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Strategies and Challenges for ICT and
                  Innovation Systems in Emerging
                  Economies and Developing Countries
                  WB Training 7th June 2012

                  Hannes Toivanen, Ph.D., Principal Scientist
                  Innovation and Knowledge Economy
                  VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland




                                                                          2




        VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland

VTT IS
 a globally networked multitechnological applied research organisation
 a not-for-profit and impartial research centre

VTT HAS
 extensive cross-disciplinary technological and business expertise
 unique research infrastructure
 comprehensive global partnership networks in business, industrial and
  research communities

VTT CREATES
 new technology and science-based innovations
  in co-operation with domestic and foreign
  partners




                                                                              1
3




                       VTT Group in brief
   Turnover 307 M€ (2011) • Personnel 3,187 (31.12.2011)




Customer sectors            Focus areas of             VTT’s operations
- Biotechnology,            research                   - Research and
  pharmaceutical and food   - Applied materials          Development
  industries                - Bio- and chemical        - Strategic Research
- Chemical industry and       processes                - Business Solutions
  environment               - Energy                   - Business Development
- Electronics               - Information and          - Group Services
- Energy                      communication
- Forest industry                                      VTT’s companies
                              technologies
- ICT                                                  - VTT Expert Services Ltd
                            - Industrial systems
- Machine, vehicle and                                   (incl. Labtium Ltd, Enas
                              management
  metal industries                                       Ltd)
                            - Microtechnologies and
- Real estate and                                      - VTT Ventures Ltd
                              electronics
  construction                                         - VTT International Ltd
                            - Services and the built
- Services and logistics                                 (incl. VTT Brasil LTDA)
                              environment
                                                       - VTT Memsfab Ltd
                            - Business research




                                                                                    4




                             Services




                                                                                        2
5




                 Innovation and Information Society for Development
Innovation policy and information society    Ready networks for I4D / ICT4D
       Strategy development                      ICT (e.g. wireless interent, social media)
       Foresight, evaluation & monitoring        Construction
       Program development and planning          Energy, especially renewable energy
       Over 20 dedicated innovation and          Over 2000 experts in wide array of
        information society experts                technological and business areas



                                                                5




                                                                               6




               ICT and Knowledge in Emerging Economies




                                                                                                3
7




                            Innovation in ICT industries


    Continued global growth in innovation– despite of
     industry transition and cyclical slow-downs;

    Continued global push to expand R&D bases and
     search for talent;

    Intensified global competition to create ”Innovation
     Hot-Spots”, which combine strong R&D base and
     business acumen;

    What will be the division of labour between emerging
     markets and traditional high-technology areas?

    What will be the winning strategy to combine
     proximity to growth markets, user driven innovation
     and S&T research driven innovation?




                                                                        8




                                     The ICT Ecosystem

                                         Consumers
   Global trade

                                     Platforms, contents & 
                                          applications


  Financial 
  markets
                                           Networks              Regulation




                                     Networked elements       Standardization
   Global trade


Modified after: Fransman M, 2007; 
        Toivanen H, 2011. 




                                                                                4
9




ICT Research Trends – Some Stylized Facts

    Digital Convergence

    Convergence of service and
     technology driven business models

    Rivalry of Ecosystems: Turning
     products into technology platforms

    Continued relevance of S&T and
     continued growth of research &
     patenting

    High-end markets attract most
     business focus, but BOP markets are
     most reliable source of growth
     ICT	related patenting grew 4,7%	   In	2005,	over 50	000	international	
     /	year 95‐05                       ICT	patents were filed




                                                                              10




                  ICT Research Trends – Bibliometric Snap-Shot




                                                                                   5
11




Bibliometric assessment Scientific and Technological Research
    Bibliometrics:
        Metrics for quantity / quality;
        Static and dynamic analysis;
        Descriptive analysis;
        Social networks data;

    ISI Web of Science data, the most comprehensive database providing a
     snapshot of African knowledge production;
        Excellent coverage of medical and basic sciences, agricultural research;
        Good coverage of humanities and social sciences (incl. economics and
          business)
        Moderate coverage of technology and engineering (30-50 %)




                                                                                              12




       Finnish ICT related research – publication totals by subject, 1988-2008




                       Hannes Toivanen, work-in-progress




NOTE:
•     Data source: Thomson Reuters Web of Science; VTT Database
•     Articles, Proceedings and Meeting Abstracts;
•     N: 16 494 – NOTE: Data cleaned, includes cross-disciplinary papers – work in progress




