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Actions You Can Take in a Volatile Market Now more than ever, you need a plan Justin J. Spraker, Financial Advisor September 12th 2009
Today’s agenda How we arrived where we are today Putting today’s markets in historical perspective Fundamental investment strategies to help you deal with and even find opportunity in volatile markets Managing emotions as part of the investment process Steps to consider taking now
Ameriprise Financial What we learned in our 110-year history More people come to Ameriprise Financial for financial planning than any other company* Ameriprise is America’s largest financial planning company* *	Based on the number of financial plans annually disclosed in Form ADV, Part 1A, Item 5, available at adviserinfo.sec.gov as of December 31, 2007, and the number of CFP® professionals documented by the Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, Inc.
Our four cornerstones
What’s been driving recent market volatility? An oversupply of lending which drove up home values and resulted in  the eventual collapse of the U.S. housing market Repercussions from the subprime mortgage crisis which spread to global capital markets  The residual impact of the current credit crisis and the follow-on effect it has had on the global economy
I read the news today 1987-1991 Real estate prices collapse Largest one-day loss in the Dow Jones Industrial Average Sub-prime bond market collapses, real estate continues to decline, credit dries up, savings institutions weaken Government bailout is enacted. Billions of taxpayer dollars spent to deal with failing lending institutions Recession sets in leading to another stock market decline
60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% -50% 1926 1940 1960 1980 2000 The “flaw” of averages S&P 500 Annual Returns 1926-2008 Source:  Ibbotson for 1926 to 1970; Morningstar Direct for 1971 to current period.
Measuring volatility 41%   	S&P 500 stock index 1976-2008:   ,[object Object]
Standard deviation (volatility) has been about 15%
Range of returns is about 41% to -19%
Probability range is 95% — returns can be worse (or better) than those shown here26% 11% -4% -19% Source:  Morningstar Direct & PAG.The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index commonly used to measure stock performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
The stock market has delivered over the long term From 1966 through 2008, the S&P 500 has returned an average of 8.88% per year Returns in a given calendar year ranged from -37% to +38% Source: Source:  Morningstar Direct for 1971 to current period and Ibbotson for 1966 to 1970. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Standard & Poor's 500 Index (S&P 500 Index) is an unmanaged list of common stocks which includes 500 large companies, and is frequently used as a general measure of market performance. The index reflects reinvestment of all distributions and changes in the market prices, but excludes brokerage commissions or other fees.  Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Historical range of returns of S&P 500: 1970-2008* 61 30 19 18 8 -4 -1 -39 20 years 1 year 10 years 5 years The Standard & Poor’s 500 Market Index (S&P 500) is an unmanaged list of common stocks frequently used as a measure of market performance. The index reflects reinvestment of all distributions and changes in market prices, but excludes brokerage commissions or other fees. The highest return is represented by the top of each bar and the lowest annual return is shown at the bottom. The rolling 5-,10- and 20-year ranges are also shown. Over time, lower performing years will be offset by higher performing years and vice versa. Therefore the range of the historical returns over the entire period is narrower than the range of returns in any single year. Returns over 1 year in length are annualized. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.  Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Returns by decade 	1920s	3	2	5	8.77% 	1930s 	6	0	4	-0.05% 	1940s 	3	2	5	9.17% 	1950s 	2	2	6	19.35% 	1960s 	3	4	3	7.81% 	1970s 	3	3	4	5.86% 	1980s 	1	3	6	17.55% 	1990s 	1	3	6	18.20% 	Average	2.75	2.375	4.875	10.83% Source: Ibbotson. S&P 500 Index returns assume reinvestment of all dividends and capital gains. The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index commonly used to measure stock market performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Where we stand in the current decade 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 -30 -35 -40 28% 16% 11% 5% 5% ? -9% -12% -23% -37% 	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006	2007	2008	2009 Source:  Morningstar Direct. Annual Returns of S&P 500 Index, 2000-2008, assuming reinvestment of dividends. The average annual total return for the period 12/31/99 to 12/31/08 was -3.6%. The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index commonly used to measure stock market performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Comparing this decade to others Annualized performance of the S&P 500 20 15 10 5 0 -5 19% 18% 18% 9% 9% 8% 6% -4% -0.05% 	20s	30s	40s	50s	60s	70s	80s	90s	00s (1925 – 1929)								(2000 – 2008) Source: Ibbotson for 1925 to 1979, 20s encompasses the years 1925 to 1929; Morningstar Direct for 1980 to current period. S&P 500 Index returns assume reinvestment of all dividends and capital gains. The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index commonly used to measure stock market performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
Long-term investing strategies  Diversify to manage business, market, and interest rate risk Rebalance your portfolio if it is appropriate Consider the current and future tax ramifications of your actions Dollar-cost average to keep your investment strategy on track Manage your emotions by following a disciplined plan based on solid fundamentals, not emotion Dollar-cost averaging involves continuous investment in securities, regardless of fluctuating price levels. Investors should consider their ability to continue purchases through periods of low price levels. Diversification and asset allocation help spread risk throughout your portfolio, so that investments that do poorly may be balanced by others that do relatively better. Dollar-cost averaging, diversification and asset allocation do not guarantee overall portfolio profit or protect against loss in declining markets. Neither Ameriprise Financial nor its representatives or affiliates provide tax or legal advice. Consult with your tax advisor or attorney regarding specific issues.
