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November 19, 2012
General Legislative
The Congress has recessed until next week due to the Thanksgiving holiday.



Agriculture & Food
LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY

    Farm Bill. There is an increased likelihood that Congress will pass a five-year Farm Bill during the
     lame duck session, although the option of a one-year extension remains on the table in the House.
     This week, both Senate Agriculture Committee Chairwoman Debbie Stabenow (D-MI) and House
     Agriculture Committee Chairman Frank Lucas (R-OK) stated that they are considering the possibility
     of making the Farm Bill part of a deficit-reduction package to help Congress avoid the impending
     fiscal cliff. Both bills would provide significant cost savings, as the Congressional Budget Office
     (CBO) has scored the Senate-passed Farm Bill at $23 billion and the House Agriculture Committee’s
     Farm Bill at $35 billion. Chairwoman Stabenow, however, has voiced strong opposition to
     incorporating the House Agriculture Committee’s Farm Bill in a deficit-reduction package because of
     its $16 billion cut to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), while the Senate-passed
     bill cuts SNAP by $4 billion. Speaker of the House John Boehner (R-OH) has remained largely silent
     on whether the House will consider a five-year Farm Bill.

     Should Congress pass a five-year Farm Bill, Chairman Lucas has expressed his concerns about the
     Department of Agriculture successfully implementing new programs (i.e., crop insurance) in a short
     period of time, and thinks that a one-year extension would provide the Department with more time to
     establish and implement new programs properly.

    Senate Agriculture Committee Leadership. This week, Senator Thad Cochran (R-MS) contacted
     Republican members on the Senate Agriculture Committee to determine his prospects for unseating
     Senator Pat Roberts (R-KS) as Ranking Member.


REGULATORY ACTIVITY

    Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS). On Friday, November 16, the Environmental Protection Agency
     (EPA) denied Governors Beverly Perdue (D-NC) and Mike Beebe’s (D-AR) petitions requesting a
     waiver to the RFS. In its decision, EPA stated that the Congressional requirements for a waiver to be
     granted were not met, despite the Agency recognizing the “significant hardships” the drought created
     in many sectors of the economy. The Agency also stated that waiving the RFS would have minimal
     impact on ethanol demand or energy prices in 2013.




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Budget, Appropriations
LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY

    Supplemental Appropriations for Disaster Aid. As the damage assessments from Hurricane
     Sandy continue to rise, Congress is considering whether to take up a supplemental appropriations
     package during the lame duck to provide emergency disaster relief funding or to wait until early 2013
     when damage estimates will be more complete. While FEMA has indicated it has sufficient money in
     its Disaster Relief Fund to handle near-term needs, other agencies, such as the Army Corps of
     Engineers, the Department of Housing and Urban Development, and the Small Business
     Administration have disaster aid programs that are in need of additional funds to help with recovery
     efforts. A variety of disaster relief bills have been introduced in both chambers and, despite previous
     efforts to require offsets for federal disaster recovery funding, conservative lawmakers signaled a
     willingness last week to accept a straight aid package.




Cybersecurity
LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY

    Cybersecurity Legislation. After much discussion and debate over the issue, but very little progress
     made during the short September work period on the Cybersecurity Act of 2012 (S. 3414), the Senate
     quickly brought the bill back up this week. Based on the limited number of work days left in the lame
     duck session, they first voted down a motion Wednesday night not to limit debate on the bill itself,
     allowing a potential filibuster on the bill, which effectively served to kill the bill for this Congressional
     session. The move by Senator Reid (D-NV) to bring the bill to the Senate floor was seen as a last
     attempt to allow Members to break the stalemate that had occurred among the Senators to date. The
     inability to negotiate a compromise will most likely result in the Administration issuing an Executive
     Order in the near future.

EXECUTIVE BRANCH ACTIVITY

    Executive Order. Discussion about the need for an Executive Order (EO) will be heightened at this
     juncture and while it appears as if it is still in inter-agency review, it is likely to be released before the
     end of the year. The Administration has met with Congressional staff and members of the private
     sector to discuss the concept of the EO, gather feedback and address stakeholder concerns.

    Presidential Policy Directive 20. In mid-October, the President signed a secret directive that
     established a broad set of standards for federal agencies in confronting cyber threats. This directive
     will enable the military to act in a more aggressive manner to prevent cyberattacks against
     government and private computer networks. Although the document is classified, Administration
     officials have shared some general details about the document, saying that the directive is the most


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extensive effort to date to address “offensive” and “defensive” actions in cyberwar and cyberterrorism
     in order to guide officials that may have to make quick decisions if confronted with a cyber-threat.

    Homeland Security Presidential Directive (HSPD) 7. The Obama Administration is continuing
     efforts to rewrite the 2003 presidential directive that addresses critical infrastructure and cybersecurity
     issues. In its original form, HSPD 7 established a national policy for the federal departments and
     agencies to identify and prioritize critical infrastructure. The Administration has been in the process of
     rewriting the directive for the last year and hopes to finalize it by the end of the year.




Energy
LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY

    Energy Taxes. As work towards averting the looming “fiscal cliff” of steep spending cuts coupled with
     income tax increases set to take effect on January 1 continues, Senate Finance Committee member
     Chuck Grassley (R-IA) has said that consideration of the $205 billion “Family Business and Tax Cut
     Certainty Act of 2012” (which includes short-term energy tax extenders) will await bipartisan
     negotiations between President Obama and Congressional leaders. Democrats support extending
     clean energy tax incentives while some Republicans have consistently called for an end to popular
     incentives, such as the wind Production Tax Credit set to expire on December 31. Congressman Mike
     Pompeo (R-KS) believes that all energy tax incentives should be repealed as the nation grapples with
     mounting federal debts. Meanwhile, House Natural Resources Committee Democrats have requested
     that a Republican-requested Government Accountability Office (GAO) study of energy subsidies be
     expanded to include all forms of federal support – beginning with the oil and gas industry’s permanent
     tax incentives created in 1916.

    Comprehensive Energy Legislation. On Thursday, Senator Ron Wyden (D-OR), the incoming
     Chairman of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, and Senator Lisa Murkowski (R-
     AK), the returning Ranking Member of the committee, announced that they would be producing a
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     “transformative” energy bill in the 113 Congress that would focus on jobs and the environment.
     Senator Wyden indicated that a provision, for example, that would share revenue from offshore
     drilling with coastal states could help achieve a balance between supporting jobs locally while funding
     environmental stewardship initiatives.

    Congressional Hearings. The House Energy and Commerce Committee will host a third, bipartisan
     “Clean Air Act Forum” on November 29. Participants representing state, local and tribal governments
     will speak.




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REGULATORY ACTIVITY

    Hydraulic Fracturing. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has requested stakeholder data
     and scientific literature to help inform the Agency's full life-cycle research of potential impacts on
     drinking water resources. Comments – with a preference for peer-reviewed information – are due by
     April 30.

    LNG Exports. The thrice-delayed Department of Energy (DOE) analysis of natural gas exports is
     expected by year’s end. The public interest assessment will consider energy security, economic and
     environmental impacts, job creation, and the nation's trade balance. DOE's proposed policy on
     processes and timelines for considering individual project applications must then undergo public
     review before being finalized.

    FERC Order No. 768. The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) will host a December 12
     conference to address how to satisfy Electric Quarterly Reports required under Order No. 768. The
     conference is also being webcast.

    FERC Section 219. The Commission has also issued a policy statement on “Promoting Transmission
     Investment Through Pricing Reform” to provide guidance regarding its evaluation of applications for
     electric transmission incentives under the Federal Power Act.

