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Markus Rosenthal
Managing Director, nuances
25 February 2015
Open Road | London
Coalition Building for Britain:
Any lessons to be learned from German politics?
Setting the scene
Coalitions are a way of life in Germany
Negotiations can take weeks and months at a time
Outside views are still considered
Coalition contracts have 130+ pages
2
Germany: Coalitions are a way of life
3
© WikiNight2
SPD + Greens
CDU + SPD
SPD +CDU
CSU
Greens + SPD
Greens + CDU
SPD + the Left
The Left + SPD + Greens
SPD + Greens + SSW
SPD
Composition of the Federal Council
“Bundesrat” – the upper house
Coalitions in the “Länder”
Grand Coalition
Red-Green Coalition
Black-Yellow Coalition
Social-Liberal Coalition
“Ampel“ Coalition
Red-Red Coalition
Red-Red-Green Coalition
Black-Green Coalition
4
© Bundesrat
Which parties matter?
CDU – Christian Democratic Union
CSU – Christian Social Union
SPD – Social Democratic Party
FDP – Free Democratic Party (Free
Market)
Greens – self-explanatory
The Left – Socialists/Communists; the party
roots go back to the SED, the governing
party of the GDR
AfD – Alternative for Germany
5
Not in the Bundestag
Not in the Bundestag
Coalitions since Helmut Kohl
Chancellor Helmut Kohl of the Black-Yellow Coalition
– 1982 - 1983 Kohl‘s Cabinet I
– 1983 - 1987 Kohl‘s Cabinet II
– 1987 - 1991 Kohl‘s Cabinet III
– 1991 - 1994 Kohl‘s Cabinet IV
– 1994 - 1998 Kohl‘s Cabinet V
Chancellor Gerhard Schröder of the Red-Green
Coalition
– 1998 - 2002 Schröder‘s Cabinet I
– 2002 - 2005 Schröder‘s Cabinet II
Chancellor Angela Merkel of the Grand Coalition and
the Black-Yellow Coalition
– 2005 - 2009 Merkel‘s Cabinet I
– 2009 - 2013 Merkel‘s Cabinet II
– 2013 - present Merkel‘s Cabinet III
6
Governing Parties
Special case: CSU - Bavaria
Similarities to the SNP
Strong sense of regional identity
CSU views matter on a national level
CSU policies are often not in the
national interest. Regional interests
ahead of national interests:
– road toll for foreign drivers on
the Autobahn
– no new electricity lines from
northern Germany to southern
Germany
Differences from the SNP
Sister-Party of the CDU (conservative) –
contributes about one sixth of the
vote to the overall CDU results
Participated in a lot of national
governments
CSU influence is strong due to the fact
that they are threating – from time to
time – to leave the coalition and don´t
want to be the sister party of the CDU
anymore
7
Duration of the negotiations
16th German Bundestag (2005) – 7 weeks
17th German Bundestag (2009) – 4 weeks
18th German Bundestag (2013) – 8 weeks
8
The party leaders of the current coalition
Angela Merkel – Christian Democratic Union (CDU)
Horst Seehofer – Christian Social Union (CSU)
Sigmar Gabriel – Social Democratic Party (SPD)
9
Coalitions should be easy to run with a
coalition committee
The Coalition Committee consists of:
Angela Merkel: CDU leader, Chancellor, member of the Bundestag (MdB)
Sigmar Gabriel: SPD leader, Minister for Economic Affairs and Energy,
member of the Bundestag (MdB)
Horst Seehofer: CSU leader, Prime Minister of Bavaria
– Seehofer is not in the federal parliament, but he is very influential in
determining coalition policies
10
However, the reality is…
It rarely meets – about one or two meetings per year
The work is done by the “underlings”
Ideas from outside are needed = lots of opportunities to make your voice heard
11
Coalitions simply mean –
if you choose the right partner, you will stay
in power
12
How it works in Germany
Companies, communications agencies and pressure groups lobby before and
during coalition talks
Only in the very last days do leaders sit together without any outside influence
13
Length of Coalition Agreements:
16th German Bundestag (2005) – CDU, CSU & SPD: 168 pages
17th German Bundestag (2009) – CDU, CSU & FDP: 132 pages
18th German Bundestag (2013) – CDU, CSU & SPD: 130 pages
How it works in Germany
14
What the UK can learn from the German
experience – if it wishes to.
If UK elections no longer produce a clear result, leading to coalitions or
agreements, this will change the mind-set of politicians – they will always be
thinking of deals they may have to make with other parties
Coalition negotiations may become more formal and it may take longer before a
government is formed
Coalition agreements may become much more detailed
15
16
Thank you for your time
Markus Rosenthal
Managing Director
nuances
Neue Grünstraße 17/18
10179 Berlin, Germany
T +49 (0)30 257 407 20
F +49 (0)30 257 407 29
mrosenthal@nuances.de
www.nuances.de

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Coalition Building for Britain: Any lessons to be learned from German politics?

