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Reconnecting Jobs to Transit
          Tim Evans • New Jersey Future
Edward J. Bloustein School 20th Anniversary Symposium
                     April 26, 2012
New Jersey Future is a nonprofit, nonpartisan
   organization that brings together concerned citizens
  and leaders to promote responsible land-use policies.
The organization employs original research, analysis and
 advocacy to build coalitions and drive land-use policies
   that help revitalize cities and towns, protect natural
  lands and farms, provide more transportation choices
    beyond cars, expand access to safe and affordable
     neighborhoods and fuel a prosperous economy.
Transit-Rich New Jersey

• NJ has one of the best and most extensive rail
  transit systems in the country
• 11.2 percent transit commuting rate (2010) –
  2nd-highest in US, after New York (27.8%)
Transit Ridership to the Big City
70.6 percent of NJ residents who work in Manhattan ride transit
   to work (39.1 percent by rail or ferry and 31.5 percent by bus)
24 percent of NJ residents who work in Philadelphia ride transit
   to work (20 percent by rail and 4 percent by bus)

Intra-New Jersey commuting only manages a 5
percent transit ridership rate – no better than the
national average. WHY?


 NOTE: Destination-based commute mode shares are from 2000 Census
The Problem: Job Decentralization

• “Job sprawl” – the opposite of center-based
  job growth
• Decentralization away from transit
• Job loss in transit-accessible job centers
Job losses near
  transit; job
gains along the
    highway
[traffic-maximizing strategy]

                          Data source: NJ Department of Labor
                          Spatial data sources: NJTransit (rail lines);
                          NJ Department of Environmental Protection
                          (county and municipal boundaries)
Decentralization Away from Transit
Most of New Jersey’s job growth since 1980 has
taken place in scattered suburban locations
accessible only by automobile
Result:
• More traffic
• Longer commutes [24.9 minutes in 1980 → 30.3
  minutes in 2010]
• More greenhouse-gas emissions
Decentralization Away from Transit
 Changing Commuting Characteristics Among Municipalities Comprising
          Half of Total Statewide Private-Sector Employment




(Note: Commute mode shares are tabulated by municipality of employment, not residence.)
Data sources: NJ Department of Labor (employment); U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census (commute mode
shares), analyzed by NJ Transit; NJ Office of Smart Growth (residential density)
Job losses near transit;
                job gains along the highway
     Commuting Characteristics in Large Job-Losing and Job-Gaining
   Municipalities (1980-2003), Tabulated by Municipality of Employment




Data sources: NJ Department of Labor (employment); U.S. Census Bureau,
2000 Census (commute mode shares)
The Solution:
Put jobs back near transit
88 percent of employed New Jerseyans work in NJ, but only 5 percent of
intra-state commuters ride transit…definitely room for improvement

Strengthen “home-grown” transit nodes as a way to
maintain transit ridership growth in wake of ARC Tunnel
cancellation

BONUS: Redevelop older, often distressed job centers
More Transit Hubs…But
        Where?
  [suggestions from Getting to Work]


Can we be systematic about
  prioritizing candidates?
Prioritizing TOD Investments
Database of all 243 distinct transit stations in
New Jersey:
•   10 multi-modal stations
•   205 served only by rail
•   12 ferry terminals
•   16 major bus terminals not
    served by any other modes
Prioritizing TOD Investments
• Operating characteristics of each station: current
  ridership, number of lines/modes serving, parking
  spaces available, transfers required to reach major
  destinations
• Characteristics of station neighborhood [as defined by NJT]:
  median HH income, vehicle ownership, population
  density, vacant housing units – basically ANY data
  published at Census tract level
• Characteristics of station’s host municipality: per-
  capita property tax base, property tax rate, land
  development (% built-out) – basically ANY data
  published at muni level
Prioritizing TOD Investments
10 multi-modal transit stations:
• Hoboken Terminal: all 3 rail modes, bus terminal, ferry
• Newark – Penn Station: all 3 rail modes + bus terminal
• Trenton: commuter rail [NJT + SEPTA], LRT, bus terminal
• Walter Rand Transp. Ctr. (Camden): LRT (River Line), rapid transit (PATCO),
  bus terminal
• Journal Square [Jersey City]: rapid transit (PATH) + bus terminal
• Exchange Place [Jersey City]: rapid transit (PATH) + ferry [HBLR station
  also nearby]
• 4 have commuter rail and are bus terminals: Metropark, New Brunswick,
  Asbury Park, Atlantic City
Prioritizing TOD Investments
Stations served by multiple rail lines:
•   Hoboken Terminal: 9 [7 commuter rail lines + PATH + HBLR] (+ Raritan Valley)
•   Secaucus Junction: 8 [all commuter rail] (+ Raritan Valley)
•   Newark – Penn Station: 5 [3 commuter rail lines + PATH + Newark light rail]
•   Newark - Broad St.: 4 [3 commuter rail lines + Newark light rail]
•   Trenton: 3 [NJT Northeast Corridor + SEPTA + River Line]
•   Camden - Walter Rand Transp. Ctr.: 2 [River Line + PATCO]
•   Lindenwold: 2 [PATCO + Atlantic City commuter rail line]
•   Newport/Pavonia (Jersey City): 2 [HBLR + PATH]
•   Newark Airport, North Elizabeth, Elizabeth, Linden, Rahway: 2 [Northeast
    Corridor and North Jersey Coast]
•   10 stations served by both Morristown and Gladstone branches of M&E
•   Pennsauken Transit Center – to be located at crossing of River Line and Atlantic City
    commuter rail line
Population density (2009) > 20,000 per
          square mile in station area

