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HOW WELL IS KENTUCKY PREPARING ALL  STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,  CAREERS AND LIFE
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Why College- and Career-Ready  Expectations for All?
A HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA IS NO LONGER ENOUGH FOR SUCCESS The changing economy is accelerating the expectations gap, as careers increasingly require some education/training beyond high school, and more developed knowledge and skills.
Jobs in Today’s Workforce Require More Education & Training Source:  Carnevale, Anthony P. and Donna M. Desrochers,  Standards for What? The Economic Roots of K–16 Reform,  Educational Testing Service, 2003.
The Rise of the Middle-Skill Jobs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source:  The Future of Middle-Skill Jobs” by Harry J. Holzer and Robert I. Lerman, Brookings Institution, February 2009.  ,[object Object]
Employment Shares by Occupational Skill Level, 2006 Source:  The Future of Middle-Skill Jobs” by Harry J. Holzer and Robert I. Lerman, Brookings Institution, February 2009.
Demand for Middle-Skill Workers Outpaces Kentucky’s Supply ,[object Object],[object Object],Sources:  Carnevale, Anthony P. and Donna Desrochers (2003). “Standards for What? The Economic Roots of K-12 Reform ,”  Education Testing Services. http://www.learndoearn.org/For-Educators/Standards-for-What.pdf; Skills to Compete.  http://www.skills2compete.org; Measuring Up (2008), “The National Report Card on Higher Education. “ http://measuringup2008.highereducation.org/index.php  ,[object Object],[object Object]
The Rise of the Middle-Skill Jobs ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source:  Milano, Jessica, Bruce Reed & Paul Weinstein Jr. (Sept 2009).  A Matter of Degrees: Tomorrow’s Fastest Growing Jobs and Why Community College Graduates Will Get Them.  The  New  Democratic Leadership Council
Kentucky’s Middle-Skill Jobs Source:  U.S. Department of Labor, Career One Stop.  http://www.careerinfonet.org Occupation Median  Income (2007) % By Education Level  (ages 25-44), 2007 Number of Total Jobs  (in thousands) High School Some College 2006 2016 % Change Computer Support Specialists $34,700 13% 44% 5.1 6.1 20% Electrical & Electronic Engineering Technicians $52,800 27% 54% 1.0 1.2 12% Radiologic Technicians & Technologists $44,400 7% 68% 3.9 4.9 24% First-line Supervisors / Managers of Construction Trades $47,100 60% 30% 11.0 12.8 16% Civil Engineering Technicians $44,500 27% 54% 1.4 1.5 8% Registered Nurses $53,200 1% 43% 40.6 53.0 31%
America’s International Edge is Slipping Source:  OECD, “Education at a Glance,” 2007 (All rates are self-reported)
America’s International Edge is Slipping Source:  OECD Education at a Glance, 2007; National Center for Higher Education Management Systems analysis of 2007 American Community Survey.  http://www.higheredinfo.org  % of Citizens with Postsecondary Degrees Among OECD Countries, by Age Group (2006) 55-64 45-54 35-44 25-34 ALL (25-64) 1 U.S. (38%) Canada (43%) Canada (51%) Canada (55%) Canada (47%) 2 Canada (37%) U.S. (40%) Japan (46%) Japan (54%) Japan (40%) 3 N.Z. (30%) Japan (39%) Finland (41%) Korea (53%) U.S. (39%) 4 Denmark (28%) N.Z. (38%) U.S. (41%) N.Z. (44%) N.Z. (38%) 5 Finland (27%) Finland (34%) N.Z. (39%) Ireland (42%) Finland (35%) 6 Australia (26%) Denmark (33%) Korea (37%) Belgium (42%) Denmark (35%) 7 Sweden (25%) Australia (32%) Denmark (36%) Norway (42%) Australia (33%) 8 Norway (25%) Norway (30%) Belgium (35%) France (41%) Korea (33%) 9 Neth. (25%) Neth. (30%) Norway (35%) Denmark (41%) Norway (33%) 10 U.K. (24%) Switz. (29%) Iceland (34%) U.S. (39%) Belgium (32%) 11 Switz. (24%) Iceland (29%) Australia (33%) Spain (39%) Ireland (31%) 12 Japan (23%) U.K. (29%) Switz. (33%) Sweden (39%) Sweden (31%) 13 Germany (23%) Sweden (29%) Ireland (33%) Australia (39%) U.K. (30%) 14 Belgium (22%) Belgium (27%) Spain (31%) Finland (38%) Neth. (30%) 15 Iceland (21%) Germany (25%) U.K. (31%) U.K. (37%) Switz. (30%) Kentucky (27%) Kentucky (31%) Kentucky (30%) Kentucky (29%)