  • 1. Markus Rosenthal Managing Director, nuances 25 February 2015 Open Road | London Coalition Building for Britain: Any lessons to be learned from German politics?
  • 2. Setting the scene Coalitions are a way of life in Germany Negotiations can take weeks and months at a time Outside views are still considered Coalition contracts have 130+ pages 2
  • 3. Germany: Coalitions are a way of life 3 © WikiNight2 SPD + Greens CDU + SPD SPD +CDU CSU Greens + SPD Greens + CDU SPD + the Left The Left + SPD + Greens SPD + Greens + SSW SPD
  • 4. Composition of the Federal Council “Bundesrat” – the upper house Coalitions in the “Länder” Grand Coalition Red-Green Coalition Black-Yellow Coalition Social-Liberal Coalition “Ampel“ Coalition Red-Red Coalition Red-Red-Green Coalition Black-Green Coalition 4 © Bundesrat
  • 5. Which parties matter? CDU – Christian Democratic Union CSU – Christian Social Union SPD – Social Democratic Party FDP – Free Democratic Party (Free Market) Greens – self-explanatory The Left – Socialists/Communists; the party roots go back to the SED, the governing party of the GDR AfD – Alternative for Germany 5 Not in the Bundestag Not in the Bundestag
  • 6. Coalitions since Helmut Kohl Chancellor Helmut Kohl of the Black-Yellow Coalition – 1982 - 1983 Kohl‘s Cabinet I – 1983 - 1987 Kohl‘s Cabinet II – 1987 - 1991 Kohl‘s Cabinet III – 1991 - 1994 Kohl‘s Cabinet IV – 1994 - 1998 Kohl‘s Cabinet V Chancellor Gerhard Schröder of the Red-Green Coalition – 1998 - 2002 Schröder‘s Cabinet I – 2002 - 2005 Schröder‘s Cabinet II Chancellor Angela Merkel of the Grand Coalition and the Black-Yellow Coalition – 2005 - 2009 Merkel‘s Cabinet I – 2009 - 2013 Merkel‘s Cabinet II – 2013 - present Merkel‘s Cabinet III 6 Governing Parties
  • 7. Special case: CSU - Bavaria Similarities to the SNP Strong sense of regional identity CSU views matter on a national level CSU policies are often not in the national interest. Regional interests ahead of national interests: – road toll for foreign drivers on the Autobahn – no new electricity lines from northern Germany to southern Germany Differences from the SNP Sister-Party of the CDU (conservative) – contributes about one sixth of the vote to the overall CDU results Participated in a lot of national governments CSU influence is strong due to the fact that they are threating – from time to time – to leave the coalition and don´t want to be the sister party of the CDU anymore 7
  • 8. Duration of the negotiations 16th German Bundestag (2005) – 7 weeks 17th German Bundestag (2009) – 4 weeks 18th German Bundestag (2013) – 8 weeks 8
  • 9. The party leaders of the current coalition Angela Merkel – Christian Democratic Union (CDU) Horst Seehofer – Christian Social Union (CSU) Sigmar Gabriel – Social Democratic Party (SPD) 9
  • 10. Coalitions should be easy to run with a coalition committee The Coalition Committee consists of: Angela Merkel: CDU leader, Chancellor, member of the Bundestag (MdB) Sigmar Gabriel: SPD leader, Minister for Economic Affairs and Energy, member of the Bundestag (MdB) Horst Seehofer: CSU leader, Prime Minister of Bavaria – Seehofer is not in the federal parliament, but he is very influential in determining coalition policies 10
  • 11. However, the reality is… It rarely meets – about one or two meetings per year The work is done by the “underlings” Ideas from outside are needed = lots of opportunities to make your voice heard 11
  • 12. Coalitions simply mean – if you choose the right partner, you will stay in power 12
  • 13. How it works in Germany Companies, communications agencies and pressure groups lobby before and during coalition talks Only in the very last days do leaders sit together without any outside influence 13
  • 14. Length of Coalition Agreements: 16th German Bundestag (2005) – CDU, CSU & SPD: 168 pages 17th German Bundestag (2009) – CDU, CSU & FDP: 132 pages 18th German Bundestag (2013) – CDU, CSU & SPD: 130 pages How it works in Germany 14
  • 15. What the UK can learn from the German experience – if it wishes to. If UK elections no longer produce a clear result, leading to coalitions or agreements, this will change the mind-set of politicians – they will always be thinking of deals they may have to make with other parties Coalition negotiations may become more formal and it may take longer before a government is formed Coalition agreements may become much more detailed 15
  • 16. 16 Thank you for your time Markus Rosenthal Managing Director nuances Neue Grünstraße 17/18 10179 Berlin, Germany T +49 (0)30 257 407 20 F +49 (0)30 257 407 29 mrosenthal@nuances.de www.nuances.de

Notas do Editor

  1. Long negotiations – up to six month
  2. Long negotiations – up to six month