2. Summary
This new report is a roadmap study of the electronics industry and connectors,
with 90 tables and many photos and illustrations. Taking off from work done on
the 2009 iNEMI Roadmap, this study analyzes major elements of the electronics
industry that parallel, intersect and influence connectors, and looks at the
connector industry™s markets, technology and forecasts major product
roadmaps from 2009-2019. Compiled during, and influenced by the 2008-2009
recession, the report analyzes how the industry will move forward from the
current point in time, and forecasts markets from 2007-2013 and gives a long-
range outlook to 2019, including the impact of a slowing IC technology a critical
driver for connector technology and demand.
Deep recessionary forces facing electronics were caused by forces external to
the industry not by boom and bust cycles in the industry such as happened in
2000. The 2008-2009 recession was caused by a crisis in the financial and
housing sectors, followed by a credit crunch and stock market plunge that shut
off demand for products and services.
This crisis had been building in the economy for some time, brought on by cheap
credit, speculation in the housing market, and a lack of conservative financial
management. As of this writing, the 2009 downturn is still lingering, although it
may have hit bottom in 1Q09. There are some signs of improvement, the
connector confidence index™ is up, but positive changes are slow and painful for
some. Employment tends to lag recovery, and this recession is no different. We
do not know for certain when and how fast positive growth will resume. There
remains abig hole™ to dig out of, which may result in a 3 year period of recovery.
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3. Summary
Many forecasters think the recession has or will soon end, and will be followed by
a slow recovery in 4Q09, picking up 2010. There is some improvement as of Sept
2009, but 1H09 was down 35 percent from 2008. There remains uncertainty due
to the unprecedented situation we have faced:
Unknown depth and breadth of the current credit crunch.
Government response, which is exploding debt and will require tax increases.
Continuing impact of huge hit on personal savings and investment.
Continuing impact on discretionary purchases, i.e. electronic
equipment, consumer electronics.
The now greater exposure of the industry to consumer spending (> 60 percent of
total semiconductor dollars).
Specific industry issues: automotive, consumer, computers/peripherals, and
medical.
Automotive, a most important connector market, is undergoing a massive
restructuring.
Government stimulus is mostly non-electronic: Infrastructure, social Programs.
The connector industry forecast is conservative based on depth of current
recession and issues in automotive market. Growth rate 2008-13 is just 1.5
percent, indicating a slow recovery similar to what occurred after 911. But growth
rate 2009-13 is 9.5 percent/year. Possibility exists for a more robust recovery, with
pent up demand. This seems unlikely due to continued high levels of
unemployment, slow recovery in housing market, and other issues.
Connector Market by Equipment Segment - 2007-2013
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4. Table of Contents :
Chapter 1 - Technology Roadmaps
The Roadmap Process
Areas of Focus
Industry Input
Technology Roadmap for IC Substrates
Is it Worth The Time?
Possible Outline for a Connector Company Roadmap
Memory Socket Roadmap
Roadmap Manuscript from Sandia Laboratories
Phase II. Development of the Technology Roadmap
Phase III. Follow-up Activity
Abstract
Executive Summary
Fundamentals of Technology Road mapping Introduction
Uses and Benefits of Technology Road mapping
What is Technology Road mapping?
What is a Technology Roadmap?
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5. Table of Contents :
Chapter 2 - Electronics Industry Roadmaps
Introduction
Final Assembly Roadmap Exposure
Factors that will Change, Improve, or Complicate Final
Assembly
Rationale for Final Assembly Outsourcing Projections
Final Assembly Future - Connector Industry
Positive
Mixed
Potentially Negative
Board Assembly
Connectors
Smallest Connector Size
Integrated Passive Board Assembly
Buried Resistors and Capacitors
EMS Industry And Board Assembly
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6. Table of Contents :
Chapter 3 - More Electronics Industry Roadmaps
Environmental Electronics
Mass Data Storage
HDDs Types and Capacities
Existing and new players in HDD, Memory Card Storage/SSD
market:
SSDs are Coming: Notebooks, Servers, Storage Equip,
Telecom, Medical, Gaming
Toshiba Comment
SSD OEMs
World Hard Disk Market 2003-2013
Estimated Worldwide SSD Markets 2003-2013
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7. More Related Reports :
The World Distribution Market for Connectors
2010 Top 100 Connector Manufacturers
The World Market For Terminal Blocks
World Connector Statistics Regions - Products - Market Sectors
2000 - 2010 & 2015 Forecast
North American Cable Assembly Manufacturers
The World Consumer Electronics Market for Connectors
Fiber Optic Connectors in Military and Commercial Applications
Connector Industry Forecast
World Cable Assembly Market
Connector Types And Technologies Poised For Growth
GPS Navigation Market - Portable Navigation Devices
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the-Electronics-Industry-and-Connectors-Roadmap-2009-
2019-33040.html
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