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N OF 1 TRIALS
                             Self Tracking and Personal Experiments

                                   Paul Abramson MD
                          My Doctor Medical Group - San Francisco
                                    @paulabramsonmd


Saturday, August 25, 12
DISCLOSURES
                          no conflicts of interest to disclose




Saturday, August 25, 12
THE QUANTIFIED SELF
                              self-tracking geeks unite

Saturday, August 25, 12
QS CONFERENCE #3
                           Stanford University, September 2012

Saturday, August 25, 12
QUANTIFIED MANIA
                            self-tracking goes mainstream

Saturday, August 25, 12
Saturday, August 25, 12
WHY SELF TRACK?

Saturday, August 25, 12
DO YOU HAVE A PROBLEM?
                          that’s hard to solve

Saturday, August 25, 12
OR A QUESTION?
                             that matters to you

Saturday, August 25, 12
OR A DESIRED CHANGE?
                          how can I improve my sleep?

Saturday, August 25, 12
FEEDBACK
                          gathering data can facilitate insight and change

Saturday, August 25, 12
RANDOMIZED TRIAL
                             large numbers are better

Saturday, August 25, 12
N OF 1 TRIAL
                              just you

Saturday, August 25, 12
N OF 1 TRIALS
                      an opportunity to tailor treatment to the individual




Saturday, August 25, 12
STUDY OF N OF 1 TRIALS


    • 70         trials begun, 57 finished

    • 50         trials resulted in definitive answer

    • 39%            of trials with enough data resulted in a change in plan


                                    Arch Int Med 1990- PMID 2297206
Saturday, August 25, 12
QUININE AND LEG CRAMPS
    • 13         primary care patients already on quinine for leg cramps

    •2       week washout

    • Three               4-week treatment blocks: quinine vs. placebo

    • Outcome                measures:

         • patient          diaries of cramp occurance, duration, severity

         • capsule           counts
                                                       Br J Gen Pract 2005-
         • blood           quinine levels                PMID 15808032
Saturday, August 25, 12
QUININE AND LEG CRAMPS


    • 10         patients completed the trial

    •3       patients showed significant benefit of quinine (p < 0.05)

    •6       showed non-significant benefit

    • One             showed no benefit



Saturday, August 25, 12
N OF 1 TRIAL DESIGN
Saturday, August 25, 12
PASSIVE SENSORS
                            biometric - environmental

Saturday, August 25, 12
ZEPHYR BIOHARNESS
Saturday, August 25, 12
quantified-mind.com




               mymee.com


                          ACTIVE TRACKING APPS
                               mindfulness required

Saturday, August 25, 12
OTHER DATA SOURCES
             calendar - e-mail - GPS data - government agencies - etc.

Saturday, August 25, 12
VISUALIZATION TOOLS
                               bodytrack - fluxtream

Saturday, August 25, 12
VISUALIZATION TOOLS
Saturday, August 25, 12
VISUALIZATION TOOLS
Saturday, August 25, 12
DEFINE THE PROBLEM
                               specific - simple

Saturday, August 25, 12
DESIGN THE EXPERIMENT
                          achievable - time-limited

Saturday, August 25, 12
IMPLEMENTATION
                            pick tools - assemble team

Saturday, August 25, 12
FEEDBACK AND ADJUSTMENT
                          data - process - story - coaching

Saturday, August 25, 12
END THE EXPERIMENT
                            assess the results - tell the story

Saturday, August 25, 12
Quant Coach
                    Doctor                         Team Coach

                              Self Tracker
                             Other Practitioners



Saturday, August 25, 12
WHERE TO LEARN MORE
    •quantifiedself.com

    •quantdoctor.com

    •bodytrack.org

    •quantified-mind.com

    •mainstream           media
Saturday, August 25, 12
CONTACT INFO:
                          PAUL ABRAMSON MD


                                 mydoctorsf.com
                               @paulabramsonmd
                             office@mydoctorsf.com
                                 415-963-4431


Saturday, August 25, 12

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N of 1 Trials, Self Tracking and Personal Experiments

  • 1. N OF 1 TRIALS Self Tracking and Personal Experiments Paul Abramson MD My Doctor Medical Group - San Francisco @paulabramsonmd Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 2. DISCLOSURES no conflicts of interest to disclose Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 3. THE QUANTIFIED SELF self-tracking geeks unite Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 4. QS CONFERENCE #3 Stanford University, September 2012 Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 5. QUANTIFIED MANIA self-tracking goes mainstream Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 8. DO YOU HAVE A PROBLEM? that’s hard to solve Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 9. OR A QUESTION? that matters to you Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 10. OR A DESIRED CHANGE? how can I improve my sleep? Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 11. FEEDBACK gathering data can facilitate insight and change Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 12. RANDOMIZED TRIAL large numbers are better Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 13. N OF 1 TRIAL just you Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 14. N OF 1 TRIALS an opportunity to tailor treatment to the individual Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 15. STUDY OF N OF 1 TRIALS • 70 trials begun, 57 finished • 50 trials resulted in definitive answer • 39% of trials with enough data resulted in a change in plan Arch Int Med 1990- PMID 2297206 Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 16. QUININE AND LEG CRAMPS • 13 primary care patients already on quinine for leg cramps •2 week washout • Three 4-week treatment blocks: quinine vs. placebo • Outcome measures: • patient diaries of cramp occurance, duration, severity • capsule counts Br J Gen Pract 2005- • blood quinine levels PMID 15808032 Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 17. QUININE AND LEG CRAMPS • 10 patients completed the trial •3 patients showed significant benefit of quinine (p < 0.05) •6 showed non-significant benefit • One showed no benefit Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 18. N OF 1 TRIAL DESIGN Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 19. PASSIVE SENSORS biometric - environmental Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 21. quantified-mind.com mymee.com ACTIVE TRACKING APPS mindfulness required Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 22. OTHER DATA SOURCES calendar - e-mail - GPS data - government agencies - etc. Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 23. VISUALIZATION TOOLS bodytrack - fluxtream Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 26. DEFINE THE PROBLEM specific - simple Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 27. DESIGN THE EXPERIMENT achievable - time-limited Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 28. IMPLEMENTATION pick tools - assemble team Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 29. FEEDBACK AND ADJUSTMENT data - process - story - coaching Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 30. END THE EXPERIMENT assess the results - tell the story Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 31. Quant Coach Doctor Team Coach Self Tracker Other Practitioners Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 32. WHERE TO LEARN MORE •quantifiedself.com •quantdoctor.com •bodytrack.org •quantified-mind.com •mainstream media Saturday, August 25, 12
  • 33. CONTACT INFO: PAUL ABRAMSON MD mydoctorsf.com @paulabramsonmd office@mydoctorsf.com 415-963-4431 Saturday, August 25, 12