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NUS Entrepreneurship Centre



  Global Entrepreneurship Monitor Study
                GEM 2006
 Global Entrepreneurship Monitor Study
        Highlights on Singapore
              GEM 2005
                    FEBRUARY 2007
                 Highlights on Singapore




                                           1
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




                              GEM 2006
             Singapore Research Team

                   Prof. Wong Poh Kam
                  (PohKam@nus.edu.sg)
                      Ms. Lena Lee
                    Ms. Ho Yuen Ping
                NUS Entrepreneurship Centre

                                              2
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




                        GEM Singapore 2006

                      Overview of
                 GEM Research Methodology




                                             3
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




    Overview of GEM Singapore 2006
  An annual GEM cross-national assessment of the level of
  entrepreneurial activity.
  10 countries in 1999, 21 in 2000, 28 in 2001, 37 in 2002, 31 in 2003,
  34 countries in 2004 and 2005, and 42 countries in 2006.
  For Singapore, this is our seventh year of participation.
  NUS Entrepreneurship Centre was invited to carry out the Singapore
  Country Study since 2000.
  Funded by National University of Singapore (NUS) and supported by
  Action Community For Entrepreneurship (ACE).



                                                                          4
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




                      GEM Conceptual Model

                     General National                                Major
                     Framework Conditions                      Established Firms
                                                              (Primary Economy)
                     • Openness (External Trade)
                     • Government (Extent, Role)                                        National
                     • Financial Markets (Efficiency)
                     • Technology, R&D (Level, Intensity)       Micro, Small           Economic
                     • Infrastructure (Physical)
                                                             And Medium Firms           Growth
                     • Management (Skills)
                     • Labour Markets (Flexible)            (Secondary Economy)       (GDP, Jobs)
                     • Institutions (Rule of Law)
         Social,
         Cultural
                                                                Entrepreneurial
         Political
                                                                 Opportunities
         Context
                     Entrepreneurial
                     Framework Conditions
                                                               Entrepreneurs            Business
                     • Financial                            Opportunity / Necessity     Churning
                     • Government Policies
                     • Government Programmes
                     • Education and Training
                     • R&D Transfer
                     • Commercial, Legal Infrastructure
                     • Internal Market Openness
                                                                Entrepreneurial
                     • Access to Physical Infrastructure        Capacity
                     • Cultural, Social Norms                   • Skills
                                                                • Motivation




                                                                                                    5
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




GEM Research Methodology & Data Sources
GEM employs 3 approaches:
    Adult Population Surveys
         2000 adults or more were selected in each country for a
         random sampling survey using a common survey instrument.
         In Singapore, the survey was carried out in June 2006
         (Sample size for Singapore: 4,011)
         The results of the analysis are drawn from the responses of
         the working age group (18 to 64 years old).
         This year, a total of 106,495 individuals in 42 countries were
         surveyed by GEM.
                                                                          6
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre


GEM Research Methodology & Data Sources
   Country Experts Interviews
        Up to 50 key informants were interviewed by the GEM national research
        team in each country in 2006 (36 for Singapore).The key informants
        include entrepreneurs, investors, government policy makers and venture
        support professionals.
        The informants were asked to assess the environment for entrepreneurship
        in their country along NINE dimensions:
         •   Financial Support
         •   Government Policies
         •   Government Programmes
         •   Education and Training
         •   Research and Development Transfer
         •   Commercial and Professional Infrastructure
         •   Barriers to Entry
         •   Access to Physical Infrastructure
         •   Cultural and Social Norms
                                                                                   7
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




GEM Research Methodology & Data Sources

 Collection of Secondary National Social-Economic Data for each
 country
      International benchmark Social-Economic data from World
      Bank, World Competitiveness Report
      National sources of data on venture capital investment, firm
      formation, etc.




                                                                     8
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




Key Indicators of Entrepreneurial Activities in GEM 2006

 Total Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA) Rate (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship)
   • Nascent Start-up vs. New (“Baby”) Businesses
   • Opportunity vs. Necessity

 Other Entrepreneurship Indicators
  • High Employment Growth Potential TEA rate
  • Early-Stage Businesses with New Technology
  • Early-Stage Businesses with New Markets
  • Early-Stage Businesses with Export Markets
  • Entrepreneurial Intention Rate
  • Prevalence of Business Discontinuation (Exit rate)

 Financing for new business
   • Prevalence of informal (business angel) investment
                                                                            9
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




    Key Indicators of Factors Affecting
     Entrepreneurship in GEM 2006
    Personal Attitudes towards Entrepreneurship
•   Know someone who has started a business
•   Perceive the skills to start a business
•   Perceive good business opportunities
•   Do not perceive fear of failure as a deterrent

    Perception of Social & Cultural Values for Entrepreneurship
•   Perception of entrepreneurship as a career
•   Media publicity for entrepreneurship
•   Preference for uniformity of living standards
•   Perception of status of successful entrepreneurs

    Assessment of National Environment for Entrepreneurial Activities
•   Rating on 9 dimensions of national environment for entrepreneurship by
    selected key informants
                                                                             10
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




                      GEM Singapore 2006

             Core GEM Indicators Findings




                                            11
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




GEM 2006 Singapore – Nascent Start-Up Prevalence Rate
                  * Definition *
   This variable attempts to measure the proportion of working age
   adults (age between 18 to 64 years old) in a country who is
   actively engaged in starting up a new business.
   To meet the criteria for this variable, the respondent had to
   fulfill each of the following criteria:
        if they had done something – taken some action – to create a
        new business in the past year.
        they expected to share ownership of the new firm and
        the firm had not paid salaries for more than 3 months
                                                                       12
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




  GEM 2006 Singapore – New Business Prevalence Rate
                  * Definition *
    This variable attempts to measure the proportion of working age
    adults (age between 18 to 64 years old) in a country who are
    currently running a new business (as opposed to trying to start one).
    To meet the criteria for this variable, the respondent had to fulfill
    each of the following criteria:
         they are currently managing a new business.
         they personally owned all or part of the new business.
         the firm was started in year 2003 or later (this meant that the
         business was, at most, 42 months old in June 2006).
                                                                            13
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




GEM 2006 Singapore – Total Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA)
            Or Early-Stage Entrepreneurship
                     * Definition *
    TEA is the sum of
         (1) the propensity of individuals involving in the start-up
         process (nascent entrepreneurs) (start-up prevalence rate)
         and
         (2) the propensity of individuals engaging as owner-
         managers of firms less than 42 months old (new business
         prevalence rate)
    Those that qualified for both are counted only once.
                                                                       14
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




  GEM 2006 Singapore – Necessity / Opportunity TEA
                  * Definition *
   There are two major motivations for individuals to participate
   in entrepreneurial activities.
        (1) “Opportunity Entrepreneurship” - those who voluntarily
        seek to pursue a perceived business opportunity and
        (2) “Necessity Entrepreneurship” - those who become
        involved in starting up a new business as a last resort, when
        other options for work or participation in the economy are
        perceived as absent or are considered unsatisfactory.

                                                                        15
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




GEM 2006 Singapore – Total Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA)
           Or Early-Stage Entrepreneurship
   Among the OECD countries falling in the same income band as
   Singapore (including USA) that participated in both the GEM 2005 &
   2006 surveys (16 countries), the overall TEA rate has decreased
   slightly from 6.4% in 2005 to 5.9% in 2006.
   Singapore ranked 16th among the 22 OECD countries with a TEA of
   4.9% for 2006, lower than 7.2% in 2005 and 5.7% in 2004.
   Among the subset of 21 OECD countries that participated in both
   GEM 2005 & GEM 2006, Spore’s relative ranking is lower in 2006
   (15th/21) than 2005 (7th/21).

                                                                        16
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




          GEM 2006 - TEA Prevalence Rate & Rank in OECD
          C o u n tr y                       R a te         R ank           C o u n tr y       R a te   R ank

          A U S T R A L IA                   1 2 .0            1            DENM ARK           5 .3      13
          IC E L A N D                       1 1 .3            2            M E X IC O         5 .3      14

          U N IT E D S T A T E S             1 0 .0            3            F IN L A N D       5 .0      15
          NORW AY                             9 .1             4            S IN G A P O R E   4 .9      16
          GREECE                              7 .9             5            FRAN CE            4 .4      17
          C Z E C H R E P U B L IC            7 .9             6            GERM ANY           4 .2      18
          IR E L A N D                        7 .4             7            SW ED EN           3 .5      19
          S P A IN                            7 .3             8            IT A L Y           3 .5      20
          CANADA                              7 .1             9            JA P A N           2 .9      21
          HUNGARY                             6 .0            10            B E L G IU M       2 .7      22
          U N IT E D K IN G D O M             5 .8            11
          NETHERLANDS                         5 .4            12            M ea n             6 .2

Singapore’s 95% confidence interval is 4.3 to 5.5, hence countries ranked
from France to Netherlands are ranked within the same band as Singapore


                                                                                                                17
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




    Entrepreneurial Activity Rates – 95% Confidence
    Interval, persons per 100 Adults, 18-64 years old.
                              RATES        95% Confidence Interval

Overall TEA 2006              4.9                 4.3 – 5.5
TEA Opportunity               4.2                 3.5 – 4.9
TEA Necessity                 0.7                 0.5 – 0.9
   Consistent with findings from previous years, the majority of early-
 stage businesses (86%) in Singapore were opportunity-driven.