                                                                                                   6
13




        The role of national innovation systems

 Developing and emerging countries differ radically in their ability to
  valorize knowledge;
    Some are confined to ”knowledge traps” – Use foreign
      knowledge and technology without really making progress in
      national knowledge economy
    Some are embarking on powerful ”catch-up” trajectories,
      progressing at fastest pace in knowledge economy

 The key difference appears to be what types of national systems of
  innovation countries have, and what role domestic knowledge
  creation plays;




                                                                    14




                          Conclusions

 Research continues to matter for innovation in ICT industries;
 User driven innovation continues to gain importance;
 Plethora of new innovation system and ecosystem models are
  emerging;

Perspectives on developing country and emerging economies: ICT
  research
 Need to stand out and develop distinct, region specific winning
  formula
 European and North American models do not pay serious attention to
  poverty or societal challenges in ICT agenda
 Define strategy how to integrate to and capture value from the global
  ICT ecosystem




                                                                           7
15




ICT and Economic & Development Impact




                                                16




        ICT & Development


              Mobile telephony has positive impact on
               economic growth and this effect is twice as
               large in developing countries compared with
               developed countries (Waverman et al 2005)
              Between 1996-2003, 10 mobile phones per
               100 population added 0.59 percent units to
               per capita GDP (Waverman et al 2005)

              Macro-economic evidence is more or less
               clear, but not without problems:
                  Inherent unreliability for developing
                   country data;
                  Remains investment focussed;
                  Does not provide guidance on pro-poor or
                   inclusive strategies, and thereby falls
                   short of connecting ICT with development.




                                                               8
17




                     ICT and Development




                                                    Source: Heeks 2010




                                                                         18




                Standard ICT4D impact models
 Key channels for ICT to advance development (Aker & Mbiti 2010):
    Enhanced access and use of information (search cost)
    Improve firm’s productivity by allowing better management of value
     chains
    Creation of local ICT-related jobs in rural and urban areas
    Enhanced communication among social networks reduces exposure to
     risks (natural disasters, political violence, etc.)
    Enhanced delivery of services (financial, health, education, etc) via m-
     and e-delivery platforms.

 We have relatively solid (theoretical and empirical) understanding of user-
  benefits and impacts, though not in monetary figures.

 We have scant evidence of how ICT boosts jobs and entrepreneurial opportunities,
  and much less on how such impacts are or can be pro-poor.




                                                                                     9
19




     Thank you!


 Further info and
  publications on I4D@VTT:
  http://www.vtt.fi/i4d



 Contact:
  Hannes.Toivanen@vtt.fi




                                    20




                VTT - 70 years of
       technology for business
             and society




                                         10

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Hannes toivanen presenation 07062012