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007* REAL ESTATE 31.04% SMALL CAP VALUE 14.02% BONDS 10.25% SMALL CAP GROWTH48.54% REAL ESTATE 33.16% INT’L STOCKS14.02% REAL ESTATE 35.97% LARGE CAP GROWTH11.81% SMALL CAP VALUE 22.83% REAL ESTATE 12.35% REAL ESTATE 3.58% SMALL CAP VALUE 46.03% SMALL CAP VALUE 22.25% REAL ESTATE 13.82% INT’L STOCKS26.86% INT’L STOCKS11.63% BONDS 11.63% BONDS 8.44% HIGH YIELD BONDS-1.41% MID CAP STOCKS 40.06% INT’L STOCKS20.70% MID CAP STOCKS12.65% SMALL CAP VALUE23.48% SMALL CAP GROWTH7.05% MID CAP STOCKS 8.25% HIGH YIELD BONDS5.28% SMALL CAP VALUE -11.43% INT’L STOCKS39.17% MID CAP STOCKS 20.22% DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO7.46% LARGE CAP VALUE22.25% BONDS 6.97% LARGE CAP VALUE7.01% DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO-1.87% DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO -11.74% REAL ESTATE 36.18% DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO 16.63% LARGE CAP VALUE7.05% DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO17.97% MID CAP STOCKS5.60% DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO 1.14% LARGE CAP VALUE-5.59% LARGE CAP VALUE-15.52% DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO 33.58% LARGE CAP VALUE16.49% LARGE CAP GROWTH5.26% MID CAP STOCKS15.26% DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO 2.19% HIGH YIELD BONDS-5.86% MID CAP STOCKS-5.62% INT’L STOCKS-15.66% LARGE CAP VALUE30.03% SMALL CAP VALUE 4.71% HIGH YIELD BONDS1.87% SMALL CAP GROWTH14.31% SMALL CAP GROWTH13.35% INT’L STOCKS-13.96% MID CAP STOCKS-16.19% LARGE CAP GROWTH29.75% HIGH YIELD BONDS11.13% HIGH YIELD BONDS11.85% LARGE CAP VALUE-0.17% SMALL CAP GROWTH -9.23% SMALL CAP GROWTH4.15% LARGE CAP GROWTH-22.42% LARGE CAP GROWTH–20.42% LARGE CAP GROWTH-27.88% HIGH YIELD BONDS28.97% LARGE CAP GROWTH6.30% HIGH YIELD BONDS2.74% LARGE CAP GROWTH9.07% SMALL CAP VALUE-9.78% INT’L STOCKS-21.21% BONDS4.10% BONDS 4.34% BONDS2.43% BONDS 4.33% REAL ESTATE-17.55% SMALL CAP GROWTH-22.43% SMALL CAP GROWTH-30.26% n	Large Cap Growth:  Russell 1000® Growth Index nLarge Cap Value: Russell 1000® Value Index n	Int’l Stocks: MSCI EAFE Index nSmall Cap Value: Russell 2000® Value Index nSmall Cap Growth: Russell 2000® Growth Index nMid Cap Stocks: Russell Mid Cap® Index nHigh Yield Bonds: Barclays Capital High Yield Bond Index (formerly Lehman Brothers High Yield Bond Index) nBonds: Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index (formerly Lehman Brothers Aggregate Bond Index) nReal Estate: Wilshire REIT Index nDiversified Portfolio: Hypothetical portfolio with quarterly rebalancing and an equal weighting in each of the indices listed *Data as of 12/31/07. The table above shows how various asset classes and a hypothetical diversified portfolio based upon equal weighting of each of the asset classes have performed from 2000–2007. Sources: Lipper, Inc., Thomson/InvestmentView and Wilshire REIT Index. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Diversification helps you spread risk throughout your portfolio, so investments that do poorly may be balanced by others that do relatively better. Diversification and asset allocation do not guarantee overall portfolio profit and do not protect against loss. The above performance is not intended to represent any specific investment. It is not possible to invest directly in any of the unmanaged indices shown above. All performance shown assumes reinvestment of interest and does not include the expenses of managing a mutual fund. Every investor has unique goals and tolerance for risk. Russell 1000® Growth Index measures the performance of the 1,000 largest companies in the Russell 3000 Index with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values. Russell 1000® Value Index measures the performance of the 1,000 largest companies in the Russell 3000 Index with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. MSCI EAFE Index is designed to measure the performance of the developed stock markets of Europe, Australia and the Far East, weighted by capitalization. Russell 2000® Value Index contains those Russell 2000 securities with lower price-to-book ratios. Russell 2000® Growth Index contains those Russell 2000 securities with higher price-to-book ratios. Russell Midcap® Index