•   9th St. (HBLR) [Hoboken]
•   2nd St. (HBLR) [Hoboken]
•   Hoboken Terminal
•   Harborside (HBLR) [Jersey City]
•   Grove St. PATH [Jersey City]
•   Lincoln Harbor (HBLR) [Weehawken]
•   Bloomfield Ave (Newark Subway) [Newark]
•   Journal Square [Jersey City]
•   Harsimus (HBLR) [Jersey City]
•   Park Ave (Newark Subway) [Newark]
•   Orange St. (Newark Subway) [Newark]
•   Elizabeth
> 15% vacant housing units in station area
                        (excluding shore towns)

•   Entertainment Center (River Line) [Camden]
•   Asbury Park
•   Aquarium (River Line) [Camden]
•   Walter Rand Transp. Ctr. [Camden]
•   Cooper St. (River Line) [Camden]
•   City Hall PATCO [Camden]
•   Trenton
•   Hamilton Ave (River Line) [Trenton]
•   East Orange
•   Atlantic City
•   Park Ave (Newark Subway) [Newark]
•   Garfield Ave (HBLR) [Jersey City]
> 45% of households in station area having
              zero vehicles available

•    Warren St. (Newark Subway) [Newark]
•    Washington St. (Newark Subway) [Newark]
•    Newark Airport [Newark]
•    Norfolk St. (Newark Subway) [Newark]
•    Military Park (Newark Subway) [Newark]
•    Journal Square [Jersey City]
•    Paterson
•    Newport / Pavonia [Jersey City]
•    Newark – Penn Station
Prioritizing TOD Investments

 Can we be systematic about
 prioritizing candidates?

 YES
Thank you!
               Tim Evans
    Director of Research
 timevans@njfuture.org
       New Jersey Future
      137 W. Hanover St.
     Trenton, N.J. 08618
  609-393-0008 ext. 103
http://www.njfuture.org

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NJ Future Evans bloustein 20th anniv reconnecting jobs to transit 4 26-12