   This is comparable with the 82% average for all GEM OECD
 countries.
                                                                          18
P e rc e n t a g e o f a d u lt p p o p u la t io n b e t w e e n 1 8 - 6 4 y e a rs




                                   0%
                                            5%
                                                       10%
                                                                 15%
                                                                            20%
                                                                                       25%
                                                                                                  30%
                                                                                                            35%
                                                                                                                       40%
                                                                                                                               45%
                  B e lg iu m
                      Japan
                  S w eden
                          Ita ly
     U . A ra b E m ira te s
                 G e rm a n y
                     F ra n c e
                 S lo v e n ia
               S in g a p o re
                      R u s s ia
                   F in la n d
                    M e x ic o
                                                                                                                                                                             NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




           S o u th A fric a
                 D e n m a rk
            N e th e rla n d s
                            UK
                  H u n g a ry
                     T u rk e y
                      L a tv ia
                   Canada
                       S p a in
                     Ire la n d
      C z e c h R e p u b lic
                    G re e c e
                                                                                                                                     GEM 2006 - TEA Prevalence Rate & Rank




                    C ro a tia
                   N o rw a y
                        C h ile
                          USA
                A rg e n tin a
                        In d ia
                 M a la y s ia
                    Ic e la n d
                       B ra z il
                 A u s tra lia
                  U ru g u a y
                 T h a ila n d
                       C h in a
                In d o n e s ia
                  J a m a ic a
             P h ilip p in e s
                C o lo m b ia
                         P e ru
19
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre
TEA (Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity) Rate and
GDP per capita, 2006
                                                                        25%
                                                                                                                                                    Early-stage Entrepreurial Activity (TEA rate) 2006
                                                                                                                                                    TEA rate United Arab Emirates
                                                                                                       CO                                           Fitted 3rd order polynomial - Arab Emirates and Peru excluded
                                                                                       JA   PH

                                                                        20%                 ID
P e rc e n ta g e o f p o p u la tio n b e tw e e n 1 8 -6 4 y e a rs




                                                                                                       CN
                                                                                                            TH
                                                                        15%

                                                                                                                 UY
                                                                                                 BR                     MY                                                            AU                 IS
                                                                                  IN                                         AR                                                                                        US
                                                                        10%
                                                                                                                 HR                                                                                                              NO
                                                                                                                  CL
                                                                                                                        LV             CZ              GR                ES                    CA                           IE
                                                                                                                                                                               UK
                                                                                                  TR                   SA         HU                                                      FI        DK
                                                                                                                                                                      SG       NL
                                                                        5%                              MX       RU                               SI                          FR     DE
                                                                                                                                                                       IT           SE
                                                                                                                                                                                                FR                                             UA
                                                                                                                                                                               JP     BE



                                                                        0%
                                                                              0                         10,000                          20,000                          30,000                                40,000                  50,000
                                                                                                                                        GDP per Capita 2006, in Power Purchasing Parities (PPP)


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    20
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre

                                                TEA (Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity) Rate
                                                and GDP per capita, 2005

                                               30%

                                                                                            Early-stage Entrepreurial Activity 2005                  Fitted Polynomial Trend (3rd order)



                                               25%
Percentage of population between 18-64 years




                                                               VE



                                               20%
                                                                              TH



                                                                                                                                      NZ
                                               15%        JM



                                                                    CN
                                                                                       CL                                                                                                            US
                                               10%                       BR                                                                                                            IS
                                                                                                                                                                AU
                                                                                                                                                                         CA
                                                                                                                                                                                               IE
                                                                                                 AR                                                                                                       NO
                                                                                                                             GR                 SG
                                                                               MX       HR       LV                                        ES                            SW
                                               5%                                                                                                                F
                                                                                                                                                                                DK
                                                                                            ZA                                                                       B
                                                                                                                             SI                             N
                                                                                                                                                      SE
                                                                                                            HU                                                  JP

                                               0%
                                                     0    5,000               10,000              15,000            20,000            25,000            30,000                35,000        40,000             45,000
                                                                                                 GDP per Capita 2005, in Power Purchasing Parities (PPP)



                                                                                                                                                                                                                   21
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre


TEA Rate (Early-Stage
Entrepreneurship) and GDP per capita

•     There is a U-shaped relationship between TEA & GDP per capita
      across countries, with lower income countries and the very high income
      countries showing higher TEA rates. For the bulk of relatively
      advanced economies falling in the income range of about US$25,000-
      US$40,000 per capita PPP, the TEA rates generally fall within the range
      of 3-8%
•     In 2006, along with Singapore, countries such as UK, Germany,
      France, Canada, Italy, Sweden, and Belgium reported a fall in its TEA
      rates in 2006 compared to 2005. In addition the USA also experienced
      a drop in TEA from 12.4% to 10%.
•     For countries that experienced an increase in its TEA rates such as
      Denmark and Netherlands, the rates are by and large around the 5%
      level.
•     On the other hand, the TEA rates for Australia & Iceland have been
      exceptionally high at around 10-12%, while Japan’s TEA rates have
      been consistently low around 2-3% level.
•     Singapore’s TEA rates of 5-7% over the years are within the expected
      range for countries in the per capita income range of US$25,000-
      US$40,000.
                                                                                22
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre


 TEA (Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity) Rate and
 GDP per capita among nations in $25,000 to $38,000
 income bracket, 2005 vs 2006



14.0%
                     2005          2006
12.0%                                                         AU

                                                       AU                           IS
10.0%                                                                                     IS
                                                                     CA
8.0%
                      SG                                                       CA
                                 ES
                                            UK      UK
6.0%        ES                                  FI     NL      FI                   DK
                                 IT     FR DE      FR                     DK
4.0%                                SG    SE NL
                                              BE
                                                      DE
                                       IT       SE
                                                     JP      BE
2.0%                                             JP

0.0%
   25,000        27,000          29,000      31,000         33,000    35,000         37,000


                                                                                               23
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre


        TEA Rate (Early-Stage
  Entrepreneurship) and GDP Growth

• The link between GDP growth and TEA rate is complex,
  but there is some evidence that across OECD countries
  falling in the same income band as Singapore
  (US$28,000-US$40,000)*, higher GDP per capita
  income growth is associated with a drop in TEA rates
  (Pearson correlation = -.746)
• Likewise, for Singapore over 2000-06, there is a slight
  negative correlation between GDP growth and TEA rate
  (-.451)
• There also appears to be some correlation between
  unemployment rate (+) and wage increase rate (-) and
  TEA rate
* Excluding Australia and Iceland


                                                            24
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre


          Pearson Correlations between TEA
  (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship) and OECD Average
          Annual GDP per capita PPP growth

              OECD Average GDP per capita PPP       OECD Average
                         Growth                         TEA
   2000                       4.43                      4.04

   2001                       1.35                      6.43

   2002                       1.45                      5.12

   2003                       1.42                      5.15

   2004                       2.96                      4.89

   2005                       2.39                      5.26

   2006                       3.12                      4.76


                                                                   25
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




          Pearson Correlations between TEA (Early-Stage
          Entrepreneurship) and Macro-Economic Factors


               Singapore        OVERALL       TEA          TEA
                                  TEA     OPPORTUNITY   NECESSITY
    GDP growth                   -0.451      0.117       -0.781*

    Unemployment Rate            0.238       -0.340       0.289

    Wage Increase                -0.645      -0.142      -0.759*



* Significant at the 5% level




                                                                    26
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre


TEA Rates: Summary Findings
   The 32% overall decrease in Singapore’s TEA from 7.2% in
   2005 to 4.9% in 2006 appears to be across all demographic
   groups, although somewhat higher among males, the young and
   educated:
      – A decrease in New Business Prevalence Rate from 3.7% in 2005 to
        2.5% in 2006, and a decreased in Start-up Prevalence Rate from 3.9% in
        2005 to 2.7% in 2006. (Note: 0.3% are involved in both new and
        nascent businesses)
      – A decrease in Opportunity TEA from 6.1% in 2005 to 4.2% in 2006,
        and a decrease in Necessity TEA from 1.2% in 2005 to 0.7% in 2006.
      – A decrease in Prevalence of Male TEA from 9.6% in 2005 to 6.0% in
        2006, and a decrease in Female TEA 5% in 2005 to 3.6% in 2006.
      – A decrease in TEA among individuals in all age-groups, particularly
        those in the 18-24 years group, which experienced a 52% fall, and those
        in the 55-64 years group, which experienced a 45 % fall.
      – A 49% decrease in TEA among individuals with Secondary and
        Polytechnic education respectively, a 54% decrease among individuals
        with JC education, and a 38% decrease among university graduates
                                                                                  27
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




Summary of Level of Entrepreneurial
Activity in Singapore (2000 – 2006)
                           2000            2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006
TEA                          4.2           6.6    5.9    5.0    5.7    7.2    4.9
Opportunity TEA               -            5.1    4.9    3.9    5.0    6.1    4.2
Necessity TEA                 -            1.2    0.9    1.0    0.6    1.2    0.7
Male TEA                     5.8           9.7    9.3    6.5    8.2    9.6    6.0
Female TEA                   2.7           3.6    2.7    3.5    3.4    5.0    3.6
Nascent                      2.3           4.2    4.0    3.0    3.0    3.9    2.7
New Business                 1.9           2.4    2.0    2.3    2.8    3.7    2.5
Polytechnic                  2.9           4.0    4.2    6.4    8.6    11.9   6.1
University                   4.0           9.7    4.1    9.6    10.0   11.5   7.1
  Source: GEM Master Dataset 2000 - 2006

                                                                                     28
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




 GEM 2006 Singapore –Business Angel Prevalence Rate
                  * Definition *
       To meet this criterion for operating as an informal investor
       (business angel), individuals had to fulfill the following criterion:
             they had in the past three years personally provided funds for a
           new business started by someone else
             public traded shares or mutual funds excluded
       Among the 22 OECD countries, Singapore is ranked 8th in 2006
       compared to 9th/24 in 2005.