consists of the smallest 800 companies in the Russell 1000 Index, as ranked by total market capitalization. Barclays Capital High Yield Bond Index (formerly Lehman Brothers High Yield Bond Index) covers the universe of fixed rate, non-investment grade debt. The Index includes both corporate and noncorporate sectors. Barclays Capital High Yield Bond Index (formerly Lehman Brothers High Yield Bond Index) is composed of corporate, U.S. Government, mortgage-backed and Yankee bonds with an average maturity of approximately 10 years. Wilshire REIT Index is an unmanaged group of publicly-traded real estate investment trusts. Diversified Portfolio assumes quarterly rebalancing and an equal weighting in each of the listed indices. This is for illustrative purposes only and does not reflect the performance of any specific investment.
Historic volatility by standard deviation Stocks 41% Bonds 20% 26% 14% S&P 500 Stock Index 1976-2008 Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index (formerly Lehman Aggregate Bond Index) 1976-2008 11% 8% 3% -4% -3% -19% Source:  Morningstar Direct & PAG.Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index (formerly Lehman Brothers Aggregate Bond Index), an unmanaged index, is made up of a representative list of government, corporate, asset-backed and mortgage-backed securities. The index is frequently used as a general measure of bond market performance. Standard & Poor's 500 Index (S&P 500 Index), an unmanaged list of common stocks, is frequently used as a general measure of market performance. The index reflects reinvestment of all distributions and changes in market prices, but excludes brokerage commissions or other fees. You can not invest directly in an index.
Diversification options Asset classes (stocks, bonds, cash, real estate, etc.) Investment products (e.g. mutual funds, annuities, ETFs) Tax characteristics (taxable, tax-deferred, tax-free) Diversification helps you spread risk throughout your portfolio, so that investments that do poorly may be balanced by others that do relatively better. Diversification and asset allocation do not guarantee overall portfolio profit or protection against loss.
Diversification can temper market volatility S&P 500 Index Performance of Stocks, Bonds and 50/50 Mix 1988 to 2008 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% 1988 1998 2008 Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index  (formerly Lehman Brothers Aggregate  Bond Index) 50/50 Mix Source: Morningstar Direct & PAG. Blended index returns calculated by PAG using a monthly weighting.Past performance does not guarantee future results. These examples do not reflect sales charges, taxes or other costs associated with investing. Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index (formerly Lehman Brothers Aggregate Bond Index), an unmanaged index, is made up of a representative list of government, corporate, asset-backed and mortgage-backed securities. The index is frequently used as a general measure of bond market performance. Standard & Poor's 500 Index (S&P 500 Index), an unmanaged list of common stocks, is frequently used as a general measure of market performance. The index reflects reinvestment of all distributions and changes in market prices, but excludes brokerage commissions or other fees. You can not invest directly in an index.
Rebalancing can keep you on plan 50%  Bonds 50%  Stocks 50%  Stocks 50%  Bonds 40%  Bonds 60%  Stocks Initial allocation Rebalance back One year later Diversification helps you spread risk throughout your portfolio, so that investments that do poorly may be balanced by others that do relatively better. Diversification and asset allocation do not guarantee overall portfolio profit or protection against loss.
Dollar-cost averaging – price rises $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 1	2	3	4	5	6 	Average price:	$15.00 	 Average cost: 	$14.19 	Invested amount: 	$6,000.00 	Ending value: 	$8,456.40 Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee a profit or protect against losses in a declining market. Investors should consider their ability to continue investing during periods of low markets.  This illustration is hypothetical and is not a forecast or guarantee of specific investment results.
