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How to consider the effects of research and innovation investments Per M. Koch Head of the Science Project
Why do policy makers look for numbers? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
I am going to talk about: ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Data sources
The Frascati Manual ,[object Object],[object Object]
The Oslo Manual ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Canberra Manual ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Other data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Beyond evidence based policy development
Evidence Based Medicine ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Evidence-based policy ,[object Object],[object Object]
The myth of evidence based policy-development ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
There are many beliefs and narratives ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Linear vs. systemic views of innovation
The linear model works perfectly in a policy setting Research and technological development in universities, RTOs and companies gives birth to an idea and relevant new knowledge Companies make use of these ideas in the development of new products and processes The company brings the new product to the market
Why? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
But this model leads to one specific interpretation of data ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Policy consequences of the linear model ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The correlation problem R&D-investments Economic growth It is possible to study the correlation between R&D and growth…
The correlation problem R&D-investments Research Economic growth … but are we really studying the effects of research alone?
The correlation problem R&D-investments Research Science Development Learning Innovation Mobility Machinery Technology Education Literature Patents Licenses Design Marketing Branding Culture Regulations Globalization Experience Creativity Economic growth There is nothing wrong in having increased investments in R&D as a policy objective, but it cannot be used as a proxy for innovation “ Total factor productivity?”
We are missing a large part of the picture! ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Rogers Klein Havelock/Przybylinski  The linear model masks the complexity of the role of research in social systems
In-house learning based innovation Following the OECD systemic approach: Research is given a new and broader role as a learning tool market pull Knowledge about customers and competitors The company brings new or altered products, processes or services on to the market Market competences Tacit knowledge Acquired technology Literature Conferences and fairs Recruits Acquired R&D In-house R&D
Company or  public institution Learning  Networks Innovation Customers  and users Suppliers Policy- institutions Financial Institutions R&D Institutions Consultants Public policy Cultural framework International framework Industrial structure Understanding competence flows in the innovation system
Challenges beyond the pipe-line
Indirect use of research ,[object Object],[object Object]
The role of competence flows ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
We need to get a better understanding of the role of services ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Until now: Industrial policies have been focused on manufacturing, even if 70 percent are employed in services
Understanding the effects of public sector innovation ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The Copenhagen Manual ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Understanding socio-cultural framework conditions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Understanding socio-cultural framework conditions ,[object Object],Åge Mariussen
We must understand the heterogeneity of innovation systems ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
European innovation scoreboard ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Norway
EIS 2008 This figure reflects a specific view of innovation as much as it does the facts on the ground
Numbers must be accompanied by stories ,[object Object],[object Object]
Measuring policy measures
From needs to ex-post impact assessments ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],OECD DSTI/STP/TIP(2009)18 Henri Delanghe et al  Old focus New focus
The use of evaluations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Using quantitative measurements for industry oriented policy measures ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Increased complexity and difficulty
Intended and unintended consequences ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Formal objective Informal objective Unintended effect If you want to ascertain the success of a measure, you have to take all of these into consideration  Policy instrument
The role of risk ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
RCN’s user-oriented R&D programs  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
To make sure that the right projects are supported ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Project selection aimed at high social effects (The Jaffe Model)
Understanding the social dynamics of policy instrument development ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Traditional view of evidence based policy learning Independent researchers or experts Civil servants Politicians The wall of disinterested objectivity
An interactive learning arena  Independent researchers (experts) Civil servants (experts) Politicians (experts) Stake-holders (experts) They are all experts in their field, some in technology, others in policy
The ultimate challenge ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Conclusions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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Koch taftie-measuring the effects of research

  • 1. How to consider the effects of research and innovation investments Per M. Koch Head of the Science Project
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. Beyond evidence based policy development
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. Linear vs. systemic views of innovation
  • 15. The linear model works perfectly in a policy setting Research and technological development in universities, RTOs and companies gives birth to an idea and relevant new knowledge Companies make use of these ideas in the development of new products and processes The company brings the new product to the market
  • 16.
  • 17.
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  • 19. The correlation problem R&D-investments Economic growth It is possible to study the correlation between R&D and growth…
  • 20. The correlation problem R&D-investments Research Economic growth … but are we really studying the effects of research alone?
  • 21. The correlation problem R&D-investments Research Science Development Learning Innovation Mobility Machinery Technology Education Literature Patents Licenses Design Marketing Branding Culture Regulations Globalization Experience Creativity Economic growth There is nothing wrong in having increased investments in R&D as a policy objective, but it cannot be used as a proxy for innovation “ Total factor productivity?”
  • 22.
  • 23. Rogers Klein Havelock/Przybylinski The linear model masks the complexity of the role of research in social systems
  • 24. In-house learning based innovation Following the OECD systemic approach: Research is given a new and broader role as a learning tool market pull Knowledge about customers and competitors The company brings new or altered products, processes or services on to the market Market competences Tacit knowledge Acquired technology Literature Conferences and fairs Recruits Acquired R&D In-house R&D
  • 25. Company or public institution Learning Networks Innovation Customers and users Suppliers Policy- institutions Financial Institutions R&D Institutions Consultants Public policy Cultural framework International framework Industrial structure Understanding competence flows in the innovation system
  • 27.
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  • 36. EIS 2008 This figure reflects a specific view of innovation as much as it does the facts on the ground
  • 37.
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  • 46. Project selection aimed at high social effects (The Jaffe Model)
  • 47.
  • 48. Traditional view of evidence based policy learning Independent researchers or experts Civil servants Politicians The wall of disinterested objectivity
  • 49. An interactive learning arena Independent researchers (experts) Civil servants (experts) Politicians (experts) Stake-holders (experts) They are all experts in their field, some in technology, others in policy
  • 50.
  • 51.