    FCPA Guide. The Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC)
     have released a Resource Guide to the U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA), which outlines
     the federal government’s approach to and enforcement of the FCPA, including for energy service
     providers.

    Gulf Lease Sales. Comments on the draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement for
     proposed Western Gulf Lease Sale 233 (tentatively scheduled for 2013) and Central Gulf Lease Sale
     231 (scheduled for 2014) are due by December 24. BOEM has scheduled public hearings to solicit
     public comments December 3-6 in Houston, New Orleans, Gulfport and Mobile, respectively.




Environment
LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY

    Clean Air Act. On November 29, the House Energy and Commerce Committee, Subcommittee on
     Energy and Power will hold a forum titled “State, Local and Federal Cooperation in the Clean Air Act.”
     Participants representing state, local and tribal governments will provide their perspectives on
     implementing the Clean Air Act.

    Weather Prediction. On November 28, the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology,
     Subcommittee on Space and Aeronautics will hold a hearing on national priorities for solar and space
     physics research and applications for space weather prediction. Charles Gay, Deputy Associate



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Administrator, Science Mission Directorate, National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA),
     will testify.

REGULATORY ACTIVITY

    EPA Provides Fuel Waivers in Wake of Sandy. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has
     approved temporary fuel waivers to assist states impacted by Hurricane Sandy. EPA determined that
     as a result of the hurricane, extreme and unusual supply circumstances exist, which may result in a
     temporary shortage of gasoline compliant with federal regulations. The federal waiver is intended to
     help ensure an adequate supply of fuels in the impacted states. The waiver allows the sale and
     distribution of conventional gasoline in a number of Eastern states that are required to use
     reformulated gasoline, and allows a number of additional states to mix reformulated gasoline and
     conventional gasoline to alleviate barriers to the supply of gasoline to the region. The waivers were
     granted by EPA in coordination with the Department of Energy (DOE). Using its authority under the
     Clean Air Act, EPA temporarily waived certain federal clean gasoline requirements for gasoline sold
     and distributed in Tennessee, North Carolina, South Carolina, Mississippi, Georgia, Alabama, the
     District of Columbia, New York, Maryland, Connecticut, Delaware, Massachusetts, New Jersey,
     Pennsylvania, Virginia, New Hampshire and Rhode Island. The EPA has also waived federal clean
     diesel fuel requirements in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and in and around New York City to allow the
     use of home heating oil in highway vehicles, non-road vehicles and non-road equipment designated
     by the states of New Jersey, Pennsylvania and New York for emergency response.




Financial Services
LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY

    Senators Consider Basel III. On Wednesday, November 14, 2012, the Senate Committee on
     Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs held a hearing titled “Oversight of Basel III: Impact of Proposed
     Capital Rules.” The hearing focused on industry concerns regarding the complexity and burdens of
     the inter-agency proposed rules on regulatory capital requirements related to risk weighting assets
     and market discipline and disclosure. Witnesses included Michael Gibson of the Federal Reserve,
     John Lyons of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, and George French of the FDIC.

    FDIC Leadership confirmed by Senate. On Thursday, November 15, Martin Gruenberg was
     confirmed as Chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). Thomas Hoenig was
     confirmed as Vice Chairman. Mr. Gruenberg previously served as Vice Chairman of the Board,
     assuming the role of Acting Chairman on July 8, 2011, upon Sheila Bair's departure as FDIC
     Chairman. He previously served as Acting Chairman from November 15, 2005 to June 26, 2006.

REGULATORY ACTIVITY

    FSOC Addresses Money Market Funds. On Tuesday, November 13, the Financial Stability
     Oversight Council (FSOC) met to discuss proposed recommendations regarding money market


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mutual funds (MMF) reform pursuant to its authority under Section 120 of the Dodd-Frank Act. Under
     Section 120, the FSOC may provide for more stringent regulation of a financial activity by issuing
     recommendations to the primary financial regulatory agencies to apply new or heightened standards
     and safeguards. During the meeting, the FSOC used its authority to unanimously approve
     recommendations to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on MMFs. The FSOC also
     cautioned that once the SEC is able to move forward with its MMF reforms, the Council would
     suspend its work to let the SEC process finish.

    CFTC to Appeal Position Limits Decision. On Thursday, November 15, the Commodity Futures
     Trading Commission (CFTC) voted three to two to appeal a decision by the U.S. District Court for the
     District of Columbia to vacate the position limits rule promulgated by the CFTC in January 2012.
     When the announcement was made, Commissioner Bart Chilton, a supporter of the rule, called for
     the CFTC to “provide a belt and suspenders approach to this important issue” and “concurrently
     propose and finalize yet another position limits rule.”




Health Care
LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY

    Fiscal Cliff Negotiations. President Obama met with Congressional leaders on Friday to address
     ongoing negotiations on deficit reduction. The President reiterated his support for extending tax rates
     to lower income Americans, and Congressional Democrats will look to protect Medicare and Medicaid
     benefits while Republicans seek changes in entitlement spending. With the Senate is out of session
     until after Thanksgiving, negotiations are expected to resume in earnest in December.

REGULATORY ACTIVITY

    Exchange Deadline. The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announced this week
     they will extend the deadline for states to declare their intent on exchanges, and whether they will
     establish a state-based exchange, partnership exchange or allow for a federally-facilitated exchange
     created and operated by the federal government. With little guidance coming from the Administration
     on what a federal exchange might look like, states have clamored for additional time and more
     information. States now have until December 14, 2012 to declare their intentions and exchange
     applications. At the time of the announcement, 17 states planned for a state-based exchange, five
     states chose the partnership exchange, 19 would have a federal exchange and 10 were undeclared.
     Some states may alter their plans, however, with the extended deadline and additional guidance
     expected from the Agency in the coming weeks.

    Regulations Under Review. With the election behind us, HHS and Centers for Medicare and
     Medicaid Services (CMS) have returned to the business of promulgating regulations. The following
     regulations are currently under review at the Office of Management and Budget (OMB): Exchanges
     Rule Part II (Proposed Rule) that includes standards related to Essential Health Benefits,
     requirements for insurance issuers in exchanges, and standards for actuarial value, accreditation and


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certification of health insurance issuers in exchanges; Provisions To Promote Program Efficiency,
     Transparency, and Burden Reduction Part II (Proposed Rule) that may eliminate or modify duplicative
     rules relating to providers (hospitals, SNFs, rehab hospitals, etc); ACA Health Insurance Market
     Rules (Proposed Rule), that likely relates to 2014 private insurance market reforms, which could
     include guaranteed issue and guarantee renewability, coverage of preexisting health conditions,
     nondiscrimination based on health status, nondiscrimination regarding clinical trial participation, rating
     restrictions, and waiting period limitation; Wellness Programs (Proposed Rule); and Health Care
     Quality White Paper: Health Care Quality Provisions in the Affordable Care Act: Questions for
     Stakeholders (RFI).

OTHER HEALTH NEWS

    GAO Medicaid Report. The Government Accountability Office (GAO) released a report titled “States
     Made Multiple Program Changes, and Beneficiaries Generally Reported Access Comparable to
     Private Insurance.” GAO found that from 2008 to 2011, more than half of states reported maintaining
     or decreasing their average Medicaid application processing times--the average number of calendar
     days between the receipt of a new application and the final determination of eligibility. The average
     processing times reported by 39 states ranged from 11 to 45 calendar days. States reported making
     numerous changes to provider payments, provider taxes and beneficiary services since 2008. While
     more states reported provider-rate and supplemental payment increases each year from 2008
     through 2011, the number reporting payment reductions and increased provider taxes also grew.
     More states reported increasing services than limiting them. More than two-thirds of states reported
     challenges to ensuring enough Medicaid providers to serve beneficiaries--including dental and
     specialty care providers. States cited Medicaid payment rates and a general shortage of providers as
     adding to the challenge. To attract new providers, more than half the states reported simplifying
     administrative requirements or increasing payment rates.