       Singapore’s informal investment prevalence rate is 3.0% for
       2006, slightly lower than 3.5% in 2005 but higher than 2.7% in
       2004. (Note: 95% confidence interval for 2006 is 2.2 to 3.8)

                                                                                29
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




       GEM 2006 – Business Angel Prevalence Rate & Rank in OECD
       8
       7
       6

       5
       4
       3
       2

       1
       0
                                                                                                                                                Australia




                                                                                                                                                                                                                             Iceland
                                           United Kingdom
                             Netherlands




                                                                                                 Denmark
           Japan




                                                                                                                              Finland
                                                                                                                                        Spain




                                                                                                                                                                                                   France
                                                                                                                                                            Singapore
                                                                                                                                                                        Greece
                                                                                                                                                                                 Canada
                                                                                                           Belgium
                   Hungary




                                                                                                                                                                                                            Czech Republic


                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       United States
                                                                                        Mexico



                                                                                                                     Sweden




                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Average
                                                                    Germany
                                                                              Ireland
                                                            Italy




Singapore’s 95% confidence interval is 2.2 to 3.8, hence countries ranked                                                                                                                 Norway
from Denmark to Canada are ranked within the same band as Singapore

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 30
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




GEM 2006 – Informal Investor Relationship
               to Investee
                                                               %
       CLOSE FAMILY                                           35.3
       OTHER RELATIVE                                         17.7
       WORK COLLEAGUE                                          6.8
       FRIEND or NEIGHBOR                                     34.6
       STRANGER                                                5.6
       Total                                                  100
 Compared to 2005, there is a significant increase in the proportion of family
 and relative investment
                                                                                 31
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




                        GEM Singapore 2006

                  Other Indicators of
            Entrepreneurial Activities in 2006

              * Key Findings for Singapore *



                                                 32
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




  GEM 2006 –High Employment Growth Potential TEA
  Definition: High Employment Growth Potential (Aspiration) entrepreneurial
  activity rate is defined as new start-ups that indicated they intend to employ at
  least 20 people in 5 years. Prior literature has shown that a small proportion of
  new businesses eventually contribute the bulk of job and value creation in most
  countries; this indicator seeks to focus on such high growth potential ventures.
  Comparatively, a larger proportion of Singapore's entrepreneurial activity i.e.
  18% or close to 1 in 5 new start-ups exhibits growth aspiration compared to the
  average for all OECD countries i.e. 10% or about 1 in 10 new start-ups.
  High employment growth potential TEA rate varies from 0.04% for Japan to
  2.2% for Iceland.
  Singapore’s high employment growth potential TEA rate is 0.9% (vs 1.5% in
  2005) (close to 1 in 5 new start-ups), ranking 6th out of the 22 OECD
  countries, better than its overall TEA ranking (16th out of 22 countries). (Note:
  95% confidence interval for 2006 is 0.7 – 1.1)
                                                                                      33
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre


  GEM 2006 – High Employment Growth
  Potential TEA Rate & Rank
  among OECD Countries
  Country                        Rate               Rank          Country                           Rate               Rank
  Iceland                          2.2                 1          Germany                             0.5                13
  United States                    1.4                 2          Hungary                             0.5                14
  Ireland                          1.3                 3          Italy                               0.5                15
  Czech Republic                   1.2                 4          Sweden                              0.5                16
  Australia                        1.0                 5          Finland                             0.4                17
  Singapore                        0.9                 6          Spain                               0.3                18
  United Kingdom                   0.7                 7          France                              0.3                19
  Norway                           0.7                 8          Belgium                             0.3                20
  Canada                           0.7                 9          Mexico                              0.1                21
  Denmark                          0.7                10          Japan                              0.04                22
  Greece                           0.6                11
  Netherlands                      0.6                12          Mean                                0.7

Singapore’s 95% confidence interval is 0.7 to 1.1, hence countries ranked from Denmark to Australia are within the same band as Singapore

                                                                                                                                       34
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




           GEM 2006 – Percentage of TEA
(Early-Stage Entrepreneurship) with Latest Technology
                  * Definition *


  Proportion of start-ups and new businesses indicating that they
  employed the latest technology (technology available since 1 year
  ago).
  11.7% of early-stage businesses in Singapore employed the latest
  technology compared to the average of 11.2% for all 22 OECD
  countries.
  This ranks Singapore 8th out of 22 OECD countries, ahead of countries
  such as Sweden, Germany and Iceland.

                                                                          35
0
                           5
                               10
                                    15
                                         20
                                              25
                                                   30
                                                        35
                                                             40
             Spain

          Germany

          Hungary

        Netherlands

            Ireland

          Denmark
                                                                                                   NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




       United States
                                                                  with Latest Technology




     United Kingdom

           Australia

             Japan
                                                                  GEM 2006 - Percentage of TEA
                                                                  (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship)




           Sweden

           Canada

            Iceland

           Mexico

         Singapore

            Finland

            France

               Italy

           Norway

           Belgium

            Greece

     Czech Republic

           Average
36
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




       GEM 2006 - Percentage of TEA (Early-Stage
         Entrepreneurship) with New Markets
                    * Definition *

 Proportion of start-ups or new businesses that sold their products or
 services to what they believed were entirely new markets.
 18.2% of early-stage businesses in Singapore sold their products or
 services to entirely new markets, compared to the average of 12.4% for
 all 22 OECD countries.
 This ranks Singapore 3rd out of 22 OECD countries.




                                                                      37
0
                           5
                               10
                                    15
                                         20
                                              25
                                                         30
          Hungary
             Japan
     Czech Republic
            France

           Belgium
                                                   with New Markets



           Australia
                                                                                    NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




            Finland
          Germany

     United Kingdom
       United States
            Greece
                                                   (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship)
                                                   GEM 2006 – Percentage of TEA




           Mexico

        Netherlands
            Iceland
            Ireland
           Canada

           Norway
           Sweden
             Spain
         Singapore
               Italy

          Denmark
           Average
38
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




GEM 2006 – Percentage of TEA (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship)
            with more than 75% Export Markets
                       * Definition *


  Proportion of start-ups and new businesses with more than 75% of its
  actual or intended customers living outside the country i.e. overseas
  market.
  21% of early-stage businesses in Singapore (about 1 in 5 start-ups) have
  more than three-quarter of its customers living abroad compared to the
  average of 8.1% (1 in 10 start-ups) for all 22 OECD countries.
  This ranks Singapore 1st out of 22 OECD countries, reflecting
  Singapore’s small domestic market, .

                                                                         39
0
                           5
                               10
                                    15
                                         20
                                              25
               Italy

             Japan

          Germany

            Mexico

        Netherlands

       United States

            France
                                                                                       NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




            Finland

             Spain

     Czech Republic

           Hungary

            Ireland

           Australia
                                                   GEM 2006 - Percentage of TEA
                                                   (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship)




     United Kingdom

           Norway

            Greece
                                                   with more than 75% Export Markets




           Canada

            Iceland

          Denmark

           Belgium

           Sweden

         Singapore

           Average
40
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




            GEM 2006 – Entrepreneurial Intention Rate
                        * Definition *
Proportion of Adult Population that have not engaged in any start-ups or
new businesses but expects to start a new business in the next three years
     Includes any type of self employment
     May be alone or with others
Singapore’s Entrepreneurial Intention rate is 11.8% in 2006, declined
from 17.0% in 2005 (Note: 95% confidence interval for 2006 is 7.9 –
15.7)
This ranked Singapore 8th out of the 22 OECD countries, falling slightly
from its 4th position out of 24 OECD countries in 2005.

                                                                             41
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre


   GEM 2006 – Prevalence of Entrepreneurial
   Intention Rate & Rank among OECD countries
    Country                      Rate              Rank        Country                          Rate             Rank
    Iceland                      20.0                1         Hungary                           9.6               13
    Mexico                       18.3                2         Canada                            8.7               14
    France                       14.8                3         Denmark                           8.2               15
    Australia                    14.8                4         United Kingdom                    7.8               16
    Greece                       14.0                5         Belgium                           7.3               17
    United States                13.5                6         Finland                           7.0               18
    Czech Republic               12.8                7         Germany                           6.7               19
    Singapore                    11.8                8         Spain                             6.4               20
    Sweden                       11.2                9         Netherlands                       5.6               21
    Norway                       10.4                10        Japan                             2.4               22
    Italy                        10.2                11
    Ireland                       9.8                12        Mean                             10.5
Singapore’s 95% confidence interval is 7.9 to 15.7, hence countries ranked from Denmark to France are within the same band as
Singapore

                                                                                                                                42
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




 GEM 2006 – Prevalence of Businesses Discontinuance
                    (Exit Rate)
                  * Definition *
  Proportion of Adult Population that has in the past 12 months shut down,
  discontinued or quit :
       A business that was owned and managed by the individual
       Any form of self employment
       Selling goods and services
  Excludes those who sold off businesses
  Singapore’s business discontinuance rate in 2006 is 2.2% (2.3% in
  2005), ranking 10th among the 22 OECD countries.