  • 1. Strategies and Challenges for ICT and Innovation Systems in Emerging Economies and Developing Countries WB Training 7th June 2012 Hannes Toivanen, Ph.D., Principal Scientist Innovation and Knowledge Economy VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland 2 VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland VTT IS  a globally networked multitechnological applied research organisation  a not-for-profit and impartial research centre VTT HAS  extensive cross-disciplinary technological and business expertise  unique research infrastructure  comprehensive global partnership networks in business, industrial and research communities VTT CREATES  new technology and science-based innovations in co-operation with domestic and foreign partners 1
  • 2. 3 VTT Group in brief Turnover 307 M€ (2011) • Personnel 3,187 (31.12.2011) Customer sectors Focus areas of VTT’s operations - Biotechnology, research - Research and pharmaceutical and food - Applied materials Development industries - Bio- and chemical - Strategic Research - Chemical industry and processes - Business Solutions environment - Energy - Business Development - Electronics - Information and - Group Services - Energy communication - Forest industry VTT’s companies technologies - ICT - VTT Expert Services Ltd - Industrial systems - Machine, vehicle and (incl. Labtium Ltd, Enas management metal industries Ltd) - Microtechnologies and - Real estate and - VTT Ventures Ltd electronics construction - VTT International Ltd - Services and the built - Services and logistics (incl. VTT Brasil LTDA) environment - VTT Memsfab Ltd - Business research 4 Services 2
  • 3. 5 Innovation and Information Society for Development Innovation policy and information society Ready networks for I4D / ICT4D  Strategy development  ICT (e.g. wireless interent, social media)  Foresight, evaluation & monitoring  Construction  Program development and planning  Energy, especially renewable energy  Over 20 dedicated innovation and  Over 2000 experts in wide array of information society experts technological and business areas 5 6 ICT and Knowledge in Emerging Economies 3
  • 4. 7 Innovation in ICT industries  Continued global growth in innovation– despite of industry transition and cyclical slow-downs;  Continued global push to expand R&D bases and search for talent;  Intensified global competition to create ”Innovation Hot-Spots”, which combine strong R&D base and business acumen;  What will be the division of labour between emerging markets and traditional high-technology areas?  What will be the winning strategy to combine proximity to growth markets, user driven innovation and S&T research driven innovation? 8 The ICT Ecosystem Consumers Global trade Platforms, contents &  applications Financial  markets Networks Regulation Networked elements Standardization Global trade Modified after: Fransman M, 2007;  Toivanen H, 2011.  4
  • 5. 9 ICT Research Trends – Some Stylized Facts  Digital Convergence  Convergence of service and technology driven business models  Rivalry of Ecosystems: Turning products into technology platforms  Continued relevance of S&T and continued growth of research & patenting  High-end markets attract most business focus, but BOP markets are most reliable source of growth ICT related patenting grew 4,7% In 2005, over 50 000 international / year 95‐05 ICT patents were filed 10 ICT Research Trends – Bibliometric Snap-Shot 5
  • 6. 11 Bibliometric assessment Scientific and Technological Research Bibliometrics:  Metrics for quantity / quality;  Static and dynamic analysis;  Descriptive analysis;  Social networks data; ISI Web of Science data, the most comprehensive database providing a snapshot of African knowledge production;  Excellent coverage of medical and basic sciences, agricultural research;  Good coverage of humanities and social sciences (incl. economics and business)  Moderate coverage of technology and engineering (30-50 %) 12 Finnish ICT related research – publication totals by subject, 1988-2008 Hannes Toivanen, work-in-progress NOTE: • Data source: Thomson Reuters Web of Science; VTT Database • Articles, Proceedings and Meeting Abstracts; • N: 16 494 – NOTE: Data cleaned, includes cross-disciplinary papers – work in progress 6
  • 7. 13 The role of national innovation systems  Developing and emerging countries differ radically in their ability to valorize knowledge;  Some are confined to ”knowledge traps” – Use foreign knowledge and technology without really making progress in national knowledge economy  Some are embarking on powerful ”catch-up” trajectories, progressing at fastest pace in knowledge economy  The key difference appears to be what types of national systems of innovation countries have, and what role domestic knowledge creation plays; 14 Conclusions  Research continues to matter for innovation in ICT industries;  User driven innovation continues to gain importance;  Plethora of new innovation system and ecosystem models are emerging; Perspectives on developing country and emerging economies: ICT research  Need to stand out and develop distinct, region specific winning formula  European and North American models do not pay serious attention to poverty or societal challenges in ICT agenda  Define strategy how to integrate to and capture value from the global ICT ecosystem 7
  • 8. 15 ICT and Economic & Development Impact 16 ICT & Development  Mobile telephony has positive impact on economic growth and this effect is twice as large in developing countries compared with developed countries (Waverman et al 2005)  Between 1996-2003, 10 mobile phones per 100 population added 0.59 percent units to per capita GDP (Waverman et al 2005)  Macro-economic evidence is more or less clear, but not without problems:  Inherent unreliability for developing country data;  Remains investment focussed;  Does not provide guidance on pro-poor or inclusive strategies, and thereby falls short of connecting ICT with development. 8
  • 9. 17 ICT and Development Source: Heeks 2010 18 Standard ICT4D impact models  Key channels for ICT to advance development (Aker & Mbiti 2010):  Enhanced access and use of information (search cost)  Improve firm’s productivity by allowing better management of value chains  Creation of local ICT-related jobs in rural and urban areas  Enhanced communication among social networks reduces exposure to risks (natural disasters, political violence, etc.)  Enhanced delivery of services (financial, health, education, etc) via m- and e-delivery platforms.  We have relatively solid (theoretical and empirical) understanding of user- benefits and impacts, though not in monetary figures.  We have scant evidence of how ICT boosts jobs and entrepreneurial opportunities, and much less on how such impacts are or can be pro-poor. 9
  • 10. 19 Thank you!  Further info and publications on I4D@VTT: http://www.vtt.fi/i4d  Contact: Hannes.Toivanen@vtt.fi 20 VTT - 70 years of technology for business and society 10