    MedPAC Meeting. The Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC) has scheduled their
     next public meeting for December 6 and 7, 2012. Agenda details will be provided when available.




International, Defense, Homeland Security
LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY

    Russia/Moldova PNTR Developments. On Friday, the House of Representatives voted 365-43 in
     favor of a legislative package granting Permanent Normal Trade Relations (PNTR) status, formerly
     known as Most Favored Nation status, to Russia and Moldova. The Senate Finance Committee and
     the House Ways and Means Committee both reported out PNTR bills over the summer as Russia
     joined the World Trade Organization, and the U.S. business community has sought to repeal Cold
     War-era Jackson-Vanik bilateral trade restrictions to take advantage of reduced tariffs for the Russian
     export market. However, final action stalled on the floor of both chambers in the early fall, largely due




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to disagreements about how to address Russia’s human rights record as part of the final legislative
     package.

     Many House Democrats and some Republicans have voiced support for a more stringent, more
     globalized version of the “Magnitsky” Russian human rights legislation that the Republican
     Leadership plans to attach to the PNTR bill. However, the House Leadership’s version of the
     legislation will pass. Senate human rights advocates, such as Senator Ben Cardin (D-MD), then are
     considered likely to accept the House bill as a significant improvement over the status quo. Barring
     last-minute complications, the Senate will then likely vote in favor of PNTR by the end of the year.

    Benghazi Hearings. In closed testimony before the Senate and House Intelligence Committees on
     Friday, former Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Director David Petraeus and his Congressional
     inquisitors reportedly kept their discussions focused on the Benghazi, Libya attack and not the
     circumstances surrounding the former general’s departure from the CIA. Petraeus apparently
     emphasized that the CIA believed from the outset that the attack of the U.S. Consulate in Benghazi
     was an act of terrorism and not the result of a spontaneous demonstration, although some Members
     of Congress, such as outgoing House Homeland Security Chairman Peter King (R-NY), said they
     questioned whether the Agency has been consistent in that message. The House Foreign Affairs
     Committee also examined the attack in Benghazi on Friday. Additional Congressional Committees
     are expected to follow suit in the coming weeks.

REGULATORY ACTIVITY

    Personnel Decisions. In the weeks ahead, the Obama Administration should make several high-
     profile personnel decisions regarding its second-term national security team. Most experts predict that
     Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta will step down, following a highly respected career in Washington.
     Michelle Flournoy, the former Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, whom most Pentagon watchers
     consider to be the leading candidate to succeed Secretary Panetta, likely would play an aggressive
     role in tackling force structure and defense budget issues in the near term. Other leading candidates
     to be Secretary of Defense include Senate Armed Services Committee Member Jack Reed (D-RI),
     Deputy Secretary of Defense Ash Carter, and former Clinton Secretary of the Navy Richard Danzig.

     Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will depart as President Obama’s second term begins, having
     burnished her formidable political legacy following her highly regarded tenure at Foggy Bottom.
     Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman John Kerry (D-MA) is a candidate to succeed
     Secretary Clinton, but he might stay in the Senate given the chance that outgoing Senator Scott
     Brown (R-MA) could win the special election to fill his seat. Senator Kerry has served as an ardent
     and articulate defender of the Obama Administration’s foreign policy record and is a longtime
     confidant of Vice President Biden. U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Susan Rice also will
     receive strong consideration, as befitting her rapid rise through the Democratic foreign policy
     establishment. However, she would face a more arduous nomination process. Additional candidates
     include Senator Richard Lugar (R-IN) and Representative Howard Berman (D-CA), both of whom lost
     their bids to return to Congress.




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President Obama might nominate Tom Donilon to serve as Secretary of State, but his relatively lower
     public profile and longtime advisory roles in Democratic Administrations make it more likely he will
     remain in place as National Security Adviser. If Donilon does leave the West Wing, Ambassador Rice
     and Deputy National Security Advisor Denis McDonough likely would be favorites for the post. Former
     Deputy Secretary of State and Deputy National Security Adviser Jim Steinberg also may be
     considered.

     Most observers expect Ron Kirk to leave his post as U.S. Trade Representative as President
     Obama’s first term comes to a close. Many experts view Michael Froman, who heads the National
     Security Council’s international economic team, as the most likely choice to succeed Ambassador
     Kirk. Froman has developed many allies in Washington’s trade policy community. Ambassador Kirk’s
     two Washington deputies, Miriam Sapiro and Demetrios Marantis, also have cultivated strong
     support. If President Obama seeks to bring in someone from outside his current Administration to
     serve as USTR, he might tap Representative Berman, who is an expert on intellectual property issues
     and has compiled a pro-trade voting record. If the President wishes to cross party lines with his
     choice, retiring House Rules Committee Chairman David Dreier (R-CA) is an ardent trade advocate
     with a history of bipartisan cooperation.

     Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano may well remain in place if Attorney General Eric
     Holder does not leave the Department of Justice (DOJ) or President Obama does not nominate
     Secretary Napolitano to replace him. If Secretary Napolitano were to leave the Department of
     Homeland Security (DHS), several former or retiring Members of Congress and local law enforcement
     officials, along with former Coast Guard Commandant Thad Allen, likely would be at the top of the list
     to take her place.




Sequestration
     To offset the required increase in the debt ceiling, the Budget Control Act of 2011 (BCA / P.L. 112-25)
     mandated that a sequestration process would commence on January 2, 2013 if the Joint Select
     Committee on Deficit Reduction and / or Congress failed to craft a $1.2 trillion deficit reduction plan.
     The sequestration process will include automatic, across-the-board reductions in defense and non-
     defense discretionary spending. For FY 2013, non-exempt federal agencies and programs would be
     reduced by $109 billion: discretionary domestic (non-defense) programs by 8.2 percent;
     mandatory/direct domestic (non-defense) programs by 7.6 percent; discretionary defense programs
     by 9.4 percent; and mandatory/direct defense programs by 10 percent. Overall, the sequestration
     process would cut spending across more than 1,200 non-exempt federal accounts—$54.67 billion
     from defense programs; $38 billion from domestic discretionary programs; $11 billion from Medicare
     (no beneficiary cuts); and $5 billion from other mandatory spending programs.

     The year-end confluence of sequestration and the expiration of numerous tax provisions is referred to
     as the “fiscal cliff.”



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    “Fiscal Cliff” Negotiations Begin. Post-election overtures of cooperation were heard from the
     President and Congressional leaders of both parties, although these were quickly followed with
     reiterations of their divergent tax policy positions. The President and Democrats remain committed to
     increasing tax rates for the wealthy and House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH), while open to tax
     revenue options, insists that this will not be accomplished through any increase in tax rates.

     Last week President Obama held a press conference outlining his position on deficit reduction and
     held a series of meetings with labor, union and business leaders in an effort to garner support for his
     plan. On Friday, in what the President said he hoped would be the “beginning of a fruitful process,” he
     met with Administration and Congressional leaders to present his opening position and kick off the
     negotiations. In keeping with the deficit reduction plan he put forth in his FY 2013 Budget Proposal,
     the President called for $1.6 trillion in new tax revenues during the next 10 years and urged Congress
     to immediately pass legislation extending the current tax rates for household income up to $250,000.
     Speaker Boehner also presented a framework for a plan including tax code and spending reform
     strategies, noting that Republicans were willing to put revenue on the table, but only if it was coupled
     with “significant spending cuts.” Following the meeting, Speaker Boehner, Senate Majority Leader
     Harry Reid (D-NV), Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) and House Minority Leader
     Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) agreed that the meeting was “constructive” and felt confident they could move
     forward with a compromise plan. Congressional leaders will continue discussions during the
     Thanksgiving recess and meet again with the President after the holiday.