Dollar-cost averaging – market down, then recovers $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 1	2	3	4	5	6 	Average price:	$15.00 	 Average cost: 	$13.85 	Invested amount: 	$6,000.00 	Ending value: 	$8,666.80 Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee a profit or protect against losses in a declining market. Investors should consider their ability to continue investing during periods of low markets.  This illustration is hypothetical and is not a forecast or guarantee of specific investment results.
Dollar-cost averaging – market down, partial rebound $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 1	2	3	4	5	6 	Average price:	$10.83 	 Average cost: 	$9.73 	Invested amount: 	$6,000.00 	Ending value: 	$7,166.70 Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee a profit or protect against losses in a declining market. Investors should consider their ability to continue investing during periods of low markets.  This illustration is hypothetical and is not a forecast or guarantee of specific investment results.
Three different markets — three positive results Total invested – $6,000 in monthly $1,000 increments $10,000 $7,500 $5,000 $8,667 $8,456 $7,167 Market down: partial recovery Market down: full recovery Market goes up Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee a profit or protect against losses in a declining market. Investors should consider their ability to continue investing during periods of low markets.  This illustration is hypothetical and is not a forecast or guarantee of specific investment results.
Understanding emotional investing Euphoria Point of maximum financial risk Anxiety Thrill Denial “Wow, I am making money. I feel good about this investment.” “This is just a temporary setback.” Excitement Fear Optimism Optimism Desperation Panic Relief Capitulation “I think I need to sell.” Despondency Hope “Things may be turning around.” Depression Point of maximum financial opportunity Source: Radarwire.com. A product of Simon Economic Systems, Ltd.
The average equity investor lags the market Equity market returns v. equity mutual fund investors’ returns 16% 11.8% 12% 8% 4.3% 3.0% 4% 0% S&P  500 Index Average equity Fund investor Inflation Source: Dalbar, Inc., 2007 Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior for the period (1986 - 2006). Benchmark returns represented by total returns of the S&P 500. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Market Index (S&P 500) is an unmanaged list of common stocks frequently used as a measure of market performance. You can not invest directly in an index.
Benefits of a personalized financial plan Focuses on your goals, not short-term market conditions Assesses your risk tolerance Employs time-tested disciplines to dampen market volatility, such as rebalancing, dollar-cost averaging and opportunity purchases Takes taxes into consideration Helps you neutralize the inclination to make emotional investment decisions Provides for review and rebalancing on a regular basis A financial plan can help you feel more on track during market turmoil* *The Financial Planning Association® (FPA®)and Ameriprise® Value of Financial Planning Study, was conducted by Harris Interactive in June/July, 2008 among 3,022 adults. While market volatility was significant during the study period, subsequent financial developments, which may have affected attitudes and behaviors, had not yet occurred. No estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated; a full methodology is available. Dollar-cost averaging involves continuous investment in securities, regardless of fluctuating price levels. Investors should consider their ability to continue purchases through periods of low price levels. Diversification and asset allocation help spread risk throughout your portfolio, so that investments that do poorly may be balanced by others that do relatively better. Dollar-cost averaging, diversification and asset allocation do not guarantee overall portfolio profit or protect against loss in declining markets. Neither Ameriprise Financial nor its representatives or affiliates provide tax or legal advice. Consult with your tax advisor or attorney regarding specific issues.
Steps you can take
Six steps to consider taking now 1. Diversify, diversify, diversify 2. Rebalance or review your asset allocation 3. Dollar-cost average 4. Avoid market timing, but prepare for opportunities 5. Don’t let your emotions affect your financial future 6. Get or review your financial plan Dollar-cost averaging involves continuous investment in securities, regardless of fluctuating price levels. Investors should consider their ability to continue purchases through periods of low price levels. Diversification and asset allocation help spread risk throughout your portfolio, so that investments that do poorly may be balanced by others that do relatively better. Dollar-cost averaging, diversification and asset allocation do not guarantee overall portfolio profit or protect against loss in declining markets. Neither Ameriprise Financial nor its representatives or affiliates provide tax or legal advice. Consult with your tax advisor or attorney regarding specific issues.
