in a particular weapon category, and due to a lack of advanced defense
technology, foreign weapon suppliers wishing to conduct business face challenges in infrastructure. Although
these foreign suppliers can bring in advanced technology, this will result in technology imports without any
offset incentives. Foreign suppliers face challenges on these fronts while pursuing a defense business
opportunity.
Denmark is a member of the Nordic Council, which was formed in 1952 with the purpose of enhancing
economic co-operation among Nordic countries. Moreover, with the formation of the Nordic Defense
Co-operation (NORDEFCO) in 2009, defense procurement from - and joint equipment development programs
with -Nordic member countries are likely to increase during the forecast period. Additionally, as Denmark has
signed a defense co-operation treaty with the US, the country is giving preference to US companies while
purchasing defense materials. As a consequence, it has become challenging for companies from countries
other than the US and those in the Nordic region to enter the Danish defense market.
Key Highlights
Safeguarding Danish interests: The primary purpose of Danish armed forces is to enforce the sovereignty of
the kingdom and safeguarding Danish interests in Greenland, Faroe Islands and abroad. In addition, the
country's armed forces are also expected to carry out national tasks such as surveillance and rescue operations.
Climate changes leading to increased geographic accessibility in Arctic region have been resulting in
heightened commercial activity in the area. The Danish armed forces are expected to safeguard the country's
right to extract natural resources in Greenland and the Arctic region. During the review period, the Ministry of
Defense undertook a number of major reorganizations of its armed forces to equip relevant and contemporary
capacities. In addition, the Danish government believes that the continuous proliferation of weapons of mass
destruction and long-range missiles along with cyber-attacks pose major security threats to Danish interests.
International developments coupled with these factors will lead to altered requirements for the capacity
development of Danish armed forces, which is expected to deploy its forces quickly and flexibly, with a focus
Future of the Danish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018
3. on short as well as sustained operations. As part of the capacity development, the Danish government is
planning to equip its armed forces with modern military arms and equipment such as joint strike fighter
aircraft, marine helicopters, armored vehicles, patrol vessels, small ships, radars and communication systems,
new artillery systems, and ballistic missile defense systems among others. International Peacekeeping
missions: Denmark is the main contributor to NATO (KFOR) operations in Kosovo with a commitment of
about 150 military personnel. In November 2010 Denmark reaffirmed its commitment to assist NATO forces
in Afghanistan and also committed to help train Afghan security forces ahead of an eventual withdrawal of
NATO troops scheduled at the end of 2014, allowing the country to assume full sovereignty.
Cyber-warfare has moved up the list of favorite mode of attack by terrorist groups over the last five years.
The possibility of destroying the nation's strategic resources even without entering into the country is
appealing to these terrorists groups and instances of such cyber-attacks have been increasing. Danish Defense
Intelligence identified cyber war as the most serious threat to national security in its risk assessment
announced in October 2012. The Danish government placed high priority on cyber security and established a
Computer Emergency Response Team (CERT), which joined the Europe Government CERTs group (EGC
group), a joint effort by European countries to counter cyber-attacks. Furthermore, Denmark's Defense
Intelligence Service is planning to establish a cyber warfare unit 'Center for Cyber Security' to safeguard its
military network from cyber-attacks with an estimated budget of US$6 million. The center's budget is
expected to increase annually to reach US$26 million by 2017 and will be handling both defensive and
offensive cyber security measures.
Arms imports in Denmark declined sharply in 2010 and 2011 due to the country's budget cuts, which
recovered in 2012. The country's defense imports are expected to recover gradually over the forecast period, as
the country plans to modernize its military and procurement of F-35 joint strike fighters, MH-60R marine
helicopters, and ballistic missile defense systems. Denmark sourced 31.8% of its defense import requirements
from the UK during 2008-2012, followed by Sweden, the Netherlands and Germany, accounting for 29.7%,
18.0%, and 10.0% of defense imports respectively. Switzerland and the US were other major arms suppliers
for the country. Over the period 2013-2017, the country is expected to increase its defense imports, especially
from the US and its European neighbors.