                                                                             43
0
                         1
                             2
                                 3
                                     4
                                         5
                                             6
                                                 7
                                                     8
       Netherlands
           Belgium
           Hungary
             Japan
              Spain
               Italy
             Ireland
                                                                                                              NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




           Denmark
          Germany
            Finland
     United Kingdom
           Sweden
          Singapore
            Canada
                                                                             (Exit Rate)




       United States
            Greece
           Norway
            Iceland
            France
     Czech Republic
           Australia
            Mexico
           Average
                                                         GEM 2006 – Prevalence of Businesses Discontinuance




44
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




                              GEM 2006

     Personal Attitudes of Singaporeans
         Toward Entrepreneurship




                                          45
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




GEM 2006 – Attitudes and Perceptions of Singaporeans
            towards Entrepreneurship
 26.3% of adult population surveyed know someone who has started
 business, lower than 31.3% in 2005 and the OECD average of 36.3%.
 25.4% of those surveyed perceived to have the skills to start a business,
 lower than 29% in 2005 and the OECD average of 41.1%.
 15.7% of those surveyed between 18 – 64 years old perceived good
 business opportunities, lower than 17.5% in 2005 and the OECD
 average of 34.1%.
 In terms of fear of failure, 65.6% do not perceive fear as a deterrent,
 compared to the OECD average of 65.0%. This represents a slight
 increase from 61.5% in 2005.

                                                                             46
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




                         GEM 2006 – Attitudes and Perceptions of
                         Singaporeans Towards Entrepreneurship
 Entrepreneurial Population Attitude Ratings
 (Source: Adult Population Survey, Rating % of answering “Yes”)
                                                        SG      SG      ALL 22 GEM OECD COUNTRIES (2006)

                                                                                      High           Low
                                                        2005    2006      Mean
                                                                                   Score (Ctry)   Score (Ctry)

Know someone who started a business                     31.3%   26.1%     36.3%     60.8% (IS)    26.1% (SG)
Have skills to start a business                         29.0%   25.4%     41.1%     53.2% (CA)    15.7% (JP)
Perceive good start-up opportunities in next 6 months   17.5%   15.7%     34.1%     64.6% (DK)     9.2% (JP)
Fear of failure is not a deterrent                      61.5%   65.6%     65.0%     79.0% (US)    42.2% (GR)

   Source:
   1) GEM 2006 Adult Population Survey
   2) GEM 2006 Master Dataset

                                                                                                               47
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




                              GEM 2006

       Indicators of Social & Cultural
        Values for Entrepreneurship




                                         48
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




  GEM 2006 – Starting Business is a Good Career Choice
                     *Definition*

   Proportion of Adult Population that perceives starting
   a business is a good career choice.
   48.2% (vs 46.8% in 2005) of Singaporeans perceive
   that starting a business is a good career choice,
   compared to an average of 57.8% (55.4% in 2005) in
   the OECD countries.
   This ranked Singapore 19th out of 22 countries
   (18th/24 in 2005).
                                                            49
0
                          20
                               40
                                    60
                                         80
                                              100
             Japan
            Finland
            Belgium
          Singapore
            Mexico
                                                                                                    NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




           Sweden
       United States
           Denmark
     United Kingdom
           Hungary
          Germany
           Australia
           Norway
            Greece
            France
     Czech Republic
            Iceland
             Ireland
                                                            Choice in OECD Countries




              Spain
            Canada
               Italy
        Netherlands
           Average
                                                    GEM 2006 – Starting Business is a Good Career




50
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




   GEM 2006 - New Business Success is High Status
                  *Definition*
   Proportion of Adult Population that perceives starting a new
   business provides high level of status and respect.

   54.1% (vs 57.8% in 2005) of Singaporeans believe that new
   business success is accorded with high status in this country,
   compared to an average of 65.2% (66.2% in 2005) in the
   OECD countries.

   This ranked Singapore 17th among the 22 countries (21st/24 in
   2005).

                                                                    51
0
                         20
                              40
                                   60
                                        80
                                             100
             Japan
     Czech Republic
      United States
            Mexico
           Belgium
          Singapore
                                                                                                    NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




              Spain
           Sweden
        Netherlands
            Greece
           Hungary
            France
           Norway
               Italy
            Canada
           Australia
                                                               in OECD Countries




            Iceland
     United Kingdom
           Denmark
          Germany
             Ireland
            Finland
           Average
                                                   GEM 2006 - New Business Success is High Status




52
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




 GEM 2006 – Media Publicity for New Business
               *Definition*
    Proportion of Adult Population that perceives there is
    sufficient media publicity for new businesses.

    60% (vs 70.2% in 2005) of Singaporeans perceive
    that there is sufficient media publicity for new
    businesses, compared to an average of 55.3% (54.7%
    in 2005) in the OECD countries.

     This ranked Singapore 8th out of the 22 countries
    (6th/24 in 2005).
                                                             53
0
                        20
                             40
                                  60
                                       80
                                            100
           Hungary
           Denmark
           Belgium
            France
            Greece
              Spain
                                                                                                   NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




               Italy
          Germany
            Mexico
             Japan
       United States
     United Kingdom
           Sweden
        Netherlands
          Singapore
     Czech Republic
                                                               OECD Countries




           Australia
            Finland
            Canada
           Norway
            Iceland
             Ireland
           Average
                                                  GEM 2006 – Media Publicity for New Business in




54
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




       GEM 2006 – Uniform Living Standards
                  *Definition*
   Proportion of Adult Population that prefers a uniform
   living standard.

   53% (vs 51.5% in 2005) of Singaporeans prefer a
   uniform living standard, compared to an average of
   63% (60.1% in 2005) in the OECD countries.

   This ranked Singapore 19th out of 22 countries
   (19th/24 in 2005).
                                                           55
0
                        20
                             40
                                  60
                                       80
                                            100
             Japan
           Denmark
      United States
          Singapore
            Mexico
        Netherlands
            France
                                                                                        NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




           Sweden
            Iceland
           Belgium
              Spain
            Greece
     Czech Republic
            Finland
          Germany
           Norway
           Hungary
           Australia
     United Kingdom
                                                 Standards in OECD Countries




            Canada
               Italy
             Ireland
                                             GEM 2006 – Preference for Uniform Living




           Average
56
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




                     GEM Singapore 2006

 Assessment of National Environment for
           Entrepreneurship




                                          57
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




     9 Dimensions of Entrepreneurial Environment
•   Financial Support
•   Government Policies
•   Government Programmes
•   Education and Training
•   Research and Development Transfer
•   Commercial and Professional Infrastructure
•   Barriers to Entry
•   Access to Physical Infrastructure
•   Cultural and Social Norms

Each dimension is measured using several sub-indicators


                                                          58
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




  Breakdown of Key Informants – 2000 - 2006

                            2000             2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006


 Entrepreneurs                17              6     18      11     16     19     18


 Policy Makers                12              9      4      8      4      3      0


      Investors                6             5      7       6      9      8      0
      Venture
      Support                  4             11     7       8      7      6      18

         Total                39             31     36      33     36     36     36

Source: Singapore Expert surveys 2000-2006

                                                                                       59
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre
      Entrepreneurship Environment –Financial Support
      (A) Financial Support
  2
            2000           2001           2002           2003           2004
            2005           2006
  1



  0



-1



-2
                  A 01                   A 02                   A 03                  A 04                   A 05                   A 06
A01 – In my country, there is enough equity funding available for new and growing firms.
A02 – In my country, there is enough debt equity for new and growing firms.
A03 – In my country, public subsidies have a major impact promoting firm creation and growth.
A04 – In my country, private individuals (other than founders) are an important source of financial support for new and growing firms.
A05 – In my country, venture capitalists are an important source of private support for new and growing firms.
A06 – In my country, initial public offerings (IPO) are an important source of equity for new and growing firms.




                                                                                                                                           60
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre

Entrepreneurship Environment – Dimension on
Cultural Norms
(I) Cultural and Social Norms
                                       2002           2003           2004            2005           2006

  2


  1


  0


-1


-2
I01-     In my country, the national culture is I02 supportive of individual success achieved through own personal efforts.
                  I01                           highly                   I03                         I04                          I05
I02-     In my country, the national culture emphasises self-sufficiency, autonomy, and personal initiative.
I03-     In my country, the national culture encourages entrepreneurial risk-taking.
I04-     In my country, the national culture encourages creativity and innovativeness
I05-     In my country, the national culture emphasises the responsibility that the individual (rather than the collective) has
         in managing her own life.




