This presentation will discuss both macro and micro indicators when it comes to the economy in North America. The emphasis will be on Canada and United States and include key areas like retail sales, trade, employment and housing starts. The presentation will also look at key industry trends for Canada and United States. The information can help support both short-term and long-term business plans for business.

1. Key Economic and Market
Indicators for North America
– August 2016
BY: PAUL YOUNG, CPA, CGA

2. Paul Young - Bio
 CPA, CGA
 25+ years experience in Financial Analysis & Planning, Audit/Controls, Taxation,
Financial Solution, Academia, Business Process Improvements
 Email: Paul_Young_CGA@Hotmail.com

3. Agenda
 Global Forecast
 Commodity Price
 Automotive Production
 Steel Production
 Steel processing
 Class 8 Truck Sales
 Power Generation – Canada
 Power Generation – USA
 Oil Rigs
 AG Equipment
 Housing Starts
 Employment – Canada
 Employment – USA
 Wages
 Manufacturing – USA
 Manufacturing – Canada
 Merchandise Trade – Canada
 Merchandise Trade – USA
 Retail Sales – USA
 Retail Sales – Canada

4. Industry Indicators

5. Global GDP Forecast
 Source: Scotiabank

6. Commodity Prices
 Source: BMO

7. Commodity Prices
 Source: BMO

8. Automotive Production
 Source: Scotiabank and Ward Automotive

9. Steel Production
 Source: ttps://www.worldsteel.org/media-centre/press-releases/2016/August-2016-crude-steel-production2.html

10. Metal Processing Centers
 Source: American Machinist

11. Class 8 Truck Sales
 Source: The Trucker

12. Energy / Canada
 Source: http://www.iea.org/

13. Energy / USA
 Source: http://www.iea.org/

14. Oil Rigs
 Source: Baker Hughes

15. AG Equipment
 Source: Association of Equipment Manufacturers

16. Economic Indicators

17. GDP
 Source – Stats Canada
The output of goods-producing industries
rose 1.0% in July, with mining, quarrying, and
oil and gas extraction contributing the most to
the gain. Manufacturing, the agriculture and
forestry sector, and utilities also increased,
while construction decreased.
The output of service-producing industries
advanced 0.3% in July. Most sectors posted
increases, led by finance and insurance,
transportation and warehousing, and
accommodation and food services. The public
sector (education, health and public
administration combined) was essentially
unchanged.

18. Housing Starts
 Source: BEA, Scotiabank and BMO

19. Employment - Canada
 Source: Stats Canada

20. Wages / Growth
 Source: Stats Canada

21. Employment – United States
 Source: http://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf

22. Manufacturing Sales – United States
 Source: BEA

23. Manufacturing Sales – Canada
 Source: Stats Canada

24. Merchandise Trade – Canada
 Source: Stats Canada

25. Merchandise Trade – United States
 Source: BEA

26. Retail Sales - USA
 Sales at U.S. retailers dropped more than forecast in August, indicating a pause in recent
consumer-spending strength that has carried the economy.
 Purchases declined 0.3 percent from July, the first drop in five months, after a revised 0.1 percent
advance in the previous month, Commerce Department figures showed Thursday in Washington.
The median projection of economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 0.1 percent decline.
Excluding cars, sales unexpectedly fell 0.1 percent.
 An easing in vehicle buying matched a lackluster performance elsewhere, with sales falling in
seven of 12 retail categories outside autos. While low borrowing costs, cheap gasoline prices and
steady job gains should keep a floor under demand, wage growth remains slow and sustained
weakness in consumer spending could limit any second-half economic rebound.
 Source: Bloomberg

27. Retail Sales – Canada
 Source: Stats Canada

28. Summary
 Economic growth for 2016 continues to be downgraded
 Hanjin bankrupty has caused delays with shipments
 New government policies Cap and Trade / Carbon Tax
 Infrastructure funding slowed in Canada
 Countries adopting BEPS Reporting
 Productivity has worsen in both Canada and United States

29. Other Sources
 Retail Sales - http://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-retail-sales-for-july-2016
 Retail Sales - http://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/united-states-retail-sales-for-august-2016-
analysis-and-commentary
 Manufacturing – Canada - http://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/canada-manufacturing-sales-
for-july-2016
 Canada Labour Market - http://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/employment-market-canada-
august-2016
 Oil and Gas Sector - http://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/oil-and-energy-canada-august-2016
 Merchandise Trade - http://www.slideshare.net/paulyoungcga/merchandise-trade-canada-july-
2016