FAR TOO MANY STUDENTS DROP OUT  OR GRADUATE FROM HIGH SCHOOL UNPREPARED FOR REAL WORLD CHALLENGES
Of Every 100 9 th  Graders in Kentucky… Source:  NCHEMS Information Center for Higher Education Policymaking and Analysis. Student Pipeline - Transition and Completion Rates from 9th Grade to College. www.higheredinfo.org/dbrowser/index.php?submeasure=119&year=2006&level=nation&mode=data&state=0
Achievement Remains Low: 8 th  Grade Achievement Over Time Source:  National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded from www.nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/  % at or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP 8 th  Grade Math 1992 2009 Kentucky 14% 27% U.S. 21% 32% 8 th  Grade Reading 1998 2009 Kentucky 29% 33% U.S. 33% 30% 8 th  Grade Science 1996 2005 Kentucky 23% 31% U.S. 29% 29%
And Gaps Persist: Kentucky’s 8 th  Grade Achievement Gap Source:  National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded from www.nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/  % at or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP Subgroup 8 th  Grade Math (2009) 8 th  Grade Reading (2009) 8 th  Grade Science (2005) All Students 27% 33% 31% White 29% 35% n/a Black 8% 15% n/a Hispanic 22% 30% n/a Asian n/a n/a n/a Native American n/a n/a n/a
Graduation Rates Remain Inequitable Source:  Education Week, Education Counts. Developed through the Custom Table Builder, http://www.edweek.org/rc/2007/06/07/edcounts.html N/A
America’s International Edge is Slipping Source:  OECD, “Education at a Glance,” 2007 (All rates are self-reported)
Enrollment in College Does NOT Equal  College Readiness Source:  National Center for Education Statistics,  Remedial Education at Degree-Granting Postsecondary Institutions in Fall 2000,  2003. Percentage of U.S. first-year students in two-year and four-year institutions requiring remediation
Freshmen at Two-Year Colleges are More Likely to Require Remediation  Source:  National Center for Education Statistics,  Remedial Education at Degree-Granting Postsecondary Institutions in Fall 2000,  2003.
Most U.S. College Students Who Take Remedial Courses Fail to Earn Degrees Source:  National Center for Education Statistics,  The Condition of Education,  2004:  % of 1992 12th graders who entered postsecondary education. Percentage  earning degree  by type of remedial coursework
Enrollment in College Does NOT Equal  College Readiness Source:   Kentucky Council on Postsecondary Education,  Developmental Education Needs in the 2006 Entering Cohort . http://cpe.ky.gov/NR/rdonlyres/B42243CB-D19A-4EC4-AD34-ECF2900D51B1/0/Dev_needs_2006_20090605.pdf Percentage of Kentucky’s first-year students in two-year and four-year institutions requiring remediation
How Many College Students Return Their Sophomore Year – and Go On To Earn Degrees? Source:  Measuring Up (2008).  The National Report Card on Higher Education .  http://measuringup2008.highereducation.org/index.php; National Center for Education Statistics (2003),  Remedial Education at Degree-Granting Postsecondary Institutions in Fall 2000 .
