1. Evaluating the MNPD Drug Market Initiative Nicholas Corsaro Southern Illinois University & Edmund F. McGarrell Michigan State University

4. Problem - Calls for Service These two streets provide a good basis for comparison and some appreciation of the scope of the problem. Stockell St. is a parallel street one block east of N. 2 nd . Year 800 Block N. 2 nd St. 800 Block Stockell St. 2006 872 82 2007 1091 72 2008 thru 6/23 255 52

16. Drug Offense Trends Narcotics & Drug Equipment Offenses aggregated = Drug Offenses Target & Adjoining neighborhoods combined 21.4 Drug Offenses Pre-Intervention, 11.2 Drug Offenses Post-Intervention

17. UCR Offense Trends Total Violent & Property Crimes aggregated = UCR Offenses Target & Adjoining neighborhoods combined 13.8 UCR Offenses Pre-Intervention, 10.2 UCR Offenses Post-Intervention

18. Calls For Service Trends Total CFS aggregated where someone requested police assistance = CFS Target & Adjoining neighborhoods combined 92.0 CFS Pre-Intervention, 74.2 CFS Post-Intervention

19. ARIMA Time Series Results MS = Marginally Statistically Significant p < .15 (Impact Assessment Standard) SS = Statistically Significant p < .05 (Social Science Standard) NS = Not Statistically Significant (Change May Be Product of Chance) Outcome McFerrin Park Adjacent Area Remainder Nashville Violent Crime MS Decline -24.0% NS Decline -23.9% NS Decline -7.4% Property Crime SS Decline -28.4% MS Decline -25.9% NS Decline -7.0% Drug Equipment SS Decline -36.8% SS Decline -22.2% MS Decline -9.3% Narcotics Offenses SS Decline -55.5% SS Decline -50.3% NS Increase 5.5% CFS MS Decline -18.1% MS Decline -1.0% NS Decline -5.9%