UCBX 430 Spring 2K11 Course highlights
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Highlights of my Investment Solar
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Semelhante a UCBX 430 Spring 2K11 Course highlights
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UCBX 430 Spring 2K11 Course highlights
- 1. Investment Grade Solar System Feasibility Underwriting, Production, and Presentation of Investment Grade Studies UCBX 430 Produced and Presented By Theodore Horton, LEED AP, Managing Member NorCal PV LLC.
- 2. Key Concepts Instant Feasibility Quantifying Demand The Value Stack vs the Cost Stack Harvesting & System Design Let’s Make A Deal
- 5. The Route Instant Feasibility ID Host Capitalize Right ID SITE(S) Design Right ID TEAM Selling Solar ID RISKS Pull It All Together FIX SIZE & CAPSTACK PRESENT PROJECT
- 6. PV POWER PARTNERING WHERE PV WORKS.
- 7. Tax Appetite? YES Wants Performance Risk? Got Cash? Bankable? NO PROJECT > 400kW? PPA Operating Lease YES Capital Lease Balance Sheet YES NO YES NO NO Wants Performance Risk? YES NO NO Which Financing Structure? CREBs AB811? NO
- 11. Tour of Commercial Solar Project
- 12. Tilt & Azimuth Matter
- 13. Student Presentations on Solar Project as Course Capstone
- 14. The Right Customer—05APR11 The Deal—03MAY11 The Right Site—12APR11 50 40 25 10 1 Do It Now The Right Design—19APR11 Meeting the Need—26APR11 4
- 15. Host Customer Description Solar intent, Onsite Loads Define Need 1. The 12 Step Solar System Feasibility Process Tax Equity Monetization Treasury cash grants, ITC, MACRS Capitalization 2. Production Forecast Energy production, guarantees Onsite Savings 3. Step Goal Task Site Control Lease, license, easement Control 4. System Costs Contracts, leases, finance package Contract 5. Risk Factors Design, Construction, Operation Buy Out Risk 6. Capitalization PBI, Lease, debt, equity, SRECs Low Cost of Funds 7.
- 16. Permitting Fire, electrical, site code compliance Building Permit 8. The 12 Step Solar System Development Process Procurement Component & equipment delivery Vendor Agreements 9. Construction Quality, pace and intensity On-time, On-budget 10. Step Goal Task Commissioning Reduce errors and defects Utility Connection 11. Monitoring & Operations System yield, warranty service Beat Projections 12. Reversion & Expansion Add’l sites, sale/xfer of PV assets Profitability
- 17. The scientists represented by the IPCC have spoken — what we need now are passionate, even partisan political soldiers to lead the way and push the final tipping point from awareness to action. --Bill Walsh, CNN
- 18. See you Saturday 2APR 9A Registration: http://www.unex.berkeley.edu/cat/course1885.html
Notas do Editor
- The feasbility document is a guide to getting a solar deal done. Parties, Costs, benefits, time to complete, cost to complete, risk factors.
- I start promptly. Please be on time Cellphones silenced. Emergency Evacuation Procedures.
- The Where is basically anywhere orange or red on this map.
- Where have we seen this movie before? Manufacturers ramp up supply and the price drops due to capacity issues. The process really picks up speed when pure PV power costs less than grid power We are already there in Northern California for the top 10 to 20% of demand. This forecast assumes the tax benefits are extended until 2012, and assumes we run through the ten year California Solar Initiative in five years. It does not take into account the impact of disruptive harvesting technologies like First Solar’s, Nanosolar’s or other emerging techniques. It assumes grid power prices continue to increase at roughly a 7 to 10% per annum rate, equal to other energy sources.
- There is a relationship between tilt, azimuth and shade. The numbers represent percentage yield from arrays oriented differently. Maximum yield is achieved by a true south orientation, and tilted at latitude—for here it is a 9 in 12 pitch. For instant feasibility—there are a number of options to get to your best fit solution. What is the math?
- And on May 2—its your turn. You will self select into teams of no more than 3 people, and present your solar feasibility concept to a team of three
- Review the Project timeline Inset project chart here. To grow, your business must earn the marketplace’s permission. The customer must give your business permission to sell to him.
- Review the Project timeline Inset project chart here. To grow, your business must earn the marketplace’s permission. The customer must give your business permission to sell to him.
- If you are in the Development Business, it may mean there is an incredible opportunity ahead of us. Today, you have learned how to test your properties to see if pure PV power is a way to add value. We looked at the numbers, extracted some trends are, and you can judge how close we are to a tipping point. One final question---