Next steps

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Seminar Presentation Actions You Can Take In A Volatile Market

  • 1. Actions You Can Take in a Volatile Market Now more than ever, you need a plan Justin J. Spraker, Financial Advisor September 12th 2009
  • 2. Today’s agenda How we arrived where we are today Putting today’s markets in historical perspective Fundamental investment strategies to help you deal with and even find opportunity in volatile markets Managing emotions as part of the investment process Steps to consider taking now
  • 3. Ameriprise Financial What we learned in our 110-year history More people come to Ameriprise Financial for financial planning than any other company* Ameriprise is America’s largest financial planning company* * Based on the number of financial plans annually disclosed in Form ADV, Part 1A, Item 5, available at adviserinfo.sec.gov as of December 31, 2007, and the number of CFP® professionals documented by the Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards, Inc.
  • 5. What’s been driving recent market volatility? An oversupply of lending which drove up home values and resulted in the eventual collapse of the U.S. housing market Repercussions from the subprime mortgage crisis which spread to global capital markets The residual impact of the current credit crisis and the follow-on effect it has had on the global economy
  • 6. I read the news today 1987-1991 Real estate prices collapse Largest one-day loss in the Dow Jones Industrial Average Sub-prime bond market collapses, real estate continues to decline, credit dries up, savings institutions weaken Government bailout is enacted. Billions of taxpayer dollars spent to deal with failing lending institutions Recession sets in leading to another stock market decline
  • 7. 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% -50% 1926 1940 1960 1980 2000 The “flaw” of averages S&P 500 Annual Returns 1926-2008 Source: Ibbotson for 1926 to 1970; Morningstar Direct for 1971 to current period.
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  • 10. Range of returns is about 41% to -19%
  • 11. Probability range is 95% — returns can be worse (or better) than those shown here26% 11% -4% -19% Source: Morningstar Direct & PAG.The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index commonly used to measure stock performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
  • 12. The stock market has delivered over the long term From 1966 through 2008, the S&P 500 has returned an average of 8.88% per year Returns in a given calendar year ranged from -37% to +38% Source: Source: Morningstar Direct for 1971 to current period and Ibbotson for 1966 to 1970. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Standard & Poor's 500 Index (S&P 500 Index) is an unmanaged list of common stocks which includes 500 large companies, and is frequently used as a general measure of market performance. The index reflects reinvestment of all distributions and changes in the market prices, but excludes brokerage commissions or other fees. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
  • 13. Historical range of returns of S&P 500: 1970-2008* 61 30 19 18 8 -4 -1 -39 20 years 1 year 10 years 5 years The Standard & Poor’s 500 Market Index (S&P 500) is an unmanaged list of common stocks frequently used as a measure of market performance. The index reflects reinvestment of all distributions and changes in market prices, but excludes brokerage commissions or other fees. The highest return is represented by the top of each bar and the lowest annual return is shown at the bottom. The rolling 5-,10- and 20-year ranges are also shown. Over time, lower performing years will be offset by higher performing years and vice versa. Therefore the range of the historical returns over the entire period is narrower than the range of returns in any single year. Returns over 1 year in length are annualized. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
  • 14. Returns by decade 1920s 3 2 5 8.77% 1930s 6 0 4 -0.05% 1940s 3 2 5 9.17% 1950s 2 2 6 19.35% 1960s 3 4 3 7.81% 1970s 3 3 4 5.86% 1980s 1 3 6 17.55% 1990s 1 3 6 18.20% Average 2.75 2.375 4.875 10.83% Source: Ibbotson. S&P 500 Index returns assume reinvestment of all dividends and capital gains. The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index commonly used to measure stock market performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
  • 15. Where we stand in the current decade 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 -30 -35 -40 28% 16% 11% 5% 5% ? -9% -12% -23% -37% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Source: Morningstar Direct. Annual Returns of S&P 500 Index, 2000-2008, assuming reinvestment of dividends. The average annual total return for the period 12/31/99 to 12/31/08 was -3.6%. The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index commonly used to measure stock market performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
  • 16. Comparing this decade to others Annualized performance of the S&P 500 20 15 10 5 0 -5 19% 18% 18% 9% 9% 8% 6% -4% -0.05% 20s 30s 40s 50s 60s 70s 80s 90s 00s (1925 – 1929) (2000 – 2008) Source: Ibbotson for 1925 to 1979, 20s encompasses the years 1925 to 1929; Morningstar Direct for 1980 to current period. S&P 500 Index returns assume reinvestment of all dividends and capital gains. The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index commonly used to measure stock market performance. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.