Many College Students in Kentucky Fail  to Earn a Degree Source:  NCES, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey, analyzed by National Center for Management of Higher Education Systems. Percent of students earning a bachelors’ degree within six years, 2006
The Majority of Graduates Would Have Taken Harder Courses, Particularly in Mathematics  Source:  Peter D. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies. (2005)  Rising to the Challenge: Are High School Graduates Prepared for College and Work?  Washington, DC: Achieve.  Would have taken more challenging courses in at least one area Math Science English Knowing what you know today about the expectations of college/work …
A MORE RIGOROUS & RELEVANT HIGH SCHOOL EDUCATION WILL OPEN DOORS FOR STUDENTS –  AND KEEP THEM OPEN
Personal Benefits of Education in Kentucky ,[object Object],[object Object],More education is associated with higher earnings and higher rates of employment.
Personal Benefits of Education in Kentucky Source:  U.S. Census Bureau (2008).  “Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement.”  Figures are based on total person within the civilian labor force UNEMPLOYMENT RATE LEVEL OF EDUCATION MEAN  INCOME 6% TOTAL $28,392 16% HS Dropout $10,349 8% HS Graduate $23,492 4% Some College $28,087 2% Bachelor’s & Above $57,805
The Importance of Rigorous Course-Taking in Closing Gaps ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Source:  Horn, L. and A.M. Nuñez (2000).  Mapping the Road to College: First-generation Students' Math Track, Planning Strategies, and Context of Support.  U.S. Department of Education.  http://nces.ed.gov/pubs2001/2001153.pdf; Adelman, C. (2006).  The Toolbox Revisited: Paths to Degree Completion from High School through College . U.S. Department of Education.
8 th  Graders Taking Algebra I Source:  Measuring Up, 2008:NCES, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) 2003, 2005 Mathematics Assessments.
Students Participating in Advanced  Placement Source:  College Board, “National Summary Reports, 2008.” http://www.collegeboard.com/student/testing/ap/exgrd_sum/2008.html Percent of all 11th/12th Graders Participating in Advanced Placement (2008)
Kentucky’s Students Taking College  Admissions Exams Source:  ACT (2009),  ACT 2009 Results . http://www.act.org/news/data/09/states.html; College Board,  Mean SAT Critical Reading, Mathematics and Writing Scores by State.  http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/cbs-2009-Table-3_Mean-SAT-CR-MATH-and-Writing-Scores-by-State.pdf 2009 Kentucky U.S. Participation in ACT 100% 45% Average ACT Score 19.4 21.1 Participation in SAT 7% 46% Average SAT Score 1707 1509
THE SOLUTION:  STATE-LED EFFORTS TO CLOSE  THE EXPECTATIONS GAP  All students deserve a world-class education that  prepares them for college, careers and life.
The College- and Career-Ready Agenda
Kentucky’s Commitment to Closing the Expectations Gap
HOW WELL IS KENTUCKY PREPARING ALL  STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE,  CAREERS AND LIFE

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Understanding EPAS
 
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How Well is Kentucky Preparing all Students for College, Career, and Life

  • 1. HOW WELL IS KENTUCKY PREPARING ALL STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE, CAREERS AND LIFE
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  • 3. A HIGH SCHOOL DIPLOMA IS NO LONGER ENOUGH FOR SUCCESS The changing economy is accelerating the expectations gap, as careers increasingly require some education/training beyond high school, and more developed knowledge and skills.
  • 4. Jobs in Today’s Workforce Require More Education & Training Source: Carnevale, Anthony P. and Donna M. Desrochers, Standards for What? The Economic Roots of K–16 Reform, Educational Testing Service, 2003.
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  • 6. Employment Shares by Occupational Skill Level, 2006 Source: The Future of Middle-Skill Jobs” by Harry J. Holzer and Robert I. Lerman, Brookings Institution, February 2009.
