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The state of public sector
Ben Page, Chief Executive
Ipsos MORI
   ben.page@ipsos.com

   @benatipsosmori
Recession blues.....                                                                                                                           2




 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today?


70                                                                                                                              Economy

60

50
                                                                                                                      Unemployment
40                                                                                                                    Race / immigration

30

20
                                                                                                                                 Crime/
                                                                                                                 NHS
10                                                                                                                               Law &
                                                                                                                                  Order
 0
     May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May
     1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home   Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
We’ve spent the money…
                                60
                                                                                       France
                                55
Percentage of national income




                                50                                                Italy

                                45              Germany
                                                             UK
                                40                                                             USA
                                35                                          Japan
                                30
                                 1997   1999   2001   2003   2005             2007            2009



                                                                    Source: IFS Bulletin OECD.Stat
Less “Big Government” sounds like a good
 idea….but
To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following
statements:
  Strongly agree              Tend to agree                 Tend to disagree        Strongly disagree
In recent years government
   and public services have
   tried to do too much, and
                                                      31%                     33%               13% 7%
   people should take more
  responsibility for their own
                 lives (Base: 512)

          I am worried that
    government and public
 services will do too little to                  19%                  31%                   19%         8%
   help people in the years
             ahead (Base: 490)
 Base: 1,002 adults in Great Britain aged 16+. Split sample between the two
 statements. Fieldwork dates: 13-19 May 2010                                            Source: Ipsos MORI
“We now expect more of
 government than we do of
          God”
52% of the public agree….
Where are you??




                          6
                  © Ipsos MORI
Money money money
What would you say is the most important issue facing your sector today?


                                                          % Top mentions
      Funding/grants/budget cuts – any mention                                  64
  Maintaining and improving services/healthcare                         30
          Funding/grants/budgets – nothing else…                   20
            NHS reforms/commissioning reforms                 12
             Workforce issues/redundancies etc.               12
Rethinking how to provide services/Restructuring             10
             Reduced services/larger class sizes             9
               Education/student funding reform             7
         Demographic change/ageing population              4
      Localism issues/local delivery/prioritisation        4
                                   Patient safety         3
                 Government/new legislation etc           3
   Welfare/benefit changes will increase poverty          3
   Outsourcing/working with other organisations           2
                                   Transparency           2
              Customer/community engagement               2
                              Curriculum issues           2                  Source: Ipsos MORI

Base: 338 Public Sector Leaders, 27 June – 22 July 2011
VFM
8
You have been monstered
   Q. “For each, would you tell me whether you generally trust them to tell the
   truth or not?”
                                                              % Not trust % Trust
                         Doctors                                         8            88
                       Teachers                                         12           81
                     Professors                                     11110           74
                         Judges                                        17          72
                       Scientists                                      17          71
            Clergyman/Priests                                          20          68
                     The Police                                       27          63
     Television News Readers                                          26          62
                 Social workers                                       25          60
  The ordinary man/woman in                                           25         55
                  Civil Servants                                     34         47
        Managers in the NHS                                       45           40       (was 33%)
                        Pollsters                                   37         39
         Trade Union officials                                    46          34
              Local councillors                                  57           31
             Business Leaders                                    55          29
                        Bankers                                 62           29
 Managers in local government                                    57          26      (was 34%)
                     Journalists                               70           19
        Government Ministers                                  74           17
          Politicians generally                               80           14
Base: 1,026 United Kingdom adults aged 15+, 10-16 June 2011                   Source: Ipsos MORI/BMA
Overall
     satisfaction
     with services
      holding up

10
Just over a half satisfied with their local council
Q2     How satisfied, or dissatisfied, are you with the way your local council runs
       things?
                                                                                   Higher net satisfied
                                             Very              Very                scores among:
                                      dissatisfied             satisfied           Informed (+63)
                                                   6% 7%                           Londoners (+54)
                       Fairly                                                      Rural areas (+50)
                 dissatisfied 15%