  • 17. Long-term investing strategies Diversify to manage business, market, and interest rate risk Rebalance your portfolio if it is appropriate Consider the current and future tax ramifications of your actions Dollar-cost average to keep your investment strategy on track Manage your emotions by following a disciplined plan based on solid fundamentals, not emotion Dollar-cost averaging involves continuous investment in securities, regardless of fluctuating price levels. Investors should consider their ability to continue purchases through periods of low price levels. Diversification and asset allocation help spread risk throughout your portfolio, so that investments that do poorly may be balanced by others that do relatively better. Dollar-cost averaging, diversification and asset allocation do not guarantee overall portfolio profit or protect against loss in declining markets. Neither Ameriprise Financial nor its representatives or affiliates provide tax or legal advice. Consult with your tax advisor or attorney regarding specific issues.
  • 18. 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007* REAL ESTATE 31.04% SMALL CAP VALUE 14.02% BONDS 10.25% SMALL CAP GROWTH48.54% REAL ESTATE 33.16% INT’L STOCKS14.02% REAL ESTATE 35.97% LARGE CAP GROWTH11.81% SMALL CAP VALUE 22.83% REAL ESTATE 12.35% REAL ESTATE 3.58% SMALL CAP VALUE 46.03% SMALL CAP VALUE 22.25% REAL ESTATE 13.82% INT’L STOCKS26.86% INT’L STOCKS11.63% BONDS 11.63% BONDS 8.44% HIGH YIELD BONDS-1.41% MID CAP STOCKS 40.06% INT’L STOCKS20.70% MID CAP STOCKS12.65% SMALL CAP VALUE23.48% SMALL CAP GROWTH7.05% MID CAP STOCKS 8.25% HIGH YIELD BONDS5.28% SMALL CAP VALUE -11.43% INT’L STOCKS39.17% MID CAP STOCKS 20.22% DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO7.46% LARGE CAP VALUE22.25% BONDS 6.97% LARGE CAP VALUE7.01% DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO-1.87% DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO -11.74% REAL ESTATE 36.18% DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO 16.63% LARGE CAP VALUE7.05% DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO17.97% MID CAP STOCKS5.60% DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO 1.14% LARGE CAP VALUE-5.59% LARGE CAP VALUE-15.52% DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO 33.58% LARGE CAP VALUE16.49% LARGE CAP GROWTH5.26% MID CAP STOCKS15.26% DIVERSIFIED PORTFOLIO 2.19% HIGH YIELD BONDS-5.86% MID CAP STOCKS-5.62% INT’L STOCKS-15.66% LARGE CAP VALUE30.03% SMALL CAP VALUE 4.71% HIGH YIELD BONDS1.87% SMALL CAP GROWTH14.31% SMALL CAP GROWTH13.35% INT’L STOCKS-13.96% MID CAP STOCKS-16.19% LARGE CAP GROWTH29.75% HIGH YIELD BONDS11.13% HIGH YIELD BONDS11.85% LARGE CAP VALUE-0.17% SMALL CAP GROWTH -9.23% SMALL CAP GROWTH4.15% LARGE CAP GROWTH-22.42% LARGE CAP GROWTH–20.42% LARGE CAP GROWTH-27.88% HIGH YIELD BONDS28.97% LARGE CAP GROWTH6.30% HIGH YIELD BONDS2.74% LARGE CAP GROWTH9.07% SMALL CAP VALUE-9.78% INT’L STOCKS-21.21% BONDS4.10% BONDS 4.34% BONDS2.43% BONDS 4.33% REAL ESTATE-17.55% SMALL CAP GROWTH-22.43% SMALL CAP GROWTH-30.26% n Large Cap Growth: Russell 1000® Growth Index nLarge Cap Value: Russell 1000® Value Index n Int’l Stocks: MSCI EAFE Index nSmall Cap Value: Russell 2000® Value Index nSmall Cap Growth: Russell 2000® Growth Index nMid Cap Stocks: Russell Mid Cap® Index nHigh Yield Bonds: Barclays Capital High Yield Bond Index (formerly Lehman Brothers High Yield Bond Index) nBonds: Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index (formerly Lehman Brothers Aggregate Bond Index) nReal Estate: Wilshire REIT Index nDiversified Portfolio: Hypothetical portfolio with quarterly rebalancing and an equal weighting in each of the indices listed *Data as of 12/31/07. The table above shows how various asset classes and a hypothetical diversified portfolio based upon equal weighting of each of the asset classes have performed from 2000–2007. Sources: Lipper, Inc., Thomson/InvestmentView and Wilshire REIT Index. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Diversification helps you spread risk throughout your portfolio, so investments that do poorly may be balanced by others that do relatively better. Diversification and asset allocation do not guarantee overall portfolio profit and do not protect against loss. The above performance is not intended to represent any specific investment. It is not possible to invest directly in any of the unmanaged indices shown above. All performance shown assumes reinvestment of interest and does not include the expenses of managing a mutual fund. Every investor has unique goals and tolerance for risk. Russell 1000® Growth Index measures the performance of the 1,000 largest companies in the Russell 3000 Index with higher price-to-book ratios and higher forecasted growth values. Russell 1000® Value Index