Tax
LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY

    Fiscal Cliff Talks Underway with President Obama Holding a Series of Meetings. In contrast to
     the immediate aftermath of the election, which was notable for immediately changing the tone of both
     House Republicans and the Administration with respect to bridging differences on tax policy,
     differences between the parties have seemed to harden a bit over the last several days. The
     President held a series of meetings and a press conference this week, focusing much of his attention
     on the looming fiscal cliff. In meetings with labor and union leaders, President Obama called for
     support in urging Congressional leaders to pass legislation extending the current tax rates for
     households earning $250,000 a year or less, and took a strong position against extending the current
     rates for higher earners, citing the recent election as evidence that voters support higher taxes for
     higher earners.

     The President held an opening round meeting with Congressional leaders on Friday at the White
     House to discuss fiscal cliff options. At the meeting, House Speaker John Boehner presented a
     framework for reform, including both tax revenue increases and significant spending cuts. Leaders
     will continue to develop the framework over the Thanksgiving recess and plan to meet with President
     Obama again the first week of December. Consistent with the President’s previous proposals, the
     Administration’s opening position calls for $1.6 trillion in new tax revenues over the next ten years.


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Although the President heads to Asia this weekend, look for rhetoric on tax reform to continue from
     both parties.

    Senate Finance Committee Conducts Fiscal Cliff Negotiations. The Senate Finance Committee
     met November 15 concerning the fiscal cliff, and considered ideas beyond either extending all current
     rates for a year or extending the current rates only for households earning less than $250,000. Other
     ideas included raising the top rate to 37 percent (rather than the scheduled increase to 39.6 percent),
     capping deductions while exempting charitable contributions, changing the way inflation adjustments
     are made to Social Security benefits, and having a one-to-one ratio on revenue increases and
     spending cuts.

    Ways and Means Chairman Camp Offers Fiscal Cliff Policy Statement. Chairman Dave Camp
     (R-MI) released a statement on November 14 criticizing President Obama for failing to compromise
     as time continues to run out with respect to the fiscal cliff. Chairman Camp noted that Speaker
     Boehner offered a compromise position that included tax revenues in exchange for entitlement
     reforms. He also criticized the President for continuing to back a policy that will raise rates on small
     businesses.

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     Chairman Camp reiterated his points when he spoke at the Tax Foundation’s 75 Anniversary Dinner
     on November 15, and stressed the importance of comprehensive tax reform. In his remarks, he
     stated that the Ways and Means Committee intends to move a comprehensive tax reform bill in 2013,
     “no matter what.”

REGULATORY ACTIVITY

    FATCA Model II Agreement Published. On November 14, Treasury published its archetype for
     FACTA Model II Agreements as part of its effort to continue to provide guidance under the Foreign
     Account Tax Compliance Act (FACTA), which is intended to prevent U.S. taxpayers from evading
     U.S. tax by holding funds in offshore accounts in foreign financial institutions (FFIs). The archetype
     published this week is the second of two such intergovernmental model agreements. While a Model I
     Agreement would require FFIs in partner countries to report U.S. taxpayer information to their home
     tax authorities, which would then transmit the information to the U.S., this Model II Agreement would
     allow FFIs in a partner country to report information concerning U.S. taxpayer accounts directly to the
     U.S. under an agreed upon standard. The Model II agreement released on November 14 is based on
     the Joint Statements the U.S. released on June 21, 2012, with Japan and Switzerland. The impetus
     behind the Model II agreement is to allow FFIs in these countries to comply with FATCA through
     direct reporting without violating their home country rules.

    Treasury Intergovernmental Agreement Negotiations Continue. The U.S. Treasury has
     continued to meet this week with representatives from potential partner countries concerning
     agreements under FACTA to share information about bank account holders in their respective
     countries. Among the countries reportedly in negotiations with the U.S. Department of the Treasury
     are Russia, China, India, Australia and South Africa. Expect to see negotiations continue in the
     coming weeks as countries look to secure an agreement with the U.S. and bypass onerous
     withholding charges.


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TechComm
     LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY

          Safe Web Act. The Senate on November 14 voted to pass a House bill that would expand the
           ability of the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) to stop Internet fraud and online scammers. The
           U.S. Safe Web Act would permit the FTC to share information about cross-border fraud with
           foreign law enforcement agencies and broaden the type of fraud that the Agency can take legal
           action against. The bill was first passed in 2006 and the latest reauthorization bill is now headed
           to the President's desk to be signed into law. “The U.S. Safe Web Act provides critically
           important consumer protections, allowing the Commission to combat cross-border fraud, spam
           and spyware,” said Congresswoman Mary Bono Mack (R-CA), the bill’s lead co-sponsor along
           with Congressman G.K. Butterfield (D-NC).

         Web Streaming. The House Judiciary Subcommittee on Intellectual Property, Competition and
           the Internet is poised to hold a hearing on November 29 on music royalty rates and the Internet
           Radio Fairness Act, which was introduced by Representative Jason Chaffetz (R-UT). No witness
           list has been announced yet. The Internet Radio Fairness Act would require the Copyright
           Royalty Board to set the per-song royalty rates for Internet radio equal to the lower rates paid by
           cable and satellite services. Pandora leads the Internet Radio Fairness Coalition, which also
           includes Clear Channel and the Consumer Electronics Association, which supports the bill.
           Opponents of the legislation include record labels and the Recording Industry Association of
           America, which would rather see cable and satellite brought in line with higher rates that Internet
           radio services are paying. They support a discussion draft introduced earlier this year by
           Representative Jerrold Nadler (D-NY) that would require webcasters to pay a new performance
           tax for terrestrial air play. A companion to the Chaffetz bill was introduced on the Senate side by
           Ron Wyden (D-OR). "There is no functioning market here," Wyden said on November 13 during
           a Future of Music Summit in Washington. "Webcasters pay five times the royalties paid by other
           digital broadcasters."

          ECPA. On November 29, the Senate Judiciary Committee will mark up legislation that would
           require police to obtain a warrant before reading people's emails, Facebook messages or other
           forms of electronic communication. Committee Chairman Patrick Leahy (D-VT), attached the
           warrant requirement as an amendment to H.R. 2471, a House bill that would ease video privacy
           protections. H.R. 2471 would amend the Video Privacy Protection Act, which bans the sharing of
           rental information with a consumer’s written consent. H.R. 2471 would allow users to opt in to
           automatically share their viewing habits on social networks, in the same way that users can
           already share on Facebook which songs they listen to and which articles they read. Leahy has
           argued that his warrant requirement is necessary so that federal privacy laws keep pace with
           changes in technology. Under the Electronic Communications Privacy Act (ECPA) of 1986,
           police only need a subpoena, not a warrant, to read emails that have been opened and are more
           than 180 days old.


Patton Boggs Capital Thinking Weekly Update | November 19, 2012
                                                               12 of 13
         Spectrum Auctions.              The House Energy and Commerce Committee Subcommittee on
           Communications and Technology will hold an oversight hearing on the broadcast incentive
           auctions on December 12 in which all five FCC commissioners are expected to testify.
           Subcommittee Chairman Greg Walden (R-OR) also has expressed his desire to hold a hearing
           on receiver standards during the lame-duck session, although no date has been set yet.