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  • 9. Kentucky’s Middle-Skill Jobs Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Career One Stop. http://www.careerinfonet.org Occupation Median Income (2007) % By Education Level (ages 25-44), 2007 Number of Total Jobs (in thousands) High School Some College 2006 2016 % Change Computer Support Specialists $34,700 13% 44% 5.1 6.1 20% Electrical & Electronic Engineering Technicians $52,800 27% 54% 1.0 1.2 12% Radiologic Technicians & Technologists $44,400 7% 68% 3.9 4.9 24% First-line Supervisors / Managers of Construction Trades $47,100 60% 30% 11.0 12.8 16% Civil Engineering Technicians $44,500 27% 54% 1.4 1.5 8% Registered Nurses $53,200 1% 43% 40.6 53.0 31%
  • 10. America’s International Edge is Slipping Source: OECD, “Education at a Glance,” 2007 (All rates are self-reported)
  • 11. America’s International Edge is Slipping Source: OECD Education at a Glance, 2007; National Center for Higher Education Management Systems analysis of 2007 American Community Survey. http://www.higheredinfo.org % of Citizens with Postsecondary Degrees Among OECD Countries, by Age Group (2006) 55-64 45-54 35-44 25-34 ALL (25-64) 1 U.S. (38%) Canada (43%) Canada (51%) Canada (55%) Canada (47%) 2 Canada (37%) U.S. (40%) Japan (46%) Japan (54%) Japan (40%) 3 N.Z. (30%) Japan (39%) Finland (41%) Korea (53%) U.S. (39%) 4 Denmark (28%) N.Z. (38%) U.S. (41%) N.Z. (44%) N.Z. (38%) 5 Finland (27%) Finland (34%) N.Z. (39%) Ireland (42%) Finland (35%) 6 Australia (26%) Denmark (33%) Korea (37%) Belgium (42%) Denmark (35%) 7 Sweden (25%) Australia (32%) Denmark (36%) Norway (42%) Australia (33%) 8 Norway (25%) Norway (30%) Belgium (35%) France (41%) Korea (33%) 9 Neth. (25%) Neth. (30%) Norway (35%) Denmark (41%) Norway (33%) 10 U.K. (24%) Switz. (29%) Iceland (34%) U.S. (39%) Belgium (32%) 11 Switz. (24%) Iceland (29%) Australia (33%) Spain (39%) Ireland (31%) 12 Japan (23%) U.K. (29%) Switz. (33%) Sweden (39%) Sweden (31%) 13 Germany (23%) Sweden (29%) Ireland (33%) Australia (39%) U.K. (30%) 14 Belgium (22%) Belgium (27%) Spain (31%) Finland (38%) Neth. (30%) 15 Iceland (21%) Germany (25%) U.K. (31%) U.K. (37%) Switz. (30%) Kentucky (27%) Kentucky (31%) Kentucky (30%) Kentucky (29%)
  • 12. FAR TOO MANY STUDENTS DROP OUT OR GRADUATE FROM HIGH SCHOOL UNPREPARED FOR REAL WORLD CHALLENGES
  • 13. Of Every 100 9 th Graders in Kentucky… Source: NCHEMS Information Center for Higher Education Policymaking and Analysis. Student Pipeline - Transition and Completion Rates from 9th Grade to College. www.higheredinfo.org/dbrowser/index.php?submeasure=119&year=2006&level=nation&mode=data&state=0
  • 14. Achievement Remains Low: 8 th Grade Achievement Over Time Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded from www.nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/ % at or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP 8 th Grade Math 1992 2009 Kentucky 14% 27% U.S. 21% 32% 8 th Grade Reading 1998 2009 Kentucky 29% 33% U.S. 33% 30% 8 th Grade Science 1996 2005 Kentucky 23% 31% U.S. 29% 29%
  • 15. And Gaps Persist: Kentucky’s 8 th Grade Achievement Gap Source: National Assessment of Educational Progress. Analysis of data downloaded from www.nces.ed.gov/nationsreportcard/nde/ % at or Above Proficient on 8th Grade NAEP Subgroup 8 th Grade Math (2009) 8 th Grade Reading (2009) 8 th Grade Science (2005) All Students 27% 33% 31% White 29% 35% n/a Black 8% 15% n/a Hispanic 22% 30% n/a Asian n/a n/a n/a Native American n/a n/a n/a
  • 16. Graduation Rates Remain Inequitable Source: Education Week, Education Counts. Developed through the Custom Table Builder, http://www.edweek.org/rc/2007/06/07/edcounts.html N/A
  • 17. America’s International Edge is Slipping Source: OECD, “Education at a Glance,” 2007 (All rates are self-reported)
  • 18. Enrollment in College Does NOT Equal College Readiness Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Remedial Education at Degree-Granting Postsecondary Institutions in Fall 2000, 2003. Percentage of U.S. first-year students in two-year and four-year institutions requiring remediation
  • 19. Freshmen at Two-Year Colleges are More Likely to Require Remediation Source: National Center for Education Statistics, Remedial Education at Degree-Granting Postsecondary Institutions in Fall 2000, 2003.