Neither satisfied nor 21%                                              48% Fairly
         dissatisfied                                                             satisfied




Base: All adults aged 15+ In England only, (874) fieldwork dates 7 – 13 October 2011          Source: Ipsos MORI
…which is above average of last 25 years…
          Q How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way your local council
            runs things?
                                       National net satisfaction
                   50%
                   45%
                   40%
Net Satisfaction




                   35%
                   30%
                   25%
                   20%
                   15%
                   10%
                    5%
                    0%
                     1986   1991       1996             2001       2006           2011
                                         Year surveyed
                                                                          Source: Ipsos MORI
Levels of advocacy largely unchanged over last 2 years
 Q      Which of these statements comes closest to how you feel about your local
        council?
                                                                                  Higher net scores
                                                                                  among:
 I speak highly of the council                                                    Informed (+16)
         without being asked                        4%
                                                                                  Londoners (+18)

I speak highly of the council if                                            22%
           I am asked about it

I am critical about the council
          if I am asked about it                                              26%

I am critical about the council
           without being asked                              9%

  I have no views one way or
                     another                                                                  39%

 Base: All excluding don’t know (837) fieldwork dates 7 – 13 October 2011               Source: Ipsos MORI
Most say local government is staying the same
Q      Thinking about the way the authority run things, do you think this has got
       better or worse over the last three years, or has it stayed the same?


                                                                                   24% among Londoners
                               Better                    13%



             Stayed the same                                                                             62%



                              Worse                                  25%


Base: All adults (excl don’t know responses from base) aged 15+ in England only (796) fieldwork dates 7 – 13 October 2011
Image of local council is mixed - but
Q14      Please read through the list, and tell me which of the words, if any, that
         you think apply to your local council
                                                                                          Top answers
                                                                                              2007
             Faceless                                                                         30%
        Bureaucratic                                                                            32%
      Under-funded                                                                              25%
               Friendly                                                                         21%
      Unresponsive
               Efficient
        Keen to help
    Unaccountable
        Hardworking
            Infuriating

Base: All adults aged 15+ in England only (874) fieldwork dates 7 – 13 October 2011   Source: Ipsos MORI
And Trust is up…
                                                              Parliament                       Local Council
           70   Trust %
                                                                                                                                    62               64
                                                                                     60                     61
           60                                                 57
                  52                   54

           50
Per cent




           40      36                  38                      37
                                                                                     35                                                              36
                                                                                                            34
                                                                                                                                    29
           30


           20


           10
             2001                    2003                   2005                2007-08                2008-09                2009-10              2010-11
           Base: Core sample in England; (2001: 9,270, 2003: 8,859, 2005: 9,104, 2007-08: 8,729, 2008-09: 8,706, 2009-10: 8,677, 2010-11: 9,521)
But only 12% of
     cuts done so far

17
On the classic change curve….
Pay has never been the main
factor in staff engagement -
but in the current climate, how
far are staff really beginning to
worry about declining living
standards?
More than a lost decade for wages
Median wages (real)                                 Crisis and
                    Steady          Stagnation      Aftermath
                    Growth



£26,000.00


£24,000.00


£22,000.00


£20,000.00


£18,000.00
             1990     1995   2000    2005        2010           2015

                                                        Source: Resolution Foundation
Same erosion of living standards as everyone else?



                        How satisfied are you with the balance
70%
                        between your private and professional
                        life
60%
                                                             How satisfied
50%
                                                             are you with
                                                             your salary?      Is your
                                                                              benefits
40%
                                                                             package
                                                                          competitive?
30%

                             Your overall compensation
20%                          package (pay and bonuses)
                             reflects your performance?
10%


0%
                2006                      2009                     2011
People are still motivated and
believe in their “vocation” but
more demanding conditions
and declining real pay are
affecting happiness levels
Real changes
90%


80%
      Your job gives you a
      sense of personal                                     Happy in job - EU
70%
      fulfilment
60%
                                                                       Happy in job -
50%          You feel proud to work                                    UK
             for your organisation
40%                                          You endorse your
                                             organisation’s
30%                                          strategy and
                                             direction
20%


10%


0%
            2006                      2009                      2011
Keep building flexibility,
upskilling and recognise the
value of non-monetary
recognition...