REGULATORY ACTIVITY

          FCC Incentive Auction. The FCC plans to consider an Order regarding implementation of the
           Local Community Radio Act at the Agency's November 30 open meeting. The Order would
           address final procedures to approve more than 6,000 pending FM translator radio applications.
           According to the FCC, “[t]he consideration of these items will represent the final steps toward
           enabling nonprofit groups nationwide to apply for low power radio licenses to further expand the
           diversity of local voices in the media landscape.” No other items are currently scheduled for the
           November 30 agenda.




Patton Boggs Capital Thinking Weekly Update | November 19, 2012
                                                               13 of 13

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Capital Thinking Update ~ November 19, 2012

  • 1.     November 19, 2012
  • 2. General Legislative The Congress has recessed until next week due to the Thanksgiving holiday. Agriculture & Food LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY  Farm Bill. There is an increased likelihood that Congress will pass a five-year Farm Bill during the lame duck session, although the option of a one-year extension remains on the table in the House. This week, both Senate Agriculture Committee Chairwoman Debbie Stabenow (D-MI) and House Agriculture Committee Chairman Frank Lucas (R-OK) stated that they are considering the possibility of making the Farm Bill part of a deficit-reduction package to help Congress avoid the impending fiscal cliff. Both bills would provide significant cost savings, as the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has scored the Senate-passed Farm Bill at $23 billion and the House Agriculture Committee’s Farm Bill at $35 billion. Chairwoman Stabenow, however, has voiced strong opposition to incorporating the House Agriculture Committee’s Farm Bill in a deficit-reduction package because of its $16 billion cut to the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), while the Senate-passed bill cuts SNAP by $4 billion. Speaker of the House John Boehner (R-OH) has remained largely silent on whether the House will consider a five-year Farm Bill. Should Congress pass a five-year Farm Bill, Chairman Lucas has expressed his concerns about the Department of Agriculture successfully implementing new programs (i.e., crop insurance) in a short period of time, and thinks that a one-year extension would provide the Department with more time to establish and implement new programs properly.  Senate Agriculture Committee Leadership. This week, Senator Thad Cochran (R-MS) contacted Republican members on the Senate Agriculture Committee to determine his prospects for unseating Senator Pat Roberts (R-KS) as Ranking Member. REGULATORY ACTIVITY  Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS). On Friday, November 16, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) denied Governors Beverly Perdue (D-NC) and Mike Beebe’s (D-AR) petitions requesting a waiver to the RFS. In its decision, EPA stated that the Congressional requirements for a waiver to be granted were not met, despite the Agency recognizing the “significant hardships” the drought created in many sectors of the economy. The Agency also stated that waiving the RFS would have minimal impact on ethanol demand or energy prices in 2013. Patton Boggs Capital Thinking Weekly Update | November 19, 2012 1 of 13
  • 3. Budget, Appropriations LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY  Supplemental Appropriations for Disaster Aid. As the damage assessments from Hurricane Sandy continue to rise, Congress is considering whether to take up a supplemental appropriations package during the lame duck to provide emergency disaster relief funding or to wait until early 2013 when damage estimates will be more complete. While FEMA has indicated it has sufficient money in its Disaster Relief Fund to handle near-term needs, other agencies, such as the Army Corps of Engineers, the Department of Housing and Urban Development, and the Small Business Administration have disaster aid programs that are in need of additional funds to help with recovery efforts. A variety of disaster relief bills have been introduced in both chambers and, despite previous efforts to require offsets for federal disaster recovery funding, conservative lawmakers signaled a willingness last week to accept a straight aid package. Cybersecurity LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY  Cybersecurity Legislation. After much discussion and debate over the issue, but very little progress made during the short September work period on the Cybersecurity Act of 2012 (S. 3414), the Senate quickly brought the bill back up this week. Based on the limited number of work days left in the lame duck session, they first voted down a motion Wednesday night not to limit debate on the bill itself, allowing a potential filibuster on the bill, which effectively served to kill the bill for this Congressional session. The move by Senator Reid (D-NV) to bring the bill to the Senate floor was seen as a last attempt to allow Members to break the stalemate that had occurred among the Senators to date. The inability to negotiate a compromise will most likely result in the Administration issuing an Executive Order in the near future. EXECUTIVE BRANCH ACTIVITY  Executive Order. Discussion about the need for an Executive Order (EO) will be heightened at this juncture and while it appears as if it is still in inter-agency review, it is likely to be released before the end of the year. The Administration has met with Congressional staff and members of the private sector to discuss the concept of the EO, gather feedback and address stakeholder concerns.  Presidential Policy Directive 20. In mid-October, the President signed a secret directive that established a broad set of standards for federal agencies in confronting cyber threats. This directive will enable the military to act in a more aggressive manner to prevent cyberattacks against government and private computer networks. Although the document is classified, Administration officials have shared some general details about the document, saying that the directive is the most Patton Boggs Capital Thinking Weekly Update | November 19, 2012 2 of 13
  • 4. extensive effort to date to address “offensive” and “defensive” actions in cyberwar and cyberterrorism in order to guide officials that may have to make quick decisions if confronted with a cyber-threat.  Homeland Security Presidential Directive (HSPD) 7. The Obama Administration is continuing efforts to rewrite the 2003 presidential directive that addresses critical infrastructure and cybersecurity issues. In its original form, HSPD 7 established a national policy for the federal departments and agencies to identify and prioritize critical infrastructure. The Administration has been in the process of rewriting the directive for the last year and hopes to finalize it by the end of the year. Energy LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY  Energy Taxes. As work towards averting the looming “fiscal cliff” of steep spending cuts coupled with income tax increases set to take effect on January 1 continues, Senate Finance Committee member Chuck Grassley (R-IA) has said that consideration of the $205 billion “Family Business and Tax Cut Certainty Act of 2012” (which includes short-term energy tax extenders) will await bipartisan negotiations between President Obama and Congressional leaders. Democrats support extending clean energy tax incentives while some Republicans have consistently called for an end to popular incentives, such as the wind Production Tax Credit set to expire on December 31. Congressman Mike Pompeo (R-KS) believes that all energy tax incentives should be repealed as the nation grapples with mounting federal debts. Meanwhile, House Natural Resources Committee Democrats have requested that a Republican-requested Government Accountability Office (GAO) study of energy subsidies be expanded to include all forms of federal support – beginning with the oil and gas industry’s permanent tax incentives created in 1916.  Comprehensive Energy Legislation. On Thursday, Senator Ron Wyden (D-OR), the incoming Chairman of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee, and Senator Lisa Murkowski (R- AK), the returning Ranking Member of the committee, announced that they would be producing a th “transformative” energy bill in the 113 Congress that would focus on jobs and the environment. Senator Wyden indicated that a provision, for example, that would share revenue from offshore drilling with coastal states could help achieve a balance between supporting jobs locally while funding environmental stewardship initiatives.  Congressional Hearings. The House Energy and Commerce Committee will host a third, bipartisan “Clean Air Act Forum” on November 29. Participants representing state, local and tribal governments will speak. Patton Boggs Capital Thinking Weekly Update | November 19, 2012 3 of 13
