Energy Efficiency Policies for the SEMED/Arab Region Workshop. 15-16 April 2013. Amman,Jordan

1. Energy Efficiency Policies for the SEMED/Arab Region
Crowne Plaza Hotel, Amman, Jordan
15 & 16 April 2013
Scaling up Energy Efficiency in
Morocco
Dr. Abdelmourhit Lahbabi

2. Overview of Morocco’s energy profile
2011
Energy Consumption
Energy imports
Average annual increase rate
Subsidies to petroleum products
National Energy bill
17.7 million toe
0.54 toe/capita
10.1 billion $
4.8 billion $
5,3%
95,5%

3. Important energy demand
2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
0
50.000
10.000
20.000
30.000
40.000
17
26
42
15
Energy Consumption in million toe
Energy demand increase :
+ 50% by 2020
+150% by 2030

4. 4
 Annual growth rate of 7%-8%
 Significant mitigation potential 2/3 of
the national potential
 Ambitious development strategy of
RnE&EE
 Solar plan (2000 MW)
 Wind energy program(2000 MW)
Electricity generation
The electricity demand in Morocco is
expected to almost double by 2020
and triple by 2030
95
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
Consommation en TWH
52
3124
2008 2012 2020 2030
0.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
EFtCO2/MWh
Evolution ofthe National Grid Emission Factor
Electricity consumption inTWh

5. 5
 With an average of 2.8 tCO2/year/capita, Morocco has
a low level of GHG emissions.
 Until 2010, Morocco’s GHG emissions increased by an
average rate of 3% per year. They are projected to
increase faster in the future, largely driven by
electricity demand that increases at an annual rate of
7%.
 Generating over half of the total emissions, the energy
sector is the main source of GHG emissions
Overview Morocco’s GHG Emissions Profile
BAU scenario in million tCO2
Distribution of emissions by sector
Generation
18%
Industry-energy
8%
Transport
9%
Agr.Forest
6%
Households
7%other
3%
Industry
8%
Agriculture
31%
Forestry
5%
Waste
5%
Energy
51%

6. 6
Renewable Electricity generation
Significant potential
for renewable energy
•Wind power potential
estimated at about 25,000 MW
•Wind speeds between 9 and 11
m/s
•Over 3,000 h/year of sunshine
or a sun irradiation of ~ 5
kWh/m2/day
Highly-developed
power transit
infrastructure
• Morocco – Spain 1400
MW in service
• Morocco– Spain: 700 MW
under development
• Morocco - Algeria: 1200
MW in service
World-class projects
• Moroccan Solar Program:
2000 MW by 2020
• Moroccan Wind Energy
Program: 2000 MW by
2020
• 2 000 MW
• 6600 GWH
• 3,5 billion $
• 5,6 million
tons
Objective (2020)
Electrical production
Investment
Avoided CO2 emissions /
Year
>6 m/s
5-6 m/s
4-5 m/s
3-4 m/s
<3 m/s
unknown including
Offshore potential
• 2 000 MW
• 4500 GWH
•9 billion $
• 3.2 million
tons
Moroccan Solar Plan Moroccan Wind Program
Objective (2020)
Electrical production
Investment
Avoided CO2 emissions /
Year

7. 7
 Overall, based on the scenario analysis of the Second National Communication, the GHG
emissions mitigation potential is estimated at 57.6 million tCO2 per year by 2030 ,largely
coming from electricity generation (2/3) sector, equivalent to the level of emissions in
Morocco in 1998.
Mitigation potential
3% 4%
14%
67%
7%
4%
1%
Transport
Buildings
Industry
Energy Genration
Waste
Agriculture
Forests
89.6
113
134.5
160.8
194.8
65.3
76.7
85.6 89.9
96.8
117.9
137.2
0
50
100
150
200
250
2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
BAU Scenario
Mitigation Scenario
-30%
Distribution of the mitigation potential in Morocco
Total 57.6 million tons CO2/year 2030
GHG emissions evolution scenarios
million tCO2e

8. 8
Enabling framework:
 RnE new law N°13-09 : opening the electricity sector to competition –
RnE private generation, transport ( through national grid or own
transport line) and use
 EE new law N° 47-09 ( obligation of audits – auditors certification-
Energy consumption labeling-Thermal energy code for buildings, etc.)
 Institutional Setup:
 ADEREE (Agency for ReE and EE Development )
 MASEN ( Moroccan Agency for Solar Energy)
 SIE : Energy Investment Company– PPP for RnE and EE projects
development
 Financial setup EDF: Energy Development Fund- 1 billion $
MOROCCO’S NEW ENERGY STRATEGY

9. 9
 RnE: 42% contribution to the electricity installed
capacity by 2020: 14% Hydro, 14% wind and 14%
solar
EE Strategy Objective : 12% savings by 2020 and
15% by 2030 (Industry, Tertiary and Residential,
and Transport )
ENERGY STRATEGY OBJECTIVE

10. 10
EE ENERGY STRATEGY OBJECTIVES
The annual energy savings with respect to the
BAU scenario should reach some 4 M toe/year
by 2020 and 6 M toe/year by 2030
How we achieve this objective?

11. Pay Out time of EE Projects
25%
50%
11%
14%
less than one year
between 1 and 3 years
between 3 and 5 years
more than 5 years
Compiled from the results of 411 EE projects identified in 57 energy audits
(industry and hotels) carried out in Morocco over the period 1990-2006

12. 12
EE is market driven and energy
savings will materialize anyway due
to their high potential, high energy
prices, high return on investment,
increasing CC risks, etc.
Myth and reality of EE
Making EE effectively deliver is difficult
due the various operational barriers it
usually faces. These barriers are
overlooked and not adequately addressed
in the design of most EE programs.

13. Understanding the building blocks of EE Strategies

14. 14
 EE programs design: EE programs usually overlook the end users
needs, operational constraints and priorities
 Scale matters : most EE projects are small and not attractive
individually
 Hard to sell : have you tried lately to sell an energy audit ( semantic
and cultural barrier) ?
 Tracking Energy Savings: Measuring and tracking energy efficiency is
often technically challenging (for both end users and national levels)
 Culture change : changing the organization’ culture and individual
behavior and habits is often challenging
 Energy services providers : Most of EE projects operational
implementation, and thus energy savings achievement, is driven by the
private sector (technical energy services providers and financial
institutions)
KEY FACTS ABOUT ENERGY EFFICIENCY

15. • Set the enabling institutional and regulatory framework:
– Strategies and actions plans
– Laws and regulations
– Adequate financial/fiscal instruments
– Capacity building/development
– Awareness raising
• Promote the favorable framework for ESCOs development
• Set the example (Energy efficient public buildings for example, etc. )
• Avoid energy services subsidies
• Avoid interference with the market and private sector
activities (too much institutional intervention harms EE)
Institutional / Regulatory Framework
15

16. • Enabling institutional and regulatory frameworks
• Technical Expertise for a global service :
– EE projects
– Productivity and process projects
– Renewable energy solutions
• Financing driven EE services/activities
– Integrated offer for technical services identification and
evaluation) and projects financing
Best Approach to EE Programs Design
16

17. www.adsmaroc.com
lahbabi.a@gmail.com