1 Introduction
1.1. What Is This Report About?
1.2. Definitions
1.3. Summary Methodology
1.4. Sdi Terrorism Index
1.5. About Strategic Defence Intelligence
2 Executive Summary
3 Market Attractiveness And Emerging Opportunities
3.1. Defense Market Size Historical And Forecast
3.1.1. Danish Defense Expenditure Expected To Register A Cagr Of -9.1% Over The Forecast Period
3.1.2. Capability Building, And Participation In Nato And Un Operations Expected To Drive Defense
Spending Over The Forecast Period
3.1.3. Denmark's Defense Expenditure As A Percentage Of Gdp Expected To Decrease
Future of the Danish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018
4. 3.2. Analysis Of Defense Budget Allocation
3.2.1. Share Of Capital Expenditure Expected To Increase Over Forecast Period
3.2.2. Share Of Equipment Expenditure Expected To Remain Same Over Forecast Period
3.2.3. Procurement Of Helicopter And Artillery System To Drive Denmark's Equipment Expenditure
3.2.4. Budget Allocation For Other Capital Expenditure To Register A Cagr Of -0.91% During The Forecast
Period
3.2.5. Share Of Personnel Expenditure Expected To Decrease Over Forecast Period
3.2.6. Per Capita Defense Expenditure Set To Decrease Over The Forecast Period
3.3. Homeland Security Market Size And Forecast
3.3.1. Danish Homeland Security Expenditure Expected To Increase At A Cagr Of 3.15%
3.3.2. Cyber Security And Counter Terrorism Are Main Homeland Security Concerns
3.3.3. Denmark Falls Under Low Risk Of Terrorism Category
3.4. Benchmarking With Key Global Markets
3.4.1. Denmark Defense Budget Expected To Decline Over The Forecast Period
3.4.2. Denmark To Follow Its European Neighbors In Cutting Defense Spending
3.4.3. Denmark Follows Its Neighbors In Allocating Lower Share Of Gdp For Defense
3.4.4. Denmark Faces Low Threat From Foreign Terrorist Organizations
3.5. Market Opportunities: Key Trends And Growth Stimulators
3.5.1. Fighters And Multi-role Aircraft
3.5.2. Maritime Helicopter
3.5.3. Rotorcraft Mro
3.5.4. Maritime Security
3.5.5. Air Defense Missile Systems
4 Defense Procurement Market Dynamics
4.1. Import Market Dynamics
4.1.1. Defense Imports Are Expected To Recover Over The Forecast Period
4.1.2. Denmark Sourced Majority Of Its Arms Imports From Its Neighbors
4.1.3. Armored Vehicles And Aircraft Dominate Military Hardware Imports
4.2. Export Market Dynamics
4.2.1. Arms Exports To Recover During The Forecast Period
4.2.2. Denmark Arms Exports Expected To Increase
4.2.3. Aircraft And Ships Are The Main Exported Defense Products
5 Industry Dynamics
5.1. Five Forces Analysis
5.1.1. Bargaining Power Of Supplier: Low
5.1.2. Bargaining Power Of Buyer: High
5.1.3. Barrier To Entry: Low
5.1.4. Intensity Of Rivalry: Medium To High
5.1.5. Threat Of Substitution: High
6 Market Entry Strategy
6.1. Market Regulation
6.1.1. Offset Policy Aids Development Of Domestic Defense Industry
6.1.2. Denmark Permits 100% Foreign Direct Investment In Defense Sector
Future of the Danish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018
5. 6.2. Market Entry Route
6.2.1. Forming Subsidiaries Or Acquiring Danish Companies Are Good Market Entry Opportunities
6.2.2. Forming Consortiums And Product Development Agreements Open New Market Entry Strategy
Choices
6.2.3. Joint Weapon Development Programs Are A Viable Market Entry Opportunity
6.3. Key Challenges
6.3.1. Low Defense Budget And Limited Technological Capability Hinder Market Entry By Foreign
Companies
6.3.2. Preference To Procurement From Us And Nordic Companies Challenging For Other Suppliers
7 Competitive Landscape And Strategic Insights
1.1 Competitive Landscape Overview
1.2 Key Foreign Companies
7.1.1. Systematic A/s: Overview
7.1.2. Systematic A/s: Products And Services
7.1.3. Systematic A/s: Recent Announcements And Strategic Initiatives
7.1.4. Systematic A/s: Alliances
7.1.5. Systematic A/s: Recent Contract Wins
7.1.6. Terma A/s: Overview
7.1.7. Terma A/s: Products And Service
7.1.8. Terma A/s: Recent Announcements And Strategic Initiatives
7.1.9. Terma A/s: Alliances
7.1.10. Terma A/s: Recent Contract Wins
7.1.11. Ap Services A/s: Overview
7.1.12. Ap Services A/s: Products And Services
7.1.13. Arenalogic Aps: Overview
7.1.14. Arenalogic Aps: Products And Services
7.1.15. Arenalogic Aps: Recent Announcements And Strategic Initiatives
7.1.16. Arenalogic Aps: Alliances