  • 5. REGULATORY ACTIVITY  Hydraulic Fracturing. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has requested stakeholder data and scientific literature to help inform the Agency's full life-cycle research of potential impacts on drinking water resources. Comments – with a preference for peer-reviewed information – are due by April 30.  LNG Exports. The thrice-delayed Department of Energy (DOE) analysis of natural gas exports is expected by year’s end. The public interest assessment will consider energy security, economic and environmental impacts, job creation, and the nation's trade balance. DOE's proposed policy on processes and timelines for considering individual project applications must then undergo public review before being finalized.  FERC Order No. 768. The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) will host a December 12 conference to address how to satisfy Electric Quarterly Reports required under Order No. 768. The conference is also being webcast.  FERC Section 219. The Commission has also issued a policy statement on “Promoting Transmission Investment Through Pricing Reform” to provide guidance regarding its evaluation of applications for electric transmission incentives under the Federal Power Act.  FCPA Guide. The Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) have released a Resource Guide to the U.S. Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA), which outlines the federal government’s approach to and enforcement of the FCPA, including for energy service providers.  Gulf Lease Sales. Comments on the draft Supplemental Environmental Impact Statement for proposed Western Gulf Lease Sale 233 (tentatively scheduled for 2013) and Central Gulf Lease Sale 231 (scheduled for 2014) are due by December 24. BOEM has scheduled public hearings to solicit public comments December 3-6 in Houston, New Orleans, Gulfport and Mobile, respectively. Environment LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY  Clean Air Act. On November 29, the House Energy and Commerce Committee, Subcommittee on Energy and Power will hold a forum titled “State, Local and Federal Cooperation in the Clean Air Act.” Participants representing state, local and tribal governments will provide their perspectives on implementing the Clean Air Act.  Weather Prediction. On November 28, the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology, Subcommittee on Space and Aeronautics will hold a hearing on national priorities for solar and space physics research and applications for space weather prediction. Charles Gay, Deputy Associate Patton Boggs Capital Thinking Weekly Update | November 19, 2012 4 of 13
  • 6. Administrator, Science Mission Directorate, National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), will testify. REGULATORY ACTIVITY  EPA Provides Fuel Waivers in Wake of Sandy. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has approved temporary fuel waivers to assist states impacted by Hurricane Sandy. EPA determined that as a result of the hurricane, extreme and unusual supply circumstances exist, which may result in a temporary shortage of gasoline compliant with federal regulations. The federal waiver is intended to help ensure an adequate supply of fuels in the impacted states. The waiver allows the sale and distribution of conventional gasoline in a number of Eastern states that are required to use reformulated gasoline, and allows a number of additional states to mix reformulated gasoline and conventional gasoline to alleviate barriers to the supply of gasoline to the region. The waivers were granted by EPA in coordination with the Department of Energy (DOE). Using its authority under the Clean Air Act, EPA temporarily waived certain federal clean gasoline requirements for gasoline sold and distributed in Tennessee, North Carolina, South Carolina, Mississippi, Georgia, Alabama, the District of Columbia, New York, Maryland, Connecticut, Delaware, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Virginia, New Hampshire and Rhode Island. The EPA has also waived federal clean diesel fuel requirements in New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and in and around New York City to allow the use of home heating oil in highway vehicles, non-road vehicles and non-road equipment designated by the states of New Jersey, Pennsylvania and New York for emergency response. Financial Services LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY  Senators Consider Basel III. On Wednesday, November 14, 2012, the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs held a hearing titled “Oversight of Basel III: Impact of Proposed Capital Rules.” The hearing focused on industry concerns regarding the complexity and burdens of the inter-agency proposed rules on regulatory capital requirements related to risk weighting assets and market discipline and disclosure. Witnesses included Michael Gibson of the Federal Reserve, John Lyons of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, and George French of the FDIC.  FDIC Leadership confirmed by Senate. On Thursday, November 15, Martin Gruenberg was confirmed as Chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC). Thomas Hoenig was confirmed as Vice Chairman. Mr. Gruenberg previously served as Vice Chairman of the Board, assuming the role of Acting Chairman on July 8, 2011, upon Sheila Bair's departure as FDIC Chairman. He previously served as Acting Chairman from November 15, 2005 to June 26, 2006. REGULATORY ACTIVITY  FSOC Addresses Money Market Funds. On Tuesday, November 13, the Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC) met to discuss proposed recommendations regarding money market Patton Boggs Capital Thinking Weekly Update | November 19, 2012 5 of 13
  • 7. mutual funds (MMF) reform pursuant to its authority under Section 120 of the Dodd-Frank Act. Under Section 120, the FSOC may provide for more stringent regulation of a financial activity by issuing recommendations to the primary financial regulatory agencies to apply new or heightened standards and safeguards. During the meeting, the FSOC used its authority to unanimously approve recommendations to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on MMFs. The FSOC also cautioned that once the SEC is able to move forward with its MMF reforms, the Council would suspend its work to let the SEC process finish.  CFTC to Appeal Position Limits Decision. On Thursday, November 15, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) voted three to two to appeal a decision by the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia to vacate the position limits rule promulgated by the CFTC in January 2012. When the announcement was made, Commissioner Bart Chilton, a supporter of the rule, called for the CFTC to “provide a belt and suspenders approach to this important issue” and “concurrently propose and finalize yet another position limits rule.” Health Care LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY  Fiscal Cliff Negotiations. President Obama met with Congressional leaders on Friday to address ongoing negotiations on deficit reduction. The President reiterated his support for extending tax rates to lower income Americans, and Congressional Democrats will look to protect Medicare and Medicaid benefits while Republicans seek changes in entitlement spending. With the Senate is out of session until after Thanksgiving, negotiations are expected to resume in earnest in December. REGULATORY ACTIVITY  Exchange Deadline. The Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announced this week they will extend the deadline for states to declare their intent on exchanges, and whether they will establish a state-based exchange, partnership exchange or allow for a federally-facilitated exchange created and operated by the federal government. With little guidance coming from the Administration on what a federal exchange might look like, states have clamored for additional time and more information. States now have until December 14, 2012 to declare their intentions and exchange applications. At the time of the announcement, 17 states planned for a state-based exchange, five states chose the partnership exchange, 19 would have a federal exchange and 10 were undeclared. Some states may alter their plans, however, with the extended deadline and additional guidance expected from the Agency in the coming weeks.  Regulations Under Review. With the election behind us, HHS and Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) have returned to the business of promulgating regulations. The following regulations are currently under review at the Office of Management and Budget (OMB): Exchanges Rule Part II (Proposed Rule) that includes standards related to Essential Health Benefits, requirements for insurance issuers in exchanges, and standards for actuarial value, accreditation and Patton Boggs Capital Thinking Weekly Update | November 19, 2012 6 of 13
  • 8. certification of health insurance issuers in exchanges; Provisions To Promote Program Efficiency, Transparency, and Burden Reduction Part II (Proposed Rule) that may eliminate or modify duplicative rules relating to providers (hospitals, SNFs, rehab hospitals, etc); ACA Health Insurance Market Rules (Proposed Rule), that likely relates to 2014 private insurance market reforms, which could include guaranteed issue and guarantee renewability, coverage of preexisting health conditions, nondiscrimination based on health status, nondiscrimination regarding clinical trial participation, rating restrictions, and waiting period limitation; Wellness Programs (Proposed Rule); and Health Care Quality White Paper: Health Care Quality Provisions in the Affordable Care Act: Questions for Stakeholders (RFI). OTHER HEALTH NEWS  GAO Medicaid Report. The Government Accountability Office (GAO) released a report titled “States Made Multiple Program Changes, and Beneficiaries Generally Reported Access Comparable to Private Insurance.” GAO found that from 2008 to 2011, more than half of states reported maintaining or decreasing their average Medicaid application processing times--the average number of calendar days between the receipt of a new application and the final determination of eligibility. The average processing times reported by 39 states ranged from 11 to 45 calendar days. States reported making numerous changes to provider payments, provider taxes and beneficiary services since 2008. While more states reported provider-rate and supplemental payment increases each year from 2008 through 2011, the number reporting payment reductions and increased provider taxes also grew. More states reported increasing services than limiting them. More than two-thirds of states reported challenges to ensuring enough Medicaid providers to serve beneficiaries--including dental and specialty care providers. States cited Medicaid payment rates and a general shortage of providers as adding to the challenge. To attract new providers, more than half the states reported simplifying administrative requirements or increasing payment rates.  