Policies and behaviour still
antediluvian...not helped by
media – but..
55%
      Worried about what’s next
                          Change is well
50%                       managed within
                          your organisation     You support
45%                                             change

40%


                                              You feel valued
35%
                                              and recognised

30%



25%



20%
         2006      2009                       2011
FOR EXAMPLE........
Local example of key trends….


     Overall
satisfaction with       73%
   current job
            64%         65%
                                            62%
                        59%

            52%
            46%
                                            41%
 Speak highly of
   employer
                    Satisfaction with Job
                           security         23%


           2007         2009                2011


                                                   27
Rising sense of focus – even as insecurity mounts



I am committed to                           92%
                      89%     90%
    helping my
                                            86%
service achieve its           84%
    objectives        81%

 I understand my                            73%
     service’s                68%
    objectives

  I am encouraged 57%
     to find more
  efficient ways of
     doing things


                      2007    2009          2011


                                                     28
Better team work…..


                     I find team
                   meetings useful                   74%
                          72%

             67%
                                      … gets the best
                                        out of me
                             61%                        61%
There is good             60%                        61%
 cooperation 52%
   between                55%                        55%
teams within 51%                 Satisfaction with
  my service                            Pay
     area

            2007          2009                   2011


                                                              29
But anxiety about change



                            30
                     © Ipsos MORI
Appetite for change

                                I support
                                the need
                               for change
                      72
        64                            66


                        Change is
                       well managed
                      24
                                      19
        16




       2007           2009            2011


                                             31
General concern about the
future – in every sense

Need people who are less risk
averse....big cultural change
underway
Most trends down but..................
80%

                               Job security
70%                                            How motivated do you feel
      Optimistic about own                          in your current job?
60%
      future
50%                                             Will you be with the same
                                                    employer in two years’
40%                                                                  time?

30%               How satisfied are you with
                  opportunities for career
20%               progression

10%


0%
           2006                       2009                 2011
Like all employers, you are
highly reliant on staff
willingness to meet your
new objectives and
change…

                              34
                       © Ipsos MORI
What is engagement?




                                                           35
              © Engaging for Success, David MacLeod and Nita Clarke
57% of staff on average say they support the need for change in
     local government



                                                              36
Base size: 4094
Employees want
MORE listening &
face to face contact
with Senior Managers

Desired: 47%
Received: 30%



                              37
                       © Ipsos MORI
Capturing the mood…



“A clearer understanding of
what our future may hold, even
if we are in a time of
significant change. Just tell
us the truth. We can handle
it!”




                                    38
                             © Ipsos MORI
ben.page@ipsos.com
                        39
                 © Ipsos MORI

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Ben Page - The State of Public Sector - PPMA Seminar April 2012