                                                                                                                                        61
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre


       GEM 2006
      Singapore’s Entrepreneurial Environment Scoreboard
      Entrepreneurship Environment Ratings by Country Informants
      (Source: Country Expert Survey; Scale 1 = Low to 5 = High)

                                                                                          SG            18 GEM OECD Countries (2006)*

                                                                                                                    High          Low
      ITEM                                                                         2005        2006    Mean      Score (Ctry) Score (Ctry)
      Availability of capital                                                       3.1        3.5       2.9        3.9 (US)      2.3 (IE)
      Government policy support                                                     3.5        3.5       2.7        3.5 (SG)      2.0 (HU)

      Low regulation and taxation burden                                            4.0        3.8       2.7         4.0 (IS)     1.5 (IT)

      Government program effectiveness                                              3.4        3.4       3.0        3.5 (DE)      2.3 (HU)

      Effectiveness of primary & secondary education & training                     2.6        3.1       2.4        3.1 (SG)      1.8 (DE)

      Effectiveness of university & mgmt. education & training                      2.9        3.3       2.9        3.7 (US)      2.2 (DK)

      R&D transfer effectiveness                                                    3.0        3.2       2.7        3.2 (SG)      2.4 (NL)

      Business service effectiveness                                                3.4        3.5       3.4        4.0 (US)      2.8 (MX)

      Rapidity of change in markets                                                 2.8        3.1       2.7         3.5 (IS)     1.9 (FI)

      Market accessibility                                                          3.0        3.3       3.0        3.4 (NL)      2.4 (MX)

      Ease of access to physical infrastructure                                     4.7        4.6       4.0        4.7 (US)      2.8 (IT)

      Cultural value placed on independence                                         3.0        3.5       2.9        4.5 (US)      2.3 (HU)
* Only 18 OECD countries (including Singapore) provided data on the entrepreneurship environment ratings by country informants.

                                                                                                                                             62
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




 GEM 2006 - Overall Assessment of Singapore’s Environment for
                      Entrepreneurship
 • The expert informants’ ratings on all entrepreneurship environment
   indicators in 2006 were above the averages of the 18 GEM OECD
   countries
 • Singapore was rated the highest on three attributes– “effectiveness of
   primary & secondary education & training” (3.1), “government policy
   support” (3.5), and “R&D transfer effectiveness” (3.2).
 • Singapore is also near the top among the surveyed countries in terms of
   “government programme effectiveness” (3.4), “market accessibility” (3.3),
   and “ease of access to physical infrastructure” (4.6).
 • Overall, in comparison with 2005, the ratings of Singapore’s environment
   for entrepreneurship in 2006 appear to have generally improved on most
   dimensions, and stayed more or less constant for a small number of
   dimensions (“government policy support”, “government programme
   effectiveness”, and “ease of access to physical infrastructure”, and
   “regulation and taxation burden”).


                                                                               63
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




                  GEM Singapore 2006

                              Conclusions




                                            64
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre


                              Conclusions

  Entrepreneurial activity levels across the 16 participating member
countries of the (OECD) group falling in the same income band as
Singapore (including USA) have dropped from an average of 6.4% in
2005 to 5.9% in 2006.
  Consistent with this observed decline trend in the OECD countries with
the same income bracket as Singapore, Singapore’s early-stage
entrepreneurial level, as measured by the Total Entrepreneurial Activity
(TEA) rate, also decreased from 7.2% in 2005 to 4.9% in 2006.
  The data for the OECD countries show that the bulk of relatively
advanced countries in the US$25,000-US$40,000 per capita range
reported TEA rates in the 3% to 8% region, with the mean clustering
around 5%.
  The fall in Singapore’s TEA rate in 2006 is likely to be partly due to
favourable GDP and employment growth. The majority of OECD countries
also experienced a decline in TEA rates between 2005 and 2006.

                                                                           65
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre


                               Conclusions
  Compared to the average level of GEM OECD countries, Singapore fared
better in terms of start-ups that are technology-oriented, intended to
penetrate new markets and overseas market, and have higher employment
growth aspiration.
  The assessment of Singapore’s environment for entrepreneurship showed
improvement across most environmental indicators, particularly the
availability of capital for start-ups and the effectiveness of education and
training programmes.
  Compared to the other OECD countries participating in the GEM,
Singapore received higher ratings on all the indicators.
  Unlike lower income countries or countries with unfavourable policy
environment, Singapore’s challenge may be one of coping with the paradox
of success, resulting in high perceived opportunity cost of starting up on
one’s own and a social norm less supportive of entrepreneurship.
  A key policy focus should be on promoting high tech and innovative
startups that can internationalize, not just start-ups in general
                                                                               66
NUS Entrepreneurship Centre




The full Singapore report can be
downloaded from the NUS
Entrepreneurship Centre website:
www.nus.edu.sg/nec

To download Global Executive report,
GEM website:
www.gemconsortium.org.sg

                                       67

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NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 Singapore Findings