MedPAC Meeting. The Medicare Payment Advisory Commission (MedPAC) has scheduled their next public meeting for December 6 and 7, 2012. Agenda details will be provided when available. International, Defense, Homeland Security LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY  Russia/Moldova PNTR Developments. On Friday, the House of Representatives voted 365-43 in favor of a legislative package granting Permanent Normal Trade Relations (PNTR) status, formerly known as Most Favored Nation status, to Russia and Moldova. The Senate Finance Committee and the House Ways and Means Committee both reported out PNTR bills over the summer as Russia joined the World Trade Organization, and the U.S. business community has sought to repeal Cold War-era Jackson-Vanik bilateral trade restrictions to take advantage of reduced tariffs for the Russian export market. However, final action stalled on the floor of both chambers in the early fall, largely due Patton Boggs Capital Thinking Weekly Update | November 19, 2012 7 of 13
  • 9. to disagreements about how to address Russia’s human rights record as part of the final legislative package. Many House Democrats and some Republicans have voiced support for a more stringent, more globalized version of the “Magnitsky” Russian human rights legislation that the Republican Leadership plans to attach to the PNTR bill. However, the House Leadership’s version of the legislation will pass. Senate human rights advocates, such as Senator Ben Cardin (D-MD), then are considered likely to accept the House bill as a significant improvement over the status quo. Barring last-minute complications, the Senate will then likely vote in favor of PNTR by the end of the year.  Benghazi Hearings. In closed testimony before the Senate and House Intelligence Committees on Friday, former Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) Director David Petraeus and his Congressional inquisitors reportedly kept their discussions focused on the Benghazi, Libya attack and not the circumstances surrounding the former general’s departure from the CIA. Petraeus apparently emphasized that the CIA believed from the outset that the attack of the U.S. Consulate in Benghazi was an act of terrorism and not the result of a spontaneous demonstration, although some Members of Congress, such as outgoing House Homeland Security Chairman Peter King (R-NY), said they questioned whether the Agency has been consistent in that message. The House Foreign Affairs Committee also examined the attack in Benghazi on Friday. Additional Congressional Committees are expected to follow suit in the coming weeks. REGULATORY ACTIVITY  Personnel Decisions. In the weeks ahead, the Obama Administration should make several high- profile personnel decisions regarding its second-term national security team. Most experts predict that Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta will step down, following a highly respected career in Washington. Michelle Flournoy, the former Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, whom most Pentagon watchers consider to be the leading candidate to succeed Secretary Panetta, likely would play an aggressive role in tackling force structure and defense budget issues in the near term. Other leading candidates to be Secretary of Defense include Senate Armed Services Committee Member Jack Reed (D-RI), Deputy Secretary of Defense Ash Carter, and former Clinton Secretary of the Navy Richard Danzig. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will depart as President Obama’s second term begins, having burnished her formidable political legacy following her highly regarded tenure at Foggy Bottom. Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman John Kerry (D-MA) is a candidate to succeed Secretary Clinton, but he might stay in the Senate given the chance that outgoing Senator Scott Brown (R-MA) could win the special election to fill his seat. Senator Kerry has served as an ardent and articulate defender of the Obama Administration’s foreign policy record and is a longtime confidant of Vice President Biden. U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Susan Rice also will receive strong consideration, as befitting her rapid rise through the Democratic foreign policy establishment. However, she would face a more arduous nomination process. Additional candidates include Senator Richard Lugar (R-IN) and Representative Howard Berman (D-CA), both of whom lost their bids to return to Congress. Patton Boggs Capital Thinking Weekly Update | November 19, 2012 8 of 13
  • 10. President Obama might nominate Tom Donilon to serve as Secretary of State, but his relatively lower public profile and longtime advisory roles in Democratic Administrations make it more likely he will remain in place as National Security Adviser. If Donilon does leave the West Wing, Ambassador Rice and Deputy National Security Advisor Denis McDonough likely would be favorites for the post. Former Deputy Secretary of State and Deputy National Security Adviser Jim Steinberg also may be considered. Most observers expect Ron Kirk to leave his post as U.S. Trade Representative as President Obama’s first term comes to a close. Many experts view Michael Froman, who heads the National Security Council’s international economic team, as the most likely choice to succeed Ambassador Kirk. Froman has developed many allies in Washington’s trade policy community. Ambassador Kirk’s two Washington deputies, Miriam Sapiro and Demetrios Marantis, also have cultivated strong support. If President Obama seeks to bring in someone from outside his current Administration to serve as USTR, he might tap Representative Berman, who is an expert on intellectual property issues and has compiled a pro-trade voting record. If the President wishes to cross party lines with his choice, retiring House Rules Committee Chairman David Dreier (R-CA) is an ardent trade advocate with a history of bipartisan cooperation. Homeland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano may well remain in place if Attorney General Eric Holder does not leave the Department of Justice (DOJ) or President Obama does not nominate Secretary Napolitano to replace him. If Secretary Napolitano were to leave the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), several former or retiring Members of Congress and local law enforcement officials, along with former Coast Guard Commandant Thad Allen, likely would be at the top of the list to take her place. Sequestration To offset the required increase in the debt ceiling, the Budget Control Act of 2011 (BCA / P.L. 112-25) mandated that a sequestration process would commence on January 2, 2013 if the Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction and / or Congress failed to craft a $1.2 trillion deficit reduction plan. The sequestration process will include automatic, across-the-board reductions in defense and non- defense discretionary spending. For FY 2013, non-exempt federal agencies and programs would be reduced by $109 billion: discretionary domestic (non-defense) programs by 8.2 percent; mandatory/direct domestic (non-defense) programs by 7.6 percent; discretionary defense programs by 9.4 percent; and mandatory/direct defense programs by 10 percent. Overall, the sequestration process would cut spending across more than 1,200 non-exempt federal accounts—$54.67 billion from defense programs; $38 billion from domestic discretionary programs; $11 billion from Medicare (no beneficiary cuts); and $5 billion from other mandatory spending programs. The year-end confluence of sequestration and the expiration of numerous tax provisions is referred to as the “fiscal cliff.” Patton Boggs Capital Thinking Weekly Update | November 19, 2012 9 of 13
