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The recent experience of
Latvia on euro adoption
Andris Vilks, Minister of Finance
Republic of Latvia, 2010-2014
MINISTRY
OF FINANCE
REPUBLIC
OF LATVIA
• Latvia joined the European Union in 2004 and membership in the euro area was set
in the agreement of its accession to the European Union (EU).
• Latvia's participation in the EU was determined in 2003 by a national referendum.
70% voted “for”
• Latvian lats joined Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) II on 2 May 2005, and
observed a central rate of 0.702804 to the euro with a fluctuation band of ±15%,
but Latvia unilaterally maintained a 1% fluctuation band around the central rate.
• Participation in the Exchange Rate Mechanism II to stabilize economy in accordance
with five criteria: low inflation, low budget deficit and government debt, low
interest rates and a stable exchange rate.
Latvia started preparation for euro adoption in 2003
Latvia – the hardest hit country in economic crisis of 2009
EURO – key driving force for change in Latvia
o EURO = crisis exit strategy
o EURO = key driving force:
- to put Latvian economy on solid ground
- to perform structural reforms
Lessons Learned
5
Maastricht criterion, April 2013 Reference value Latvia’s respective indicator
Inflation
2.7% 1.3%
Budget deficit (% of GDP) 3% 1.2%
Public debt (% of GDP) 60% 41%
Long-term interest rate 5.5% 3.8%
ERM II membership At least 2 years Since 2005
• Bad timing (crisis in Eurozone)
• Bad experience from previous changeovers
• Loss of lats as a symbol of national identity
• Low public support
• Fear of price shock and unfair traders
• Too high implementation costs for business
• Too complicated task for country
8
• Crisis exit strategy, based on a strong structural reform and
responsible monetary instruments
• Establishes Latvia as belonging to the core of Europe
• Number of immediate economic gains
• Euro dominated in Latvian economy already
• Stable currency and stable government finances essential to long
term growth of a small open economy such as Latvia
9
• Increase in credit rating
• Lower interest costs for both the public and private sector
• Improved investment climate and increasing FDI flows
• Increase in trade
• Devaluation risk disappears and so do conversion costs
• ECB liquidity financing becomes available to Latvian banks
• Adoption of euro legislation. An umbrella law – the Law on the Procedure for
Introducing the Euro. Basic principles of rounding off, dual display, dual
circulation, etc
• Latvia’s National Euro Changeover plan with detailed action plan
• Adjustment of IT systems (107 systems in ministerial level, 418 in municipal
level, a lot in private)
• More than 2000 legal acts had to be revised and introduced
• Preparation for the cash changeover
• Starter kits for general public and small business
• Mapping of banks, ATM, post offices
• Security action plan
• Action plan for bad weather conditions
Growth in natural for all living beings
Changeover is simple, safe and convenient
Global development suggest that deeper
integration in EU is natural
Global development suggest that Euro
introduction in Latvia should be seen as natural
• Euro adoption was the most carefully planned event in the history of Latvia
• Open dialog and knowledge sharing was the key instrument
• Problem free and smooth changeover because of full readiness
• Well accepted design of Latvian euro coins
• Growing support in society
• No price shocks, low inflation
• No exchange (lats/euro) costs anymore for companies and households
• No currency and devaluation risks, cheaper transactions
• Improved credit ratings for country, companies
• Access to financial assistance for banking sector and public finances (ECB,
ESM)
The euro is not a “magic wand”
for all economic difficulties, but
an instrument which can be
used to contribute growth of the
economic potential.
RETURNS TO
EUROPE
NATIONAL SYMBOL
OF LATVIA
FROM
JANUARY 1ST
, 2014
EUROZONE IS
JOINING LATVIA
EURO. LATVIA GROWS!