measures the performance of the 1,000 largest companies in the Russell 3000 Index with lower price-to-book ratios and lower forecasted growth values. MSCI EAFE Index is designed to measure the performance of the developed stock markets of Europe, Australia and the Far East, weighted by capitalization. Russell 2000® Value Index contains those Russell 2000 securities with lower price-to-book ratios. Russell 2000® Growth Index contains those Russell 2000 securities with higher price-to-book ratios. Russell Midcap® Index consists of the smallest 800 companies in the Russell 1000 Index, as ranked by total market capitalization. Barclays Capital High Yield Bond Index (formerly Lehman Brothers High Yield Bond Index) covers the universe of fixed rate, non-investment grade debt. The Index includes both corporate and noncorporate sectors. Barclays Capital High Yield Bond Index (formerly Lehman Brothers High Yield Bond Index) is composed of corporate, U.S. Government, mortgage-backed and Yankee bonds with an average maturity of approximately 10 years. Wilshire REIT Index is an unmanaged group of publicly-traded real estate investment trusts. Diversified Portfolio assumes quarterly rebalancing and an equal weighting in each of the listed indices. This is for illustrative purposes only and does not reflect the performance of any specific investment.
  • 19. Historic volatility by standard deviation Stocks 41% Bonds 20% 26% 14% S&P 500 Stock Index 1976-2008 Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index (formerly Lehman Aggregate Bond Index) 1976-2008 11% 8% 3% -4% -3% -19% Source: Morningstar Direct & PAG.Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index (formerly Lehman Brothers Aggregate Bond Index), an unmanaged index, is made up of a representative list of government, corporate, asset-backed and mortgage-backed securities. The index is frequently used as a general measure of bond market performance. Standard & Poor's 500 Index (S&P 500 Index), an unmanaged list of common stocks, is frequently used as a general measure of market performance. The index reflects reinvestment of all distributions and changes in market prices, but excludes brokerage commissions or other fees. You can not invest directly in an index.
  • 20. Diversification options Asset classes (stocks, bonds, cash, real estate, etc.) Investment products (e.g. mutual funds, annuities, ETFs) Tax characteristics (taxable, tax-deferred, tax-free) Diversification helps you spread risk throughout your portfolio, so that investments that do poorly may be balanced by others that do relatively better. Diversification and asset allocation do not guarantee overall portfolio profit or protection against loss.
  • 21. Diversification can temper market volatility S&P 500 Index Performance of Stocks, Bonds and 50/50 Mix 1988 to 2008 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% 1988 1998 2008 Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index (formerly Lehman Brothers Aggregate Bond Index) 50/50 Mix Source: Morningstar Direct & PAG. Blended index returns calculated by PAG using a monthly weighting.Past performance does not guarantee future results. These examples do not reflect sales charges, taxes or other costs associated with investing. Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond Index (formerly Lehman Brothers Aggregate Bond Index), an unmanaged index, is made up of a representative list of government, corporate, asset-backed and mortgage-backed securities. The index is frequently used as a general measure of bond market performance. Standard & Poor's 500 Index (S&P 500 Index), an unmanaged list of common stocks, is frequently used as a general measure of market performance. The index reflects reinvestment of all distributions and changes in market prices, but excludes brokerage commissions or other fees. You can not invest directly in an index.
  • 22. Rebalancing can keep you on plan 50% Bonds 50% Stocks 50% Stocks 50% Bonds 40% Bonds 60% Stocks Initial allocation Rebalance back One year later Diversification helps you spread risk throughout your portfolio, so that investments that do poorly may be balanced by others that do relatively better. Diversification and asset allocation do not guarantee overall portfolio profit or protection against loss.
  • 23. Dollar-cost averaging – price rises $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Average price: $15.00 Average cost: $14.19 Invested amount: $6,000.00 Ending value: $8,456.40 Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee a profit or protect against losses in a declining market. Investors should consider their ability to continue investing during periods of low markets. This illustration is hypothetical and is not a forecast or guarantee of specific investment results.