  • 11. “Fiscal Cliff” Negotiations Begin. Post-election overtures of cooperation were heard from the President and Congressional leaders of both parties, although these were quickly followed with reiterations of their divergent tax policy positions. The President and Democrats remain committed to increasing tax rates for the wealthy and House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH), while open to tax revenue options, insists that this will not be accomplished through any increase in tax rates. Last week President Obama held a press conference outlining his position on deficit reduction and held a series of meetings with labor, union and business leaders in an effort to garner support for his plan. On Friday, in what the President said he hoped would be the “beginning of a fruitful process,” he met with Administration and Congressional leaders to present his opening position and kick off the negotiations. In keeping with the deficit reduction plan he put forth in his FY 2013 Budget Proposal, the President called for $1.6 trillion in new tax revenues during the next 10 years and urged Congress to immediately pass legislation extending the current tax rates for household income up to $250,000. Speaker Boehner also presented a framework for a plan including tax code and spending reform strategies, noting that Republicans were willing to put revenue on the table, but only if it was coupled with “significant spending cuts.” Following the meeting, Speaker Boehner, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV), Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) and House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) agreed that the meeting was “constructive” and felt confident they could move forward with a compromise plan. Congressional leaders will continue discussions during the Thanksgiving recess and meet again with the President after the holiday. Tax LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY  Fiscal Cliff Talks Underway with President Obama Holding a Series of Meetings. In contrast to the immediate aftermath of the election, which was notable for immediately changing the tone of both House Republicans and the Administration with respect to bridging differences on tax policy, differences between the parties have seemed to harden a bit over the last several days. The President held a series of meetings and a press conference this week, focusing much of his attention on the looming fiscal cliff. In meetings with labor and union leaders, President Obama called for support in urging Congressional leaders to pass legislation extending the current tax rates for households earning $250,000 a year or less, and took a strong position against extending the current rates for higher earners, citing the recent election as evidence that voters support higher taxes for higher earners. The President held an opening round meeting with Congressional leaders on Friday at the White House to discuss fiscal cliff options. At the meeting, House Speaker John Boehner presented a framework for reform, including both tax revenue increases and significant spending cuts. Leaders will continue to develop the framework over the Thanksgiving recess and plan to meet with President Obama again the first week of December. Consistent with the President’s previous proposals, the Administration’s opening position calls for $1.6 trillion in new tax revenues over the next ten years. Patton Boggs Capital Thinking Weekly Update | November 19, 2012 10 of 13
  • 12. Although the President heads to Asia this weekend, look for rhetoric on tax reform to continue from both parties.  Senate Finance Committee Conducts Fiscal Cliff Negotiations. The Senate Finance Committee met November 15 concerning the fiscal cliff, and considered ideas beyond either extending all current rates for a year or extending the current rates only for households earning less than $250,000. Other ideas included raising the top rate to 37 percent (rather than the scheduled increase to 39.6 percent), capping deductions while exempting charitable contributions, changing the way inflation adjustments are made to Social Security benefits, and having a one-to-one ratio on revenue increases and spending cuts.  Ways and Means Chairman Camp Offers Fiscal Cliff Policy Statement. Chairman Dave Camp (R-MI) released a statement on November 14 criticizing President Obama for failing to compromise as time continues to run out with respect to the fiscal cliff. Chairman Camp noted that Speaker Boehner offered a compromise position that included tax revenues in exchange for entitlement reforms. He also criticized the President for continuing to back a policy that will raise rates on small businesses. th Chairman Camp reiterated his points when he spoke at the Tax Foundation’s 75 Anniversary Dinner on November 15, and stressed the importance of comprehensive tax reform. In his remarks, he stated that the Ways and Means Committee intends to move a comprehensive tax reform bill in 2013, “no matter what.” REGULATORY ACTIVITY  FATCA Model II Agreement Published. On November 14, Treasury published its archetype for FACTA Model II Agreements as part of its effort to continue to provide guidance under the Foreign Account Tax Compliance Act (FACTA), which is intended to prevent U.S. taxpayers from evading U.S. tax by holding funds in offshore accounts in foreign financial institutions (FFIs). The archetype published this week is the second of two such intergovernmental model agreements. While a Model I Agreement would require FFIs in partner countries to report U.S. taxpayer information to their home tax authorities, which would then transmit the information to the U.S., this Model II Agreement would allow FFIs in a partner country to report information concerning U.S. taxpayer accounts directly to the U.S. under an agreed upon standard. The Model II agreement released on November 14 is based on the Joint Statements the U.S. released on June 21, 2012, with Japan and Switzerland. The impetus behind the Model II agreement is to allow FFIs in these countries to comply with FATCA through direct reporting without violating their home country rules.  Treasury Intergovernmental Agreement Negotiations Continue. The U.S. Treasury has continued to meet this week with representatives from potential partner countries concerning agreements under FACTA to share information about bank account holders in their respective countries. Among the countries reportedly in negotiations with the U.S. Department of the Treasury are Russia, China, India, Australia and South Africa. Expect to see negotiations continue in the coming weeks as countries look to secure an agreement with the U.S. and bypass onerous withholding charges. Patton Boggs Capital Thinking Weekly Update | November 19, 2012 11 of 13
  • 13. TechComm LEGISLATIVE ACTIVITY  Safe Web Act. The Senate on November 14 voted to pass a House bill that would expand the ability of the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) to stop Internet fraud and online scammers. The U.S. Safe Web Act would permit the FTC to share information about cross-border fraud with foreign law enforcement agencies and broaden the type of fraud that the Agency can take legal action against. The bill was first passed in 2006 and the latest reauthorization bill is now headed to the President's desk to be signed into law. “The U.S. Safe Web Act provides critically important consumer protections, allowing the Commission to combat cross-border fraud, spam and spyware,” said Congresswoman Mary Bono Mack (R-CA), the bill’s lead co-sponsor along with Congressman G.K. Butterfield (D-NC).  Web Streaming. The House Judiciary Subcommittee on Intellectual Property, Competition and the Internet is poised to hold a hearing on November 29 on music royalty rates and the Internet Radio Fairness Act, which was introduced by Representative Jason Chaffetz (R-UT). No witness list has been announced yet. The Internet Radio Fairness Act would require the Copyright Royalty Board to set the per-song royalty rates for Internet radio equal to the lower rates paid by cable and satellite services. Pandora leads the Internet Radio Fairness Coalition, which also includes Clear Channel and the Consumer Electronics Association, which supports the bill. Opponents of the legislation include record labels and the Recording Industry Association of America, which would rather see cable and satellite brought in line with higher rates that Internet radio services are paying. They support a discussion draft introduced earlier this year by Representative Jerrold Nadler (D-NY) that would require webcasters to pay a new performance tax for terrestrial air play. A companion to the Chaffetz bill was introduced on the Senate side by Ron Wyden (D-OR). "There is no functioning market here," Wyden said on November 13 during a Future of Music Summit in Washington. "Webcasters pay five times the royalties paid by other digital broadcasters."  ECPA. On November 29, the Senate Judiciary Committee will mark up legislation that would require police to obtain a warrant before reading people's emails, Facebook messages or other forms of electronic communication. Committee Chairman Patrick Leahy (D-VT), attached the warrant requirement as an amendment to H.R. 2471, a House bill that would ease video privacy protections. H.R. 2471 would amend the Video Privacy Protection Act, which bans the sharing of rental information with a consumer’s written consent. H.R. 2471 would allow users to opt in to automatically share their viewing habits on social networks, in the same way that users can already share on Facebook which songs they listen to and which articles they read. Leahy has argued that his warrant requirement is necessary so that federal privacy laws keep pace with changes in technology. Under the Electronic Communications Privacy Act (ECPA) of 1986, police only need a subpoena, not a warrant, to read emails that have been opened and are more than 180 days old. Patton Boggs Capital Thinking Weekly Update | November 19, 2012 12 of 13
  • 14. Spectrum Auctions. The House Energy and Commerce Committee Subcommittee on Communications and Technology will hold an oversight hearing on the broadcast incentive auctions on December 12 in which all five FCC commissioners are expected to testify. Subcommittee Chairman Greg Walden (R-OR) also has expressed his desire to hold a hearing on receiver standards during the lame-duck session, although no date has been set yet. REGULATORY ACTIVITY  FCC Incentive Auction. The FCC plans to consider an Order regarding implementation of the Local Community Radio Act at the Agency's November 30 open meeting. The Order would address final procedures to approve more than 6,000 pending FM translator radio applications. According to the FCC, “[t]he consideration of these items will represent the final steps toward enabling nonprofit groups nationwide to apply for low power radio licenses to further expand the diversity of local voices in the media landscape.” No other items are currently scheduled for the November 30 agenda. Patton Boggs Capital Thinking Weekly Update | November 19, 2012 13 of 13