  • 20. Most U.S. College Students Who Take Remedial Courses Fail to Earn Degrees Source: National Center for Education Statistics, The Condition of Education, 2004: % of 1992 12th graders who entered postsecondary education. Percentage earning degree by type of remedial coursework
  • 21. Enrollment in College Does NOT Equal College Readiness Source: Kentucky Council on Postsecondary Education, Developmental Education Needs in the 2006 Entering Cohort . http://cpe.ky.gov/NR/rdonlyres/B42243CB-D19A-4EC4-AD34-ECF2900D51B1/0/Dev_needs_2006_20090605.pdf Percentage of Kentucky’s first-year students in two-year and four-year institutions requiring remediation
  • 22. How Many College Students Return Their Sophomore Year – and Go On To Earn Degrees? Source: Measuring Up (2008). The National Report Card on Higher Education . http://measuringup2008.highereducation.org/index.php; National Center for Education Statistics (2003), Remedial Education at Degree-Granting Postsecondary Institutions in Fall 2000 .
  • 23. Many College Students in Kentucky Fail to Earn a Degree Source: NCES, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey, analyzed by National Center for Management of Higher Education Systems. Percent of students earning a bachelors’ degree within six years, 2006
  • 24. The Majority of Graduates Would Have Taken Harder Courses, Particularly in Mathematics Source: Peter D. Hart Research Associates/Public Opinion Strategies. (2005) Rising to the Challenge: Are High School Graduates Prepared for College and Work? Washington, DC: Achieve. Would have taken more challenging courses in at least one area Math Science English Knowing what you know today about the expectations of college/work …
  • 25. A MORE RIGOROUS & RELEVANT HIGH SCHOOL EDUCATION WILL OPEN DOORS FOR STUDENTS – AND KEEP THEM OPEN
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  • 27. Personal Benefits of Education in Kentucky Source: U.S. Census Bureau (2008). “Current Population Survey, Annual Social and Economic Supplement.” Figures are based on total person within the civilian labor force UNEMPLOYMENT RATE LEVEL OF EDUCATION MEAN INCOME 6% TOTAL $28,392 16% HS Dropout $10,349 8% HS Graduate $23,492 4% Some College $28,087 2% Bachelor’s & Above $57,805
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  • 29. 8 th Graders Taking Algebra I Source: Measuring Up, 2008:NCES, National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) 2003, 2005 Mathematics Assessments.
  • 30. Students Participating in Advanced Placement Source: College Board, “National Summary Reports, 2008.” http://www.collegeboard.com/student/testing/ap/exgrd_sum/2008.html Percent of all 11th/12th Graders Participating in Advanced Placement (2008)
  • 31. Kentucky’s Students Taking College Admissions Exams Source: ACT (2009), ACT 2009 Results . http://www.act.org/news/data/09/states.html; College Board, Mean SAT Critical Reading, Mathematics and Writing Scores by State. http://professionals.collegeboard.com/profdownload/cbs-2009-Table-3_Mean-SAT-CR-MATH-and-Writing-Scores-by-State.pdf 2009 Kentucky U.S. Participation in ACT 100% 45% Average ACT Score 19.4 21.1 Participation in SAT 7% 46% Average SAT Score 1707 1509
  • 32. THE SOLUTION: STATE-LED EFFORTS TO CLOSE THE EXPECTATIONS GAP All students deserve a world-class education that prepares them for college, careers and life.
  • 33. The College- and Career-Ready Agenda
  • 34. Kentucky’s Commitment to Closing the Expectations Gap
  • 35. HOW WELL IS KENTUCKY PREPARING ALL STUDENTS FOR COLLEGE, CAREERS AND LIFE