  • 24. Dollar-cost averaging – market down, then recovers $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Average price: $15.00 Average cost: $13.85 Invested amount: $6,000.00 Ending value: $8,666.80 Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee a profit or protect against losses in a declining market. Investors should consider their ability to continue investing during periods of low markets. This illustration is hypothetical and is not a forecast or guarantee of specific investment results.
  • 25. Dollar-cost averaging – market down, partial rebound $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 1 2 3 4 5 6 Average price: $10.83 Average cost: $9.73 Invested amount: $6,000.00 Ending value: $7,166.70 Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee a profit or protect against losses in a declining market. Investors should consider their ability to continue investing during periods of low markets. This illustration is hypothetical and is not a forecast or guarantee of specific investment results.
  • 26. Three different markets — three positive results Total invested – $6,000 in monthly $1,000 increments $10,000 $7,500 $5,000 $8,667 $8,456 $7,167 Market down: partial recovery Market down: full recovery Market goes up Dollar-cost averaging does not guarantee a profit or protect against losses in a declining market. Investors should consider their ability to continue investing during periods of low markets. This illustration is hypothetical and is not a forecast or guarantee of specific investment results.
  • 27. Understanding emotional investing Euphoria Point of maximum financial risk Anxiety Thrill Denial “Wow, I am making money. I feel good about this investment.” “This is just a temporary setback.” Excitement Fear Optimism Optimism Desperation Panic Relief Capitulation “I think I need to sell.” Despondency Hope “Things may be turning around.” Depression Point of maximum financial opportunity Source: Radarwire.com. A product of Simon Economic Systems, Ltd.
  • 28. The average equity investor lags the market Equity market returns v. equity mutual fund investors’ returns 16% 11.8% 12% 8% 4.3% 3.0% 4% 0% S&P 500 Index Average equity Fund investor Inflation Source: Dalbar, Inc., 2007 Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior for the period (1986 - 2006). Benchmark returns represented by total returns of the S&P 500. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Stock Market Index (S&P 500) is an unmanaged list of common stocks frequently used as a measure of market performance. You can not invest directly in an index.
  • 29. Benefits of a personalized financial plan Focuses on your goals, not short-term market conditions Assesses your risk tolerance Employs time-tested disciplines to dampen market volatility, such as rebalancing, dollar-cost averaging and opportunity purchases Takes taxes into consideration Helps you neutralize the inclination to make emotional investment decisions Provides for review and rebalancing on a regular basis A financial plan can help you feel more on track during market turmoil* *The Financial Planning Association® (FPA®)and Ameriprise® Value of Financial Planning Study, was conducted by Harris Interactive in June/July, 2008 among 3,022 adults. While market volatility was significant during the study period, subsequent financial developments, which may have affected attitudes and behaviors, had not yet occurred. No estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated; a full methodology is available. Dollar-cost averaging involves continuous investment in securities, regardless of fluctuating price levels. Investors should consider their ability to continue purchases through periods of low price levels. Diversification and asset allocation help spread risk throughout your portfolio, so that investments that do poorly may be balanced by others that do relatively better. Dollar-cost averaging, diversification and asset allocation do not guarantee overall portfolio profit or protect against loss in declining markets. Neither Ameriprise Financial nor its representatives or affiliates provide tax or legal advice. Consult with your tax advisor or attorney regarding specific issues.
  • 31. Six steps to consider taking now 1. Diversify, diversify, diversify 2. Rebalance or review your asset allocation 3. Dollar-cost average 4. Avoid market timing, but prepare for opportunities 5. Don’t let your emotions affect your financial future 6. Get or review your financial plan Dollar-cost averaging involves continuous investment in securities, regardless of fluctuating price levels. Investors should consider their ability to continue purchases through periods of low price levels. Diversification and asset allocation help spread risk throughout your portfolio, so that investments that do poorly may be balanced by others that do relatively better. Dollar-cost averaging, diversification and asset allocation do not guarantee overall portfolio profit or protect against loss in declining markets. Neither Ameriprise Financial nor its representatives or affiliates provide tax or legal advice. Consult with your tax advisor or attorney regarding specific issues.
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  • 39. Let’s get started. Justin J. Spraker, Financial Advisor Ameriprise Financial Advisors 5 Southside Drive Ste 202 Clifton Park, NY 12065 (518) 669-3440 Justin.j.spraker@ampf.com Financial planning services and investments offered through Ameriprise Financial Services, Inc. Member FINRA and SIPC. © 2008-2009 Ameriprise Financial, Inc. All rights reserved.

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