  • 1. Reconnecting Jobs to Transit Tim Evans • New Jersey Future Edward J. Bloustein School 20th Anniversary Symposium April 26, 2012
  • 2. New Jersey Future is a nonprofit, nonpartisan organization that brings together concerned citizens and leaders to promote responsible land-use policies. The organization employs original research, analysis and advocacy to build coalitions and drive land-use policies that help revitalize cities and towns, protect natural lands and farms, provide more transportation choices beyond cars, expand access to safe and affordable neighborhoods and fuel a prosperous economy.
  • 3.
  • 4. Transit-Rich New Jersey • NJ has one of the best and most extensive rail transit systems in the country • 11.2 percent transit commuting rate (2010) – 2nd-highest in US, after New York (27.8%)
  • 5. Transit Ridership to the Big City 70.6 percent of NJ residents who work in Manhattan ride transit to work (39.1 percent by rail or ferry and 31.5 percent by bus) 24 percent of NJ residents who work in Philadelphia ride transit to work (20 percent by rail and 4 percent by bus) Intra-New Jersey commuting only manages a 5 percent transit ridership rate – no better than the national average. WHY? NOTE: Destination-based commute mode shares are from 2000 Census
  • 6. The Problem: Job Decentralization • “Job sprawl” – the opposite of center-based job growth • Decentralization away from transit • Job loss in transit-accessible job centers
  • 7. Job losses near transit; job gains along the highway [traffic-maximizing strategy] Data source: NJ Department of Labor Spatial data sources: NJTransit (rail lines); NJ Department of Environmental Protection (county and municipal boundaries)
  • 8. Decentralization Away from Transit Most of New Jersey’s job growth since 1980 has taken place in scattered suburban locations accessible only by automobile Result: • More traffic • Longer commutes [24.9 minutes in 1980 → 30.3 minutes in 2010] • More greenhouse-gas emissions
  • 9. Decentralization Away from Transit Changing Commuting Characteristics Among Municipalities Comprising Half of Total Statewide Private-Sector Employment (Note: Commute mode shares are tabulated by municipality of employment, not residence.) Data sources: NJ Department of Labor (employment); U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census (commute mode shares), analyzed by NJ Transit; NJ Office of Smart Growth (residential density)
  • 10. Job losses near transit; job gains along the highway Commuting Characteristics in Large Job-Losing and Job-Gaining Municipalities (1980-2003), Tabulated by Municipality of Employment Data sources: NJ Department of Labor (employment); U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census (commute mode shares)
  • 11. The Solution: Put jobs back near transit 88 percent of employed New Jerseyans work in NJ, but only 5 percent of intra-state commuters ride transit…definitely room for improvement Strengthen “home-grown” transit nodes as a way to maintain transit ridership growth in wake of ARC Tunnel cancellation BONUS: Redevelop older, often distressed job centers
  • 12. More Transit Hubs…But Where? [suggestions from Getting to Work] Can we be systematic about prioritizing candidates?
  • 13. Prioritizing TOD Investments Database of all 243 distinct transit stations in New Jersey: • 10 multi-modal stations • 205 served only by rail • 12 ferry terminals • 16 major bus terminals not served by any other modes
  • 14. Prioritizing TOD Investments • Operating characteristics of each station: current ridership, number of lines/modes serving, parking spaces available, transfers required to reach major destinations • Characteristics of station neighborhood [as defined by NJT]: median HH income, vehicle ownership, population density, vacant housing units – basically ANY data published at Census tract level • Characteristics of station’s host municipality: per- capita property tax base, property tax rate, land development (% built-out) – basically ANY data published at muni level
  • 15. Prioritizing TOD Investments 10 multi-modal transit stations: • Hoboken Terminal: all 3 rail modes, bus terminal, ferry • Newark – Penn Station: all 3 rail modes + bus terminal • Trenton: commuter rail [NJT + SEPTA], LRT, bus terminal • Walter Rand Transp. Ctr. (Camden): LRT (River Line), rapid transit (PATCO), bus terminal • Journal Square [Jersey City]: rapid transit (PATH) + bus terminal • Exchange Place [Jersey City]: rapid transit (PATH) + ferry [HBLR station also nearby] • 4 have commuter rail and are bus terminals: Metropark, New Brunswick, Asbury Park, Atlantic City
  • 16. Prioritizing TOD Investments Stations served by multiple rail lines: • Hoboken Terminal: 9 [7 commuter rail lines + PATH + HBLR] (+ Raritan Valley) • Secaucus Junction: 8 [all commuter rail] (+ Raritan Valley) • Newark – Penn Station: 5 [3 commuter rail lines + PATH + Newark light rail] • Newark - Broad St.: 4 [3 commuter rail lines + Newark light rail] • Trenton: 3 [NJT Northeast Corridor + SEPTA + River Line] • Camden - Walter Rand Transp. Ctr.: 2 [River Line + PATCO] • Lindenwold: 2 [PATCO + Atlantic City commuter rail line] • Newport/Pavonia (Jersey City): 2 [HBLR + PATH] • Newark Airport, North Elizabeth, Elizabeth, Linden, Rahway: 2 [Northeast Corridor and North Jersey Coast] • 10 stations served by both Morristown and Gladstone branches of M&E • Pennsauken Transit Center – to be located at crossing of River Line and Atlantic City commuter rail line
  • 17. Population density (2009) > 20,000 per square mile in station area • 9th St. (HBLR) [Hoboken] • 2nd St. (HBLR) [Hoboken] • Hoboken Terminal • Harborside (HBLR) [Jersey City] • Grove St. PATH [Jersey City] • Lincoln Harbor (HBLR) [Weehawken] • Bloomfield Ave (Newark Subway) [Newark] • Journal Square [Jersey City] • Harsimus (HBLR) [Jersey City] • Park Ave (Newark Subway) [Newark] • Orange St. (Newark Subway) [Newark] • Elizabeth
  • 18. > 15% vacant housing units in station area (excluding shore towns) • Entertainment Center (River Line) [Camden] • Asbury Park • Aquarium (River Line) [Camden] • Walter Rand Transp. Ctr. [Camden] • Cooper St. (River Line) [Camden] • City Hall PATCO [Camden] • Trenton • Hamilton Ave (River Line) [Trenton] • East Orange • Atlantic City • Park Ave (Newark Subway) [Newark] • Garfield Ave (HBLR) [Jersey City]
  • 19. > 45% of households in station area having zero vehicles available • Warren St. (Newark Subway) [Newark] • Washington St. (Newark Subway) [Newark] • Newark Airport [Newark] • Norfolk St. (Newark Subway) [Newark] • Military Park (Newark Subway) [Newark] • Journal Square [Jersey City] • Paterson • Newport / Pavonia [Jersey City] • Newark – Penn Station
  • 20. Prioritizing TOD Investments Can we be systematic about prioritizing candidates? YES
  • 21. Thank you! Tim Evans Director of Research timevans@njfuture.org New Jersey Future 137 W. Hanover St. Trenton, N.J. 08618 609-393-0008 ext. 103 http://www.njfuture.org