  • 1. The state of public sector Ben Page, Chief Executive Ipsos MORI ben.page@ipsos.com @benatipsosmori
  • 2. Recession blues..... 2 What do you see as the most/other important issues facing Britain today? 70 Economy 60 50 Unemployment 40 Race / immigration 30 20 Crime/ NHS 10 Law & Order 0 May May May May May May May May May May May May May May May 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Base: representative sample of c.1,000 British adults age 18+ each month, interviewed face-to-face in home Source: Ipsos MORI Issues Index
  • 3. We’ve spent the money… 60 France 55 Percentage of national income 50 Italy 45 Germany UK 40 USA 35 Japan 30 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 Source: IFS Bulletin OECD.Stat
  • 4. Less “Big Government” sounds like a good idea….but To what extent do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements: Strongly agree Tend to agree Tend to disagree Strongly disagree In recent years government and public services have tried to do too much, and 31% 33% 13% 7% people should take more responsibility for their own lives (Base: 512) I am worried that government and public services will do too little to 19% 31% 19% 8% help people in the years ahead (Base: 490) Base: 1,002 adults in Great Britain aged 16+. Split sample between the two statements. Fieldwork dates: 13-19 May 2010 Source: Ipsos MORI
  • 5. “We now expect more of government than we do of God” 52% of the public agree….
  • 6. Where are you?? 6 © Ipsos MORI
  • 7. Money money money What would you say is the most important issue facing your sector today? % Top mentions Funding/grants/budget cuts – any mention 64 Maintaining and improving services/healthcare 30 Funding/grants/budgets – nothing else… 20 NHS reforms/commissioning reforms 12 Workforce issues/redundancies etc. 12 Rethinking how to provide services/Restructuring 10 Reduced services/larger class sizes 9 Education/student funding reform 7 Demographic change/ageing population 4 Localism issues/local delivery/prioritisation 4 Patient safety 3 Government/new legislation etc 3 Welfare/benefit changes will increase poverty 3 Outsourcing/working with other organisations 2 Transparency 2 Customer/community engagement 2 Curriculum issues 2 Source: Ipsos MORI Base: 338 Public Sector Leaders, 27 June – 22 July 2011
  • 9. You have been monstered Q. “For each, would you tell me whether you generally trust them to tell the truth or not?” % Not trust % Trust Doctors 8 88 Teachers 12 81 Professors 11110 74 Judges 17 72 Scientists 17 71 Clergyman/Priests 20 68 The Police 27 63 Television News Readers 26 62 Social workers 25 60 The ordinary man/woman in 25 55 Civil Servants 34 47 Managers in the NHS 45 40 (was 33%) Pollsters 37 39 Trade Union officials 46 34 Local councillors 57 31 Business Leaders 55 29 Bankers 62 29 Managers in local government 57 26 (was 34%) Journalists 70 19 Government Ministers 74 17 Politicians generally 80 14 Base: 1,026 United Kingdom adults aged 15+, 10-16 June 2011 Source: Ipsos MORI/BMA
  • 10. Overall satisfaction with services holding up 10
  • 11. Just over a half satisfied with their local council Q2 How satisfied, or dissatisfied, are you with the way your local council runs things? Higher net satisfied Very Very scores among: dissatisfied satisfied Informed (+63) 6% 7% Londoners (+54) Fairly Rural areas (+50) dissatisfied 15% Neither satisfied nor 21% 48% Fairly dissatisfied satisfied Base: All adults aged 15+ In England only, (874) fieldwork dates 7 – 13 October 2011 Source: Ipsos MORI
  • 12. …which is above average of last 25 years… Q How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the way your local council runs things? National net satisfaction 50% 45% 40% Net Satisfaction 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 2011 Year surveyed Source: Ipsos MORI
  • 13. Levels of advocacy largely unchanged over last 2 years Q Which of these statements comes closest to how you feel about your local council? Higher net scores among: I speak highly of the council Informed (+16) without being asked 4% Londoners (+18) I speak highly of the council if 22% I am asked about it I am critical about the council if I am asked about it 26% I am critical about the council without being asked 9% I have no views one way or another 39% Base: All excluding don’t know (837) fieldwork dates 7 – 13 October 2011 Source: Ipsos MORI