7.1.17. Copenhagen Sensor Technology Aps: Overview
7.1.18. Copenhagen Sensor Technology Aps: Products And Services
7.1.19. Copenhagen Sensor Technology Aps: Recent Announcements And Strategic Initiatives
7.1.20. Copenhagen Sensor Technology Aps: Alliances
7.1.21. Danish Aerotech A/s: Overview
7.1.22. Danish Aerotech A/s: Products And Services
7.1.23. Danish Aerotech A/s: Recent Announcements And Strategic Initiatives
7.1.24. Danish Aerotech A/s: Alliances
7.1.25. Danish Aerotech A/s: Recent Contract Wins
7.1.26. Falck Schmidt Defence Systems A/s: Overview
7.1.27. Falck Schmidt Defence Systems A/s: Products And Services
7.1.28. Falck Schmidt Defence Systems A/s: Recent Announcements And Strategic Initiatives
7.1.29. Falck Schmidt Defence Systems A/s: Alliances
7.1.30. Falck Schmidt Defence Systems A/s: Recent Contract Wins
7.1.31. Ifad Ts A/s: Overview
Future of the Danish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018
6. 7.1.32. Ifad Ts A/s: Products And Services
7.1.33. Ifad Ts A/s: Recent Announcements And Strategic Initiatives
7.1.34. Ifad Ts A/s: Alliances
7.1.35. Ifad Ts A/s: Recent Contract Wins
1.3 Key Foreign Companies
7.1.36. Alcatel-lucent Denmark A/s: Overview
7.1.37. Alcatel-lucent Denmark A/s: Products And Services
7.1.38. Alcatel-lucent Denmark A/s: Recent Announcements And Strategic Initiatives
7.1.39. Alcatel-lucent Denmark A/s: Recent Contract Wins
7.1.40. Lockheed Martin Denmark: Overview
7.1.41. Lockheed Martin Denmark: Products And Services
7.1.42. Lockheed Martin Denmark: Recent Announcements And Strategic Initiatives
7.1.43. Lockheed Martin Denmark: Alliances
7.1.44. Lockheed Martin Denmark: Recent Contract Wins
7.1.45. Tencate Advanced Armour Denmark A/s: Overview
7.1.46. Tencate Advanced Armour Denmark A/s: Defense Products
7.1.47. Tencate Advanced Armour Denmark A/s: Recent Announcements And Strategic Initiatives
7.1.48. Tencate Advanced Armour Denmark A/s: Alliances
7.1.49. Tencate Advanced Armour Denmark A/s: Recent Contract Wins
8 Business Environment And Country Risk
8.1. Demographics And Social Statistics
8.1.1. Population - Rural
8.1.2. Population - Urban
8.1.3. Population - Number Of Households
8.2. Economic Performance
8.2.1. Gross Domestic Per Capita
8.2.2. Gross Domestic Product, Current Us$
8.2.3. Exports Of Goods And Services
8.2.4. Imports Of Goods And Services
8.2.5. Gross National Disposable Income
8.2.6. Manufacturing Output
8.2.7. Consumer Price Index
8.2.8. Wholesale Price Index
8.2.9. Local Currency Unit Per Us$
8.2.10. Local Currency Unit Per Eur
8.2.11. Market Capitalization Of Listed Companies
8.2.12. Market Capitalization Of Listed Companies As A % Of Gdp
8.2.13. Total Government Cash Surplus/deficit
8.2.14. Government Cash Surplus/deficit
8.2.15. Central Government Debt
8.2.16. Central Government Debt As A % Of Gdp
8.2.17. Goods Exports As A % Of Gdp
8.2.18. Goods Imports As A % Of Gdp
Future of the Danish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018
7. 8.2.19. Goods Trade Surplus/deficit As A % Of Gdp
8.2.20. Services Imports As A % Of Gdp
8.2.21. Services Exports As A % Of Gdp
8.2.22. Services Trade Surplus/deficit As A % Of Gdp
8.2.23. Net Foreign Direct Investment
8.2.24. Net Fdi As A Percentage Of Gdp
8.2.25. International Reserves, Including Gold
8.3. Energy And Utilities
8.3.1. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Net Generation
8.3.2. Hydroelectricity Net Generation
8.3.3. Nuclear Electricity Net Generation
8.3.4. Total Conventional Thermal Electricity Installed Capacity
8.3.5. Total Electricity Exports
8.3.6. Total Electricity Imports
8.3.7. Proved Reserves Of Natural Gas (trillion Cubic Feet)
8.3.8. Total Petroleum Consumption
8.3.9. Crude Oil Proved Reserves (billion Barrels)
8.3.10. Total Non-hydro Renewable Electricity Net Generation
8.4. Infrastructure Quality And Availability
8.4.1. Roads, Total Network (km)
8.4.2. Rail Lines, Total Network
8.5. Minerals
8.5.1. Mining, Manufacturing, Utilities Output
8.6. Technology
8.6.1. Research And Development Expenditure
8.6.2. Patents Granted
8.7. Telecommunication
8.7.1. Telephone Lines
8.7.2. Telephone Lines Penetration Rate
9 Appendix
9.1. About Sdi
9.2. Disclaimer
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Future of the Danish Defense Industry - Market Attractiveness, Competitive Landscape and Forecasts to 2018