  • 1. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Global Entrepreneurship Monitor Study GEM 2006 Global Entrepreneurship Monitor Study Highlights on Singapore GEM 2005 FEBRUARY 2007 Highlights on Singapore 1
  • 2. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 Singapore Research Team Prof. Wong Poh Kam (PohKam@nus.edu.sg) Ms. Lena Lee Ms. Ho Yuen Ping NUS Entrepreneurship Centre 2
  • 3. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM Singapore 2006 Overview of GEM Research Methodology 3
  • 4. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Overview of GEM Singapore 2006 An annual GEM cross-national assessment of the level of entrepreneurial activity. 10 countries in 1999, 21 in 2000, 28 in 2001, 37 in 2002, 31 in 2003, 34 countries in 2004 and 2005, and 42 countries in 2006. For Singapore, this is our seventh year of participation. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre was invited to carry out the Singapore Country Study since 2000. Funded by National University of Singapore (NUS) and supported by Action Community For Entrepreneurship (ACE). 4
  • 5. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM Conceptual Model General National Major Framework Conditions Established Firms (Primary Economy) • Openness (External Trade) • Government (Extent, Role) National • Financial Markets (Efficiency) • Technology, R&D (Level, Intensity) Micro, Small Economic • Infrastructure (Physical) And Medium Firms Growth • Management (Skills) • Labour Markets (Flexible) (Secondary Economy) (GDP, Jobs) • Institutions (Rule of Law) Social, Cultural Entrepreneurial Political Opportunities Context Entrepreneurial Framework Conditions Entrepreneurs Business • Financial Opportunity / Necessity Churning • Government Policies • Government Programmes • Education and Training • R&D Transfer • Commercial, Legal Infrastructure • Internal Market Openness Entrepreneurial • Access to Physical Infrastructure Capacity • Cultural, Social Norms • Skills • Motivation 5
  • 6. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM Research Methodology & Data Sources GEM employs 3 approaches: Adult Population Surveys 2000 adults or more were selected in each country for a random sampling survey using a common survey instrument. In Singapore, the survey was carried out in June 2006 (Sample size for Singapore: 4,011) The results of the analysis are drawn from the responses of the working age group (18 to 64 years old). This year, a total of 106,495 individuals in 42 countries were surveyed by GEM. 6
  • 7. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM Research Methodology & Data Sources Country Experts Interviews Up to 50 key informants were interviewed by the GEM national research team in each country in 2006 (36 for Singapore).The key informants include entrepreneurs, investors, government policy makers and venture support professionals. The informants were asked to assess the environment for entrepreneurship in their country along NINE dimensions: • Financial Support • Government Policies • Government Programmes • Education and Training • Research and Development Transfer • Commercial and Professional Infrastructure • Barriers to Entry • Access to Physical Infrastructure • Cultural and Social Norms 7
  • 8. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM Research Methodology & Data Sources Collection of Secondary National Social-Economic Data for each country International benchmark Social-Economic data from World Bank, World Competitiveness Report National sources of data on venture capital investment, firm formation, etc. 8
  • 9. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Key Indicators of Entrepreneurial Activities in GEM 2006 Total Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA) Rate (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship) • Nascent Start-up vs. New (“Baby”) Businesses • Opportunity vs. Necessity Other Entrepreneurship Indicators • High Employment Growth Potential TEA rate • Early-Stage Businesses with New Technology • Early-Stage Businesses with New Markets • Early-Stage Businesses with Export Markets • Entrepreneurial Intention Rate • Prevalence of Business Discontinuation (Exit rate) Financing for new business • Prevalence of informal (business angel) investment 9
  • 10. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Key Indicators of Factors Affecting Entrepreneurship in GEM 2006 Personal Attitudes towards Entrepreneurship • Know someone who has started a business • Perceive the skills to start a business • Perceive good business opportunities • Do not perceive fear of failure as a deterrent Perception of Social & Cultural Values for Entrepreneurship • Perception of entrepreneurship as a career • Media publicity for entrepreneurship • Preference for uniformity of living standards • Perception of status of successful entrepreneurs Assessment of National Environment for Entrepreneurial Activities • Rating on 9 dimensions of national environment for entrepreneurship by selected key informants 10
  • 11. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM Singapore 2006 Core GEM Indicators Findings 11
  • 12. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 Singapore – Nascent Start-Up Prevalence Rate * Definition * This variable attempts to measure the proportion of working age adults (age between 18 to 64 years old) in a country who is actively engaged in starting up a new business. To meet the criteria for this variable, the respondent had to fulfill each of the following criteria: if they had done something – taken some action – to create a new business in the past year. they expected to share ownership of the new firm and the firm had not paid salaries for more than 3 months 12
  • 13. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 Singapore – New Business Prevalence Rate * Definition * This variable attempts to measure the proportion of working age adults (age between 18 to 64 years old) in a country who are currently running a new business (as opposed to trying to start one). To meet the criteria for this variable, the respondent had to fulfill each of the following criteria: they are currently managing a new business. they personally owned all or part of the new business. the firm was started in year 2003 or later (this meant that the business was, at most, 42 months old in June 2006). 13
  • 14. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 Singapore – Total Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA) Or Early-Stage Entrepreneurship * Definition * TEA is the sum of (1) the propensity of individuals involving in the start-up process (nascent entrepreneurs) (start-up prevalence rate) and (2) the propensity of individuals engaging as owner- managers of firms less than 42 months old (new business prevalence rate) Those that qualified for both are counted only once. 14
  • 15. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 Singapore – Necessity / Opportunity TEA * Definition * There are two major motivations for individuals to participate in entrepreneurial activities. (1) “Opportunity Entrepreneurship” - those who voluntarily seek to pursue a perceived business opportunity and (2) “Necessity Entrepreneurship” - those who become involved in starting up a new business as a last resort, when other options for work or participation in the economy are perceived as absent or are considered unsatisfactory. 15
  • 16. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 Singapore – Total Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA) Or Early-Stage Entrepreneurship Among the OECD countries falling in the same income band as Singapore (including USA) that participated in both the GEM 2005 & 2006 surveys (16 countries), the overall TEA rate has decreased slightly from 6.4% in 2005 to 5.9% in 2006. Singapore ranked 16th among the 22 OECD countries with a TEA of 4.9% for 2006, lower than 7.2% in 2005 and 5.7% in 2004. Among the subset of 21 OECD countries that participated in both GEM 2005 & GEM 2006, Spore’s relative ranking is lower in 2006 (15th/21) than 2005 (7th/21). 16
  • 17. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 - TEA Prevalence Rate & Rank in OECD C o u n tr y R a te R ank C o u n tr y R a te R ank A U S T R A L IA 1 2 .0 1 DENM ARK 5 .3 13 IC E L A N D 1 1 .3 2 M E X IC O 5 .3 14 U N IT E D S T A T E S 1 0 .0 3 F IN L A N D 5 .0 15 NORW AY 9 .1 4 S IN G A P O R E 4 .9 16 GREECE 7 .9 5 FRAN CE 4 .4 17 C Z E C H R E P U B L IC 7 .9 6 GERM ANY 4 .2 18 IR E L A N D 7 .4 7 SW ED EN 3 .5 19 S P A IN 7 .3 8 IT A L Y 3 .5 20 CANADA 7 .1 9 JA P A N 2 .9 21 HUNGARY 6 .0 10 B E L G IU M 2 .7 22 U N IT E D K IN G D O M 5 .8 11 NETHERLANDS 5 .4 12 M ea n 6 .2 Singapore’s 95% confidence interval is 4.3 to 5.5, hence countries ranked from France to Netherlands are ranked within the same band as Singapore 17
  • 18. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Entrepreneurial Activity Rates – 95% Confidence Interval, persons per 100 Adults, 18-64 years old. RATES 95% Confidence Interval Overall TEA 2006 4.9 4.3 – 5.5 TEA Opportunity 4.2 3.5 – 4.9 TEA Necessity 0.7 0.5 – 0.9 Consistent with findings from previous years, the majority of early- stage businesses (86%) in Singapore were opportunity-driven. This is comparable with the 82% average for all GEM OECD countries. 18
  • 19. P e rc e n t a g e o f a d u lt p p o p u la t io n b e t w e e n 1 8 - 6 4 y e a rs 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45% B e lg iu m Japan S w eden Ita ly U . A ra b E m ira te s G e rm a n y F ra n c e S lo v e n ia S in g a p o re R u s s ia F in la n d M e x ic o NUS Entrepreneurship Centre S o u th A fric a D e n m a rk N e th e rla n d s UK H u n g a ry T u rk e y L a tv ia Canada S p a in Ire la n d C z e c h R e p u b lic G re e c e GEM 2006 - TEA Prevalence Rate & Rank C ro a tia N o rw a y C h ile USA A rg e n tin a In d ia M a la y s ia Ic e la n d B ra z il A u s tra lia U ru g u a y T h a ila n d C h in a In d o n e s ia J a m a ic a P h ilip p in e s C o lo m b ia P e ru 19
  • 20. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre TEA (Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity) Rate and GDP per capita, 2006 25% Early-stage Entrepreurial Activity (TEA rate) 2006 TEA rate United Arab Emirates CO Fitted 3rd order polynomial - Arab Emirates and Peru excluded JA PH 20% ID P e rc e n ta g e o f p o p u la tio n b e tw e e n 1 8 -6 4 y e a rs CN TH 15% UY BR MY AU IS IN AR US 10% HR NO CL LV CZ GR ES CA IE UK TR SA HU FI DK SG NL 5% MX RU SI FR DE IT SE FR UA JP BE 0% 0 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 GDP per Capita 2006, in Power Purchasing Parities (PPP) 20
  • 21. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre TEA (Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity) Rate and GDP per capita, 2005 30% Early-stage Entrepreurial Activity 2005 Fitted Polynomial Trend (3rd order) 25% Percentage of population between 18-64 years VE 20% TH NZ 15% JM CN CL US 10% BR IS AU CA IE AR NO GR SG MX HR LV ES SW 5% F DK ZA B SI N SE HU JP 0% 0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000 45,000 GDP per Capita 2005, in Power Purchasing Parities (PPP) 21
  • 22. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre TEA Rate (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship) and GDP per capita • There is a U-shaped relationship between TEA & GDP per capita across countries, with lower income countries and the very high income countries showing higher TEA rates. For the bulk of relatively advanced economies falling in the income range of about US$25,000- US$40,000 per capita PPP, the TEA rates generally fall within the range of 3-8% • In 2006, along with Singapore, countries such as UK, Germany, France, Canada, Italy, Sweden, and Belgium reported a fall in its TEA rates in 2006 compared to 2005. In addition the USA also experienced a drop in TEA from 12.4% to 10%. • For countries that experienced an increase in its TEA rates such as Denmark and Netherlands, the rates are by and large around the 5% level. • On the other hand, the TEA rates for Australia & Iceland have been exceptionally high at around 10-12%, while Japan’s TEA rates have been consistently low around 2-3% level. • Singapore’s TEA rates of 5-7% over the years are within the expected range for countries in the per capita income range of US$25,000- US$40,000. 22
