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Learning Technology and Learning
  Content in the 3-5 Year Horizon
                 Rob Reynolds, Ph.D.
Welcome to another Next Is Now webinar

• @nextisnow
• nextisnow.com
• Next Is Now book series – The Future of Learning
  Content
• Upcoming workshop series – Designing your digital
  content and teaching strategy
Broad trends shaping the future

•   Mobile
•   Media Distribution
•   Social Networking
•   Cloud-based Services
•   Globality
•   Content Creation
The mobile Internet as the next technology wave




http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
Tablets are a big deal

• 55 million iPads sold to date
• 11.8 million iPad sold in Q1 2012
• 66 million iPads will be sold in 2012
• 124 million tablets will ship globally in 2012
• 375 million tablets will ship globally by 2016
  (760 million in use overall)
• There will be 92 million tablet owners in the
  US by 2014
• 19% of US adults now own tablet devices
The iPad is runaway train compared to its
                                                                                           predecessors




http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
Android smartphone adoption is something to talk
                                                                                                         about




http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
The information we need is always available




http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
Mobile devices are changing media consumption

Tablets are now
the #2 device
for watching
full-length TV
programming
People want to connect more than ever




http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
Our notions about content creationare changing
                           Newspapers are are
                           experiencing their 6th straight
                           year of decline




                                                             http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
60 hours of video are
uploaded to YouTube each
hour
Digital interaction is easier than ever
A recap of broad consumer technology trends…

•   Mobile
•   Media Distribution
•   Social Networking
•   Cloud-based Services
•   Globality
•   Content Creation
… and the natural evolution of technologies




Everyone's is a mechanic   I can do basic   I just look at my
                           maintenance      dashboard
Forecasts for educational technology
Important crosswinds to remember

• The predominance of new and multiple
  screens
• The shift from B2B-->B2C
• The rise of informal learning
• The evolution of mobile platforms
• Our changing notions of degrees and
  certification
• The emergence of new business models
3-5 Year horizon for learning content

• Broader availability of commercial textbooks in
  digital formats
• Increased availability and acceptance of OER
  content
• Commoditization of OER content
• Self and institutional publishing
• Increased adoption of digital content
• A consolidation of formats and distributors (lighter
  DRM)
• The appearance of initial subscription services
• A decrease in textbook prices
E-textbook channels and distribution today

B2C

Amazon
Apple
Coursesmart
Chegg             User Features
Google
Inkling                           B2B
Kno               Institutional   Cafescribe
NOOKstudy           Services      ClassBook
Textbooks.com                     Courseload
                                  Coursesmart
                                  MBS Direct Digital
                                  VitalSource
E-textbook channels in 5 years

B2C Textbooks      Commercial Content   Open Content
                   Services             Services
Amazon             Amazon               ?
Apple              (Barnes & Noble)
Google             Follett
(Barnes & Noble)   MBS
E-textbooks are growing in popularity




                                        http://www.nextisnow.net/
The overall adoption of digital content is aggressive




                                                        http://www.nextisnow.net/
What to Expect in Educational Technology


•   Content and Learning Analytics
•   Personal Technology
•   Flipped Classroom Technology
•   Personalized Learning
Content and Learning Analytics


• Reading analytics
• 3600 learner analytics
• Social learning analytics
Personal Computing


Wearable computing
devices
Personal Computing


The fight for the fifth screen
Flipped
                        Classroom Technology


Tethered will become untethered, and
integrated will become disaggregated
Personalized Learning


•   Formal-informal learning
•   MOOCs
•   Flipboard for education
•   iTunes for education
•   Individualized curricula
•   Lifelong degree programs

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Learning Technology and Learning Content in the 3-5 Year Horizon

  • 1. Learning Technology and Learning Content in the 3-5 Year Horizon Rob Reynolds, Ph.D.
  • 2. Welcome to another Next Is Now webinar • @nextisnow • nextisnow.com • Next Is Now book series – The Future of Learning Content • Upcoming workshop series – Designing your digital content and teaching strategy
  • 3. Broad trends shaping the future • Mobile • Media Distribution • Social Networking • Cloud-based Services • Globality • Content Creation
  • 4. The mobile Internet as the next technology wave http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
  • 5. Tablets are a big deal • 55 million iPads sold to date • 11.8 million iPad sold in Q1 2012 • 66 million iPads will be sold in 2012 • 124 million tablets will ship globally in 2012 • 375 million tablets will ship globally by 2016 (760 million in use overall) • There will be 92 million tablet owners in the US by 2014 • 19% of US adults now own tablet devices
  • 6. The iPad is runaway train compared to its predecessors http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
  • 7. Android smartphone adoption is something to talk about http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
  • 8. The information we need is always available http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
  • 9. Mobile devices are changing media consumption Tablets are now the #2 device for watching full-length TV programming
  • 10. People want to connect more than ever http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011
  • 11. Our notions about content creationare changing Newspapers are are experiencing their 6th straight year of decline http://www.scribd.com/doc/69309864/KPCB-Internet-Trends-2011 60 hours of video are uploaded to YouTube each hour
  • 12. Digital interaction is easier than ever
  • 13. A recap of broad consumer technology trends… • Mobile • Media Distribution • Social Networking • Cloud-based Services • Globality • Content Creation
  • 14. … and the natural evolution of technologies Everyone's is a mechanic I can do basic I just look at my maintenance dashboard
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  • 17. Important crosswinds to remember • The predominance of new and multiple screens • The shift from B2B-->B2C • The rise of informal learning • The evolution of mobile platforms • Our changing notions of degrees and certification • The emergence of new business models
  • 18. 3-5 Year horizon for learning content • Broader availability of commercial textbooks in digital formats • Increased availability and acceptance of OER content • Commoditization of OER content • Self and institutional publishing • Increased adoption of digital content • A consolidation of formats and distributors (lighter DRM) • The appearance of initial subscription services • A decrease in textbook prices
  • 19. E-textbook channels and distribution today B2C Amazon Apple Coursesmart Chegg User Features Google Inkling B2B Kno Institutional Cafescribe NOOKstudy Services ClassBook Textbooks.com Courseload Coursesmart MBS Direct Digital VitalSource
  • 20. E-textbook channels in 5 years B2C Textbooks Commercial Content Open Content Services Services Amazon Amazon ? Apple (Barnes & Noble) Google Follett (Barnes & Noble) MBS
  • 21. E-textbooks are growing in popularity http://www.nextisnow.net/
  • 22. The overall adoption of digital content is aggressive http://www.nextisnow.net/
  • 23. What to Expect in Educational Technology • Content and Learning Analytics • Personal Technology • Flipped Classroom Technology • Personalized Learning
  • 24. Content and Learning Analytics • Reading analytics • 3600 learner analytics • Social learning analytics
  • 26. Personal Computing The fight for the fifth screen
  • 27. Flipped Classroom Technology Tethered will become untethered, and integrated will become disaggregated
  • 28. Personalized Learning • Formal-informal learning • MOOCs • Flipboard for education • iTunes for education • Individualized curricula • Lifelong degree programs

Notas do Editor

  1. Bookstores, community colleges, etc.