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Prezentare Andris Vilks, Conferința „Calea României către zona euro”

  • 1. The recent experience of Latvia on euro adoption Andris Vilks, Minister of Finance Republic of Latvia, 2010-2014 MINISTRY OF FINANCE REPUBLIC OF LATVIA
  • 2. • Latvia joined the European Union in 2004 and membership in the euro area was set in the agreement of its accession to the European Union (EU). • Latvia's participation in the EU was determined in 2003 by a national referendum. 70% voted “for” • Latvian lats joined Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) II on 2 May 2005, and observed a central rate of 0.702804 to the euro with a fluctuation band of ±15%, but Latvia unilaterally maintained a 1% fluctuation band around the central rate. • Participation in the Exchange Rate Mechanism II to stabilize economy in accordance with five criteria: low inflation, low budget deficit and government debt, low interest rates and a stable exchange rate. Latvia started preparation for euro adoption in 2003
  • 3. Latvia – the hardest hit country in economic crisis of 2009
  • 4. EURO – key driving force for change in Latvia o EURO = crisis exit strategy o EURO = key driving force: - to put Latvian economy on solid ground - to perform structural reforms
  • 6. Maastricht criterion, April 2013 Reference value Latvia’s respective indicator Inflation 2.7% 1.3% Budget deficit (% of GDP) 3% 1.2% Public debt (% of GDP) 60% 41% Long-term interest rate 5.5% 3.8% ERM II membership At least 2 years Since 2005
  • 7. • Bad timing (crisis in Eurozone) • Bad experience from previous changeovers • Loss of lats as a symbol of national identity • Low public support • Fear of price shock and unfair traders • Too high implementation costs for business • Too complicated task for country
  • 8. 8 • Crisis exit strategy, based on a strong structural reform and responsible monetary instruments • Establishes Latvia as belonging to the core of Europe • Number of immediate economic gains • Euro dominated in Latvian economy already • Stable currency and stable government finances essential to long term growth of a small open economy such as Latvia
  • 9. 9 • Increase in credit rating • Lower interest costs for both the public and private sector • Improved investment climate and increasing FDI flows • Increase in trade • Devaluation risk disappears and so do conversion costs • ECB liquidity financing becomes available to Latvian banks
  • 10. • Adoption of euro legislation. An umbrella law – the Law on the Procedure for Introducing the Euro. Basic principles of rounding off, dual display, dual circulation, etc • Latvia’s National Euro Changeover plan with detailed action plan • Adjustment of IT systems (107 systems in ministerial level, 418 in municipal level, a lot in private) • More than 2000 legal acts had to be revised and introduced • Preparation for the cash changeover • Starter kits for general public and small business • Mapping of banks, ATM, post offices • Security action plan • Action plan for bad weather conditions
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13. Growth in natural for all living beings Changeover is simple, safe and convenient Global development suggest that deeper integration in EU is natural Global development suggest that Euro introduction in Latvia should be seen as natural
  • 14. • Euro adoption was the most carefully planned event in the history of Latvia • Open dialog and knowledge sharing was the key instrument • Problem free and smooth changeover because of full readiness • Well accepted design of Latvian euro coins • Growing support in society • No price shocks, low inflation • No exchange (lats/euro) costs anymore for companies and households • No currency and devaluation risks, cheaper transactions • Improved credit ratings for country, companies • Access to financial assistance for banking sector and public finances (ECB, ESM)
  • 15. The euro is not a “magic wand” for all economic difficulties, but an instrument which can be used to contribute growth of the economic potential.
  • 17. FROM JANUARY 1ST , 2014 EUROZONE IS JOINING LATVIA

Notas do Editor

  1. The euro introduction has been served as the precondition to be taken into account to decide on crisis exit strategy; The euro introduction has served as key driving force: - to put Latvian economy on solid ground (Maastricht criteria); - to perform structural reforms to ensure sustainability of economic growth.
  2. To grow is in the nature of all living beings. It’s time for an acorn to become an oak,
  3. National symbol of Latvia returns to Europe