  • 23. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre TEA (Early-Stage Entrepreneurial Activity) Rate and GDP per capita among nations in $25,000 to $38,000 income bracket, 2005 vs 2006 14.0% 2005 2006 12.0% AU AU IS 10.0% IS CA 8.0% SG CA ES UK UK 6.0% ES FI NL FI DK IT FR DE FR DK 4.0% SG SE NL BE DE IT SE JP BE 2.0% JP 0.0% 25,000 27,000 29,000 31,000 33,000 35,000 37,000 23
  • 24. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre TEA Rate (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship) and GDP Growth • The link between GDP growth and TEA rate is complex, but there is some evidence that across OECD countries falling in the same income band as Singapore (US$28,000-US$40,000)*, higher GDP per capita income growth is associated with a drop in TEA rates (Pearson correlation = -.746) • Likewise, for Singapore over 2000-06, there is a slight negative correlation between GDP growth and TEA rate (-.451) • There also appears to be some correlation between unemployment rate (+) and wage increase rate (-) and TEA rate * Excluding Australia and Iceland 24
  • 25. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Pearson Correlations between TEA (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship) and OECD Average Annual GDP per capita PPP growth OECD Average GDP per capita PPP OECD Average Growth TEA 2000 4.43 4.04 2001 1.35 6.43 2002 1.45 5.12 2003 1.42 5.15 2004 2.96 4.89 2005 2.39 5.26 2006 3.12 4.76 25
  • 26. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Pearson Correlations between TEA (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship) and Macro-Economic Factors Singapore OVERALL TEA TEA TEA OPPORTUNITY NECESSITY GDP growth -0.451 0.117 -0.781* Unemployment Rate 0.238 -0.340 0.289 Wage Increase -0.645 -0.142 -0.759* * Significant at the 5% level 26
  • 27. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre TEA Rates: Summary Findings The 32% overall decrease in Singapore’s TEA from 7.2% in 2005 to 4.9% in 2006 appears to be across all demographic groups, although somewhat higher among males, the young and educated: – A decrease in New Business Prevalence Rate from 3.7% in 2005 to 2.5% in 2006, and a decreased in Start-up Prevalence Rate from 3.9% in 2005 to 2.7% in 2006. (Note: 0.3% are involved in both new and nascent businesses) – A decrease in Opportunity TEA from 6.1% in 2005 to 4.2% in 2006, and a decrease in Necessity TEA from 1.2% in 2005 to 0.7% in 2006. – A decrease in Prevalence of Male TEA from 9.6% in 2005 to 6.0% in 2006, and a decrease in Female TEA 5% in 2005 to 3.6% in 2006. – A decrease in TEA among individuals in all age-groups, particularly those in the 18-24 years group, which experienced a 52% fall, and those in the 55-64 years group, which experienced a 45 % fall. – A 49% decrease in TEA among individuals with Secondary and Polytechnic education respectively, a 54% decrease among individuals with JC education, and a 38% decrease among university graduates 27
  • 28. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Summary of Level of Entrepreneurial Activity in Singapore (2000 – 2006) 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 TEA 4.2 6.6 5.9 5.0 5.7 7.2 4.9 Opportunity TEA - 5.1 4.9 3.9 5.0 6.1 4.2 Necessity TEA - 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.6 1.2 0.7 Male TEA 5.8 9.7 9.3 6.5 8.2 9.6 6.0 Female TEA 2.7 3.6 2.7 3.5 3.4 5.0 3.6 Nascent 2.3 4.2 4.0 3.0 3.0 3.9 2.7 New Business 1.9 2.4 2.0 2.3 2.8 3.7 2.5 Polytechnic 2.9 4.0 4.2 6.4 8.6 11.9 6.1 University 4.0 9.7 4.1 9.6 10.0 11.5 7.1 Source: GEM Master Dataset 2000 - 2006 28
  • 29. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 Singapore –Business Angel Prevalence Rate * Definition * To meet this criterion for operating as an informal investor (business angel), individuals had to fulfill the following criterion: they had in the past three years personally provided funds for a new business started by someone else public traded shares or mutual funds excluded Among the 22 OECD countries, Singapore is ranked 8th in 2006 compared to 9th/24 in 2005. Singapore’s informal investment prevalence rate is 3.0% for 2006, slightly lower than 3.5% in 2005 but higher than 2.7% in 2004. (Note: 95% confidence interval for 2006 is 2.2 to 3.8) 29
  • 30. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 – Business Angel Prevalence Rate & Rank in OECD 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Australia Iceland United Kingdom Netherlands Denmark Japan Finland Spain France Singapore Greece Canada Belgium Hungary Czech Republic United States Mexico Sweden Average Germany Ireland Italy Singapore’s 95% confidence interval is 2.2 to 3.8, hence countries ranked Norway from Denmark to Canada are ranked within the same band as Singapore 30
  • 31. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 – Informal Investor Relationship to Investee % CLOSE FAMILY 35.3 OTHER RELATIVE 17.7 WORK COLLEAGUE 6.8 FRIEND or NEIGHBOR 34.6 STRANGER 5.6 Total 100 Compared to 2005, there is a significant increase in the proportion of family and relative investment 31
  • 32. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM Singapore 2006 Other Indicators of Entrepreneurial Activities in 2006 * Key Findings for Singapore * 32
  • 33. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 –High Employment Growth Potential TEA Definition: High Employment Growth Potential (Aspiration) entrepreneurial activity rate is defined as new start-ups that indicated they intend to employ at least 20 people in 5 years. Prior literature has shown that a small proportion of new businesses eventually contribute the bulk of job and value creation in most countries; this indicator seeks to focus on such high growth potential ventures. Comparatively, a larger proportion of Singapore's entrepreneurial activity i.e. 18% or close to 1 in 5 new start-ups exhibits growth aspiration compared to the average for all OECD countries i.e. 10% or about 1 in 10 new start-ups. High employment growth potential TEA rate varies from 0.04% for Japan to 2.2% for Iceland. Singapore’s high employment growth potential TEA rate is 0.9% (vs 1.5% in 2005) (close to 1 in 5 new start-ups), ranking 6th out of the 22 OECD countries, better than its overall TEA ranking (16th out of 22 countries). (Note: 95% confidence interval for 2006 is 0.7 – 1.1) 33
  • 34. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 – High Employment Growth Potential TEA Rate & Rank among OECD Countries Country Rate Rank Country Rate Rank Iceland 2.2 1 Germany 0.5 13 United States 1.4 2 Hungary 0.5 14 Ireland 1.3 3 Italy 0.5 15 Czech Republic 1.2 4 Sweden 0.5 16 Australia 1.0 5 Finland 0.4 17 Singapore 0.9 6 Spain 0.3 18 United Kingdom 0.7 7 France 0.3 19 Norway 0.7 8 Belgium 0.3 20 Canada 0.7 9 Mexico 0.1 21 Denmark 0.7 10 Japan 0.04 22 Greece 0.6 11 Netherlands 0.6 12 Mean 0.7 Singapore’s 95% confidence interval is 0.7 to 1.1, hence countries ranked from Denmark to Australia are within the same band as Singapore 34
  • 35. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 – Percentage of TEA (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship) with Latest Technology * Definition * Proportion of start-ups and new businesses indicating that they employed the latest technology (technology available since 1 year ago). 11.7% of early-stage businesses in Singapore employed the latest technology compared to the average of 11.2% for all 22 OECD countries. This ranks Singapore 8th out of 22 OECD countries, ahead of countries such as Sweden, Germany and Iceland. 35
  • 36. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Spain Germany Hungary Netherlands Ireland Denmark NUS Entrepreneurship Centre United States with Latest Technology United Kingdom Australia Japan GEM 2006 - Percentage of TEA (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship) Sweden Canada Iceland Mexico Singapore Finland France Italy Norway Belgium Greece Czech Republic Average 36
  • 37. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 - Percentage of TEA (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship) with New Markets * Definition * Proportion of start-ups or new businesses that sold their products or services to what they believed were entirely new markets. 18.2% of early-stage businesses in Singapore sold their products or services to entirely new markets, compared to the average of 12.4% for all 22 OECD countries. This ranks Singapore 3rd out of 22 OECD countries. 37
  • 38. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Hungary Japan Czech Republic France Belgium with New Markets Australia NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Finland Germany United Kingdom United States Greece (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship) GEM 2006 – Percentage of TEA Mexico Netherlands Iceland Ireland Canada Norway Sweden Spain Singapore Italy Denmark Average 38
  • 39. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 – Percentage of TEA (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship) with more than 75% Export Markets * Definition * Proportion of start-ups and new businesses with more than 75% of its actual or intended customers living outside the country i.e. overseas market. 21% of early-stage businesses in Singapore (about 1 in 5 start-ups) have more than three-quarter of its customers living abroad compared to the average of 8.1% (1 in 10 start-ups) for all 22 OECD countries. This ranks Singapore 1st out of 22 OECD countries, reflecting Singapore’s small domestic market, . 39
  • 40. 0 5 10 15 20 25 Italy Japan Germany Mexico Netherlands United States France NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Finland Spain Czech Republic Hungary Ireland Australia GEM 2006 - Percentage of TEA (Early-Stage Entrepreneurship) United Kingdom Norway Greece with more than 75% Export Markets Canada Iceland Denmark Belgium Sweden Singapore Average 40
  • 41. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 – Entrepreneurial Intention Rate * Definition * Proportion of Adult Population that have not engaged in any start-ups or new businesses but expects to start a new business in the next three years Includes any type of self employment May be alone or with others Singapore’s Entrepreneurial Intention rate is 11.8% in 2006, declined from 17.0% in 2005 (Note: 95% confidence interval for 2006 is 7.9 – 15.7) This ranked Singapore 8th out of the 22 OECD countries, falling slightly from its 4th position out of 24 OECD countries in 2005. 41
  • 42. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 – Prevalence of Entrepreneurial Intention Rate & Rank among OECD countries Country Rate Rank Country Rate Rank Iceland 20.0 1 Hungary 9.6 13 Mexico 18.3 2 Canada 8.7 14 France 14.8 3 Denmark 8.2 15 Australia 14.8 4 United Kingdom 7.8 16 Greece 14.0 5 Belgium 7.3 17 United States 13.5 6 Finland 7.0 18 Czech Republic 12.8 7 Germany 6.7 19 Singapore 11.8 8 Spain 6.4 20 Sweden 11.2 9 Netherlands 5.6 21 Norway 10.4 10 Japan 2.4 22 Italy 10.2 11 Ireland 9.8 12 Mean 10.5 Singapore’s 95% confidence interval is 7.9 to 15.7, hence countries ranked from Denmark to France are within the same band as Singapore 42
  • 43. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 – Prevalence of Businesses Discontinuance (Exit Rate) * Definition * Proportion of Adult Population that has in the past 12 months shut down, discontinued or quit : A business that was owned and managed by the individual Any form of self employment Selling goods and services Excludes those who sold off businesses Singapore’s business discontinuance rate in 2006 is 2.2% (2.3% in 2005), ranking 10th among the 22 OECD countries. 43
  • 44. 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 Netherlands Belgium Hungary Japan Spain Italy Ireland NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Denmark Germany Finland United Kingdom Sweden Singapore Canada (Exit Rate) United States Greece Norway Iceland France Czech Republic Australia Mexico Average GEM 2006 – Prevalence of Businesses Discontinuance 44