  • 14. Most say local government is staying the same Q Thinking about the way the authority run things, do you think this has got better or worse over the last three years, or has it stayed the same? 24% among Londoners Better 13% Stayed the same 62% Worse 25% Base: All adults (excl don’t know responses from base) aged 15+ in England only (796) fieldwork dates 7 – 13 October 2011
  • 15. Image of local council is mixed - but Q14 Please read through the list, and tell me which of the words, if any, that you think apply to your local council Top answers 2007 Faceless 30% Bureaucratic 32% Under-funded 25% Friendly 21% Unresponsive Efficient Keen to help Unaccountable Hardworking Infuriating Base: All adults aged 15+ in England only (874) fieldwork dates 7 – 13 October 2011 Source: Ipsos MORI
  • 16. And Trust is up… Parliament Local Council 70 Trust % 62 64 60 61 60 57 52 54 50 Per cent 40 36 38 37 35 36 34 29 30 20 10 2001 2003 2005 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10 2010-11 Base: Core sample in England; (2001: 9,270, 2003: 8,859, 2005: 9,104, 2007-08: 8,729, 2008-09: 8,706, 2009-10: 8,677, 2010-11: 9,521)
  • 17. But only 12% of cuts done so far 17
  • 18. On the classic change curve….
  • 19. Pay has never been the main factor in staff engagement - but in the current climate, how far are staff really beginning to worry about declining living standards?
  • 20. More than a lost decade for wages Median wages (real) Crisis and Steady Stagnation Aftermath Growth £26,000.00 £24,000.00 £22,000.00 £20,000.00 £18,000.00 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Source: Resolution Foundation
  • 21. Same erosion of living standards as everyone else? How satisfied are you with the balance 70% between your private and professional life 60% How satisfied 50% are you with your salary? Is your benefits 40% package competitive? 30% Your overall compensation 20% package (pay and bonuses) reflects your performance? 10% 0% 2006 2009 2011
  • 22. People are still motivated and believe in their “vocation” but more demanding conditions and declining real pay are affecting happiness levels
  • 23. Real changes 90% 80% Your job gives you a sense of personal Happy in job - EU 70% fulfilment 60% Happy in job - 50% You feel proud to work UK for your organisation 40% You endorse your organisation’s 30% strategy and direction 20% 10% 0% 2006 2009 2011
  • 24. Keep building flexibility, upskilling and recognise the value of non-monetary recognition... Policies and behaviour still antediluvian...not helped by media – but..
  • 25. 55% Worried about what’s next Change is well 50% managed within your organisation You support 45% change 40% You feel valued 35% and recognised 30% 25% 20% 2006 2009 2011
  • 27. Local example of key trends…. Overall satisfaction with 73% current job 64% 65% 62% 59% 52% 46% 41% Speak highly of employer Satisfaction with Job security 23% 2007 2009 2011 27
  • 28. Rising sense of focus – even as insecurity mounts I am committed to 92% 89% 90% helping my 86% service achieve its 84% objectives 81% I understand my 73% service’s 68% objectives I am encouraged 57% to find more efficient ways of doing things 2007 2009 2011 28
  • 29. Better team work….. I find team meetings useful 74% 72% 67% … gets the best out of me 61% 61% There is good 60% 61% cooperation 52% between 55% 55% teams within 51% Satisfaction with my service Pay area 2007 2009 2011 29
  • 30. But anxiety about change 30 © Ipsos MORI
  • 31. Appetite for change I support the need for change 72 64 66 Change is well managed 24 19 16 2007 2009 2011 31
  • 32. General concern about the future – in every sense Need people who are less risk averse....big cultural change underway
  • 33. Most trends down but.................. 80% Job security 70% How motivated do you feel Optimistic about own in your current job? 60% future 50% Will you be with the same employer in two years’ 40% time? 30% How satisfied are you with opportunities for career 20% progression 10% 0% 2006 2009 2011
  • 34. Like all employers, you are highly reliant on staff willingness to meet your new objectives and change… 34 © Ipsos MORI
  • 35. What is engagement? 35 © Engaging for Success, David MacLeod and Nita Clarke
  • 36. 57% of staff on average say they support the need for change in local government 36 Base size: 4094
  • 37. Employees want MORE listening & face to face contact with Senior Managers Desired: 47% Received: 30% 37 © Ipsos MORI
  • 38. Capturing the mood… “A clearer understanding of what our future may hold, even if we are in a time of significant change. Just tell us the truth. We can handle it!” 38 © Ipsos MORI
  • 39. ben.page@ipsos.com 39 © Ipsos MORI