  • 45. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 Personal Attitudes of Singaporeans Toward Entrepreneurship 45
  • 46. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 – Attitudes and Perceptions of Singaporeans towards Entrepreneurship 26.3% of adult population surveyed know someone who has started business, lower than 31.3% in 2005 and the OECD average of 36.3%. 25.4% of those surveyed perceived to have the skills to start a business, lower than 29% in 2005 and the OECD average of 41.1%. 15.7% of those surveyed between 18 – 64 years old perceived good business opportunities, lower than 17.5% in 2005 and the OECD average of 34.1%. In terms of fear of failure, 65.6% do not perceive fear as a deterrent, compared to the OECD average of 65.0%. This represents a slight increase from 61.5% in 2005. 46
  • 47. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 – Attitudes and Perceptions of Singaporeans Towards Entrepreneurship Entrepreneurial Population Attitude Ratings (Source: Adult Population Survey, Rating % of answering “Yes”) SG SG ALL 22 GEM OECD COUNTRIES (2006) High Low 2005 2006 Mean Score (Ctry) Score (Ctry) Know someone who started a business 31.3% 26.1% 36.3% 60.8% (IS) 26.1% (SG) Have skills to start a business 29.0% 25.4% 41.1% 53.2% (CA) 15.7% (JP) Perceive good start-up opportunities in next 6 months 17.5% 15.7% 34.1% 64.6% (DK) 9.2% (JP) Fear of failure is not a deterrent 61.5% 65.6% 65.0% 79.0% (US) 42.2% (GR) Source: 1) GEM 2006 Adult Population Survey 2) GEM 2006 Master Dataset 47
  • 48. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 Indicators of Social & Cultural Values for Entrepreneurship 48
  • 49. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 – Starting Business is a Good Career Choice *Definition* Proportion of Adult Population that perceives starting a business is a good career choice. 48.2% (vs 46.8% in 2005) of Singaporeans perceive that starting a business is a good career choice, compared to an average of 57.8% (55.4% in 2005) in the OECD countries. This ranked Singapore 19th out of 22 countries (18th/24 in 2005). 49
  • 50. 0 20 40 60 80 100 Japan Finland Belgium Singapore Mexico NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Sweden United States Denmark United Kingdom Hungary Germany Australia Norway Greece France Czech Republic Iceland Ireland Choice in OECD Countries Spain Canada Italy Netherlands Average GEM 2006 – Starting Business is a Good Career 50
  • 51. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 - New Business Success is High Status *Definition* Proportion of Adult Population that perceives starting a new business provides high level of status and respect. 54.1% (vs 57.8% in 2005) of Singaporeans believe that new business success is accorded with high status in this country, compared to an average of 65.2% (66.2% in 2005) in the OECD countries. This ranked Singapore 17th among the 22 countries (21st/24 in 2005). 51
  • 52. 0 20 40 60 80 100 Japan Czech Republic United States Mexico Belgium Singapore NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Spain Sweden Netherlands Greece Hungary France Norway Italy Canada Australia in OECD Countries Iceland United Kingdom Denmark Germany Ireland Finland Average GEM 2006 - New Business Success is High Status 52
  • 53. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 – Media Publicity for New Business *Definition* Proportion of Adult Population that perceives there is sufficient media publicity for new businesses. 60% (vs 70.2% in 2005) of Singaporeans perceive that there is sufficient media publicity for new businesses, compared to an average of 55.3% (54.7% in 2005) in the OECD countries. This ranked Singapore 8th out of the 22 countries (6th/24 in 2005). 53
  • 54. 0 20 40 60 80 100 Hungary Denmark Belgium France Greece Spain NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Italy Germany Mexico Japan United States United Kingdom Sweden Netherlands Singapore Czech Republic OECD Countries Australia Finland Canada Norway Iceland Ireland Average GEM 2006 – Media Publicity for New Business in 54
  • 55. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 – Uniform Living Standards *Definition* Proportion of Adult Population that prefers a uniform living standard. 53% (vs 51.5% in 2005) of Singaporeans prefer a uniform living standard, compared to an average of 63% (60.1% in 2005) in the OECD countries. This ranked Singapore 19th out of 22 countries (19th/24 in 2005). 55
  • 56. 0 20 40 60 80 100 Japan Denmark United States Singapore Mexico Netherlands France NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Sweden Iceland Belgium Spain Greece Czech Republic Finland Germany Norway Hungary Australia United Kingdom Standards in OECD Countries Canada Italy Ireland GEM 2006 – Preference for Uniform Living Average 56
  • 57. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM Singapore 2006 Assessment of National Environment for Entrepreneurship 57
  • 58. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre 9 Dimensions of Entrepreneurial Environment • Financial Support • Government Policies • Government Programmes • Education and Training • Research and Development Transfer • Commercial and Professional Infrastructure • Barriers to Entry • Access to Physical Infrastructure • Cultural and Social Norms Each dimension is measured using several sub-indicators 58
  • 59. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Breakdown of Key Informants – 2000 - 2006 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Entrepreneurs 17 6 18 11 16 19 18 Policy Makers 12 9 4 8 4 3 0 Investors 6 5 7 6 9 8 0 Venture Support 4 11 7 8 7 6 18 Total 39 31 36 33 36 36 36 Source: Singapore Expert surveys 2000-2006 59
  • 60. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Entrepreneurship Environment –Financial Support (A) Financial Support 2 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 1 0 -1 -2 A 01 A 02 A 03 A 04 A 05 A 06 A01 – In my country, there is enough equity funding available for new and growing firms. A02 – In my country, there is enough debt equity for new and growing firms. A03 – In my country, public subsidies have a major impact promoting firm creation and growth. A04 – In my country, private individuals (other than founders) are an important source of financial support for new and growing firms. A05 – In my country, venture capitalists are an important source of private support for new and growing firms. A06 – In my country, initial public offerings (IPO) are an important source of equity for new and growing firms. 60
  • 61. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Entrepreneurship Environment – Dimension on Cultural Norms (I) Cultural and Social Norms 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2 1 0 -1 -2 I01- In my country, the national culture is I02 supportive of individual success achieved through own personal efforts. I01 highly I03 I04 I05 I02- In my country, the national culture emphasises self-sufficiency, autonomy, and personal initiative. I03- In my country, the national culture encourages entrepreneurial risk-taking. I04- In my country, the national culture encourages creativity and innovativeness I05- In my country, the national culture emphasises the responsibility that the individual (rather than the collective) has in managing her own life. 61
  • 62. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 Singapore’s Entrepreneurial Environment Scoreboard Entrepreneurship Environment Ratings by Country Informants (Source: Country Expert Survey; Scale 1 = Low to 5 = High) SG 18 GEM OECD Countries (2006)* High Low ITEM 2005 2006 Mean Score (Ctry) Score (Ctry) Availability of capital 3.1 3.5 2.9 3.9 (US) 2.3 (IE) Government policy support 3.5 3.5 2.7 3.5 (SG) 2.0 (HU) Low regulation and taxation burden 4.0 3.8 2.7 4.0 (IS) 1.5 (IT) Government program effectiveness 3.4 3.4 3.0 3.5 (DE) 2.3 (HU) Effectiveness of primary & secondary education & training 2.6 3.1 2.4 3.1 (SG) 1.8 (DE) Effectiveness of university & mgmt. education & training 2.9 3.3 2.9 3.7 (US) 2.2 (DK) R&D transfer effectiveness 3.0 3.2 2.7 3.2 (SG) 2.4 (NL) Business service effectiveness 3.4 3.5 3.4 4.0 (US) 2.8 (MX) Rapidity of change in markets 2.8 3.1 2.7 3.5 (IS) 1.9 (FI) Market accessibility 3.0 3.3 3.0 3.4 (NL) 2.4 (MX) Ease of access to physical infrastructure 4.7 4.6 4.0 4.7 (US) 2.8 (IT) Cultural value placed on independence 3.0 3.5 2.9 4.5 (US) 2.3 (HU) * Only 18 OECD countries (including Singapore) provided data on the entrepreneurship environment ratings by country informants. 62
  • 63. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM 2006 - Overall Assessment of Singapore’s Environment for Entrepreneurship • The expert informants’ ratings on all entrepreneurship environment indicators in 2006 were above the averages of the 18 GEM OECD countries • Singapore was rated the highest on three attributes– “effectiveness of primary & secondary education & training” (3.1), “government policy support” (3.5), and “R&D transfer effectiveness” (3.2). • Singapore is also near the top among the surveyed countries in terms of “government programme effectiveness” (3.4), “market accessibility” (3.3), and “ease of access to physical infrastructure” (4.6). • Overall, in comparison with 2005, the ratings of Singapore’s environment for entrepreneurship in 2006 appear to have generally improved on most dimensions, and stayed more or less constant for a small number of dimensions (“government policy support”, “government programme effectiveness”, and “ease of access to physical infrastructure”, and “regulation and taxation burden”). 63
  • 64. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre GEM Singapore 2006 Conclusions 64
  • 65. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Conclusions Entrepreneurial activity levels across the 16 participating member countries of the (OECD) group falling in the same income band as Singapore (including USA) have dropped from an average of 6.4% in 2005 to 5.9% in 2006. Consistent with this observed decline trend in the OECD countries with the same income bracket as Singapore, Singapore’s early-stage entrepreneurial level, as measured by the Total Entrepreneurial Activity (TEA) rate, also decreased from 7.2% in 2005 to 4.9% in 2006. The data for the OECD countries show that the bulk of relatively advanced countries in the US$25,000-US$40,000 per capita range reported TEA rates in the 3% to 8% region, with the mean clustering around 5%. The fall in Singapore’s TEA rate in 2006 is likely to be partly due to favourable GDP and employment growth. The majority of OECD countries also experienced a decline in TEA rates between 2005 and 2006. 65
  • 66. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre Conclusions Compared to the average level of GEM OECD countries, Singapore fared better in terms of start-ups that are technology-oriented, intended to penetrate new markets and overseas market, and have higher employment growth aspiration. The assessment of Singapore’s environment for entrepreneurship showed improvement across most environmental indicators, particularly the availability of capital for start-ups and the effectiveness of education and training programmes. Compared to the other OECD countries participating in the GEM, Singapore received higher ratings on all the indicators. Unlike lower income countries or countries with unfavourable policy environment, Singapore’s challenge may be one of coping with the paradox of success, resulting in high perceived opportunity cost of starting up on one’s own and a social norm less supportive of entrepreneurship. A key policy focus should be on promoting high tech and innovative startups that can internationalize, not just start-ups in general 66
  • 67. NUS Entrepreneurship Centre The full Singapore report can be downloaded from the NUS Entrepreneurship Centre website: www.nus.edu.sg/nec To download Global Executive report, GEM website: www.gemconsortium.org.sg 67